FinalWin Prob.pScore
641%94
81
759%97
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
87.193101.9
MEM logo MEM
107.89083.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM81
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MEMCardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Woods 17' Jump Shot81
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MEMBattier Layup (2 PTS) (Cardinal 4 AST)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAWoods 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Zhi-zhi 3 AST)81
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MEMMiller Running Layup (30 PTS)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MEMWatson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MIAMISS Smith 14' Turnaround Jump Shot77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 177
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAMourning Layup (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09MIASmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16MIASmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18MEMMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33MIAGasol BLOCK (6 BLK)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53MEMMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Cardinal 3 AST)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33MEMMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T12)73
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 3:46MEMCardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51MIAGasol BLOCK (5 BLK)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 4:09MEMMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37MEMMISS Jones Alley Oop Dunk70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40MEMCardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43MIAGasol BLOCK (4 BLK)70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54MIAHeat Rebound70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20MEMMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44MEMCardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 5:46MIAMISS Wade Layup70
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 6:12MEMGasol Dunk (17 PTS)70
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 6:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)70
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 6:24MIAWade Reverse Layup (15 PTS)69
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 6:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 6:26MIAGasol BLOCK (3 BLK)67
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 6:46MEMJones 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)67
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 7:12MIADooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)67
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 7:36MEMJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)64
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 7:53MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 7:54MIAMISS Anderson Layup64
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 7:55MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 7:58MIAMiller BLOCK (1 BLK)64
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 8:21MEMWatson 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)64
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 8:36MIAGasol STEAL (3 STL)64
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 8:49MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 8:52MEMMISS Wells Reverse Layup64
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 9:09MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 9:09MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 9:12MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 9:14MEMMISS Wells Layup62
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 9:32MIADooling Layup (6 PTS)62
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 9:48MEMWells Dunk (15 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)60
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 9:50MIAZhi-zhi Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)60
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 10:06MEMWright Foul Turnover (P4.T11)60
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 10:16MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound60
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 10:18MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Layup60
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q4 - 10:19MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 10:21MIAWatson BLOCK (1 BLK)60
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q4 - 10:26MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 10:30MEMMISS Wells 3PT Jump Shot60
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 10:41MEMWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 9' Jump Shot60
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q4 - 10:59MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 11:01MEMMISS Wells 16' Fadeaway Jumper60
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q4 - 11:23MIAMourning Dunk (5 PTS) (Zhi-zhi 2 AST)60
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 11:40MEMCardinal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)58
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM58
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0MEMMISS Wright 9' Jump Bank Shot58
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAZhi-zhi 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)58
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0MEMMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)56
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)56
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMiller STEAL (2 STL)56
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 1:00MEMMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 1:12MEMCardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Dooling 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 1:43MEMCardinal Driving Layup (4 PTS)56
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 2:03MIAJones Dunk (13 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)56
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 2:08MEMWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)54
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q3 - 2:24MIAMourning Layup (3 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)54
1.8%
73
98.2%
Q3 - 2:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q3 - 2:34MEMMISS Gasol 15' Jump Shot52
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q3 - 2:52MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)52
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 3:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 3:05MEMMISS Battier Driving Dunk50
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 3:21MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Wade Running Layup50
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 3:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 3:39MEMMISS Wright Driving Dunk50
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 4:00MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)50
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 4:13MIAHeat Rebound48
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 4:14MEMMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 4:35MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T13)48
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 4:52MEMMiller 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS)48
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 5:08MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS Wade 23' Jump Shot48
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q3 - 5:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 5:22MEMMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
1.5%
71
98.5%
Q3 - 5:26MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 5:28MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot48
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q3 - 5:50MEMGasol Dunk (15 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)48
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 6:10MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)48
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q3 - 6:13MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)46
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q3 - 6:15MEMMISS Battier Layup46
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 6:24MEMWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)46
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 6:27MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 6:47MEMMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)46
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q3 - 7:06MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q3 - 7:08MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
2.8%
66
97.2%
Q3 - 7:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 7:17MIAMISS Doleac 22' Jump Shot46
2.8%
66
97.2%
Q3 - 7:41MEMMiller 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)46
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 7:58MIAJones Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)46
3.6%
64
96.4%
Q3 - 8:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q3 - 8:04MEMWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 8:04MEMMISS Wright Tip Shot44
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 8:06MEMMISS Gasol Driving Layup44
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 8:24MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)44
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 8:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 8:36MEMMISS Wright 13' Jump Shot42
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q3 - 8:56MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)42
2.1%
64
97.9%
Q3 - 9:12MIAHeat Rebound40
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q3 - 9:14MEMMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q3 - 9:19MIAGasol STEAL (2 STL)40
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q3 - 9:28MEMWright Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)40
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q3 - 9:38MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q3 - 9:42MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot40
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q3 - 10:00MEMMiller 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)40
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q3 - 10:18MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
2.6%
62
97.4%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMISS Doleac 20' Jump Shot40
2.7%
62
97.3%
Q3 - 10:28MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
3.0%
62
97.0%
Q3 - 10:30MEMMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot40
2.8%
62
97.2%
Q3 - 10:58MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)40
2.5%
62
97.5%
Q3 - 11:15MEMGasol 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (13 PTS)37
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q3 - 11:36MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)37
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA35
2.1%
60
97.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
2.1%
60
97.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Williams 46' 3PT Jump Shot35
2.0%
60
98.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAGasol STEAL (1 STL)35
2.2%
60
97.8%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q2 - 0:12.0MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAZhi-zhi Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
2.2%
60
97.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAZhi-zhi Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
2.1%
60
97.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
1.8%
60
98.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0MEMMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 233
1.8%
60
98.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0MEMWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
1.7%
60
98.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
1.9%
59
98.1%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot33
2.0%
59
98.0%
Q2 - 1:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
2.3%
59
97.7%
Q2 - 1:12MEMMISS Wells Layup33
2.2%
59
97.8%
Q2 - 1:34MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)33
2.1%
59
97.9%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
1.8%
59
98.2%
Q2 - 1:44MEMMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
1.7%
59
98.3%
Q2 - 2:08MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Zhi-zhi 1 AST)31
1.8%
59
98.2%
Q2 - 2:23MEMWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)29
1.6%
59
98.4%
Q2 - 2:23MEMWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)29
1.6%
58
98.4%
Q2 - 2:25MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
1.8%
57
98.2%
Q2 - 2:27MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Jump Shot29
1.9%
57
98.1%
Q2 - 2:36MEMMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)29
2.0%
57
98.0%
Q2 - 2:36MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)29
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q2 - 2:36MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
2.3%
55
97.7%
Q2 - 2:37MIAGasol BLOCK (2 BLK)29
2.4%
55
97.6%
Q2 - 2:49MEMGasol Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)29
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q2 - 3:05MIAWright STEAL (2 STL)29
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q2 - 3:16MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)29
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 3:16MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)29
3.0%
54
97.0%
Q2 - 3:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)29
3.3%
53
96.7%
Q2 - 3:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)28
3.2%
53
96.8%
Q2 - 3:41MIAHeat Rebound27
2.9%
53
97.1%
Q2 - 3:42MEMMISS Williams Driving Layup27
2.8%
53
97.2%
Q2 - 3:47MIAWright STEAL (1 STL)27
2.6%
53
97.4%
Q2 - 4:03MEMWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
3.2%
53
96.8%
Q2 - 4:03MEMWells Tip Shot (13 PTS)27
3.2%
53
96.8%
Q2 - 4:05MEMMISS Wells Layup27
3.9%
51
96.1%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)27
3.6%
51
96.4%
Q2 - 4:31MEMWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)27
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 4:45MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
3.6%
51
96.4%
Q2 - 4:46MIAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)27
3.7%
51
96.3%
Q2 - 4:50MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 4:52MEMMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot27
3.9%
51
96.1%
Q2 - 5:09MEMWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup27
3.9%
51
96.1%
Q2 - 5:32MEMGasol Driving Layup (9 PTS)27
4.3%
51
95.7%
Q2 - 5:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)27
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q2 - 5:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)26
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q2 - 5:50MIAHeat Rebound25
4.2%
49
95.8%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade Running Layup25
3.9%
49
96.1%
Q2 - 6:07MEMWells Layup (11 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)25
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q2 - 6:23MIAWade 12' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)25
5.0%
47
95.0%
Q2 - 6:35MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)23
4.6%
47
95.4%
Q2 - 6:35MEMGasol 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)23
5.1%
46
94.9%
Q2 - 6:40MEMWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
5.5%
44
94.5%
Q2 - 6:42MIAMISS Dooling Running Layup23
5.7%
44
94.3%
Q2 - 7:09MEMWells 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)23
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 7:12MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound23
7.5%
42
92.5%
Q2 - 7:12MEMMISS Watson Running Layup23
8.0%
42
92.0%
Q2 - 7:30MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
7.4%
42
92.6%
Q2 - 7:30MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
7.3%
42
92.7%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
6.8%
42
93.2%
Q2 - 7:41MEMMISS Cardinal 19' Jump Shot21
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 8:02MIADooling 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
6.3%
42
93.7%
Q2 - 8:27MEMWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cardinal 2 AST)19
5.8%
42
94.2%
Q2 - 8:43MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
6.9%
39
93.1%
Q2 - 8:43MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
6.8%
39
93.2%
Q2 - 9:05MEMWells Layup (7 PTS) (Cardinal 1 AST)17
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 9:06MEMCardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
7.3%
37
92.7%
Q2 - 9:12MEMMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot17
7.8%
37
92.2%
Q2 - 9:30MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
7.2%
37
92.8%
Q2 - 9:32MIAMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
7.5%
37
92.5%
Q2 - 9:54MEMWells Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
8.0%
37
92.0%
Q2 - 9:54MEMMISS Wells Free Throw 1 of 217
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q2 - 10:11MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q2 - 10:30MEMWells Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)15
7.5%
36
92.5%
Q2 - 10:36MIACardinal STEAL (1 STL)15
8.2%
34
91.8%
Q2 - 11:01MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
9.3%
34
90.7%
Q2 - 11:03MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
8.5%
34
91.5%
Q2 - 11:03MEMMISS Wright Tip Shot15
9.0%
34
91.0%
Q2 - 11:04MEMMISS Watson Layup15
9.0%
34
91.0%
Q2 - 11:09MIAWells STEAL (1 STL)15
8.5%
34
91.5%
Q2 - 11:28MEMWells 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)15
9.2%
34
90.8%
Q2 - 11:47MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
10.1%
32
89.9%
Q2 - 11:47MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 214
9.8%
32
90.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA14
10.1%
32
89.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound14
10.1%
32
89.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot14
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q1 - 0:20.0MEMMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot14
10.0%
32
90.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
9.6%
32
90.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 213
9.4%
32
90.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0MEMCardinal 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
9.4%
32
90.6%
Q1 - 1:02MIAJones Foul Turnover (P2.T5)13
10.6%
30
89.4%
Q1 - 1:10MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
11.3%
30
88.7%
Q1 - 1:13MEMMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot13
11.0%
30
89.0%
Q1 - 1:30MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
10.6%
30
89.4%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot13
10.8%
30
89.2%
Q1 - 1:37MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
11.3%
30
88.7%
Q1 - 1:40MEMMISS Battier Dunk13
11.0%
30
89.0%
Q1 - 1:56MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
10.6%
30
89.4%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Doleac Driving Layup13
10.8%
30
89.2%
Q1 - 2:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
11.6%
30
88.4%
Q1 - 2:05MEMMISS Cardinal Driving Layup13
11.3%
30
88.7%
Q1 - 2:24MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
10.7%
30
89.3%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup13
10.9%
30
89.1%
Q1 - 2:47MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)13
11.5%
30
88.5%
Q1 - 2:54MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
13.7%
27
86.3%
Q1 - 2:56MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q1 - 3:06MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
15.4%
27
84.6%
Q1 - 3:07MEMMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 213
15.2%
27
84.8%
Q1 - 3:07MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)13
14.5%
27
85.5%
Q1 - 3:18MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
15.2%
26
84.8%
Q1 - 3:33MEMWright 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
16.5%
26
83.5%
Q1 - 3:50MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
17.7%
24
82.3%
Q1 - 4:11MEMBattier Foul Turnover (P1.T5)11
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 4:21MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)11
15.4%
24
84.6%
Q1 - 4:25MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 4:27MEMMISS Battier 12' Running Jump Shot11
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q1 - 4:51MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
15.4%
24
84.6%
Q1 - 5:02MEMGasol Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)9
15.1%
24
84.9%
Q1 - 5:03MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
16.1%
22
83.9%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS Doleac 20' Jump Shot9
16.5%
22
83.5%
Q1 - 5:32MEMWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)9
17.3%
22
82.7%
Q1 - 5:35MIAMiller STEAL (1 STL)9
19.7%
19
80.3%
Q1 - 5:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q1 - 5:40MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)9
20.2%
19
79.8%
Q1 - 5:55MEMGasol 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)9
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q1 - 6:13MIADoleac 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
22.9%
17
77.1%
Q1 - 6:15MIAHeat Rebound7
21.6%
17
78.4%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup7
20.6%
17
79.4%
Q1 - 6:36MEMWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)7
21.6%
17
78.4%
Q1 - 6:40MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
24.4%
14
75.6%
Q1 - 6:43MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot7
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 7:03MEMWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)7
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 7:29MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
29.4%
11
70.6%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot7
29.9%
11
70.1%
Q1 - 7:49MEMMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)7
31.2%
11
68.8%
Q1 - 8:04MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
34.4%
8
65.6%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot7
35.0%
8
65.0%
Q1 - 8:15MEMWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
36.4%
8
63.6%
Q1 - 8:15MEMWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
36.6%
7
63.4%
Q1 - 8:18MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)7
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 8:41MEMWright Dunk (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)7
39.9%
6
60.1%
Q1 - 8:59MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)7
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 9:03MEMWright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)4
38.1%
4
61.9%
Q1 - 9:24MIADoleac 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
35.8%
4
64.2%
Q1 - 9:36MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)2
34.6%
4
65.4%
Q1 - 9:36MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound2
32.4%
4
67.6%
Q1 - 9:36MEMMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot2
33.9%
4
66.1%
Q1 - 10:01MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound2
32.5%
4
67.5%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot2
33.1%
4
66.9%
Q1 - 10:23MEMMiller Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
34.4%
4
65.6%
Q1 - 10:40MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 10:52MEMWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)0
34.4%
2
65.6%
Q1 - 11:03MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot0
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 11:20MEMWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 11:28MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 11:30MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 11:48MEMWright 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)0
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Doleac: Tip to Williams0
36.0%
0
64.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.5%
MEM
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
29
41%
MEM
15
31
48%
Midrange
MIA
13
33
39%
MEM
13
24
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
MEM
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
MIA
19
22
86%
MEM
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1638%8.0 / 21
D. Jones1464%7.0 / 11
E. Jones1350%6.5 / 13
K. Dooling1365%6.5 / 10
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
A. Mourning750%3.5 / 7
M. Doleac425%2.0 / 8
W. Zhi-zhi450%2.0 / 4
Q. Woods250%1.0 / 2
S. Anderson0-0.0 / 3
S. Smith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Miller3079%15.0 / 19
P. Gasol1765%8.5 / 13
B. Wells1554%7.5 / 14
J. Williams1372%6.5 / 9
L. Wright732%3.5 / 11
E. Watson550%2.5 / 5
B. Cardinal450%2.0 / 4
D. Jones450%2.0 / 4
S. Battier220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+11
-16
88
MEM
78
+6
-12
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.5%
MEM
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
103.1
MIA 87.1 +20.7
MEM 107.8
Pace
93.9
90.6
MIA 101.9 +18.1
MEM 83.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.1
MIA 14.1 +3.1
MEM 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
48.9%
MIA 41.3%
MEM 55.3% +14.0%
TO %
14.0%
15.4%
MIA 15.9%
MEM 13.6% +2.3%
ORB %
27.0%
27.2%
MIA 17.1% +5.7%
MEM 11.4%
FTrt
38.7
32.3
MIA 29.3 +6.6
MEM 22.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
61.2%
MIA 58.6%
MEM 59.5% +0.9%
STL %
6.8%
9.4%
MIA 5.4%
MEM 11.1% +5.7%
BLK %
8.7%
9.5%
MIA 10.9%
MEM 14.5% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
50.8%
MIA 45.5%
MEM 55.7% +10.2%
Rim FG%
63.0%
55.9%
MIA 41.4%
MEM 48.4% +7.0%
Mid FG%
41.0%
37.7%
MIA 39.4%
MEM 54.2% +14.8%
3P %
37.7%
35.7%
MIA 30.8%
MEM 45.0% +14.2%
FT %
67.2%
75.4%
MIA 86.4% +4.0%
MEM 82.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
41.0%
MIA 38.7%
MEM 41.3% +2.7%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
35.4%
MIA 44.0%
MEM 32.0% +12.0%
3P Att. %
19.8%
23.7%
MIA 17.3%
MEM 26.7% +9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions9390
Possession Minutes21.925.8
Points8197
Rebounds3838
Assists1722
Steals510
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)34 (2)
Field Goals29-7537-75
At-the-Rim FG12-2915-31
Midrange FG13-3313-24
2-Point FG25-6228-55
3-Point FG4-139-20
Free Throws19-2214-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
38.0
13
50%
2
1
2
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
63%
1-5
20%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
37.6
16
38%
4
7
1
0
5
2
2
2
6-7
86%
5-16
31%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
28.5
8
57%
5
3
0
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 29
27.4
14
64%
6
1
0
0
2
1
0
6
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
25.4
4
25%
7
1
0
0
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 35
26.3
7
50%
4
0
0
4
3
4
0
4
1-3
33%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
20.6
13
65%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
6-6
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
14.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 284 · 28
11.6
4
50%
3
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 24
6.7
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 36
3.2
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
46%
38
17
5
6
16
0
7
31
19-22
86%
25-62
40%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.