for complete access.
All Games Saturday, April 2, 2005
FinalWin Prob.pScore
4
Heat
75%100
111
32
Hornets
25%92
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
120.79293.3
NOK
103.19694.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOK
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH111
100%
99
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)111
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0NOHDickau Layup (14 PTS)108
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)108
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot108
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0NOHJacobsen Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)108
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0NOHJacobsen Driving Layup (12 PTS)108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04NOHHORNETS Rebound108
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06NOHMISS Nailon Layup108
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)108
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18NOHMISS Nailon Free Throw 2 of 2106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18NOHNailon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21MIANailon STEAL (1 STL)106
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26NOHAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)106
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26NOHAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)106
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)106
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57NOHAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)106
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57NOHMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 2106
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11MIAAnderson Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)106
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37NOHDickau Layup (12 PTS)104
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Hook Shot (34 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)104
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:07NOHDickau Driving Layup (10 PTS)102
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:15NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)102
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 3:16MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 3:32NOHJacobsen Layup (10 PTS) (Dickau 7 AST)102
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 3:46NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2102
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:47MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)102
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)101
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:05NOHMISS Nailon 17' Jump Shot101
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:17MIAO'Neal Layup (31 PTS)101
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)99
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:36NOHMISS Dickau 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:54NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)99
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Woods Layup99
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 5:17NOHBrown Layup (21 PTS)99
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 5:19NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)99
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 5:21NOHMISS Andersen Layup99
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 5:33MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS)99
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 5:33MIAO'Neal Layup (28 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)98
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 5:47NOHAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)96
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 5:47NOHAndersen Dunk (9 PTS) (Nailon 2 AST)96
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 6:08MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)96
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 6:23NOHAndersen Dunk (7 PTS) (Dickau 6 AST)93
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 6:27MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)93
99.6%
77
0.4%
Q4 - 6:44NOHDickau Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)93
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 6:44NOHDickau Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)93
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 6:47NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS Anderson 15' Jump Shot93
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 7:08NOHJacobsen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dickau 5 AST)93
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 7:15MIAWoods Layup (8 PTS)93
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 7:20NOHJacobsen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)91
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 7:30NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 7:32MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot91
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 7:40NOHBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)91
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 7:56MIADoleac Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)91
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 8:07MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 8:08NOHMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot89
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 8:35MIAWade Layup (33 PTS)89
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 8:56NOHAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)87
99.3%
72
0.7%
Q4 - 8:56NOHAndersen Layup (4 PTS) (Dickau 4 AST)87
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 9:01NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 9:11MIAHeat Rebound87
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot87
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 9:34NOHBrown 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jacobsen 1 AST)87
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 9:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)87
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 9:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)86
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 10:09NOHDickau 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)85
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 10:26MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T11)85
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Woods 18' Jump Shot85
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 10:46NOHJacobsen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)85
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 10:46NOHJacobsen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)85
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 11:06MIAWoods 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Doleac 2 AST)85
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 11:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 11:18NOHMISS Dickau 3PT Jump Shot83
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 11:41MIADoleac Dunk (4 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)83
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA81
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound81
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Doleac 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0NOHNailon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)81
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAO'Neal Layup (26 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)81
99.0%
63
1.0%
Q3 - 0:25.0NOHBrown 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Claxton 5 AST)79
98.8%
63
1.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (29 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)79
99.1%
61
0.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0NOHNailon 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)77
98.8%
61
1.2%
Q3 - 1:15MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)77
98.9%
59
1.1%
Q3 - 1:33NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)74
98.4%
59
1.6%
Q3 - 2:02MIAO'Neal Layup (24 PTS)74
97.7%
59
2.3%
Q3 - 2:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)72
97.3%
59
2.7%
Q3 - 2:04MIAMISS Wade Layup72
96.9%
59
3.1%
Q3 - 2:21NOHClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)72
97.3%
59
2.7%
Q3 - 2:21NOHClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)72
97.4%
58
2.6%
Q3 - 2:31MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)72
97.7%
57
2.3%
Q3 - 2:31MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 271
97.6%
57
2.4%
Q3 - 2:50NOHNailon 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)71
97.8%
57
2.2%
Q3 - 3:09MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)71
97.9%
55
2.1%
Q3 - 3:17MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
98.3%
55
1.7%
Q3 - 3:18NOHMISS Claxton 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
98.2%
55
1.8%
Q3 - 3:29MIAMagloire STEAL (1 STL)71
98.0%
55
2.0%
Q3 - 3:51NOHNailon 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)71
98.3%
55
1.7%
Q3 - 4:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)71
98.4%
53
1.6%
Q3 - 4:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)70
98.3%
53
1.7%
Q3 - 4:20NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)69
98.2%
53
1.8%
Q3 - 4:20NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)69
98.2%
52
1.8%
Q3 - 4:20NOHHORNETS Rebound69
98.4%
51
1.6%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS Anderson Layup69
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 4:22MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
98.7%
51
1.3%
Q3 - 4:23MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot69
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 4:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)69
98.7%
51
1.3%
Q3 - 4:30NOHMISS Smith Layup69
98.6%
51
1.4%
Q3 - 4:47NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
98.4%
51
1.6%
Q3 - 4:48NOHMISS Magloire 5' Hook Shot69
98.6%
51
1.4%
Q3 - 5:11NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
98.3%
51
1.7%
Q3 - 5:12MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot69
98.3%
51
1.7%
Q3 - 5:33NOHMagloire Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Nailon 1 AST)69
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 5:46NOHHORNETS Rebound69
98.8%
49
1.2%
Q3 - 5:46MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
98.8%
49
1.2%
Q3 - 6:04NOHSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)69
98.8%
49
1.2%
Q3 - 6:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)69
98.6%
49
1.4%
Q3 - 6:18MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 268
98.6%
49
1.4%
Q3 - 6:35MIAHeat Rebound68
98.6%
49
1.4%
Q3 - 6:35NOHMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
98.5%
49
1.5%
Q3 - 6:53MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)68
98.4%
49
1.6%
Q3 - 7:09MIAHeat Rebound68
98.5%
49
1.5%
Q3 - 7:09MIAClaxton BLOCK (1 BLK)68
98.3%
49
1.7%
Q3 - 7:12NOHClaxton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)68
98.5%
49
1.5%
Q3 - 7:21NOHHORNETS Rebound68
98.2%
49
1.8%
Q3 - 7:22NOHMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot68
98.4%
49
1.6%
Q3 - 7:38MIAO'Neal 10' Jump Hook Shot (21 PTS)68
98.2%
49
1.8%
Q3 - 7:53NOHClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)66
97.9%
49
2.1%
Q3 - 8:03MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)66
97.4%
49
2.6%
Q3 - 8:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)63
96.6%
49
3.4%
Q3 - 8:21NOHMISS West 16' Jump Shot63
96.5%
49
3.5%
Q3 - 8:37MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)63
96.0%
49
4.0%
Q3 - 8:52NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)61
95.5%
49
4.5%
Q3 - 8:52NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)61
95.6%
48
4.4%
Q3 - 8:52NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)61
96.0%
47
4.0%
Q3 - 8:53NOHMISS Magloire 5' Hook Shot61
96.5%
47
3.5%
Q3 - 9:05NOHNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
95.9%
47
4.1%
Q3 - 9:06MIAMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)61
96.1%
47
3.9%
Q3 - 9:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)61
96.4%
47
3.6%
Q3 - 9:08MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot61
96.1%
47
3.9%
Q3 - 9:17NOHMagloire Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)61
96.4%
47
3.6%
Q3 - 9:37MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)61
95.9%
47
4.1%
Q3 - 9:57MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
95.3%
47
4.7%
Q3 - 9:58NOHMISS Claxton 17' Jump Shot59
95.1%
47
4.9%
Q3 - 10:28MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)59
94.5%
47
5.5%
Q3 - 10:50NOHSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nachbar 2 AST)57
93.8%
47
6.2%
Q3 - 11:07NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
95.2%
44
4.8%
Q3 - 11:08MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot57
95.4%
44
4.6%
Q3 - 11:14NOHSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)57
95.8%
44
4.2%
Q3 - 11:34MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)57
95.2%
44
4.8%
Q3 - 11:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)54
93.8%
44
6.2%
Q3 - 11:42NOHMISS Claxton 12' Jump Bank Shot54
93.5%
44
6.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
92.9%
44
7.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound54
93.8%
44
6.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Woods 16' Jump Shot54
93.1%
44
6.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)54
93.3%
44
6.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot54
92.9%
44
7.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0NOHSmith Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)54
93.4%
44
6.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0NOHClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
94.4%
42
5.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS O'Neal Layup54
94.5%
42
5.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAHeat Rebound54
94.8%
42
5.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0NOHMISS West Layup54
94.7%
42
5.3%
Q2 - 1:16MIAWoods Layup (4 PTS)54
94.2%
42
5.8%
Q2 - 1:17MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
93.0%
42
7.0%
Q2 - 1:18MIANachbar BLOCK (1 BLK)52
92.7%
42
7.3%
Q2 - 1:41NOHNachbar 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)52
93.0%
42
7.0%
Q2 - 1:50NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
94.9%
39
5.1%
Q2 - 1:51MIAMISS O'Neal Layup52
95.0%
39
5.0%
Q2 - 2:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)52
95.1%
39
4.9%
Q2 - 2:10NOHMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 252
95.0%
39
5.0%
Q2 - 2:10NOHMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 252
94.6%
39
5.4%
Q2 - 2:29MIAO'Neal Dunk (17 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)52
94.5%
39
5.5%
Q2 - 2:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
93.7%
39
6.3%
Q2 - 2:37NOHMISS Nachbar 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
93.5%
39
6.5%
Q2 - 3:03MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)50
92.7%
39
7.3%
Q2 - 3:24NOHClaxton Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)48
92.0%
39
8.0%
Q2 - 3:24NOHClaxton Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)48
92.8%
38
7.2%
Q2 - 3:38MIAWoods Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)48
93.5%
36
6.5%
Q2 - 3:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)46
92.8%
36
7.2%
Q2 - 3:46NOHMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
92.6%
36
7.4%
Q2 - 4:06MIAO'Neal Dunk (13 PTS)46
91.8%
36
8.2%
Q2 - 4:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
90.9%
36
9.1%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS Woods 8' Jump Shot44
90.2%
36
9.8%
Q2 - 4:27NOHClaxton Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)44
90.9%
36
9.1%
Q2 - 4:27NOHClaxton 9' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)44
91.8%
35
8.2%
Q2 - 4:46MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)44
92.6%
33
7.4%
Q2 - 4:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
91.8%
33
8.2%
Q2 - 4:53NOHMISS Andersen 8' Jump Shot42
91.5%
33
8.5%
Q2 - 5:09NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
90.8%
33
9.2%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 242
91.0%
33
9.0%
Q2 - 5:10MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
91.3%
33
8.7%
Q2 - 5:22NOHSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)41
90.9%
33
9.1%
Q2 - 5:27NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
89.8%
33
10.2%
Q2 - 5:29NOHMISS Nachbar 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
90.6%
33
9.4%
Q2 - 5:42NOHHORNETS Rebound41
89.8%
33
10.2%
Q2 - 5:43MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
90.2%
33
9.8%
Q2 - 5:47NOHNachbar Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)41
90.9%
33
9.1%
Q2 - 5:56NOHNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
89.8%
33
10.2%
Q2 - 5:57MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot41
90.2%
33
9.8%
Q2 - 6:03MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
90.9%
33
9.1%
Q2 - 6:05NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot41
90.5%
33
9.5%
Q2 - 6:22MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)41
89.7%
33
10.3%
Q2 - 6:44NOHBrown Layup (13 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)41
90.9%
33
9.1%
Q2 - 7:00MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)41
91.6%
31
8.4%
Q2 - 7:21NOHMagloire Foul Turnover (P1.T4)39
90.6%
31
9.4%
Q2 - 7:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)39
89.6%
31
10.4%
Q2 - 7:29MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 238
89.4%
31
10.6%
Q2 - 7:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
89.7%
31
10.3%
Q2 - 7:37NOHMISS Brown 12' Jump Shot38
89.3%
31
10.7%
Q2 - 7:52MIADoleac Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)38
88.6%
31
11.4%
Q2 - 8:07NOHBrown 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)36
87.4%
31
12.6%
Q2 - 8:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)36
88.3%
29
11.7%
Q2 - 8:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)35
88.1%
29
11.9%
Q2 - 8:22NOHNailon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)34
87.4%
29
12.6%
Q2 - 8:41MIAWade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)34
86.0%
29
14.0%
Q2 - 8:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
84.9%
29
15.1%
Q2 - 8:52NOHMISS Jacobsen Layup32
84.5%
29
15.5%
Q2 - 9:11NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
83.4%
29
16.6%
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 232
83.6%
29
16.4%
Q2 - 9:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)32
84.5%
29
15.5%
Q2 - 9:32NOHAndersen 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dickau 3 AST)31
83.6%
29
16.4%
Q2 - 9:42NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
84.8%
27
15.2%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 231
84.9%
27
15.1%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 231
85.6%
27
14.4%
Q2 - 9:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
86.2%
27
13.8%
Q2 - 9:56NOHMISS Dickau 23' Jump Shot31
85.7%
27
14.3%
Q2 - 10:13MIAWade Dunk (18 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)31
84.5%
27
15.5%
Q2 - 10:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
83.3%
27
16.7%
Q2 - 10:28NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot29
82.9%
27
17.1%
Q2 - 10:42MIAJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)29
81.7%
27
18.3%
Q2 - 10:58NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)29
83.4%
27
16.6%
Q2 - 10:58NOHBrown Layup (8 PTS) (Dickau 2 AST)29
84.7%
26
15.3%
Q2 - 11:04NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
85.9%
24
14.1%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS Wade Layup29
86.2%
24
13.8%
Q2 - 11:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
87.0%
24
13.0%
Q2 - 11:09MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot29
86.2%
24
13.8%
Q2 - 11:31NOHJacobsen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)29
87.0%
24
13.0%
Q2 - 11:46NOHHORNETS Rebound29
85.9%
24
14.1%
Q2 - 11:47NOHMISS Nailon 17' Jump Shot29
86.7%
24
13.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH29
85.9%
24
14.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)29
85.9%
24
14.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0NOHDickau Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
83.1%
24
16.9%
Q1 - 0:16.0NOHDickau Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
83.3%
23
16.7%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAJacobsen STEAL (1 STL)26
84.7%
22
15.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0NOHBrown 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
85.6%
22
14.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
87.0%
20
13.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot26
87.2%
20
12.8%
Q1 - 1:14NOHDickau 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
87.8%
20
12.2%
Q1 - 1:28MIAWade Layup (16 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)26
89.0%
18
11.0%
Q1 - 1:33NOHNailon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)24
87.8%
18
12.2%
Q1 - 1:54MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)24
87.0%
18
13.0%
Q1 - 2:11NOHJacobsen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dickau 1 AST)22
85.9%
18
14.1%
Q1 - 2:27MIAAndersen STEAL (1 STL)22
88.1%
15
11.9%
Q1 - 2:36MIAHeat Rebound22
89.0%
15
11.0%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot22
88.3%
15
11.7%
Q1 - 2:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
89.0%
15
11.0%
Q1 - 2:47NOHMISS Nailon 16' Jump Shot22
88.7%
15
11.3%
Q1 - 3:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)22
87.8%
15
12.2%
Q1 - 3:04MIAWade Layup (11 PTS)21
86.8%
15
13.2%
Q1 - 3:23NOHClaxton 10' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)19
85.9%
15
14.1%
Q1 - 3:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)19
86.8%
13
13.2%
Q1 - 3:35MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS)19
86.8%
13
13.2%
Q1 - 3:37MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot17
85.0%
13
15.0%
Q1 - 4:01NOHBrown 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)17
86.1%
13
13.9%
Q1 - 4:15MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)17
86.9%
11
13.1%
Q1 - 4:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
88.0%
11
12.0%
Q1 - 4:31NOHMISS Magloire 19' Jump Shot17
87.7%
11
12.3%
Q1 - 4:48MIAWade 9' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)17
86.9%
11
13.1%
Q1 - 5:07NOHBrown Layup (2 PTS)15
86.0%
11
14.0%
Q1 - 5:09NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
86.9%
9
13.1%
Q1 - 5:10NOHMISS Brown Layup15
87.6%
9
12.4%
Q1 - 5:29MIAWade Dunk (7 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)15
86.9%
9
13.1%
Q1 - 5:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
86.0%
9
14.0%
Q1 - 5:35NOHMISS Claxton 8' Jump Shot13
85.7%
9
14.3%
Q1 - 6:00MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)13
84.9%
9
15.1%
Q1 - 6:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
83.7%
9
16.3%
Q1 - 6:06NOHMISS West 9' Jump Shot11
83.4%
9
16.6%
Q1 - 6:26MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)11
82.5%
9
17.5%
Q1 - 6:45NOHClaxton Driving Layup (8 PTS)9
81.4%
9
18.6%
Q1 - 6:59MIAWade Dunk (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)9
82.6%
7
17.4%
Q1 - 7:24NOHClaxton 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 1 AST)7
81.7%
7
18.3%
Q1 - 7:28NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
82.7%
5
17.3%
Q1 - 7:30NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot7
83.5%
5
16.5%
Q1 - 7:51MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
82.7%
5
17.3%
Q1 - 7:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
81.7%
5
18.3%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS O'Neal Layup5
80.8%
5
19.2%
Q1 - 7:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
81.7%
5
18.3%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot5
80.8%
5
19.2%
Q1 - 8:22NOHNachbar Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
82.2%
5
17.8%
Q1 - 8:22NOHMISS Nachbar Free Throw 1 of 25
82.4%
4
17.6%
Q1 - 8:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
82.1%
4
17.9%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 24
81.9%
4
18.1%
Q1 - 8:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
82.2%
4
17.8%
Q1 - 8:48NOHMISS West 14' Jump Shot4
81.8%
4
18.2%
Q1 - 9:01NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
80.7%
4
19.3%
Q1 - 9:02MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot4
81.2%
4
18.8%
Q1 - 9:16NOHClaxton 11' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Nachbar 1 AST)4
82.2%
4
17.8%
Q1 - 9:31MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)4
83.0%
2
17.0%
Q1 - 9:50NOHClaxton 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
84.4%
2
15.6%
Q1 - 10:14MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS)4
85.1%
0
14.9%
Q1 - 10:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
84.2%
0
15.8%
Q1 - 10:26NOHMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot2
83.9%
0
16.1%
Q1 - 10:37MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
83.1%
0
16.9%
Q1 - 10:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
84.2%
0
15.8%
Q1 - 10:41NOHMISS Nachbar Layup2
83.9%
0
16.1%
Q1 - 10:59MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
83.1%
0
16.9%
Q1 - 11:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
82.1%
0
17.9%
Q1 - 11:11NOHMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot0
81.8%
0
18.2%
Q1 - 11:27NOHHORNETS Rebound0
81.1%
0
18.9%
Q1 - 11:29MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot0
81.4%
0
18.6%
Q1 - 11:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
82.1%
0
17.9%
Q1 - 11:47MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot0
81.4%
0
18.6%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Magloire vs. O'Neal: Tip to Jones0
82.1%
0
17.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 57.8%
NOK
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
28
38
74%
NOK
16
25
64%
Midrange
MIA
10
28
36%
NOK
16
36
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
NOK
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
17
26
65%
NOK
23
28
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal3468%17.0 / 25
D. Wade3366%16.5 / 25
D. Jones2269%11.0 / 16
M. Doleac650%3.0 / 6
U. Haslem440%2.0 / 5
S. Anderson225%1.0 / 4
A. Mourning233%1.0 / 3
E. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Brown2166%10.5 / 16
S. Claxton1864%9.0 / 14
D. Dickau1470%7.0 / 10
C. Andersen1359%6.5 / 11
C. Jacobsen1393%6.5 / 7
L. Nailon744%3.5 / 8
J. Smith542%2.5 / 6
J. Magloire429%2.0 / 7
B. Nachbar440%2.0 / 5
D. West0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+17
-14
95
NOK
82
+9
-14
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 57.8%
NOK
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
96.9
MIA 120.7 +17.5
NOH 103.1
Pace
93.9
90.2
MIA 93.3
NOH 94.7 +1.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.1
MIA 15.4
NOH 15.2 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
44.6%
MIA 58.8% +6.0%
NOH 52.8%
TO %
14.0%
15.3%
MIA 13.3% +1.8%
NOH 15.1%
ORB %
27.0%
29.2%
MIA 38.7% +20.5%
NOH 18.2%
FTrt
38.7
27.9
MIA 32.5
NOH 38.9 +6.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
63.4%
MIA 65.9%
NOH 66.7% +0.8%
STL %
6.8%
7.4%
MIA 13.0% +7.8%
NOH 5.2%
BLK %
8.7%
6.3%
MIA 3.3%
NOH 4.5% +1.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
46.8%
MIA 57.8% +4.0%
NOH 53.8%
Rim FG%
63.0%
52.2%
MIA 73.7% +9.7%
NOH 64.0%
Mid FG%
41.0%
38.2%
MIA 35.7%
NOH 44.4% +8.7%
3P %
37.7%
31.5%
MIA 42.9% +6.5%
NOH 36.4%
FT %
67.2%
76.6%
MIA 65.4%
NOH 82.1% +16.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
32.7%
MIA 47.5% +12.8%
NOH 34.7%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
47.2%
MIA 35.0% +15.0%
NOH 50.0%
3P Att. %
19.8%
20.1%
MIA 17.5% +2.2%
NOH 15.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIANOH
Possessions9296
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points11199
Rebounds3925
Assists2924
Steals125
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)19 (4)
Field Goals44-8036-72
At-the-Rim FG28-3816-25
Midrange FG10-2816-36
2-Point FG38-6632-61
3-Point FG6-144-11
Free Throws17-2623-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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4 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29
38.1
22
69%
1
7
0
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
6-11
55%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
36.7
34
68%
15
3
1
1
3
4
4
11
4-7
57%
15-21
71%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
36.1
33
66%
2
9
1
0
4
2
1
1
11-15
73%
11-17
65%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
29.8
4
40%
7
1
1
0
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
24.5
0
0%
5
4
4
0
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
23.5
2
25%
2
2
0
0
1
5
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
18.3
6
50%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 35
11.3
2
33%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 36
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 28
Qyntel Woods
#24 · F-G · 6'8" 220 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
218
111
58%
39
29
12
2
14
0
12
27
17-26
65%
38-66
58%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.