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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 5, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs39%9184
2Mavericks61%94103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.5
38.4
31.3
18
63%
12
5
0
1
6
3
3
9
4-5
80%
7-12
7-15
58%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
30.4
31.0
24
67%
6
3
0
1
0
4
1
5
2-2
100%
11-16
6-12
69%
48%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.3
28.3
25.5
13
42%
5
1
2
1
0
2
3
2
8-10
80%
1-9
3-6
11%
48%
1-2
50%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.4
25.3
26.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.4
16.5
17.3
6
50%
5
0
1
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.8
28.2
19.6
5
83%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.7
27.1
22.9
2
17%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
0-2
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.2
19.9
19.1
5
31%
5
3
0
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
42%
1-3
33%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.9
13.3
18.5
11
75%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
39%
2-4
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.2
5.3
12.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.3
4.3
6.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.6
3.0
15.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.4
42.4
36.9
34
75%
8
2
0
1
1
0
0
8
6-6
100%
8-15
6-13
53%
46%
4-5
80%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.5
33.8
33.3
17
51%
12
3
4
1
2
4
5
7
2-4
50%
6-14
5-10
43%
48%
1-1
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.1
31.1
30.3
4
25%
2
8
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
0-1
0%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 35.5
30.9
23.7
4
67%
2
3
4
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.3
28.9
17.3
7
32%
6
1
0
0
2
2
4
2
1-2
50%
3-10
2-3
30%
52%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.8
30.3
23.3
4
50%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.0
19.7
27.0
9
59%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
5-6
83%
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.7
16.9
14.6
22
95%
0
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
5-8
63%
7-7
1-3
100%
46%
1-1
100%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.8
6.0
13.4
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
36%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.4
7.9
0
0-1
43%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.8
3.2
0
0-1
44%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.8
2.2
0
0-1
45%
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 20.8
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.7
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.