FinalWin Prob.pScore
1138%96
97
662%99
78
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.29496.8
MEM logo MEM
82.19592.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA97
100%
78
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0MEMJones Foul Turnover (P2.T16)97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MEMJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Barron 4' Turnaround Jump Shot97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0MEMMISS Warrick 4' Jump Shot97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAWalsh 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08MEMJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)95
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16MIABarron 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)95
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37MEMRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37MEMMISS Roberts Free Throw 1 of 293
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)93
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)90
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07MEMMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13MIARoberts STEAL (1 STL)90
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37MEMStoudamire Reverse Layup (10 PTS)90
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)90
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)89
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)88
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:10MEMMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot88
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23MIAWilliams Layup (10 PTS)88
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 3:27MEMMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)86
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 3:30MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 3:32MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot86
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 3:48MEMJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)86
99.3%
72
0.7%
Q4 - 3:48MEMJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)86
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 3:54MEMJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)86
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Walker 5' Running Jump Shot86
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 4:20MEMStoudamire Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)86
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 4:20MEMStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)86
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 4:30MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)86
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 4:32MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot86
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 4:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:53MEMMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 286
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:53MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)86
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 5:04MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)86
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 5:05MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot86
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 5:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 5:22MEMMISS Gasol Dunk86
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 5:23MEMJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 5:26MEMMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot86
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 5:39MIAWalker Layup (22 PTS)86
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 5:41MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)84
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 5:49MIAMISS Mourning Layup84
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 6:08MEMStoudamire Layup (6 PTS)84
99.2%
67
0.8%
Q4 - 6:13MEMStoudamire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
99.4%
65
0.6%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 6:35MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)84
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 6:36MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 284
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 6:36MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)84
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 6:36MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)84
99.6%
64
0.4%
Q4 - 6:36MEMMISS Gasol Layup84
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 7:01MIAWade Dunk (21 PTS)84
99.3%
64
0.7%
Q4 - 7:05MEMMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)82
99.1%
64
0.9%
Q4 - 7:17MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound82
98.8%
64
1.2%
Q4 - 7:18MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.0%
64
1.0%
Q4 - 7:36MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)82
98.8%
64
1.2%
Q4 - 7:36MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
98.7%
64
1.3%
Q4 - 7:49MEMWright Foul Turnover (P1.T13)80
98.5%
64
1.5%
Q4 - 7:55MEMJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
97.9%
64
2.1%
Q4 - 7:56MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot80
98.3%
64
1.7%
Q4 - 8:18MIAWade 2' Running Layup (19 PTS)80
97.2%
64
2.8%
Q4 - 8:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
96.4%
64
3.6%
Q4 - 8:37MEMMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 278
96.3%
64
3.7%
Q4 - 8:37MEMMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 278
95.7%
64
4.3%
Q4 - 8:57MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)78
95.4%
64
4.6%
Q4 - 9:15MEMJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)75
91.2%
64
8.8%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T18)75
94.3%
61
5.7%
Q4 - 9:36MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
95.5%
61
4.5%
Q4 - 9:38MEMMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
95.2%
61
4.8%
Q4 - 9:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)75
94.3%
61
5.7%
Q4 - 10:10MEMJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)72
89.8%
61
10.2%
Q4 - 10:19MIAWright STEAL (2 STL)72
93.2%
58
6.8%
Q4 - 10:28MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
94.6%
58
5.4%
Q4 - 10:30MEMMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
94.2%
58
5.8%
Q4 - 10:53MIAWade Dunk (14 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)72
93.3%
58
6.7%
Q4 - 10:56MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)70
91.8%
58
8.2%
Q4 - 10:58MEMMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
91.2%
58
8.8%
Q4 - 11:19MIAWalker Layup (20 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)70
88.5%
58
11.5%
Q4 - 11:25MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
86.3%
58
13.7%
Q4 - 11:27MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
85.5%
58
14.5%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)68
83.4%
58
16.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA66
80.4%
58
19.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound66
80.4%
58
19.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 32' 3PT Jump Shot66
77.8%
58
22.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0MEMJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)66
78.5%
58
21.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)66
75.0%
58
25.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0MEMGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)63
66.5%
58
33.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAO'Neal 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)63
61.8%
58
38.2%
Q3 - 1:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
55.7%
58
44.3%
Q3 - 1:19MEMMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 261
55.0%
58
45.0%
Q3 - 1:19MEMJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)61
52.1%
58
47.9%
Q3 - 1:31MEMJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
55.6%
57
44.4%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
57.1%
57
42.9%
Q3 - 1:43MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
60.5%
57
39.5%
Q3 - 1:46MEMMISS Battier 6' Jump Shot61
59.0%
57
41.0%
Q3 - 2:03MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)61
53.9%
57
46.1%
Q3 - 2:03MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)60
52.8%
57
47.2%
Q3 - 2:03MEMTsakalidis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)59
49.7%
57
50.3%
Q3 - 2:22MIAO'Neal 2' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)59
44.7%
57
55.3%
Q3 - 2:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
40.6%
57
59.4%
Q3 - 2:39MEMMISS Battier Free Throw 2 of 257
39.9%
57
60.1%
Q3 - 2:39MEMBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)57
37.0%
57
63.0%
Q3 - 2:49MEMTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
40.2%
56
59.8%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
41.7%
56
58.3%
Q3 - 2:59MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)57
45.2%
56
54.8%
Q3 - 3:01MEMMISS Tsakalidis 4' Jump Shot57
43.5%
56
56.5%
Q3 - 3:17MIAWalker Running Layup (18 PTS)57
40.2%
56
59.8%
Q3 - 3:36MEMGasol 4' Running Hook Shot (25 PTS) (Stoudamire 5 AST)55
36.2%
56
63.8%
Q3 - 4:01MIAWalker 6' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)55
39.4%
54
60.6%
Q3 - 4:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
36.1%
54
63.9%
Q3 - 4:10MEMMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot53
34.7%
54
65.3%
Q3 - 4:20MIAWright STEAL (1 STL)53
31.6%
54
68.4%
Q3 - 4:33MEMBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
36.1%
54
63.9%
Q3 - 4:33MEMBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)53
36.9%
53
63.1%
Q3 - 4:45MIAWade Foul Turnover (P6.T15)53
39.6%
52
60.4%
Q3 - 5:06MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)53
43.9%
52
56.1%
Q3 - 5:24MIAO'Neal 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)53
39.6%
52
60.4%
Q3 - 5:54MIAHeat Rebound51
35.9%
52
64.1%
Q3 - 5:55MEMMISS Stoudamire 10' Jump Bank Shot51
34.7%
52
65.3%
Q3 - 6:03MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)51
31.9%
52
68.1%
Q3 - 6:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
35.7%
52
64.3%
Q3 - 6:22MEMMISS Jones 12' Turnaround Jump Shot51
34.5%
52
65.5%
Q3 - 6:34MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T13)51
31.9%
52
68.1%
Q3 - 6:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
35.7%
52
64.3%
Q3 - 6:54MEMMISS Gasol Driving Layup51
34.6%
52
65.4%
Q3 - 7:22MEMWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
31.6%
52
68.4%
Q3 - 7:23MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 151
32.1%
52
67.9%
Q3 - 7:25MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)49
28.8%
52
71.2%
Q3 - 7:26MEMMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot49
27.7%
52
72.3%
Q3 - 7:39MEMJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
25.3%
52
74.7%
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot49
26.3%
52
73.7%
Q3 - 7:58MEMGasol 3' Running Layup (23 PTS)49
28.8%
52
71.2%
Q3 - 8:15MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)49
31.8%
50
68.2%
Q3 - 8:39MEMStoudamire 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
26.0%
50
74.0%
Q3 - 9:01MEMJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
28.6%
48
71.4%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
29.5%
48
70.5%
Q3 - 9:18MEMGasol 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Stoudamire 4 AST)46
31.7%
48
68.3%
Q3 - 9:29MIAWilliams Driving Finger Roll (8 PTS)46
34.9%
46
65.1%
Q3 - 9:46MEMWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
31.8%
46
68.2%
Q3 - 9:46MEMWright Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)44
31.8%
46
68.2%
Q3 - 9:47MEMMISS Gasol Running Layup44
37.4%
44
62.6%
Q3 - 9:58MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
34.9%
44
65.1%
Q3 - 9:58MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
34.4%
44
65.6%
Q3 - 10:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
31.8%
44
68.2%
Q3 - 10:06MEMMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot42
30.8%
44
69.2%
Q3 - 10:26MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)42
28.5%
44
71.5%
Q3 - 10:40MEMBattier Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)40
25.9%
44
74.1%
Q3 - 10:57MIAWalker Layup (11 PTS)40
23.0%
44
77.0%
Q3 - 10:59MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)38
20.8%
44
79.2%
Q3 - 11:01MIAGasol BLOCK (3 BLK)38
19.4%
44
80.6%
Q3 - 11:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)38
21.0%
44
79.0%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Bank Shot38
19.4%
44
80.6%
Q3 - 11:28MEMJones 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)38
21.0%
44
79.0%
Q3 - 11:40MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)38
23.3%
42
76.7%
Q3 - 11:42MEMMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot38
25.1%
42
74.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM38
23.3%
42
76.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound38
23.3%
42
76.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Stoudamire 44' 3PT Jump Shot38
25.4%
42
74.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)38
24.2%
42
75.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Rebound38
25.9%
42
74.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot38
24.7%
42
75.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
25.9%
42
74.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0MEMMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot38
25.4%
42
74.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound38
24.1%
42
75.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Wade Layup38
24.7%
42
75.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
25.9%
42
74.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAGasol BLOCK (2 BLK)38
24.6%
42
75.4%
Q2 - 1:01MEMBattier Layup (5 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)38
26.0%
42
74.0%
Q2 - 1:08MEMJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
29.8%
40
70.2%
Q2 - 1:09MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot38
30.2%
40
69.8%
Q2 - 1:25MEMGasol 13' Jump Shot (19 PTS)38
31.2%
40
68.8%
Q2 - 1:40MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
35.5%
38
64.5%
Q2 - 1:40MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
34.7%
38
65.3%
Q2 - 1:52MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)36
31.2%
38
68.8%
Q2 - 1:52MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)36
31.9%
37
68.1%
Q2 - 2:12MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)36
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q2 - 2:33MEMGasol Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)33
29.2%
36
70.8%
Q2 - 2:37MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound33
32.1%
34
67.9%
Q2 - 2:39MEMMISS Stoudamire 20' Jump Shot33
33.8%
34
66.2%
Q2 - 2:41MIAJones STEAL (3 STL)33
32.1%
34
67.9%
Q2 - 2:44MEMStoudamire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)33
34.6%
34
65.4%
Q2 - 3:02MIAPayton Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)33
31.7%
34
68.3%
Q2 - 3:21MEMMiller 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stoudamire 3 AST)33
34.7%
34
65.3%
Q2 - 3:36MIAWade Dunk (12 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)33
37.1%
32
62.9%
Q2 - 3:40MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)31
34.7%
32
65.3%
Q2 - 3:42MEMMISS Gasol Driving Layup31
33.8%
32
66.2%
Q2 - 3:56MIAO'Neal Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T9)31
31.7%
32
68.3%
Q2 - 4:05MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)31
34.3%
32
65.7%
Q2 - 4:06MEMMISS Battier 17' Jump Shot31
33.5%
32
66.5%
Q2 - 4:29MIAJones STEAL (2 STL)31
31.8%
32
68.2%
Q2 - 4:32MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
34.4%
32
65.6%
Q2 - 4:33MEMMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot31
33.6%
32
66.4%
Q2 - 4:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)31
31.8%
32
68.2%
Q2 - 4:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 230
31.3%
32
68.7%
Q2 - 4:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
31.8%
32
68.2%
Q2 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade Layup30
30.1%
32
69.9%
Q2 - 4:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)30
31.8%
32
68.2%
Q2 - 4:53MEMMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot30
31.0%
32
69.0%
Q2 - 5:07MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
29.3%
32
70.7%
Q2 - 5:08MEMMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot30
31.1%
32
68.9%
Q2 - 5:22MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
29.3%
32
70.7%
Q2 - 5:23MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot30
30.0%
32
70.0%
Q2 - 5:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
31.9%
32
68.1%
Q2 - 5:38MEMMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot30
31.1%
32
68.9%
Q2 - 5:47MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
29.3%
32
70.7%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Payton 12' Turnaround Jump Shot30
30.0%
32
70.0%
Q2 - 5:55MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
31.9%
32
68.1%
Q2 - 5:58MEMMISS Jackson 16' Fadeaway Jumper30
31.1%
32
68.9%
Q2 - 6:07MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T7)30
29.3%
32
70.7%
Q2 - 6:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
32.1%
32
67.9%
Q2 - 6:17MEMMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot30
31.2%
32
68.8%
Q2 - 6:24MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
29.2%
32
70.8%
Q2 - 6:24MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 230
29.6%
32
70.4%
Q2 - 6:24MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 230
30.6%
32
69.4%
Q2 - 6:24MEMMISS Jackson Free Throw Technical30
32.1%
32
67.9%
Q2 - 6:41MEMTsakalidis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)30
32.1%
32
67.9%
Q2 - 6:52MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P2.T6)30
29.2%
32
70.8%
Q2 - 6:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
32.1%
32
67.9%
Q2 - 6:59MEMMISS Jackson Running Layup30
31.2%
32
68.8%
Q2 - 7:04MEMJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
29.7%
32
70.3%
Q2 - 7:07MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Turnaround Jump Shot30
30.4%
32
69.6%
Q2 - 7:18MIAHeat Rebound30
32.1%
32
67.9%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
30.4%
32
69.6%
Q2 - 7:36MEMJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)30
32.1%
32
67.9%
Q2 - 7:44MEMJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
29.6%
32
70.4%
Q2 - 7:45MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot30
30.4%
32
69.6%
Q2 - 8:04MEMJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)30
32.0%
32
68.0%
Q2 - 8:27MIAMourning Layup (2 PTS)30
36.4%
29
63.6%
Q2 - 8:50MIAHeat Rebound28
34.3%
29
65.7%
Q2 - 8:53MEMMISS Jones Reverse Layup28
33.5%
29
66.5%
Q2 - 8:56MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
31.8%
29
68.2%
Q2 - 8:59MIATsakalidis BLOCK (1 BLK)28
32.5%
29
67.5%
Q2 - 9:16MEMGasol 4' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS)28
34.2%
29
65.8%
Q2 - 9:38MIAWilliams Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)28
36.2%
27
63.8%
Q2 - 9:48MEMMiller Palming Turnover (P1.T4)26
34.2%
27
65.8%
Q2 - 10:09MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)26
31.7%
27
68.3%
Q2 - 10:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 126
32.0%
27
68.0%
Q2 - 10:50MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
29.8%
27
70.2%
Q2 - 10:52MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
29.1%
27
70.9%
Q2 - 10:56MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)24
27.6%
27
72.4%
Q2 - 10:59MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup24
28.2%
27
71.8%
Q2 - 11:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)24
29.5%
27
70.5%
Q2 - 11:03MEMMISS Tsakalidis 5' Hook Shot24
28.9%
27
71.1%
Q2 - 11:09MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
27.6%
27
72.4%
Q2 - 11:11MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
28.1%
27
71.9%
Q2 - 11:27MEMMiller 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)24
29.5%
27
70.5%
Q2 - 11:34MIAMiller STEAL (1 STL)24
31.6%
25
68.4%
Q2 - 11:48MEMJackson Layup (2 PTS)24
33.7%
25
66.3%
Q2 - 11:51MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)24
35.9%
23
64.1%
Q2 - 12:00MEMMiller 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)24
38.2%
23
61.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM24
40.5%
21
59.5%
Q1 - 0:17.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)24
40.5%
21
59.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot24
41.0%
21
59.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
42.2%
21
57.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0MEMMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
41.7%
21
58.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0MEMJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
40.5%
21
59.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot24
41.0%
21
59.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)24
42.3%
21
57.7%
Q1 - 0:51.0MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 224
42.8%
20
57.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0MEMStoudamire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
42.8%
20
57.2%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS O'Neal Layup24
43.3%
20
56.7%
Q1 - 1:23MEMGasol 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stoudamire 2 AST)24
44.6%
20
55.4%
Q1 - 1:37MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)24
47.4%
18
52.6%
Q1 - 1:39MEMMISS Stoudamire 19' Jump Shot24
48.7%
18
51.3%
Q1 - 1:57MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)24
47.4%
18
52.6%
Q1 - 2:13MEMGasol 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)21
42.4%
18
57.6%
Q1 - 2:26MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
44.9%
16
55.1%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot21
45.5%
16
54.5%
Q1 - 2:47MEMJones 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
47.0%
16
53.0%
Q1 - 2:49MEMJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
49.5%
14
50.5%
Q1 - 2:52MEMMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot21
51.1%
14
48.9%
Q1 - 3:14MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)21
48.5%
14
51.5%
Q1 - 3:40MEMBattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)19
46.6%
14
53.4%
Q1 - 3:43MEMStoudamire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
50.8%
11
49.2%
Q1 - 3:46MEMMISS Stoudamire Reverse Layup19
52.6%
11
47.4%
Q1 - 4:02MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)19
50.1%
11
49.9%
Q1 - 4:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
48.4%
11
51.6%
Q1 - 4:07MEMMISS Jones Layup17
47.5%
11
52.5%
Q1 - 4:08MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
45.7%
11
54.3%
Q1 - 4:11MIAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)17
46.5%
11
53.5%
Q1 - 4:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
48.4%
11
51.6%
Q1 - 4:15MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup17
46.5%
11
53.5%
Q1 - 4:29MEMGasol Layup (6 PTS)17
48.4%
11
51.6%
Q1 - 4:30MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)17
50.1%
9
49.9%
Q1 - 4:32MEMMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot17
52.0%
9
48.0%
Q1 - 4:47MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)17
50.1%
9
49.9%
Q1 - 4:52MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
46.2%
9
53.8%
Q1 - 4:54MEMMISS Wright Layup14
45.4%
9
54.6%
Q1 - 5:08MIAWade Layup (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)14
42.8%
9
57.2%
Q1 - 5:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
41.0%
9
59.0%
Q1 - 5:13MEMMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
40.3%
9
59.7%
Q1 - 5:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
38.8%
9
61.2%
Q1 - 5:39MEMBattier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)9
35.1%
9
64.9%
Q1 - 5:51MIAWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T3)9
33.0%
9
67.0%
Q1 - 6:07MEMStoudamire 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)9
34.8%
9
65.2%
Q1 - 6:20MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)9
36.6%
7
63.4%
Q1 - 6:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
33.0%
7
67.0%
Q1 - 6:29MEMMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot6
32.4%
7
67.6%
Q1 - 6:44MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)6
31.1%
7
68.9%
Q1 - 7:02MEMGasol 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
29.6%
7
70.4%
Q1 - 7:14MEMStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
31.1%
5
68.9%
Q1 - 7:16MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)4
31.6%
5
68.4%
Q1 - 7:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
32.9%
5
67.1%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
31.6%
5
68.4%
Q1 - 7:27MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
32.9%
5
67.1%
Q1 - 7:29MEMMISS Gasol Hook Shot4
32.3%
5
67.7%
Q1 - 7:32MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
31.1%
5
68.9%
Q1 - 7:34MEMMISS Gasol 7' Jump Shot4
32.3%
5
67.7%
Q1 - 7:51MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)4
31.1%
5
68.9%
Q1 - 7:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
32.9%
5
67.1%
Q1 - 7:56MEMMISS Stoudamire 20' Jump Shot4
32.3%
5
67.7%
Q1 - 8:01MEMStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
31.1%
5
68.9%
Q1 - 8:03MEMMISS Stoudamire 4' Jump Shot4
32.4%
5
67.6%
Q1 - 8:13MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound4
31.1%
5
68.9%
Q1 - 8:13MEMMISS Jones Layup4
32.4%
5
67.6%
Q1 - 8:18MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)4
31.1%
5
68.9%
Q1 - 8:30MEMJones Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
32.9%
5
67.1%
Q1 - 8:46MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound4
31.1%
5
68.9%
Q1 - 8:46MIABattier BLOCK (1 BLK)4
31.6%
5
68.4%
Q1 - 9:02MEMBattier Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
32.9%
5
67.1%
Q1 - 9:02MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound4
30.7%
5
69.3%
Q1 - 9:02MEMMISS Gasol 7' Turnaround Jump Shot4
32.2%
5
67.8%
Q1 - 9:22MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
30.8%
5
69.2%
Q1 - 9:22MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
30.5%
5
69.5%
Q1 - 9:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
29.6%
5
70.4%
Q1 - 9:23MIAMISS O'Neal Layup2
28.2%
5
71.8%
Q1 - 9:32MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.6%
5
70.4%
Q1 - 9:35MEMMISS Wright 4' Turnaround Jump Shot2
29.0%
5
71.0%
Q1 - 9:42MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
27.7%
5
72.3%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Turnaround Jump Shot2
28.2%
5
71.8%
Q1 - 10:01MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
29.5%
5
70.5%
Q1 - 10:03MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 12
29.2%
5
70.8%
Q1 - 10:11MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
30.8%
3
69.2%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Layup2
31.4%
3
68.6%
Q1 - 10:35MEMJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)2
32.7%
3
67.3%
Q1 - 10:37MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 10:39MEMMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:00MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 11:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Walker Tip Shot2
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Haslem Layup2
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 11:09MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 11:11MEMMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot2
37.0%
0
63.0%
Q1 - 11:26MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:29MEMMISS Gasol 21' Jump Shot2
37.0%
0
63.0%
Q1 - 11:46MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
34.1%
0
65.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.5%
MEM
0.79 39.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
24
43
56%
MEM
14
31
45%
Midrange
MIA
6
17
35%
MEM
11
37
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
MEM
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
MIA
16
21
76%
MEM
16
26
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Walker2574%12.5 / 17
D. Wade2357%11.5 / 20
S. O'Neal1240%6.0 / 15
J. Williams1063%5.0 / 8
J. Kapono975%4.5 / 6
U. Haslem638%3.0 / 8
G. Payton440%2.0 / 5
A. Mourning450%2.0 / 4
E. Barron250%1.0 / 2
M. Walsh2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Gasol2650%13.0 / 26
E. Jones1542%7.5 / 18
D. Stoudamire1036%5.0 / 14
S. Battier867%4.0 / 6
M. Miller744%3.5 / 8
B. Jackson536%2.5 / 7
D. Jones450%2.0 / 4
L. Wright211%1.0 / 9
L. Roberts150%0.5 / 1
J. Tsakalidis0-0.0 / 2
H. Warrick0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+12
-18
88
MEM
80
+19
-15
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.5%
MEM
0.79 39.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
105.9
MIA 103.2
MEM 82.1 +21.1
Pace
92.2
86.4
MIA 96.8 +4.1
MEM 92.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
17.3
MIA 14.9 +0.7
MEM 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
49.6%
MIA 51.9% +15.4%
MEM 36.5%
TO %
15.0%
14.8%
MIA 17.9%
MEM 14.2% +3.7%
ORB %
26.8%
25.8%
MIA 23.1%
MEM 25.5% +2.4%
FTrt
36.3
33.9
MIA 26.9
MEM 30.6 +3.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
57.8%
MIA 51.4%
MEM 55.2% +3.8%
STL %
6.9%
8.4%
MIA 7.4%
MEM 8.4% +1.0%
BLK %
8.5%
8.9%
MIA 10.3% +0.3%
MEM 10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
51.9%
MIA 54.5% +15.1%
MEM 39.4%
Rim FG%
64.2%
57.0%
MIA 55.8% +10.6%
MEM 45.2%
Mid FG%
38.9%
37.2%
MIA 35.3% +5.6%
MEM 29.7%
3P %
34.5%
37.4%
MIA 38.9% +15.4%
MEM 23.5%
FT %
70.0%
71.1%
MIA 76.2% +14.7%
MEM 61.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
38.4%
MIA 55.1% +18.7%
MEM 36.5%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
35.9%
MIA 21.8% +21.7%
MEM 43.5%
3P Att. %
22.7%
25.8%
MIA 23.1% +3.1%
MEM 20.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes23.324.6
Points9778
Rebounds5044
Assists1916
Steals78
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals37-7829-85
At-the-Rim FG24-4314-31
Midrange FG6-1711-37
2-Point FG30-6025-68
3-Point FG7-184-17
Free Throws16-2116-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
41.1
25
74%
16
4
0
1
1
3
3
13
1-1
100%
6-10
60%
4-7
57%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
39.8
23
57%
10
6
2
2
7
4
2
8
5-7
71%
9-17
53%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
32.8
10
63%
2
3
3
0
1
5
0
2
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
0-3
0%
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
27.9
12
40%
6
3
1
3
3
2
1
5
0-3
0%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
25.5
6
38%
8
0
0
0
1
5
3
5
4-4
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 37
28.3
4
40%
4
2
1
0
4
2
0
4
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
20.2
9
75%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
18.5
4
50%
2
0
0
1
1
5
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
1.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23
1.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
55%
50
19
7
7
18
0
9
41
16-21
76%
30-60
50%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.