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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 7, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Jazz53%9495
27Bobcats47%9391
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
46.6
35.5
31
77%
7
2
0
1
1
4
2
5
7-7
100%
9-14
6-12
64%
48%
2-3
67%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
45.8
38.6
20
51%
8
5
1
2
7
4
4
4
3-8
38%
7-14
5-10
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.7
32.1
9.3
6
61%
13
1
0
0
2
1
3
10
2-2
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.4
29.2
28.0
8
45%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.0
23.8
22.2
6
34%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-7
2-5
14%
38%
1-1
100%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.4
29.2
22.9
8
34%
0
4
1
1
1
3
0
0
2-6
33%
3-5
3-7
60%
42%
0-4
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.4
18.0
20.7
9
67%
5
1
0
1
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
3-4
4-8
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.9
17.5
22.7
4
46%
7
0
0
0
0
1
5
2
2-3
67%
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.7
10.8
8.8
1
18%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-4
25%
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.9
6.8
16.5
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.0
2.9
5.9
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
42%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
2.3
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.6
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.6
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 30.0
37.2
33.6
11
35%
5
1
3
2
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
4-14
4-10
29%
44%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 23.1
35.0
35.5
12
36%
11
2
2
1
0
2
3
8
4-6
67%
4-14
6-12
29%
46%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.1
29.3
22.6
13
74%
6
1
0
0
0
0
4
2
3-4
75%
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
17.3
32.6
6
39%
7
0
0
2
2
1
3
4
2-4
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.0
11.8
27.9
0
0%
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-8
0%
42%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.5
28.8
15.4
11
59%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
41%
0-2
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.4
27.7
14.4
7
42%
3
10
4
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
1-5
1-3
20%
41%
1-2
50%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 21.6
24.4
12.3
13
41%
8
0
2
0
1
2
5
3
3-4
75%
5-14
2-5
36%
46%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
23.5
18.7
7
51%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
1-5
20%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.5
16.7
24.0
5
43%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
3-4
75%
1-4
3-7
25%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 25.2
13.3
12.7
6
34%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
0-3
0%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 24.9
3.3
0
0-1
44%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.0
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
Kevin Burleson
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.