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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 8, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic28%8476
14Rockets72%9174
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.7
42.0
38.1
27
49%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-4
50%
11-20
5-13
55%
43%
1-6
17%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.6
38.5
32.8
12
44%
4
1
0
1
0
3
1
3
6-8
75%
3-10
4-9
30%
42%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 19.9
36.8
34.2
12
52%
11
1
0
1
2
2
3
8
4-6
67%
4-9
5-11
44%
49%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.6
28.6
35.3
9
41%
7
1
2
1
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
42%
1-4
25%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
21.3
23.1
0
0%
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.7
22.3
22.0
10
71%
6
2
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
2-2
100%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.2
20.2
14.8
3
80%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 26.8
12.7
9.4
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.6
8.4
3.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.2
8.0
12.2
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
1.3
15.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.7
4.0
0
0-1
38%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.5
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.1
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.2
35.6
32.2
17
48%
4
0
0
0
4
1
2
2
5-6
83%
6-15
7-13
40%
54%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.3
34.7
33.5
8
33%
7
9
0
1
1
4
1
6
0-0
-
4-9
2-5
44%
45%
0-3
0%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.3
31.6
29.4
7
42%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.8
24.9
27.8
12
55%
6
0
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
6-11
4-8
55%
46%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.0
18.1
4.3
3
75%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-2
50%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.3
25.4
23.8
10
64%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.0
22.8
19.8
8
40%
5
1
2
1
2
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.0
19.8
26.7
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
14.7
11.4
7
72%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.4
12.4
10.7
2
114%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 26.8
5.6
0
1-1
47%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.3
3.0
0
0-1
39%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.5
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.6
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.