FinalWin Prob.pScore
139%91
84
261%94
103
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
94.48983.6
DAL logo DAL
117.08894.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS84
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0DALHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)84
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASHarris STEAL (1 STL)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0DALHarris 11' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07SASHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29DALNowitzki 17' Fadeaway Jumper (34 PTS)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)84
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:55SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot84
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 2:09DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (32 PTS)84
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 2:28DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)84
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 2:30DALMISS Van Horn 3PT Jump Shot84
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 2:50SASParker Driving Layup (24 PTS)84
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 3:03DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)82
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 3:03DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)82
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 3:18SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)82
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 3:18SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 281
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 3:21DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)81
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 3:35SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)81
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 3:56DALVan Horn Layup (9 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)78
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 4:16SASParker Driving Layup (22 PTS)78
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 4:28DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)76
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 4:28DALHarris Layup (14 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)76
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 4:50SASGinobili Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)76
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 4:56SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 4:58SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot74
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 5:14DALVan Horn Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)74
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 5:14DALVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS)74
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 5:14DALMISS Van Horn Free Throw 1 of 374
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 5:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 5:20SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup74
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 5:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)74
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 5:26DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 5:48SASParker Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)74
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 6:06DALTerry Foul Turnover (P1.T11)72
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 6:27SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)72
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 6:27SASParker Driving Layup (17 PTS)71
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 6:31SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 6:35DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Fadeaway Jumper69
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 6:52SASParker 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)69
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 7:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)67
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 7:08DALMISS Dampier 2' Hook Shot67
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 7:13SASChristie STEAL (4 STL)67
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 7:15SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 7:18DALMISS Nowitzki Layup67
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 7:34SASParker Palming Turnover (P4.T17)67
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 7:36SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 7:39DALMISS Dampier 3' Hook Shot67
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 8:03SASParker 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)67
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 8:16DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 8:16DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 265
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 8:31DALMAVERICKS Rebound65
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 8:33SASMISS Finley 13' Jump Shot65
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 8:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)65
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 8:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)65
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 9:09DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 9:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 9:11SASMISS Ginobili 8' Jump Shot65
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q4 - 9:13SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot65
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q4 - 9:28DALHarris Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Christie 3 AST)65
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 9:33SASChristie STEAL (3 STL)65
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 9:47DALHarris Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)65
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q4 - 10:10SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)65
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q4 - 10:10SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 264
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q4 - 10:24DALHarris Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Christie 2 AST)64
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q4 - 10:29SASChristie STEAL (2 STL)64
3.7%
76
96.3%
Q4 - 10:49DALNowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper (28 PTS)64
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q4 - 11:08DALMAVERICKS Rebound64
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q4 - 11:08SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot64
6.8%
74
93.2%
Q4 - 11:26DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 164
7.6%
74
92.4%
Q4 - 11:26DALHarris Driving Layup (5 PTS)64
7.9%
74
92.1%
Q4 - 11:28DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
9.5%
72
90.5%
Q4 - 11:31SASMISS Van Exel 9' Running Jump Shot64
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q4 - 11:44DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)64
11.6%
72
88.4%
Q4 - 11:44DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 264
12.1%
71
87.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL64
11.5%
71
88.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
11.5%
71
88.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Finley 12' Jump Shot64
12.2%
71
87.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)64
14.8%
71
85.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASHorry Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)64
12.4%
71
87.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)64
14.8%
71
85.2%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASMISS Horry Running Layup64
13.1%
71
86.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0DALNowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)64
14.8%
71
85.2%
Q3 - 1:05SASHorry Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)64
18.3%
69
81.7%
Q3 - 1:28DALHarris Driving Layup (2 PTS)62
15.6%
69
84.4%
Q3 - 1:42DALMAVERICKS Rebound62
18.3%
67
81.7%
Q3 - 1:45SASHarris BLOCK (1 BLK)62
19.2%
67
80.8%
Q3 - 2:04DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Van Horn 1 AST)62
21.9%
67
78.1%
Q3 - 2:07DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)62
28.6%
64
71.4%
Q3 - 2:09DALMISS Van Horn Layup62
31.5%
64
68.5%
Q3 - 2:10DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
28.6%
64
71.4%
Q3 - 2:12DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
31.5%
64
68.5%
Q3 - 2:35SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T13)62
28.6%
64
71.4%
Q3 - 2:54DALVan Horn Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)62
32.9%
64
67.1%
Q3 - 3:16SASBarry 7' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)62
37.0%
62
63.0%
Q3 - 3:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
33.1%
62
66.9%
Q3 - 3:30DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot60
31.9%
62
68.1%
Q3 - 3:44SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)60
29.0%
62
71.0%
Q3 - 3:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)57
22.4%
62
77.6%
Q3 - 4:00DALMISS Daniels 16' Jump Shot57
21.4%
62
78.6%
Q3 - 4:19SASDaniels STEAL (1 STL)57
19.5%
62
80.5%
Q3 - 4:30SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
22.8%
62
77.2%
Q3 - 4:32DALMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot57
21.7%
62
78.3%
Q3 - 4:46SASFinley Layup (2 PTS) (Horry 3 AST)57
19.5%
62
80.5%
Q3 - 4:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
17.3%
62
82.7%
Q3 - 4:52SASMISS Horry 9' Hook Shot55
15.4%
62
84.6%
Q3 - 5:14DALVan Horn Foul Turnover (P1.T9)55
17.8%
62
82.2%
Q3 - 5:30SASParker Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)55
15.3%
62
84.7%
Q3 - 5:38SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
13.4%
62
86.6%
Q3 - 5:40DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot53
12.7%
62
87.3%
Q3 - 5:56DALHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)53
11.4%
62
88.6%
Q3 - 5:56DALMISS Howard Layup53
12.7%
62
87.3%
Q3 - 6:20SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
12.0%
62
88.0%
Q3 - 6:20SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)52
11.7%
62
88.3%
Q3 - 6:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
10.5%
62
89.5%
Q3 - 6:33DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot51
10.0%
62
90.0%
Q3 - 6:47SASChristie STEAL (1 STL)51
9.0%
62
91.0%
Q3 - 7:13DALChristie 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 8 AST)51
10.9%
62
89.1%
Q3 - 7:22DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)51
12.3%
60
87.7%
Q3 - 7:25SASDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)51
12.9%
60
87.1%
Q3 - 7:46DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)51
14.3%
60
85.7%
Q3 - 7:49DALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)51
18.2%
57
81.8%
Q3 - 7:50DALMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot51
20.1%
57
79.9%
Q3 - 8:05SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
18.6%
57
81.4%
Q3 - 8:05SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)50
18.2%
57
81.8%
Q3 - 8:10SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
16.7%
57
83.3%
Q3 - 8:12SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
15.1%
57
84.9%
Q3 - 8:26SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
16.7%
57
83.3%
Q3 - 8:28SASNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)49
15.1%
57
84.9%
Q3 - 8:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
16.7%
57
83.3%
Q3 - 8:36DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot49
16.0%
57
84.0%
Q3 - 8:45SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)49
14.4%
57
85.6%
Q3 - 9:04DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)49
16.8%
57
83.2%
Q3 - 9:18DALMAVERICKS Rebound49
18.9%
55
81.1%
Q3 - 9:20SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)49
19.6%
55
80.4%
Q3 - 9:37DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
21.3%
55
78.7%
Q3 - 9:37DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 249
22.2%
54
77.8%
Q3 - 9:51SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (17 PTS)49
21.3%
54
78.7%
Q3 - 10:06DALHoward 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Terry 7 AST)47
19.4%
54
80.6%
Q3 - 10:37SASNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)47
23.9%
51
76.1%
Q3 - 10:51DALDampier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)45
21.7%
51
78.3%
Q3 - 10:57SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
19.1%
51
80.9%
Q3 - 10:57SASNesterovic Tip Shot (4 PTS)45
19.1%
51
80.9%
Q3 - 10:59SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
17.2%
51
82.8%
Q3 - 10:59SASMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot43
15.7%
51
84.3%
Q3 - 11:00SASMISS Duncan Layup43
15.7%
51
84.3%
Q3 - 11:23DALHoward 8' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)43
17.5%
51
82.5%
Q3 - 11:37DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)43
19.5%
49
80.5%
Q3 - 11:39SASMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot43
20.2%
49
79.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL43
21.9%
49
78.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASHoward STEAL (4 STL)43
20.5%
49
79.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
22.0%
49
78.0%
Q2 - 0:09.0DALMISS Terry Layup43
21.5%
49
78.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)43
20.4%
49
79.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
20.9%
49
79.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0DALTerry Driving Layup (4 PTS)43
22.0%
49
78.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0SASTerry STEAL (2 STL)43
25.1%
47
74.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
26.9%
47
73.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
25.6%
47
74.4%
Q2 - 1:00DALDampier Layup (6 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)43
26.9%
47
73.1%
Q2 - 1:05DALChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
30.9%
45
69.1%
Q2 - 1:08SASMISS Horry 13' Jump Shot43
31.3%
45
68.7%
Q2 - 1:32DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)43
32.3%
45
67.7%
Q2 - 1:32DALDampier Tip Shot (4 PTS)43
32.3%
45
67.7%
Q2 - 1:34DALMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot43
37.7%
43
62.3%
Q2 - 1:51SASDuncan Layup (15 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)43
36.6%
43
63.4%
Q2 - 2:13DALHoward 14' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)41
33.0%
43
67.0%
Q2 - 2:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
36.0%
41
64.0%
Q2 - 2:32SASMISS Udrih 21' Jump Shot41
36.8%
41
63.2%
Q2 - 2:58DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)41
38.6%
41
61.4%
Q2 - 3:08SASTerry STEAL (1 STL)41
41.2%
39
58.8%
Q2 - 3:13SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
44.5%
39
55.5%
Q2 - 3:15DALMISS Dampier Slam Dunk41
43.5%
39
56.5%
Q2 - 3:30SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)41
41.2%
39
58.8%
Q2 - 3:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
38.4%
39
61.6%
Q2 - 3:30SASDuncan Tip Shot (12 PTS)40
38.4%
39
61.6%
Q2 - 3:32SASMISS Parker Layup38
33.8%
39
66.2%
Q2 - 3:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
35.9%
39
64.1%
Q2 - 3:42DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 238
35.5%
39
64.5%
Q2 - 3:42DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 238
33.8%
39
66.2%
Q2 - 3:47DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
32.9%
39
67.1%
Q2 - 3:51SASMISS Ginobili 10' Running Hook Shot38
33.8%
39
66.2%
Q2 - 4:07DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)38
35.5%
39
64.5%
Q2 - 4:07DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)38
35.8%
38
64.2%
Q2 - 4:15SASHoward STEAL (3 STL)38
38.2%
37
61.8%
Q2 - 4:28DALNowitzki 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)38
41.0%
37
59.0%
Q2 - 4:42SASHoward STEAL (2 STL)38
43.8%
35
56.2%
Q2 - 4:54DALHoward Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)38
46.7%
35
53.3%
Q2 - 4:57SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)38
43.8%
35
56.2%
Q2 - 5:10SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
46.5%
35
53.5%
Q2 - 5:12SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
44.4%
35
55.6%
Q2 - 5:27SASSpurs Rebound38
46.5%
35
53.5%
Q2 - 5:27DALMISS Nowitzki Layup38
45.6%
35
54.4%
Q2 - 5:41DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)38
43.5%
35
56.5%
Q2 - 5:43SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
44.4%
35
55.6%
Q2 - 5:56DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)38
46.5%
35
53.5%
Q2 - 6:07DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
43.1%
35
56.9%
Q2 - 6:09SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot38
44.1%
35
55.9%
Q2 - 6:16SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
46.3%
35
53.7%
Q2 - 6:19DALMISS Howard Layup38
45.3%
35
54.7%
Q2 - 6:40SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)38
43.1%
35
56.9%
Q2 - 6:40SASParker Driving Layup (8 PTS)37
40.4%
35
59.6%
Q2 - 7:10DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)35
38.1%
35
61.9%
Q2 - 7:26SASParker 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
43.0%
32
57.0%
Q2 - 7:46SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
40.6%
32
59.4%
Q2 - 7:49DALMISS Terry 12' Running Jump Shot33
39.8%
32
60.2%
Q2 - 8:10DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
37.6%
32
62.4%
Q2 - 8:12SASMISS Bowen 14' Jump Shot33
38.5%
32
61.5%
Q2 - 8:33DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)33
40.4%
32
59.6%
Q2 - 8:33DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
40.7%
31
59.3%
Q2 - 8:43SASDuncan Layup (10 PTS)33
42.7%
30
57.3%
Q2 - 8:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
40.5%
30
59.5%
Q2 - 8:48SASMISS Ginobili Layup31
38.5%
30
61.5%
Q2 - 8:51SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
40.5%
30
59.5%
Q2 - 8:52SASMISS Ginobili Layup31
38.5%
30
61.5%
Q2 - 9:09DALVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
40.1%
30
59.9%
Q2 - 9:09DALVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)31
40.5%
29
59.5%
Q2 - 9:16DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
42.3%
28
57.7%
Q2 - 9:18SASMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
43.1%
28
56.9%
Q2 - 9:44DALJump Ball Diop vs. Ginobili: Tip to Van Exel31
45.1%
28
54.9%
Q2 - 9:56SASVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)31
42.3%
28
57.7%
Q2 - 10:07DALDaniels Driving Layup (4 PTS)28
37.7%
28
62.3%
Q2 - 10:11DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
39.8%
26
60.2%
Q2 - 10:14DALMISS Diop Layup28
41.7%
26
58.3%
Q2 - 10:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
39.8%
26
60.2%
Q2 - 10:21SASMISS Mohammed 13' Turnaround Jump Shot28
40.6%
26
59.4%
Q2 - 10:44DALTerry 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
42.5%
26
57.5%
Q2 - 10:56SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)28
44.6%
24
55.4%
Q2 - 10:56SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)27
44.2%
24
55.8%
Q2 - 11:17DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q2 - 11:17DALDiop Tip Shot (2 PTS)26
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q2 - 11:19DALMISS Daniels 9' Jump Shot26
45.9%
22
54.1%
Q2 - 11:41SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)26
44.3%
22
55.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS24
41.9%
22
58.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
41.9%
22
58.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Howard 10' Running Jump Shot24
41.2%
22
58.8%
Q1 - 0:11.0SASNesterovic Foul Turnover (P1.T3)24
39.5%
22
60.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
41.3%
22
58.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0DALMISS Diop 8' Turnaround Jump Shot24
40.7%
22
59.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)24
39.5%
22
60.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASMISS Barry 20' Jump Shot24
40.1%
22
59.9%
Q1 - 1:07DALHoward 7' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)24
41.3%
22
58.7%
Q1 - 1:26SASVan Exel Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)24
44.1%
20
55.9%
Q1 - 1:26SASVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)23
43.6%
20
56.4%
Q1 - 1:26SASVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)22
43.0%
20
57.0%
Q1 - 1:31SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
39.0%
20
61.0%
Q1 - 1:33DALMISS Van Horn 9' Jump Shot21
38.5%
20
61.5%
Q1 - 1:53SASVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q1 - 2:00SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
32.5%
20
67.5%
Q1 - 2:02DALMISS Diop 16' Jump Shot18
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q1 - 2:15DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)18
30.9%
20
69.1%
Q1 - 2:17SASMISS Horry 17' Jump Shot18
31.5%
20
68.5%
Q1 - 2:35DALHoward Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)18
32.8%
20
67.2%
Q1 - 2:48SASVan Exel 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)18
30.9%
20
69.1%
Q1 - 3:01DALDiop Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
29.1%
20
70.9%
Q1 - 3:08DALVan Horn Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)16
27.0%
20
73.0%
Q1 - 3:25SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
28.8%
19
71.2%
Q1 - 3:25SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
28.3%
19
71.7%
Q1 - 3:41DALDampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)14
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 3:51SASParker 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)14
25.3%
19
74.7%
Q1 - 4:07DALHoward Layup (8 PTS)12
23.9%
19
76.1%
Q1 - 4:08DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)12
25.2%
17
74.8%
Q1 - 4:10DALMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot12
26.7%
17
73.3%
Q1 - 4:26SASDuncan Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)12
25.2%
17
74.8%
Q1 - 4:40DALDaniels Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)10
23.9%
17
76.1%
Q1 - 4:43DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
25.2%
15
74.8%
Q1 - 4:47SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
25.8%
15
74.2%
Q1 - 4:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
27.3%
15
72.7%
Q1 - 4:59DALMISS Dampier 8' Jump Shot10
26.7%
15
73.3%
Q1 - 5:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
25.5%
15
74.5%
Q1 - 5:13SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot10
26.1%
15
73.9%
Q1 - 5:26DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
27.3%
15
72.7%
Q1 - 5:26DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
27.7%
14
72.3%
Q1 - 5:41SASHorry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)10
28.8%
13
71.2%
Q1 - 5:46SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
25.7%
13
74.3%
Q1 - 5:50SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot7
24.4%
13
75.6%
Q1 - 6:12DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)7
25.8%
13
74.2%
Q1 - 6:12DALHoward Tip Shot (4 PTS)7
25.8%
13
74.2%
Q1 - 6:14DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)7
27.3%
11
72.7%
Q1 - 6:14DALMISS Dampier Layup7
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 6:16DALMISS Christie 18' Jump Shot7
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 6:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
27.3%
11
72.7%
Q1 - 6:21DALMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot7
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 6:32DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
27.3%
11
72.7%
Q1 - 6:34DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot7
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 6:58SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
27.3%
11
72.7%
Q1 - 6:58SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 26
27.0%
11
73.0%
Q1 - 7:17DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)6
27.7%
11
72.3%
Q1 - 7:25DALChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
29.1%
9
70.9%
Q1 - 7:27SASMISS Nesterovic 20' Jump Shot6
29.6%
9
70.4%
Q1 - 7:45DALDampier Layup (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)6
30.9%
9
69.1%
Q1 - 8:16SASNesterovic 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)6
32.4%
7
67.6%
Q1 - 8:23SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
30.9%
7
69.1%
Q1 - 8:26DALMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot4
30.4%
7
69.6%
Q1 - 8:32SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)4
29.2%
7
70.8%
Q1 - 8:37SASSpurs Rebound4
30.9%
7
69.1%
Q1 - 8:43SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
29.7%
7
70.3%
Q1 - 9:07DALChristie Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
30.9%
7
69.1%
Q1 - 9:12DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
28.9%
7
71.1%
Q1 - 9:14SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Bank Shot4
29.5%
7
70.5%
Q1 - 9:19SASSpurs Rebound4
30.9%
7
69.1%
Q1 - 9:20SASDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)4
29.5%
7
70.5%
Q1 - 9:30DALChristie 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)4
30.9%
7
69.1%
Q1 - 9:53SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
32.1%
5
67.9%
Q1 - 10:06SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.7%
5
69.3%
Q1 - 10:09DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
29.0%
5
71.0%
Q1 - 10:09DALMISS Dampier Layup2
30.2%
5
69.8%
Q1 - 10:13DALMISS Dampier 17' Jump Shot2
30.2%
5
69.8%
Q1 - 10:35SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
28.9%
5
71.1%
Q1 - 10:53DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)2
30.7%
5
69.3%
Q1 - 11:03SASParker Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 11:05SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 11:08DALMISS Howard Layup0
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 11:16DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 11:18SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot0
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 11:26SASSpurs Rebound0
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 11:27SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot0
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 11:47DALHoward 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Christie 1 AST)0
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Nowitzki0
33.9%
0
66.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.93 46.7%
DAL
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
17
26
65%
DAL
17
30
57%
Midrange
SAS
9
36
25%
DAL
16
38
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
DAL
6
9.0
9
67%
100%
Free Throws
SAS
17
20
85%
DAL
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2463%12.0 / 19
T. Duncan1864%9.0 / 14
M. Ginobili1341%6.5 / 16
N. Van Exel1179%5.5 / 7
R. Nesterovic650%3.0 / 6
B. Barry583%2.5 / 3
R. Horry531%2.5 / 8
M. Finley217%1.0 / 6
B. Bowen0-0.0 / 4
N. Mohammed0-0.0 / 1
B. Udrih0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3474%17.0 / 23
D. Harris2285%11.0 / 13
J. Howard1750%8.5 / 17
K. Van Horn975%4.5 / 6
E. Dampier732%3.5 / 11
J. Terry425%2.0 / 8
D. Christie467%2.0 / 3
M. Daniels450%2.0 / 4
D. Diop225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
71
+17
-18
88
DAL
76
+14
-12
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.93 46.7%
DAL
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.1
111.3
SAS 94.4 +22.7
DAL 117.0
Pace
88.8
88.2
SAS 83.6
DAL 94.1 +10.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
16.9
SAS 17.2
DAL 15.3 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.3%
49.5%
SAS 44.1%
DAL 54.5% +10.4%
TO %
14.8%
14.4%
SAS 18.3%
DAL 11.9% +6.4%
ORB %
26.1%
31.9%
SAS 36.8% +0.9%
DAL 35.9%
FTrt
29.8
36.4
SAS 26.3
DAL 33.8 +7.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
50.0%
SAS 45.2%
DAL 51.3% +6.1%
STL %
7.4%
8.1%
SAS 3.4%
DAL 13.6% +10.2%
BLK %
8.4%
9.4%
SAS 10.3% +0.6%
DAL 9.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
53.3%
SAS 46.7%
DAL 56.0% +9.3%
Rim FG%
61.7%
55.4%
SAS 65.4% +8.7%
DAL 56.7%
Mid FG%
39.0%
43.4%
SAS 25.0%
DAL 42.1% +17.1%
3P %
38.5%
37.4%
SAS 35.7%
DAL 66.7% +31.0%
FT %
70.2%
78.3%
SAS 85.0% +11.9%
DAL 73.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
32.5%
SAS 34.2%
DAL 39.0% +4.8%
Mid Att. %
41.8%
50.0%
SAS 47.4% +2.0%
DAL 49.4%
3P Att. %
21.5%
17.5%
SAS 18.4% +6.7%
DAL 11.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDAL
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points84103
Rebounds3938
Assists1420
Steals312
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)14 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)24 (4)
Field Goals31-7639-77
At-the-Rim FG17-2617-30
Midrange FG9-3616-38
2-Point FG26-6233-68
3-Point FG5-146-9
Free Throws17-2019-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 30
38.4
18
64%
12
5
0
6
3
3
3
9
4-5
80%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
30.4
24
63%
6
3
0
0
4
0
1
5
2-2
100%
11-16
69%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 28
28.3
13
41%
5
1
2
0
2
5
3
2
8-10
80%
1-9
11%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 200 · 34
25.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 29
16.5
6
50%
5
0
1
0
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 34
28.2
5
83%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33
27.1
2
17%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35
19.9
5
31%
5
3
0
1
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
13.3
11
79%
1
0
0
0
2
4
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 250 · 28
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 23
4.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 31
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#40 · F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
47%
39
14
3
7
18
0
14
25
17-20
85%
26-62
42%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.