Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 5, 2005

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	10	Nuggets	38%	94	94
	9	Grizzlies	62%	98	91

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
DEN	102.2	92	87.6
MEM	96.8	94	98.9

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

-12

MEM

+13

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.06 52.8%

MEM

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MEM
Q4 - 0:00.0	MEM		94 100%	91 0%
Q4 - 0:02.0	MEM	Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)	93 97.8%	91 2.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0	DEN	Camby Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	93 99.9%	88 0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0	DEN	Camby Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	92 99.8%	88 0.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	91 99.3%	88 0.7%
Q4 - 0:05.0	MEM	MISS Gasol 26' 3PT Jump Shot	91 99.1%	88 0.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	91 89.5%	88 10.5%
Q4 - 0:16.0	DEN	MISS Boykins 6' Jump Shot	91 92.1%	88 7.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	91 91.2%	88 8.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	91 92.4%	87 7.6%
Q4 - 0:55.0	DEN	Miller 9' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS) (Camby 3 AST)	91 92.8%	86 7.2%
Q4 - 1:16	MEM	Miller 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)	89 84.4%	86 15.6%
Q4 - 1:29	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	89 88.0%	84 12.0%
Q4 - 1:29	DEN	Martin Layup (20 PTS)	89 88.0%	84 12.0%
Q4 - 1:30	DEN	MISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 2	87 73.4%	84 26.6%
Q4 - 1:30	DEN	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)	87 79.8%	84 20.2%
Q4 - 1:51	MEM	MISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 1	86 69.4%	84 30.6%
Q4 - 1:51	MEM	Wright Layup (14 PTS)	86 70.8%	84 29.2%
Q4 - 1:51	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)	86 79.3%	82 20.7%
Q4 - 1:52	MEM	MISS Gasol 3' Turnaround Jump Shot	86 84.6%	82 15.4%
Q4 - 2:12	DEN	Miller Driving Layup (14 PTS)	86 76.9%	82 23.1%
Q4 - 2:39	MEM	Gasol 11' Jump Shot (16 PTS)	84 72.1%	82 27.9%
Q4 - 3:02	DEN	Anthony Alley Oop Dunk (24 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)	84 74.4%	80 25.6%
Q4 - 3:10	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	82 69.2%	80 30.8%
Q4 - 3:11	MEM	MISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 2	82 67.5%	80 32.5%
Q4 - 3:11	MEM	MISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 2	82 61.5%	80 38.5%
Q4 - 3:29	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)	82 54.8%	80 45.2%
Q4 - 3:31	DEN	MISS Boykins 20' Jump Shot	82 56.9%	80 43.1%
Q4 - 3:40	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	82 63.6%	80 36.4%
Q4 - 3:42	MEM	MISS Wright 17' Jump Shot	82 60.9%	80 39.1%
Q4 - 3:49	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	82 54.5%	80 45.5%
Q4 - 3:51	DEN	MISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot	82 57.5%	80 42.5%
Q4 - 4:13	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	82 64.3%	80 35.7%
Q4 - 4:15	MEM	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	82 61.5%	80 38.5%
Q4 - 4:25	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	82 54.8%	80 45.2%
Q4 - 4:26	DEN	MISS Boykins Layup	82 57.8%	80 42.2%
Q4 - 4:31	MEM	Gasol Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)	82 64.5%	80 35.5%
Q4 - 4:51	DEN	Martin 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)	82 54.9%	80 45.1%
Q4 - 5:14	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	80 44.4%	80 55.6%
Q4 - 5:16	MEM	MISS Cardinal 24' 3PT Jump Shot	80 41.8%	80 58.2%
Q4 - 5:32	DEN	Boykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	80 36.1%	80 63.9%
Q4 - 5:32	DEN	Boykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	79 35.4%	80 64.6%
Q4 - 5:51	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	78 29.0%	80 71.0%
Q4 - 5:53	MEM	MISS Williams 18' Jump Shot	78 26.9%	80 73.1%
Q4 - 6:12	DEN	Anthony Dunk (22 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)	78 23.0%	80 77.0%
Q4 - 6:23	MEM	Miller 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	76 18.7%	80 81.3%
Q4 - 6:36	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	76 23.0%	78 77.0%
Q4 - 6:38	DEN	MISS Camby 11' Jump Shot	76 24.9%	78 75.1%
Q4 - 6:58	MEM	Williams Reverse Layup (13 PTS)	76 29.7%	78 70.3%
Q4 - 7:13	MEM	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	76 35.7%	76 64.3%
Q4 - 7:22	DEN	MISS Boykins 3PT Jump Shot	76 37.9%	76 62.1%
Q4 - 7:25	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	76 43.2%	76 56.8%
Q4 - 7:26	DEN	Battier BLOCK (1 BLK)	76 37.9%	76 62.1%
Q4 - 7:32	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	76 43.2%	76 56.8%
Q4 - 7:34	MEM	MISS Miller Driving Layup	76 40.8%	76 59.2%
Q4 - 7:50	DEN	Boykins 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	76 35.7%	76 64.3%
Q4 - 8:10	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	74 30.6%	76 69.4%
Q4 - 8:12	MEM	MISS Watson Driving Layup	74 29.0%	76 71.0%
Q4 - 8:25	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	74 25.4%	76 74.6%
Q4 - 8:27	DEN	MISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot	74 26.9%	76 73.1%
Q4 - 8:34	DEN	Najera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	74 30.6%	76 69.4%
Q4 - 8:36	DEN	MISS Boykins 19' Jump Shot	74 26.9%	76 73.1%
Q4 - 8:40	DEN	Najera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	74 30.6%	76 69.4%
Q4 - 8:42	MEM	MISS Wells 24' 3PT Jump Shot	74 28.9%	76 71.1%
Q4 - 8:57	DEN	Wells STEAL (1 STL)	74 25.3%	76 74.7%
Q4 - 9:04	MEM	Gasol Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)	74 30.9%	76 69.1%
Q4 - 9:14	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	74 25.8%	76 74.2%
Q4 - 9:14	MEM	MISS Gasol 9' Jump Shot	74 29.3%	76 70.7%
Q4 - 9:30	MEM	Cardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	74 25.8%	76 74.2%
Q4 - 9:32	DEN	MISS Person 25' 3PT Jump Shot	74 27.3%	76 72.7%
Q4 - 9:36	DEN	Boykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	74 30.9%	76 69.1%
Q4 - 9:39	MEM	MISS Watson 4' Jump Shot	74 29.3%	76 70.7%
Q4 - 10:00	DEN	Boykins Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)	74 25.8%	76 74.2%
Q4 - 10:09	DEN	Person REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	72 22.4%	76 77.6%
Q4 - 10:14	MEM	MISS Miller Driving Layup	72 21.1%	76 78.9%
Q4 - 10:37	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	72 18.4%	76 81.6%
Q4 - 10:39	DEN	MISS Boykins 7' Jump Shot	72 19.5%	76 80.5%
Q4 - 10:59	DEN	Najera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	72 22.3%	76 77.7%
Q4 - 11:02	MEM	MISS Watson Layup	72 21.7%	76 78.3%
Q4 - 11:10	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	72 19.2%	76 80.8%
Q4 - 11:11	DEN	MISS Boykins Layup	72 20.2%	76 79.8%
Q4 - 11:20	MEM	Jump Ball Wells vs. Martin: Tip to Person	72 22.9%	76 77.1%
Q4 - 11:21	MEM	MISS Wells Layup	72 21.7%	76 78.3%
Q4 - 11:40	DEN	Martin 15' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)	72 19.1%	76 80.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	MEM		70 16.1%	76 83.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0	MEM	Cardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	70 14.2%	76 85.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0	DEN	MISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot	70 15.0%	76 85.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0	DEN	Person REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	70 16.8%	76 83.2%
Q3 - 0:21.0	MEM	MISS Wells Free Throw 2 of 2	70 16.4%	76 83.6%
Q3 - 0:21.0	MEM	MISS Wells Free Throw 1 of 2	70 14.7%	76 85.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0	MEM	Watson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	70 14.1%	76 85.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0	DEN	MISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot	70 14.9%	76 85.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	70 16.8%	76 83.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0	MEM	MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot	70 15.9%	76 84.1%
Q3 - 0:53.0	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	70 14.1%	76 85.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0	MEM	MISS Cardinal 20' Jump Shot	70 15.9%	76 84.1%
Q3 - 1:12	DEN	Anthony Layup (20 PTS)	70 14.8%	76 85.2%
Q3 - 1:13	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	68 12.6%	76 87.4%
Q3 - 1:15	DEN	MISS Person Layup	68 11.1%	76 88.9%
Q3 - 1:31	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	68 12.5%	76 87.5%
Q3 - 1:32	MEM	MISS Watson Free Throw 2 of 2	68 12.3%	76 87.7%
Q3 - 1:32	MEM	Watson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	68 11.1%	76 88.9%
Q3 - 1:43	DEN	Martin 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)	68 12.5%	75 87.5%
Q3 - 1:54	MEM	Cardinal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	66 10.5%	75 89.5%
Q3 - 1:54	MEM	MISS Cardinal Free Throw 1 of 2	66 10.7%	74 89.3%
Q3 - 1:54	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	66 10.5%	74 89.5%
Q3 - 1:54	MEM	MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot	66 11.9%	74 88.1%
Q3 - 2:12	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	66 11.0%	74 89.0%
Q3 - 2:13	DEN	MISS Miller 12' Jump Shot	66 11.6%	74 88.4%
Q3 - 2:33	MEM	Wright 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	66 13.1%	74 86.9%
Q3 - 2:47	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	66 15.1%	72 84.9%
Q3 - 2:50	DEN	MISS Person 21' Jump Shot	66 16.0%	72 84.0%
Q3 - 3:16	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	66 18.5%	72 81.5%
Q3 - 3:16	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2	66 19.2%	71 80.8%
Q3 - 3:41	DEN	Martin 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)	66 18.3%	71 81.7%
Q3 - 3:59	MEM	Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)	64 15.9%	71 84.1%
Q3 - 4:17	DEN	Martin Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)	64 13.9%	71 86.1%
Q3 - 4:32	MEM	Gasol Layup (13 PTS)	62 12.2%	71 87.8%
Q3 - 4:37	DEN	Williams STEAL (2 STL)	62 13.9%	69 86.1%
Q3 - 4:39	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	62 16.4%	69 83.6%
Q3 - 4:40	MEM	MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot	62 15.6%	69 84.4%
Q3 - 4:57	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	62 13.9%	69 86.1%
Q3 - 4:58	MEM	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	62 15.6%	69 84.4%
Q3 - 5:14	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	62 14.5%	69 85.5%
Q3 - 5:15	MEM	MISS Miller Layup	62 16.1%	69 83.9%
Q3 - 5:29	DEN	Miller Layup (12 PTS)	62 14.5%	69 85.5%
Q3 - 5:36	MEM	Wright Dunk (10 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	60 12.7%	69 87.3%
Q3 - 5:56	DEN	Battier STEAL (3 STL)	60 14.4%	67 85.6%
Q3 - 6:06	MEM	Wright Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	60 17.3%	67 82.7%
Q3 - 6:06	MEM	Wright Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	60 17.9%	66 82.1%
Q3 - 6:11	DEN	Battier STEAL (2 STL)	60 19.5%	65 80.5%
Q3 - 6:20	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	60 22.3%	65 77.7%
Q3 - 6:22	MEM	MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot	60 21.4%	65 78.6%
Q3 - 6:27	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	60 19.5%	65 80.5%
Q3 - 6:29	MEM	MISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot	60 21.4%	65 78.6%
Q3 - 6:43	DEN	Martin Dunk (8 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)	60 19.5%	65 80.5%
Q3 - 6:46	DEN	Person REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	58 17.3%	65 82.7%
Q3 - 6:52	MEM	MISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot	58 16.5%	65 83.5%
Q3 - 7:37	DEN	Anthony 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)	58 15.2%	65 84.8%
Q3 - 7:50	MEM	Miller 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)	56 13.5%	65 86.5%
Q3 - 8:07	DEN	Camby 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)	56 15.6%	63 84.4%
Q3 - 8:19	MEM	Williams Layup (11 PTS)	54 13.9%	63 86.1%
Q3 - 8:23	DEN	Williams STEAL (1 STL)	54 15.5%	61 84.5%
Q3 - 8:35	MEM	Miller 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)	54 17.9%	61 82.1%
Q3 - 8:49	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	54 19.9%	59 80.1%
Q3 - 8:51	DEN	MISS Miller 9' Jump Shot	54 20.8%	59 79.2%
Q3 - 9:02	MEM	Gasol Layup (11 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)	54 22.7%	59 77.3%
Q3 - 9:15	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	54 25.3%	57 74.7%
Q3 - 9:18	DEN	MISS Nene 17' Jump Shot	54 26.2%	57 73.8%
Q3 - 9:31	MEM	Wright Foul Turnover (P2.T12)	54 28.3%	57 71.7%
Q3 - 9:48	DEN	Anthony 2' Layup (16 PTS)	54 25.3%	57 74.7%
Q3 - 10:03	MEM	Battier 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)	52 23.0%	57 77.0%
Q3 - 10:05	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	52 25.3%	55 74.7%
Q3 - 10:08	MEM	MISS Wright Layup	52 27.4%	55 72.6%
Q3 - 10:26	DEN	Camby 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)	52 25.3%	55 74.7%
Q3 - 10:37	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	50 23.0%	55 77.0%
Q3 - 10:40	MEM	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	50 22.1%	55 77.9%
Q3 - 10:57	DEN	Miller 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	50 20.3%	55 79.7%
Q3 - 11:13	MEM	Gasol Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)	48 18.5%	55 81.5%
Q3 - 11:26	DEN	Miller 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	48 20.6%	53 79.4%
Q3 - 11:42	MEM	Gasol 7' Hook Shot (7 PTS)	46 18.5%	53 81.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DEN		46 20.6%	51 79.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	46 23.0%	51 77.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DEN	MISS Miller 57' 3PT Jump Shot	46 21.3%	51 78.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0	MEM	Cardinal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)	46 23.1%	51 76.9%
Q2 - 0:07.0	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	46 29.0%	48 71.0%
Q2 - 0:08.0	DEN	MISS Martin Layup	46 29.6%	48 70.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	46 30.9%	48 69.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2	46 31.6%	47 68.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	46 31.7%	47 68.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0	MEM	MISS Wells 18' Jump Shot	46 33.2%	47 66.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	46 31.7%	47 68.3%
Q2 - 0:44.0	MEM	MISS Cardinal Layup	46 33.2%	47 66.8%
Q2 - 0:54.0	DEN	Miller 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	46 31.7%	47 68.3%
Q2 - 1:09	MEM	Gasol 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	44 28.1%	47 71.9%
Q2 - 1:30	DEN	Miller Reverse Layup (4 PTS)	44 32.1%	45 67.9%
Q2 - 1:43	MEM	Battier Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)	42 28.1%	45 71.9%
Q2 - 2:06	DEN	Miller 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	42 26.4%	45 73.6%
Q2 - 2:20	MEM	Wells Foul Turnover (P4.T10)	40 23.9%	45 76.1%
Q2 - 2:35	DEN	Camby Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)	40 21.9%	45 78.1%
Q2 - 3:02	MEM	Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)	38 20.3%	45 79.7%
Q2 - 3:14	MEM	Wells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	38 24.1%	42 75.9%
Q2 - 3:20	DEN	Wells BLOCK (1 BLK)	38 24.9%	42 75.1%
Q2 - 3:28	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	38 26.7%	42 73.3%
Q2 - 3:30	MEM	MISS Battier 15' Jump Shot	38 25.9%	42 74.1%
Q2 - 3:41	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	38 24.1%	42 75.9%
Q2 - 3:42	DEN	MISS Camby Layup	38 24.9%	42 75.1%
Q2 - 4:00	DEN	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	38 26.7%	42 73.3%
Q2 - 4:03	MEM	MISS Cardinal Reverse Layup	38 25.9%	42 74.1%
Q2 - 4:21	DEN	Anthony Foul Turnover (P1.T7)	38 24.4%	42 75.6%
Q2 - 4:41	MEM	Watson Layup (6 PTS)	38 26.6%	42 73.4%
Q2 - 4:45	DEN	Gasol STEAL (1 STL)	38 28.9%	40 71.1%
Q2 - 5:02	MEM	Cardinal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	38 31.4%	40 68.6%
Q2 - 5:02	MEM	Cardinal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	38 31.7%	39 68.3%
Q2 - 5:02	MEM	Cardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	38 33.7%	38 66.3%
Q2 - 5:03	DEN	MISS Boykins 4' Jump Shot	38 34.5%	38 65.5%
Q2 - 5:08	MEM	Wells Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)	38 36.5%	38 63.5%
Q2 - 5:15	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	38 33.7%	38 66.3%
Q2 - 5:16	MEM	MISS Wells 24' 3PT Jump Shot	38 35.6%	38 64.4%
Q2 - 5:24	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	38 33.7%	38 66.3%
Q2 - 5:26	DEN	MISS Nene 8' Jump Shot	38 34.5%	38 65.5%
Q2 - 5:44	MEM	Wells 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	38 36.5%	38 63.5%
Q2 - 6:01	DEN	Watson STEAL (2 STL)	38 38.6%	36 61.4%
Q2 - 6:06	MEM	Cardinal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)	38 41.8%	36 58.2%
Q2 - 6:15	MEM	Wells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	38 38.6%	36 61.4%
Q2 - 6:16	DEN	MISS Boykins Free Throw 2 of 2	38 39.0%	36 61.0%
Q2 - 6:16	DEN	MISS Boykins Free Throw 1 of 2	38 41.0%	36 59.0%
Q2 - 6:24	MEM	Wells Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	38 41.8%	36 58.2%
Q2 - 6:24	MEM	Wells Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	38 42.3%	35 57.7%
Q2 - 6:42	DEN	Anthony 23' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)	38 43.9%	34 56.1%
Q2 - 6:59	MEM	Cardinal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	36 41.8%	34 58.2%
Q2 - 7:15	DEN	Anthony 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	36 38.6%	34 61.4%
Q2 - 7:32	MEM	Wells Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)	34 36.3%	34 63.7%
Q2 - 7:38	MEM	Cardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	34 33.7%	34 66.3%
Q2 - 7:40	DEN	MISS Russell 24' 3PT Jump Shot	34 34.5%	34 65.5%
Q2 - 7:53	DEN	Najera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	34 36.3%	34 63.7%
Q2 - 7:56	MEM	MISS Watson Reverse Layup	34 35.5%	34 64.5%
Q2 - 8:12	DEN	Cardinal STEAL (1 STL)	34 33.5%	34 66.5%
Q2 - 8:20	MEM	Wells Foul Turnover (P1.T5)	34 36.2%	34 63.8%
Q2 - 8:30	DEN	Anthony 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	34 33.5%	34 66.5%
Q2 - 8:46	MEM	Wells Dunk (2 PTS) (Cardinal 2 AST)	32 31.6%	34 68.4%
Q2 - 9:01	DEN	Anthony 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)	32 33.4%	32 66.6%
Q2 - 9:17	MEM	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	30 31.5%	32 68.5%
Q2 - 9:17	MEM	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	30 31.9%	31 68.1%
Q2 - 9:21	MEM	Watson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30 33.4%	30 66.6%
Q2 - 9:22	DEN	MISS Najera Layup	30 34.2%	30 65.8%
Q2 - 9:34	MEM	Watson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	30 36.0%	30 64.0%
Q2 - 9:34	MEM	Watson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	30 36.6%	29 63.4%
Q2 - 9:56	DEN	Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	30 38.1%	28 61.9%
Q2 - 9:56	DEN	Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	29 37.4%	28 62.6%
Q2 - 10:03	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	28 36.0%	28 64.0%
Q2 - 10:05	MEM	MISS Wells 17' Jump Shot	28 35.2%	28 64.8%
Q2 - 10:33	MEM	Wells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 33.4%	28 66.6%
Q2 - 10:35	DEN	MISS Boykins 16' Jump Shot	28 34.2%	28 65.8%
Q2 - 10:41	MEM	Cardinal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	28 35.9%	28 64.1%
Q2 - 10:51	MEM	Cardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	28 33.4%	28 66.6%
Q2 - 10:52	DEN	MISS Boykins 19' Jump Shot	28 34.2%	28 65.8%
Q2 - 11:18	MEM	Watson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	28 35.4%	28 64.6%
Q2 - 11:25	DEN	Watson STEAL (1 STL)	28 37.7%	26 62.3%
Q2 - 11:41	MEM	Wright Layup (6 PTS) (Cardinal 1 AST)	28 40.0%	26 60.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN		28 42.4%	24 57.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 44.8%	24 55.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MEM	MISS Cardinal 13' Jump Shot	28 44.0%	24 56.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0	MEM	Cardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	28 42.3%	24 57.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0	MEM	MISS Cardinal 25' 3PT Jump Shot	28 43.5%	24 56.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0	MEM	Watson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 42.2%	24 57.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0	DEN	MISS Miller 11' Jump Shot	28 42.8%	24 57.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0	MEM	Wright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	28 44.1%	24 55.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0	MEM	Wright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	28 44.8%	23 55.2%
Q1 - 1:15	DEN	Camby Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	28 46.9%	22 53.1%
Q1 - 1:41	MEM	Battier Dunk (3 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)	26 44.0%	22 56.0%
Q1 - 1:52	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	26 46.9%	20 53.1%
Q1 - 1:54	DEN	MISS Martin 9' Jump Shot	26 47.4%	20 52.6%
Q1 - 2:13	MEM	Miller Driving Layup (6 PTS)	26 48.8%	20 51.2%
Q1 - 2:29	DEN	Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	26 51.3%	18 48.7%
Q1 - 2:29	DEN	Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	25 50.7%	18 49.3%
Q1 - 2:41	MEM	Williams 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	24 48.8%	18 51.2%
Q1 - 2:47	MEM	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	24 51.3%	16 48.7%
Q1 - 2:49	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	24 53.5%	16 46.5%
Q1 - 2:49	DEN	MISS Camby Layup	24 52.0%	16 48.0%
Q1 - 2:51	DEN	MISS Martin Layup	24 52.0%	16 48.0%
Q1 - 2:56	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	24 53.5%	16 46.5%
Q1 - 2:58	MEM	MISS Wright 15' Jump Shot	24 52.9%	16 47.1%
Q1 - 3:16	DEN	Martin Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Person 1 AST)	24 50.2%	16 49.8%
Q1 - 3:29	MEM	Wright 3' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)	22 48.3%	16 51.7%
Q1 - 3:46	DEN	Person 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	22 50.3%	14 49.7%
Q1 - 4:01	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	19 45.6%	14 54.4%
Q1 - 4:02	MEM	MISS Battier Free Throw 2 of 2	19 45.2%	14 54.8%
Q1 - 4:02	MEM	Battier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	19 43.8%	14 56.2%
Q1 - 4:17	DEN	Anthony 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)	19 45.1%	13 54.9%
Q1 - 4:37	MEM	Williams 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	17 43.4%	13 56.6%
Q1 - 5:03	DEN	Johnson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)	17 44.3%	11 55.7%
Q1 - 5:20	MEM	Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	14 40.5%	11 59.5%
Q1 - 5:35	DEN	Nene Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	14 44.4%	8 55.6%
Q1 - 5:42	MEM	Wright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	12 42.6%	8 57.4%
Q1 - 5:53	DEN	Camby 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)	12 40.3%	8 59.7%
Q1 - 6:13	MEM	Miller Driving Layup (4 PTS)	10 38.0%	8 62.0%
Q1 - 6:28	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	10 39.8%	6 60.2%
Q1 - 6:29	DEN	MISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot	10 40.5%	6 59.5%
Q1 - 6:38	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	10 41.9%	6 58.1%
Q1 - 6:41	MEM	MISS Wright Hook Shot	10 41.3%	6 58.7%
Q1 - 6:51	DEN	Battier STEAL (1 STL)	10 39.8%	6 60.2%
Q1 - 7:01	DEN	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	10 41.2%	6 58.8%
Q1 - 7:02	DEN	MISS Camby 15' Jump Shot	10 39.7%	6 60.3%
Q1 - 7:08	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	10 41.2%	6 58.8%
Q1 - 7:11	MEM	MISS Wright 14' Turnaround Jump Shot	10 40.6%	6 59.4%
Q1 - 7:36	DEN	Nene Slam Dunk (2 PTS)	10 39.2%	6 60.8%
Q1 - 7:58	MEM	Gasol 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	8 37.6%	6 62.4%
Q1 - 8:06	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 39.2%	4 60.8%
Q1 - 8:08	DEN	MISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot	8 39.8%	4 60.2%
Q1 - 8:16	MEM	Williams Driving Layup (2 PTS)	8 41.2%	4 58.8%
Q1 - 8:27	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	8 42.8%	2 57.2%
Q1 - 8:27	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	7 42.5%	2 57.5%
Q1 - 8:40	MEM	Miller 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	6 41.2%	2 58.8%
Q1 - 8:52	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 42.8%	0 57.2%
Q1 - 8:54	DEN	MISS Anthony Layup	6 43.4%	0 56.6%
Q1 - 8:59	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 44.9%	0 55.1%
Q1 - 9:03	MEM	MISS Wright Dunk	6 44.1%	0 55.9%
Q1 - 9:17	DEN	Camby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	6 42.4%	0 57.6%
Q1 - 9:21	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 44.8%	0 55.2%
Q1 - 9:22	MEM	MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot	6 44.1%	0 55.9%
Q1 - 9:26	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 42.5%	0 57.5%
Q1 - 9:27	DEN	Gasol BLOCK (1 BLK)	6 43.2%	0 56.8%
Q1 - 9:43	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 44.8%	0 55.2%
Q1 - 9:45	MEM	MISS Miller 12' Jump Shot	6 44.1%	0 55.9%
Q1 - 10:20	DEN	Johnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)	6 42.4%	0 57.6%
Q1 - 10:24	MEM	Miller Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	4 40.8%	0 59.2%
Q1 - 10:41	DEN	Anthony Layup (2 PTS)	4 38.7%	0 61.3%
Q1 - 10:48	MEM	Gasol Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	2 37.2%	0 62.8%
Q1 - 11:02	DEN	Camby 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	2 35.3%	0 64.7%
Q1 - 11:20	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 33.6%	0 66.4%
Q1 - 11:22	MEM	MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot	0 33.1%	0 66.9%
Q1 - 11:40	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 32.1%	0 67.9%
Q1 - 11:42	DEN	MISS Nene 10' Jump Shot	0 32.5%	0 67.5%
Q1 - 12:00	MEM	Jump Ball Gasol vs. Camby: Tip to Miller	0 33.6%	0 66.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.06 52.8%

MEM

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

58%

MEM

53%

Midrange

DEN

53%

MEM

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

3.0

20%

30%

MEM

6.0

20%

30%

Free Throws

DEN

75%

MEM

66%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Anthony	24	67%	12.0 / 18
K. Martin	20	77%	10.0 / 13
A. Miller	18	64%	9.0 / 14
M. Camby	14	64%	7.0 / 11
E. Boykins	6	20%	3.0 / 15
D. Johnson	5	63%	2.5 / 4
Nene	4	33%	2.0 / 6
W. Person	3	38%	1.5 / 4
E. Najera	0	-	0.0 / 1
B. Russell	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Gasol	18	64%	9.0 / 14
M. Miller	16	44%	8.0 / 18
L. Wright	14	50%	7.0 / 14
J. Williams	13	54%	6.5 / 12
E. Watson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
S. Battier	8	80%	4.0 / 5
B. Cardinal	6	30%	3.0 / 10
B. Wells	6	33%	3.0 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

-12

MEM

+13

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.06 52.8%

MEM

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	103.6 103.1	DEN 102.2 MEM 96.8 +5.4
Pace	95.8 90.6	DEN 87.6 MEM 98.9 +11.3
Avg. Poss. Time	14.8 16.1	DEN 16.4 MEM 14.6 +1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	48.3% 48.9%	DEN 51.9% +4.5% MEM 47.4%
TO %	15.0% 15.4%	DEN 12.2% +2.3% MEM 14.5%
ORB %	28.4% 27.2%	DEN 14.6% MEM 21.4% +6.8%
FTrt	35.0 32.3	DEN 20.3 MEM 38.2 +17.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	64.5% 61.2%	DEN 55.0% +13.8% MEM 41.2%
STL %	9.5% 9.4%	DEN 9.8% MEM 10.6% +0.8%
BLK %	9.3% 9.5%	DEN 5.4% +1.1% MEM 4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	50.8% 50.8%	DEN 52.8% +3.9% MEM 48.9%
Rim FG%	60.5% 55.9%	DEN 58.1% +4.8% MEM 53.3%
Mid FG%	37.4% 37.7%	DEN 52.6% MEM 53.8% +1.2%
3P %	34.0% 35.7%	DEN 20.0% MEM 20.0%
FT %	76.3% 75.4%	DEN 75.0% +9.5% MEM 65.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	39.0% 41.0%	DEN 39.2% MEM 39.5% +0.2%
Mid Att. %	46.8% 35.4%	DEN 48.1% MEM 34.2% +13.9%
3P Att. %	14.2% 23.7%	DEN 12.7% MEM 26.3% +13.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	MEM
Possessions	92	94
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	94	91
Rebounds	39	44
Assists	22	14
Steals	9	10
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (1)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	35 (0)
Field Goals	40-79	34-76
At-the-Rim FG	18-31	16-30
Midrange FG	20-38	14-26
2-Point FG	38-69	30-56
3-Point FG	2-10	4-20
Free Throws	12-16	19-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 29	36.3	18	64%	5	6	1	0	3	3	0	5	2-4	50%	8-11	73%	0-1	0%
Marcus Camby C · 6'11" 240 · 31	34.0	14	64%	7	3	0	2	3	4	1	6	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 21	32.3	24	67%	8	2	0	0	2	4	2	6	2-2	100%	11-15	73%	0-2	0%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 23	19.3	4	33%	2	2	1	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
DerMarr Johnson G · 6'9" 210 · 25	18.2	5	63%	2	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 27	28.7	20	77%	7	1	2	0	0	4	1	6	4-4	100%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Earl Boykins G · 5'5" 133 · 29	27.9	6	20%	1	3	1	0	1	3	0	1	2-4	50%	2-11	18%	0-2	0%
Wesley Person G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34	24.3	3	38%	3	1	2	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Eduardo Najera F · 6'8" 235 · 29	14.0	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Bryon Russell G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34	4.9	0	0%	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Greg Buckner G · 6'4" 210 · 29
Francisco Elson C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	53%	39	22	9	3	12	0	6	33	12-16	75%	38-69	55%	2-10	20%

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10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 29	36.3	18	64%	5	6	1	0	3	3	0	5	2-4	50%	8-11	73%	0-1	0%
Marcus Camby C · 6'11" 240 · 31	34.0	14	64%	7	3	0	2	3	4	1	6	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 21	32.3	24	67%	8	2	0	0	2	4	2	6	2-2	100%	11-15	73%	0-2	0%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 23	19.3	4	33%	2	2	1	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
DerMarr Johnson G · 6'9" 210 · 25	18.2	5	63%	2	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 27	28.7	20	77%	7	1	2	0	0	4	1	6	4-4	100%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Earl Boykins G · 5'5" 133 · 29	27.9	6	20%	1	3	1	0	1	3	0	1	2-4	50%	2-11	18%	0-2	0%
Wesley Person G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34	24.3	3	38%	3	1	2	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Eduardo Najera F · 6'8" 235 · 29	14.0	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Bryon Russell G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34	4.9	0	0%	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Greg Buckner G · 6'4" 210 · 29
Francisco Elson C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	53%	39	22	9	3	12	0	6	33	12-16	75%	38-69	55%	2-10	20%

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9 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 27	40.2	8	80%	9	1	3	1	1	2	2	7	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Mike Miller G · 6'8" 218 · 25	37.7	16	44%	2	2	0	0	2	2	0	2	2-4	50%	7-11	64%	0-5	0%
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 25	36.4	18	64%	7	2	1	1	3	2	2	5	4-6	67%	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
Lorenzen Wright C · 6'11" 255 · 29	31.9	14	50%	12	1	0	0	2	2	4	8	4-5	80%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Jason Williams G · 6'1" 180 · 29	28.9	13	54%	2	5	2	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-6	17%
Brian Cardinal F · 6'8" 240 · 28	27.8	6	30%	6	2	1	0	3	2	1	5	3-4	75%	0-4	0%	1-4	25%
Earl Watson G · 6'1" 199 · 26	19.6	10	56%	3	1	2	0	0	1	0	3	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	1-1	100%
Bonzi Wells G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29	17.6	6	33%	3	0	1	1	4	2	0	3	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24
James Posey F · 6'8" 217 · 28
Antonio Burks G · 6'0" 195 · 25
Jake Tsakalidis C · 7'2" 290 · 26
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	49%	44	14	10	3	15	0	9	35	19-29	66%	30-56	54%	4-20	20%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE