FinalWin Prob.pScore
2916%97
105
384%109
114
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
114.19294.4
DAL logo DAL
116.39895.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL105
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0ORLHarris STEAL (2 STL)105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 0:49.0DALMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13ORLHunter Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Barrett 2 AST)105
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 1:21ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)103
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22DALMISS Terry Layup103
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40ORLHunter 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)103
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51DALHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T15)101
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09ORLHoward Slam Dunk (8 PTS)101
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)99
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12ORLMISS Hunter Layup99
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55ORLNelson Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)99
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)97
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24ORLHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)97
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38ORLBarrett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39DALMISS Terry Free Throw 2 of 297
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)97
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59ORLStevenson 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS)97
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Van Horn 1 AST)95
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58ORLBarrett Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58ORLBarrett Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Dampier 2 AST)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 5:14DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot93
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 5:41ORLFrancis Layup (16 PTS)93
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 5:58DALTerry Layup (17 PTS)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 6:16ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot91
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 6:37DALTerry 9' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)91
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 6:57ORLFrancis Driving Layup (14 PTS)91
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 7:14ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 7:16DALMISS Finley 11' Jump Shot89
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 7:23DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 7:26ORLMISS Stevenson 4' Jump Shot89
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 7:56DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)89
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 7:56DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)89
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 8:16DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)89
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 8:18ORLMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot89
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 8:32DALStackhouse 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)89
1.1%
102
98.9%
Q4 - 8:51DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 8:52ORLMISS Augmon 6' Hook Shot89
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 8:58ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 8:59ORLDampier BLOCK (3 BLK)89
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 9:10ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)89
2.1%
100
97.9%
Q4 - 9:11DALMISS Van Horn 3PT Jump Shot89
1.9%
100
98.1%
Q4 - 9:24DALStackhouse Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)89
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 9:37ORLFrancis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)89
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q4 - 9:40ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 9:42ORLMISS Battie 14' Jump Shot86
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 9:55ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)86
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 9:59DALMISS Stackhouse 18' Fadeaway Jumper86
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 10:14ORLBarrett Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)86
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 10:31DALStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)86
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 10:51ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)86
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 10:51ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 285
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 10:53ORLBarrett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 10:54DALMISS Daniels Layup85
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 10:55DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)85
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 10:57DALMISS Daniels 7' Jump Shot85
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 11:15DALMAVERICKS Rebound85
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 11:17DALMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot85
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 11:43ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 11:43ORLBattie Slam Dunk (14 PTS)85
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 11:45ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot83
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL83
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLNelson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T12)83
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0DALVan Horn Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)83
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q3 - 0:17.0ORLNelson 4' Running Finger Roll (15 PTS)83
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLNelson Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)81
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0DALDaniels 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)80
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0DALHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q3 - 0:50.0ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot80
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q3 - 1:03DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)80
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q3 - 1:03DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)80
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q3 - 1:15DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)80
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q3 - 1:18DALMISS Van Horn 20' Jump Shot80
2.4%
92
97.6%
Q3 - 1:23DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q3 - 1:25ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot80
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q3 - 1:40DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)80
2.5%
92
97.5%
Q3 - 1:40DALBradley 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)80
3.1%
91
96.9%
Q3 - 1:51ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)80
3.7%
89
96.3%
Q3 - 1:51ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
3.5%
89
96.5%
Q3 - 1:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)78
3.1%
89
96.9%
Q3 - 1:52ORLMISS Stevenson 6' Jump Shot78
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q3 - 2:04DALVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)78
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q3 - 2:04DALVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)78
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q3 - 2:11ORLCato Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Barrett 1 AST)78
3.8%
87
96.2%
Q3 - 2:20DALVan Horn Layup (6 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)76
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q3 - 2:35ORLBarrett 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)76
3.8%
85
96.2%
Q3 - 2:45DALHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T12)74
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q3 - 2:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q3 - 2:51ORLMISS Francis 20' Jump Shot74
2.8%
85
97.2%
Q3 - 3:08DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)74
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q3 - 3:08DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
3.6%
84
96.4%
Q3 - 3:08DALStackhouse Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)74
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q3 - 3:16ORLBarrett 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Francis 11 AST)74
4.9%
82
95.1%
Q3 - 3:33DALStackhouse Layup (8 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)71
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q3 - 3:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 3:53ORLMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot71
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q3 - 4:08DALDampier Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T11)71
5.0%
80
95.0%
Q3 - 4:30ORLStevenson 22' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS)71
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 4:46DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
3.6%
80
96.4%
Q3 - 4:46DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q3 - 5:12ORLFrancis 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)69
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q3 - 5:22ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q3 - 5:25DALMISS Finley 11' Jump Shot67
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 5:36ORLStevenson 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)67
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 6:14DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 164
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q3 - 6:14DALDampier Driving Layup (12 PTS)64
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q3 - 6:26ORLGarrity Foul Turnover (P1.T11)64
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q3 - 6:36DALHoward Layup (15 PTS) (Terry 13 AST)64
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 6:41ORLTerry STEAL (4 STL)64
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 6:46DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Terry 12 AST)64
4.5%
74
95.5%
Q3 - 7:11ORLGarrity Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)64
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 7:11ORLGarrity 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)63
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q3 - 7:20DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)61
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 7:20DALDampier Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Terry 11 AST)61
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 7:29DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
5.4%
69
94.6%
Q3 - 7:30ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 261
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q3 - 7:30ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)61
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 7:51DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)60
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q3 - 7:51DALDampier Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Terry 10 AST)60
6.3%
68
93.7%
Q3 - 8:10ORLBattie 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)60
7.2%
66
92.8%
Q3 - 8:29DALVan Horn 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 9 AST)58
6.4%
66
93.6%
Q3 - 8:43ORLFrancis Layup (7 PTS)58
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 9:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
6.4%
64
93.6%
Q3 - 9:00ORLMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
5.7%
64
94.3%
Q3 - 9:10DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)56
6.3%
64
93.7%
Q3 - 9:17ORLNelson Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Francis 10 AST)56
5.5%
64
94.5%
Q3 - 9:23DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)54
4.8%
64
95.2%
Q3 - 9:42ORLStevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Francis 9 AST)54
6.3%
61
93.7%
Q3 - 10:07DALHoward 4' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Terry 8 AST)51
4.8%
61
95.2%
Q3 - 10:15ORLHoward STEAL (1 STL)51
5.4%
59
94.6%
Q3 - 10:29DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q3 - 10:29DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q3 - 10:43ORLHoward Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Francis 8 AST)51
7.1%
57
92.9%
Q3 - 10:58DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)49
6.3%
57
93.7%
Q3 - 11:04ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Francis 7 AST)49
5.4%
57
94.6%
Q3 - 11:20DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)46
4.2%
57
95.8%
Q3 - 11:41ORLBattie Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)46
3.6%
57
96.4%
Q3 - 11:52DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)44
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL44
2.8%
57
97.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound44
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 28' 3PT Jump Shot44
2.9%
57
97.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)44
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)44
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 243
3.0%
57
97.0%
Q2 - 0:12.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)43
2.9%
57
97.1%
Q2 - 0:12.0DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 243
3.0%
56
97.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLBattie 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)43
3.0%
56
97.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0DALHoward Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Terry 7 AST)41
2.6%
56
97.4%
Q2 - 1:02ORLStevenson 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS)41
3.2%
54
96.8%
Q2 - 1:30DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
2.7%
54
97.3%
Q2 - 1:30DALHoward Slam Dunk (9 PTS)39
2.7%
54
97.3%
Q2 - 1:32DALMISS Dampier 6' Jump Shot39
3.4%
52
96.6%
Q2 - 1:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
3.2%
52
96.8%
Q2 - 1:47ORLMISS Francis 7' Jump Shot39
3.3%
52
96.7%
Q2 - 2:12DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)39
3.7%
52
96.3%
Q2 - 2:19DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q2 - 2:20ORLMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot39
4.9%
49
95.1%
Q2 - 2:25ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
5.2%
49
94.8%
Q2 - 2:28DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot39
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 2:40ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)39
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q2 - 2:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
5.2%
49
94.8%
Q2 - 3:01DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot39
5.2%
49
94.8%
Q2 - 3:17ORLStevenson 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Augmon 1 AST)39
4.8%
49
95.2%
Q2 - 3:35DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)37
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 3:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
5.3%
46
94.7%
Q2 - 3:44ORLMISS Battie 6' Jump Shot37
5.6%
46
94.4%
Q2 - 3:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
6.1%
46
93.9%
Q2 - 3:52ORLMISS Augmon 19' Jump Shot37
5.6%
46
94.4%
Q2 - 4:13DALHoward Driving Layup (7 PTS)37
6.1%
46
93.9%
Q2 - 4:26ORLStevenson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)37
6.7%
44
93.3%
Q2 - 4:47DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)35
6.1%
44
93.9%
Q2 - 4:59ORLTerry STEAL (3 STL)35
7.5%
41
92.5%
Q2 - 5:17ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
8.3%
41
91.7%
Q2 - 5:19DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot35
8.1%
41
91.9%
Q2 - 5:27ORLStevenson Driving Layup (13 PTS)35
7.5%
41
92.5%
Q2 - 5:49DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)33
6.8%
41
93.2%
Q2 - 5:54DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 5:56DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot33
8.9%
38
91.1%
Q2 - 6:12ORLFrancis 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
8.2%
38
91.8%
Q2 - 6:31ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
7.6%
38
92.4%
Q2 - 6:33DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
7.3%
38
92.7%
Q2 - 6:47DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
6.7%
38
93.3%
Q2 - 6:50ORLMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot31
7.0%
38
93.0%
Q2 - 7:02ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 7:04DALMISS Daniels 5' Jump Shot31
7.5%
38
92.5%
Q2 - 7:24ORLStevenson Driving Layup (11 PTS)31
6.9%
38
93.1%
Q2 - 7:30ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
6.3%
38
93.7%
Q2 - 7:31DALMISS Van Horn 8' Hook Shot29
6.1%
38
93.9%
Q2 - 7:47ORLStevenson 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)29
5.7%
38
94.3%
Q2 - 8:02ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 8:04DALMISS Van Horn 3PT Jump Shot27
5.1%
38
94.9%
Q2 - 8:16DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
4.7%
38
95.3%
Q2 - 8:18DALMISS Daniels 15' Jump Shot27
5.1%
38
94.9%
Q2 - 8:33DALHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
4.7%
38
95.3%
Q2 - 8:35ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot27
4.9%
38
95.1%
Q2 - 8:46ORLMagic Rebound27
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 8:47DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
5.1%
38
94.9%
Q2 - 9:11ORLBattie 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)27
4.8%
38
95.2%
Q2 - 9:27ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
4.4%
38
95.6%
Q2 - 9:29DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
4.2%
38
95.8%
Q2 - 9:35DALHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
3.9%
38
96.1%
Q2 - 9:37ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
4.1%
38
95.9%
Q2 - 9:43DALHarris Slam Dunk (2 PTS)25
4.4%
38
95.6%
Q2 - 9:46ORLHarris STEAL (1 STL)25
4.8%
36
95.2%
Q2 - 9:52ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
5.3%
36
94.7%
Q2 - 9:54DALMISS Bradley 4' Hook Shot25
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q2 - 10:20ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
4.9%
36
95.1%
Q2 - 10:33DALFinley 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)23
4.5%
36
95.5%
Q2 - 10:46ORLCato Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)23
4.9%
34
95.1%
Q2 - 10:51DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
5.4%
34
94.6%
Q2 - 10:51DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
5.5%
33
94.5%
Q2 - 11:05DALHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
5.9%
32
94.1%
Q2 - 11:07DALMISS Van Horn 19' Jump Shot23
6.2%
32
93.8%
Q2 - 11:18DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
5.9%
32
94.1%
Q2 - 11:20ORLMISS Cato 18' Jump Shot23
6.0%
32
94.0%
Q2 - 11:37DALStackhouse Layup (4 PTS)23
6.4%
32
93.6%
Q2 - 11:39DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q2 - 11:41DALMISS Stackhouse Layup23
7.5%
30
92.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL23
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
7.5%
30
92.5%
Q1 - 0:23.0ORLAugmon 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
7.2%
30
92.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0DALHoward Reverse Layup (5 PTS)21
6.4%
30
93.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
7.1%
28
92.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0DALMISS Van Horn Reverse Layup21
7.5%
28
92.5%
Q1 - 1:01ORLCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q1 - 1:01ORLCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
7.0%
28
93.0%
Q1 - 1:05ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
6.4%
28
93.6%
Q1 - 1:07DALMISS Stackhouse Layup19
6.3%
28
93.7%
Q1 - 1:23DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
6.0%
28
94.0%
Q1 - 1:25DALMISS Van Horn 15' Jump Shot19
6.3%
28
93.7%
Q1 - 1:33ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
6.0%
28
94.0%
Q1 - 1:33ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
5.9%
28
94.1%
Q1 - 1:39DALVan Horn 4' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)17
5.4%
28
94.6%
Q1 - 1:51ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
6.0%
26
94.0%
Q1 - 1:51ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 216
5.8%
26
94.2%
Q1 - 2:03DALStackhouse 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)16
6.0%
26
94.0%
Q1 - 2:21ORLFrancis Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T4)16
6.5%
24
93.5%
Q1 - 2:27ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
7.1%
24
92.9%
Q1 - 2:29DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot16
6.9%
24
93.1%
Q1 - 2:46ORLNelson Layup (5 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)16
6.5%
24
93.5%
Q1 - 3:09DALFinley 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
6.1%
24
93.9%
Q1 - 3:18DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
6.6%
22
93.4%
Q1 - 3:20ORLMISS Battie 8' Jump Shot14
6.7%
22
93.3%
Q1 - 3:31DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)14
7.2%
22
92.8%
Q1 - 3:52ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)14
6.6%
22
93.4%
Q1 - 4:12ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
5.6%
22
94.4%
Q1 - 4:14DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot11
5.4%
22
94.6%
Q1 - 4:21DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
5.0%
22
95.0%
Q1 - 4:23ORLMISS Howard 7' Turnaround Jump Shot11
5.2%
22
94.8%
Q1 - 4:36DALDampier Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)11
5.6%
22
94.4%
Q1 - 4:44DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
5.0%
22
95.0%
Q1 - 4:47ORLDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)11
5.2%
22
94.8%
Q1 - 5:04DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)11
5.6%
22
94.4%
Q1 - 5:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
6.5%
19
93.5%
Q1 - 5:20ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 211
6.6%
19
93.4%
Q1 - 5:20ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
6.9%
19
93.1%
Q1 - 5:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
6.5%
19
93.5%
Q1 - 5:21ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 2 of 210
6.1%
19
93.9%
Q1 - 5:21ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 1 of 210
6.4%
19
93.6%
Q1 - 5:41ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
6.5%
19
93.5%
Q1 - 5:43ORLMISS Nelson 23' Jump Shot10
6.2%
19
93.8%
Q1 - 5:52DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)10
6.5%
19
93.5%
Q1 - 5:52DALNowitzki Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)10
7.1%
18
92.9%
Q1 - 5:56DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
7.6%
16
92.4%
Q1 - 5:58ORLMISS Stevenson 22' Jump Shot10
7.8%
16
92.2%
Q1 - 6:19DALFinley 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)10
8.3%
16
91.7%
Q1 - 6:28ORLBattie 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
8.9%
14
91.1%
Q1 - 6:43DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
8.3%
14
91.7%
Q1 - 6:43DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 28
8.4%
13
91.6%
Q1 - 6:47DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
8.2%
13
91.8%
Q1 - 6:50ORLMISS Augmon 19' Jump Shot8
8.4%
13
91.6%
Q1 - 7:02DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
8.9%
13
91.1%
Q1 - 7:09ORLTerry STEAL (2 STL)8
8.2%
13
91.8%
Q1 - 7:28DALDampier Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)8
8.9%
13
91.1%
Q1 - 7:39ORLStevenson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)8
9.5%
11
90.5%
Q1 - 7:56DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)6
8.9%
11
91.1%
Q1 - 8:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
9.3%
9
90.7%
Q1 - 8:07ORLMISS Francis 23' Jump Shot6
9.5%
9
90.5%
Q1 - 8:27DALDampier Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)6
10.0%
9
90.0%
Q1 - 8:35ORLStevenson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)6
10.7%
7
89.3%
Q1 - 8:54DALFinley 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
10.1%
7
90.0%
Q1 - 9:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10.7%
5
89.3%
Q1 - 9:02ORLDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)4
10.8%
5
89.2%
Q1 - 9:27DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)4
11.4%
5
88.6%
Q1 - 9:45ORLStevenson Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)4
12.8%
2
87.2%
Q1 - 9:49DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
12.2%
2
87.8%
Q1 - 9:52ORLNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)2
11.2%
2
88.8%
Q1 - 10:14DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)2
12.1%
2
87.9%
Q1 - 10:21ORLTerry STEAL (1 STL)2
12.8%
0
87.2%
Q1 - 10:25ORLMagic Rebound2
13.8%
0
86.2%
Q1 - 10:26ORLNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)2
13.1%
0
86.9%
Q1 - 10:39DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
13.8%
0
86.2%
Q1 - 10:55DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.8%
0
87.2%
Q1 - 10:56ORLMISS Howard Layup2
13.1%
0
86.9%
Q1 - 11:05ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 11:08ORLMISS Stevenson 19' Fadeaway Jumper2
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 11:20DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot2
13.3%
0
86.7%
Q1 - 11:47ORLBattie 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)2
12.8%
0
87.2%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Howard: Tip to Battie0
11.9%
0
88.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.15 57.7%
DAL
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
17
24
71%
DAL
15
22
68%
Midrange
ORL
19
43
44%
DAL
17
36
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
6
9.0
12
50%
75%
DAL
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
ORL
15
22
68%
DAL
23
27
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Stevenson2960%14.5 / 24
J. Nelson1856%9.0 / 16
S. Francis1667%8.0 / 12
T. Battie1464%7.0 / 11
D. Howard850%4.0 / 8
A. Barrett788%3.5 / 4
K. Cato467%2.0 / 3
B. Hunter467%2.0 / 3
P. Garrity350%1.5 / 3
S. Augmon225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2170%10.5 / 15
J. Terry1869%9.0 / 13
J. Stackhouse1785%8.5 / 10
E. Dampier1673%8.0 / 11
J. Howard1583%7.5 / 9
M. Finley1042%5.0 / 12
K. Van Horn836%4.0 / 11
D. Harris450%2.0 / 4
S. Bradley350%1.5 / 3
M. Daniels220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
78
+12
-14
90
DAL
83
+13
-15
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.15 57.7%
DAL
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.8
107.3
ORL 114.1
DAL 116.3 +2.2
Pace
97.7
95.3
ORL 94.4
DAL 95.5 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.8
ORL 15.2
DAL 15.1 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
49.2%
ORL 57.0%
DAL 58.3% +1.3%
TO %
16.0%
13.4%
ORL 13.6% +0.7%
DAL 14.3%
ORB %
30.0%
28.7%
ORL 26.3%
DAL 32.4% +6.1%
FTrt
35.0
34.6
ORL 27.8
DAL 34.6 +6.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
52.6%
ORL 42.9%
DAL 70.7% +27.8%
STL %
7.9%
9.0%
ORL 7.6%
DAL 8.2% +0.6%
BLK %
8.0%
8.6%
ORL 6.9%
DAL 7.5% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
51.7%
ORL 57.7%
DAL 59.4% +1.7%
Rim FG%
57.1%
57.5%
ORL 70.8% +2.6%
DAL 68.2%
Mid FG%
40.0%
41.4%
ORL 44.2%
DAL 47.2% +3.0%
3P %
34.9%
36.4%
ORL 50.0% +5.0%
DAL 45.0%
FT %
75.9%
78.9%
ORL 68.2%
DAL 85.2% +17.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
32.6%
ORL 30.4% +2.2%
DAL 28.2%
Mid Att. %
50.5%
48.4%
ORL 54.4%
DAL 46.2% +8.3%
3P Att. %
13.7%
19.0%
ORL 15.2%
DAL 25.6% +10.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLDAL
Possessions9298
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points105114
Rebounds3540
Assists1829
Steals78
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)28 (0)
Field Goals42-7941-78
At-the-Rim FG17-2415-22
Midrange FG19-4317-36
2-Point FG36-6732-58
3-Point FG6-129-20
Free Throws15-2223-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 28
36.7
16
67%
4
11
4
0
4
4
2
2
3-4
75%
5-9
56%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 218 · 24
36.2
29
60%
2
2
0
0
1
3
0
2
1-2
50%
11-20
55%
2-3
67%
F · 6'11" 265 · 19
34.3
8
50%
8
1
2
1
1
3
5
3
4-6
67%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 29
32.9
14
64%
9
0
1
1
0
2
3
6
0-2
0%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 213 · 37
18.0
2
25%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 23
29.9
18
56%
0
1
0
0
3
4
0
0
2-3
67%
5-10
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 238 · 29
18.6
3
50%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 275 · 31
14.5
4
67%
3
0
0
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 173 · 23
13.2
7
88%
2
2
0
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 266 · 24
3.6
4
67%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 260 · 25
2.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 32
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
58%
35
18
7
4
14
0
10
25
15-22
68%
36-67
54%
6-12
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.