FinalWin Prob.pScore
3018%91
80
882%102
99
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
83.396112.2
MIA logo MIA
102.19784.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA80
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHAMISS Alexander 22' Jump Shot80
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWright Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)80
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0CHACarroll Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)80
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0CHACarroll Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Hart 9 AST)79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0CHAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)77
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Doleac 20' Jump Shot77
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0CHAMISS Carroll 19' Jump Shot77
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 1:01MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07CHAWright STEAL (1 STL)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17MIALaettner Layup (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30CHAKapono 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Alexander 3 AST)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)75
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59CHAMISS Carroll 22' Jump Shot75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Wright 12' Jump Bank Shot75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24CHAMISS Hart 20' Jump Shot75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Doleac 2 AST)75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03CHAMISS Hart 22' Jump Shot75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13CHAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30CHAHart Foul Turnover (P3.T14)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55MIADooling 16' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21CHADoleac BLOCK (1 BLK)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Dooling 16' Jump Shot75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46MIASmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48CHAMISS Okafor 16' Jump Shot75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00MIALaettner Foul Turnover (P2.T9)75
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 5:14CHAOkafor Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)75
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 5:34MIADooling Driving Dunk (6 PTS)75
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 5:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 5:42CHAMISS Ely 7' Hook Shot75
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 6:03MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)75
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 6:29CHAEly Driving Layup (14 PTS)75
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 6:46CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot73
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 7:04MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 7:06CHAMISS Carroll 5' Hook Shot73
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 7:15CHAEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 7:17MIAMISS Dooling 5' Jump Bank Shot73
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 7:29MIASmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 7:31CHAMISS Ely 15' Jump Shot73
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 7:43MIAMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 173
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 7:43MIASmith Layup (2 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)73
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 7:44MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 7:56MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 7:58CHAMISS Carroll 21' Jump Shot73
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 8:15CHABogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 8:17MIAMISS Dooling 12' Jump Shot73
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 8:34CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)73
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 8:34CHABobcats Rebound73
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 8:34CHAMISS Bogans 12' Jump Shot73
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 9:02MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)73
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q4 - 9:26CHAEly 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS)73
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q4 - 9:48MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)71
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q4 - 10:04CHAEly 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS)71
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q4 - 10:21CHAAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
3.2%
79
96.8%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot69
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q4 - 10:29MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q4 - 10:31CHAMISS Carroll 22' Jump Shot69
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q4 - 10:49MIALaettner 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q4 - 11:12CHAKapono 23' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alexander 2 AST)69
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q4 - 11:27CHAEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q4 - 11:29MIAMISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot67
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 11:53CHACarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 11:53CHACarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA65
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHABobcats Rebound65
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)65
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot65
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)65
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot65
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0CHAMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIALaettner 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)65
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 1:00CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 265
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 1:00CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)65
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 1:11CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)64
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 1:13MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 1:17CHAButler STEAL (1 STL)64
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 1:23MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)64
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 1:43CHAAllen 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)64
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 1:56MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)62
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 2:20CHAAlexander 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS)62
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q3 - 2:29CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 2:31MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot60
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q3 - 2:46CHAHaslem STEAL (2 STL)60
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 2:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 2:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 3:10CHAOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 3:10CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)59
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 3:18CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q3 - 3:20MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot58
3.0%
70
97.0%
Q3 - 3:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)58
2.6%
70
97.4%
Q3 - 3:31MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.0%
70
97.0%
Q3 - 3:52CHACarroll 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hart 8 AST)58
2.6%
70
97.4%
Q3 - 3:58CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
2.2%
70
97.8%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Wade Layup56
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q3 - 4:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q3 - 4:06CHAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot56
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q3 - 4:21MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)56
2.4%
70
97.6%
Q3 - 4:35CHAOkafor Foul Turnover (P2.T9)56
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 4:51CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
3.9%
67
96.1%
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS Haslem Layup56
3.7%
67
96.3%
Q3 - 5:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 5:02CHAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot56
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q3 - 5:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
4.1%
67
95.9%
Q3 - 5:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
4.2%
66
95.8%
Q3 - 5:33MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
4.7%
65
95.3%
Q3 - 5:34CHAMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
5.0%
65
95.0%
Q3 - 5:41CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
5.6%
65
94.4%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q3 - 6:06CHAWallace 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)56
4.9%
65
95.1%
Q3 - 6:19CHAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 6:21CHAHaslem BLOCK (2 BLK)54
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 6:22CHABogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 6:24CHAJones BLOCK (2 BLK)54
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 6:29MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)54
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 6:37CHAJones STEAL (1 STL)54
3.6%
65
96.4%
Q3 - 6:58MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)54
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 7:15CHABogans 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 7:20CHAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup52
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 7:41CHAWade STEAL (2 STL)52
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 7:56CHAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 252
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 252
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q3 - 8:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q3 - 8:10CHAMISS Hart Driving Layup52
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q3 - 8:26CHABobcats Rebound52
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot52
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 8:31MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q3 - 8:33CHAMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot52
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q3 - 8:48MIAWade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)52
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 9:10CHAHart 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
5.2%
61
94.8%
Q3 - 9:20MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)50
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q3 - 9:20MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)50
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q3 - 9:34CHABogans Driving Layup (12 PTS)50
5.2%
59
94.8%
Q3 - 9:44CHAEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q3 - 9:46CHAMISS Wallace Driving Layup48
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q3 - 9:57CHAEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q3 - 9:58MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
4.3%
59
95.7%
Q3 - 10:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
3.9%
59
96.1%
Q3 - 10:06CHAMISS Ely 10' Turnaround Jump Shot48
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q3 - 10:14MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)48
4.6%
59
95.4%
Q3 - 10:38CHAEly 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)48
5.2%
57
94.8%
Q3 - 10:59CHABobcats Rebound46
4.6%
57
95.4%
Q3 - 11:00MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 246
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q3 - 11:00MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 246
4.2%
57
95.8%
Q3 - 11:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
4.0%
57
96.0%
Q3 - 11:08CHAMISS Hart 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q3 - 11:15CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
4.6%
57
95.4%
Q3 - 11:17CHAMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)46
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q3 - 11:32CHAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
4.6%
57
95.4%
Q3 - 11:34MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot46
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
4.0%
57
96.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound46
4.0%
57
96.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 62' 3PT Jump Shot46
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)46
4.3%
57
95.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0CHAMISS Allen 12' Hook Shot46
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
4.7%
57
95.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0CHAHart Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)46
5.5%
55
94.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0CHAHart Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)45
5.4%
55
94.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMourning Dunk (9 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)44
4.7%
55
95.3%
Q2 - 1:08CHABogans 9' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hart 7 AST)44
5.8%
53
94.2%
Q2 - 1:15CHABogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
4.8%
53
95.2%
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot42
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q2 - 1:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
4.5%
53
95.5%
Q2 - 1:27CHAMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q2 - 1:41MIAWade Reverse Dunk (10 PTS)42
4.8%
53
95.2%
Q2 - 1:57CHAAllen 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hart 6 AST)42
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q2 - 2:11MIAWade Layup (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)40
5.1%
51
94.9%
Q2 - 2:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
5.8%
49
94.2%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot40
6.3%
49
93.7%
Q2 - 2:29MIAHEAT Rebound40
5.8%
49
94.2%
Q2 - 2:30CHAMISS Hart 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q2 - 2:36CHABogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
6.4%
49
93.6%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
6.2%
49
93.8%
Q2 - 2:45MIAHEAT Rebound40
5.8%
49
94.2%
Q2 - 2:46MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 240
6.4%
49
93.6%
Q2 - 2:46MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 240
5.8%
49
94.2%
Q2 - 2:52CHAHaslem STEAL (1 STL)40
5.8%
49
94.2%
Q2 - 3:13MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)40
6.6%
49
93.4%
Q2 - 3:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)40
5.9%
49
94.1%
Q2 - 3:17MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
6.4%
49
93.6%
Q2 - 3:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
5.9%
49
94.1%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
6.4%
49
93.6%
Q2 - 3:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
5.9%
49
94.1%
Q2 - 3:46CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 240
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q2 - 3:46CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
6.3%
49
93.7%
Q2 - 4:03MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)39
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q2 - 4:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
7.4%
46
92.6%
Q2 - 4:09CHAMISS Okafor 16' Jump Shot39
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMourning Dunk (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)39
8.2%
46
91.8%
Q2 - 4:43CHAKapono 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hart 5 AST)39
9.1%
44
90.9%
Q2 - 4:48MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
8.2%
44
91.8%
Q2 - 5:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
7.4%
44
92.6%
Q2 - 5:02CHAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot37
7.6%
44
92.4%
Q2 - 5:16MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)37
8.2%
44
91.8%
Q2 - 5:32CHAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
7.4%
44
92.6%
Q2 - 5:32CHAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
7.2%
44
92.8%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)35
6.7%
44
93.3%
Q2 - 6:01CHAWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T5)35
7.4%
42
92.6%
Q2 - 6:09CHAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
8.3%
42
91.7%
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
8.0%
42
92.0%
Q2 - 6:43CHADooling STEAL (1 STL)33
6.0%
42
94.0%
Q2 - 6:50CHAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q2 - 6:52MIAMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
8.0%
40
92.0%
Q2 - 7:10CHAKapono 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hart 3 AST)33
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q2 - 7:18CHAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
7.0%
40
93.0%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS Mourning Dunk31
6.7%
40
93.3%
Q2 - 7:39MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
6.3%
40
93.7%
Q2 - 7:40CHAMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
6.5%
40
93.5%
Q2 - 8:00CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
7.0%
40
93.0%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Smith 19' Fadeaway Jumper31
6.8%
40
93.2%
Q2 - 8:19CHACarroll Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)31
6.3%
40
93.7%
Q2 - 8:30MIAButler 23' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)31
7.0%
40
93.0%
Q2 - 8:46MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 8:47CHAMISS Carroll Free Throw 3 of 331
7.8%
38
92.2%
Q2 - 8:47CHACarroll Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)31
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 8:47CHACarroll Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)30
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 8:55CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
7.0%
38
93.0%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Dooling 16' Jump Shot29
6.8%
38
93.2%
Q2 - 9:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
6.4%
38
93.6%
Q2 - 9:08CHAMISS Alexander 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
6.6%
38
93.4%
Q2 - 9:30MIADooling 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
7.1%
38
92.9%
Q2 - 9:45MIASmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
7.7%
36
92.3%
Q2 - 9:46CHAMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
7.9%
36
92.1%
Q2 - 10:04MIADooling 14' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)29
8.7%
36
91.3%
Q2 - 10:25CHACarroll 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alexander 1 AST)29
9.4%
34
90.6%
Q2 - 10:37MIAButler 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)27
8.6%
34
91.4%
Q2 - 10:53CHABogans 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)27
9.3%
32
90.7%
Q2 - 11:02CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
8.4%
32
91.6%
Q2 - 11:04MIAMISS Laettner 5' Jump Shot25
8.2%
32
91.8%
Q2 - 11:23CHAAlexander Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)25
7.8%
32
92.2%
Q2 - 11:35MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)25
8.5%
32
91.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
9.3%
30
90.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHAEly Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
9.4%
30
90.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHAEly Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
9.1%
30
90.9%
Q1 - 0:08.0CHAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
8.4%
30
91.6%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Smith Tip Shot23
8.2%
30
91.8%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIASmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
7.9%
30
92.1%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot23
8.2%
30
91.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0CHAKapono 12' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)23
7.9%
30
92.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAButler Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)21
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
6.6%
30
93.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0CHAMISS Carroll Driving Layup21
6.7%
30
93.3%
Q1 - 1:01MIAMISS Laettner Free Throw 1 of 121
7.0%
30
93.0%
Q1 - 1:01MIALaettner Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q1 - 1:12MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
7.9%
28
92.1%
Q1 - 1:14CHAMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
8.1%
28
91.9%
Q1 - 1:20CHABogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
8.4%
28
91.6%
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot21
8.3%
28
91.7%
Q1 - 1:42MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
7.9%
28
92.1%
Q1 - 1:43CHAMISS Alexander Free Throw 2 of 221
8.0%
28
92.0%
Q1 - 1:43CHAAlexander Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
8.5%
28
91.5%
Q1 - 2:06CHAAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
7.6%
28
92.4%
Q1 - 2:11MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q1 - 2:13MIAMISS Doleac 14' Jump Shot20
7.6%
28
92.4%
Q1 - 2:33MIAHEAT Rebound20
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q1 - 2:35MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot20
7.6%
28
92.4%
Q1 - 2:42MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
7.6%
28
92.4%
Q1 - 2:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q1 - 2:59CHAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot20
7.4%
28
92.6%
Q1 - 3:15MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)20
7.9%
28
92.1%
Q1 - 3:24MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
8.5%
26
91.5%
Q1 - 3:26CHAMISS Ely 4' Hook Shot20
8.8%
26
91.2%
Q1 - 3:30CHABobcats Rebound20
9.4%
26
90.6%
Q1 - 3:31CHAMISS Alexander 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
8.8%
26
91.2%
Q1 - 3:49MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
9.3%
26
90.7%
Q1 - 4:09CHAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
9.8%
24
90.2%
Q1 - 4:09CHAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
9.7%
24
90.3%
Q1 - 4:25MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)18
9.2%
24
90.8%
Q1 - 4:42CHABogans 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)18
10.7%
21
89.3%
Q1 - 4:58MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)16
10.0%
21
90.0%
Q1 - 5:20CHAAllen 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)16
10.5%
19
89.5%
Q1 - 5:30MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)14
9.8%
19
90.2%
Q1 - 5:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
9.1%
19
90.9%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
9.6%
19
90.4%
Q1 - 5:56CHABogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hart 2 AST)14
9.1%
19
90.9%
Q1 - 6:09MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
7.9%
19
92.1%
Q1 - 6:09MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
8.0%
18
92.0%
Q1 - 6:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
8.5%
17
91.5%
Q1 - 6:14CHAHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)11
8.7%
17
91.3%
Q1 - 6:19CHAMISS Bogans Free Throw Technical11
9.1%
17
90.9%
Q1 - 6:39MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
9.1%
17
90.9%
Q1 - 6:39MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
9.3%
16
90.7%
Q1 - 6:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
9.8%
15
90.2%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS Mourning 11' Turnaround Jump Shot11
10.3%
15
89.7%
Q1 - 6:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
9.8%
15
90.2%
Q1 - 7:00CHAMISS Wallace 22' Jump Shot11
10.0%
15
90.0%
Q1 - 7:13MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
10.5%
15
89.5%
Q1 - 7:29CHAMISS Ely Free Throw 1 of 111
12.1%
12
87.9%
Q1 - 7:29CHAEly 7' Hook Bank Shot (4 PTS)11
12.0%
12
88.0%
Q1 - 7:39CHABogans Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)9
11.3%
12
88.7%
Q1 - 7:43CHAEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10.5%
12
89.5%
Q1 - 7:44MIAMISS Mourning Layup8
10.3%
12
89.7%
Q1 - 7:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.8%
12
90.2%
Q1 - 7:58CHAMISS Bogans 18' Jump Shot8
10.0%
12
90.0%
Q1 - 8:01CHAMISS Hart Free Throw Technical8
10.4%
12
89.6%
Q1 - 8:16MIAWade Driving Dunk (4 PTS)8
10.4%
12
89.6%
Q1 - 8:33CHAEly 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
11.0%
10
89.0%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)6
10.4%
10
89.6%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)6
10.6%
9
89.4%
Q1 - 9:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.8%
8
89.2%
Q1 - 9:10CHAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)6
11.1%
8
88.9%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
11.8%
8
88.2%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
12.6%
7
87.4%
Q1 - 9:43CHAHart 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
13.3%
5
86.7%
Q1 - 9:50CHAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
12.6%
5
87.4%
Q1 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot4
12.3%
5
87.7%
Q1 - 10:12CHAOkafor 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)4
11.6%
5
88.4%
Q1 - 10:29MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
11.0%
5
89.0%
Q1 - 10:47MIAHEAT Rebound2
12.4%
2
87.6%
Q1 - 10:48CHAMISS Ely 12' Hook Shot2
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 11:14MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)2
13.2%
2
86.8%
Q1 - 11:18CHAWade STEAL (1 STL)2
14.1%
0
85.9%
Q1 - 11:25CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.9%
0
85.1%
Q1 - 11:27MIAMISS Mourning Driving Layup2
14.7%
0
85.3%
Q1 - 11:48CHAOkafor Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
14.1%
0
85.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Okafor: Tip to0
13.2%
0
86.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.89 44.4%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
4
15
27%
MIA
15
24
63%
Midrange
CHA
25
48
52%
MIA
14
35
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
1
1.5
12
8%
13%
MIA
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
Free Throws
CHA
19
26
73%
MIA
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bogans1444%7.0 / 16
M. Ely1454%7.0 / 13
J. Kapono1478%7.0 / 9
M. Carroll1139%5.5 / 14
E. Okafor844%4.0 / 9
M. Allen857%4.0 / 7
J. Hart638%3.0 / 8
C. Alexander325%1.5 / 6
G. Wallace220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Butler2589%12.5 / 14
D. Wade1447%7.0 / 15
A. Mourning1150%5.5 / 11
U. Haslem1063%5.0 / 8
E. Jones1045%5.0 / 11
D. Jones950%4.5 / 9
K. Dooling850%4.0 / 8
C. Laettner643%3.0 / 7
S. Smith213%1.0 / 8
M. Doleac233%1.0 / 3
S. Anderson250%1.0 / 2
D. Wright0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
82
+8
-14
90
MIA
85
+15
-12
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.89 44.4%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.9
106.6
CHA 83.3 +18.7
MIA 102.1
Pace
94.4
93.9
CHA 112.2 +27.5
MIA 84.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.6
CHA 12.8 +4.2
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.5%
52.4%
CHA 40.7%
MIA 48.8% +8.1%
TO %
14.6%
14.0%
CHA 14.8%
MIA 11.2% +3.6%
ORB %
29.6%
27.0%
CHA 9.1%
MIA 25.5% +16.4%
FTrt
30.6
38.7
CHA 34.7 +4.9
MIA 29.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
57.8%
CHA 53.3%
MIA 59.5% +6.2%
STL %
8.9%
6.8%
CHA 7.3%
MIA 8.2% +0.9%
BLK %
8.3%
8.7%
CHA 1.7%
MIA 9.5% +7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.2%
52.7%
CHA 44.4%
MIA 49.5% +5.1%
Rim FG%
54.0%
63.0%
CHA 26.7%
MIA 62.5% +35.8%
Mid FG%
38.5%
41.0%
CHA 52.1% +12.1%
MIA 40.0%
3P %
36.3%
37.7%
CHA 8.3%
MIA 32.0% +23.7%
FT %
70.9%
67.2%
CHA 73.1% +5.1%
MIA 68.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.0%
37.6%
CHA 20.0%
MIA 28.6% +8.6%
Mid Att. %
55.2%
42.6%
CHA 64.0%
MIA 41.7% +22.3%
3P Att. %
12.8%
19.8%
CHA 16.0%
MIA 29.8% +13.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes20.527.5
Points8099
Rebounds3952
Assists1622
Steals78
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)40 (2)
Field Goals30-7537-84
At-the-Rim FG4-1515-24
Midrange FG25-4814-35
2-Point FG29-6329-59
3-Point FG1-128-25
Free Throws19-2617-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 215 · 25
35.8
14
44%
5
2
0
0
2
1
1
4
1-2
50%
5-11
45%
1-5
20%
F · 6'10" 255 · 23
31.2
8
44%
9
0
1
0
4
4
0
9
4-6
67%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 180 · 27
29.9
6
38%
7
9
2
1
3
3
0
7
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 260 · 27
25.4
14
54%
7
0
1
0
0
4
1
6
2-3
67%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 23
20.8
2
20%
3
0
0
0
1
5
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 24
27.8
14
78%
2
2
3
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 212 · 25
26.4
11
39%
2
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
5-6
83%
3-9
33%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 27
23.7
8
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
19.1
3
25%
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
G · 5'10" 166 · 29
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
44%
39
16
7
1
14
0
4
35
19-26
73%
29-63
46%
1-12
8%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.