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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 20, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17SuperSonics22%9178
6Rockets78%101106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 25.3
44.6
24.8
9
41%
7
2
0
1
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
45%
0-5
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.7
41.2
15.5
22
44%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
8-15
2-5
53%
42%
2-10
20%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
24.0
33.2
8
58%
2
8
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
41%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 24.9
23.9
23.2
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 29.4
12.1
18.5
2
50%
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 27.6
30.8
2.6
8
45%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
0-1
50%
38%
0-2
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
27.5
22.8
6
30%
9
1
0
1
0
1
4
5
2-2
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
51%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.1
18.6
14.3
13
72%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
5-7
71%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 19.4
17.3
2.6
10
94%
3
0
0
0
4
0
1
2
2-3
67%
4-4
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.8
37.0
1
5-11
45%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.7
28.5
1
4-8
47%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.1
10.5
0
1-2
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 29.4
39.5
7.4
10
49%
7
2
1
0
0
0
1
6
4-5
80%
3-8
1-1
38%
47%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.1
26.6
22.5
18
78%
6
3
4
1
0
0
0
6
6-8
75%
6-8
2-4
75%
47%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 24.6
22.8
27.2
13
57%
6
1
0
0
1
2
1
5
7-10
70%
3-7
6-11
43%
55%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 34.4
22.2
30.8
12
72%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
3-5
60%
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 34.6
14.6
19.1
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.0
28.5
24.4
8
67%
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 38.8
25.2
17.0
1
15%
4
0
0
0
3
1
1
3
1-1
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 29.8
21.9
24.0
24
92%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
47%
4-5
80%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.7
17.6
21.2
14
102%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
2-2
100%
Torraye Braggs
F · 6'8" 245 · 28.9
12.0
3.5
2
33%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 31.7
9.3
5.0
2
25%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
40%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 25.9
34.7
1
7-15
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.