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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 4, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nets63%100102
26Raptors37%9692
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.8
40.3
35.2
20
59%
7
6
1
1
1
6
1
6
0-0
-
7-10
7-16
70%
45%
2-7
29%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 25.4
38.7
35.7
35
76%
11
5
1
1
0
5
0
11
12-14
86%
4-9
6-12
44%
48%
5-8
63%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.6
36.4
34.6
17
68%
4
4
4
2
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
42%
2-3
67%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.9
29.4
25.9
1
11%
3
1
0
1
0
2
2
1
1-6
17%
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.3
25.8
32.2
14
41%
9
1
1
1
0
1
5
4
4-7
57%
5-14
5-10
36%
50%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 30.8
23.1
10.9
4
40%
7
2
0
0
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.0
17.9
18.7
2
50%
3
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.9
14.5
15.7
4
67%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
40%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.5
7.2
7.3
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-2
0%
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 23.1
5.3
9.5
5
108%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.7
0.8
12.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.5
0.8
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Ben Handlogten
C · 6'10" 240 · 32.0
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 21.7
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.6
39.9
36.7
14
55%
7
5
1
1
0
3
2
5
6-6
100%
4-10
6-13
40%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.4
31.8
27.5
13
46%
3
3
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
45%
3-6
50%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 32.8
23.2
34.1
8
32%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
3-11
5-10
27%
44%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.4
21.8
17.8
5
36%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.4
11.3
10.9
0
0%
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
32.9
13.9
20
84%
4
7
1
1
0
1
1
3
8-9
89%
6-6
1-3
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.2
30.2
26.4
9
50%
6
1
0
1
2
3
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
29.9
31.0
20
72%
8
2
0
1
0
3
3
5
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
43%
4-9
44%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
11.3
16.7
3
38%
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.2
5.2
7.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
2.6
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.2
15.7
1
2-4
43%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.3
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.