FinalWin Prob.pScore
1249%99
100
1751%100
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
108.79286.8
MIL logo MIL
115.49197.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL100
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Mourning 28' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)100
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)100
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAWilliams 29' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)100
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)97
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)97
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)97
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)94
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 294
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 0:21.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 294
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 294
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)94
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)94
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 0:33.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)94
2.1%
98
97.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 294
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)94
3.9%
98
96.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)93
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 0:37.0MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)93
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILMISS Magloire Layup93
2.9%
98
97.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
3.0%
98
97.0%
Q4 - 1:02MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
3.8%
98
96.2%
Q4 - 1:12MILSimmons Running Dunk (23 PTS)93
6.9%
98
93.1%
Q4 - 1:31MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)93
13.4%
96
86.6%
Q4 - 1:31MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 292
11.5%
96
88.5%
Q4 - 1:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)92
14.4%
96
85.6%
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS Mourning Layup92
10.1%
96
89.9%
Q4 - 1:33MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)92
14.6%
96
85.4%
Q4 - 1:34MIAMISS Wade Layup92
10.2%
96
89.8%
Q4 - 1:48MILSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)92
15.7%
96
84.3%
Q4 - 1:48MILSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)92
16.5%
95
83.5%
Q4 - 2:00MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
22.3%
94
77.7%
Q4 - 2:03MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot92
26.0%
94
74.0%
Q4 - 2:30MILSimmons 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)92
36.4%
94
63.6%
Q4 - 2:42MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)92
42.0%
92
58.0%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
47.3%
92
52.7%
Q4 - 3:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
57.4%
92
42.6%
Q4 - 3:07MILMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 292
55.4%
92
44.6%
Q4 - 3:07MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)92
48.2%
92
51.8%
Q4 - 3:25MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
52.9%
91
47.1%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
57.7%
91
42.3%
Q4 - 3:49MILMagloire 2' Hook Shot (14 PTS)92
63.5%
91
36.5%
Q4 - 3:50MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)92
71.3%
89
28.7%
Q4 - 3:52MILMISS Ford Layup92
76.5%
89
23.5%
Q4 - 4:09MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)92
71.4%
89
28.6%
Q4 - 4:34MILFord Layup (11 PTS)89
54.6%
89
45.4%
Q4 - 4:38MIAFord STEAL (3 STL)89
63.3%
87
36.7%
Q4 - 4:58MILMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)89
72.1%
87
27.9%
Q4 - 4:58MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)89
74.0%
86
26.0%
Q4 - 5:13MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)89
75.8%
85
24.2%
Q4 - 5:36MILMagloire Layup (10 PTS)87
69.6%
85
30.4%
Q4 - 5:38MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)87
76.0%
83
24.0%
Q4 - 5:40MILMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot87
80.1%
83
19.9%
Q4 - 5:57MIAFord STEAL (2 STL)87
76.0%
83
24.0%
Q4 - 6:20MILSimmons Layup (17 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)87
79.7%
83
20.3%
Q4 - 6:29MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
83.6%
81
16.4%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Walker Layup87
85.0%
81
15.0%
Q4 - 6:52MILSimmons Layup (15 PTS)87
87.9%
81
12.1%
Q4 - 6:54MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
90.4%
79
9.6%
Q4 - 6:55MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot87
92.3%
79
7.7%
Q4 - 7:18MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)87
88.6%
79
11.4%
Q4 - 7:36MILSimmons Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)84
82.3%
79
17.7%
Q4 - 7:48MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)84
77.3%
79
22.7%
Q4 - 7:52MILMISS Kukoc 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
80.9%
79
19.1%
Q4 - 7:59MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
77.3%
79
22.7%
Q4 - 8:01MIAMISS Walker Layup84
77.0%
79
23.0%
Q4 - 8:16MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)84
80.1%
79
19.9%
Q4 - 8:16MILMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 284
80.7%
78
19.3%
Q4 - 8:21MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)84
80.1%
78
19.9%
Q4 - 8:23MILMISS Williams Layup84
82.8%
78
17.2%
Q4 - 8:41MIAWilliams Foul Turnover (P5.T15)84
80.1%
78
19.9%
Q4 - 8:59MILKukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 11 AST)84
84.0%
78
16.0%
Q4 - 9:08MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
88.3%
75
11.7%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS Williams Layup84
89.1%
75
10.9%
Q4 - 9:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)84
90.7%
75
9.3%
Q4 - 9:18MILMISS Ford Layup84
90.1%
75
9.9%
Q4 - 9:28MIAKapono Layup (11 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)84
88.4%
75
11.6%
Q4 - 9:51MILWilliams 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ford 10 AST)82
85.9%
75
14.1%
Q4 - 10:05MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
87.0%
73
13.0%
Q4 - 10:05MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)81
86.6%
73
13.4%
Q4 - 10:11MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
84.5%
73
15.5%
Q4 - 10:13MILMISS Ford Layup80
83.5%
73
16.5%
Q4 - 10:29MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)80
81.0%
73
19.0%
Q4 - 10:47MILWilliams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)77
73.5%
73
26.5%
Q4 - 10:51MIABogut STEAL (2 STL)77
68.4%
73
31.6%
Q4 - 10:58MILRedd Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)77
73.5%
73
26.5%
Q4 - 11:00MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
68.4%
73
31.6%
Q4 - 11:02MILMISS Kukoc Layup77
70.7%
73
29.3%
Q4 - 11:16MIAWalker 3' Hook Shot (12 PTS)77
67.4%
73
32.6%
Q4 - 11:32MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
62.7%
73
37.3%
Q4 - 11:34MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot75
61.1%
73
38.9%
Q4 - 11:49MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)75
57.3%
73
42.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
62.7%
73
37.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound75
62.7%
73
37.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Williams 36' 3PT Jump Shot75
59.0%
73
41.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0MILRedd Layup (20 PTS)75
62.1%
73
37.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0MILBUCKS Rebound75
66.8%
71
33.2%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
68.2%
71
31.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)75
71.2%
71
28.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAKapono 3' Hook Shot (7 PTS)75
78.9%
68
21.1%
Q3 - 1:00MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)73
75.3%
68
24.7%
Q3 - 1:26MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)73
70.2%
68
29.8%
Q3 - 1:40MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)71
66.1%
68
33.9%
Q3 - 1:40MILBUCKS Rebound71
61.5%
68
38.5%
Q3 - 1:40MILMISS Ford 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
64.8%
68
35.2%
Q3 - 1:51MILBUCKS Rebound71
61.5%
68
38.5%
Q3 - 1:53MILMISS Redd Layup71
64.8%
68
35.2%
Q3 - 2:05MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
60.3%
68
39.7%
Q3 - 2:07MILMISS Simmons Layup71
63.6%
68
36.4%
Q3 - 2:22MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
60.3%
68
39.7%
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot71
61.8%
68
38.2%
Q3 - 2:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
65.1%
68
34.9%
Q3 - 2:42MILMISS Simmons 3PT Jump Shot71
63.7%
68
36.3%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T12)71
60.4%
68
39.6%
Q3 - 3:21MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
64.6%
68
35.4%
Q3 - 3:23MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 171
64.1%
68
35.9%
Q3 - 3:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
68.4%
66
31.6%
Q3 - 3:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)70
67.6%
66
32.4%
Q3 - 3:57MILBogut Dunk (6 PTS) (Simmons 3 AST)69
64.7%
66
35.3%
Q3 - 4:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)69
67.4%
64
32.6%
Q3 - 4:13MIAHaslem Tip Shot (11 PTS)69
67.4%
64
32.6%
Q3 - 4:15MIAMISS Wade Layup67
60.9%
64
39.1%
Q3 - 4:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)67
64.1%
64
35.9%
Q3 - 4:22MILMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot67
62.7%
64
37.3%
Q3 - 4:45MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
59.5%
64
40.5%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot67
60.9%
64
39.1%
Q3 - 5:01MILMagloire Foul Turnover (P3.T8)67
63.5%
64
36.5%
Q3 - 5:10MIAMagloire STEAL (1 STL)67
59.3%
64
40.7%
Q3 - 5:37MILBogut Dunk (4 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)67
63.5%
64
36.5%
Q3 - 5:44MIABogut STEAL (1 STL)67
67.0%
62
33.0%
Q3 - 6:00MILSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)67
70.9%
62
29.1%
Q3 - 6:00MILSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)67
71.3%
61
28.7%
Q3 - 6:35MIAWalker 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)67
73.1%
60
26.9%
Q3 - 6:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)64
66.6%
60
33.4%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMISS Haslem Dunk64
63.9%
60
36.1%
Q3 - 6:53MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
66.6%
60
33.4%
Q3 - 6:55MILMISS Redd Layup64
65.4%
60
34.6%
Q3 - 6:59MIAFord STEAL (1 STL)64
62.7%
60
37.3%
Q3 - 7:17MILSimmons 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ford 9 AST)64
65.8%
60
34.2%
Q3 - 7:34MIAWade Dunk (16 PTS)64
68.7%
58
31.3%
Q3 - 7:39MILRedd Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)62
65.8%
58
34.2%
Q3 - 7:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)62
61.7%
58
38.3%
Q3 - 7:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)61
61.0%
58
39.0%
Q3 - 8:03MILSimmons Layup (9 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)60
58.5%
58
41.5%
Q3 - 8:07MIASimmons STEAL (2 STL)60
61.6%
56
38.4%
Q3 - 8:18MIAHeat Rebound60
65.6%
56
34.4%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMagloire BLOCK (2 BLK)60
62.8%
56
37.2%
Q3 - 8:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
65.6%
56
34.4%
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
62.8%
56
37.2%
Q3 - 8:50MILFord 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)60
65.6%
56
34.4%
Q3 - 9:09MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
67.9%
54
32.1%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMISS Mourning 13' Jump Shot60
68.9%
54
31.1%
Q3 - 9:29MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
71.1%
54
28.9%
Q3 - 9:29MILMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 260
71.6%
53
28.4%
Q3 - 9:43MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)60
71.1%
53
28.9%
Q3 - 10:05MILRedd Layup (13 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)57
64.5%
53
35.5%
Q3 - 10:09MIARedd STEAL (2 STL)57
67.3%
51
32.7%
Q3 - 10:19MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
70.7%
51
29.3%
Q3 - 10:21MILMISS Magloire 11' Jump Shot57
69.7%
51
30.3%
Q3 - 10:39MIAMourning Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)57
67.3%
51
32.7%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
64.5%
51
35.5%
Q3 - 10:47MILMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot55
63.4%
51
36.6%
Q3 - 10:59MIAWilliams Layup (6 PTS)55
60.8%
51
39.2%
Q3 - 11:04MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)53
57.5%
51
42.5%
Q3 - 11:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
54.0%
51
46.0%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 252
53.3%
51
46.7%
Q3 - 11:42MILSimmons 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)52
54.2%
51
45.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
57.4%
49
42.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound52
60.9%
49
39.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Ford 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
59.3%
49
40.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
57.7%
49
42.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
58.4%
49
41.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
60.0%
49
40.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0MILMISS Simmons 16' Jump Shot52
59.3%
49
40.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
57.7%
49
42.3%
Q2 - 1:16MILSimmons 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
53.1%
49
46.9%
Q2 - 1:29MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
57.8%
47
42.2%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
58.3%
47
41.7%
Q2 - 1:47MILRedd Driving Layup (11 PTS)50
59.4%
47
40.6%
Q2 - 2:09MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)50
62.8%
45
37.2%
Q2 - 2:30MILFord Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)48
59.7%
45
40.3%
Q2 - 2:39MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
56.9%
45
43.1%
Q2 - 2:42MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot48
57.8%
45
42.2%
Q2 - 2:53MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
59.6%
45
40.4%
Q2 - 2:53MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
60.1%
44
39.9%
Q2 - 3:03MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)48
62.0%
43
38.0%
Q2 - 3:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
56.6%
43
43.4%
Q2 - 3:12MILMISS Bogut Layup45
55.6%
43
44.4%
Q2 - 3:20MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
53.3%
43
46.7%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot45
54.3%
43
45.7%
Q2 - 3:44MILRedd Layup (7 PTS)45
56.6%
43
43.4%
Q2 - 4:08MIAPayton 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)45
58.9%
41
41.1%
Q2 - 4:24MILBogut Layup (2 PTS)42
53.2%
41
46.8%
Q2 - 4:26MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
56.1%
39
43.9%
Q2 - 4:28MILMISS Bogut Layup42
58.1%
39
41.9%
Q2 - 4:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)42
56.1%
39
43.9%
Q2 - 4:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
55.5%
39
44.5%
Q2 - 4:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
53.3%
39
46.7%
Q2 - 4:51MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
52.4%
39
47.6%
Q2 - 5:01MIAMourning 3' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)40
50.2%
39
49.8%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
47.7%
39
52.3%
Q2 - 5:18MILMISS Simmons Layup38
46.7%
39
53.3%
Q2 - 5:38MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)38
44.6%
39
55.4%
Q2 - 6:03MILMagloire 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS)36
42.5%
39
57.5%
Q2 - 6:18MIAPayton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)36
44.7%
37
55.3%
Q2 - 6:35MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)34
42.5%
37
57.5%
Q2 - 6:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
39.3%
37
60.7%
Q2 - 6:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 233
38.8%
37
61.2%
Q2 - 7:08MILGadzuric Dunk (2 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)33
40.2%
37
59.8%
Q2 - 7:14MIASimmons STEAL (1 STL)33
42.5%
35
57.5%
Q2 - 7:33MILKukoc 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)33
45.3%
35
54.7%
Q2 - 7:49MIAKapono Layup (5 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)33
50.4%
32
49.6%
Q2 - 8:11MILKukoc 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)31
47.8%
32
52.2%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMourning 4' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)31
50.1%
30
49.9%
Q2 - 8:44MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
47.9%
30
52.1%
Q2 - 8:46MILMISS Gadzuric Dunk29
47.0%
30
53.0%
Q2 - 9:08MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T5)29
45.0%
30
55.0%
Q2 - 9:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
47.8%
30
52.2%
Q2 - 9:17MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
46.9%
30
53.1%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
45.0%
30
55.0%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
44.1%
30
55.9%
Q2 - 9:58MILWilliams Running Layup (10 PTS)27
42.8%
30
57.2%
Q2 - 10:20MIAMourning Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)27
44.9%
28
55.1%
Q2 - 10:37MILFord Layup (6 PTS)25
42.8%
28
57.2%
Q2 - 10:42MIAGadzuric STEAL (1 STL)25
44.9%
26
55.1%
Q2 - 10:51MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
47.7%
26
52.3%
Q2 - 10:53MILMISS Gadzuric 7' Jump Shot25
46.9%
26
53.1%
Q2 - 11:18MIAWalker 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)25
45.0%
26
55.0%
Q2 - 11:39MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q2 - 11:40MILMISS Gadzuric Layup23
41.9%
26
58.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
40.2%
26
59.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound23
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
41.0%
26
59.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0MILWilliams 28' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)23
42.3%
26
57.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
47.5%
23
52.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILFord 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
44.6%
23
55.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)21
47.5%
21
52.5%
Q1 - 1:19MILWilliams 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)18
42.4%
21
57.6%
Q1 - 1:33MIAWade Layup (8 PTS)18
45.2%
19
54.8%
Q1 - 1:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
42.4%
19
57.6%
Q1 - 1:36MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot16
41.2%
19
58.8%
Q1 - 1:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
42.4%
19
57.6%
Q1 - 1:45MILMISS Kukoc 8' Jump Shot16
41.8%
19
58.2%
Q1 - 2:03MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
40.7%
19
59.3%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot16
41.4%
19
58.6%
Q1 - 2:34MILWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)16
42.8%
19
57.2%
Q1 - 2:45MILBUCKS Rebound16
47.6%
16
52.4%
Q1 - 2:47MILMISS Kukoc 20' Jump Shot16
49.1%
16
50.9%
Q1 - 2:58MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
47.6%
16
52.4%
Q1 - 3:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
49.8%
16
50.2%
Q1 - 3:09MILMISS Magloire 13' Jump Shot16
49.1%
16
50.9%
Q1 - 3:21MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
47.3%
16
52.7%
Q1 - 3:23MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot16
48.1%
16
51.9%
Q1 - 3:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
49.9%
16
50.1%
Q1 - 3:39MILMISS Simmons 12' Jump Shot16
49.1%
16
50.9%
Q1 - 3:54MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
47.3%
16
52.7%
Q1 - 3:56MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot16
48.1%
16
51.9%
Q1 - 4:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
49.9%
16
50.1%
Q1 - 4:14MILMISS Ford Layup16
49.1%
16
50.9%
Q1 - 4:21MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
47.2%
16
52.8%
Q1 - 4:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
45.5%
16
54.5%
Q1 - 4:27MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot14
43.7%
16
56.3%
Q1 - 4:41MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
45.5%
16
54.5%
Q1 - 4:43MILMISS Magloire 5' Hook Shot14
44.7%
16
55.3%
Q1 - 5:00MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
42.8%
16
57.2%
Q1 - 5:25MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)12
41.3%
16
58.7%
Q1 - 5:33MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS)12
45.2%
13
54.8%
Q1 - 5:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
43.4%
13
56.6%
Q1 - 5:48MILMISS Simmons 15' Jump Shot10
42.7%
13
57.3%
Q1 - 6:06MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
41.3%
13
58.7%
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 210
41.6%
13
58.4%
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 210
42.5%
13
57.5%
Q1 - 6:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
43.3%
13
56.7%
Q1 - 6:22MILMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot10
42.7%
13
57.3%
Q1 - 6:36MIAWade Layup (4 PTS)10
41.3%
13
58.7%
Q1 - 6:47MILMagloire Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)8
39.4%
13
60.6%
Q1 - 6:53MILBUCKS Rebound8
37.4%
13
62.6%
Q1 - 6:54MILMISS Ford 15' Jump Shot8
38.8%
13
61.2%
Q1 - 7:11MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
38.0%
13
62.0%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot8
38.6%
13
61.4%
Q1 - 7:20MIAHeat Rebound8
40.0%
13
60.0%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
40.0%
13
60.0%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot8
38.6%
13
61.4%
Q1 - 7:21MIAMISS Walker 10' Hook Shot8
38.6%
13
61.4%
Q1 - 7:36MILRedd Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)8
40.0%
13
60.0%
Q1 - 7:43MILBUCKS Rebound8
38.0%
13
62.0%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
40.0%
13
60.0%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot8
38.6%
13
61.4%
Q1 - 7:44MIAMISS Wade Layup8
38.6%
13
61.4%
Q1 - 7:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
40.0%
13
60.0%
Q1 - 7:53MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
38.6%
13
61.4%
Q1 - 8:10MILMagloire Layup (6 PTS)8
40.3%
13
59.7%
Q1 - 8:11MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
41.9%
11
58.1%
Q1 - 8:12MILMISS Magloire Layup8
43.4%
11
56.6%
Q1 - 8:13MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
41.9%
11
58.1%
Q1 - 8:14MILMISS Redd Layup8
43.4%
11
56.6%
Q1 - 8:22MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
41.9%
11
58.1%
Q1 - 8:24MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot8
42.6%
11
57.4%
Q1 - 8:46MILFord 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
44.0%
11
56.0%
Q1 - 8:53MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
45.6%
9
54.4%
Q1 - 8:55MIAMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot8
46.3%
9
53.7%
Q1 - 9:12MILSimmons 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)8
47.7%
9
52.3%
Q1 - 9:21MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
51.0%
6
49.0%
Q1 - 9:23MIAMISS Walker 29' 3PT Jump Shot8
51.7%
6
48.3%
Q1 - 9:28MILMagloire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
53.4%
6
46.6%
Q1 - 9:30MIARedd STEAL (1 STL)8
51.0%
6
49.0%
Q1 - 9:47MILMagloire 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)8
53.4%
6
46.6%
Q1 - 9:59MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
54.8%
4
45.2%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
51.2%
4
48.8%
Q1 - 10:04MILMISS Redd 8' Jump Shot5
50.6%
4
49.4%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
49.1%
4
50.9%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 24
48.5%
4
51.5%
Q1 - 10:23MIAHeat Rebound4
49.4%
4
50.6%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)4
47.9%
4
52.1%
Q1 - 10:38MILMagloire Dunk (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)4
49.4%
4
50.6%
Q1 - 10:46MIAWade Layup (2 PTS)4
51.0%
2
49.0%
Q1 - 11:05MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)2
49.2%
2
50.8%
Q1 - 11:19MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
51.1%
0
48.9%
Q1 - 11:23MILJump Ball Magloire vs. Walker: Tip to Wade2
52.8%
0
47.2%
Q1 - 11:24MILMISS Magloire 4' Hook Shot2
52.3%
0
47.7%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)2
51.1%
0
48.9%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Magloire vs. Mourning: Tip to Haslem0
49.2%
0
50.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.9%
MIL
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
30
60%
MIL
23
42
55%
Midrange
MIA
9
21
43%
MIL
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
MIL
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
Free Throws
MIA
16
25
64%
MIL
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2144%10.5 / 24
J. Williams1856%9.0 / 16
A. Walker1550%7.5 / 15
A. Mourning1454%7.0 / 13
U. Haslem1372%6.5 / 9
J. Kapono11110%5.5 / 5
G. Payton867%4.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2368%11.5 / 17
B. Simmons2361%11.5 / 19
M. Williams1689%8.0 / 9
J. Magloire1454%7.0 / 13
T. Ford1343%6.5 / 15
T. Kukoc857%4.0 / 7
A. Bogut660%3.0 / 5
D. Gadzuric225%1.0 / 4
C. Bell0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+15
-17
90
MIL
79
+15
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.9%
MIL
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
105.9
MIA 108.7
MIL 115.4 +6.7
Pace
92.2
91.6
MIA 86.8
MIL 97.8 +11.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.6
MIA 16.6
MIL 14.7 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
49.2%
MIA 55.3% +1.6%
MIL 53.7%
TO %
15.0%
15.2%
MIA 16.3%
MIL 13.3% +3.0%
ORB %
26.8%
27.4%
MIA 28.6%
MIL 29.7% +1.1%
FTrt
36.3
32.2
MIA 32.9 +4.5
MIL 28.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
59.4%
MIA 59.5% +4.5%
MIL 55.0%
STL %
6.9%
7.9%
MIA 7.6%
MIL 12.1% +4.5%
BLK %
8.5%
5.4%
MIA 8.8% +4.9%
MIL 3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
52.0%
MIA 54.9%
MIL 55.3% +0.4%
Rim FG%
64.2%
54.9%
MIA 60.0% +5.2%
MIL 54.8%
Mid FG%
38.9%
39.6%
MIA 42.9% +4.4%
MIL 38.5%
3P %
34.5%
38.0%
MIA 40.0%
MIL 53.8% +13.8%
FT %
70.0%
73.8%
MIA 64.0%
MIL 78.3% +14.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
39.7%
MIA 39.5%
MIL 51.9% +12.4%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
40.0%
MIA 27.6% +4.5%
MIL 32.1%
3P Att. %
22.7%
20.3%
MIA 32.9% +16.8%
MIL 16.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes25.422.3
Points100105
Rebounds3636
Assists2222
Steals711
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)25 (2)
Field Goals37-7640-81
At-the-Rim FG18-3023-42
Midrange FG9-2110-26
2-Point FG27-5133-68
3-Point FG10-257-13
Free Throws16-2518-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
40.4
18
56%
1
5
2
0
5
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
4-9
44%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
38.5
13
72%
9
0
1
0
0
0
3
6
1-1
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
38.2
15
50%
4
3
2
0
5
3
0
4
0-2
0%
3-6
50%
3-8
38%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
36.6
21
44%
7
9
1
1
4
5
3
4
9-14
64%
6-16
38%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
33.9
14
54%
12
0
0
4
3
4
4
8
4-6
67%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
27.5
11
110%
1
1
0
0
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 190 · 37
24.9
8
67%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#49 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#51 · C · 6'11" 262 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
55%
36
22
7
6
17
0
10
26
16-25
64%
27-51
53%
10-25
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.