Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, April 18, 2005

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	26	Clippers	21%	87	90
	4	Rockets	79%	98	115

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
LAC	102.3	88	93.2
HOU	125.0	92	87.1

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

-11

HOU

+14

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.03 51.7%

HOU

1.25 62.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	HOU
Q4 - 0:00.0	HOU		90 0%	115 100%
Q4 - 0:17.0	LAC	Moore Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	90 0%	115 100%
Q4 - 0:17.0	LAC	Moore Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	89 0%	115 100%
Q4 - 0:30.0	LAC	Ross REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	88 0%	115 100%
Q4 - 0:31.0	HOU	MISS Padgett Layup	88 0%	115 100%
Q4 - 0:54.0	HOU	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	88 0%	115 100%
Q4 - 0:55.0	LAC	MISS N'diaye 14' Jump Shot	88 0%	115 100%
Q4 - 1:13	LAC	N'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	88 0%	115 100%
Q4 - 1:15	HOU	MISS Norris 19' Jump Shot	88 0%	115 100%
Q4 - 1:31	LAC	N'diaye Layup (4 PTS)	88 0%	115 100%
Q4 - 1:32	LAC	N'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	86 0%	115 100%
Q4 - 1:34	LAC	MISS Chalmers Layup	86 0%	115 100%
Q4 - 1:56	HOU	James Driving Layup (11 PTS)	86 0%	115 100%
Q4 - 2:10	HOU	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	86 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 2:12	LAC	MISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot	86 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 2:29	HOU	Braggs Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)	86 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 2:41	HOU	Braggs REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	86 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 2:43	LAC	MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot	86 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 2:58	HOU	Bowen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	86 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 2:58	HOU	Bowen Layup (2 PTS)	86 0.1%	112 99.9%
Q4 - 3:01	LAC	Bowen STEAL (1 STL)	86 0.1%	110 99.9%
Q4 - 3:19	HOU	Barry 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)	86 0.1%	110 99.9%
Q4 - 3:31	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	86 0.1%	107 99.9%
Q4 - 3:33	LAC	MISS Simmons 19' Jump Shot	86 0.1%	107 99.9%
Q4 - 3:55	HOU	James 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McGrady 10 AST)	86 0.1%	107 99.9%
Q4 - 4:07	HOU	Padgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	86 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 4:09	LAC	MISS Jaric 20' Jump Shot	86 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 4:21	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	86 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 4:22	HOU	MISS James Reverse Layup	86 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 4:39	LAC	Brand 17' Jump Shot (36 PTS)	86 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 4:48	LAC	Ross REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	84 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 4:50	HOU	MISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot	84 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 5:09	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	84 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 5:09	LAC	MISS Simmons Free Throw 2 of 2	84 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 5:09	LAC	Simmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	84 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 5:34	HOU	Yao Dunk (24 PTS) (McGrady 9 AST)	83 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 5:53	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	83 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 5:55	LAC	MISS Ross 19' Jump Shot	83 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 6:05	HOU	Yao Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)	83 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 6:24	HOU	Padgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	83 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 6:26	LAC	Yao BLOCK (2 BLK)	83 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 6:45	HOU	Yao 6' Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)	83 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 7:04	LAC	Brand 17' Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)	83 0.3%	100 99.7%
Q4 - 7:21	HOU	Barry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)	81 0.2%	100 99.8%
Q4 - 7:38	LAC	Ross Layup (6 PTS) (Jaric 5 AST)	81 0.2%	100 99.8%
Q4 - 7:45	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	79 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 7:48	HOU	MISS James Layup	79 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 7:54	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	79 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 7:56	LAC	MISS Ross Layup	79 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 8:30	HOU	James Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	79 0.2%	100 99.8%
Q4 - 8:30	HOU	James Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	79 0.2%	99 99.8%
Q4 - 8:45	LAC	Jaric Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Brand 2 AST)	79 0.2%	98 99.8%
Q4 - 8:56	LAC	Ross REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	77 0.2%	98 99.8%
Q4 - 8:57	LAC	MISS Ross Layup	77 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 9:06	HOU	Yao Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)	77 0.2%	98 99.8%
Q4 - 9:15	HOU	Barry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	77 0.2%	98 99.8%
Q4 - 9:17	LAC	MISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot	77 0.2%	98 99.8%
Q4 - 9:44	HOU	Yao 7' Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)	77 0.2%	98 99.8%
Q4 - 9:49	HOU	Wesley Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)	77 0.3%	96 99.7%
Q4 - 9:57	HOU	Mutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	77 0.4%	95 99.6%
Q4 - 9:59	LAC	MISS Wilcox 10' Jump Shot	77 0.4%	95 99.6%
Q4 - 10:26	HOU	Padgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)	77 0.6%	95 99.4%
Q4 - 10:46	LAC	Livingston 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)	77 0.9%	92 99.1%
Q4 - 11:00	HOU	Wesley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)	75 0.7%	92 99.3%
Q4 - 11:15	HOU	Padgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	75 0.7%	92 99.3%
Q4 - 11:16	LAC	MISS Wilcox 5' Turnaround Jump Shot	75 0.8%	92 99.2%
Q4 - 11:26	LAC	Ross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	75 0.9%	92 99.1%
Q4 - 11:28	HOU	MISS Wesley 27' 3PT Jump Shot	75 0.8%	92 99.2%
Q4 - 11:48	HOU	Barry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	75 0.7%	92 99.3%
Q4 - 11:50	LAC	MISS Livingston 6' Jump Shot	75 0.8%	92 99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0	LAC		75 0.9%	92 99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0	HOU	McGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)	75 0.9%	92 99.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0	LAC	Wilcox Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Livingston 7 AST)	75 0.9%	92 99.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0	HOU	Padgett 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wesley 5 AST)	73 0.7%	92 99.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0	HOU	Padgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	73 1.0%	89 99.0%
Q3 - 0:24.0	HOU	MISS James Driving Layup	73 1.2%	89 98.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0	LAC	Moore Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	73 1.0%	89 99.0%
Q3 - 0:40.0	LAC	Moore Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	72 1.0%	89 99.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0	LAC	Wilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	71 0.9%	89 99.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0	HOU	MISS McGrady Reverse Layup	71 0.8%	89 99.2%
Q3 - 1:01	HOU	Mutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	71 0.8%	89 99.2%
Q3 - 1:01	LAC	MISS Wilcox Free Throw 2 of 2	71 0.8%	89 99.2%
Q3 - 1:01	LAC	MISS Wilcox Free Throw 1 of 2	71 0.9%	89 99.1%
Q3 - 1:07	LAC	Wilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	71 1.0%	89 99.0%
Q3 - 1:09	HOU	MISS Sura 14' Jump Bank Shot	71 0.9%	89 99.1%
Q3 - 1:25	LAC	Simmons 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)	71 0.8%	89 99.2%
Q3 - 1:40	HOU	Mutombo Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)	69 0.7%	89 99.3%
Q3 - 1:40	HOU	Mutombo Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Sura 6 AST)	69 0.8%	88 99.2%
Q3 - 1:50	HOU	Mutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	69 1.0%	86 99.0%
Q3 - 1:52	HOU	MISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot	69 1.1%	86 98.9%
Q3 - 2:06	HOU	Wesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	69 1.1%	86 98.9%
Q3 - 2:08	LAC	MISS Moore 17' Jump Shot	69 1.2%	86 98.8%
Q3 - 2:23	LAC	Clippers Rebound	69 1.4%	86 98.6%
Q3 - 2:25	HOU	MISS Sura 26' 3PT Jump Shot	69 1.3%	86 98.7%
Q3 - 2:40	LAC	Moore Layup (10 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)	69 1.1%	86 98.9%
Q3 - 2:56	HOU	Mutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	67 0.9%	86 99.1%
Q3 - 2:56	HOU	Mutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	67 1.0%	85 99.0%
Q3 - 3:19	HOU	McGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	67 1.3%	84 98.7%
Q3 - 3:21	LAC	Weatherspoon BLOCK (1 BLK)	67 1.3%	84 98.7%
Q3 - 3:26	LAC	Simmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	67 1.5%	84 98.5%
Q3 - 3:29	HOU	MISS Sura 16' Jump Shot	67 1.4%	84 98.6%
Q3 - 3:50	LAC	Simmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	67 1.2%	84 98.8%
Q3 - 3:50	LAC	Simmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	66 1.2%	84 98.8%
Q3 - 3:55	LAC	Livingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	65 1.1%	84 98.9%
Q3 - 3:57	HOU	MISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot	65 1.0%	84 99.0%
Q3 - 4:02	LAC	Mutombo STEAL (1 STL)	65 1.0%	84 99.0%
Q3 - 4:19	HOU	McGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)	65 1.2%	84 98.8%
Q3 - 4:19	HOU	McGrady 23' Jump Shot (15 PTS)	65 1.4%	83 98.6%
Q3 - 4:28	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	65 1.6%	81 98.4%
Q3 - 4:28	HOU	MISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 2	65 1.9%	81 98.1%
Q3 - 4:28	HOU	MISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 2	65 1.7%	81 98.3%
Q3 - 4:31	HOU	Weatherspoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	65 1.6%	81 98.4%
Q3 - 4:33	HOU	MISS Wesley 27' 3PT Jump Shot	65 1.8%	81 98.2%
Q3 - 5:00	LAC	Brand Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)	65 1.6%	81 98.4%
Q3 - 5:00	LAC	MISS Brand Free Throw 1 of 2	64 1.5%	81 98.5%
Q3 - 5:07	LAC	Clippers Rebound	64 1.8%	81 98.2%
Q3 - 5:07	LAC	MISS Brand Reverse Layup	64 1.6%	81 98.4%
Q3 - 5:09	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	64 1.8%	81 98.2%
Q3 - 5:11	LAC	MISS Livingston Layup	64 1.6%	81 98.4%
Q3 - 5:15	HOU	McGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)	64 1.8%	81 98.2%
Q3 - 5:32	HOU	Weatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	64 1.5%	81 98.5%
Q3 - 5:34	LAC	MISS Simmons 22' Jump Shot	64 1.6%	81 98.4%
Q3 - 5:48	HOU	Wesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)	64 1.8%	81 98.2%
Q3 - 6:01	LAC	Brand Free Throw 1 of 1 (31 PTS)	64 1.6%	81 98.4%
Q3 - 6:01	LAC	Brand Driving Dunk (30 PTS)	63 1.4%	81 98.6%
Q3 - 6:04	LAC	Clippers Rebound	61 1.2%	81 98.8%
Q3 - 6:05	LAC	Yao BLOCK (1 BLK)	61 1.1%	81 98.9%
Q3 - 6:21	HOU	Yao Layup (18 PTS)	61 1.2%	81 98.8%
Q3 - 6:22	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	61 1.4%	79 98.6%
Q3 - 6:24	HOU	MISS Yao 4' Hook Shot	61 1.6%	79 98.4%
Q3 - 6:41	LAC	Brand 11' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Moore 3 AST)	61 1.4%	79 98.6%
Q3 - 6:44	LAC	Moore REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	59 1.2%	79 98.8%
Q3 - 6:45	LAC	MISS Simmons Layup	59 1.1%	79 98.9%
Q3 - 7:05	HOU	Sura Layup (15 PTS) (Wesley 4 AST)	59 1.3%	79 98.7%
Q3 - 7:17	LAC	Moore Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	59 1.5%	77 98.5%
Q3 - 7:17	LAC	Moore Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	58 1.5%	77 98.5%
Q3 - 7:35	HOU	Sura 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)	57 1.3%	77 98.7%
Q3 - 7:38	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	57 1.7%	74 98.3%
Q3 - 7:40	HOU	MISS Yao 5' Turnaround Jump Shot	57 2.0%	74 98.0%
Q3 - 7:54	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	57 1.7%	74 98.3%
Q3 - 7:56	LAC	MISS Jaric 25' 3PT Jump Shot	57 1.8%	74 98.2%
Q3 - 8:06	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	57 2.2%	74 97.8%
Q3 - 8:07	HOU	MISS Sura Driving Finger Roll	57 2.1%	74 97.9%
Q3 - 8:20	HOU	Wesley Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)	57 1.8%	74 98.2%
Q3 - 8:23	LAC	McGrady STEAL (1 STL)	57 2.1%	73 97.9%
Q3 - 8:42	HOU	Sura 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)	57 2.5%	73 97.5%
Q3 - 8:47	HOU	Weatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	57 3.3%	70 96.7%
Q3 - 8:48	HOU	MISS McGrady 6' Jump Shot	57 3.7%	70 96.3%
Q3 - 8:49	HOU	McGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	57 3.3%	70 96.7%
Q3 - 8:51	HOU	MISS McGrady 12' Jump Shot	57 3.7%	70 96.3%
Q3 - 9:03	LAC	Moore Layup (6 PTS)	57 3.4%	70 96.6%
Q3 - 9:05	LAC	Moore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	55 3.0%	70 97.0%
Q3 - 9:07	LAC	MISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot	55 2.7%	70 97.3%
Q3 - 9:21	LAC	Moore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	55 3.0%	70 97.0%
Q3 - 9:22	HOU	MISS Yao 18' Jump Shot	55 2.9%	70 97.1%
Q3 - 9:46	LAC	Livingston 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	55 2.6%	70 97.4%
Q3 - 9:52	HOU	Sura Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	53 2.2%	70 97.8%
Q3 - 9:59	HOU	Sura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	53 1.9%	70 98.1%
Q3 - 10:00	LAC	MISS Brand 11' Jump Shot	53 2.0%	70 98.0%
Q3 - 10:12	LAC	Livingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	53 2.4%	70 97.6%
Q3 - 10:14	HOU	MISS Weatherspoon 20' Jump Shot	53 2.2%	70 97.8%
Q3 - 10:34	LAC	Livingston 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	53 2.0%	70 98.0%
Q3 - 10:49	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	51 1.8%	70 98.2%
Q3 - 10:51	HOU	MISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot	51 1.7%	70 98.3%
Q3 - 11:14	LAC	Simmons 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jaric 4 AST)	51 1.6%	70 98.4%
Q3 - 11:22	HOU	McGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)	49 1.4%	70 98.6%
Q3 - 11:26	HOU	McGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	49 1.2%	70 98.8%
Q3 - 11:29	LAC	MISS Livingston 12' Turnaround Jump Shot	49 1.3%	70 98.7%
Q3 - 11:46	HOU	Yao Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	49 1.4%	70 98.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0	HOU		49 1.2%	70 98.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	49 1.2%	70 98.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0	HOU	MISS McGrady 55' 3PT Jump Shot	49 1.3%	70 98.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0	LAC	Livingston Driving Layup (4 PTS)	49 1.4%	70 98.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0	HOU	Sura Driving Layup (7 PTS)	47 1.2%	70 98.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0	LAC	Brand 16' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)	47 1.4%	68 98.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0	LAC	Clippers Rebound	45 1.2%	68 98.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0	HOU	MISS Sura 28' 3PT Jump Shot	45 1.1%	68 98.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0	LAC	Padgett STEAL (3 STL)	45 1.1%	68 98.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0	HOU	Barry 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sura 5 AST)	45 1.2%	68 98.8%
Q2 - 1:10	LAC	Jaric Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)	45 1.5%	66 98.5%
Q2 - 1:22	HOU	Yao Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	45 1.6%	66 98.4%
Q2 - 1:22	HOU	Yao Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)	45 1.7%	65 98.3%
Q2 - 1:33	LAC	Wilcox Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Livingston 6 AST)	45 2.0%	64 98.0%
Q2 - 1:45	HOU	Yao Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	43 1.6%	64 98.4%
Q2 - 1:45	HOU	Yao Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	43 1.7%	63 98.3%
Q2 - 1:58	LAC	Jaric Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)	43 2.0%	62 98.0%
Q2 - 2:23	HOU	Padgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)	43 2.3%	62 97.7%
Q2 - 2:38	LAC	Ross 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Livingston 5 AST)	43 2.9%	59 97.1%
Q2 - 2:49	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	41 2.6%	59 97.4%
Q2 - 2:51	HOU	MISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot	41 2.5%	59 97.5%
Q2 - 3:07	HOU	Padgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	41 2.5%	59 97.5%
Q2 - 3:07	LAC	MISS Brand Free Throw 2 of 2	41 2.5%	59 97.5%
Q2 - 3:07	LAC	MISS Brand Free Throw 1 of 2	41 2.7%	59 97.3%
Q2 - 3:25	HOU	Yao 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 1 AST)	41 2.8%	59 97.2%
Q2 - 3:46	LAC	Brand 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Jaric 3 AST)	41 3.1%	57 96.9%
Q2 - 4:01	HOU	McGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	39 2.9%	57 97.1%
Q2 - 4:01	HOU	McGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	39 3.0%	56 97.0%
Q2 - 4:23	LAC	Jaric 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)	39 3.3%	55 96.7%
Q2 - 4:44	HOU	McGrady 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)	37 2.9%	55 97.1%
Q2 - 4:59	LAC	Brand 10' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Ross 2 AST)	37 3.3%	53 96.7%
Q2 - 5:18	HOU	McGrady 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	35 3.0%	53 97.0%
Q2 - 5:39	LAC	Brunson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	35 3.3%	51 96.7%
Q2 - 5:47	LAC	Ross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	35 3.7%	51 96.3%
Q2 - 5:50	HOU	MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot	35 3.6%	51 96.4%
Q2 - 6:05	LAC	Padgett STEAL (2 STL)	35 3.4%	51 96.6%
Q2 - 6:20	HOU	Mutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	35 3.9%	51 96.1%
Q2 - 6:20	HOU	Mutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	35 4.0%	50 96.0%
Q2 - 6:21	HOU	Mutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	35 4.2%	49 95.8%
Q2 - 6:23	HOU	MISS Padgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot	35 4.6%	49 95.4%
Q2 - 6:46	LAC	Moore 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Livingston 4 AST)	35 4.2%	49 95.8%
Q2 - 7:05	HOU	Padgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)	33 4.1%	49 95.9%
Q2 - 7:23	LAC	Brand 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Livingston 3 AST)	33 5.0%	46 95.0%
Q2 - 7:29	LAC	Livingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 4.5%	46 95.5%
Q2 - 7:31	HOU	MISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot	31 4.4%	46 95.6%
Q2 - 7:52	HOU	Padgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	31 4.1%	46 95.9%
Q2 - 7:54	LAC	MISS Brunson 19' Jump Shot	31 4.2%	46 95.8%
Q2 - 8:18	HOU	McGrady 19' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)	31 4.6%	46 95.4%
Q2 - 8:37	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	31 5.1%	44 94.9%
Q2 - 8:39	LAC	MISS Brunson 20' Jump Shot	31 5.2%	44 94.8%
Q2 - 9:00	HOU	James 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	31 5.7%	44 94.3%
Q2 - 9:18	HOU	Padgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	31 6.2%	42 93.8%
Q2 - 9:20	LAC	MISS Brunson 17' Jump Shot	31 6.4%	42 93.6%
Q2 - 9:30	LAC	N'diaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 6.9%	42 93.1%
Q2 - 9:32	HOU	MISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot	31 6.7%	42 93.3%
Q2 - 9:48	HOU	Padgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	31 6.2%	42 93.8%
Q2 - 9:50	LAC	MISS N'diaye 6' Hook Shot	31 6.4%	42 93.6%
Q2 - 10:10	HOU	ROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)	31 7.1%	42 92.9%
Q2 - 10:33	HOU	Padgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 6.4%	42 93.6%
Q2 - 10:35	LAC	MISS Jaric 20' Jump Shot	31 6.6%	42 93.4%
Q2 - 10:47	LAC	Ross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 7.1%	42 92.9%
Q2 - 10:49	HOU	MISS Wesley 28' 3PT Jump Shot	31 6.9%	42 93.1%
Q2 - 10:53	LAC	Padgett STEAL (1 STL)	31 6.4%	42 93.6%
Q2 - 11:12	LAC	Jaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	31 7.0%	42 93.0%
Q2 - 11:14	HOU	MISS James Reverse Layup	31 6.8%	42 93.2%
Q2 - 11:18	HOU	Wesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 6.4%	42 93.6%
Q2 - 11:20	LAC	MISS Jaric 14' Jump Shot	31 6.6%	42 93.4%
Q2 - 11:27	LAC	Jaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	31 7.0%	42 93.0%
Q2 - 11:29	LAC	MISS Brunson 16' Jump Shot	31 6.6%	42 93.4%
Q2 - 11:43	HOU	James Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	31 7.0%	42 93.0%
Q2 - 11:43	HOU	James Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	31 7.2%	41 92.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	HOU		31 7.7%	40 92.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	31 7.7%	40 92.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	HOU	MISS Sura 8' Fadeaway Jumper	31 8.2%	40 91.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0	LAC	Livingston 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	31 7.8%	40 92.2%
Q1 - 0:19.0	HOU	Padgett 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sura 4 AST)	29 7.0%	40 93.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0	LAC	N'diaye 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)	29 8.5%	37 91.5%
Q1 - 0:47.0	HOU	Wesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)	27 7.7%	37 92.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0	HOU	Wesley Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)	27 9.3%	34 90.7%
Q1 - 1:10	LAC	Brand Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	27 10.2%	33 89.8%
Q1 - 1:10	LAC	Brand Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	26 10.0%	33 90.0%
Q1 - 1:27	HOU	Wesley 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	25 9.2%	33 90.8%
Q1 - 1:48	LAC	Brand 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)	25 10.2%	31 89.8%
Q1 - 2:06	HOU	Mutombo Layup (2 PTS)	23 9.3%	31 90.7%
Q1 - 2:07	HOU	Mutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	23 10.1%	29 89.9%
Q1 - 2:09	HOU	MISS Sura Layup	23 10.7%	29 89.3%
Q1 - 2:27	LAC	Ross Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	23 10.1%	29 89.9%
Q1 - 2:27	LAC	Ross Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	22 9.9%	29 90.1%
Q1 - 2:49	HOU	Sura 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)	21 9.2%	29 90.8%
Q1 - 2:57	HOU	McGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	21 11.0%	26 89.0%
Q1 - 2:59	LAC	MISS Brand 15' Jump Shot	21 11.3%	26 88.7%
Q1 - 3:09	HOU	Wesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)	21 12.0%	26 88.0%
Q1 - 3:31	LAC	Brand 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jaric 2 AST)	21 13.9%	23 86.1%
Q1 - 3:38	HOU	Yao Layup (10 PTS)	19 13.0%	23 87.0%
Q1 - 3:40	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	19 13.9%	21 86.1%
Q1 - 3:42	HOU	MISS Weatherspoon 15' Jump Shot	19 14.8%	21 85.2%
Q1 - 4:01	LAC	Brand 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)	19 13.6%	21 86.4%
Q1 - 4:16	HOU	Yao Layup (8 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)	17 12.8%	21 87.2%
Q1 - 4:26	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17 13.6%	19 86.4%
Q1 - 4:28	LAC	MISS Livingston 16' Running Jump Shot	17 14.0%	19 86.0%
Q1 - 4:49	HOU	McGrady 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sura 3 AST)	17 14.9%	19 85.1%
Q1 - 5:15	LAC	Jaric 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Moore 2 AST)	17 16.7%	16 83.3%
Q1 - 5:35	HOU	McGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	14 14.6%	16 85.4%
Q1 - 5:35	HOU	McGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	14 14.8%	15 85.2%
Q1 - 5:47	LAC	Brand 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	14 15.6%	14 84.4%
Q1 - 5:51	LAC	Moore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	12 14.6%	14 85.4%
Q1 - 5:53	LAC	MISS Simmons 20' Jump Shot	12 13.8%	14 86.2%
Q1 - 6:09	HOU	Yao 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)	12 14.4%	14 85.6%
Q1 - 6:20	HOU	Sura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 15.4%	12 84.6%
Q1 - 6:21	LAC	MISS Moore 12' Turnaround Jump Shot	12 15.8%	12 84.2%
Q1 - 6:45	HOU	Yao Dunk (4 PTS) (Weatherspoon 2 AST)	12 16.6%	12 83.4%
Q1 - 6:52	HOU	Weatherspoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 17.7%	10 82.3%
Q1 - 6:54	LAC	MISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot	12 18.0%	10 82.0%
Q1 - 7:17	HOU	Weatherspoon 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)	12 18.5%	10 81.5%
Q1 - 7:35	LAC	Brand Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Jaric 1 AST)	12 19.5%	8 80.5%
Q1 - 7:51	HOU	Weatherspoon Foul Turnover (P1.T3)	10 18.5%	8 81.5%
Q1 - 8:03	LAC	Simmons 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)	10 17.0%	8 83.0%
Q1 - 8:23	HOU	Weatherspoon 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sura 2 AST)	8 16.1%	8 83.9%
Q1 - 8:42	LAC	Brand 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)	8 17.0%	6 83.0%
Q1 - 8:51	HOU	McGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)	6 16.1%	6 83.9%
Q1 - 9:19	LAC	Brand Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	6 14.7%	6 85.3%
Q1 - 9:19	LAC	Brand Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	5 14.5%	6 85.5%
Q1 - 9:29	HOU	Wesley Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Weatherspoon 1 AST)	4 14.1%	6 85.9%
Q1 - 9:47	LAC	Simmons Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	4 14.8%	4 85.2%
Q1 - 9:59	HOU	McGrady Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	4 16.0%	4 84.0%
Q1 - 10:04	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	4 14.7%	4 85.3%
Q1 - 10:06	HOU	MISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot	4 15.5%	4 84.5%
Q1 - 10:20	LAC	Moore Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	4 14.7%	4 85.3%
Q1 - 10:20	LAC	Moore Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	3 14.6%	4 85.4%
Q1 - 10:30	LAC	Moore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 13.9%	4 86.1%
Q1 - 10:32	HOU	MISS Yao Layup	2 13.6%	4 86.4%
Q1 - 10:43	HOU	McGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 12.9%	4 87.1%
Q1 - 10:44	LAC	MISS Moore 19' Jump Shot	2 13.2%	4 86.8%
Q1 - 10:58	HOU	Yao 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)	2 14.0%	4 86.0%
Q1 - 11:16	LAC	Brand 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)	2 14.8%	2 85.2%
Q1 - 11:33	HOU	Sura Layup (2 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)	0 13.8%	2 86.2%
Q1 - 11:37	LAC	Wesley STEAL (1 STL)	0 14.8%	0 85.2%
Q1 - 12:00	HOU	Jump Ball Yao vs. Moore: Tip to Jaric	0 15.7%	0 84.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.03 51.7%

HOU

1.25 62.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

55%

HOU

54%

Midrange

LAC

49%

HOU

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

1.5

17%

25%

HOU

19.5

50%

75%

Free Throws

LAC

76%

HOU

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Brand	36	75%	18.0 / 24
M. Moore	14	70%	7.0 / 10
S. Livingston	10	50%	5.0 / 10
B. Simmons	9	38%	4.5 / 12
M. Jaric	7	50%	3.5 / 7
Q. Ross	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Wilcox	4	40%	2.0 / 5
M. N'diaye	4	50%	2.0 / 4
L. Chalmers	0	-	0.0 / 4
R. Brunson	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Yao	24	75%	12.0 / 16
T. McGrady	16	44%	8.0 / 18
B. Sura	15	58%	7.5 / 13
S. Padgett	15	107%	7.5 / 7
D. Wesley	13	72%	6.5 / 9
M. James	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. Mutombo	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Barry	5	83%	2.5 / 3
C. Weatherspoon	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. Bowen	3	75%	1.5 / 2
M. Norris	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

-11

HOU

+14

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.03 51.7%

HOU

1.25 62.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	102.1 103.1	LAC 102.3 HOU 125.0 +22.7
Pace	92.2 91.5	LAC 93.2 +6.1 HOU 87.1
Avg. Poss. Time	15.8 16.0	LAC 15.4 +1.1 HOU 16.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	47.7% 48.6%	LAC 48.6% HOU 61.2% +12.6%
TO %	15.7% 14.2%	LAC 11.6% +3.2% HOU 14.8%
ORB %	30.3% 26.4%	LAC 19.4% HOU 32.3% +12.9%
FTrt	35.7 30.9	LAC 34.2 +2.6 HOU 31.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	65.0% 60.9%	LAC 60.0% HOU 70.0% +10.0%
STL %	7.8% 7.5%	LAC 10.2% +2.6% HOU 7.6%
BLK %	8.0% 7.4%	LAC 6.0% +1.5% HOU 4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	50.1% 50.6%	LAC 51.7% HOU 62.5% +10.8%
Rim FG%	57.7% 57.3%	LAC 55.0% +0.8% HOU 54.2%
Mid FG%	40.9% 40.5%	LAC 48.9% HOU 53.8% +4.9%
3P %	34.5% 36.4%	LAC 16.7% HOU 50.0% +33.3%
FT %	77.8% 78.1%	LAC 76.0% HOU 91.7% +15.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	33.9% 28.5%	LAC 27.4% HOU 31.6% +4.2%
Mid Att. %	55.6% 47.8%	LAC 64.4% HOU 34.2% +30.2%
3P Att. %	10.5% 23.7%	LAC 8.2% HOU 34.2% +26.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAC	HOU
Possessions	88	92
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	90	115
Rebounds	28	39
Assists	21	28
Steals	9	7
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	21 (2)	29 (3)
Field Goals	35-73	40-76
At-the-Rim FG	11-20	13-24
Midrange FG	23-47	14-26
2-Point FG	34-67	27-50
3-Point FG	1-6	13-26
Free Throws	19-25	22-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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26 Los Angeles Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marko Jaric G · 6'7" 224 · 26	38.5	7	50%	2	5	0	0	4	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 26	37.3	36	75%	6	2	0	1	0	5	1	5	6-9	67%	15-19	79%	0-0	-
Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 20	35.1	10	50%	3	7	2	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Mikki Moore C · 7'0" 225 · 29	34.3	14	70%	5	3	1	1	0	3	3	2	8-8	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Bobby Simmons F · 6'6" 235 · 25	23.0	9	38%	1	1	3	0	4	3	0	1	3-4	75%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Quinton Ross F-G · 6'6" 193 · 24	30.3	6	50%	6	2	1	1	0	2	1	5	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Chris Wilcox F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23	13.1	4	40%	2	0	2	0	0	3	0	2	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Lionel Chalmers G · 6'0" 180 · 24	10.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Rick Brunson G · 6'4" 190 · 33	9.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Mamadou N'diaye C · 7'0" 255 · 30	9.0	4	50%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 23
Zeljko Rebraca C · 7'0" 265 · 33
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	52%	28	21	9	3	11	0	7	21	19-25	76%	34-67	51%	1-6	17%

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26 Los Angeles Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marko Jaric G · 6'7" 224 · 26	38.5	7	50%	2	5	0	0	4	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 26	37.3	36	75%	6	2	0	1	0	5	1	5	6-9	67%	15-19	79%	0-0	-
Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 20	35.1	10	50%	3	7	2	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Mikki Moore C · 7'0" 225 · 29	34.3	14	70%	5	3	1	1	0	3	3	2	8-8	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Bobby Simmons F · 6'6" 235 · 25	23.0	9	38%	1	1	3	0	4	3	0	1	3-4	75%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Quinton Ross F-G · 6'6" 193 · 24	30.3	6	50%	6	2	1	1	0	2	1	5	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Chris Wilcox F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23	13.1	4	40%	2	0	2	0	0	3	0	2	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Lionel Chalmers G · 6'0" 180 · 24	10.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Rick Brunson G · 6'4" 190 · 33	9.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Mamadou N'diaye C · 7'0" 255 · 30	9.0	4	50%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 23
Zeljko Rebraca C · 7'0" 265 · 33
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	52%	28	21	9	3	11	0	7	21	19-25	76%	34-67	51%	1-6	17%

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4 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tracy McGrady F · 6'8" 225 · 26	35.0	16	44%	5	10	1	0	5	3	1	4	5-7	71%	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
David Wesley G · 6'1" 203 · 34	33.5	13	72%	2	5	1	0	2	3	0	2	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Yao Ming C · 7'6" 310 · 25	28.1	24	75%	7	0	0	2	3	5	3	4	4-4	100%	10-14	71%	0-0	-
Bob Sura G · 6'5" 200 · 32	24.4	15	58%	2	6	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	3-5	60%
Clar. Weatherspoon F · 6'7" 270 · 35	21.8	4	50%	4	2	0	1	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Scott Padgett F · 6'9" 240 · 29	26.2	15	107%	9	1	3	0	0	3	1	8	0-0	-	0-1	0%	5-6	83%
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 30	23.6	11	55%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Jon Barry G · 6'5" 210 · 36	21.0	5	83%	2	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Dikembe Mutombo C · 7'2" 260 · 39	16.5	9	90%	5	0	1	0	0	2	3	2	5-5	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 29	3.9	3	75%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Moochie Norris G · 6'1" 185 · 32	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Torraye Braggs F · 6'8" 245 · 29	3.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	63%	39	28	7	3	14	0	10	29	22-24	92%	27-50	54%	13-26	50%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE