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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 6, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Warriors49%9983
24Knicks51%10081
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.5
42.8
33.6
17
46%
10
3
2
1
0
1
2
8
5-8
63%
3-8
4-9
38%
44%
2-7
29%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.6
36.8
16.8
16
42%
6
9
1
1
0
3
1
5
3-5
60%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
3-11
27%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.1
34.6
33.2
2
13%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-4
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
34.3
39.2
24
60%
5
0
1
1
1
3
1
4
6-11
55%
6-11
7-14
55%
47%
2-4
50%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.7
25.8
20.9
3
54%
11
0
0
0
2
0
1
10
1-4
25%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.7
22.7
20.6
5
87%
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.2
16.4
29.1
6
43%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
2-6
0%
41%
2-2
100%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.7
14.0
13.6
6
77%
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-2
0%
3-3
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.5
10.1
13.4
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Aaron Miles
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.6
2.5
11.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.0
5.3
0
1-1
42%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.3
4.8
0
1-1
45%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.2
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.7
39.9
38.6
15
40%
3
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-6
50%
6-14
5-10
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 25.7
21.4
18.9
7
51%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 25.6
19.3
24.8
4
25%
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
0-4
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 22.9
16.2
24.2
11
51%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
4-9
5-10
44%
52%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 30.0
7.3
6.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 37.0
28.5
28.8
4
30%
5
1
2
1
0
0
2
3
2-4
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
42%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.4
27.6
23.9
11
51%
6
0
1
1
1
3
2
4
1-2
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
46%
0-2
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 22.5
23.4
13.7
12
50%
6
2
0
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
6-12
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 22.5
18.3
9.6
8
84%
10
2
1
0
0
2
4
6
2-4
50%
3-3
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 21.4
17.0
8.2
7
34%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-3
33%
3-6
1-2
50%
40%
0-3
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.6
16.9
28.2
2
20%
1
3
0
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-6
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 31.0
4.3
11.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 29.0
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 20.7
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.