FinalWin Prob.pScore
1160%101
98
3040%98
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
104.39489.3
ORL logo ORL
98.99499.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)98
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.7%
93
0.3%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIALaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)98
99.2%
93
0.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)97
99.1%
93
0.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
98.2%
93
1.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0ORLMISS Nelson Layup96
97.3%
93
2.7%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAStevenson STEAL (2 STL)96
93.0%
93
7.0%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)96
94.6%
93
5.4%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 296
95.2%
92
4.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIALaettner 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)96
93.1%
92
6.9%
Q4 - 1:06ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T22)94
85.6%
92
14.4%
Q4 - 1:09MIAFrancis STEAL (2 STL)94
74.7%
92
25.3%
Q4 - 1:27ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)94
84.5%
92
15.5%
Q4 - 1:27ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)94
86.3%
91
13.7%
Q4 - 1:27ORLMAGIC Rebound94
89.5%
90
10.5%
Q4 - 1:27ORLMISS Nelson 23' Jump Shot94
92.9%
90
7.1%
Q4 - 1:48MIALaettner 23' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)94
88.3%
90
11.7%
Q4 - 2:08MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
84.0%
90
16.0%
Q4 - 2:10ORLMISS Francis Layup92
81.2%
90
18.8%
Q4 - 2:16ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
73.1%
90
26.9%
Q4 - 2:18ORLMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot92
81.3%
90
18.7%
Q4 - 2:38ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
73.0%
90
27.0%
Q4 - 2:40MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot92
77.0%
90
23.0%
Q4 - 2:58ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T21)92
81.6%
90
18.4%
Q4 - 3:08MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)92
71.4%
90
28.6%
Q4 - 3:08MIAHeat Rebound92
81.9%
90
18.1%
Q4 - 3:08MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
75.0%
90
25.0%
Q4 - 3:32MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
78.2%
90
21.8%
Q4 - 3:34ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot92
76.2%
90
23.8%
Q4 - 3:57MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)92
71.1%
90
28.9%
Q4 - 3:57MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)91
69.2%
90
30.8%
Q4 - 4:07ORLFrancis Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P7.T20)90
63.3%
90
36.7%
Q4 - 4:24MIASmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)90
53.6%
90
46.4%
Q4 - 4:24MIASmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)89
52.5%
90
47.5%
Q4 - 4:36MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
44.6%
90
55.4%
Q4 - 4:38ORLMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
41.6%
90
58.4%
Q4 - 4:58MIADooling Driving Dunk (19 PTS)88
34.8%
90
65.2%
Q4 - 4:58ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19)86
27.2%
90
72.8%
Q4 - 5:12MIASmith 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)86
24.3%
90
75.7%
Q4 - 5:31ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)84
18.8%
90
81.2%
Q4 - 5:31ORLHoward Dunk (18 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)84
24.4%
89
75.6%
Q4 - 5:48MIALaettner Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)84
30.7%
87
69.3%
Q4 - 5:55MIASmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
24.3%
87
75.7%
Q4 - 5:57ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
22.4%
87
77.6%
Q4 - 6:10MIABattie STEAL (3 STL)82
21.6%
87
78.4%
Q4 - 6:20ORLMAGIC Rebound82
28.0%
87
72.0%
Q4 - 6:20ORLMISS Howard Layup82
25.9%
87
74.1%
Q4 - 6:20ORLHoward Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T18)82
28.0%
87
72.0%
Q4 - 6:29ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
21.5%
87
78.5%
Q4 - 6:31MIAMISS Doleac 21' Jump Shot82
23.3%
87
76.7%
Q4 - 6:42ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)82
27.8%
87
72.2%
Q4 - 6:42ORLMAGIC Rebound82
21.4%
87
78.6%
Q4 - 6:42ORLMISS Francis 3PT Jump Shot82
25.7%
87
74.3%
Q4 - 7:07ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
25.0%
87
75.0%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot82
26.7%
87
73.3%
Q4 - 7:30MIAHeat Rebound82
31.0%
87
69.0%
Q4 - 7:31MIABattie BLOCK (1 BLK)82
26.6%
87
73.4%
Q4 - 7:36ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
31.0%
87
69.0%
Q4 - 7:36ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)82
32.6%
86
67.4%
Q4 - 7:49ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
36.3%
85
63.7%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot82
38.5%
85
61.5%
Q4 - 8:10ORLFrancis 21' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS)82
44.7%
85
55.3%
Q4 - 8:32MIADooling 23' Jump Shot (17 PTS)82
50.9%
83
49.1%
Q4 - 8:42MIASmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
44.7%
83
55.3%
Q4 - 8:45ORLMISS Francis 22' Jump Shot80
42.7%
83
57.3%
Q4 - 8:57MIALaettner 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 5 AST)80
38.3%
83
61.7%
Q4 - 9:12ORLKasun Layup (5 PTS)78
34.7%
83
65.3%
Q4 - 9:14ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)78
40.0%
81
60.0%
Q4 - 9:18ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot78
44.3%
81
55.7%
Q4 - 9:34ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
40.0%
81
60.0%
Q4 - 9:36MIAMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
41.8%
81
58.2%
Q4 - 10:01ORLFrancis 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)78
46.9%
81
53.1%
Q4 - 10:07ORLMAGIC Rebound78
57.7%
78
42.3%
Q4 - 10:08ORLMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot78
61.8%
78
38.2%
Q4 - 10:23MIALaettner Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)78
57.8%
78
42.2%
Q4 - 10:25MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
63.6%
78
36.4%
Q4 - 10:27ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot78
61.9%
78
38.1%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)78
57.8%
78
42.2%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 277
56.0%
78
44.0%
Q4 - 10:48ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)77
58.2%
78
41.8%
Q4 - 10:48ORLMAGIC Rebound77
52.1%
78
47.9%
Q4 - 10:49ORLMISS Barrett 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
56.4%
78
43.6%
Q4 - 11:12ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)77
52.1%
78
47.9%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 277
52.9%
78
47.1%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 277
55.8%
78
44.2%
Q4 - 11:29ORLBarrett Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)77
57.7%
78
42.3%
Q4 - 11:41MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)77
52.1%
78
47.9%
Q4 - 11:41MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)76
51.1%
78
48.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL75
46.9%
78
53.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIADooling 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)75
41.3%
78
58.7%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAWright Free Throw Clear Path (7 PTS)73
38.0%
78
62.0%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLFrancis Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T14)72
33.3%
78
66.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAHaslem Layup (12 PTS) (Doleac 2 AST)72
28.8%
78
71.2%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
24.7%
78
75.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot70
22.2%
78
77.8%
Q3 - 1:12ORLFrancis 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)70
26.7%
78
73.3%
Q3 - 1:21ORLBarrett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
30.5%
76
69.5%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
31.8%
76
68.2%
Q3 - 1:38ORLHunter Foul Turnover (P1.T13)70
34.9%
76
65.1%
Q3 - 1:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)70
30.5%
76
69.5%
Q3 - 1:50ORLMISS Francis 21' Jump Shot70
33.5%
76
66.5%
Q3 - 1:54ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
30.5%
76
69.5%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot70
31.8%
76
68.2%
Q3 - 1:59MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
34.9%
76
65.1%
Q3 - 2:01MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)70
32.8%
76
67.2%
Q3 - 2:13ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
36.0%
76
64.0%
Q3 - 2:13ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)70
37.2%
75
62.8%
Q3 - 2:21ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
40.0%
74
60.0%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup70
41.5%
74
58.5%
Q3 - 2:38MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
44.9%
74
55.1%
Q3 - 2:40MIAMISS Wright 14' Jump Shot70
41.5%
74
58.5%
Q3 - 2:56ORLFrancis 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)70
44.9%
74
55.1%
Q3 - 3:16MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)70
49.9%
72
50.1%
Q3 - 3:21ORLStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)68
45.7%
72
54.3%
Q3 - 3:29ORLMAGIC Rebound68
41.0%
72
59.0%
Q3 - 3:29ORLMISS Stevenson Layup68
44.3%
72
55.7%
Q3 - 3:35MIABarrett STEAL (1 STL)68
41.0%
72
59.0%
Q3 - 3:39ORLBarrett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)68
45.7%
72
54.3%
Q3 - 3:47ORLMAGIC Rebound68
41.0%
72
59.0%
Q3 - 3:50ORLMISS Francis 11' Fadeaway Jumper68
44.2%
72
55.8%
Q3 - 4:12MIADoleac 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)68
41.7%
72
58.3%
Q3 - 4:31ORLBarrett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)66
38.2%
72
61.8%
Q3 - 4:50MIAHaslem Dunk (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)66
45.9%
69
54.1%
Q3 - 5:01ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
43.0%
69
57.0%
Q3 - 5:01ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
44.3%
68
55.7%
Q3 - 5:06ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
46.9%
67
53.1%
Q3 - 5:07MIAMISS Doleac Layup64
48.2%
67
51.8%
Q3 - 5:18MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
51.3%
67
48.7%
Q3 - 5:20ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Hook Shot64
49.9%
67
50.1%
Q3 - 5:50MIAWright 10' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)64
46.8%
67
53.2%
Q3 - 6:09ORLFrancis 23' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)62
43.8%
67
56.2%
Q3 - 6:22MIAFrancis STEAL (1 STL)62
47.5%
65
52.5%
Q3 - 6:39ORLHoward 7' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)62
51.8%
65
48.2%
Q3 - 6:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
55.5%
63
44.5%
Q3 - 6:54MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
56.8%
63
43.2%
Q3 - 7:09MIAHeat Rebound62
59.5%
63
40.5%
Q3 - 7:09ORLMISS Stevenson 17' Jump Shot62
58.2%
63
41.8%
Q3 - 7:24MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)62
55.2%
63
44.8%
Q3 - 7:24MIAButler Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)61
51.3%
63
48.7%
Q3 - 7:26ORLStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)59
48.0%
63
52.0%
Q3 - 7:39MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
43.6%
63
56.4%
Q3 - 7:39MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
42.9%
63
57.1%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
40.4%
63
59.6%
Q3 - 7:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)57
36.2%
63
63.8%
Q3 - 7:43ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot57
39.1%
63
60.9%
Q3 - 7:45ORLMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
39.1%
63
60.9%
Q3 - 8:03MIAStevenson STEAL (1 STL)57
37.2%
63
62.8%
Q3 - 8:15ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)57
41.2%
63
58.8%
Q3 - 8:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
37.1%
63
62.9%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot57
38.4%
63
61.6%
Q3 - 8:46ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
41.2%
63
58.8%
Q3 - 8:56ORLMISS Francis Free Throw Technical57
44.3%
61
55.7%
Q3 - 9:12ORLMAGIC Rebound57
45.3%
61
54.7%
Q3 - 9:13MIAMISS Anderson 14' Jump Shot57
46.5%
61
53.5%
Q3 - 9:18MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
49.1%
61
50.9%
Q3 - 9:21ORLMISS Howard Dunk57
47.9%
61
52.1%
Q3 - 9:40MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)57
45.3%
61
54.7%
Q3 - 9:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
38.3%
61
61.7%
Q3 - 9:50ORLMISS Battie 19' Jump Shot54
37.2%
61
62.8%
Q3 - 9:58ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
34.7%
61
65.3%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot54
35.8%
61
64.2%
Q3 - 10:11MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
39.6%
61
60.4%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
37.0%
61
63.0%
Q3 - 10:29ORLHoward Layup (10 PTS)54
39.5%
61
60.5%
Q3 - 10:54MIAAnderson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
42.6%
59
57.4%
Q3 - 11:13ORLHoward 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)52
40.6%
59
59.4%
Q3 - 11:30MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)52
43.8%
57
56.2%
Q3 - 11:47ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T8)50
40.6%
57
59.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL50
37.1%
57
62.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound50
37.1%
57
62.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
39.5%
57
60.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
38.9%
57
61.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Nelson 15' Fadeaway Jumper50
40.4%
57
59.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
38.8%
57
61.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Laettner 16' Jump Shot50
39.5%
57
60.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0ORLBattie 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)50
41.1%
57
58.9%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
46.1%
55
53.9%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
45.0%
55
55.0%
Q2 - 1:14ORLFrancis 11' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)48
41.4%
55
58.6%
Q2 - 1:35MIALaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
46.1%
53
53.9%
Q2 - 1:35MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
45.5%
53
54.5%
Q2 - 1:52MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
41.4%
53
58.6%
Q2 - 1:54ORLMISS Francis Layup46
40.9%
53
59.1%
Q2 - 2:05ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
39.9%
53
60.1%
Q2 - 2:07MIAMISS Smith 12' Turnaround Jump Shot46
40.8%
53
59.2%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
42.7%
53
57.3%
Q2 - 2:26ORLMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
41.9%
53
58.1%
Q2 - 2:34MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)46
39.9%
53
60.1%
Q2 - 2:45MIASmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
33.8%
53
66.2%
Q2 - 2:47ORLMISS Howard Layup43
33.1%
53
66.9%
Q2 - 2:56MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)43
31.4%
53
68.6%
Q2 - 3:07ORLHoward Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)43
35.6%
53
64.4%
Q2 - 3:20MIALaettner 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
38.0%
51
62.0%
Q2 - 3:30ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
35.5%
51
64.5%
Q2 - 3:30ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
36.3%
50
63.7%
Q2 - 3:48MIASmith 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)41
37.9%
49
62.1%
Q2 - 4:07ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)39
36.5%
49
63.5%
Q2 - 4:13ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
33.9%
49
66.1%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot39
34.7%
49
65.3%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
36.5%
49
63.5%
Q2 - 4:24ORLMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot39
35.7%
49
64.3%
Q2 - 4:31ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
33.9%
49
66.1%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
34.7%
49
65.3%
Q2 - 4:50ORLJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
36.5%
49
63.5%
Q2 - 4:50ORLMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 239
37.4%
48
62.6%
Q2 - 4:54MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)39
36.5%
48
63.5%
Q2 - 5:00ORLBarrett 10' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
39.2%
48
60.8%
Q2 - 5:08MIADoleac 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)39
42.5%
46
57.5%
Q2 - 5:22ORLBattie 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)37
40.0%
46
60.0%
Q2 - 5:25ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
42.5%
44
57.5%
Q2 - 5:26ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
42.5%
44
57.5%
Q2 - 5:26ORLMISS Hunter Dunk37
44.6%
44
55.4%
Q2 - 5:29ORLMISS Hunter Layup37
44.6%
44
55.4%
Q2 - 5:42MIABattie STEAL (2 STL)37
42.5%
44
57.5%
Q2 - 6:02ORLHunter 9' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)37
46.5%
44
53.5%
Q2 - 6:15MIALaettner Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)37
48.6%
42
51.4%
Q2 - 6:23ORLBarrett Driving Layup (5 PTS)37
51.9%
42
48.1%
Q2 - 6:32MIALaettner 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)37
54.1%
40
45.9%
Q2 - 6:52ORLHunter 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
57.3%
40
42.7%
Q2 - 7:07MIADooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)37
60.0%
38
40.0%
Q2 - 7:30ORLBarrett Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)34
55.0%
38
45.0%
Q2 - 7:30ORLBarrett Driving Layup (2 PTS)34
57.6%
37
42.4%
Q2 - 7:34ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
60.0%
35
40.0%
Q2 - 7:36MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot34
60.8%
35
39.2%
Q2 - 7:57ORLFrancis Foul Turnover (P4.T6)34
62.7%
35
37.3%
Q2 - 8:14ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
59.8%
35
40.2%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot34
60.7%
35
39.3%
Q2 - 8:29ORLFrancis Foul Turnover (P3.T5)34
62.6%
35
37.4%
Q2 - 8:36MIAWright Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)34
59.8%
35
40.2%
Q2 - 8:47ORLKasun Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)32
57.7%
35
42.3%
Q2 - 8:47ORLMISS Kasun Free Throw 1 of 232
58.5%
34
41.5%
Q2 - 8:54ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
57.3%
34
42.7%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot32
58.2%
34
41.8%
Q2 - 9:19ORLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
60.3%
34
39.7%
Q2 - 9:19ORLJones Tip Shot (2 PTS)32
60.3%
34
39.7%
Q2 - 9:22ORLMISS Kasun 10' Jump Hook Shot32
64.2%
32
35.8%
Q2 - 9:31ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)32
62.4%
32
37.6%
Q2 - 9:32ORLMISS Barrett 22' Jump Shot32
64.2%
32
35.8%
Q2 - 9:42MIADooling 11' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
62.4%
32
37.6%
Q2 - 10:09ORLFrancis 11' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
60.2%
32
39.8%
Q2 - 10:36ORLMAGIC Rebound30
62.2%
30
37.8%
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot30
63.0%
30
37.0%
Q2 - 10:50MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
64.8%
30
35.2%
Q2 - 10:50ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 230
64.5%
30
35.5%
Q2 - 10:50ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 230
63.2%
30
36.8%
Q2 - 10:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
62.3%
30
37.7%
Q2 - 10:52ORLMISS Barrett 14' Jump Shot30
64.1%
30
35.9%
Q2 - 10:54ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
62.3%
30
37.7%
Q2 - 10:56ORLMISS Francis 21' Jump Shot30
64.1%
30
35.9%
Q2 - 11:19MIAWright Layup (2 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)30
62.5%
30
37.5%
Q2 - 11:39ORLKasun Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)28
60.1%
30
39.9%
Q2 - 11:40ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
62.4%
28
37.6%
Q2 - 11:42ORLMISS Howard Layup28
64.0%
28
36.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL28
62.4%
28
37.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound28
62.4%
28
37.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Francis 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper28
64.0%
28
36.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)28
62.6%
28
37.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAHeat Rebound26
59.8%
28
40.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
59.3%
28
40.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIADooling 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
58.1%
28
41.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
55.2%
28
44.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot24
53.9%
28
46.1%
Q1 - 1:19ORLStevenson 24' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)24
55.3%
28
44.7%
Q1 - 1:34MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)24
60.4%
25
39.6%
Q1 - 1:49ORLFrancis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
55.3%
25
44.7%
Q1 - 2:10MIADooling Backcourt Turnover (P1.T8)21
60.6%
22
39.4%
Q1 - 2:23ORLStevenson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)21
62.7%
22
37.3%
Q1 - 2:43MIADooling 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
67.0%
19
33.0%
Q1 - 3:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
64.8%
19
35.2%
Q1 - 3:03ORLMISS Stevenson Driving Layup19
64.3%
19
35.7%
Q1 - 3:20MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)19
62.6%
19
37.4%
Q1 - 3:33MIAHeat Rebound16
58.6%
19
41.4%
Q1 - 3:34ORLMISS Francis 18' Fadeaway Jumper16
57.8%
19
42.2%
Q1 - 3:54MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
56.1%
19
43.9%
Q1 - 3:54MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
55.7%
19
44.3%
Q1 - 3:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
54.1%
19
45.9%
Q1 - 4:00ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
53.4%
19
46.6%
Q1 - 4:11MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)14
52.0%
19
48.0%
Q1 - 4:33ORLBattie 10' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)14
54.7%
19
45.3%
Q1 - 4:56MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
56.4%
17
43.6%
Q1 - 5:05ORLFrancis Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
55.2%
17
44.8%
Q1 - 5:10MIABattie STEAL (1 STL)12
57.0%
15
43.0%
Q1 - 5:21ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)12
59.3%
15
40.7%
Q1 - 5:25MIAHoward STEAL (2 STL)12
57.0%
15
43.0%
Q1 - 5:45ORLStevenson Driving Layup (3 PTS)12
59.3%
15
40.7%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMourning Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)12
61.1%
13
38.9%
Q1 - 6:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
59.3%
13
40.7%
Q1 - 6:17ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 2 of 210
59.1%
13
40.9%
Q1 - 6:17ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
58.0%
13
42.0%
Q1 - 6:21ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
59.3%
12
40.7%
Q1 - 6:23MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
59.9%
12
40.1%
Q1 - 6:26MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
61.3%
12
38.7%
Q1 - 6:28MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
59.9%
12
40.1%
Q1 - 6:36MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
61.3%
12
38.7%
Q1 - 6:38ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot10
60.7%
12
39.3%
Q1 - 6:54MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)10
59.3%
12
40.7%
Q1 - 7:22ORLHoward Slam Dunk (2 PTS)10
61.7%
12
38.3%
Q1 - 7:26MIAHoward STEAL (1 STL)10
63.3%
10
36.7%
Q1 - 7:38ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
65.2%
10
34.8%
Q1 - 7:43MIAAnderson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)10
63.3%
10
36.7%
Q1 - 7:51ORLFrancis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
61.7%
10
38.3%
Q1 - 7:56ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
59.6%
10
40.4%
Q1 - 7:58MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot8
60.3%
10
39.7%
Q1 - 8:14ORLNelson 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)8
62.2%
10
37.8%
Q1 - 8:23MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
63.8%
8
36.2%
Q1 - 8:28ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
65.7%
8
34.3%
Q1 - 8:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
63.8%
8
36.2%
Q1 - 8:33ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot8
65.1%
8
34.9%
Q1 - 8:49MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)8
63.8%
8
36.2%
Q1 - 9:05ORLBattie Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)6
62.2%
8
37.8%
Q1 - 9:13ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
63.5%
6
36.5%
Q1 - 9:16MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
64.2%
6
35.8%
Q1 - 9:35ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)6
65.7%
6
34.3%
Q1 - 9:47MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)6
68.6%
3
31.4%
Q1 - 10:12ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)4
67.2%
3
32.8%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS)4
70.2%
0
29.8%
Q1 - 10:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
68.8%
0
31.2%
Q1 - 10:56ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot2
68.3%
0
31.7%
Q1 - 11:22MIAMourning 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
67.1%
0
32.9%
Q1 - 11:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
65.4%
0
34.6%
Q1 - 11:40ORLMISS Howard Layup0
64.9%
0
35.1%
Q1 - 11:58MIAAnderson Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1)0
63.8%
0
36.2%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Mourning: Tip to Anderson0
65.4%
0
34.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.18 59.0%
ORL
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
14
71%
ORL
13
26
50%
Midrange
MIA
22
40
55%
ORL
15
36
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
ORL
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
19
22
86%
ORL
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Dooling1986%9.5 / 11
C. Laettner1478%7.0 / 9
U. Haslem12100%6.0 / 6
A. Mourning975%4.5 / 6
E. Jones8100%4.0 / 4
M. Doleac844%4.0 / 9
R. Butler829%4.0 / 14
D. Wright750%3.5 / 7
S. Smith660%3.0 / 5
S. Anderson467%2.0 / 3
D. Jones325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis2153%10.5 / 20
D. Howard2148%10.5 / 22
D. Stevenson1142%5.5 / 13
J. Nelson1038%5.0 / 13
A. Barrett1063%5.0 / 8
T. Battie880%4.0 / 5
M. Kasun563%2.5 / 4
B. Hunter450%2.0 / 4
M. Jones338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+8
-19
83
ORL
74
+22
-20
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.18 59.0%
ORL
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
101.8
MIA 104.3
ORL 98.9 +5.3
Pace
93.9
97.7
MIA 89.3
ORL 99.2 +10.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.6
MIA 16.1
ORL 14.5 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.8%
MIA 57.2% +9.7%
ORL 47.5%
TO %
14.0%
16.0%
MIA 21.1%
ORL 19.4% +1.7%
ORB %
27.0%
30.0%
MIA 20.7%
ORL 36.1% +15.4%
FTrt
38.7
35.0
MIA 31.9 +3.5
ORL 28.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
52.2%
MIA 56.8% +28.2%
ORL 28.6%
STL %
6.8%
7.9%
MIA 12.8% +1.1%
ORL 11.7%
BLK %
8.7%
8.0%
MIA 8.1% +4.4%
ORL 3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
50.3%
MIA 59.0% +11.6%
ORL 47.4%
Rim FG%
63.0%
57.1%
MIA 71.4% +21.4%
ORL 50.0%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.0%
MIA 55.0% +13.3%
ORL 41.7%
3P %
37.7%
34.9%
MIA 33.3%
ORL 36.8% +3.5%
FT %
67.2%
75.9%
MIA 86.4% +16.8%
ORL 69.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
35.8%
MIA 20.3%
ORL 32.1% +11.8%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
50.5%
MIA 58.0%
ORL 44.4% +13.5%
3P Att. %
19.8%
13.7%
MIA 21.7%
ORL 23.5% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points9893
Rebounds2936
Assists2110
Steals1211
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)19 (2)20 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)13 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (3)23 (2)
Field Goals37-6935-81
At-the-Rim FG10-1413-26
Midrange FG22-4015-36
2-Point FG32-5428-62
3-Point FG5-157-19
Free Throws19-2216-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
24.0
12
100%
4
0
1
0
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 35
19.4
9
75%
4
1
0
2
0
1
0
4
3-6
50%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 29
17.1
3
25%
0
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-6
17%
G · 6'6" 215 · 31
14.1
4
67%
2
0
0
0
4
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 34
12.0
8
100%
2
2
1
0
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
30.9
19
86%
0
5
2
0
4
3
0
0
4-4
100%
6-8
75%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
28.6
8
44%
6
2
1
0
1
4
2
4
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
27.7
8
29%
5
1
0
2
1
3
2
3
1-1
100%
2-10
20%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 36
24.0
14
78%
3
2
2
1
4
2
0
3
4-4
100%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 19
22.5
7
50%
0
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 36
19.7
6
60%
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
59%
29
21
12
5
19
0
6
23
19-22
86%
32-54
59%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.