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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 4, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Grizzlies60%9694
25Magic40%9385
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
42.4
36.2
22
62%
8
3
2
1
2
3
2
6
3-6
50%
8-13
8-16
62%
49%
1-2
50%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.0
37.6
31.0
25
67%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
6-6
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
5-10
50%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.0
34.0
24.4
3
34%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.2
32.2
31.3
17
57%
5
5
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
6-12
3-6
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.2
31.4
33.4
13
92%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
5-7
71%
1-1
3-6
100%
46%
2-3
67%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.7
27.0
27.0
5
36%
8
3
0
1
0
4
1
7
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
1-4
25%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.6
15.8
15.9
6
38%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.9
10.4
11.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 30.2
6.1
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.3
3.1
5.8
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.0
7.7
0
1-2
45%
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.7
4.6
0
0-1
42%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.5
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.4
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.7
40.7
36.5
22
56%
2
7
0
1
1
2
0
2
4-6
67%
9-13
5-12
69%
44%
0-4
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.6
35.3
32.1
10
33%
6
2
0
1
0
2
3
3
2-3
67%
4-9
4-8
44%
43%
0-5
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 19.9
33.8
30.1
16
59%
5
0
0
1
1
1
1
4
6-8
75%
5-10
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.6
33.0
30.6
13
60%
5
1
2
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
6-10
4-9
60%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
20.6
17.7
4
40%
7
1
2
0
0
4
3
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.7
25.9
23.7
9
65%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
1-1
100%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
23.2
13.9
2
25%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.2
15.8
18.5
9
78%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-0
-
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 26.8
11.8
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.6
10.7
0
1-3
48%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.5
9.6
0
1-2
44%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.7
7.9
0
1-2
41%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.1
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.2
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.