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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 4, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Wizards49%10386
24Knicks51%10475
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.4
45.4
34.1
20
44%
7
2
2
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
6-18
5-11
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.8
37.2
40.0
27
60%
6
3
3
2
0
4
1
5
1-1
100%
7-14
5-11
50%
45%
4-8
50%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.6
37.1
20.6
8
51%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 25.9
30.2
32.1
11
63%
2
1
0
1
4
1
2
0
3-4
75%
4-7
4-8
57%
53%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 23.9
29.8
20.0
8
62%
5
4
2
1
1
3
0
5
0-1
0%
4-6
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28.8
24.9
10.4
5
51%
9
0
1
0
0
1
5
4
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.2
13.7
23.7
4
40%
2
2
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.2
12.0
22.1
3
35%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.6
9.4
13.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.3
5.1
0
1-1
42%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.5
3.9
0
0-1
43%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.5
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Kevin Pritchard
G · 6'3" 180 · 38.3
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.5
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.6
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.7
40.9
37.9
19
58%
5
3
1
1
0
3
2
3
7-10
70%
3-9
5-10
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 37.0
32.9
25.6
3
15%
14
1
0
0
0
1
6
8
1-2
50%
1-9
3-6
11%
43%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 25.6
26.2
24.3
8
29%
2
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
4-10
1-3
40%
43%
0-4
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 25.7
17.1
18.2
4
25%
8
0
1
1
0
2
4
4
2-2
100%
1-6
1-3
17%
46%
0-1
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 22.9
15.7
31.7
12
62%
5
1
0
0
0
5
3
2
4-6
67%
4-7
7-13
57%
52%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.3
29.9
17.9
8
44%
7
1
4
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
46%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.6
24.4
33.2
4
34%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
2-4
3-7
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 22.5
17.9
11.0
7
39%
9
1
0
0
1
2
4
5
1-2
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.9
15.7
6.9
6
61%
4
0
0
0
1
2
3
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 29.0
10.8
16.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 21.4
5.3
10.6
4
69%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 30.0
2.8
8.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 20.7
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 22.5
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.