FinalWin Prob.pScore
653%95
84
1047%94
102
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
93.39083.5
DEN logo DEN
112.19198.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN84
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASMISS Mohammed 15' Jump Shot84
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENBoykins 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS)84
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMohammed Layup (10 PTS)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0SASMISS Mohammed Layup82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0DENJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Najera 3 AST)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08SASMohammed Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08SASMohammed Layup (7 PTS)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25DENPerson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35SASMohammed Dunk (5 PTS)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36SASMISS Wilks 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45SASGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48DENMISS Boykins 15' Jump Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58DENMISS Najera 19' Jump Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14SASWilks Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14SASWilks Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26DENMISS Najera 20' Jump Shot75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49SASMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49SASMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 274
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07DENBoykins Layup (21 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09DENMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11SASMISS Udrih 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16DENMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19DENMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22DENMISS Boykins 19' Jump Shot74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40DENNUGGETS Rebound74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41SASMISS Glover 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56SASMISS Wilks 12' Running Jump Shot74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14DENAnthony Layup (18 PTS)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16DENMISS Anthony Layup74
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 4:34SASGlover Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)74
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 4:34SASGlover Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44SASMISS Glover 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)72
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 5:17SASMISS Massenburg 21' Jump Shot72
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 5:32DENBoykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Camby 5 AST)72
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 5:53DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 5:54SASMISS Wilks Free Throw 2 of 272
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 5:54SASMISS Wilks Free Throw 1 of 272
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 6:14DENNene Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)72
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 6:23DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 6:25SASMISS Wilks 8' Jump Shot72
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 6:48DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)72
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q4 - 6:48DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)72
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 7:06SASParker Driving Layup (17 PTS)72
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q4 - 7:16SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q4 - 7:18SASMISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot70
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 7:20SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)70
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q4 - 7:22SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot70
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 7:25SASSpurs Rebound70
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q4 - 7:25SASNene BLOCK (3 BLK)70
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 7:52DENPerson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)70
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q4 - 7:56DENRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
3.4%
82
96.6%
Q4 - 7:59SASMISS Parker 6' Running Jump Shot70
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q4 - 8:15DENNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)70
5.7%
82
94.3%
Q4 - 8:15DENNajera Layup (9 PTS)70
5.7%
82
94.3%
Q4 - 8:18DENMISS Nene Layup70
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q4 - 8:35SASParker 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)70
7.2%
80
92.8%
Q4 - 8:53DENMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 168
5.5%
80
94.5%
Q4 - 8:53DENNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)68
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q4 - 8:53DENNajera Layup (7 PTS)68
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q4 - 8:54DENMISS Najera Layup68
8.5%
78
91.5%
Q4 - 8:57DENPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
7.2%
78
92.8%
Q4 - 9:00SASMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot68
7.7%
78
92.3%
Q4 - 9:15DENRussell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)68
10.6%
78
89.4%
Q4 - 9:34SASParker Layup (13 PTS)68
8.4%
78
91.6%
Q4 - 9:38SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
6.8%
78
93.2%
Q4 - 9:41DENMISS Nene Finger Roll66
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q4 - 9:54DENBoykins Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)66
5.3%
78
94.7%
Q4 - 9:55SASParker Foul Turnover (P4.T13)66
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q4 - 9:59SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
8.4%
77
91.6%
Q4 - 10:01DENMISS Boykins 19' Jump Shot66
9.0%
77
91.0%
Q4 - 10:14SASMassenburg 12' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)66
7.7%
77
92.3%
Q4 - 10:33DENNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)64
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q4 - 10:33DENMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 264
6.7%
76
93.3%
Q4 - 10:41DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q4 - 10:42SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot64
6.6%
76
93.4%
Q4 - 11:03SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
8.6%
76
91.4%
Q4 - 11:05DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot64
8.1%
76
91.9%
Q4 - 11:27SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q4 - 11:27SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)63
6.7%
76
93.3%
Q4 - 11:32DENBoykins 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Person 3 AST)62
5.7%
76
94.3%
Q4 - 11:42SASRussell STEAL (1 STL)62
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN62
10.4%
73
89.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Glover 3PT Jump Shot62
9.0%
73
91.0%
Q3 - 0:19.0DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
11.6%
73
88.4%
Q3 - 0:19.0DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
11.8%
72
88.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
13.9%
71
86.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASMISS Barry 10' Jump Shot62
14.6%
71
85.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASBarry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)62
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
14.6%
71
85.4%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASBarry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0SASMISS Barry Driving Layup62
14.6%
71
85.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASSpurs Rebound62
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0SASCamby BLOCK (8 BLK)62
14.6%
71
85.4%
Q3 - 1:00SASHorry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)62
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q3 - 1:02SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot62
16.0%
71
84.0%
Q3 - 1:08SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
18.0%
71
82.0%
Q3 - 1:10DENMISS Boykins 17' Jump Shot62
17.1%
71
82.9%
Q3 - 1:15DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)62
15.2%
71
84.8%
Q3 - 1:18SASMISS Udrih 6' Running Jump Shot62
16.0%
71
84.0%
Q3 - 1:27SASSpurs Rebound62
17.9%
71
82.1%
Q3 - 1:28SASCamby BLOCK (7 BLK)62
16.0%
71
84.0%
Q3 - 1:43DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
17.9%
71
82.1%
Q3 - 1:43DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
18.3%
70
81.7%
Q3 - 1:58SASGlover 5' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)62
20.8%
69
79.2%
Q3 - 2:11DENBoykins 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)60
19.0%
69
81.0%
Q3 - 2:21SASGlover Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
21.7%
67
78.3%
Q3 - 2:21SASGlover Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
21.1%
67
78.9%
Q3 - 2:31SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
18.9%
67
81.1%
Q3 - 2:34SASMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
16.9%
67
83.1%
Q3 - 2:44DENMiller Driving Layup (10 PTS)58
18.9%
67
81.1%
Q3 - 3:01DENNUGGETS Rebound58
22.9%
65
77.1%
Q3 - 3:02SASMISS Marks 18' Jump Shot58
23.9%
65
76.1%
Q3 - 3:12SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
26.3%
65
73.7%
Q3 - 3:14DENMISS Anthony Layup58
25.2%
65
74.8%
Q3 - 3:26SASMarks Foul Turnover (P1.T11)58
22.8%
65
77.2%
Q3 - 3:48DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
26.2%
65
73.8%
Q3 - 3:48DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 258
26.9%
64
73.1%
Q3 - 4:03DENNUGGETS Rebound58
26.7%
64
73.3%
Q3 - 4:04SASMISS Marks 19' Jump Shot58
27.9%
64
72.1%
Q3 - 4:25DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
30.8%
64
69.2%
Q3 - 4:25DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
31.4%
63
68.6%
Q3 - 4:30SASBowen Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)58
34.0%
62
66.0%
Q3 - 4:35SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
30.8%
62
69.2%
Q3 - 4:38DENMISS Anthony Reverse Layup56
29.5%
62
70.5%
Q3 - 5:00SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)56
26.7%
62
73.3%
Q3 - 5:00SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)55
26.1%
62
73.9%
Q3 - 5:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
24.8%
62
75.2%
Q3 - 5:13DENMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot54
23.8%
62
76.2%
Q3 - 5:40SASMarks Layup (4 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)54
21.5%
62
78.5%
Q3 - 5:46SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
19.0%
62
81.0%
Q3 - 5:48SASMISS Marks 20' Jump Shot52
17.2%
62
82.8%
Q3 - 6:04DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)52
20.1%
62
79.9%
Q3 - 6:15SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)52
17.4%
62
82.6%
Q3 - 6:15SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)51
17.0%
62
83.0%
Q3 - 6:30DENCamby Layup (15 PTS)50
15.3%
62
84.7%
Q3 - 6:34DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)50
17.4%
60
82.6%
Q3 - 6:36SASMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot50
18.1%
60
81.9%
Q3 - 6:39SASSpurs Rebound50
20.0%
60
80.0%
Q3 - 6:39SASMISS Ginobili Layup50
18.1%
60
81.9%
Q3 - 6:57SASSpurs Rebound50
19.9%
60
80.1%
Q3 - 6:57DENMISS Camby 8' Jump Shot50
19.1%
60
80.9%
Q3 - 7:07DENNUGGETS Rebound50
17.9%
60
82.1%
Q3 - 7:08SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 250
18.2%
60
81.8%
Q3 - 7:08SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
19.9%
60
80.1%
Q3 - 7:13SASMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
18.2%
60
81.8%
Q3 - 7:15DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
15.7%
60
84.3%
Q3 - 7:15DENMISS Johnson Tip Shot49
17.4%
60
82.6%
Q3 - 7:17DENMISS Nene 6' Hook Shot49
17.4%
60
82.6%
Q3 - 7:32SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
15.7%
60
84.3%
Q3 - 7:32SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
15.4%
60
84.6%
Q3 - 7:42SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
14.0%
60
86.0%
Q3 - 7:44DENMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot47
13.4%
60
86.6%
Q3 - 8:02SASNesterovic 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)47
12.7%
60
87.3%
Q3 - 8:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
11.3%
60
88.7%
Q3 - 8:12DENMISS Miller Layup45
10.8%
60
89.2%
Q3 - 8:16DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
9.7%
60
90.3%
Q3 - 8:18SASCamby BLOCK (6 BLK)45
10.2%
60
89.8%
Q3 - 8:37SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
11.3%
60
88.7%
Q3 - 8:38DENMISS Camby Layup45
10.8%
60
89.2%
Q3 - 8:41DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
9.7%
60
90.3%
Q3 - 8:42SASMISS Horry Layup45
10.1%
60
89.9%
Q3 - 8:45SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
11.3%
60
88.7%
Q3 - 8:47SASMISS Nesterovic 7' Hook Shot45
10.1%
60
89.9%
Q3 - 9:06DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)45
11.9%
60
88.1%
Q3 - 9:06DENCamby 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)45
13.6%
59
86.4%
Q3 - 9:14SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
15.3%
57
84.7%
Q3 - 9:14SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
14.9%
57
85.1%
Q3 - 9:34DENNene Foul Turnover (P4.T7)43
13.5%
57
86.5%
Q3 - 9:41SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)43
11.8%
57
88.2%
Q3 - 9:55DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)40
9.1%
57
90.9%
Q3 - 9:55DENNene Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Camby 4 AST)40
10.4%
56
89.6%
Q3 - 10:07DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
12.6%
54
87.4%
Q3 - 10:09SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot40
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q3 - 10:24DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)40
14.4%
54
85.6%
Q3 - 10:24DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)40
14.8%
53
85.2%
Q3 - 10:27DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q3 - 10:29SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
18.3%
52
81.7%
Q3 - 10:29SASMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot40
16.7%
52
83.3%
Q3 - 10:31SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot40
16.7%
52
83.3%
Q3 - 10:47DENNene Finger Roll (8 PTS)40
18.3%
52
81.7%
Q3 - 11:14SASNesterovic 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)40
21.2%
50
78.8%
Q3 - 11:33SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
19.1%
50
80.9%
Q3 - 11:35DENMISS Miller 13' Jump Shot38
18.4%
50
81.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN38
16.9%
50
83.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound38
16.9%
50
83.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony 55' 3PT Jump Shot38
18.4%
50
81.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASGlover 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)38
18.5%
50
81.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q2 - 0:21.0SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot35
13.5%
50
86.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot35
13.9%
50
86.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASParker 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)35
13.1%
50
86.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
11.2%
50
88.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
10.6%
50
89.4%
Q2 - 1:02SASGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
11.8%
50
88.2%
Q2 - 1:05DENMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot33
11.6%
50
88.4%
Q2 - 1:27SASParker Layup (9 PTS)33
11.1%
50
88.9%
Q2 - 1:46DENAnthony Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Najera 2 AST)31
9.4%
50
90.6%
Q2 - 1:57SASNesterovic 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)31
11.1%
48
88.9%
Q2 - 2:17DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
10.3%
48
89.7%
Q2 - 2:17DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
10.5%
47
89.5%
Q2 - 2:25DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q2 - 2:27DENMISS Camby 19' Jump Shot29
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 2:29DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q2 - 2:32DENMISS Miller Driving Layup29
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 2:41SASGlover Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q2 - 2:41SASMISS Glover Free Throw 1 of 228
11.3%
46
88.7%
Q2 - 3:00DENBoykins Layup (8 PTS) (Camby 3 AST)28
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 3:04SASBoykins STEAL (1 STL)28
13.9%
44
86.1%
Q2 - 3:13DENBoykins 8' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)28
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 3:32DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)28
16.9%
42
83.1%
Q2 - 3:34SASMISS Glover 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
17.5%
42
82.5%
Q2 - 3:41SASSpurs Rebound28
18.9%
42
81.1%
Q2 - 3:41SASCamby BLOCK (5 BLK)28
17.5%
42
82.5%
Q2 - 3:56DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
18.9%
42
81.1%
Q2 - 3:56DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
19.0%
41
81.0%
Q2 - 4:07SASWilks 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 4:21SASSpurs Rebound26
19.7%
40
80.3%
Q2 - 4:22DENMISS Anthony Layup26
19.2%
40
80.8%
Q2 - 4:34DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
17.9%
40
82.1%
Q2 - 4:36SASCamby BLOCK (4 BLK)26
18.5%
40
81.5%
Q2 - 4:49SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
19.7%
40
80.3%
Q2 - 4:51DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 226
19.4%
40
80.6%
Q2 - 4:51DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
18.2%
40
81.8%
Q2 - 5:04SASWilks 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)26
20.2%
39
79.8%
Q2 - 5:19DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)24
18.6%
39
81.4%
Q2 - 5:21DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
16.8%
39
83.2%
Q2 - 5:24DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot24
18.0%
39
82.0%
Q2 - 5:39DENNUGGETS Rebound24
16.8%
39
83.2%
Q2 - 5:40DENMISS Boykins 18' Jump Shot24
18.0%
39
82.0%
Q2 - 6:04SASHorry Foul Turnover (P1.T9)24
17.5%
39
82.5%
Q2 - 6:21DENNene 6' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Person 2 AST)24
19.5%
39
80.5%
Q2 - 6:43SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)24
20.8%
37
79.2%
Q2 - 6:55SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
23.1%
37
76.9%
Q2 - 6:57DENMISS Nene 11' Jump Shot24
22.4%
37
77.6%
Q2 - 7:12SASMassenburg Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)24
22.2%
37
77.8%
Q2 - 7:23DENNajera Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Person 1 AST)24
24.1%
37
75.9%
Q2 - 7:52DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
25.9%
35
74.1%
Q2 - 7:54SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot24
26.6%
35
73.4%
Q2 - 8:16DENBuckner Foul Turnover (P1.T5)24
28.5%
35
71.5%
Q2 - 8:33SASUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)24
26.2%
35
73.8%
Q2 - 8:35SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
22.6%
35
77.4%
Q2 - 8:37SASMISS Ginobili Layup21
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 8:38SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
22.6%
35
77.4%
Q2 - 8:40SASMISS Marks 19' Jump Shot21
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 8:59SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
22.6%
35
77.4%
Q2 - 9:02DENMISS Buckner 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
22.7%
35
77.3%
Q2 - 9:13SASUdrih Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)21
21.3%
35
78.7%
Q2 - 9:22DENNajera Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)19
19.8%
35
80.2%
Q2 - 9:42SASMarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
21.2%
33
78.8%
Q2 - 9:42SASMarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
20.8%
33
79.2%
Q2 - 9:52DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
19.8%
33
80.2%
Q2 - 9:52DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
20.2%
32
79.8%
Q2 - 9:57SASMISS Barry Free Throw 1 of 117
21.5%
31
78.5%
Q2 - 9:57SASBarry 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
21.2%
31
78.8%
Q2 - 10:12SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
20.1%
31
79.9%
Q2 - 10:14DENMISS Person 23' Jump Shot15
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 10:20SASPerson STEAL (1 STL)15
18.4%
31
81.6%
Q2 - 10:23SASSpurs Rebound15
20.1%
31
79.9%
Q2 - 10:24SASNene BLOCK (2 BLK)15
18.9%
31
81.1%
Q2 - 10:33DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
20.1%
31
79.9%
Q2 - 10:33DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
20.2%
30
79.8%
Q2 - 10:37DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
21.5%
29
78.5%
Q2 - 10:39SASMISS Udrih 17' Jump Shot15
22.1%
29
77.9%
Q2 - 10:50SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
23.5%
29
76.5%
Q2 - 10:53DENMISS Nene 7' Jump Shot15
22.9%
29
77.1%
Q2 - 11:11DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
22.2%
29
77.8%
Q2 - 11:13SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 215
22.4%
29
77.6%
Q2 - 11:13SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q2 - 11:19SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
22.1%
29
77.9%
Q2 - 11:20DENMISS Boykins 19' Jump Shot14
21.6%
29
78.4%
Q2 - 11:26DENPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
20.5%
29
79.5%
Q2 - 11:28SASNene BLOCK (1 BLK)14
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q2 - 11:41DENNene 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)14
22.1%
29
77.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS14
23.8%
27
76.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
25.6%
27
74.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENMISS Camby 17' Turnaround Jump Shot14
25.4%
27
74.6%
Q1 - 0:21.0SASMohammed Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)14
24.4%
27
75.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0SASSpurs Rebound14
25.8%
27
74.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASMISS Ginobili 10' Jump Shot14
24.9%
27
75.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)14
25.8%
27
74.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENMISS Camby Layup14
25.4%
27
74.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)14
25.8%
27
74.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)14
26.3%
26
73.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENMISS Najera Layup14
29.2%
25
70.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0DENMISS Najera Tip Shot14
29.2%
25
70.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0DENMISS Camby Tip Shot14
29.2%
25
70.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0DENMISS Anthony Reverse Layup14
29.2%
25
70.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)14
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q1 - 1:12DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
29.8%
25
70.2%
Q1 - 1:12DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
30.2%
24
69.8%
Q1 - 1:34SASMohammed Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)14
32.3%
23
67.7%
Q1 - 1:55DENMiller 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
29.8%
23
70.2%
Q1 - 2:04DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
32.5%
21
67.5%
Q1 - 2:06SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot12
33.1%
21
66.9%
Q1 - 2:12SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
34.5%
21
65.5%
Q1 - 2:14SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
33.1%
21
66.9%
Q1 - 2:21SASSpurs Rebound12
34.5%
21
65.5%
Q1 - 2:21SASCamby BLOCK (3 BLK)12
33.1%
21
66.9%
Q1 - 2:41DENCamby 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)12
34.4%
21
65.6%
Q1 - 2:59SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)12
36.7%
19
63.3%
Q1 - 3:14DENMiller Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)9
33.2%
19
66.8%
Q1 - 3:28DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
35.0%
17
65.0%
Q1 - 3:30SASMISS Horry 19' Jump Shot9
35.7%
17
64.3%
Q1 - 3:54DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
37.3%
17
62.7%
Q1 - 3:54DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
37.7%
16
62.3%
Q1 - 4:04DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
39.5%
15
60.5%
Q1 - 4:06SASMISS Mohammed Reverse Layup9
40.2%
15
59.8%
Q1 - 4:15SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
42.0%
15
58.0%
Q1 - 4:17SASMISS Horry 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
40.2%
15
59.8%
Q1 - 4:27DENCamby 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
42.0%
15
58.0%
Q1 - 4:41DENNUGGETS Rebound9
43.7%
13
56.3%
Q1 - 4:44SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
44.5%
13
55.5%
Q1 - 5:03DENCamby Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)9
46.6%
13
53.4%
Q1 - 5:07SASMiller STEAL (1 STL)9
48.5%
11
51.5%
Q1 - 5:18DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)9
50.8%
11
49.2%
Q1 - 5:26DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
48.5%
11
51.5%
Q1 - 5:29SASMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot9
49.2%
11
50.8%
Q1 - 5:53DENNene Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)9
50.8%
11
49.2%
Q1 - 6:00DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
48.5%
11
51.5%
Q1 - 6:02SASCamby BLOCK (2 BLK)9
49.3%
11
50.7%
Q1 - 6:18DENJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)9
50.8%
11
49.2%
Q1 - 6:31DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
54.7%
8
45.3%
Q1 - 6:33SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
55.3%
8
44.7%
Q1 - 6:42SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
56.8%
8
43.2%
Q1 - 6:45DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup9
56.1%
8
43.9%
Q1 - 6:59SASHorry Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)9
54.7%
8
45.3%
Q1 - 7:23DENCamby 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)7
52.9%
8
47.1%
Q1 - 7:50SASParker 11' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
54.6%
6
45.4%
Q1 - 8:11DENAnthony Dunk (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)5
53.3%
6
46.7%
Q1 - 8:14DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
55.0%
4
45.0%
Q1 - 8:16SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot5
55.6%
4
44.4%
Q1 - 8:26SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
57.1%
4
42.9%
Q1 - 8:29DENMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot5
56.4%
4
43.6%
Q1 - 8:49SASParker 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
55.0%
4
45.0%
Q1 - 9:05DENMiller Driving Layup (2 PTS)3
53.3%
4
46.7%
Q1 - 9:09DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
54.6%
2
45.4%
Q1 - 9:13SASMISS Nesterovic 5' Turnaround Hook Shot3
55.4%
2
44.6%
Q1 - 9:28SASSpurs Rebound3
57.0%
2
43.0%
Q1 - 9:28DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot3
56.3%
2
43.7%
Q1 - 9:44DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 9:46DENMISS Nene Layup3
56.3%
2
43.7%
Q1 - 10:06SASHorry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)3
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 10:31DENNene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T2)0
51.2%
2
48.8%
Q1 - 10:42SASNesterovic Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)0
49.1%
2
50.9%
Q1 - 11:03DENNene Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
51.1%
2
48.9%
Q1 - 11:12DENNUGGETS Rebound0
49.4%
2
50.6%
Q1 - 11:16SASCamby BLOCK (1 BLK)0
49.9%
2
50.1%
Q1 - 11:36DENJohnson Layup (2 PTS)0
51.1%
2
48.9%
Q1 - 11:40SASJohnson STEAL (1 STL)0
53.1%
0
46.9%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Camby vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Ginobili0
54.8%
0
45.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.80 40.0%
DEN
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
16
32
50%
DEN
19
37
51%
Midrange
SAS
7
33
21%
DEN
11
35
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
5
7.5
23
22%
33%
DEN
4
6.0
6
67%
100%
Free Throws
SAS
23
30
77%
DEN
30
34
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker1747%8.5 / 18
M. Ginobili1346%6.5 / 14
D. Glover1056%5.0 / 9
N. Mohammed1056%5.0 / 9
R. Horry744%3.5 / 8
R. Nesterovic643%3.0 / 7
M. Wilks650%3.0 / 6
B. Udrih542%2.5 / 6
S. Marks429%2.0 / 7
B. Bowen217%1.0 / 6
B. Barry214%1.0 / 7
T. Massenburg225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Boykins2372%11.5 / 16
C. Anthony1850%9.0 / 18
M. Camby1550%7.5 / 15
Nene1346%6.5 / 14
A. Miller1255%6.0 / 11
E. Najera941%4.5 / 11
D. Johnson867%4.0 / 6
W. Person467%2.0 / 3
G. Buckner0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
77
+27
-13
104
DEN
80
+17
-11
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.80 40.0%
DEN
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
103.6
SAS 93.3 +18.8
DEN 112.1
Pace
91.2
95.8
SAS 83.5
DEN 98.7 +15.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.8
SAS 17.2
DEN 14.6 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
48.3%
SAS 34.7%
DEN 46.2% +11.5%
TO %
14.2%
15.0%
SAS 11.4%
DEN 10.6% +0.8%
ORB %
29.2%
28.4%
SAS 38.0% +1.4%
DEN 36.6%
FTrt
32.9
35.0
SAS 34.1
DEN 43.6 +9.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
64.5%
SAS 57.1%
DEN 64.7% +7.6%
STL %
8.2%
9.5%
SAS 5.6% +0.1%
DEN 5.5%
BLK %
9.9%
9.3%
SAS 13.9%
DEN 16.9% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
50.8%
SAS 40.0%
DEN 51.5% +11.5%
Rim FG%
59.3%
60.5%
SAS 50.0%
DEN 51.4% +1.4%
Mid FG%
37.2%
37.4%
SAS 21.2%
DEN 31.4% +10.2%
3P %
36.3%
34.0%
SAS 21.7%
DEN 66.7% +45.0%
FT %
72.4%
76.3%
SAS 76.7%
DEN 88.2% +11.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
39.0%
SAS 36.4%
DEN 47.4% +11.1%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
46.8%
SAS 37.5% +7.4%
DEN 44.9%
3P Att. %
21.6%
14.2%
SAS 26.1% +18.4%
DEN 7.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points84102
Rebounds4546
Assists1622
Steals55
Blocks1011
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (8)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)31 (6)
Field Goals28-8834-78
At-the-Rim FG16-3219-37
Midrange FG7-3311-35
2-Point FG23-6530-72
3-Point FG5-234-6
Free Throws23-3030-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
35.7
17
47%
1
7
0
1
4
1
0
1
0-0
-
7-14
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 200 · 34
27.5
2
17%
4
2
0
2
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 29
26.9
6
43%
5
0
1
3
1
4
2
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 35
25.9
7
44%
9
0
2
0
1
3
4
5
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 205 · 28
25.6
13
46%
9
6
0
0
2
4
4
5
10-12
83%
0-6
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 210 · 33
22.9
2
14%
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 26
14.6
10
56%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 38
14.3
2
25%
6
0
0
1
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 23
14.1
5
42%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 250 · 28
13.0
10
56%
3
0
0
1
1
0
3
0
2-3
67%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 180 · 26
11.4
6
50%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30
8.3
4
29%
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
40%
45
16
5
10
13
0
19
26
23-30
77%
23-65
35%
5-23
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.