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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 2, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Hawks24%9497
9Warriors76%103122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.4
35.7
31.1
8
37%
6
2
4
1
0
2
2
4
2-4
50%
3-9
4-9
33%
47%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.7
32.7
20.4
13
48%
12
2
0
1
0
3
9
3
5-6
83%
4-11
2-5
36%
43%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.3
31.7
35.0
17
45%
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
0
2-2
100%
6-15
4-9
40%
44%
1-3
33%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
30.1
29.5
18
53%
9
5
3
1
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
9-15
5-12
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 19.9
27.9
30.7
9
46%
6
3
2
1
0
5
4
2
3-4
75%
3-8
4-9
38%
45%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.4
25.1
26.2
12
57%
6
1
1
1
1
0
2
4
1-1
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
43%
1-1
100%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.5
22.8
25.6
16
58%
3
4
0
1
0
4
0
3
3-4
75%
5-10
3-7
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.1
11.0
12.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
38%
0-1
0%
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 21.9
7.4
10.3
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-1
0%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.3
6.7
2.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.2
6.1
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.9
2.8
10.5
2
100%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
41.7
34.4
28
56%
6
2
1
1
2
2
2
4
4-5
80%
9-17
6-11
53%
48%
2-6
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.1
38.7
30.4
11
44%
5
3
1
1
0
7
2
3
4-6
67%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
1-5
20%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.6
28.2
32.3
15
53%
1
7
4
2
0
2
0
1
4-7
57%
4-6
3-8
67%
45%
1-5
20%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.5
24.5
29.9
19
93%
9
0
1
1
0
3
0
9
2-5
40%
7-7
4-9
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.7
21.1
21.8
4
82%
6
1
0
0
3
0
3
3
0-1
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.7
23.6
20.9
20
77%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
7-9
78%
5-8
2-5
63%
49%
1-1
100%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.2
19.9
25.2
12
89%
1
5
1
1
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
3-4
2-4
75%
42%
1-1
100%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.6
17.9
6.9
4
52%
4
0
0
0
3
0
1
3
0-2
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Miles
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.6
10.0
8.9
0
0%
2
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.5
7.0
9.3
9
97%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
5-6
83%
2-2
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.3
4.0
5.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.6
3.5
14.8
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.1
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.