FinalWin Prob.pScore
3017%89
94
483%101
103
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
97.996102.6
DET logo DET
108.49589.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET94
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)94
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)93
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETMISS Ham Layup92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0DETDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0DETDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0DETArroyo Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0ORLKasun Dunk (7 PTS) (Barrett 4 AST)91
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04DETDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04DETMISS Delfino Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13ORLMilicic BLOCK (2 BLK)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15ORLBarrett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 1 of 187
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16ORLHunter Dunk (5 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19ORLMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26DETArroyo 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47ORLBarrett Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47ORLBarrett Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52DETHam Dunk (3 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)83
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09ORLMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 283
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09ORLMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 283
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09DETMilicic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)83
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 2:29DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39DETHam Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)83
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 2:39DETMISS Ham Free Throw 1 of 283
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 2:59ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Kasun 1 AST)83
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 3:03ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05DETMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27ORLJones 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barrett 3 AST)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43DETMilicic 12' Jump Shot (3 PTS)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02ORLJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)78
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:02ORLJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13ORLMagic Rebound76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14DETMISS Milicic 19' Jump Shot76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33ORLMISS Barrett 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43DETMISS Delfino Layup76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03ORLHunter 6' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14DETMISS Campbell Layup74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:30DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44DETMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 274
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44DETMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57DETMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00ORLMilicic BLOCK (1 BLK)74
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:11DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)74
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 6:11DETPISTONS Rebound74
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 6:11DETMISS Hunter 20' Jump Shot74
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 6:40ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Barrett 2 AST)74
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53DETHunter Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)71
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53DETHunter Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:57ORLArroyo STEAL (2 STL)71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 7:09DETArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)71
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 7:09DETArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)71
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 7:10ORLBarrett Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)71
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 7:25DETArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)71
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 7:25DETMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 271
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 7:41DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 7:42ORLMISS Howard Layup71
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 7:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 7:47ORLMISS Hunter 9' Jump Shot71
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 7:59ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 8:01ORLMISS Hunter 18' Jump Shot71
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 8:20DETMcDyess Follow Up Dunk (12 PTS)71
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 8:21DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 8:23DETMISS Arroyo Layup71
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 8:40DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 8:42ORLMISS Hunter 19' Jump Shot71
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 8:59DETMcDyess Dunk (10 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)71
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 9:08ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Barrett 1 AST)71
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q4 - 9:12ORLBarrett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 9:14ORLHunter BLOCK (1 BLK)68
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q4 - 9:18ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 9:21DETMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 9:29DETPISTONS Rebound68
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 9:30DETMISS Arroyo Layup68
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 9:36ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)68
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 9:36ORLNelson Driving Layup (19 PTS)67
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 9:39ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 9:42DETMISS Hunter Driving Layup65
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 9:52DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 9:55ORLMISS Hunter 4' Hook Shot65
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 10:12ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 10:14DETMISS Hunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 10:18DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 10:19DETMISS Hunter Layup65
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 10:25ORLHunter STEAL (1 STL)65
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 10:29ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 10:31DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot65
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 11:07ORLBarrett 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)65
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 11:16DETCampbell Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)63
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 11:16DETMISS Campbell Free Throw 1 of 263
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 11:28ORLMagic Rebound63
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 11:28ORLHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)63
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 11:28ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 1 of 262
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 11:31ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 11:33ORLMISS Francis Layup62
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 11:48DETArroyo 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)62
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL62
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETHunter 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)62
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q3 - 0:16.0DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot62
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0DETWallace Driving Layup (9 PTS)62
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Howard Layup62
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0ORLMISS Jones Layup62
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0DETArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)62
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 1:15DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 1:17DETMISS Arroyo 14' Jump Shot62
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 1:34DETPISTONS Rebound62
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 1:36ORLMISS Francis Layup62
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 1:51ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 1:53DETMISS Delfino 19' Jump Shot62
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 2:15ORLJones 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)62
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 2:27ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 2:29DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot60
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 2:58ORLHoward 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)60
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 3:18DETBillups Driving Layup (10 PTS)58
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q3 - 3:30DETPISTONS Rebound58
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q3 - 3:31DETMISS Hunter Layup58
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 3:35DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q3 - 3:37ORLMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot58
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 4:02ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 4:04DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q3 - 4:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)58
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 4:11DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot58
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q3 - 4:19ORLBillups STEAL (1 STL)58
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 4:32DETWallace Dunk (7 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)58
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 4:55ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)58
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 5:13DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)55
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q3 - 5:31ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 5:46DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q3 - 5:46DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 5:58ORLHoward Dunk (15 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)53
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q3 - 6:02DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)51
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q3 - 6:25ORLHoward 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Augmon 2 AST)51
1.9%
66
98.1%
Q3 - 6:55DETBillups Driving Layup (8 PTS)49
1.6%
66
98.4%
Q3 - 7:17ORLHoward Layup (11 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)49
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q3 - 7:25ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q3 - 7:27DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 247
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q3 - 7:27DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
1.6%
64
98.4%
Q3 - 7:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)47
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 7:28DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.9%
63
98.1%
Q3 - 7:33DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)47
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 7:35DETMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot47
1.9%
63
98.1%
Q3 - 7:56DETJump Ball Billups vs. Augmon: Tip to Hamilton47
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 7:57ORLMISS Francis Layup47
1.8%
63
98.2%
Q3 - 8:02ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
2.1%
63
97.9%
Q3 - 8:05DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot47
2.0%
63
98.0%
Q3 - 8:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)47
1.8%
63
98.2%
Q3 - 8:16ORLMISS Augmon 15' Jump Shot47
1.9%
63
98.1%
Q3 - 8:30DETBillups Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)47
2.1%
63
97.9%
Q3 - 8:37DETWallace Dunk (11 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)47
2.5%
62
97.5%
Q3 - 8:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q3 - 8:54ORLWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)47
3.0%
60
97.0%
Q3 - 9:00DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)47
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q3 - 9:17ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)47
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q3 - 9:17ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)46
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q3 - 9:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q3 - 9:19ORLMISS Francis Layup45
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q3 - 9:33DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q3 - 9:33DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
2.6%
59
97.4%
Q3 - 9:48ORLNelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)45
2.9%
58
97.1%
Q3 - 10:05DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)42
2.3%
58
97.7%
Q3 - 10:06DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
1.9%
58
98.1%
Q3 - 10:09DETMISS Wallace Follow Up Dunk42
2.2%
58
97.8%
Q3 - 10:11DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)42
1.9%
58
98.1%
Q3 - 10:13DETMISS Hamilton Layup42
2.2%
58
97.8%
Q3 - 10:40ORLHoward Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)42
1.9%
58
98.1%
Q3 - 10:52ORLMagic Rebound40
1.7%
58
98.3%
Q3 - 10:54ORLMISS Battie 14' Jump Shot40
1.5%
58
98.5%
Q3 - 11:09DETWallace Follow Up Dunk (9 PTS)40
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q3 - 11:12DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
2.0%
56
98.0%
Q3 - 11:14DETMISS Wallace Alley Oop Layup40
2.2%
56
97.8%
Q3 - 11:32ORLAugmon 9' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)40
2.0%
56
98.0%
Q3 - 11:35ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q3 - 11:37ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot38
1.6%
56
98.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET38
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound38
1.5%
56
98.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)38
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q2 - 0:19.0ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
1.9%
56
98.1%
Q2 - 0:20.0ORLMISS Howard Layup38
1.8%
56
98.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
1.9%
56
98.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0DETMISS Billups Layup38
1.8%
56
98.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Augmon 6' Running Jump Shot38
1.8%
56
98.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)38
1.9%
56
98.1%
Q2 - 0:52.0DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 238
1.9%
55
98.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLFrancis 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
1.9%
55
98.1%
Q2 - 1:16DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)36
1.7%
55
98.3%
Q2 - 1:31ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)36
2.1%
53
97.9%
Q2 - 1:31ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)35
2.0%
53
98.0%
Q2 - 1:31DETBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)34
1.7%
53
98.3%
Q2 - 1:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)34
1.6%
53
98.4%
Q2 - 1:39ORLMISS Augmon 6' Jump Shot34
1.7%
53
98.3%
Q2 - 1:48DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)34
1.7%
53
98.3%
Q2 - 1:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)34
2.1%
51
97.9%
Q2 - 2:00ORLWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)34
2.1%
51
97.9%
Q2 - 2:18DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
2.4%
51
97.6%
Q2 - 2:18DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 234
2.5%
50
97.5%
Q2 - 2:27ORLAugmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
2.5%
50
97.5%
Q2 - 2:27ORLMISS Augmon Free Throw 1 of 233
2.4%
50
97.6%
Q2 - 2:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
2.4%
50
97.6%
Q2 - 2:34DETMISS McDyess 11' Jump Shot33
2.3%
50
97.7%
Q2 - 2:46DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
2.2%
50
97.8%
Q2 - 2:49ORLMISS Nelson Layup33
2.2%
50
97.8%
Q2 - 2:54DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)33
2.4%
50
97.6%
Q2 - 3:10ORLFrancis Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)33
2.3%
50
97.7%
Q2 - 3:13ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
2.1%
50
97.9%
Q2 - 3:16DETMISS Prince Alley Oop Layup31
2.0%
50
98.0%
Q2 - 3:34ORLAugmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
1.8%
50
98.2%
Q2 - 3:34ORLAugmon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
1.8%
50
98.2%
Q2 - 3:45DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
1.6%
50
98.4%
Q2 - 3:45DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
1.7%
49
98.3%
Q2 - 4:00ORLAugmon 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)29
1.8%
48
98.2%
Q2 - 4:20DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
1.7%
48
98.3%
Q2 - 4:20DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
1.8%
47
98.2%
Q2 - 4:20ORLMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)27
1.9%
46
98.1%
Q2 - 4:25DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
2.1%
46
97.9%
Q2 - 4:25DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
2.2%
45
97.8%
Q2 - 4:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
2.4%
44
97.6%
Q2 - 4:32ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot27
2.5%
44
97.5%
Q2 - 4:45DETCampbell Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)27
2.7%
44
97.3%
Q2 - 4:57DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
2.4%
44
97.6%
Q2 - 4:58DETMISS Campbell Layup27
2.6%
44
97.4%
Q2 - 5:13DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
2.4%
44
97.6%
Q2 - 5:15ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot27
2.5%
44
97.5%
Q2 - 5:37DETMcDyess 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)27
2.8%
44
97.2%
Q2 - 5:55ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)27
3.0%
42
97.0%
Q2 - 5:55ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 226
3.0%
42
97.0%
Q2 - 6:09DETArroyo Layup (6 PTS)26
3.2%
42
96.8%
Q2 - 6:12ORLArroyo STEAL (1 STL)26
3.5%
40
96.5%
Q2 - 6:13ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
4.0%
40
96.0%
Q2 - 6:15DETMISS Delfino Layup26
3.8%
40
96.2%
Q2 - 6:21DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
3.5%
40
96.5%
Q2 - 6:23ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
3.6%
40
96.4%
Q2 - 6:42DETArroyo Driving Layup (4 PTS)26
4.0%
40
96.0%
Q2 - 7:04ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)26
4.6%
38
95.4%
Q2 - 7:08ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
5.1%
38
94.9%
Q2 - 7:10DETMISS Delfino 20' Jump Shot26
4.9%
38
95.1%
Q2 - 7:34ORLKasun 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)26
4.5%
38
95.5%
Q2 - 7:44DETMcDyess Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)24
4.1%
38
95.9%
Q2 - 7:52ORLKasun Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
3.7%
38
96.3%
Q2 - 7:52ORLMISS Kasun Free Throw 1 of 223
3.6%
38
96.4%
Q2 - 7:59ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
3.7%
38
96.3%
Q2 - 8:01DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 223
3.8%
38
96.2%
Q2 - 8:01DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)23
3.5%
38
96.5%
Q2 - 8:12DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
3.8%
37
96.2%
Q2 - 8:15ORLMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot23
3.9%
37
96.1%
Q2 - 8:27DETCampbell 10' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)23
4.2%
37
95.8%
Q2 - 8:46DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
4.6%
35
95.4%
Q2 - 8:48ORLMISS Barrett 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
4.8%
35
95.2%
Q2 - 8:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
5.1%
35
94.9%
Q2 - 8:58DETMISS Campbell Tip Shot23
5.0%
35
95.0%
Q2 - 8:59DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
4.6%
35
95.4%
Q2 - 9:01DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot23
5.0%
35
95.0%
Q2 - 9:15ORLBarrett Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
4.7%
35
95.3%
Q2 - 9:41DETCampbell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
4.3%
35
95.7%
Q2 - 9:41DETCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
4.4%
34
95.6%
Q2 - 9:56DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
4.7%
33
95.3%
Q2 - 9:58ORLMISS Kasun Layup21
4.8%
33
95.2%
Q2 - 10:09DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)21
5.3%
33
94.7%
Q2 - 10:09DETPISTONS Rebound21
4.8%
33
95.2%
Q2 - 10:10DETMISS Delfino 13' Running Jump Shot21
5.2%
33
94.8%
Q2 - 10:13DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
4.8%
33
95.2%
Q2 - 10:15DETMISS Arroyo Layup21
5.2%
33
94.8%
Q2 - 10:34ORLDelfino STEAL (1 STL)21
4.8%
33
95.2%
Q2 - 10:42DETMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)21
5.3%
33
94.7%
Q2 - 10:57ORLBarrett 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q2 - 11:18DETHunter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)19
5.3%
31
94.7%
Q2 - 11:45ORLKasun Dunk (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)19
4.8%
31
95.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET17
4.4%
31
95.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
4.0%
31
96.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Francis 18' Turnaround Jump Shot17
4.2%
31
95.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0DETArroyo 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)17
4.4%
31
95.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETPISTONS Rebound17
4.9%
29
95.1%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot17
5.0%
29
95.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0DETBillups 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)17
5.3%
29
94.7%
Q1 - 1:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)17
5.9%
27
94.1%
Q1 - 1:21ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot17
6.1%
27
93.9%
Q1 - 1:36DETPrince Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)17
6.4%
27
93.6%
Q1 - 1:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
5.9%
27
94.1%
Q1 - 1:51ORLMISS Howard Layup17
6.1%
27
93.9%
Q1 - 1:55ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
6.4%
27
93.6%
Q1 - 1:57DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot17
6.2%
27
93.8%
Q1 - 2:19ORLHoward 11' Hook Shot (5 PTS)17
5.9%
27
94.1%
Q1 - 2:39ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
5.4%
27
94.6%
Q1 - 2:41DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
5.3%
27
94.7%
Q1 - 2:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
5.0%
27
95.0%
Q1 - 2:59ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot15
5.1%
27
94.9%
Q1 - 3:23DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)15
5.6%
27
94.4%
Q1 - 3:32DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
6.0%
25
94.0%
Q1 - 3:34ORLMISS Battie 20' Jump Shot15
6.2%
25
93.8%
Q1 - 3:58DETWallace 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
6.6%
25
93.4%
Q1 - 4:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
7.0%
23
93.0%
Q1 - 4:16ORLMISS Howard 10' Turnaround Hook Shot15
7.2%
23
92.8%
Q1 - 4:36DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)15
7.7%
23
92.3%
Q1 - 4:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
8.2%
21
91.8%
Q1 - 4:51ORLMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot15
8.5%
21
91.5%
Q1 - 5:14DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)15
8.9%
21
91.1%
Q1 - 5:23ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
9.6%
19
90.4%
Q1 - 5:23ORLHoward Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)14
8.9%
19
91.1%
Q1 - 5:41DETHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)12
8.3%
19
91.7%
Q1 - 5:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
9.6%
16
90.4%
Q1 - 5:58ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot12
9.8%
16
90.2%
Q1 - 6:15DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)12
10.4%
16
89.6%
Q1 - 6:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
11.1%
14
88.9%
Q1 - 6:35ORLMISS Howard Layup12
11.4%
14
88.6%
Q1 - 6:48DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
12.0%
14
88.0%
Q1 - 7:00DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
11.1%
14
88.9%
Q1 - 7:02ORLMISS Battie 19' Jump Shot12
11.2%
14
88.8%
Q1 - 7:11DETWallace 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)12
11.8%
14
88.2%
Q1 - 7:17ORLWallace STEAL (2 STL)12
12.5%
12
87.5%
Q1 - 7:19ORLMagic Rebound12
13.5%
12
86.5%
Q1 - 7:20ORLMISS Francis Layup12
12.8%
12
87.2%
Q1 - 7:24DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
13.5%
12
86.5%
Q1 - 7:28DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
12.5%
12
87.5%
Q1 - 7:31DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot12
13.2%
12
86.8%
Q1 - 7:59ORLFrancis Layup (2 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)12
12.6%
12
87.4%
Q1 - 8:03DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
11.6%
12
88.4%
Q1 - 8:17ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Augmon 1 AST)10
10.8%
12
89.2%
Q1 - 8:34DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
10.2%
12
89.8%
Q1 - 8:34DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
10.3%
11
89.7%
Q1 - 8:39ORLWallace STEAL (1 STL)8
10.8%
10
89.2%
Q1 - 8:54DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)8
11.6%
10
88.4%
Q1 - 9:11ORLAugmon 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)8
12.1%
8
87.9%
Q1 - 9:19DETWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)6
11.6%
8
88.4%
Q1 - 9:37ORLAugmon Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
12.2%
6
87.8%
Q1 - 9:49DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)4
11.6%
6
88.4%
Q1 - 10:18ORLNelson Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
12.1%
4
87.9%
Q1 - 10:22ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.5%
4
88.5%
Q1 - 10:24DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot2
11.2%
4
88.8%
Q1 - 10:38ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
10.6%
4
89.4%
Q1 - 10:47DETBillups 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)0
10.0%
4
90.0%
Q1 - 10:59DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.6%
2
89.4%
Q1 - 11:01ORLMISS Augmon 11' Jump Shot0
10.9%
2
89.1%
Q1 - 11:16DETWallace 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)0
11.3%
2
88.7%
Q1 - 11:29DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.2%
0
87.8%
Q1 - 11:31ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot0
12.4%
0
87.6%
Q1 - 11:44ORLMagic Rebound0
12.9%
0
87.1%
Q1 - 11:46DETMISS Wallace Layup0
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Howard: Tip to Billups0
12.2%
0
87.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.92 46.1%
DET
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
33
45%
DET
14
32
44%
Midrange
ORL
15
40
38%
DET
21
35
60%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
DET
1
1.5
10
10%
15%
Free Throws
ORL
19
27
70%
DET
30
39
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson3068%15.0 / 22
D. Howard1743%8.5 / 20
S. Augmon1155%5.5 / 10
B. Hunter941%4.5 / 11
A. Barrett857%4.0 / 7
M. Kasun770%3.5 / 5
S. Francis623%3.0 / 13
M. Jones643%3.0 / 7
T. Battie0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Prince1488%7.0 / 8
R. Hamilton1458%7.0 / 12
C. Arroyo1458%7.0 / 12
A. McDyess1267%6.0 / 9
R. Wallace1161%5.5 / 9
C. Billups1056%5.0 / 9
B. Wallace950%4.5 / 9
L. Hunter531%2.5 / 8
E. Campbell542%2.5 / 6
C. Delfino319%1.5 / 8
D. Milicic350%1.5 / 3
D. Ham350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
86
+15
-10
101
DET
81
+19
-14
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.92 46.1%
DET
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.8
103.0
ORL 97.9 +10.5
DET 108.4
Pace
97.7
89.5
ORL 102.6 +13.4
DET 89.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.5
ORL 14.0 +2.1
DET 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
47.2%
ORL 44.1%
DET 47.4% +3.3%
TO %
16.0%
14.4%
ORL 10.2% +5.1%
DET 15.3%
ORB %
30.0%
31.3%
ORL 25.5%
DET 37.8% +12.3%
FTrt
35.0
33.5
ORL 31.8
DET 50.6 +18.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
62.7%
ORL 68.6%
DET 69.4% +0.8%
STL %
7.9%
7.8%
ORL 10.4% +2.0%
DET 8.4%
BLK %
8.0%
9.4%
ORL 1.5%
DET 6.8% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
49.3%
ORL 46.1%
DET 50.5% +4.4%
Rim FG%
57.1%
55.5%
ORL 45.5% +1.7%
DET 43.8%
Mid FG%
40.0%
39.7%
ORL 37.5%
DET 60.0% +22.5%
3P %
34.9%
34.5%
ORL 41.7% +31.7%
DET 10.0%
FT %
75.9%
73.9%
ORL 70.4%
DET 76.9% +6.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
35.1%
ORL 38.8%
DET 41.6% +2.7%
Mid Att. %
50.5%
48.5%
ORL 47.1%
DET 45.5% +1.6%
3P Att. %
13.7%
16.4%
ORL 14.1% +1.1%
DET 13.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLDET
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points94103
Rebounds3549
Assists2425
Steals108
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)14 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)35 (3)
Field Goals35-8536-77
At-the-Rim FG15-3314-32
Midrange FG15-4021-35
2-Point FG30-7335-67
3-Point FG5-121-10
Free Throws19-2730-39
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 190 · 23
39.6
30
68%
5
8
5
0
2
5
2
3
5-7
71%
5-10
50%
5-8
63%
F · 6'11" 265 · 19
36.1
17
43%
6
1
1
0
1
2
3
3
3-3
100%
7-18
39%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 28
35.8
6
23%
2
6
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-13
23%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 29
28.2
0
0%
4
1
2
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 213 · 37
22.9
11
55%
2
2
0
0
1
3
2
0
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 30
24.4
6
43%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
G · 5'10" 173 · 23
21.2
8
57%
2
4
0
0
3
2
2
0
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
C · 7'1" 260 · 25
19.6
7
70%
10
1
0
1
1
3
1
9
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 266 · 24
12.0
9
41%
4
0
1
0
0
4
2
2
3-5
60%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24
C · 6'11" 275 · 31
F · 6'9" 238 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
46%
35
24
10
1
10
0
12
23
19-27
70%
30-73
41%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.