FinalWin Prob.pScore
930%93
87
670%100
115
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
93.593113.6
HOU logo HOU
125.09277.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU87
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0DENPadgett STEAL (2 STL)87
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUBraggs REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)87
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUBraggs Tip Shot (2 PTS)87
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Norris Reverse Layup87
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0HOUMISS Norris 16' Fadeaway Jumper87
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0HOUROCKETS Rebound87
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0HOUMISS James 21' Jump Shot87
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:01DENBoykins 8' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)87
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:10HOUPadgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 6 AST)85
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:26DENBoykins 16' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40HOUJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40HOUJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52HOUBraggs REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53HOUMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07HOUJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07DENMISS Person 16' Jump Shot83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21HOUPadgett Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 283
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 283
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54HOUMcGrady Dunk (32 PTS) (Barry 5 AST)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59DENBarry STEAL (4 STL)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13DENYao BLOCK (5 BLK)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32HOUYao Dunk (13 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)83
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40HOUMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot83
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (22 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)83
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16HOUJames 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Barry 4 AST)81
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29DENBoykins Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T12)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51DENNuggets Rebound81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52HOUMISS McGrady 11' Fadeaway Jumper81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17DENMartin 10' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29HOUMISS Mutombo 11' Hook Shot79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54DENMartin 5' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:05DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)77
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)76
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43DENNene 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05HOUBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 5 AST)74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:09DENJames STEAL (1 STL)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:17HOUMISS McGrady Finger Roll74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34DENNene Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:44HOUJames Driving Layup (19 PTS)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:56DENMISS Miller 5' Finger Roll72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:06DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 8:08HOUMISS Padgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 8:35HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:36DENMISS Person 19' Jump Shot72
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 8:49HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)72
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 9:03HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 9:04DENMutombo BLOCK (3 BLK)72
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 9:16DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 9:16HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 3 of 372
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 9:16HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 3 (24 PTS)72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 9:16HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 3 (23 PTS)72
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 9:23HOUJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 9:24DENMISS Najera 19' Jump Shot72
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 9:45HOUJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Padgett 3 AST)72
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 9:58HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 9:59DENMISS Person 16' Jump Shot72
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 10:10HOUPadgett Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)72
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 10:28DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 10:28DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 10:42HOUMutombo Dunk (11 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)70
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 11:01HOUROCKETS Rebound70
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 11:02DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot70
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 11:18HOUBarry Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)70
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 11:21DENBarry STEAL (3 STL)70
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q4 - 11:39HOUPadgett Layup (10 PTS) (James 3 AST)70
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN70
4.4%
80
95.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound70
5.5%
80
94.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Russell 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUBowen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)70
6.0%
80
94.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMISS Russell 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
5.2%
80
94.8%
Q3 - 0:21.0HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)70
6.0%
80
94.0%
Q3 - 0:21.0HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 270
6.2%
79
93.8%
Q3 - 0:21.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
6.0%
79
94.0%
Q3 - 0:22.0HOUMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot70
6.8%
79
93.2%
Q3 - 0:39.0DENNajera 16' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)70
6.0%
79
94.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0HOUJames 18' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Yao 3 AST)68
4.9%
79
95.1%
Q3 - 1:11DENMiller 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)68
6.4%
77
93.6%
Q3 - 1:27DENNuggets Rebound66
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q3 - 1:28HOUMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q3 - 1:34DENPadgett STEAL (1 STL)66
4.4%
77
95.6%
Q3 - 1:57HOUMISS Wesley Free Throw 1 of 166
5.2%
77
94.8%
Q3 - 1:57HOUWesley Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)66
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q3 - 2:01DENBarry STEAL (2 STL)66
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q3 - 2:14DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
8.1%
75
91.9%
Q3 - 2:15HOUMISS Barry 14' Fadeaway Jumper66
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q3 - 2:27HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q3 - 2:28DENYao BLOCK (4 BLK)66
7.1%
75
92.9%
Q3 - 2:45DENNuggets Rebound66
8.1%
75
91.9%
Q3 - 2:47HOUMISS Wesley 6' Running Jump Shot66
7.6%
75
92.4%
Q3 - 3:09DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)66
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q3 - 3:09DENBoykins 15' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)65
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q3 - 3:22HOUYao Dunk (10 PTS) (Wesley 5 AST)63
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q3 - 3:44DENYao STEAL (1 STL)63
6.0%
73
94.0%
Q3 - 3:51DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
7.2%
73
92.8%
Q3 - 3:52HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot63
6.8%
73
93.2%
Q3 - 4:14DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
6.2%
73
93.8%
Q3 - 4:14DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
6.0%
73
94.0%
Q3 - 4:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
5.4%
73
94.6%
Q3 - 4:15HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 2 of 261
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 4:15HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q3 - 4:29HOUROCKETS Rebound61
5.3%
72
94.7%
Q3 - 4:30DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 261
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 4:30DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 261
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 4:51HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)61
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q3 - 5:17DENAnthony Dunk (13 PTS)61
5.7%
72
94.3%
Q3 - 5:20HOUMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)59
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q3 - 5:25DENWeatherspoon STEAL (1 STL)59
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 5:31DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q3 - 5:32HOUMISS Yao 8' Dunk59
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q3 - 5:41DENMartin Dunk (16 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)59
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 6:02HOUWeatherspoon 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)57
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 6:21DENNene 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)57
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q3 - 6:33DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
3.8%
70
96.2%
Q3 - 6:34HOUMISS McGrady 3PT Jump Shot55
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 6:51HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q3 - 6:51DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 255
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q3 - 6:51DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 7:08HOUWeatherspoon 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)54
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 7:22DENBuckner Foul Turnover (P1.T5)54
4.0%
68
96.0%
Q3 - 7:33HOUWesley 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Sura 2 AST)54
4.7%
68
95.3%
Q3 - 7:54DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 7:54DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 8:00HOUYao Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)52
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q3 - 8:06HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
4.8%
65
95.2%
Q3 - 8:08DENYao BLOCK (3 BLK)52
5.1%
65
94.9%
Q3 - 8:23HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q3 - 8:23HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 252
5.8%
64
94.2%
Q3 - 8:34HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 8:35DENMISS Buckner 14' Jump Shot52
5.9%
64
94.1%
Q3 - 8:58DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
6.6%
64
93.4%
Q3 - 8:59HOUMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot52
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 9:19HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
5.8%
64
94.2%
Q3 - 9:21DENMISS Martin 19' Turnaround Jump Shot52
6.0%
64
94.0%
Q3 - 9:28DENNuggets Rebound52
6.7%
64
93.3%
Q3 - 9:30DENMcGrady BLOCK (3 BLK)52
6.0%
64
94.0%
Q3 - 9:36DENNuggets Rebound52
6.7%
64
93.3%
Q3 - 9:37DENMcGrady BLOCK (2 BLK)52
6.0%
64
94.0%
Q3 - 10:03HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)52
6.9%
64
93.1%
Q3 - 10:15DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q3 - 10:15DENMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 251
8.6%
61
91.4%
Q3 - 10:18DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
9.0%
61
91.0%
Q3 - 10:20HOUMISS Sura 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
8.6%
61
91.4%
Q3 - 10:26HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
7.7%
61
92.3%
Q3 - 10:27DENMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)51
8.1%
61
91.9%
Q3 - 10:44HOUMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (19 PTS)51
8.9%
61
91.1%
Q3 - 10:52HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
10.0%
59
90.0%
Q3 - 10:54DENMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot51
10.5%
59
89.5%
Q3 - 11:11HOUMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)51
11.6%
59
88.4%
Q3 - 11:15HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
14.7%
56
85.3%
Q3 - 11:17HOUMISS Yao 9' Hook Shot51
16.0%
56
84.0%
Q3 - 11:37DENNene 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)51
14.7%
56
85.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN49
13.1%
56
86.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound49
13.1%
56
86.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Boykins 17' Jump Shot49
12.0%
56
88.0%
Q2 - 0:20.0HOUMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)49
13.2%
56
86.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0DENBarry STEAL (1 STL)49
17.1%
53
82.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0HOUMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
18.5%
53
81.5%
Q2 - 1:03DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
23.9%
50
76.1%
Q2 - 1:03DENMartin Follow Up Dunk (14 PTS)49
23.9%
50
76.1%
Q2 - 1:04DENMISS Anthony Layup47
19.8%
50
80.2%
Q2 - 1:11DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
20.6%
50
79.4%
Q2 - 1:12DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot47
19.8%
50
80.2%
Q2 - 1:30DENNuggets Rebound47
20.6%
50
79.4%
Q2 - 1:31HOUMISS Wesley 22' Jump Shot47
20.2%
50
79.8%
Q2 - 1:48HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)47
19.5%
50
80.5%
Q2 - 1:49DENMISS Miller 13' Jump Shot47
19.8%
50
80.2%
Q2 - 2:02HOUMcGrady 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wesley 4 AST)47
21.1%
50
78.9%
Q2 - 2:17DENMartin Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)47
23.4%
48
76.6%
Q2 - 2:29HOUWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Padgett 2 AST)47
25.5%
48
74.5%
Q2 - 2:53DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)47
30.8%
45
69.2%
Q2 - 3:21HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
27.8%
45
72.2%
Q2 - 3:21HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
28.4%
44
71.6%
Q2 - 3:23HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)45
30.0%
43
70.0%
Q2 - 3:24HOUMISS McGrady Driving Layup45
31.9%
43
68.1%
Q2 - 3:44DENMartin Dunk (10 PTS)45
30.0%
43
70.0%
Q2 - 3:45DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
27.8%
43
72.2%
Q2 - 3:47DENMutombo BLOCK (2 BLK)43
26.0%
43
74.0%
Q2 - 3:49DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
27.8%
43
72.2%
Q2 - 3:50DENMISS Miller 13' Jump Shot43
26.0%
43
74.0%
Q2 - 4:03DENNuggets Rebound43
27.2%
43
72.8%
Q2 - 4:04HOUMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot43
26.5%
43
73.5%
Q2 - 4:22DENMiller 16' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)43
25.0%
43
75.0%
Q2 - 4:34HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)41
22.9%
43
77.1%
Q2 - 4:34HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)41
23.4%
42
76.6%
Q2 - 4:47HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)41
25.0%
41
75.0%
Q2 - 4:48DENMISS Martin 12' Jump Shot41
25.7%
41
74.3%
Q2 - 5:05HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
27.1%
41
72.9%
Q2 - 5:05HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
27.5%
40
72.5%
Q2 - 5:29DENBoykins Driving Layup (2 PTS)41
29.2%
39
70.8%
Q2 - 5:45HOUPadgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)39
27.1%
39
72.9%
Q2 - 6:06DENAnthony 7' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)39
31.1%
36
68.9%
Q2 - 6:21DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
29.3%
36
70.7%
Q2 - 6:21HOUMISS Mutombo Free Throw 2 of 237
28.9%
36
71.1%
Q2 - 6:21HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
27.6%
36
72.4%
Q2 - 6:21HOUROCKETS Rebound37
28.8%
35
71.2%
Q2 - 6:22HOUMISS Padgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
30.8%
35
69.2%
Q2 - 6:31HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)37
28.8%
35
71.2%
Q2 - 6:33HOUMISS McGrady Layup37
30.8%
35
69.2%
Q2 - 6:53HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
28.9%
35
71.1%
Q2 - 6:54DENMISS Anthony 17' Turnaround Jump Shot37
29.7%
35
70.3%
Q2 - 7:18HOUPadgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)37
31.2%
35
68.8%
Q2 - 7:41HOUJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
35.7%
32
64.3%
Q2 - 7:42DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
36.5%
32
63.5%
Q2 - 7:52DENNuggets Rebound37
38.4%
32
61.6%
Q2 - 7:53DENMutombo BLOCK (1 BLK)37
36.5%
32
63.5%
Q2 - 8:09HOUJames Driving Layup (12 PTS)37
38.0%
32
62.0%
Q2 - 8:19HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
40.1%
30
59.9%
Q2 - 8:21DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot37
41.0%
30
59.0%
Q2 - 8:29HOUPadgett 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)37
43.0%
30
57.0%
Q2 - 8:51DENPerson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)37
45.2%
28
54.8%
Q2 - 8:56DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
40.5%
28
59.5%
Q2 - 8:57HOUMISS Padgett 21' Jump Shot34
39.6%
28
60.4%
Q2 - 9:16HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)34
37.1%
28
62.9%
Q2 - 9:18HOUMISS Padgett 17' Jump Shot34
38.9%
28
61.1%
Q2 - 9:28HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
37.1%
28
62.9%
Q2 - 9:29HOUMISS James 16' Jump Shot34
38.9%
28
61.1%
Q2 - 9:46HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
37.1%
28
62.9%
Q2 - 9:47DENMISS Person 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
37.9%
28
62.1%
Q2 - 9:53DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
39.8%
28
60.2%
Q2 - 9:55DENMISS Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
37.9%
28
62.1%
Q2 - 10:19HOUBarry 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)34
39.6%
28
60.4%
Q2 - 10:24DENWesley STEAL (1 STL)34
41.6%
26
58.4%
Q2 - 10:30DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
44.4%
26
55.6%
Q2 - 10:33DENMISS Person 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
42.5%
26
57.5%
Q2 - 10:51HOUMutombo Dunk (4 PTS)34
44.4%
26
55.6%
Q2 - 10:52HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
46.5%
24
53.5%
Q2 - 10:54HOUMISS Padgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
48.5%
24
51.5%
Q2 - 11:03HOUJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
45.6%
24
54.4%
Q2 - 11:04DENMISS Boykins 12' Fadeaway Jumper34
46.3%
24
53.7%
Q2 - 11:27HOUJames Foul Turnover (P2.T7)34
48.0%
24
52.0%
Q2 - 11:39HOUJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
45.7%
24
54.3%
Q2 - 11:40DENMISS Boykins 16' Jump Shot34
46.4%
24
53.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN34
48.1%
24
51.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
48.1%
24
51.9%
Q1 - 0:16.0DENBuckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)34
45.2%
24
54.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
40.0%
24
60.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot31
39.5%
24
60.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
38.3%
24
61.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENMISS Miller 14' Turnaround Jump Shot31
38.8%
24
61.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0HOUJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)31
40.0%
24
60.0%
Q1 - 1:21DENMiller 13' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)31
45.1%
21
54.9%
Q1 - 1:39HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
42.2%
21
57.8%
Q1 - 1:39HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
42.8%
20
57.2%
Q1 - 1:52HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
45.1%
19
54.9%
Q1 - 1:53DENMISS Martin 9' Jump Shot29
45.6%
19
54.4%
Q1 - 2:05HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
46.8%
19
53.2%
Q1 - 2:05HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
47.3%
18
52.7%
Q1 - 2:40DENBuckner Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
49.4%
17
50.6%
Q1 - 2:40DENBuckner Layup (2 PTS)28
47.0%
17
53.0%
Q1 - 2:41DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
44.5%
17
55.5%
Q1 - 2:42DENYao BLOCK (2 BLK)26
43.0%
17
57.0%
Q1 - 2:58HOUJames Layup (7 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)26
44.5%
17
55.5%
Q1 - 3:13DENElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
45.5%
15
54.5%
Q1 - 3:13DENMISS Elson Free Throw 1 of 225
44.8%
15
55.2%
Q1 - 3:13DENNuggets Rebound25
45.8%
15
54.2%
Q1 - 3:14HOUMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot25
45.0%
15
55.0%
Q1 - 3:21HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
43.3%
15
56.7%
Q1 - 3:22DENMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot25
44.1%
15
55.9%
Q1 - 3:28DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)25
45.8%
15
54.2%
Q1 - 3:40HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
43.6%
15
56.4%
Q1 - 3:57DENMartin Layup (8 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)24
45.7%
13
54.3%
Q1 - 4:03HOUWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
42.8%
13
57.2%
Q1 - 4:20DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
40.3%
13
59.7%
Q1 - 4:20DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 221
39.7%
13
60.3%
Q1 - 4:21DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
40.7%
13
59.3%
Q1 - 4:22DENMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot21
38.9%
13
61.1%
Q1 - 4:35HOUYao 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)21
40.7%
13
59.3%
Q1 - 4:44DENMartin Inbound Turnover (P1.T1)21
42.4%
11
57.6%
Q1 - 4:45HOUJames Layup (5 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)21
45.1%
11
54.9%
Q1 - 4:59HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
46.8%
9
53.2%
Q1 - 5:00HOUMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
48.6%
9
51.4%
Q1 - 5:14HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
45.2%
9
54.8%
Q1 - 5:15DENMISS Martin 15' Jump Shot21
45.9%
9
54.1%
Q1 - 5:25DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)21
47.5%
9
52.5%
Q1 - 5:35HOUYao Dunk (4 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)20
45.5%
9
54.5%
Q1 - 5:55DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)20
47.4%
7
52.6%
Q1 - 6:15HOUJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)18
44.1%
7
55.9%
Q1 - 6:21HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
48.0%
4
52.0%
Q1 - 6:22DENYao BLOCK (1 BLK)18
48.7%
4
51.3%
Q1 - 6:40DENMartin Free Throw Clear Path (3 PTS)18
50.2%
4
49.8%
Q1 - 6:41HOUSura Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)17
48.2%
4
51.8%
Q1 - 6:49HOUROCKETS Rebound17
46.1%
4
53.9%
Q1 - 6:50HOUMISS McGrady Layup17
47.5%
4
52.5%
Q1 - 7:03DENAnthony Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)17
44.0%
4
56.0%
Q1 - 7:08HOUYao Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)15
42.4%
4
57.6%
Q1 - 7:22DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
40.4%
4
59.6%
Q1 - 7:22DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
40.2%
4
59.8%
Q1 - 7:24HOUSura Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 7:34DENAnthony Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)13
36.9%
4
63.1%
Q1 - 7:39DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
35.3%
4
64.7%
Q1 - 7:40HOUMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot11
34.7%
4
65.3%
Q1 - 7:56DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
33.4%
4
66.6%
Q1 - 7:56DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
33.1%
4
66.9%
Q1 - 8:09DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
31.7%
4
68.3%
Q1 - 8:09HOUMISS Sura Free Throw 2 of 29
31.4%
4
68.6%
Q1 - 8:09HOUMISS Sura Free Throw 1 of 29
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 8:15HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 8:16DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot9
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 8:25DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
31.7%
4
68.3%
Q1 - 8:26HOUMISS Weatherspoon 15' Jump Shot9
31.1%
4
68.9%
Q1 - 8:42DENJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)9
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 8:50DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 8:51HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot6
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 9:07DENMartin 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)6
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 9:22HOUYao 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)4
24.0%
4
76.0%
Q1 - 9:33HOUROCKETS Rebound4
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 9:34DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot4
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 9:43HOUWesley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)4
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 9:56HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 9:57DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 24
28.3%
0
71.7%
Q1 - 9:57DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 24
29.1%
0
70.9%
Q1 - 10:03DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
29.7%
0
70.3%
Q1 - 10:04HOUMISS Wesley 15' Jump Shot4
29.1%
0
70.9%
Q1 - 10:24DENMiller 15' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)4
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 10:43HOUWeatherspoon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 10:58DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
25.0%
0
75.0%
Q1 - 10:58DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:10DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 11:11HOUMISS Yao 9' Jump Shot0
23.2%
0
76.8%
Q1 - 11:25HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 11:27DENMISS Nene Layup0
22.8%
0
77.2%
Q1 - 11:39DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 11:40HOUMISS Weatherspoon 20' Jump Shot0
23.2%
0
76.8%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Nene: Tip to Sura0
22.4%
0
77.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.94 46.8%
HOU
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
15
25
60%
HOU
15
20
75%
Midrange
DEN
13
41
32%
HOU
11
35
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
HOU
15
22.5
24
63%
94%
Free Throws
DEN
22
32
69%
HOU
18
26
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin2261%11.0 / 18
C. Anthony1640%8.0 / 20
A. Miller1246%6.0 / 13
Nene1255%6.0 / 11
E. Boykins956%4.5 / 8
G. Buckner650%3.0 / 6
D. Johnson4100%2.0 / 2
W. Person325%1.5 / 6
E. Najera233%1.0 / 3
F. Elson150%0.5 / 1
B. Russell0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady3267%16.0 / 24
M. James2388%11.5 / 13
Yao1359%6.5 / 11
S. Padgett1365%6.5 / 10
D. Mutombo1179%5.5 / 7
D. Wesley1045%5.0 / 11
J. Barry770%3.5 / 5
C. Weatherspoon450%2.0 / 4
T. Braggs2100%1.0 / 1
B. Sura0-0.0 / 2
R. Bowen0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
79
+13
-14
92
HOU
79
+15
-13
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.94 46.8%
HOU
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
103.1
DEN 93.5 +31.5
HOU 125.0
Pace
95.8
91.5
DEN 113.6 +35.7
HOU 77.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
16.0
DEN 12.7 +5.8
HOU 18.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
48.6%
DEN 43.3%
HOU 61.4% +18.1%
TO %
15.0%
14.2%
DEN 13.6%
HOU 13.4% +0.2%
ORB %
28.4%
26.4%
DEN 20.0%
HOU 35.3% +15.3%
FTrt
35.0
30.9
DEN 42.7 +9.8
HOU 32.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.5%
60.9%
DEN 64.5%
HOU 78.0% +13.5%
STL %
9.5%
7.5%
DEN 8.6%
HOU 10.9% +2.3%
BLK %
9.3%
7.4%
DEN 1.8%
HOU 16.7% +14.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
50.6%
DEN 46.8%
HOU 61.2% +14.4%
Rim FG%
60.5%
57.3%
DEN 60.0%
HOU 75.0% +15.0%
Mid FG%
37.4%
40.5%
DEN 31.7% +0.3%
HOU 31.4%
3P %
34.0%
36.4%
DEN 33.3%
HOU 62.5% +29.2%
FT %
76.3%
78.1%
DEN 68.8%
HOU 69.2% +0.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.0%
28.5%
DEN 33.3% +8.0%
HOU 25.3%
Mid Att. %
46.8%
47.8%
DEN 54.7%
HOU 44.3% +10.4%
3P Att. %
14.2%
23.7%
DEN 12.0%
HOU 30.4% +18.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENHOU
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes19.628.4
Points87115
Rebounds3044
Assists2032
Steals810
Blocks111
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (6)32 (3)
Field Goals31-7541-79
At-the-Rim FG15-2515-20
Midrange FG13-4111-35
2-Point FG28-6626-55
3-Point FG3-915-24
Free Throws22-3218-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 21
35.0
16
40%
2
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
8-9
89%
4-16
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
33.8
12
46%
1
9
3
0
2
2
0
1
4-4
100%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
30.9
22
61%
9
2
1
0
4
3
3
6
2-3
67%
10-17
59%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 250 · 23
26.0
12
55%
5
1
0
0
0
4
0
5
4-10
40%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'9" 210 · 25
15.7
4
100%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G · 5'5" 133 · 29
29.5
9
56%
2
3
1
0
3
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
21.0
2
33%
4
1
1
1
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 29
19.3
6
50%
5
1
1
0
1
3
2
3
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
12.9
3
25%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29
11.7
1
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
47%
30
20
8
1
14
0
8
22
22-32
69%
28-66
42%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.