FinalWin Prob.pScore
447%98
89
1153%99
90
ORTG#PossPace
NJN
106.08493.3
MIA logo MIA
107.18476.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNJNMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 0:01.0NJNWade BLOCK (1 BLK)89
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)89
8.0%
90
92.0%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 289
25.2%
89
74.8%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)89
35.8%
89
64.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
53.8%
89
46.2%
Q4 - 0:45.0NJNCarter 17' Fadeaway Jumper (32 PTS)89
39.3%
89
60.7%
Q4 - 1:07MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T13)87
28.2%
89
71.8%
Q4 - 1:25NJNCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)87
18.9%
89
81.1%
Q4 - 1:36NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)84
9.1%
89
90.9%
Q4 - 1:38NJNMISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot84
6.4%
89
93.6%
Q4 - 1:59MIAPayton Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)84
9.7%
89
90.3%
Q4 - 2:17NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)84
6.3%
89
93.7%
Q4 - 2:17NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)83
5.8%
89
94.2%
Q4 - 2:27NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
5.1%
89
94.9%
Q4 - 2:29MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper82
4.1%
89
95.9%
Q4 - 2:40MIAHEAT Rebound82
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 2:41MIAMISS Haslem Layup82
4.1%
89
95.9%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)82
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 2:48NJNMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
3.1%
89
96.9%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMourning Tip Shot (11 PTS)82
6.0%
89
94.0%
Q4 - 3:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)82
7.6%
87
92.4%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup82
11.1%
87
88.9%
Q4 - 3:28NJNMcInnis Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)82
7.5%
87
92.5%
Q4 - 3:33MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)82
15.7%
87
84.3%
Q4 - 4:00NJNCarter 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS)82
10.7%
87
89.3%
Q4 - 4:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)80
7.6%
87
92.4%
Q4 - 4:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)80
8.2%
86
91.8%
Q4 - 4:40NJNCarter 12' Jump Shot (25 PTS)80
10.4%
85
89.6%
Q4 - 4:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)78
7.5%
85
92.5%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 278
8.0%
84
92.0%
Q4 - 5:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
9.7%
84
90.3%
Q4 - 5:04NJNMISS Kidd 21' Jump Shot78
10.6%
84
89.4%
Q4 - 5:23MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)78
13.0%
84
87.0%
Q4 - 5:37NJNJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)78
9.5%
84
90.5%
Q4 - 5:37NJNJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)77
9.0%
84
91.0%
Q4 - 5:37NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)76
7.1%
84
92.9%
Q4 - 5:39NJNMourning BLOCK (5 BLK)76
5.6%
84
94.4%
Q4 - 6:05MIAWade Layup (19 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)76
9.0%
84
91.0%
Q4 - 6:12NJNWade STEAL (4 STL)76
11.3%
82
88.7%
Q4 - 6:31NJNJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
15.2%
82
84.8%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot76
13.9%
82
86.1%
Q4 - 6:41MIAHEAT Rebound76
11.2%
82
88.8%
Q4 - 6:43MIAMISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot76
13.8%
82
86.2%
Q4 - 6:58NJNKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
11.2%
82
88.8%
Q4 - 6:58NJNKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)75
10.6%
82
89.4%
Q4 - 6:58MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)74
8.8%
82
91.2%
Q4 - 7:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
8.2%
82
91.8%
Q4 - 7:15NJNMISS Kidd Free Throw 1 of 174
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q4 - 7:19NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)72
6.5%
82
93.5%
Q4 - 7:21MIAMISS Walker 13' Fadeaway Jumper72
6.0%
82
94.0%
Q4 - 7:37MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q4 - 7:39NJNMISS Jackson 6' Hook Shot72
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 7:49MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)72
6.4%
82
93.6%
Q4 - 7:49MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)72
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q4 - 7:59MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
8.0%
80
92.0%
Q4 - 8:01NJNMISS McInnis 12' Turnaround Jump Shot72
10.4%
80
89.6%
Q4 - 8:24NJNMcInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
12.1%
80
87.9%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
11.3%
80
88.7%
Q4 - 8:51NJNPlaninic Tip Shot (2 PTS)72
9.6%
80
90.4%
Q4 - 8:52NJNPlaninic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q4 - 8:54NJNMISS Vaughn 16' Jump Shot70
6.4%
80
93.6%
Q4 - 9:12MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)70
8.8%
80
91.2%
Q4 - 9:25NJNKrstic Foul Turnover (P3.T12)70
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q4 - 9:39MIAPayton 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)70
16.5%
77
83.5%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
19.8%
75
80.2%
Q4 - 9:52NJNMISS Planinic 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
21.1%
75
78.9%
Q4 - 10:12NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)70
25.2%
75
74.8%
Q4 - 10:14MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 270
24.6%
75
75.4%
Q4 - 10:14MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)70
22.0%
75
78.0%
Q4 - 10:35NJNKrstic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
24.9%
74
75.1%
Q4 - 10:35NJNKrstic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
23.9%
74
76.1%
Q4 - 10:53MIAWalker 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)68
21.1%
74
78.9%
Q4 - 11:10MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
25.7%
72
74.3%
Q4 - 11:12NJNMISS Kidd 18' Jump Shot68
27.0%
72
73.0%
Q4 - 11:25NJNMcInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
30.2%
72
69.8%
Q4 - 11:26MIAMISS Kapono 7' Jump Shot68
28.8%
72
71.2%
Q4 - 11:39NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
25.6%
72
74.4%
Q4 - 11:39NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
24.9%
72
75.1%
Q4 - 11:39NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)66
21.9%
72
78.1%
Q4 - 11:40NJNMISS McInnis Running Layup66
19.3%
72
80.7%
Q4 - 11:44NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)66
21.9%
72
78.1%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Kapono Layup66
20.7%
72
79.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA66
18.2%
72
81.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJNWade STEAL (3 STL)66
18.2%
72
81.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAPayton Layup (10 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)66
23.1%
72
76.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
26.9%
70
73.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0NJNMISS Carter 11' Jump Shot66
28.2%
70
71.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)66
31.0%
70
69.0%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)66
32.8%
69
67.2%
Q3 - 0:43.0NJNJefferson Running Dunk (16 PTS) (McInnis 1 AST)66
35.6%
68
64.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)64
31.0%
68
69.0%
Q3 - 1:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
27.7%
68
72.3%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
30.6%
68
69.4%
Q3 - 1:32NJNMcInnis 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)64
27.7%
68
72.3%
Q3 - 1:53MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS)62
24.0%
68
76.0%
Q3 - 2:16NJNCarter Driving Layup (23 PTS)62
28.0%
66
72.0%
Q3 - 2:32NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)60
24.7%
66
75.3%
Q3 - 2:34MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
23.6%
66
76.4%
Q3 - 2:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
21.1%
66
78.9%
Q3 - 2:47NJNMISS Collins Layup60
22.2%
66
77.8%
Q3 - 3:04MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)60
25.6%
66
74.4%
Q3 - 3:18MIAHEAT Rebound60
28.9%
64
71.1%
Q3 - 3:19NJNMISS Jefferson 12' Jump Shot60
30.1%
64
69.9%
Q3 - 3:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
32.9%
64
67.1%
Q3 - 3:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)60
33.7%
63
66.3%
Q3 - 3:47NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
36.7%
62
63.3%
Q3 - 3:47NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
35.9%
62
64.1%
Q3 - 4:05MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)58
33.4%
62
66.6%
Q3 - 4:29NJNMcInnis Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)58
40.9%
59
59.1%
Q3 - 4:45MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)56
37.4%
59
62.6%
Q3 - 5:07NJNCarter Layup (21 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)56
33.6%
59
66.4%
Q3 - 5:09NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
30.2%
59
69.8%
Q3 - 5:12MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
29.0%
59
71.0%
Q3 - 5:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
26.5%
59
73.5%
Q3 - 5:37NJNMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 254
27.0%
59
73.0%
Q3 - 5:37NJNMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 254
28.9%
59
71.1%
Q3 - 5:37NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)54
30.2%
59
69.8%
Q3 - 5:40NJNMISS McInnis Driving Layup54
27.6%
59
72.4%
Q3 - 5:48NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)54
30.2%
59
69.8%
Q3 - 5:51NJNMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
27.6%
59
72.4%
Q3 - 6:02NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
30.7%
59
69.3%
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup54
29.6%
59
70.4%
Q3 - 6:09NJNWilliams STEAL (1 STL)54
27.2%
59
72.8%
Q3 - 6:11NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
30.7%
59
69.3%
Q3 - 6:13MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
29.6%
59
70.4%
Q3 - 6:37NJNKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)54
27.1%
59
72.9%
Q3 - 6:44NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
21.4%
59
78.6%
Q3 - 6:46MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot51
20.6%
59
79.4%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
18.7%
59
81.3%
Q3 - 7:00NJNMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
19.5%
59
80.5%
Q3 - 7:16MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)51
22.0%
59
78.0%
Q3 - 7:37NJNMcInnis Driving Layup (4 PTS)51
19.1%
59
80.9%
Q3 - 7:47NJNNets Rebound49
17.1%
59
82.9%
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
16.3%
59
83.7%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
14.7%
59
85.3%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot49
16.3%
59
83.7%
Q3 - 8:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
15.3%
59
84.7%
Q3 - 8:13MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot49
17.0%
59
83.0%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
15.3%
59
84.7%
Q3 - 8:24NJNMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 249
15.6%
59
84.4%
Q3 - 8:24NJNCollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)49
16.8%
59
83.2%
Q3 - 8:36NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
15.6%
59
84.4%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot48
14.9%
59
85.1%
Q3 - 9:00NJNJefferson Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)48
13.4%
59
86.6%
Q3 - 9:05MIAWade 5' Turnaround Finger Roll (11 PTS)48
16.1%
59
83.9%
Q3 - 9:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
18.0%
57
82.0%
Q3 - 9:23NJNMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)48
18.7%
57
81.3%
Q3 - 9:24NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
20.4%
57
79.6%
Q3 - 9:26NJNMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 248
18.3%
57
81.7%
Q3 - 9:26NJNMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 248
19.6%
57
80.4%
Q3 - 9:43MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
20.4%
57
79.6%
Q3 - 9:43MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
20.8%
56
79.2%
Q3 - 9:51NJNWade STEAL (2 STL)48
22.8%
55
77.2%
Q3 - 10:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
26.3%
55
73.7%
Q3 - 10:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 248
26.9%
54
73.1%
Q3 - 10:39NJNCarter Driving Dunk (19 PTS)48
25.9%
54
74.1%
Q3 - 10:41NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
23.6%
54
76.4%
Q3 - 10:43NJNMISS Jefferson 5' Hook Shot46
21.7%
54
78.3%
Q3 - 11:00MIAWade Layup (8 PTS)46
23.6%
54
76.4%
Q3 - 11:06NJNWalker STEAL (1 STL)46
26.7%
52
73.3%
Q3 - 11:22MIAWilliams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)46
29.5%
52
70.5%
Q3 - 11:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
26.6%
52
73.4%
Q3 - 11:30NJNMISS Krstic 6' Hook Shot46
27.5%
52
72.5%
Q3 - 11:38NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
29.5%
52
70.5%
Q3 - 11:40NJNMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)46
27.5%
52
72.5%
Q3 - 11:42NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)46
29.5%
52
70.5%
Q3 - 11:44NJNMISS Krstic 8' Running Hook Shot46
27.5%
52
72.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0NJN46
29.5%
52
70.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0NJNNets Rebound46
29.5%
52
70.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0NJNMISS Jefferson 12' Jump Shot46
27.5%
52
72.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
29.8%
52
70.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0NJNMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
28.5%
52
71.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
29.8%
52
70.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
29.2%
52
70.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
27.8%
52
72.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot46
29.2%
52
70.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
27.8%
52
72.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
29.2%
52
70.8%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
27.8%
52
72.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0NJNMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot46
28.4%
52
71.6%
Q2 - 1:02MIAPayton Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)46
30.0%
52
70.0%
Q2 - 1:06MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
34.2%
50
65.8%
Q2 - 1:08NJNMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot46
34.6%
50
65.4%
Q2 - 1:09NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
35.7%
50
64.3%
Q2 - 1:14NJNHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)46
34.6%
50
65.4%
Q2 - 1:27NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
35.7%
50
64.3%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 246
35.5%
50
64.5%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 246
33.9%
50
66.1%
Q2 - 1:58NJNCarter Driving Layup (17 PTS)46
34.1%
50
65.9%
Q2 - 2:21MIAPayton 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)44
31.0%
50
69.0%
Q2 - 2:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
34.0%
48
66.0%
Q2 - 2:48NJNMISS Carter 6' Hook Shot44
34.7%
48
65.3%
Q2 - 2:58NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
36.5%
48
63.5%
Q2 - 3:00MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
35.7%
48
64.3%
Q2 - 3:20NJNKrstic 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)44
34.2%
48
65.8%
Q2 - 3:36MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)42
31.8%
48
68.2%
Q2 - 4:03NJNCarter Dunk (15 PTS)42
34.7%
46
65.3%
Q2 - 4:05NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
32.1%
46
67.9%
Q2 - 4:07NJNMISS Collins 15' Jump Shot40
30.4%
46
69.6%
Q2 - 4:31MIAKapono Layup (6 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)40
32.1%
46
67.9%
Q2 - 4:46MIAHEAT Rebound40
34.7%
44
65.3%
Q2 - 4:47NJNMISS Kidd 12' Jump Shot40
35.5%
44
64.5%
Q2 - 4:51NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
37.4%
44
62.6%
Q2 - 4:53NJNMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)40
35.5%
44
64.5%
Q2 - 5:03NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
37.7%
44
62.3%
Q2 - 5:05MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
36.8%
44
63.2%
Q2 - 5:18NJNJefferson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)40
34.8%
44
65.2%
Q2 - 5:33MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)40
37.7%
44
62.3%
Q2 - 5:33MIAHEAT Rebound40
34.8%
44
65.2%
Q2 - 5:33MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Bank Shot40
36.8%
44
63.2%
Q2 - 5:59NJNKidd Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)40
34.8%
44
65.2%
Q2 - 6:15MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)38
33.1%
44
66.9%
Q2 - 6:34NJNKidd 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)38
35.1%
42
64.9%
Q2 - 6:50MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)36
33.1%
42
66.9%
Q2 - 6:50MIAHEAT Rebound36
30.2%
42
69.8%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMISS Payton 14' Jump Shot36
32.2%
42
67.8%
Q2 - 6:52MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
30.2%
42
69.8%
Q2 - 6:53MIAMISS Payton 10' Jump Shot36
32.2%
42
67.8%
Q2 - 7:15MIAHEAT Rebound36
31.1%
42
68.9%
Q2 - 7:16NJNMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)36
31.9%
42
68.1%
Q2 - 7:21MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)36
33.6%
42
66.4%
Q2 - 7:24NJNKapono STEAL (1 STL)36
31.1%
42
68.9%
Q2 - 7:40MIAPayton 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)36
33.6%
42
66.4%
Q2 - 7:52NJNKrstic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T4)36
35.8%
40
64.2%
Q2 - 8:16MIAWalker Driving Layup (12 PTS)36
38.5%
40
61.5%
Q2 - 8:32NJNMcInnis 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Planinic 1 AST)36
40.6%
38
59.4%
Q2 - 9:01MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
38.6%
38
61.4%
Q2 - 9:01MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
39.0%
37
61.0%
Q2 - 9:15NJNJackson 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
40.7%
36
59.3%
Q2 - 9:17NJNJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
38.6%
36
61.4%
Q2 - 9:19NJNWalker BLOCK (2 BLK)32
36.8%
36
63.2%
Q2 - 9:29NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
38.6%
36
61.4%
Q2 - 9:31MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
37.8%
36
62.2%
Q2 - 9:38MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
36.0%
36
64.0%
Q2 - 9:41NJNMISS Padgett Tip Shot32
36.7%
36
63.3%
Q2 - 9:42NJNPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
38.6%
36
61.4%
Q2 - 9:44NJNMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot32
36.7%
36
63.3%
Q2 - 10:02MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)32
38.6%
36
61.4%
Q2 - 10:05MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q2 - 10:06NJNMISS McInnis 19' Jump Shot32
41.5%
34
58.5%
Q2 - 10:17NJNJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
43.5%
34
56.5%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Bank Shot32
42.6%
34
57.4%
Q2 - 10:42NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)32
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q2 - 10:42NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 231
40.3%
34
59.7%
Q2 - 10:50NJNMcInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
41.0%
34
59.0%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Walker 11' Jump Shot31
40.2%
34
59.8%
Q2 - 11:08MIAHEAT Rebound31
38.5%
34
61.5%
Q2 - 11:09NJNMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
39.2%
34
60.8%
Q2 - 11:28MIAWalker Driving Layup (10 PTS)31
40.8%
34
59.2%
Q2 - 11:46NJNJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)31
43.2%
32
56.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
38.5%
32
61.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0NJNKrstic 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)28
36.5%
32
63.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0NJNMcInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
33.9%
32
66.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Walker 21' Jump Shot26
33.4%
32
66.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
32.2%
32
67.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0NJNMISS Krstic 18' Jump Shot26
32.7%
32
67.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMourning Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)26
33.9%
32
66.1%
Q1 - 1:11NJNJefferson Driving Finger Roll (11 PTS)26
36.6%
30
63.4%
Q1 - 1:37MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)24
34.0%
30
66.0%
Q1 - 1:56NJNJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)24
36.6%
28
63.4%
Q1 - 2:12MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)24
38.8%
28
61.2%
Q1 - 2:18NJNWade STEAL (1 STL)24
41.2%
26
58.8%
Q1 - 2:34MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)24
43.3%
26
56.7%
Q1 - 2:48NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)24
45.8%
24
54.2%
Q1 - 3:05MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (7 PTS)21
41.3%
24
58.7%
Q1 - 3:36NJNCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)21
43.3%
22
56.7%
Q1 - 3:36NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)20
42.9%
22
57.1%
Q1 - 3:55MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)19
41.3%
22
58.7%
Q1 - 4:18NJNCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)19
43.2%
20
56.8%
Q1 - 4:37MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
39.3%
20
60.7%
Q1 - 5:07NJNCarter 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
43.3%
17
56.7%
Q1 - 5:12NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
41.5%
17
58.5%
Q1 - 5:14MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot14
40.8%
17
59.2%
Q1 - 5:31NJNJefferson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)14
39.2%
17
60.8%
Q1 - 5:48MIAWade Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)12
37.4%
17
62.6%
Q1 - 5:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
39.2%
15
60.8%
Q1 - 6:02NJNMISS Krstic 18' Jump Shot12
40.0%
15
60.0%
Q1 - 6:20MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
41.5%
15
58.5%
Q1 - 6:43NJNJefferson Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)12
43.4%
13
56.6%
Q1 - 6:57MIAMourning Dunk (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)10
41.5%
13
58.5%
Q1 - 7:12NJNCarter 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)10
43.4%
11
56.6%
Q1 - 7:16NJNNets Rebound8
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 7:17NJNWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)8
40.4%
11
59.6%
Q1 - 7:40MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)8
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 7:57NJNJefferson Driving Dunk (2 PTS)8
45.3%
8
54.7%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMourning Tip Shot (3 PTS)6
43.9%
8
56.1%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
45.6%
6
54.4%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup6
47.0%
6
53.0%
Q1 - 8:37NJNCarter 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Krstic 1 AST)6
45.5%
6
54.5%
Q1 - 8:55MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
43.9%
6
56.1%
Q1 - 9:26NJNKrstic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)4
47.1%
3
52.9%
Q1 - 9:42MIAWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
45.7%
3
54.3%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.5%
3
56.5%
Q1 - 10:05NJNMISS Krstic 8' Hook Shot2
44.1%
3
55.9%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
45.5%
3
54.5%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 22
46.2%
2
53.8%
Q1 - 10:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
45.3%
2
54.7%
Q1 - 10:32NJNMISS Carter 13' Jump Shot2
45.9%
2
54.1%
Q1 - 10:39NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
47.4%
2
52.6%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 11:07NJNCarter Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
45.5%
2
54.5%
Q1 - 11:29MIAWalker 9' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 11:43NJNCarter Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
45.5%
0
54.5%
Q1 - 11:47NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.2%
0
52.8%
Q1 - 11:49MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot0
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Collins: Tip to Williams0
45.5%
0
54.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
1.01 50.6%
MIA
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NJN
18
30
60%
MIA
16
22
73%
Midrange
NJN
13
37
35%
MIA
13
29
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NJN
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
MIA
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
NJN
18
25
72%
MIA
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter3273%16.0 / 22
R. Jefferson2056%10.0 / 18
J. Kidd1150%5.5 / 11
N. Krstic840%4.0 / 10
J. McInnis850%4.0 / 8
M. Jackson750%3.5 / 7
Z. Planinic233%1.0 / 3
J. Collins18%0.5 / 6
S. Padgett0-0.0 / 1
J. Vaughn0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2350%11.5 / 23
A. Walker1860%9.0 / 15
G. Payton1359%6.5 / 11
A. Mourning1155%5.5 / 10
J. Williams1161%5.5 / 9
U. Haslem867%4.0 / 6
J. Kapono638%3.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NJN
70
+18
-14
88
MIA
73
+13
-11
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
1.01 50.6%
MIA
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.9
108.0
NJN 106.0
MIA 107.1 +1.2
Pace
90.7
92.2
NJN 93.3 +16.8
MIA 76.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.9
NJN 15.4 +3.4
MIA 18.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
51.7%
NJN 46.7%
MIA 52.1% +5.4%
TO %
14.3%
15.0%
NJN 13.9%
MIA 13.9%
ORB %
24.2%
26.8%
NJN 40.0% +12.7%
MIA 27.3%
FTrt
34.6
36.3
NJN 32.9
MIA 34.3 +1.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.8%
55.7%
NJN 35.3%
MIA 61.8% +26.5%
STL %
7.5%
6.9%
NJN 6.0%
MIA 8.3% +2.3%
BLK %
5.7%
8.5%
NJN 5.9%
MIA 13.4% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.3%
53.9%
NJN 50.6%
MIA 51.7% +1.1%
Rim FG%
54.3%
64.2%
NJN 60.0%
MIA 72.7% +12.7%
Mid FG%
42.0%
38.9%
NJN 35.1%
MIA 44.8% +9.7%
3P %
33.0%
34.5%
NJN 33.3% +7.0%
MIA 26.3%
FT %
75.8%
70.0%
NJN 72.0% +1.2%
MIA 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.9%
39.3%
NJN 39.5% +8.0%
MIA 31.4%
Mid Att. %
44.2%
38.0%
NJN 48.7%
MIA 41.4% +7.3%
3P Att. %
22.9%
22.7%
NJN 11.8%
MIA 27.1% +15.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsNJNMIA
Possessions8484
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points8990
Rebounds4033
Assists1221
Steals57
Blocks39
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (2)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)24 (4)
Field Goals34-7634-70
At-the-Rim FG18-3016-22
Midrange FG13-3713-29
2-Point FG31-6729-51
3-Point FG3-95-19
Free Throws18-2517-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 233 · 25
43.6
20
56%
15
3
0
1
2
5
6
9
8-9
89%
6-13
46%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 29
41.5
32
73%
5
2
1
1
3
2
2
3
2-2
100%
12-18
67%
2-3
67%
G · 6'4" 210 · 33
39.5
11
50%
5
4
2
0
1
1
0
5
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
F · 7'0" 255 · 27
32.2
1
8%
4
0
2
0
1
5
4
0
1-6
17%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 240 · 22
21.6
8
40%
2
1
0
1
3
5
1
1
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 31
28.5
8
50%
4
1
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 253 · 31
17.1
7
50%
3
0
0
0
1
4
1
2
3-3
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
· 6'7" 195 · 23
6.8
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 30
5.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 31
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 205 · 25
F · 6'7" 235 · 33
#30 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 39
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · F-G · 6'7" 215 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
51%
40
12
5
3
14
0
16
24
18-25
72%
31-67
46%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.