FinalWin Prob.pScore
446%92
80
854%94
72
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
94.18595.4
MIA logo MIA
84.78576.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA80
100%
72
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)80
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)79
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)78
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
99.1%
72
0.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 278
99.1%
72
0.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)78
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAJones 9' Jump Shot (19 PTS)77
99.1%
72
0.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIASmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 277
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)77
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)76
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q4 - 0:41.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)76
97.8%
70
2.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)75
97.6%
70
2.4%
Q4 - 0:43.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
95.9%
70
4.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
94.6%
70
5.4%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
89.7%
70
10.3%
Q4 - 0:54.0DETMourning BLOCK (5 BLK)74
91.3%
70
8.7%
Q4 - 1:12MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)74
92.6%
70
7.4%
Q4 - 1:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
96.9%
67
3.1%
Q4 - 1:23DETMISS Prince 5' Hook Shot74
97.3%
67
2.7%
Q4 - 1:46MIAMourning 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS)74
97.3%
67
2.7%
Q4 - 2:09DETPrince 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS)74
97.9%
65
2.1%
Q4 - 2:12DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
97.2%
65
2.8%
Q4 - 2:14DETMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)72
95.7%
65
4.3%
Q4 - 2:27MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)72
97.3%
65
2.7%
Q4 - 2:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
94.6%
65
5.4%
Q4 - 2:36DETMISS Prince Layup72
95.6%
65
4.4%
Q4 - 2:50MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)72
97.3%
65
2.7%
Q4 - 2:50MIAHEAT Rebound72
94.5%
65
5.5%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS Haslem 19' Turnaround Jump Shot72
95.3%
65
4.7%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)72
93.2%
65
6.8%
Q4 - 3:15DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot72
94.3%
65
5.7%
Q4 - 3:18DETPistons Rebound72
96.2%
65
3.8%
Q4 - 3:19DETDooling BLOCK (1 BLK)72
94.3%
65
5.7%
Q4 - 3:44MIADooling 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)72
93.6%
65
6.4%
Q4 - 4:04MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
95.6%
63
4.4%
Q4 - 4:06DETMISS Prince 9' Hook Shot72
96.1%
63
3.9%
Q4 - 4:21DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
97.0%
63
3.0%
Q4 - 4:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 272
96.9%
63
3.1%
Q4 - 4:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 272
96.0%
63
4.0%
Q4 - 4:41DETPrince 7' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)72
95.7%
63
4.3%
Q4 - 5:05MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)70
91.6%
63
8.4%
Q4 - 5:05MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 270
92.1%
62
7.9%
Q4 - 5:28DETWallace Layup (11 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)70
91.6%
62
8.4%
Q4 - 5:50MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)68
88.9%
62
11.1%
Q4 - 6:06MIAHEAT Rebound68
89.3%
60
10.7%
Q4 - 6:07DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot68
90.3%
60
9.7%
Q4 - 6:18DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
92.3%
60
7.7%
Q4 - 6:19MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot68
91.5%
60
8.5%
Q4 - 6:44DETPrince Layup (12 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)68
89.5%
60
10.5%
Q4 - 7:03MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)66
84.5%
60
15.5%
Q4 - 7:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)66
90.2%
57
9.8%
Q4 - 7:12DETMISS Hamilton 16' Turnaround Jump Shot66
91.0%
57
9.0%
Q4 - 7:38DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)66
92.7%
57
7.3%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 266
92.4%
57
7.6%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 266
91.3%
57
8.7%
Q4 - 7:50MIAHEAT Rebound66
90.3%
57
9.7%
Q4 - 7:51DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot66
91.1%
57
8.9%
Q4 - 8:08MIAJones Driving Layup (14 PTS)66
91.0%
57
9.0%
Q4 - 8:25DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)66
92.9%
55
7.1%
Q4 - 8:48DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
91.1%
55
8.9%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
90.4%
55
9.6%
Q4 - 9:06DETMourning STEAL (1 STL)64
87.2%
55
12.8%
Q4 - 9:19DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
89.8%
55
10.2%
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot64
89.1%
55
10.9%
Q4 - 9:33MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
87.3%
55
12.7%
Q4 - 9:35DETMISS Billups Driving Finger Roll64
88.1%
55
11.9%
Q4 - 9:58MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)64
89.9%
55
10.1%
Q4 - 9:58MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)64
90.3%
54
9.7%
Q4 - 10:09MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
90.5%
53
9.5%
Q4 - 10:11DETMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)64
91.1%
53
8.9%
Q4 - 10:38MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)64
92.5%
53
7.5%
Q4 - 10:54DETJones STEAL (1 STL)64
93.8%
51
6.2%
Q4 - 11:15MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)64
94.3%
51
5.7%
Q4 - 11:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
95.3%
49
4.7%
Q4 - 11:30DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot64
95.6%
49
4.4%
Q4 - 11:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
96.2%
49
3.8%
Q4 - 11:45DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot64
95.6%
49
4.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
96.2%
49
3.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound64
95.3%
49
4.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
96.0%
49
4.0%
Q3 - 0:22.0DETArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)64
94.6%
49
5.4%
Q3 - 0:22.0DETArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
94.4%
49
5.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)62
93.4%
49
6.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
94.6%
47
5.4%
Q3 - 0:52.0DETMISS Arroyo Driving Layup62
94.9%
47
5.1%
Q3 - 1:08MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
94.8%
47
5.2%
Q3 - 1:08MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)62
95.0%
46
5.0%
Q3 - 1:25DETPrince 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)62
95.7%
45
4.3%
Q3 - 1:46DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
94.8%
45
5.2%
Q3 - 1:48MIAMISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot60
94.5%
45
5.5%
Q3 - 2:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
92.7%
45
7.3%
Q3 - 2:09DETMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot60
93.1%
45
6.9%
Q3 - 2:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)60
94.0%
45
6.0%
Q3 - 2:21MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot60
93.6%
45
6.4%
Q3 - 2:41DETMcDyess 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)60
92.8%
45
7.2%
Q3 - 3:05DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)58
90.8%
45
9.2%
Q3 - 3:07MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 258
90.6%
45
9.4%
Q3 - 3:07MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 1 of 258
89.4%
45
10.6%
Q3 - 3:13MIAJones Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)58
89.1%
45
10.9%
Q3 - 3:26MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
90.7%
44
9.3%
Q3 - 3:29DETMISS Wallace 5' Hook Shot58
91.2%
44
8.8%
Q3 - 3:52MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)58
92.2%
44
7.8%
Q3 - 4:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
93.6%
41
6.4%
Q3 - 4:07DETMISS Wallace 22' Jump Shot58
94.0%
41
6.0%
Q3 - 4:33MIADooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)58
94.7%
41
5.3%
Q3 - 5:00DETWallace Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)58
96.1%
38
3.9%
Q3 - 5:08MIADooling Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)56
95.0%
38
5.0%
Q3 - 5:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)56
94.1%
38
5.9%
Q3 - 5:25DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot56
94.4%
38
5.6%
Q3 - 5:45MIADooling Driving Layup (2 PTS)56
95.0%
38
5.0%
Q3 - 5:53MIAHEAT Rebound56
95.7%
36
4.3%
Q3 - 5:54MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot56
96.2%
36
3.8%
Q3 - 6:08DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)56
95.1%
36
4.9%
Q3 - 6:08DETWallace Layup (6 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)55
94.2%
36
5.8%
Q3 - 6:26DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
93.4%
36
6.6%
Q3 - 6:27MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
93.1%
36
6.9%
Q3 - 6:33DETWade STEAL (1 STL)53
92.3%
36
7.7%
Q3 - 6:39DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
93.4%
36
6.6%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup53
93.1%
36
6.9%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)53
92.3%
36
7.7%
Q3 - 7:00DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 253
92.5%
36
7.5%
Q3 - 7:00DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)53
93.3%
36
6.7%
Q3 - 7:03MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)52
91.6%
36
8.4%
Q3 - 7:19DETPrince Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)52
90.2%
36
9.8%
Q3 - 7:21DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
89.0%
36
11.0%
Q3 - 7:23MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
88.4%
36
11.6%
Q3 - 7:32MIAHEAT Rebound50
87.1%
36
12.9%
Q3 - 7:34MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot50
88.4%
36
11.6%
Q3 - 7:55DETWallace Dunk (7 PTS)50
87.2%
36
12.8%
Q3 - 7:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)48
85.6%
36
14.4%
Q3 - 7:58DETMISS Hamilton Layup48
84.0%
36
16.0%
Q3 - 8:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)48
85.0%
36
15.0%
Q3 - 8:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)48
85.4%
35
14.6%
Q3 - 8:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
86.6%
34
13.4%
Q3 - 8:14DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot48
87.2%
34
12.8%
Q3 - 8:28MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)48
88.5%
34
11.5%
Q3 - 8:35MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
86.6%
34
13.4%
Q3 - 8:37DETMISS Prince 8' Hook Shot48
87.2%
34
12.8%
Q3 - 8:54MIAHaslem Dunk (11 PTS)48
88.5%
34
11.5%
Q3 - 8:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)48
89.8%
32
10.2%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot48
90.8%
32
9.2%
Q3 - 9:13DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
89.0%
32
11.0%
Q3 - 9:13DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
88.7%
32
11.3%
Q3 - 9:13DETMISS Billups Free Throw Technical46
87.5%
32
12.5%
Q3 - 9:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
87.5%
32
12.5%
Q3 - 9:15DETMISS Hamilton Driving Layup46
86.4%
32
13.6%
Q3 - 9:20DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
87.6%
32
12.4%
Q3 - 9:22MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup46
87.1%
32
12.9%
Q3 - 9:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
85.9%
32
14.1%
Q3 - 9:39DETMISS Wallace 7' Hook Shot46
86.4%
32
13.6%
Q3 - 9:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
87.6%
32
12.4%
Q3 - 9:54MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot46
87.1%
32
12.9%
Q3 - 9:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)46
85.9%
32
14.1%
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
87.1%
32
12.9%
Q3 - 10:16DETHamilton Layup (12 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)46
85.0%
32
15.0%
Q3 - 10:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)44
83.3%
32
16.7%
Q3 - 10:31MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot44
82.7%
32
17.3%
Q3 - 10:53DETBillups 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)44
81.1%
32
18.9%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
78.2%
32
21.8%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
79.0%
31
21.0%
Q3 - 11:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)42
80.4%
30
19.6%
Q3 - 11:17DETJones BLOCK (1 BLK)42
81.1%
30
18.9%
Q3 - 11:37DETPistons Rebound42
82.6%
30
17.4%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup42
82.0%
30
18.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
80.5%
30
19.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAJump Ball Jones vs. Hamilton: Tip to Billups42
81.2%
30
18.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
80.8%
30
19.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0DETPrince 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)42
79.9%
30
20.1%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIASmith 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)40
77.0%
30
23.0%
Q2 - 1:09DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)40
79.3%
28
20.7%
Q2 - 1:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)38
76.0%
28
24.0%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot38
75.7%
28
24.3%
Q2 - 1:37DETJones STEAL (1 STL)38
74.8%
28
25.2%
Q2 - 1:44DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
76.1%
28
23.9%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot38
75.7%
28
24.3%
Q2 - 2:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
73.5%
28
26.5%
Q2 - 2:11DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 238
73.8%
28
26.2%
Q2 - 2:11DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
74.7%
28
25.3%
Q2 - 2:25DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
73.3%
28
26.7%
Q2 - 2:27DETMISS Prince 22' Jump Shot37
71.8%
28
28.2%
Q2 - 2:40DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
73.3%
28
26.7%
Q2 - 2:42DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot37
71.8%
28
28.2%
Q2 - 3:03MIAHaslem 7' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS)37
72.4%
28
27.6%
Q2 - 3:16DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)37
74.5%
26
25.5%
Q2 - 3:27DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
77.0%
26
23.0%
Q2 - 3:28MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot37
76.3%
26
23.7%
Q2 - 3:42DETArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
74.6%
26
25.4%
Q2 - 3:42DETArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
74.2%
26
25.8%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMourning 8' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)35
71.4%
26
28.6%
Q2 - 4:02MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)35
73.7%
24
26.3%
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot35
75.2%
24
24.8%
Q2 - 4:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
73.8%
24
26.2%
Q2 - 4:29DETMISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot35
74.5%
24
25.5%
Q2 - 4:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
76.0%
24
24.0%
Q2 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup35
75.3%
24
24.7%
Q2 - 5:00DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)35
73.8%
24
26.2%
Q2 - 5:05DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
71.1%
24
28.9%
Q2 - 5:06MIAMISS Mourning Layup33
70.3%
24
29.7%
Q2 - 5:25DETMcDyess 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
68.5%
24
31.5%
Q2 - 5:33MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)31
66.3%
24
33.7%
Q2 - 5:54DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
63.5%
24
36.5%
Q2 - 5:54DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
62.9%
24
37.1%
Q2 - 5:58MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)29
61.0%
24
39.0%
Q2 - 6:13DETArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
57.6%
24
42.4%
Q2 - 6:13DETArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
57.2%
24
42.8%
Q2 - 6:25MIADoleac 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
55.5%
24
44.5%
Q2 - 6:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)27
57.6%
22
42.4%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot27
59.9%
22
40.1%
Q2 - 6:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)27
57.6%
22
42.4%
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Dooling 10' Jump Bank Shot27
59.9%
22
40.1%
Q2 - 6:50DETMcDyess Dunk (4 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)27
57.7%
22
42.3%
Q2 - 6:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
55.5%
22
44.5%
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot25
54.5%
22
45.5%
Q2 - 7:13MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
52.2%
22
47.8%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
54.1%
22
45.9%
Q2 - 7:34DETHunter Foul Turnover (P1.T5)25
52.2%
22
47.8%
Q2 - 7:36DETHunter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
55.0%
22
45.0%
Q2 - 7:38MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot25
54.1%
22
45.9%
Q2 - 7:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)25
52.2%
22
47.8%
Q2 - 7:51DETMISS Prince Driving Layup25
53.0%
22
47.0%
Q2 - 8:02DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
54.7%
22
45.3%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot25
53.8%
22
46.2%
Q2 - 8:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)25
51.8%
22
48.2%
Q2 - 8:17DETMISS Hunter 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
52.7%
22
47.3%
Q2 - 8:40DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
54.7%
22
45.3%
Q2 - 8:42MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot25
53.9%
22
46.1%
Q2 - 8:49MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
51.8%
22
48.2%
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot25
53.9%
22
46.1%
Q2 - 9:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)25
51.8%
22
48.2%
Q2 - 9:01DETMISS Arroyo Driving Layup25
52.4%
22
47.6%
Q2 - 9:16DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)25
54.4%
22
45.6%
Q2 - 9:18MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot25
53.5%
22
46.5%
Q2 - 9:39DETHunter Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)25
51.6%
22
48.4%
Q2 - 9:39DETHunter Layup (3 PTS)24
49.0%
22
51.0%
Q2 - 9:40DETHunter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
46.8%
22
53.2%
Q2 - 9:41DETMISS McDyess 2' Tip Shot22
44.9%
22
55.1%
Q2 - 9:42DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
46.8%
22
53.2%
Q2 - 9:43DETMISS Hunter Driving Layup22
44.9%
22
55.1%
Q2 - 9:45DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
46.8%
22
53.2%
Q2 - 9:46DETMISS Hunter Free Throw 2 of 222
44.4%
22
55.6%
Q2 - 9:46DETHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
46.0%
22
54.0%
Q2 - 10:07MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)21
44.3%
22
55.7%
Q2 - 10:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)21
46.4%
20
53.6%
Q2 - 10:17MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot21
48.3%
20
51.7%
Q2 - 10:37DETMcDyess 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
46.4%
20
53.6%
Q2 - 10:55DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
44.3%
20
55.7%
Q2 - 10:57MIAMISS Dooling 22' Jump Shot19
43.4%
20
56.6%
Q2 - 11:21DETWallace Tip Shot (2 PTS)19
41.5%
20
58.5%
Q2 - 11:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)17
39.2%
20
60.8%
Q2 - 11:24DETMISS Wallace Driving Layup17
37.6%
20
62.4%
Q2 - 11:46DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
39.2%
20
60.8%
Q2 - 11:48MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 217
38.9%
20
61.1%
Q2 - 11:48MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 1 of 217
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET17
36.9%
20
63.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound17
39.2%
20
60.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Wallace 30' 3PT Jump Shot17
37.6%
20
62.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)17
38.9%
20
61.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
41.7%
18
58.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 216
41.5%
18
58.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)16
41.2%
18
58.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0DETMISS Wallace Layup16
40.0%
18
60.0%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)16
41.2%
18
58.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0DETHamilton Layup (8 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)16
39.4%
18
60.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0DETPistons Rebound14
36.7%
18
63.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0DETMISS McDyess 14' Turnaround Jump Shot14
35.5%
18
64.5%
Q1 - 1:05MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)14
36.8%
18
63.2%
Q1 - 1:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
35.1%
18
64.9%
Q1 - 1:10DETMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot14
35.6%
18
64.4%
Q1 - 1:28MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS)14
36.8%
18
63.2%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)14
39.5%
16
60.5%
Q1 - 1:31MIAMISS Mourning Layup14
40.7%
16
59.3%
Q1 - 1:40DETHaslem STEAL (1 STL)14
39.5%
16
60.5%
Q1 - 1:46DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
41.2%
16
58.8%
Q1 - 1:48MIAMISS Jones 19' Fadeaway Jumper14
40.7%
16
59.3%
Q1 - 1:59MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)14
39.5%
16
60.5%
Q1 - 2:01DETMISS Wallace Alley Oop Dunk14
40.2%
16
59.8%
Q1 - 2:17MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
41.6%
16
58.4%
Q1 - 2:17MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
42.4%
15
57.6%
Q1 - 2:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)14
44.1%
14
55.9%
Q1 - 2:19DETMISS Wallace Reverse Layup14
44.7%
14
55.3%
Q1 - 2:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
46.2%
14
53.8%
Q1 - 2:26DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot14
44.7%
14
55.3%
Q1 - 2:39MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)14
46.2%
14
53.8%
Q1 - 2:39MIAHEAT Rebound14
44.1%
14
55.9%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Mourning 8' Jump Shot14
45.6%
14
54.4%
Q1 - 3:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
43.7%
14
56.3%
Q1 - 3:03MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot14
45.5%
14
54.5%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)14
43.7%
14
56.3%
Q1 - 3:05MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
45.5%
14
54.5%
Q1 - 3:15DETAnderson STEAL (1 STL)14
43.8%
14
56.2%
Q1 - 3:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)14
46.3%
14
53.7%
Q1 - 3:26MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
48.5%
13
51.5%
Q1 - 3:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
50.5%
11
49.5%
Q1 - 3:52DETMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)14
51.3%
11
48.7%
Q1 - 4:13MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
52.9%
11
47.1%
Q1 - 4:42DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)14
54.6%
9
45.4%
Q1 - 5:04MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)12
52.2%
9
47.8%
Q1 - 5:20DETHamilton 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
54.1%
7
45.9%
Q1 - 5:25MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)10
52.3%
7
47.7%
Q1 - 5:39DETWallace Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
49.9%
7
50.1%
Q1 - 6:05MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
51.7%
7
48.3%
Q1 - 6:22MIAHEAT Rebound10
53.6%
5
46.4%
Q1 - 6:23DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
54.3%
5
45.7%
Q1 - 6:39MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T2)10
55.8%
5
44.3%
Q1 - 6:57DETBillups 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)10
53.7%
5
46.3%
Q1 - 7:15DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
51.3%
5
48.7%
Q1 - 7:17MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot8
50.7%
5
49.3%
Q1 - 7:34DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)8
49.2%
5
50.8%
Q1 - 8:02MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
51.5%
5
48.5%
Q1 - 8:21DETBillups 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)8
53.2%
3
46.8%
Q1 - 8:23DETPistons Rebound6
51.5%
3
48.5%
Q1 - 8:24DETMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)6
50.0%
3
50.0%
Q1 - 8:44DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
51.5%
3
48.5%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot6
50.8%
3
49.2%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
49.4%
3
50.6%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 26
51.2%
3
48.8%
Q1 - 8:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
49.9%
3
50.1%
Q1 - 8:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
51.2%
2
48.8%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot6
52.7%
2
47.3%
Q1 - 9:14DETHamilton 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 9:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
49.6%
2
50.4%
Q1 - 9:32DETMISS Wallace 10' Turnaround Jump Shot4
47.9%
2
52.1%
Q1 - 9:51MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
49.6%
2
50.4%
Q1 - 10:04DETPrince Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)4
47.2%
2
52.8%
Q1 - 10:16DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
45.5%
2
54.5%
Q1 - 10:17MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 22
45.3%
2
54.7%
Q1 - 10:17MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 22
44.3%
2
55.7%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 10:22MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot2
44.9%
2
55.1%
Q1 - 10:44DETPrince 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)2
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 10:59MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
41.9%
2
58.1%
Q1 - 11:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 11:10DETMISS Wallace 12' Turnaround Jump Shot0
44.2%
0
55.8%
Q1 - 11:28DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 11:30MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot0
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 11:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 11:39DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot0
44.2%
0
55.8%
Q1 - 11:43DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 11:45DETMISS Wallace Layup0
44.2%
0
55.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Wallace: Tip to Billups0
45.3%
0
54.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.85 42.6%
MIA
0.75 37.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
14
35
40%
MIA
4
13
31%
Midrange
DET
15
39
38%
MIA
19
46
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
3
0%
MIA
4
6.0
19
21%
32%
Free Throws
DET
22
29
76%
MIA
14
26
54%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton1750%8.5 / 17
T. Prince1647%8.0 / 17
B. Wallace1238%6.0 / 16
C. Billups1045%5.0 / 11
A. McDyess850%4.0 / 8
R. Wallace729%3.5 / 12
C. Arroyo650%3.0 / 6
L. Hunter440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1956%9.5 / 17
U. Haslem1365%6.5 / 10
A. Mourning1031%5.0 / 16
K. Dooling941%4.5 / 11
M. Doleac660%3.0 / 5
D. Jones517%2.5 / 15
D. Wade528%2.5 / 9
S. Anderson325%1.5 / 6
S. Smith250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
76
+18
-9
94
MIA
74
+21
-11
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.85 42.6%
MIA
0.75 37.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.0
106.6
DET 94.1 +9.4
MIA 84.7
Pace
89.5
93.9
DET 95.4 +18.8
MIA 76.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.6
DET 15.1 +3.7
MIA 18.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
52.4%
DET 37.7% +0.5%
MIA 37.2%
TO %
14.4%
14.0%
DET 10.0% +2.7%
MIA 12.7%
ORB %
31.3%
27.0%
DET 30.4%
MIA 32.0% +1.6%
FTrt
33.5
38.7
DET 37.7 +4.4
MIA 33.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
57.8%
DET 62.1% +25.1%
MIA 37.0%
STL %
7.8%
6.8%
DET 9.4% +2.3%
MIA 7.1%
BLK %
9.4%
8.7%
DET 0.0%
MIA 9.5% +9.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.3%
52.7%
DET 42.6% +5.1%
MIA 37.5%
Rim FG%
55.5%
63.0%
DET 40.0% +9.2%
MIA 30.8%
Mid FG%
39.7%
41.0%
DET 38.5%
MIA 41.3% +2.8%
3P %
34.5%
37.7%
DET 0.0%
MIA 21.1% +21.1%
FT %
73.9%
67.2%
DET 75.9% +22.1%
MIA 53.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
37.6%
DET 45.5% +28.8%
MIA 16.7%
Mid Att. %
48.5%
42.6%
DET 50.6% +8.3%
MIA 59.0%
3P Att. %
16.4%
19.8%
DET 3.9%
MIA 24.4% +20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes21.426.6
Points8072
Rebounds4848
Assists1810
Steals86
Blocks07
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)16 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)32 (3)
Field Goals29-7727-78
At-the-Rim FG14-354-13
Midrange FG15-3919-46
2-Point FG29-7423-59
3-Point FG0-34-19
Free Throws22-2914-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 25
45.0
16
47%
5
3
1
0
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
8-17
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 193 · 27
40.2
17
50%
6
5
3
0
3
3
1
5
3-4
75%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 240 · 31
39.4
12
38%
14
1
2
0
2
3
5
9
2-4
50%
5-13
38%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 29
34.8
10
45%
2
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
4-7
57%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 230 · 31
28.1
7
29%
8
3
2
0
0
5
2
6
5-5
100%
1-8
13%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31
28.4
8
50%
8
1
0
0
1
2
2
6
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 26
14.5
6
50%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
6-6
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 34
9.4
4
40%
4
0
0
0
2
2
2
2
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23
C · 7'0" 275 · 20
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 32
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 37
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
43%
48
18
8
0
9
0
14
34
22-29
76%
29-74
39%
0-3
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.