FinalWin Prob.pScore
928%91
91
172%98
102
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
101.19093.6
SAS logo SAS
115.98884.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS91
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENMISS Lenard 30' 3PT Jump Shot91
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0DENLenard Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01SASParker 1' Reverse Layup (26 PTS)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)91
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 1:21SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup91
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 1:41SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 1:43DENMISS Camby 5' Jump Shot91
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 1:57SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)91
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 1:57SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 291
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 2:12DENAnthony 8' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)91
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 2:30SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)89
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 2:30SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)89
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 2:50DENAnthony 13' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)89
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 3:01DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)87
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 3:03DENMISS Martin 10' Jump Shot87
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 3:23SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)87
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 3:41DENAnthony 1' Layup (19 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)87
3.1%
94
96.9%
Q4 - 3:57SASParker 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS)85
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 4:14SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q4 - 4:16DENMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot85
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q4 - 4:36SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)85
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 4:36SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 285
4.6%
91
95.4%
Q4 - 4:59DENAnthony 2' Dunk (17 PTS)85
4.0%
91
96.0%
Q4 - 5:18SASParker 2' Driving Finger Roll (22 PTS)83
3.8%
91
96.2%
Q4 - 5:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)83
5.1%
89
94.9%
Q4 - 5:32DENMISS Lenard 15' Jump Shot83
5.6%
89
94.4%
Q4 - 5:53SASParker 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)83
7.0%
89
93.0%
Q4 - 6:18DENMartin 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (19 PTS)83
10.1%
87
89.9%
Q4 - 6:37SASFinley Dunk (16 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)81
8.0%
87
92.0%
Q4 - 6:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)81
10.1%
85
89.9%
Q4 - 6:40SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot81
12.5%
85
87.5%
Q4 - 6:52SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
10.1%
85
89.9%
Q4 - 6:53DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot81
11.1%
85
88.9%
Q4 - 7:06SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)81
14.6%
85
85.4%
Q4 - 7:27DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
22.3%
82
77.7%
Q4 - 7:27DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 280
20.9%
82
79.1%
Q4 - 7:32DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
22.9%
82
77.1%
Q4 - 7:34DENMISS Anthony 8' Jump Bank Shot80
19.3%
82
80.7%
Q4 - 7:53SASFinley 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)80
22.9%
82
77.1%
Q4 - 8:11DENMartin 1' Layup (16 PTS)80
27.8%
80
72.2%
Q4 - 8:24SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)78
23.1%
80
76.9%
Q4 - 8:24SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 278
23.9%
79
76.1%
Q4 - 8:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)78
23.0%
79
77.0%
Q4 - 8:29DENMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot78
24.4%
79
75.6%
Q4 - 8:53SASFinley 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)78
27.9%
79
72.1%
Q4 - 9:04SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
32.4%
77
67.6%
Q4 - 9:06DENMISS Boykins 17' Jump Shot78
34.1%
77
65.9%
Q4 - 9:30SASParker 11' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Horry 3 AST)78
38.2%
77
61.8%
Q4 - 9:54DENJohnson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boykins 5 AST)78
43.8%
75
56.2%
Q4 - 10:14SASParker 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)76
37.6%
75
62.4%
Q4 - 10:30DENNajera 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Boykins 4 AST)76
42.6%
73
57.4%
Q4 - 10:46SASFinley 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)74
37.6%
73
62.4%
Q4 - 10:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)74
42.6%
71
57.4%
Q4 - 10:55DENDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)74
44.5%
71
55.5%
Q4 - 11:09DENMISS Boykins Free Throw Technical74
47.8%
71
52.2%
Q4 - 11:26SASParker 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)74
47.8%
71
52.2%
Q4 - 11:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)74
53.0%
69
47.0%
Q4 - 11:31SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
56.9%
69
43.1%
Q4 - 11:44DENBoykins 6' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)74
53.0%
69
47.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN72
47.9%
69
52.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound72
47.9%
69
52.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Najera 16' Jump Shot72
43.9%
69
56.1%
Q3 - 0:21.0DENElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
46.3%
69
53.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
44.7%
69
55.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
41.3%
69
58.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0DENMISS Boykins 8' Jump Shot72
42.8%
69
57.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASOberto Foul Turnover (P2.T14)72
46.4%
69
53.6%
Q3 - 1:05DENNajera 1' Layup (12 PTS)72
39.9%
69
60.1%
Q3 - 1:22SASVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)70
35.5%
69
64.5%
Q3 - 1:28DENNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)70
31.1%
69
68.9%
Q3 - 1:28DENMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 269
29.8%
69
70.2%
Q3 - 1:44SASVan Exel Foul Turnover (P1.T12)69
31.2%
69
68.8%
Q3 - 1:57SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
27.1%
69
72.9%
Q3 - 1:59DENMISS Boykins 16' Running Jump Shot69
28.3%
69
71.7%
Q3 - 2:04DENElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
30.5%
69
69.5%
Q3 - 2:07SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot69
29.2%
69
70.8%
Q3 - 2:23SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
26.4%
69
73.6%
Q3 - 2:25DENMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot69
27.6%
69
72.4%
Q3 - 2:49SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
30.6%
69
69.4%
Q3 - 2:49SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)69
31.4%
68
68.6%
Q3 - 2:50SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
34.3%
67
65.7%
Q3 - 2:53SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
37.6%
67
62.4%
Q3 - 3:07DENMartin 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)69
34.1%
67
65.9%
Q3 - 3:14SASOberto Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)67
30.4%
67
69.6%
Q3 - 3:27SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
26.5%
67
73.5%
Q3 - 3:29DENMISS Martin 10' Jump Shot67
27.7%
67
72.3%
Q3 - 3:54SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)67
30.4%
67
69.6%
Q3 - 3:54SASMISS Finley Free Throw 1 of 267
30.9%
66
69.1%
Q3 - 3:58DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)67
30.2%
66
69.8%
Q3 - 3:58DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 266
29.5%
66
70.5%
Q3 - 3:58DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)66
30.4%
66
69.6%
Q3 - 3:59DENMISS Najera 17' Jump Shot66
27.7%
66
72.3%
Q3 - 4:18SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)66
29.9%
66
70.1%
Q3 - 4:35DENMartin 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)66
37.0%
63
63.0%
Q3 - 5:01SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
33.1%
63
66.9%
Q3 - 5:01SASFinley 2' Layup (4 PTS)64
33.1%
63
66.9%
Q3 - 5:03SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup64
39.6%
61
60.4%
Q3 - 5:07SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
36.7%
61
63.3%
Q3 - 5:10DENDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)64
37.9%
61
62.1%
Q3 - 5:24DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
40.9%
61
59.1%
Q3 - 5:27SASMISS Horry 14' Jump Shot64
39.6%
61
60.4%
Q3 - 5:36SASSPURS Rebound64
36.6%
61
63.4%
Q3 - 5:36SASMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
39.6%
61
60.4%
Q3 - 5:52DENNajera 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)64
36.6%
61
63.4%
Q3 - 6:14SASDuncan 2' Dunk (18 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)62
32.5%
61
67.5%
Q3 - 6:33DENNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
35.9%
59
64.1%
Q3 - 6:33DENNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)61
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q3 - 6:36DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
32.5%
59
67.5%
Q3 - 6:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)60
28.9%
59
71.1%
Q3 - 6:38SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup60
31.4%
59
68.6%
Q3 - 6:40SASMISS Parker 2' Layup60
31.4%
59
68.6%
Q3 - 6:51DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)60
28.9%
59
71.1%
Q3 - 6:58DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)60
32.5%
59
67.5%
Q3 - 7:00SASMISS Bowen 3' Layup60
31.4%
59
68.6%
Q3 - 7:19DENAnthony 2' Layup (14 PTS)60
28.4%
59
71.6%
Q3 - 7:35SASMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
25.7%
59
74.3%
Q3 - 7:35SASMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
26.7%
58
73.3%
Q3 - 7:52DENMartin 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)58
28.4%
57
71.6%
Q3 - 8:03SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)56
25.6%
57
74.4%
Q3 - 8:15DENMartin Foul Turnover (P2.T11)56
22.5%
57
77.5%
Q3 - 8:32SASParker 4' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)56
25.6%
57
74.4%
Q3 - 8:40DENAnthony 1' Layup (12 PTS)56
28.2%
55
71.8%
Q3 - 8:54SASDuncan 2' Finger Roll (16 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)54
25.6%
55
74.4%
Q3 - 9:05DENCamby Foul Turnover (P3.T10)54
27.6%
53
72.4%
Q3 - 9:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
30.8%
53
69.2%
Q3 - 9:20SASDuncan 1' Layup (14 PTS)54
30.8%
53
69.2%
Q3 - 9:23SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot54
36.3%
51
63.7%
Q3 - 9:36DENLenard 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Camby 3 AST)54
33.9%
51
66.1%
Q3 - 9:50SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
30.9%
51
69.1%
Q3 - 9:50SASMohammed 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)52
30.9%
51
69.1%
Q3 - 9:53SASMISS Bowen 6' Jump Shot52
36.4%
49
63.6%
Q3 - 10:11DENLenard 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)52
33.0%
49
67.0%
Q3 - 10:13DENNuggets Rebound50
30.3%
49
69.7%
Q3 - 10:13DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)50
30.3%
49
69.7%
Q3 - 10:13DENDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)50
28.0%
49
72.0%
Q3 - 10:15DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Shot50
28.0%
49
72.0%
Q3 - 10:34DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
30.3%
49
69.7%
Q3 - 10:35SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 150
29.8%
49
70.2%
Q3 - 10:56DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T9)50
33.0%
47
67.0%
Q3 - 11:08SASNesterovic Foul Turnover (P1.T9)50
35.5%
47
64.5%
Q3 - 11:20DENMartin 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)50
32.4%
47
67.6%
Q3 - 11:31DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)48
29.5%
47
70.5%
Q3 - 11:33SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot48
28.6%
47
71.4%
Q3 - 11:46SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)48
26.6%
47
73.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS48
29.4%
46
70.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound48
29.4%
46
70.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 1' Layup48
31.6%
46
68.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
29.7%
46
70.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
30.3%
46
69.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)48
31.7%
46
68.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot48
31.0%
46
69.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
29.6%
46
70.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENCamby Tip Shot (4 PTS)48
29.6%
46
70.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
25.0%
46
75.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
26.2%
46
73.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0DENMISS Lenard 12' Jump Shot46
25.0%
46
75.0%
Q2 - 1:02SASParker 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)46
26.0%
46
74.0%
Q2 - 1:16DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
29.8%
44
70.2%
Q2 - 1:16DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 245
29.3%
44
70.7%
Q2 - 1:16DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)45
28.5%
44
71.5%
Q2 - 1:17DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)45
28.5%
44
71.5%
Q2 - 1:17DENMISS Anthony 3' Layup45
27.6%
44
72.4%
Q2 - 1:20DENMISS Anthony 2' Alley Oop Layup45
27.6%
44
72.4%
Q2 - 1:27DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)45
28.5%
44
71.5%
Q2 - 1:30SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
28.1%
44
71.9%
Q2 - 1:42DENLenard 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)45
27.2%
44
72.8%
Q2 - 1:56SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
23.6%
44
76.4%
Q2 - 1:56SASOberto 1' Layup (6 PTS)43
23.6%
44
76.4%
Q2 - 1:59SASMISS Parker 2' Layup43
28.1%
42
71.9%
Q2 - 2:09SASSPURS Rebound43
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 2:11SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot43
28.1%
42
71.9%
Q2 - 2:36DENLenard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)43
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 2:40SASFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)43
28.8%
42
71.2%
Q2 - 2:52DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)43
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 2:52DENMISS Boykins Free Throw 1 of 242
26.3%
42
73.7%
Q2 - 2:54SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)42
26.3%
42
73.7%
Q2 - 3:13DENAnthony 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)42
23.6%
42
76.4%
Q2 - 3:30SASParker 1' Layup (6 PTS)40
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 3:41DENBarry STEAL (1 STL)40
23.6%
40
76.4%
Q2 - 3:54SASParker 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
26.1%
40
73.9%
Q2 - 4:12DENLenard 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)40
27.8%
38
72.2%
Q2 - 4:22DENNuggets Rebound38
25.5%
38
74.5%
Q2 - 4:22DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)38
24.1%
38
75.9%
Q2 - 4:22DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
25.5%
38
74.5%
Q2 - 4:24DENMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot38
24.1%
38
75.9%
Q2 - 4:29DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
25.5%
38
74.5%
Q2 - 4:31SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup38
24.9%
38
75.1%
Q2 - 4:48SASSPURS Rebound38
23.4%
38
76.6%
Q2 - 4:50DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
24.1%
38
75.9%
Q2 - 5:01SASParker Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)38
25.4%
38
74.6%
Q2 - 5:17DENBoykins 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)38
23.1%
38
76.9%
Q2 - 5:30SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)36
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 5:30SASSPURS Rebound36
19.4%
38
80.6%
Q2 - 5:30SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot36
20.7%
38
79.3%
Q2 - 5:54SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
19.4%
38
80.6%
Q2 - 5:56DENMISS Najera 21' Jump Shot36
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 6:10DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 6:13SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot36
20.7%
38
79.3%
Q2 - 6:32DENBoykins 10' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
19.3%
38
80.7%
Q2 - 6:39DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
17.9%
38
82.1%
Q2 - 6:41DENMISS Martin 3' Layup34
16.6%
38
83.4%
Q2 - 6:57DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
17.9%
38
82.1%
Q2 - 6:59SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 7:05DENBowen STEAL (1 STL)34
16.4%
38
83.6%
Q2 - 7:29SASHorry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)34
18.0%
38
82.0%
Q2 - 7:41DENMartin 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)34
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 7:55SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
19.6%
35
80.4%
Q2 - 7:55SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
20.0%
34
80.0%
Q2 - 8:20DENBoykins 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)32
21.1%
33
78.9%
Q2 - 8:45SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
19.6%
33
80.4%
Q2 - 8:45SASBowen 2' Layup (4 PTS)30
19.6%
33
80.4%
Q2 - 8:47SASMISS Oberto 5' Jump Bank Shot30
22.5%
31
77.5%
Q2 - 8:52SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
21.1%
31
78.9%
Q2 - 8:55DENHorry BLOCK (2 BLK)30
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q2 - 8:56DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
23.1%
31
76.9%
Q2 - 8:59DENHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)30
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q2 - 9:22SASOberto 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)30
22.9%
31
77.1%
Q2 - 9:44DENNajera Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
24.5%
29
75.5%
Q2 - 9:50DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q2 - 9:51SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
19.3%
29
80.7%
Q2 - 9:51SASMISS Ginobili 1' Tip Shot27
20.6%
29
79.4%
Q2 - 9:53SASMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
20.6%
29
79.4%
Q2 - 9:58SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
19.3%
29
80.7%
Q2 - 9:59SASMISS Van Exel 7' Jump Shot27
20.6%
29
79.4%
Q2 - 10:19DENBoykins 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)27
19.5%
29
80.5%
Q2 - 10:22DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
18.1%
29
81.9%
Q2 - 10:24SASMISS Bowen 4' Finger Roll25
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q2 - 10:46DENNajera 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)25
16.5%
29
83.5%
Q2 - 11:01SASVan Exel 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
15.1%
29
84.9%
Q2 - 11:23DENMiller 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
16.4%
27
83.6%
Q2 - 11:40DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
15.2%
27
84.8%
Q2 - 11:42SASMISS Ginobili 15' Fadeaway Jumper21
14.8%
27
85.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN21
13.9%
27
86.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASOberto 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)21
15.0%
27
85.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
16.6%
25
83.4%
Q1 - 0:23.0DENMISS Boykins 5' Jump Shot21
16.9%
25
83.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
17.6%
25
82.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup21
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q1 - 0:40.0DENBoykins 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)21
16.6%
25
83.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0SASVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)19
15.0%
25
85.0%
Q1 - 1:10SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
18.0%
22
82.0%
Q1 - 1:12DENMISS Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 1:29SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)19
19.1%
22
80.9%
Q1 - 1:42SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
20.9%
20
79.1%
Q1 - 1:44DENMISS Camby 7' Running Jump Shot19
21.3%
20
78.7%
Q1 - 1:53DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q1 - 1:55SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
21.8%
20
78.2%
Q1 - 2:02SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 2:04DENMISS Boykins 16' Jump Shot19
21.3%
20
78.7%
Q1 - 2:22SASDuncan 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)19
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 2:28DENDuncan STEAL (1 STL)19
24.1%
18
75.9%
Q1 - 2:51SASParker 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)19
25.7%
18
74.3%
Q1 - 3:00DENCamby 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)19
27.7%
16
72.3%
Q1 - 3:10DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 3:12SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot17
24.9%
16
75.1%
Q1 - 3:30DENNene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)17
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 3:41DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 3:43DENMISS Nene 4' Jump Shot17
24.2%
16
75.8%
Q1 - 3:53SASDuncan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)17
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 4:10DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T3)17
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 4:31SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
28.7%
14
71.3%
Q1 - 4:31SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
29.2%
13
70.8%
Q1 - 4:33DENHorry STEAL (1 STL)17
30.1%
12
69.9%
Q1 - 4:35DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
32.4%
12
67.6%
Q1 - 4:37SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot17
31.7%
12
68.3%
Q1 - 4:56SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
30.1%
12
69.9%
Q1 - 4:58DENMISS Camby 20' Jump Shot17
30.8%
12
69.2%
Q1 - 5:11SASDuncan 5' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)17
31.3%
12
68.7%
Q1 - 5:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 5:23DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot17
33.6%
10
66.4%
Q1 - 5:44SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)17
35.1%
10
64.9%
Q1 - 5:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
36.9%
8
63.1%
Q1 - 5:46SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot17
38.4%
8
61.6%
Q1 - 6:09DENMiller 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
35.9%
8
64.1%
Q1 - 6:14DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
34.2%
8
65.8%
Q1 - 6:17SASMISS Ginobili Alley Oop Layup15
33.6%
8
66.4%
Q1 - 6:26DENMiller 1' Layup (4 PTS)15
32.3%
8
67.7%
Q1 - 6:30DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
30.6%
8
69.4%
Q1 - 6:32SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot13
30.1%
8
69.9%
Q1 - 6:45SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
28.9%
8
71.1%
Q1 - 6:47DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot13
29.4%
8
70.6%
Q1 - 7:02SASFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
29.8%
8
70.2%
Q1 - 7:21DENMiller 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 7:30SASDuncan 1' Layup (2 PTS)11
26.7%
8
73.3%
Q1 - 7:45SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
28.1%
6
71.9%
Q1 - 7:47DENNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)11
28.6%
6
71.4%
Q1 - 8:03SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T3)11
29.6%
6
70.4%
Q1 - 8:20DENAnthony Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)11
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 8:44SASNesterovic 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
29.6%
6
70.4%
Q1 - 9:03DENMartin 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 9:22SASBowen 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
29.5%
4
70.5%
Q1 - 9:23SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 9:24SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup9
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 9:29SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 9:30DENMISS Martin 1' Dunk9
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 9:37DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 9:39SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 9:54DENAnthony 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)9
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 9:59SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)7
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 10:04SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 10:07DENMISS Lenard 22' Jump Shot7
28.0%
2
72.0%
Q1 - 10:13DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
29.2%
2
70.8%
Q1 - 10:15SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot7
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 10:39DENAnthony Layup (5 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)7
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 10:54SASGinobili 2' Layup (2 PTS)5
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 11:07DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 11:23SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
24.5%
0
75.5%
Q1 - 11:28SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
23.2%
0
76.8%
Q1 - 11:29SASMISS Nesterovic 2' Layup2
24.1%
0
75.9%
Q1 - 11:45DENMartin 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
23.2%
0
76.8%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Camby: Tip to Lenard0
21.9%
0
78.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.99 49.5%
SAS
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
29
62%
SAS
25
43
58%
Midrange
DEN
23
48
48%
SAS
12
26
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
7
0%
SAS
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
DEN
9
15
60%
SAS
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2361%11.5 / 19
K. Martin1948%9.5 / 20
E. Najera1464%7.0 / 11
E. Boykins1346%6.5 / 14
A. Miller867%4.0 / 6
V. Lenard840%4.0 / 10
M. Camby433%2.0 / 6
D. Johnson250%1.0 / 2
G. Buckner0-0.0 / 1
Nene0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2665%13.0 / 20
T. Duncan1950%9.5 / 19
M. Finley1673%8.0 / 11
M. Ginobili1042%5.0 / 12
R. Horry744%3.5 / 8
F. Oberto675%3.0 / 4
N. Van Exel550%2.5 / 5
B. Bowen440%2.0 / 5
N. Mohammed4100%2.0 / 2
B. Barry350%1.5 / 3
R. Nesterovic250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
77
+15
-13
92
SAS
74
+19
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.99 49.5%
SAS
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
107.1
DEN 101.1
SAS 115.9 +14.8
Pace
93.9
88.8
DEN 93.6 +8.9
SAS 84.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.9
DEN 15.4 +1.6
SAS 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
51.3%
DEN 48.8%
SAS 52.4% +3.6%
TO %
15.1%
14.8%
DEN 12.5% +2.4%
SAS 14.9%
ORB %
26.9%
26.1%
DEN 30.8%
SAS 39.5% +8.7%
FTrt
34.7
29.8
DEN 17.9
SAS 25.6 +7.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
57.4%
DEN 51.2%
SAS 51.2%
STL %
8.9%
7.4%
DEN 6.7% +1.0%
SAS 5.7%
BLK %
8.8%
8.4%
DEN 5.8%
SAS 9.1% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
53.1%
DEN 49.5%
SAS 53.7% +4.2%
Rim FG%
59.2%
61.7%
DEN 62.1% +4.0%
SAS 58.1%
Mid FG%
39.7%
39.0%
DEN 47.9% +1.7%
SAS 46.2%
3P %
32.5%
38.5%
DEN 0.0%
SAS 30.8% +30.8%
FT %
74.4%
70.2%
DEN 60.0%
SAS 76.2% +16.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.8%
36.7%
DEN 34.5%
SAS 52.4% +17.9%
Mid Att. %
45.1%
41.8%
DEN 57.1%
SAS 31.7% +25.4%
3P Att. %
16.1%
21.5%
DEN 8.3%
SAS 15.9% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points91102
Rebounds3542
Assists2121
Steals65
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (0)27 (1)
Field Goals41-8441-82
At-the-Rim FG18-2925-43
Midrange FG23-4812-26
2-Point FG41-7737-69
3-Point FG0-74-13
Free Throws9-1516-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
39.3
8
67%
3
6
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 32
35.0
8
40%
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 21
34.6
23
61%
8
4
0
1
3
4
6
2
3-5
60%
10-16
63%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
32.2
19
48%
2
3
1
0
2
5
1
1
1-2
50%
9-19
47%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 32
31.8
4
33%
11
3
2
2
3
5
3
8
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 29
23.5
13
46%
0
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-3
33%
6-12
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
21.6
14
64%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
4-5
80%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 29
7.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25
7.2
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30
4.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 199 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
50%
35
21
6
4
13
0
12
23
9-15
60%
41-77
53%
0-7
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.