FinalWin Prob.pScore
2821%92
86
479%102
104
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
90.59595.0
MIA logo MIA
110.69495.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHIMISS Duhon 4' Jump Shot86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)86
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0CHIDooling STEAL (1 STL)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00CHIMISS Piatkowski 7' Running Jump Shot86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08CHIReiner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS Mourning 20' Jump Shot86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16CHIPiatkowski 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00CHIReiner 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Piatkowski 1 AST)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (39 PTS)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14MIAWade Driving Layup (38 PTS)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14CHIMISS Pargo 11' Jump Shot82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16MIAWade Layup (36 PTS)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (34 PTS)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (33 PTS)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07CHIGriffin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09CHIGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)82
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot82
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:28CHINocioni 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)80
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:05CHIPargo 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)80
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 4:25CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 4:27MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 278
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 4:27MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:29MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:47MIAHEAT Rebound78
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:48MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot78
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:11CHIPargo 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)78
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 5:23CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:26MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot76
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47CHIMISS Pargo 18' Jump Shot76
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 6:03MIAJump Ball Dooling vs. Pargo: Tip to Duhon76
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 6:19CHIPargo 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)76
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 6:28CHIPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 6:31MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 6:44MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:46CHIMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:01MIAHaslem Dunk (14 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)74
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 7:14CHIPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)74
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 7:14CHIPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)73
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 7:19MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 7:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)72
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 7:40CHIMISS Griffin Layup72
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 7:43CHIGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 7:47CHIMISS Pargo 5' Jump Hook Shot72
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 7:55CHIGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 7:57MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot72
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 8:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 8:12CHIMISS Griffin 13' Jump Shot72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 8:23CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 8:24CHIMISS Pargo 18' Jump Shot72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 8:29CHIGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Doleac 20' Jump Shot72
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 8:50MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 8:51CHIMISS Pargo Layup72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 8:53CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 8:56CHIMISS Nocioni 22' Jump Shot72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 9:13MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)72
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 9:26MIAJump Ball Doleac vs. Chandler: Tip to Wade72
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 9:30CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)72
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 9:32CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 9:41MIADoleac Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)72
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 9:57CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)72
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 10:09MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (32 PTS)72
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 10:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)72
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 10:30CHIMISS Chandler 6' Jump Shot72
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 10:42MIADoleac Foul Turnover (P1.T13)72
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 10:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)72
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 10:54CHIMISS Reiner Layup72
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 11:09MIAWade Layup (30 PTS)72
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 11:33CHIPiatkowski 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)72
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound69
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 48' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0CHIMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)69
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 0:14.0CHIReiner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 269
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 269
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)68
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (28 PTS)67
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 1:07CHIGriffin Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)67
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 1:07CHIGriffin Reverse Layup (8 PTS)66
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q3 - 1:25MIAWade Finger Roll (26 PTS)64
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q3 - 1:32CHIAnderson STEAL (1 STL)64
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 1:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)64
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 264
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 1:51CHIChandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)64
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 2:05MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)64
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q3 - 2:26CHIGriffin Reverse Layup (6 PTS)64
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q3 - 2:35CHIGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS Anderson Layup62
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 2:53CHIGriffin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)62
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 3:04MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 262
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q3 - 3:16CHIDavis 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)62
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q3 - 3:33CHIGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot60
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 3:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)60
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 3:45CHIMISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot60
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 4:00MIAAnderson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)60
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q3 - 4:21CHIGordon 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 4:31MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)58
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 4:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)58
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 4:40CHIMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot58
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 4:52MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 4:52MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 5:15CHIGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
2.1%
73
97.9%
Q3 - 5:15CHIGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)57
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 5:17MIAAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)56
1.8%
73
98.2%
Q3 - 5:35CHIDavis 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)56
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q3 - 5:47CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 5:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)54
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 5:57MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 6:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)54
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot54
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 6:26CHIGordon 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)54
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 6:37CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)52
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 6:39CHIMISS Pargo 21' Jump Shot52
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 6:57CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot52
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 7:31CHIGriffin Driving Layup (2 PTS)52
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 7:41CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot50
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 7:54MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 7:55CHIMISS Davis Tip Shot50
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 7:58CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 8:00CHIMISS Hinrich 15' Jump Shot50
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 8:07MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)50
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 8:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 8:27CHIMISS Griffin 7' Jump Shot50
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 8:40MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Davis: Tip to50
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 8:57CHINocioni Driving Layup (12 PTS)50
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 9:16MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS)48
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 9:30CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 9:30CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 9:39MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)46
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q3 - 9:51CHIDavis Foul Turnover (P2.T7)46
1.3%
66
98.7%
Q3 - 9:57CHIReiner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q3 - 10:01MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot46
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q3 - 10:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
1.3%
66
98.7%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot46
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q3 - 10:43CHINocioni 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
1.3%
66
98.7%
Q3 - 11:00CHIBulls Rebound44
1.2%
66
98.8%
Q3 - 11:02CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
1.1%
66
98.9%
Q3 - 11:16MIAWade Driving Dunk (19 PTS)44
1.2%
66
98.8%
Q3 - 11:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)44
1.4%
64
98.6%
Q3 - 11:27CHIMISS Duhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
1.5%
64
98.5%
Q3 - 11:43CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
1.6%
64
98.4%
Q3 - 11:46MIAMISS Doleac 23' Jump Shot44
1.5%
64
98.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI44
1.4%
64
98.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound44
1.6%
64
98.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Pargo 30' 3PT Jump Shot44
1.5%
64
98.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMourning Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)44
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0CHIMISS Pargo Free Throw 2 of 244
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0CHIPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T8)43
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0CHIPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)43
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T7)43
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0CHIDavis Driving Layup (4 PTS)43
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q2 - 1:04MIAJones Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)41
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q2 - 1:19CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)41
2.0%
60
98.0%
Q2 - 1:19CHIChandler Dunk (10 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)40
1.7%
60
98.3%
Q2 - 1:38MIAWade Layup (17 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)38
1.4%
60
98.6%
Q2 - 1:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
1.7%
58
98.3%
Q2 - 1:46CHIMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)38
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q2 - 1:58MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)38
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q2 - 2:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q2 - 2:07CHIMISS Pargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
2.7%
55
97.3%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)38
2.9%
55
97.1%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
3.3%
53
96.7%
Q2 - 2:34CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 238
3.4%
53
96.6%
Q2 - 2:34CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 238
3.6%
53
96.4%
Q2 - 2:51MIAHaslem Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)38
3.7%
53
96.3%
Q2 - 3:03CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)38
4.4%
51
95.6%
Q2 - 3:04MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T6)38
5.0%
51
95.0%
Q2 - 3:09CHINocioni Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)38
4.4%
51
95.6%
Q2 - 3:28MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (15 PTS)38
5.0%
51
95.0%
Q2 - 3:42CHIDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
5.5%
49
94.5%
Q2 - 3:42CHIDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
5.4%
49
94.6%
Q2 - 3:54MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)36
5.0%
49
95.0%
Q2 - 3:59MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
4.4%
49
95.6%
Q2 - 4:01CHIMISS Duhon 4' Running Jump Shot36
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q2 - 4:16CHIBulls Rebound36
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS Dooling 29' 3PT Jump Shot36
4.9%
49
95.1%
Q2 - 4:39MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
4.5%
49
95.5%
Q2 - 4:42CHIMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q2 - 5:04MIADooling 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
5.2%
49
94.8%
Q2 - 5:17MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
5.7%
47
94.3%
Q2 - 5:19CHIMISS Duhon 21' Jump Shot36
5.9%
47
94.1%
Q2 - 5:37MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
6.4%
47
93.6%
Q2 - 5:37MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 236
6.5%
46
93.5%
Q2 - 5:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
6.3%
46
93.7%
Q2 - 5:47CHIMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot36
6.6%
46
93.4%
Q2 - 6:01MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)36
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q2 - 6:08MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
7.9%
44
92.1%
Q2 - 6:11CHIMISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot36
8.2%
44
91.8%
Q2 - 6:32CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
8.9%
44
91.1%
Q2 - 6:32CHIMISS Gordon Layup36
8.2%
44
91.8%
Q2 - 6:37CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)36
8.9%
44
91.1%
Q2 - 6:39MIAMISS Dooling Driving Layup36
8.6%
44
91.4%
Q2 - 6:55CHIGordon 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
7.9%
44
92.1%
Q2 - 7:02CHIPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
7.5%
44
92.5%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot34
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 7:23CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)34
6.7%
44
93.3%
Q2 - 7:40MIADooling 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
5.5%
44
94.5%
Q2 - 7:54MIAHEAT Rebound31
6.1%
42
93.9%
Q2 - 7:54CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
6.3%
42
93.7%
Q2 - 8:01CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot31
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 8:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
6.1%
42
93.9%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Smith 8' Turnaround Jump Shot31
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 8:24MIASmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 8:26CHIMISS Piatkowski 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
6.4%
42
93.6%
Q2 - 8:54MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)31
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 9:13MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
7.5%
40
92.5%
Q2 - 9:14CHIMISS Griffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
7.8%
40
92.2%
Q2 - 9:27CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)31
8.4%
40
91.6%
Q2 - 9:30CHIMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
7.8%
40
92.2%
Q2 - 9:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)31
8.4%
40
91.6%
Q2 - 9:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)31
8.5%
39
91.5%
Q2 - 10:02CHIPargo 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
9.2%
38
90.8%
Q2 - 10:12CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)29
8.5%
38
91.5%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot29
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 10:24CHIPargo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 10:32CHIBulls Rebound27
7.1%
38
92.9%
Q2 - 10:33CHIMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
6.6%
38
93.4%
Q2 - 10:52CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
7.1%
38
92.9%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot27
6.9%
38
93.1%
Q2 - 11:00CHIPiatkowski 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)27
6.4%
38
93.6%
Q2 - 11:11CHIPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 11:12CHIMISS Piatkowski 12' Jump Shot24
5.0%
38
95.0%
Q2 - 11:20CHIGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 11:21CHIMISS Gordon 13' Jump Shot24
5.0%
38
95.0%
Q2 - 11:30CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 11:47MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
5.2%
38
94.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI24
4.9%
38
95.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound24
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Hinrich 42' 3PT Jump Shot24
5.0%
38
95.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)24
5.4%
38
94.6%
Q1 - 0:12.0CHIChandler Tip Shot (8 PTS)24
6.0%
36
94.0%
Q1 - 0:14.0CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)22
5.4%
36
94.6%
Q1 - 0:18.0CHIMISS Piatkowski Reverse Layup22
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)22
5.4%
36
94.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAJones 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
5.9%
35
94.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
6.6%
33
93.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0CHIMISS Chandler Layup22
6.7%
33
93.3%
Q1 - 0:39.0CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
7.0%
33
93.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0CHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)22
6.7%
33
93.3%
Q1 - 1:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)22
7.0%
33
93.0%
Q1 - 1:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)22
7.1%
32
92.9%
Q1 - 1:09MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
7.9%
31
92.1%
Q1 - 1:11CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 222
7.9%
31
92.1%
Q1 - 1:11CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
8.5%
31
91.5%
Q1 - 1:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
7.7%
31
92.3%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 221
7.8%
30
92.2%
Q1 - 1:38CHINocioni Finger Roll (6 PTS)21
7.9%
30
92.1%
Q1 - 1:47CHIGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q1 - 1:50CHIMISS Nocioni 18' Jump Shot19
6.7%
30
93.3%
Q1 - 2:05MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)19
7.2%
30
92.8%
Q1 - 2:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
8.5%
27
91.5%
Q1 - 2:11CHIMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)19
8.8%
27
91.2%
Q1 - 2:21MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
9.3%
27
90.7%
Q1 - 2:27CHIJones STEAL (1 STL)19
8.5%
27
91.5%
Q1 - 2:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)19
9.3%
27
90.7%
Q1 - 2:55CHIChandler 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
8.5%
27
91.5%
Q1 - 3:13MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)17
8.0%
27
92.0%
Q1 - 3:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
7.3%
27
92.7%
Q1 - 3:20CHIMISS Nocioni Layup17
7.5%
27
92.5%
Q1 - 3:35MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)17
8.0%
27
92.0%
Q1 - 3:54CHIGordon Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
7.3%
27
92.7%
Q1 - 4:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
6.8%
27
93.2%
Q1 - 4:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
6.9%
26
93.1%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
7.2%
25
92.8%
Q1 - 4:20CHIMISS Duhon Running Jump Shot15
7.4%
25
92.6%
Q1 - 4:38MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)15
8.0%
25
92.0%
Q1 - 4:51CHIChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
9.2%
22
90.8%
Q1 - 4:51CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
9.0%
22
91.0%
Q1 - 5:05MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)13
8.6%
22
91.4%
Q1 - 5:28CHINocioni 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)13
9.3%
20
90.7%
Q1 - 5:41MIAWade Reverse Layup (4 PTS)11
8.6%
20
91.4%
Q1 - 6:01CHIChandler Layup (2 PTS)11
9.4%
18
90.6%
Q1 - 6:04CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
8.8%
18
91.2%
Q1 - 6:06CHIJones BLOCK (1 BLK)9
8.3%
18
91.7%
Q1 - 6:23MIAMourning 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)9
8.7%
18
91.3%
Q1 - 6:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
9.4%
16
90.6%
Q1 - 6:40CHIMISS Nocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
9.6%
16
90.4%
Q1 - 7:00MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)9
10.1%
16
89.9%
Q1 - 7:20CHIDuhon Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 7:20CHIDuhon Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
10.2%
14
89.8%
Q1 - 7:43CHIBulls Rebound6
9.6%
14
90.4%
Q1 - 7:45MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot6
9.3%
14
90.7%
Q1 - 7:50CHIHaslem STEAL (1 STL)6
8.9%
14
91.1%
Q1 - 7:56CHIBulls Rebound6
9.6%
14
90.4%
Q1 - 7:56CHIMISS Reiner Layup6
9.1%
14
90.9%
Q1 - 7:56CHIReiner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
9.6%
14
90.4%
Q1 - 7:57CHIHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)6
9.1%
14
90.9%
Q1 - 8:15MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)6
9.5%
14
90.5%
Q1 - 8:31CHIReiner Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)6
10.0%
12
90.0%
Q1 - 8:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
9.5%
12
90.5%
Q1 - 8:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
9.6%
11
90.4%
Q1 - 9:03CHIDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
9.9%
10
90.1%
Q1 - 9:03CHIDuhon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
9.7%
10
90.3%
Q1 - 9:25MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
9.4%
10
90.6%
Q1 - 9:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 9:33CHIMISS Davis 8' Hook Shot2
10.9%
7
89.1%
Q1 - 9:43MIAHaslem Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
11.5%
7
88.5%
Q1 - 9:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
12.1%
5
87.9%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS Wade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot2
12.8%
5
87.2%
Q1 - 10:07CHIReiner Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
12.1%
5
87.9%
Q1 - 10:07CHIReiner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
13.1%
5
86.9%
Q1 - 10:10CHIMISS Hinrich Layup2
12.4%
5
87.6%
Q1 - 10:16CHIBulls Rebound2
13.1%
5
86.9%
Q1 - 10:16CHIMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Shot2
12.4%
5
87.6%
Q1 - 10:37MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
13.1%
5
86.9%
Q1 - 10:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.7%
2
85.3%
Q1 - 10:43CHIMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot2
15.1%
2
84.9%
Q1 - 10:53CHIReiner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.8%
2
84.2%
Q1 - 10:56MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot2
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 11:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 11:08CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
15.0%
2
85.0%
Q1 - 11:19MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 11:19MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
15.8%
1
84.2%
Q1 - 11:40CHINocioni 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
16.7%
0
83.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Doleac vs. Davis: Tip to Duhon0
15.7%
0
84.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.83 41.7%
MIA
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
13
33
39%
MIA
14
18
78%
Midrange
CHI
16
37
43%
MIA
16
34
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
3
4.5
18
17%
25%
MIA
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
CHI
19
23
83%
MIA
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Nocioni1464%7.0 / 11
B. Gordon1447%7.0 / 15
J. Pargo1336%6.5 / 18
T. Chandler1155%5.5 / 10
A. Griffin950%4.5 / 9
A. Davis840%4.0 / 10
E. Piatkowski857%4.0 / 7
C. Duhon528%2.5 / 9
J. Reiner440%2.0 / 5
K. Hinrich0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3970%19.5 / 28
D. Jones1785%8.5 / 10
U. Haslem1667%8.0 / 12
E. Jones1554%7.5 / 14
K. Dooling650%3.0 / 6
A. Mourning675%3.0 / 4
S. Anderson350%1.5 / 3
M. Doleac225%1.0 / 4
S. Smith0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
81
+22
-14
103
MIA
76
+9
-18
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.83 41.7%
MIA
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.0
106.6
CHI 90.5 +20.1
MIA 110.6
Pace
94.7
93.9
CHI 95.0 +0.0
MIA 95.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.6
CHI 15.2 +0.0
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
52.4%
CHI 38.1%
MIA 59.6% +21.5%
TO %
16.9%
14.0%
CHI 12.5% +5.6%
MIA 18.1%
ORB %
28.5%
27.0%
CHI 30.8% +6.7%
MIA 24.1%
FTrt
31.1
38.7
CHI 26.1
MIA 44.1 +18.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
57.8%
CHI 25.0%
MIA 48.6% +23.6%
STL %
7.4%
6.8%
CHI 10.5% +4.1%
MIA 6.4%
BLK %
7.0%
8.7%
CHI 1.9%
MIA 8.6% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.1%
52.7%
CHI 41.7%
MIA 61.2% +19.5%
Rim FG%
53.9%
63.0%
CHI 39.4%
MIA 77.8% +38.4%
Mid FG%
38.9%
41.0%
CHI 43.2%
MIA 47.1% +3.9%
3P %
35.7%
37.7%
CHI 16.7%
MIA 43.8% +27.1%
FT %
75.0%
67.2%
CHI 82.6% +5.9%
MIA 76.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.4%
37.6%
CHI 37.5% +11.0%
MIA 26.5%
Mid Att. %
44.8%
42.6%
CHI 42.0% +8.0%
MIA 50.0%
3P Att. %
21.7%
19.8%
CHI 20.5%
MIA 23.5% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes24.023.8
Points86104
Rebounds3843
Assists818
Steals106
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (6)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (2)36 (1)
Field Goals32-8837-68
At-the-Rim FG13-3314-18
Midrange FG16-3716-34
2-Point FG29-7030-52
3-Point FG3-187-16
Free Throws19-2323-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 25
27.9
14
64%
3
0
0
0
1
5
1
2
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 36
27.4
8
40%
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
2
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 23
24.7
5
28%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 24
16.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 23
12.5
4
40%
6
0
0
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 25
30.6
13
36%
2
3
2
0
1
2
1
1
3-4
75%
5-12
42%
0-4
0%
C · 7'1" 240 · 23
28.1
11
55%
8
0
0
1
2
2
5
3
3-5
60%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31
26.6
9
50%
8
2
1
0
2
2
3
5
3-3
100%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 22
26.5
14
47%
2
0
2
0
3
4
0
2
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35
19.7
8
57%
3
1
3
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31
C · 7'0" 295 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
42%
38
8
10
1
14
0
16
22
19-23
83%
29-70
41%
3-18
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.