FinalWin Prob.pScore
1133%88
105
567%94
102
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
111.79496.1
MIA logo MIA
109.79391.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA105
100%
102
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)105
97.8%
102
2.2%
Q4 - 0:04.0INDMISS World Peace 21' Jump Shot105
98.6%
102
1.4%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAWalker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P5.T17)105
92.6%
102
7.4%
Q4 - 0:50.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)105
77.7%
102
22.3%
Q4 - 0:50.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)104
75.1%
102
24.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIAHaslem Layup (14 PTS)103
62.0%
102
38.0%
Q4 - 1:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)103
73.0%
100
27.0%
Q4 - 1:10MIAMISS Payton Layup103
81.0%
100
19.0%
Q4 - 1:12INDHaslem STEAL (1 STL)103
71.9%
100
28.1%
Q4 - 1:29MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)103
80.2%
100
19.8%
Q4 - 1:37INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)103
90.5%
97
9.5%
Q4 - 1:37INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)102
89.8%
97
10.2%
Q4 - 1:51INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)101
84.5%
97
15.5%
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 1101
83.7%
97
16.3%
Q4 - 2:11INDO'Neal 19' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)101
87.7%
95
12.3%
Q4 - 2:36MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (28 PTS)99
84.7%
95
15.3%
Q4 - 2:52INDO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)99
85.4%
93
14.6%
Q4 - 3:07INDJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
81.7%
93
18.3%
Q4 - 3:09INDMISS Jackson Driving Layup97
74.7%
93
25.3%
Q4 - 3:15INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
81.9%
93
18.1%
Q4 - 3:17MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
79.0%
93
21.0%
Q4 - 3:34MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
67.4%
93
32.6%
Q4 - 3:36INDMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
70.0%
93
30.0%
Q4 - 3:55INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
76.0%
93
24.0%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Walker 5' Hook Shot97
73.8%
93
26.2%
Q4 - 4:13INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)97
68.5%
93
31.5%
Q4 - 4:13INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 296
66.7%
93
33.3%
Q4 - 4:14INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)96
68.9%
93
31.1%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
66.3%
93
33.7%
Q4 - 4:25MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
60.0%
93
40.0%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot96
66.5%
93
33.5%
Q4 - 4:40INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)96
60.1%
93
39.9%
Q4 - 4:59INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)93
41.9%
93
58.1%
Q4 - 5:00MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 193
40.5%
93
59.5%
Q4 - 5:00MIAWade Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)93
32.4%
93
67.6%
Q4 - 5:04MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
56.1%
90
43.9%
Q4 - 5:08INDMISS Jackson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot93
58.7%
90
41.3%
Q4 - 5:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)93
64.6%
90
35.4%
Q4 - 5:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)93
66.1%
89
33.9%
Q4 - 5:43INDJackson 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)93
71.7%
88
28.3%
Q4 - 5:55MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)91
64.8%
88
35.2%
Q4 - 6:15MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
52.9%
88
47.1%
Q4 - 6:17INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot91
55.5%
88
44.5%
Q4 - 6:35INDPacers Rebound91
61.5%
88
38.5%
Q4 - 6:36MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
58.9%
88
41.1%
Q4 - 6:52INDHarrison Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)91
53.1%
88
46.9%
Q4 - 7:08MIAKapono Driving Layup (4 PTS)91
58.6%
88
41.4%
Q4 - 7:29INDTinsley Driving Finger Roll (13 PTS)91
64.4%
86
35.6%
Q4 - 7:46MIAPayton Layup (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)89
58.8%
86
41.2%
Q4 - 8:02INDHarrison 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)89
62.4%
84
37.6%
Q4 - 8:17MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (23 PTS)89
68.3%
84
31.7%
Q4 - 8:20INDWade STEAL (1 STL)89
73.5%
82
26.5%
Q4 - 8:33INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)89
78.3%
82
21.7%
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot89
76.9%
82
23.1%
Q4 - 8:49INDO'Neal 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)89
73.6%
82
26.4%
Q4 - 9:09MIAKapono 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)87
66.1%
82
33.9%
Q4 - 9:16MIAWade Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)87
71.1%
80
28.9%
Q4 - 9:32INDHarrison 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)87
75.8%
79
24.2%
Q4 - 9:35INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
71.4%
79
28.6%
Q4 - 9:37INDWade BLOCK (1 BLK)85
67.7%
79
32.3%
Q4 - 9:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)85
71.4%
79
28.6%
Q4 - 9:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)85
72.4%
78
27.6%
Q4 - 10:12INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)85
73.6%
77
26.4%
Q4 - 10:12INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)84
72.9%
77
27.1%
Q4 - 10:24INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
69.4%
77
30.6%
Q4 - 10:26MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot83
67.8%
77
32.2%
Q4 - 10:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
64.0%
77
36.0%
Q4 - 10:44INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 283
64.8%
77
35.2%
Q4 - 10:44INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)83
68.0%
77
32.0%
Q4 - 11:00MIAWalker Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)82
64.5%
77
35.5%
Q4 - 11:05INDWalker STEAL (1 STL)82
67.7%
75
32.3%
Q4 - 11:25MIAO'Neal Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)82
72.5%
75
27.5%
Q4 - 11:32MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
76.4%
73
23.6%
Q4 - 11:35INDMISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
77.6%
73
22.4%
Q4 - 11:46MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
80.3%
73
19.7%
Q4 - 11:46MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)82
81.7%
72
18.3%
Q4 - 11:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
83.4%
71
16.6%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS O'Neal Layup82
85.4%
71
14.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA82
83.4%
71
16.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound82
83.4%
71
16.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 47' 3PT Jump Shot82
85.5%
71
14.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
81.4%
71
18.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 282
81.8%
71
18.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)82
83.7%
71
16.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAPayton Driving Layup (4 PTS)81
81.5%
71
18.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
84.5%
69
15.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0INDMISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
85.3%
69
14.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
87.0%
69
13.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 281
86.7%
69
13.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 281
85.5%
69
14.5%
Q3 - 1:07INDJasikevicius Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)81
82.4%
69
17.6%
Q3 - 1:07INDJasikevicius Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)80
81.7%
69
18.3%
Q3 - 1:16MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
79.6%
69
20.4%
Q3 - 1:16MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
80.2%
68
19.8%
Q3 - 1:16MIAHEAT Rebound79
82.5%
67
17.5%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
84.4%
67
15.6%
Q3 - 1:27MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
82.5%
67
17.5%
Q3 - 1:29INDMISS World Peace 18' Fadeaway Jumper79
83.4%
67
16.6%
Q3 - 1:53MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)79
85.3%
67
14.7%
Q3 - 1:57INDPayton STEAL (2 STL)79
82.6%
67
17.4%
Q3 - 2:06MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
83.3%
67
16.7%
Q3 - 2:06MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)79
83.8%
66
16.2%
Q3 - 2:26INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
85.6%
65
14.4%
Q3 - 2:26INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)78
85.1%
65
14.9%
Q3 - 2:30INDJasikevicius REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
83.4%
65
16.6%
Q3 - 2:31MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot77
82.6%
65
17.4%
Q3 - 2:47INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)77
80.5%
65
19.5%
Q3 - 2:47INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
80.1%
65
19.9%
Q3 - 3:06MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)75
76.3%
65
23.7%
Q3 - 3:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
72.7%
65
27.3%
Q3 - 3:15INDMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)75
73.8%
65
26.2%
Q3 - 3:30MIAWalker Driving Layup (10 PTS)75
76.3%
65
23.7%
Q3 - 3:44MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
79.3%
63
20.7%
Q3 - 3:46INDMISS Tinsley 14' Jump Shot75
80.2%
63
19.8%
Q3 - 3:51INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
82.2%
63
17.8%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
81.4%
63
18.6%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
79.3%
63
20.7%
Q3 - 4:02INDMISS Granger 6' Hook Shot75
78.3%
63
21.7%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T13)75
80.6%
63
19.4%
Q3 - 4:18MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
77.4%
63
22.6%
Q3 - 4:20INDMISS Granger 16' Jump Shot75
78.4%
63
21.6%
Q3 - 4:37MIAWalker 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)75
80.7%
63
19.3%
Q3 - 4:58INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)75
83.0%
61
17.0%
Q3 - 4:58INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)74
82.5%
61
17.5%
Q3 - 5:09INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
79.2%
61
20.8%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 273
78.8%
61
21.2%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)73
77.4%
61
22.6%
Q3 - 5:21MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
79.1%
60
20.9%
Q3 - 5:23INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot73
80.0%
60
20.0%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)73
81.9%
60
18.1%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 273
82.7%
59
17.3%
Q3 - 5:54MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
81.7%
59
18.3%
Q3 - 5:56INDMISS Tinsley 14' Turnaround Jump Shot73
82.5%
59
17.5%
Q3 - 6:13MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T12)73
82.6%
59
17.4%
Q3 - 6:34INDWorld Peace 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)73
80.1%
59
19.9%
Q3 - 6:43INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
77.7%
59
22.3%
Q3 - 6:45MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Jump Shot71
76.8%
59
23.2%
Q3 - 6:51MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
74.6%
59
25.4%
Q3 - 6:53INDMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot71
75.6%
59
24.4%
Q3 - 7:20MIAWade Dunk (18 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)71
76.3%
59
23.7%
Q3 - 7:23MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
78.6%
57
21.4%
Q3 - 7:25MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
80.6%
57
19.4%
Q3 - 7:31INDPayton STEAL (1 STL)71
78.6%
57
21.4%
Q3 - 7:35INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
81.5%
57
18.5%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot71
80.6%
57
19.4%
Q3 - 8:05INDJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)71
77.7%
57
22.3%
Q3 - 8:29MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)68
72.5%
57
27.5%
Q3 - 8:48INDTinsley 30' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)68
75.0%
55
25.0%
Q3 - 9:09MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P4.T11)65
67.4%
55
32.6%
Q3 - 9:26INDTinsley Driving Layup (8 PTS)65
64.1%
55
35.9%
Q3 - 9:36INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
60.8%
55
39.2%
Q3 - 9:38MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot63
59.7%
55
40.3%
Q3 - 9:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
57.2%
55
42.8%
Q3 - 9:48INDO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)63
58.3%
55
41.7%
Q3 - 10:09MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)63
59.6%
55
40.4%
Q3 - 10:22INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)63
65.8%
52
34.2%
Q3 - 10:22INDPacers Rebound63
69.3%
52
30.7%
Q3 - 10:23INDMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot63
66.9%
52
33.1%
Q3 - 10:48MIAWade 19' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)63
69.3%
52
30.7%
Q3 - 10:59INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
72.0%
50
28.0%
Q3 - 10:59INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)62
71.7%
50
28.3%
Q3 - 11:05INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
67.8%
50
32.2%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
66.8%
50
33.2%
Q3 - 11:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
64.6%
50
35.4%
Q3 - 11:13INDMISS Jackson Tip Shot61
65.6%
50
34.4%
Q3 - 11:14INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
67.8%
50
32.2%
Q3 - 11:17INDO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)61
65.6%
50
34.4%
Q3 - 11:27MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)61
67.9%
50
32.1%
Q3 - 11:46INDWorld Peace Layup (14 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)61
64.7%
50
35.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA59
61.6%
50
38.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDO'Neal 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)59
58.1%
50
41.9%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
53.3%
50
46.7%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 257
54.4%
49
45.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)57
54.2%
49
45.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
53.5%
49
46.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMourning Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)55
50.0%
49
50.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
54.2%
47
45.8%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Walker 8' Running Jump Shot55
55.9%
47
44.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
54.2%
47
45.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0INDMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)55
55.0%
47
45.0%
Q2 - 1:12MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
55.5%
47
44.5%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 255
56.7%
46
43.3%
Q2 - 1:30INDTinsley Driving Layup (6 PTS)55
57.0%
46
43.0%
Q2 - 1:41MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)53
52.3%
46
47.7%
Q2 - 2:00INDO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)53
50.6%
46
49.4%
Q2 - 2:08INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
45.8%
46
54.2%
Q2 - 2:10MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup51
44.9%
46
55.1%
Q2 - 2:12MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
42.9%
46
57.1%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper51
44.9%
46
55.1%
Q2 - 2:19MIAHEAT Rebound51
42.9%
46
57.1%
Q2 - 2:22MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 151
45.4%
46
54.6%
Q2 - 2:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
49.2%
44
50.8%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot51
51.2%
44
48.8%
Q2 - 2:43INDO'Neal 8' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS)51
49.2%
44
50.8%
Q2 - 2:52INDPacers Rebound49
45.8%
44
54.2%
Q2 - 2:53INDMISS World Peace 11' Fadeaway Jumper49
43.9%
44
56.1%
Q2 - 3:07INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
44.9%
44
55.1%
Q2 - 3:08MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 249
44.5%
44
55.5%
Q2 - 3:08MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)49
43.0%
44
57.0%
Q2 - 3:08MIAHEAT Rebound49
44.6%
43
55.4%
Q2 - 3:09INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 249
45.0%
43
55.0%
Q2 - 3:09INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
46.9%
43
53.1%
Q2 - 3:28MIAWade 10' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
45.0%
43
55.0%
Q2 - 3:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
47.6%
41
52.4%
Q2 - 3:34MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
50.0%
41
50.0%
Q2 - 3:51INDO'Neal 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)48
47.7%
41
52.3%
Q2 - 4:12INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
43.8%
41
56.2%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 246
43.4%
41
56.6%
Q2 - 4:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
41.6%
41
58.4%
Q2 - 4:24MIAHEAT Rebound46
43.9%
40
56.1%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS O'Neal Dunk46
45.8%
40
54.2%
Q2 - 4:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
43.9%
40
56.1%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup46
45.8%
40
54.2%
Q2 - 4:43INDWorld Peace Driving Layup (12 PTS)46
43.9%
40
56.1%
Q2 - 4:54MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)44
41.1%
40
58.9%
Q2 - 5:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
37.8%
40
62.2%
Q2 - 5:08INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 244
38.1%
40
61.9%
Q2 - 5:08INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
39.9%
40
60.1%
Q2 - 5:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
38.0%
40
62.0%
Q2 - 5:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 243
38.5%
39
61.5%
Q2 - 5:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
37.8%
39
62.2%
Q2 - 5:25INDO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)43
38.7%
39
61.3%
Q2 - 5:36MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)43
40.7%
39
59.3%
Q2 - 5:47MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
43.2%
37
56.8%
Q2 - 5:49INDMISS Jackson 6' Hook Shot43
44.2%
37
55.8%
Q2 - 6:01MIAHaslem Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)43
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q2 - 6:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
47.9%
35
52.1%
Q2 - 6:11INDMISS O'Neal Tip Shot43
49.0%
35
51.0%
Q2 - 6:12INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
51.3%
35
48.7%
Q2 - 6:14INDMISS Tinsley 11' Running Jump Shot43
49.0%
35
51.0%
Q2 - 6:28MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)43
51.3%
35
48.7%
Q2 - 6:47INDCroshere Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)43
53.5%
33
46.5%
Q2 - 7:02MIAWalker Driving Layup (5 PTS)41
50.0%
33
50.0%
Q2 - 7:29INDCroshere Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)41
52.5%
31
47.5%
Q2 - 7:43MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P3.T7)39
50.1%
31
49.9%
Q2 - 7:53INDHarrison Foul Turnover (P2.T4)39
47.3%
31
52.7%
Q2 - 8:05MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)39
49.6%
31
50.4%
Q2 - 8:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
54.4%
28
45.6%
Q2 - 8:22INDMISS O'Neal 16' Turnaround Jump Shot39
55.3%
28
44.7%
Q2 - 8:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
57.3%
28
42.7%
Q2 - 8:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
57.8%
27
42.2%
Q2 - 8:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
59.5%
26
40.5%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot39
61.5%
26
38.5%
Q2 - 9:03INDGranger 16' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Jasikevicius 2 AST)39
58.4%
26
41.6%
Q2 - 9:10INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
56.2%
26
43.8%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
55.4%
26
44.6%
Q2 - 9:29INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)37
53.5%
26
46.5%
Q2 - 9:29INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 236
52.8%
26
47.2%
Q2 - 9:29INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
53.8%
26
46.2%
Q2 - 9:30INDMISS World Peace Layup36
51.8%
26
48.2%
Q2 - 9:33MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)36
53.8%
26
46.2%
Q2 - 9:45INDJasikevicius Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)36
51.0%
26
49.0%
Q2 - 9:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)36
53.8%
26
46.2%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 236
54.9%
25
45.1%
Q2 - 10:06INDGranger 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jasikevicius 1 AST)36
53.1%
25
46.9%
Q2 - 10:21MIAO'Neal Dunk (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)34
50.9%
25
49.1%
Q2 - 10:36INDJasikevicius 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
53.1%
23
46.9%
Q2 - 10:56INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
50.9%
23
49.1%
Q2 - 10:58MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot32
50.1%
23
49.9%
Q2 - 11:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
47.3%
23
52.7%
Q2 - 11:05INDMISS Jasikevicius 14' Jump Shot32
48.0%
23
52.0%
Q2 - 11:16INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
49.7%
23
50.3%
Q2 - 11:17INDMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot32
48.1%
23
51.9%
Q2 - 11:21INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
49.7%
23
50.3%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot32
49.0%
23
51.0%
Q2 - 11:45INDJasikevicius 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)32
47.4%
23
52.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
42.6%
23
57.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDWorld Peace 30' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
40.2%
23
59.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)26
35.0%
23
65.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)26
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 225
32.9%
23
67.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
32.9%
23
67.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0INDMISS Jasikevicius 10' Jump Shot25
31.8%
23
68.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)25
32.9%
23
67.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
31.3%
23
68.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0INDMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)25
31.8%
23
68.2%
Q1 - 1:03INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
32.9%
23
67.1%
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS Walker 8' Hook Shot25
32.4%
23
67.6%
Q1 - 1:16INDWorld Peace 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
31.3%
23
68.7%
Q1 - 1:37MIAWade Running Dunk (4 PTS)23
28.8%
23
71.2%
Q1 - 1:49INDJasikevicius 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
31.3%
21
68.7%
Q1 - 2:09MIAPayton Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
29.0%
21
71.0%
Q1 - 2:24INDJackson 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
31.1%
19
68.9%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)19
29.0%
19
71.0%
Q1 - 2:54INDWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T2)19
31.1%
17
68.9%
Q1 - 3:08INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
32.7%
17
67.3%
Q1 - 3:10MIAMISS Walker 9' Hook Shot19
32.1%
17
67.9%
Q1 - 3:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
30.6%
17
69.4%
Q1 - 3:23INDMISS O'Neal 12' Hook Shot19
31.2%
17
68.8%
Q1 - 3:43MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
32.8%
17
67.2%
Q1 - 3:43MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q1 - 3:53MIAHEAT Rebound19
34.6%
15
65.4%
Q1 - 3:55MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup19
36.2%
15
63.8%
Q1 - 3:58MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
34.6%
15
65.4%
Q1 - 3:59INDO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)19
35.3%
15
64.7%
Q1 - 4:17MIAWade 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)19
36.4%
15
63.6%
Q1 - 4:35INDO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS)19
34.0%
15
66.0%
Q1 - 4:36INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
32.4%
15
67.6%
Q1 - 4:37INDMISS Jackson 16' Running Jump Shot17
30.8%
15
69.2%
Q1 - 4:50MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)17
32.4%
15
67.6%
Q1 - 5:02INDTinsley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
35.2%
12
64.8%
Q1 - 5:13INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
33.5%
12
66.5%
Q1 - 5:15MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 215
33.3%
12
66.7%
Q1 - 5:15MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
32.5%
12
67.5%
Q1 - 5:25INDHarrison Dunk (2 PTS)15
33.4%
11
66.6%
Q1 - 5:29INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
31.7%
11
68.3%
Q1 - 5:31INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
30.3%
11
69.7%
Q1 - 5:53MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
31.7%
11
68.3%
Q1 - 6:06INDHarrison 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)13
29.4%
11
70.6%
Q1 - 6:21MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)13
31.2%
11
68.8%
Q1 - 6:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
32.9%
9
67.1%
Q1 - 6:32INDMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot13
33.5%
9
66.5%
Q1 - 6:55MIAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)13
34.8%
9
65.2%
Q1 - 7:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 7:05INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot13
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 7:16INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
39.4%
6
60.6%
Q1 - 7:18MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot13
38.8%
6
61.2%
Q1 - 7:40INDWorld Peace Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)13
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 7:56INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
35.9%
6
64.1%
Q1 - 7:58MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot11
35.3%
6
64.7%
Q1 - 8:15INDO'Neal 10' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)11
33.8%
6
66.2%
Q1 - 8:22INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
32.3%
6
67.7%
Q1 - 8:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 19
32.0%
6
68.0%
Q1 - 8:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
33.8%
4
66.2%
Q1 - 8:30INDMISS O'Neal Layup9
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 8:44MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)9
35.7%
4
64.3%
Q1 - 8:56MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
33.8%
4
66.2%
Q1 - 8:57INDMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot9
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 9:17INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
35.6%
4
64.4%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Williams Driving Finger Roll9
34.9%
4
65.1%
Q1 - 9:33INDO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)9
33.5%
4
66.5%
Q1 - 9:46INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
32.2%
4
67.8%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot7
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 10:02INDWorld Peace 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 10:24MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)5
28.8%
4
71.2%
Q1 - 10:43INDJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)5
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 10:55INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.3%
2
72.7%
Q1 - 10:57MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 11:14INDTinsley Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)2
25.7%
2
74.3%
Q1 - 11:32MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 11:43MIAHEAT Rebound0
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot0
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
25.7%
0
74.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.12 55.9%
MIA
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
14
23
61%
MIA
24
32
75%
Midrange
IND
18
44
41%
MIA
9
27
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
MIA
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
Free Throws
IND
26
33
79%
MIA
27
42
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2754%13.5 / 25
M. World Peace2261%11.0 / 18
J. Tinsley1359%6.5 / 11
A. Croshere1179%5.5 / 7
S. Jackson1137%5.5 / 15
S. Jasikevicius975%4.5 / 6
D. Granger542%2.5 / 6
D. Harrison4100%2.0 / 2
F. Jones350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3170%15.5 / 22
S. O'Neal1860%9.0 / 15
U. Haslem1464%7.0 / 11
A. Walker1235%6.0 / 17
A. Mourning1267%6.0 / 9
G. Payton857%4.0 / 7
J. Kapono467%2.0 / 3
J. Williams319%1.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
83
+11
-11
94
MIA
77
+17
-16
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.12 55.9%
MIA
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
108.0
IND 111.7 +2.0
MIA 109.7
Pace
90.1
92.2
IND 96.1 +5.2
MIA 91.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.9
IND 15.0 +0.8
MIA 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
51.7%
IND 51.3% +1.3%
MIA 50.0%
TO %
16.3%
15.0%
IND 11.6% +3.8%
MIA 15.4%
ORB %
27.1%
26.8%
IND 22.5%
MIA 25.0% +2.5%
FTrt
34.4
36.3
IND 42.9
MIA 56.0 +13.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
55.7%
IND 45.9%
MIA 52.8% +6.9%
STL %
8.1%
6.9%
IND 8.5% +3.1%
MIA 5.4%
BLK %
7.5%
8.5%
IND 3.4%
MIA 11.9% +8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
53.9%
IND 55.9% +3.3%
MIA 52.6%
Rim FG%
57.7%
64.2%
IND 60.9%
MIA 75.0% +14.1%
Mid FG%
39.0%
38.9%
IND 40.9% +7.6%
MIA 33.3%
3P %
34.9%
34.5%
IND 50.0% +31.2%
MIA 18.8%
FT %
73.7%
70.0%
IND 78.8% +14.5%
MIA 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
39.3%
IND 29.9%
MIA 42.7% +12.8%
Mid Att. %
41.2%
38.0%
IND 57.1%
MIA 36.0% +21.1%
3P Att. %
24.5%
22.7%
IND 13.0%
MIA 21.3% +8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points105102
Rebounds3941
Assists1719
Steals85
Blocks28
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)10 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)31 (2)
Field Goals37-7736-75
At-the-Rim FG14-2324-32
Midrange FG18-449-27
2-Point FG32-6733-59
3-Point FG5-103-16
Free Throws26-3327-42
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 260 · 26
39.7
22
61%
4
1
2
0
0
2
1
3
7-10
70%
6-12
50%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 255 · 27
38.3
27
54%
9
2
1
1
1
5
2
7
7-10
70%
10-20
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 28
35.2
13
59%
4
6
0
0
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
5-9
56%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 240 · 31
29.0
11
79%
8
1
1
0
0
3
1
7
5-5
100%
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
G · 6'8" 220 · 28
27.7
11
37%
4
4
1
0
0
4
2
2
4-4
100%
2-10
20%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 225 · 27
29.5
3
50%
4
0
1
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
· 6'4" 197 · 30
12.8
9
75%
1
2
2
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23
11.8
5
42%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 280 · 23
11.4
4
100%
3
0
0
0
4
5
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 260 · 30
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 27
F · 7'0" 230 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
56%
39
17
8
2
11
0
9
30
26-33
79%
32-67
48%
5-10
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.