FinalWin Prob.pScore
933%93
80
567%99
84
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
94.18587.0
MIA logo MIA
98.88583.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0IND80
0%
84
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0INDDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)80
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 280
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 280
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0INDMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 0:15.0INDDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)80
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 280
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 280
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 0:17.0INDMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)80
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)77
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)77
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAHEAT Rebound77
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0INDMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)77
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDPacers Rebound77
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot77
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q4 - 0:55.0INDJackson Dunk (21 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)77
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T15)75
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q4 - 1:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 1:17INDMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot75
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q4 - 1:33MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)75
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 1:41MIAHaslem Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 1:41MIAHaslem Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 1 (11 PTS)75
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q4 - 1:41INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)75
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q4 - 1:41INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)74
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q4 - 1:41INDJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)73
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q4 - 1:41INDMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 272
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 1:57INDPacers Rebound72
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot72
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 2:18INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)72
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 2:31MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)72
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q4 - 2:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q4 - 2:37INDMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)72
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q4 - 2:51INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
8.5%
77
91.5%
Q4 - 2:53INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q4 - 3:08MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)72
8.6%
77
91.4%
Q4 - 3:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
10.8%
75
89.2%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
15.5%
75
84.5%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
10.7%
75
89.3%
Q4 - 3:29INDMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot72
12.6%
75
87.4%
Q4 - 3:42INDDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)72
19.0%
75
81.0%
Q4 - 3:44MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot72
17.2%
75
82.8%
Q4 - 4:01INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)72
13.5%
75
86.5%
Q4 - 4:01INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
12.6%
75
87.4%
Q4 - 4:01INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
9.9%
75
90.1%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
8.8%
75
91.2%
Q4 - 4:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)70
6.8%
75
93.2%
Q4 - 4:12INDMISS Johnson Driving Layup70
7.6%
75
92.4%
Q4 - 4:30MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)70
9.7%
75
90.3%
Q4 - 4:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)70
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q4 - 4:45INDMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
7.5%
75
92.5%
Q4 - 5:03INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
11.2%
75
88.8%
Q4 - 5:05INDMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot70
9.0%
75
91.0%
Q4 - 5:31MIAJones Layup (17 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)70
11.1%
75
88.9%
Q4 - 5:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)70
14.7%
73
85.3%
Q4 - 5:36INDWade BLOCK (1 BLK)70
16.1%
73
83.9%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
19.6%
73
80.4%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
21.4%
72
78.6%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
25.0%
71
75.0%
Q4 - 6:09INDMISS O'Neal 14' Turnaround Jump Shot70
27.1%
71
72.9%
Q4 - 6:27INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
32.1%
71
67.9%
Q4 - 6:29MIAMISS Dooling Driving Layup70
29.8%
71
70.2%
Q4 - 6:35INDJones STEAL (2 STL)70
25.0%
71
75.0%
Q4 - 6:44MIALaettner Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)70
32.1%
71
67.9%
Q4 - 7:04MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
25.7%
71
74.3%
Q4 - 7:06INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 270
26.5%
71
73.5%
Q4 - 7:06INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)70
30.0%
71
70.0%
Q4 - 7:23INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
26.3%
71
73.7%
Q4 - 7:25INDMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
22.3%
71
77.7%
Q4 - 7:37INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
26.3%
71
73.7%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot69
24.5%
71
75.5%
Q4 - 7:54INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T7)69
20.6%
71
79.4%
Q4 - 8:10MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)69
26.5%
71
73.5%
Q4 - 8:25INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)69
21.7%
71
78.3%
Q4 - 8:25INDO'Neal Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)68
17.7%
71
82.3%
Q4 - 8:32INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
14.3%
71
85.7%
Q4 - 8:33MIAMISS Mourning Layup66
13.4%
71
86.6%
Q4 - 8:53INDO'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)66
11.4%
71
88.6%
Q4 - 9:22MIADooling Driving Layup (5 PTS)64
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q4 - 9:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
12.1%
69
87.9%
Q4 - 9:29INDMISS Gill Driving Layup64
12.9%
69
87.1%
Q4 - 9:45INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
15.0%
69
85.0%
Q4 - 9:46INDMISS Gill 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
12.9%
69
87.1%
Q4 - 10:06MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)64
15.7%
69
84.3%
Q4 - 10:06MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)64
16.3%
68
83.7%
Q4 - 10:30INDJones Driving Layup (3 PTS)64
18.6%
67
81.4%
Q4 - 10:38INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
15.7%
67
84.3%
Q4 - 10:40INDMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
13.5%
67
86.5%
Q4 - 10:48MIAMISS Doleac Layup62
14.7%
67
85.3%
Q4 - 10:57INDDoleac BLOCK (1 BLK)62
13.5%
67
86.5%
Q4 - 11:30MIADooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)62
16.3%
67
83.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND62
22.9%
64
77.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound62
27.2%
64
72.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
24.1%
64
75.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
27.2%
64
72.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot62
25.9%
64
74.1%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
23.3%
64
76.7%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
25.9%
64
74.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T6)62
23.3%
64
76.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)62
27.2%
64
72.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
23.3%
64
76.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0INDMISS Jackson 19' Turnaround Jump Shot62
24.4%
64
75.6%
Q3 - 1:09MIADoleac Foul Turnover (P1.T9)62
27.2%
64
72.8%
Q3 - 1:24INDJackson Driving Layup (19 PTS)62
23.4%
64
76.6%
Q3 - 1:44MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
20.2%
64
79.8%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 260
20.7%
63
79.3%
Q3 - 1:46INDJones STEAL (1 STL)60
20.1%
63
79.9%
Q3 - 2:02MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T8)60
23.5%
63
76.5%
Q3 - 2:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)60
20.0%
63
80.0%
Q3 - 2:11INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot60
21.0%
63
79.0%
Q3 - 2:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)60
23.5%
63
76.5%
Q3 - 2:31MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)60
27.0%
62
73.0%
Q3 - 2:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)60
30.5%
60
69.5%
Q3 - 2:40INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot60
31.8%
60
68.2%
Q3 - 2:58INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
35.0%
60
65.0%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
33.6%
60
66.4%
Q3 - 3:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)60
30.7%
60
69.3%
Q3 - 3:06MIAMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot60
33.6%
60
66.4%
Q3 - 3:21INDMiller Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)60
30.7%
60
69.3%
Q3 - 3:21INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)59
30.4%
60
69.6%
Q3 - 3:21INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)58
30.0%
60
70.0%
Q3 - 3:34MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T7)57
23.8%
60
76.2%
Q3 - 3:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
20.5%
60
79.5%
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot57
22.7%
60
77.3%
Q3 - 4:21INDJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)57
20.4%
60
79.6%
Q3 - 4:40MIAJones 12' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)54
15.7%
60
84.3%
Q3 - 4:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)54
17.7%
58
82.3%
Q3 - 4:56INDMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot54
18.6%
58
81.4%
Q3 - 5:16INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
21.0%
58
79.0%
Q3 - 5:18MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot54
20.1%
58
79.9%
Q3 - 5:31MIAHEAT Rebound54
18.2%
58
81.8%
Q3 - 5:33INDMISS Pollard Free Throw 2 of 254
18.5%
58
81.5%
Q3 - 5:33INDMISS Pollard Free Throw 1 of 254
20.0%
58
80.0%
Q3 - 5:33INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
21.0%
58
79.0%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup54
20.1%
58
79.9%
Q3 - 6:00INDJohnson 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
18.1%
58
81.9%
Q3 - 6:15INDPacers Rebound52
16.2%
58
83.8%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot52
15.5%
58
84.5%
Q3 - 6:36INDDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)52
14.0%
58
86.0%
Q3 - 6:36INDMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 251
13.4%
58
86.6%
Q3 - 6:44MIAJones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)51
14.2%
58
85.8%
Q3 - 7:00INDMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)51
12.2%
58
87.8%
Q3 - 7:29MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
9.6%
58
90.4%
Q3 - 7:48INDJohnson 8' Finger Roll (6 PTS)48
12.4%
55
87.6%
Q3 - 8:13INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
11.3%
55
88.7%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot46
10.8%
55
89.2%
Q3 - 8:28INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)46
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q3 - 8:28INDJackson Layup (13 PTS)45
8.4%
55
91.6%
Q3 - 8:28INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
7.5%
55
92.5%
Q3 - 8:30INDMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot43
6.7%
55
93.3%
Q3 - 8:51MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)43
7.5%
55
92.5%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q3 - 9:16INDMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot43
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q3 - 9:22INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
9.6%
53
90.4%
Q3 - 9:52INDMiller 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)43
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q3 - 10:07MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)41
7.9%
53
92.1%
Q3 - 10:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
10.1%
50
89.9%
Q3 - 10:24INDMISS Jackson 24' Jump Shot41
10.5%
50
89.5%
Q3 - 10:44INDPacers Rebound41
11.6%
50
88.4%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot41
11.1%
50
88.9%
Q3 - 11:06INDJackson Layup (11 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)41
10.3%
50
89.7%
Q3 - 11:19MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)39
9.2%
50
90.8%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
11.7%
47
88.3%
Q3 - 11:29MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
12.8%
47
87.2%
Q3 - 11:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
11.7%
47
88.3%
Q3 - 11:36MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot39
12.8%
47
87.2%
Q3 - 11:47INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
11.7%
47
88.3%
Q3 - 11:47INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)38
11.4%
47
88.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA37
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound37
9.1%
47
90.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot37
10.0%
47
90.0%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
9.8%
47
90.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0INDMISS Jones 16' Turnaround Jump Shot37
10.0%
47
90.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
10.6%
47
89.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
10.9%
46
89.1%
Q2 - 1:05INDMiller 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS)37
12.9%
45
87.1%
Q2 - 1:26MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)35
10.9%
45
89.1%
Q2 - 1:37INDJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
14.4%
42
85.6%
Q2 - 1:53MIAHaslem 9' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)35
15.3%
42
84.7%
Q2 - 1:58MIAJones Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)35
17.9%
40
82.1%
Q2 - 2:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
19.6%
39
80.4%
Q2 - 2:11INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
20.2%
39
79.8%
Q2 - 2:32MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)35
21.5%
39
78.5%
Q2 - 2:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
26.3%
36
73.7%
Q2 - 2:40INDMISS Jackson Driving Layup35
26.9%
36
73.1%
Q2 - 2:42INDDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)35
28.5%
36
71.5%
Q2 - 2:44INDMISS Davis Tip Shot35
26.9%
36
73.1%
Q2 - 2:45INDDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)35
28.5%
36
71.5%
Q2 - 2:48INDMISS Pollard 15' Jump Shot35
26.9%
36
73.1%
Q2 - 3:06MIAO'Neal Layup (11 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)35
28.5%
36
71.5%
Q2 - 3:34INDJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)35
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 3:56MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS)32
26.2%
34
73.8%
Q2 - 4:15INDJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)32
28.1%
32
71.9%
Q2 - 4:33INDDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)29
23.7%
32
76.3%
Q2 - 4:34INDMISS Pollard 9' Jump Shot29
22.3%
32
77.7%
Q2 - 4:48INDDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
23.7%
32
76.3%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot29
23.1%
32
76.9%
Q2 - 5:14INDJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)29
21.6%
32
78.4%
Q2 - 5:16INDMiller Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)29
23.7%
32
76.3%
Q2 - 5:33INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
21.7%
32
78.3%
Q2 - 5:35MIAMISS Laettner 17' Jump Shot28
21.1%
32
78.9%
Q2 - 5:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
19.7%
32
80.3%
Q2 - 5:51INDMISS O'Neal 20' Jump Shot28
20.3%
32
79.7%
Q2 - 5:59INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
21.7%
32
78.3%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS Laettner Layup28
21.3%
32
78.7%
Q2 - 6:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
19.8%
32
80.2%
Q2 - 6:08INDMISS O'Neal Driving Layup28
20.4%
32
79.6%
Q2 - 6:24MIAJones Layup (9 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)28
22.0%
32
78.0%
Q2 - 6:41INDGill 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)28
23.5%
30
76.5%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)25
20.1%
30
79.9%
Q2 - 7:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
22.0%
28
78.0%
Q2 - 7:11INDMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)25
22.6%
28
77.4%
Q2 - 7:27INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
23.9%
28
76.1%
Q2 - 7:29MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot25
23.3%
28
76.7%
Q2 - 7:39INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
21.9%
28
78.1%
Q2 - 7:39INDMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 224
21.7%
28
78.3%
Q2 - 8:04MIALaettner 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)24
22.1%
28
77.9%
Q2 - 8:22INDO'Neal Reverse Layup (6 PTS)24
23.7%
26
76.3%
Q2 - 8:38INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
22.1%
26
77.9%
Q2 - 8:40MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot22
21.5%
26
78.5%
Q2 - 8:56INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q2 - 8:56INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
19.8%
26
80.2%
Q2 - 9:04INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
18.8%
26
81.2%
Q2 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot20
18.3%
26
81.7%
Q2 - 9:27INDJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)20
17.1%
26
82.9%
Q2 - 9:49INDPacers Rebound17
14.6%
26
85.4%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS Mourning 13' Turnaround Jump Shot17
14.2%
26
85.8%
Q2 - 10:12INDO'Neal Layup (2 PTS)17
13.4%
26
86.6%
Q2 - 10:28MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)15
12.5%
26
87.5%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
11.3%
26
88.7%
Q2 - 10:31MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup15
12.1%
26
87.9%
Q2 - 10:47MIAHEAT Rebound15
11.3%
26
88.7%
Q2 - 10:48INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot15
11.6%
26
88.4%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)15
12.4%
26
87.6%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
13.5%
24
86.5%
Q2 - 11:32INDMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot15
13.9%
24
86.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA15
14.7%
24
85.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDWade STEAL (1 STL)15
13.8%
24
86.2%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
14.7%
24
85.3%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 215
14.9%
23
85.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
15.0%
23
85.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 215
15.1%
23
84.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 215
15.9%
23
84.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
15.9%
23
84.1%
Q1 - 0:59.0INDMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot15
15.2%
23
84.8%
Q1 - 1:16INDPacers Rebound15
16.0%
23
84.0%
Q1 - 1:18INDMISS O'Neal 20' Jump Shot15
15.3%
23
84.7%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 115
15.9%
23
84.1%
Q1 - 1:39MIAO'Neal Dunk (7 PTS)15
16.0%
23
84.0%
Q1 - 1:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
17.6%
21
82.4%
Q1 - 1:41MIAMISS O'Neal Layup15
18.4%
21
81.6%
Q1 - 1:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
17.6%
21
82.4%
Q1 - 1:53INDMISS O'Neal Reverse Layup15
17.9%
21
82.1%
Q1 - 2:12MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)15
18.9%
21
81.1%
Q1 - 2:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
20.5%
19
79.5%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 2:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
20.5%
19
79.5%
Q1 - 2:41INDMISS Jackson 6' Jump Shot15
20.9%
19
79.1%
Q1 - 3:00MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)15
21.9%
19
78.1%
Q1 - 3:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
25.2%
16
74.8%
Q1 - 3:20INDMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
25.7%
16
74.3%
Q1 - 3:36MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)15
27.1%
16
72.9%
Q1 - 4:02INDPollard Tip Shot (4 PTS)15
30.1%
13
69.9%
Q1 - 4:03INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q1 - 4:05INDMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot13
27.2%
13
72.8%
Q1 - 4:29MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS)13
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q1 - 4:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
30.2%
11
69.8%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot13
31.7%
11
68.3%
Q1 - 4:58INDMiller 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)13
30.2%
11
69.8%
Q1 - 5:17MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)11
28.2%
11
71.8%
Q1 - 5:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
26.3%
11
73.7%
Q1 - 5:24INDMISS Pollard 17' Jump Shot11
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 5:46MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)11
28.2%
11
71.8%
Q1 - 6:02INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
29.5%
9
70.5%
Q1 - 6:02INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
29.3%
9
70.7%
Q1 - 6:11MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS)9
27.9%
9
72.1%
Q1 - 6:40INDJohnson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)9
29.5%
7
70.5%
Q1 - 6:59MIAHaslem Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)7
27.9%
7
72.1%
Q1 - 7:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
29.0%
5
71.0%
Q1 - 7:12INDMISS Pollard Free Throw 2 of 27
29.2%
5
70.8%
Q1 - 7:12INDMISS Pollard Free Throw 1 of 27
30.2%
5
69.8%
Q1 - 7:16INDDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)7
30.8%
5
69.2%
Q1 - 7:18MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot7
30.2%
5
69.8%
Q1 - 7:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
29.0%
5
71.0%
Q1 - 7:28INDMISS Jackson 8' Turnaround Hook Shot7
29.6%
5
70.4%
Q1 - 7:41INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
30.8%
5
69.2%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
30.3%
5
69.7%
Q1 - 7:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
29.1%
5
70.9%
Q1 - 7:50INDMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot7
29.6%
5
70.4%
Q1 - 8:07MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)7
30.7%
5
69.3%
Q1 - 8:22INDPollard 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)7
28.9%
5
71.1%
Q1 - 8:36INDDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
27.6%
5
72.4%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot5
27.0%
5
73.0%
Q1 - 8:53INDJohnson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
25.9%
5
74.1%
Q1 - 9:08INDDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
24.6%
5
75.4%
Q1 - 9:10MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 23
24.3%
5
75.7%
Q1 - 9:10MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
23.8%
5
76.2%
Q1 - 9:30INDDavis 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
24.2%
4
75.8%
Q1 - 9:33INDDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)1
23.2%
4
76.8%
Q1 - 9:35INDMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot1
22.0%
4
78.0%
Q1 - 9:48INDDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
23.2%
4
76.8%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot1
22.7%
4
77.3%
Q1 - 10:07INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
21.6%
4
78.4%
Q1 - 10:07INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 20
21.4%
4
78.6%
Q1 - 10:09MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
21.8%
4
78.2%
Q1 - 10:20INDHaslem STEAL (1 STL)0
20.3%
4
79.7%
Q1 - 10:39MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
21.8%
4
78.2%
Q1 - 10:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.9%
2
77.1%
Q1 - 10:48INDO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
23.3%
2
76.7%
Q1 - 11:13MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 11:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 11:26INDMISS Jackson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot0
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 11:44MIAO'Neal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
27.1%
0
72.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Davis: Tip to Jones0
25.7%
0
74.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.87 43.5%
MIA
1.04 51.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
9
17
53%
MIA
12
20
60%
Midrange
IND
10
40
25%
MIA
9
29
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
MIA
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
Free Throws
IND
21
32
66%
MIA
15
23
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Jackson2150%10.5 / 21
R. Miller1869%9.0 / 13
J. O'Neal1638%8.0 / 21
A. Johnson945%4.5 / 10
S. Pollard429%2.0 / 7
D. Davis350%1.5 / 3
F. Jones330%1.5 / 5
J. Jones325%1.5 / 6
E. Gill338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1765%8.5 / 13
D. Jones1667%8.0 / 12
D. Wade1334%6.5 / 19
U. Haslem12100%6.0 / 6
S. O'Neal1150%5.5 / 11
A. Mourning867%4.0 / 6
K. Dooling563%2.5 / 4
C. Laettner233%1.0 / 3
S. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 3
R. Butler0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
76
+15
-9
91
MIA
70
+11
-15
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.87 43.5%
MIA
1.04 51.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.4
106.6
IND 94.1
MIA 98.8 +4.7
Pace
89.9
93.9
IND 87.0 +3.9
MIA 83.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.6
IND 16.6 +0.8
MIA 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
52.4%
IND 39.9%
MIA 50.7% +10.8%
TO %
14.7%
14.0%
IND 9.3% +6.8%
MIA 16.1%
ORB %
26.5%
27.0%
IND 26.7%
MIA 27.8% +1.1%
FTrt
35.8
38.7
IND 43.2 +9.4
MIA 33.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
57.8%
IND 42.3%
MIA 56.7% +14.4%
STL %
8.3%
6.8%
IND 8.2% +3.5%
MIA 4.7%
BLK %
6.8%
8.7%
IND 4.1%
MIA 10.5% +6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
52.7%
IND 43.5%
MIA 51.9% +8.4%
Rim FG%
55.1%
63.0%
IND 52.9%
MIA 60.0% +7.1%
Mid FG%
39.5%
41.0%
IND 25.0%
MIA 31.0% +6.0%
3P %
34.4%
37.7%
IND 41.2%
MIA 47.4% +6.2%
FT %
79.2%
67.2%
IND 65.6% +0.4%
MIA 65.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
37.6%
IND 23.0%
MIA 29.4% +6.4%
Mid Att. %
42.1%
42.6%
IND 54.1%
MIA 42.6% +11.4%
3P Att. %
25.5%
19.8%
IND 23.0%
MIA 27.9% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points8084
Rebounds3843
Assists1117
Steals74
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (5)33 (3)
Field Goals26-7430-68
At-the-Rim FG9-1712-20
Midrange FG10-409-29
2-Point FG19-5721-49
3-Point FG7-179-19
Free Throws21-3215-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 27
33.4
21
50%
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0
4-5
80%
4-13
31%
3-5
60%
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
32.7
9
45%
2
5
2
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 195 · 40
30.7
18
69%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
6-6
100%
3-6
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'11" 252 · 36
28.6
3
50%
12
1
0
0
0
4
4
8
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 278 · 30
24.0
4
29%
5
0
0
0
0
3
1
4
0-4
0%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27
23.4
16
38%
4
1
0
0
2
3
2
2
8-11
73%
4-15
27%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 225 · 26
17.8
3
30%
3
0
1
0
3
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28
17.6
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25
16.5
3
25%
3
1
1
2
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
G · 6'0" 190 · 27
15.3
3
38%
1
0
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 240 · 30
G · 6'3" 188 · 27
C · 7'0" 275 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
44%
38
11
7
2
9
0
12
26
21-32
66%
19-57
33%
7-17
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.