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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 6, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets54%10292
23Lakers46%101112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.4
36.4
30.7
21
56%
6
2
2
1
0
6
2
4
5-6
83%
8-14
6-13
57%
45%
0-2
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.6
35.8
30.7
20
57%
5
6
2
1
0
4
2
3
8-10
80%
6-13
4-9
46%
47%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.9
32.4
28.3
17
59%
5
2
1
1
2
1
1
4
7-10
70%
5-10
6-12
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.6
29.3
31.5
9
46%
7
2
2
1
1
2
3
4
1-2
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.5
26.4
27.7
11
56%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
4-8
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.4
26.4
22.6
10
36%
3
7
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
44%
0-4
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.1
18.6
19.3
2
25%
1
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29.7
18.0
13.0
2
100%
2
0
2
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.3
13.3
19.1
0
0%
1
0
3
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 20.8
2.9
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.5
0.3
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.4
5.6
0
1-1
45%
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.0
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.1
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.2
42.3
38.8
37
56%
8
5
0
1
1
4
3
5
5-5
100%
16-31
7-16
52%
46%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.0
40.6
38.6
20
61%
8
4
1
1
1
2
4
4
7-8
88%
5-8
5-10
63%
47%
1-5
20%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
33.8
29.9
9
41%
6
5
4
1
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-3
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.3
33.5
19.2
20
69%
13
2
1
0
0
2
6
7
8-10
80%
6-10
2-5
60%
48%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 23.7
26.9
22.0
8
84%
3
1
0
1
1
4
0
3
2-4
50%
3-3
3-6
100%
46%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.2
21.4
25.0
6
38%
3
0
0
1
1
4
2
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
41%
0-2
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.7
14.2
11.4
3
75%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
40%
1-1
100%
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 28.3
9.1
15.0
3
50%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.9
7.4
10.0
4
100%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.1
6.8
7.8
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.0
4.2
10.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 26.6
6.4
0
1-2
44%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.6
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.3
Devin Green
G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.