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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 9, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Grizzlies44%9498
17Celtics56%9699
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.1
36.5
31.4
20
59%
3
2
3
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
4-9
44%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
35.5
35.6
12
37%
6
4
1
1
0
5
0
6
0-1
0%
6-16
8-16
38%
50%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.2
29.0
28.3
10
60%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
2-4
2-6
50%
40%
1-3
33%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.0
27.6
24.8
13
64%
5
3
0
1
1
1
3
2
1-5
20%
6-8
3-7
75%
45%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.2
25.6
34.0
8
82%
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
1-1
100%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.7
23.5
28.5
5
31%
6
4
3
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
1-4
25%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.7
19.0
17.1
16
82%
3
4
3
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
3-5
60%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.1
18.1
8.4
8
56%
5
0
0
0
0
1
4
1
0-7
0%
4-4
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 30.2
14.7
6.7
4
100%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.9
10.7
16.4
2
53%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.3
4.7
0
0-1
45%
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.7
3.4
0
0-1
41%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.5
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.4
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.1
42.1
39.6
18
71%
5
3
2
1
0
1
0
5
5-6
83%
5-9
6-13
56%
47%
1-1
100%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.1
40.3
38.5
29
83%
7
8
3
2
1
1
1
6
8-10
80%
6-10
5-11
60%
48%
3-3
100%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 29.9
38.6
28.3
17
57%
1
5
2
1
1
6
0
1
1-2
50%
8-14
5-9
57%
52%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.3
35.4
27.2
8
59%
6
5
2
1
1
3
2
4
3-4
75%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
1-1
100%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.4
28.3
26.7
10
56%
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
2-4
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20.8
15.3
15.8
8
100%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-4
3-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.1
12.6
12.5
2
33%
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
9.6
8.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.8
7.3
12.3
1
27%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.2
6.3
3.9
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.0
4.2
14.9
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 23.8
9.6
0
1-2
45%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23.8
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 19.8
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.