FinalWin Prob.pScore
254%97
108
1346%96
114
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
105.910297.4
IND logo IND
108.610591.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA108
0%
114
100%
OT1 - 0:07.0INDJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)108
0.2%
114
99.8%
OT1 - 0:07.0INDJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)108
0.3%
113
99.7%
OT1 - 0:07.0MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (37 PTS)108
0.6%
112
99.4%
OT1 - 0:13.0INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)105
0.2%
112
99.8%
OT1 - 0:13.0INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)105
0.2%
111
99.8%
OT1 - 0:14.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS)105
0.5%
110
99.5%
OT1 - 0:19.0INDDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)102
0.1%
110
99.9%
OT1 - 0:19.0INDDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)102
0.1%
109
99.9%
OT1 - 0:21.0INDDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)102
0.3%
108
99.7%
OT1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.5%
108
99.5%
OT1 - 0:36.0INDMiller 15' Fadeaway Jumper (29 PTS)102
1.2%
108
98.8%
OT1 - 0:56.0INDPACERS Rebound102
6.0%
106
94.0%
OT1 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot102
7.4%
106
92.6%
OT1 - 1:19INDDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)102
14.5%
106
85.5%
OT1 - 1:19INDDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)102
16.8%
105
83.2%
OT1 - 1:19INDDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)102
21.2%
104
78.8%
OT1 - 1:20INDMISS Jackson 7' Jump Shot102
29.8%
104
70.2%
OT1 - 1:32INDPollard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)102
23.7%
104
76.3%
OT1 - 1:34MIAMISS Dooling 6' Jump Shot102
27.4%
104
72.6%
OT1 - 1:55INDJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS)102
36.7%
104
63.3%
OT1 - 2:10INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)102
58.6%
101
41.4%
OT1 - 2:11MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot102
63.5%
101
36.5%
OT1 - 2:30INDJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)102
73.7%
101
26.3%
OT1 - 2:52MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)102
83.1%
98
16.9%
OT1 - 3:05INDDavis 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T17)100
79.1%
98
20.9%
OT1 - 3:22MIAJones 8' Running Jump Shot (25 PTS)100
67.5%
98
32.5%
OT1 - 3:50INDMiller 13' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)98
59.1%
98
40.9%
OT1 - 4:08MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (31 PTS)98
67.3%
96
32.7%
OT1 - 4:26INDMiller 21' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Johnson 13 AST)96
59.1%
96
40.9%
OT1 - 4:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)96
67.4%
94
32.6%
OT1 - 4:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)95
65.7%
94
34.3%
OT1 - 4:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)94
59.1%
94
40.9%
OT1 - 4:39MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot94
52.1%
94
47.9%
OT1 - 5:00INDJump Ball Davis vs. O'Neal: Tip to Haslem94
59.1%
94
40.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0INDDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)94
98.1%
91
1.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
97.6%
91
2.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWade 23' Jump Shot (27 PTS)94
93.7%
91
6.3%
Q4 - 0:29.0INDJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)92
80.7%
91
19.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAPollard STEAL (3 STL)92
93.1%
88
6.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0INDJohnson 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)92
95.2%
88
4.8%
Q4 - 1:11INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
96.3%
86
3.7%
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 292
96.6%
86
3.4%
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 292
97.3%
86
2.7%
Q4 - 1:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)92
97.5%
86
2.5%
Q4 - 1:28INDMISS Johnson 1' Layup92
97.0%
86
3.0%
Q4 - 1:42INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
94.6%
86
5.4%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 292
94.9%
86
5.1%
Q4 - 1:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)92
96.3%
86
3.7%
Q4 - 1:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)91
94.7%
86
5.3%
Q4 - 1:46INDMISS Miller 11' Jump Shot91
93.8%
86
6.2%
Q4 - 2:07MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)91
90.3%
86
9.7%
Q4 - 2:35INDMiller 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)89
87.8%
86
12.2%
Q4 - 2:48MIAO'Neal 10' Jump Bank Shot (22 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)89
90.1%
84
9.9%
Q4 - 3:04INDJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)87
85.2%
84
14.8%
Q4 - 3:08MIAJohnson STEAL (2 STL)87
76.2%
84
23.8%
Q4 - 3:21INDDavis 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Johnson 12 AST)87
85.5%
84
14.5%
Q4 - 3:42MIAWade 1' Layup (24 PTS)87
86.1%
82
13.9%
Q4 - 4:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)85
81.7%
82
18.3%
Q4 - 4:06INDMISS Jackson 2' Layup85
79.8%
82
20.2%
Q4 - 4:09INDPollard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)85
75.0%
82
25.0%
Q4 - 4:11INDMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
79.8%
82
20.2%
Q4 - 4:32INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
75.1%
82
24.9%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade 1' Dunk85
77.3%
82
22.7%
Q4 - 4:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
81.9%
82
18.1%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
77.3%
82
22.7%
Q4 - 5:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)85
82.0%
82
18.0%
Q4 - 5:01INDMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot85
77.6%
82
22.4%
Q4 - 5:17INDDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
73.2%
82
26.8%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot85
75.3%
82
24.7%
Q4 - 5:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
79.6%
82
20.4%
Q4 - 5:31INDMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot85
77.8%
82
22.2%
Q4 - 5:44INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
73.3%
82
26.7%
Q4 - 5:45MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot85
75.4%
82
24.6%
Q4 - 5:49MIAHeat Rebound85
79.6%
82
20.4%
Q4 - 5:50MIADavis BLOCK (2 BLK)85
75.4%
82
24.6%
Q4 - 6:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
78.1%
82
21.9%
Q4 - 6:10INDMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot85
76.2%
82
23.8%
Q4 - 6:31MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)85
71.6%
82
28.4%
Q4 - 6:31MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)84
70.4%
82
29.6%
Q4 - 6:57INDJackson 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Johnson 11 AST)83
66.1%
82
33.9%
Q4 - 7:02MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)83
70.8%
80
29.2%
Q4 - 7:25INDPollard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)83
76.8%
80
23.2%
Q4 - 7:26INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
70.8%
80
29.2%
Q4 - 7:28INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
75.1%
80
24.9%
Q4 - 7:44MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (20 PTS)83
70.8%
80
29.2%
Q4 - 8:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
64.3%
80
35.7%
Q4 - 8:07INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 281
63.5%
80
36.5%
Q4 - 8:07INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 281
59.3%
80
40.7%
Q4 - 8:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)81
58.2%
80
41.8%
Q4 - 8:25MIAO'Neal 2' Tip Shot (18 PTS)81
58.2%
80
41.8%
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Layup79
47.5%
80
52.5%
Q4 - 8:53INDJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 10 AST)79
52.1%
80
47.9%
Q4 - 9:03INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
63.9%
77
36.1%
Q4 - 9:05MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot79
65.7%
77
34.3%
Q4 - 9:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)79
69.5%
77
30.5%
Q4 - 9:22INDMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
67.9%
77
32.1%
Q4 - 9:45MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)79
64.0%
77
36.0%
Q4 - 10:05INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)77
58.2%
77
41.8%
Q4 - 10:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
52.2%
77
47.8%
Q4 - 10:20MIAHaslem 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)77
52.2%
77
47.8%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot75
42.7%
77
57.3%
Q4 - 10:39MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
47.0%
77
53.0%
Q4 - 10:41INDMISS Croshere 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
45.1%
77
54.9%
Q4 - 10:54MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T13)75
40.9%
77
59.1%
Q4 - 11:16INDFoster Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)75
46.9%
77
53.1%
Q4 - 11:18INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)75
41.3%
77
58.7%
Q4 - 11:20INDMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot75
45.1%
77
54.9%
Q4 - 11:32INDMiller Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)75
41.3%
77
58.7%
Q4 - 11:46MIAGill STEAL (2 STL)75
46.6%
76
53.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND75
52.3%
76
47.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)75
46.6%
76
53.4%
Q3 - 0:07.0INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 172
36.9%
76
63.1%
Q3 - 0:07.0INDJackson 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)72
37.5%
76
62.5%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAGill STEAL (1 STL)72
42.5%
74
57.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
47.5%
74
52.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0INDMISS Gill 3PT Jump Shot72
45.9%
74
54.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0INDPACERS Rebound72
42.4%
74
57.6%
Q3 - 0:38.0INDMISS Jackson 4' Jump Shot72
45.9%
74
54.1%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)72
42.3%
74
57.7%
Q3 - 0:57.0INDJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)69
32.7%
74
67.3%
Q3 - 1:05INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
29.8%
74
70.2%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot69
31.1%
74
68.9%
Q3 - 1:26INDJones 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)69
34.1%
74
65.9%
Q3 - 1:46INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
38.4%
72
61.6%
Q3 - 1:47MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 269
39.1%
72
60.9%
Q3 - 1:47MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 269
42.2%
72
57.8%
Q3 - 1:57INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
43.3%
72
56.7%
Q3 - 1:57INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
44.8%
71
55.2%
Q3 - 1:57INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
48.0%
70
52.0%
Q3 - 1:57INDMISS Jones 2' Layup69
51.5%
70
48.5%
Q3 - 2:19MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T10)69
47.9%
70
52.1%
Q3 - 2:30INDMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T11)69
53.0%
70
47.0%
Q3 - 2:48MIAMourning 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)69
47.9%
70
52.1%
Q3 - 3:03INDCroshere Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)67
44.3%
70
55.7%
Q3 - 3:17MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)67
39.6%
70
60.4%
Q3 - 3:17MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)66
38.8%
70
61.2%
Q3 - 3:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
35.6%
70
64.4%
Q3 - 3:25INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot65
34.3%
70
65.7%
Q3 - 3:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)65
31.3%
70
68.7%
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 264
30.6%
70
69.4%
Q3 - 4:01INDJackson 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)64
32.6%
70
67.4%
Q3 - 4:17MIAJones Driving Layup (18 PTS)64
35.9%
68
64.1%
Q3 - 4:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
32.6%
68
67.4%
Q3 - 4:24INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
31.3%
68
68.7%
Q3 - 4:44MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)62
28.3%
68
71.7%
Q3 - 5:04INDMiller 23' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)60
26.4%
68
73.6%
Q3 - 5:19MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)60
29.4%
66
70.6%
Q3 - 5:35INDMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Pollard 1 AST)58
26.3%
66
73.7%
Q3 - 5:45MIAPollard STEAL (2 STL)58
32.9%
63
67.1%
Q3 - 5:59INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
37.0%
63
63.0%
Q3 - 5:59INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)58
37.7%
62
62.3%
Q3 - 6:04INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
41.3%
61
58.7%
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot58
42.6%
61
57.4%
Q3 - 6:23INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)58
45.5%
61
54.5%
Q3 - 6:23INDMiller 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)58
49.5%
60
50.5%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 158
53.8%
58
46.2%
Q3 - 6:34MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)58
53.2%
58
46.8%
Q3 - 6:46MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
49.5%
58
50.5%
Q3 - 6:48INDMISS Pollard 16' Jump Shot56
48.2%
58
51.8%
Q3 - 7:04MIAWade 4' Running Hook Shot (18 PTS)56
45.0%
58
55.0%
Q3 - 7:17INDJohnson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)54
41.8%
58
58.2%
Q3 - 7:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
45.0%
56
55.0%
Q3 - 7:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)53
44.3%
56
55.7%
Q3 - 7:44INDJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)52
41.8%
56
58.2%
Q3 - 7:58MIAAnderson 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)52
37.5%
56
62.5%
Q3 - 8:17INDPollard Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)50
35.2%
56
64.8%
Q3 - 8:17INDJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)50
38.7%
55
61.3%
Q3 - 8:32INDDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
45.6%
52
54.4%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot50
46.9%
52
53.1%
Q3 - 8:58INDDavis 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)50
49.8%
52
50.2%
Q3 - 9:15MIAJones 28' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)50
53.4%
50
46.6%
Q3 - 9:33INDMiller 9' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)47
46.2%
50
53.8%
Q3 - 9:46MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)47
49.7%
48
50.3%
Q3 - 9:53MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
53.5%
48
46.5%
Q3 - 9:54INDMISS Jackson 2' Layup47
52.4%
48
47.6%
Q3 - 10:01MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)47
50.0%
48
50.0%
Q3 - 10:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
54.0%
48
46.0%
Q3 - 10:06INDMISS Jackson 2' Layup47
52.8%
48
47.2%
Q3 - 10:15MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)47
50.0%
48
50.0%
Q3 - 10:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
54.0%
48
46.0%
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot47
51.2%
48
48.8%
Q3 - 10:35INDJohnson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
54.0%
48
46.0%
Q3 - 10:43INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
57.1%
46
42.9%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot47
58.3%
46
41.7%
Q3 - 10:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
60.9%
46
39.1%
Q3 - 10:56INDMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot47
59.7%
46
40.3%
Q3 - 11:17INDDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
57.5%
46
42.5%
Q3 - 11:19MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Hook Shot47
58.6%
46
41.4%
Q3 - 11:38MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
61.0%
46
39.0%
Q3 - 11:39INDMISS Pollard 16' Jump Shot47
59.9%
46
40.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND47
57.5%
46
42.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound47
57.5%
46
42.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Jackson 52' 3PT Jump Shot47
59.9%
46
40.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWade 3' Jump Shot (14 PTS)47
58.2%
46
41.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
53.9%
46
46.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 245
54.5%
45
45.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0INDMiller Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)45
54.9%
45
45.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0INDDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
58.1%
44
41.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot45
58.8%
44
41.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)45
60.4%
44
39.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0INDMiller 19' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)45
63.6%
43
36.4%
Q2 - 1:08MIAWade 2' Running Layup (12 PTS)45
67.4%
41
32.6%
Q2 - 1:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
63.1%
41
36.9%
Q2 - 1:25INDMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot43
62.6%
41
37.4%
Q2 - 1:40MIAWade 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)43
61.5%
41
38.5%
Q2 - 1:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
56.9%
41
43.1%
Q2 - 1:48INDMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
56.4%
41
43.6%
Q2 - 1:53INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
55.2%
41
44.8%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS Doleac 2' Layup41
55.7%
41
44.3%
Q2 - 1:55MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
56.9%
41
43.1%
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot41
55.7%
41
44.3%
Q2 - 2:03INDJackson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)41
57.5%
41
42.5%
Q2 - 2:04INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
54.6%
41
45.4%
Q2 - 2:05MIAMISS Anderson 2' Layup41
55.5%
41
44.5%
Q2 - 2:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
57.5%
41
42.5%
Q2 - 2:10INDMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot41
56.6%
41
43.4%
Q2 - 2:26INDDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
54.7%
41
45.3%
Q2 - 2:28MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot41
55.5%
41
44.5%
Q2 - 2:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
57.5%
41
42.5%
Q2 - 2:36INDMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot41
56.6%
41
43.4%
Q2 - 2:55MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)41
54.7%
41
45.3%
Q2 - 3:15INDFoster 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)39
51.9%
41
48.1%
Q2 - 3:18INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
54.5%
39
45.5%
Q2 - 3:20MIADavis BLOCK (1 BLK)39
55.5%
39
44.5%
Q2 - 3:36MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
57.8%
39
42.2%
Q2 - 3:37INDMISS Jackson 3' Jump Shot39
56.8%
39
43.2%
Q2 - 3:51INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
54.5%
39
45.5%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot39
55.5%
39
44.5%
Q2 - 4:04INDDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)39
57.7%
39
42.3%
Q2 - 4:04INDDavis Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)39
60.4%
38
39.6%
Q2 - 4:14MIAO'Neal 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)39
63.2%
36
36.8%
Q2 - 4:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
60.5%
36
39.5%
Q2 - 4:26INDMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot37
59.6%
36
40.4%
Q2 - 4:45MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
57.7%
36
42.3%
Q2 - 4:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 236
56.5%
36
43.5%
Q2 - 5:01MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
57.9%
36
42.1%
Q2 - 5:02INDMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot36
57.0%
36
43.0%
Q2 - 5:19INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
54.9%
36
45.1%
Q2 - 5:21MIAMISS Woods 15' Jump Shot36
55.8%
36
44.2%
Q2 - 5:38INDPollard 2' Layup (2 PTS)36
57.9%
36
42.1%
Q2 - 5:40INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
60.4%
34
39.6%
Q2 - 5:41INDMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot36
62.4%
34
37.6%
Q2 - 6:03INDGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
60.3%
34
39.7%
Q2 - 6:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
63.4%
34
36.6%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup36
61.2%
34
38.8%
Q2 - 6:06MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot36
61.2%
34
38.8%
Q2 - 6:19MIASmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
63.4%
34
36.6%
Q2 - 6:20INDMISS Gill 4' Layup36
62.5%
34
37.5%
Q2 - 6:46MIAHaslem 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)36
60.3%
34
39.7%
Q2 - 6:57MIASmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
58.1%
34
41.9%
Q2 - 6:58INDMISS Pollard 16' Jump Shot34
57.2%
34
42.8%
Q2 - 7:12MIAPollard STEAL (1 STL)34
55.3%
34
44.7%
Q2 - 7:33INDJones 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
58.1%
34
41.9%
Q2 - 7:45MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
60.4%
32
39.6%
Q2 - 7:45MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 233
59.9%
32
40.1%
Q2 - 7:49INDGill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)33
60.6%
32
39.4%
Q2 - 8:10INDGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
57.6%
32
42.4%
Q2 - 8:12MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot33
58.5%
32
41.5%
Q2 - 8:34INDJones 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
60.5%
32
39.5%
Q2 - 8:52INDGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
62.6%
30
37.4%
Q2 - 8:56MIAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)33
63.4%
30
36.6%
Q2 - 9:11MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
65.0%
30
35.0%
Q2 - 9:12INDMISS Gill 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
64.3%
30
35.7%
Q2 - 9:22INDGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
62.4%
30
37.6%
Q2 - 9:23MIAMISS Dooling 17' Jump Shot33
63.2%
30
36.8%
Q2 - 9:39INDCroshere 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)33
65.1%
30
34.9%
Q2 - 10:00MIADooling 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
67.1%
28
32.9%
Q2 - 10:24INDJones 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)31
64.8%
28
35.2%
Q2 - 10:26INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
68.9%
25
31.1%
Q2 - 10:32INDMISS Jones 3' Layup31
70.6%
25
29.4%
Q2 - 10:36MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)31
68.9%
25
31.1%
Q2 - 11:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
70.7%
25
29.3%
Q2 - 11:05INDMISS Croshere 18' Jump Shot31
70.1%
25
29.9%
Q2 - 11:27MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)31
68.7%
25
31.3%
Q2 - 11:47INDJones 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
66.6%
25
33.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
68.7%
23
31.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound29
70.8%
23
29.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot29
69.4%
23
30.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDCroshere Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
70.1%
23
29.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWade 2' Layup (8 PTS)29
68.6%
23
31.4%
Q1 - 0:21.0INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
66.0%
23
34.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)27
66.3%
22
33.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
68.6%
21
31.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot27
69.1%
21
30.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
70.2%
21
29.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
68.6%
21
31.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0INDMISS Foster 2' Tip Shot27
69.7%
21
30.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0INDMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot27
69.7%
21
30.3%
Q1 - 1:17MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)27
68.6%
21
31.4%
Q1 - 1:22INDJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
66.0%
21
34.0%
Q1 - 1:46MIASmith 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)25
64.4%
21
35.6%
Q1 - 1:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
59.4%
21
40.6%
Q1 - 1:55INDMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot22
58.9%
21
41.1%
Q1 - 2:14MIAWade 9' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)22
57.7%
21
42.3%
Q1 - 2:36INDCroshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)20
55.2%
21
44.8%
Q1 - 2:56MIAJones 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)20
59.9%
18
40.1%
Q1 - 3:09INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)18
57.6%
18
42.4%
Q1 - 3:09INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
58.0%
17
42.0%
Q1 - 3:27MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)18
59.6%
16
40.4%
Q1 - 3:48INDJackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)15
55.4%
16
44.6%
Q1 - 3:53MIACroshere STEAL (1 STL)15
59.6%
13
40.4%
Q1 - 3:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
62.0%
13
38.0%
Q1 - 3:57INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
61.3%
13
38.7%
Q1 - 4:15MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
59.5%
13
40.5%
Q1 - 4:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
55.6%
13
44.4%
Q1 - 4:23INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot12
54.8%
13
45.2%
Q1 - 4:38MIAO'Neal 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)12
53.0%
13
47.0%
Q1 - 4:47MIAHeat Rebound10
51.2%
13
48.8%
Q1 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot10
49.4%
13
50.6%
Q1 - 5:05INDJohnson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)10
51.4%
13
48.6%
Q1 - 5:17INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
53.3%
11
46.7%
Q1 - 5:18MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot10
54.0%
11
46.0%
Q1 - 5:34INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
55.6%
11
44.4%
Q1 - 5:34INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
55.8%
10
44.2%
Q1 - 5:47INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
57.4%
9
42.6%
Q1 - 5:48MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot10
58.1%
9
41.9%
Q1 - 6:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
59.4%
9
40.6%
Q1 - 6:14INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot10
58.8%
9
41.2%
Q1 - 6:17INDDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
57.4%
9
42.6%
Q1 - 6:19INDMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot10
58.8%
9
41.2%
Q1 - 6:42MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)10
57.4%
9
42.6%
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 29
56.5%
9
43.5%
Q1 - 7:04INDJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)9
57.5%
9
42.5%
Q1 - 7:18MIAAnderson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)9
61.0%
6
39.0%
Q1 - 7:23INDJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)9
63.0%
6
37.0%
Q1 - 7:38INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
61.0%
6
39.0%
Q1 - 7:39MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot9
61.6%
6
38.4%
Q1 - 7:50INDJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)9
63.0%
6
37.0%
Q1 - 8:05MIAWade 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)9
61.4%
6
38.6%
Q1 - 8:19INDMiller 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)7
59.8%
6
40.2%
Q1 - 8:32MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
61.4%
4
38.6%
Q1 - 8:52INDMiller 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
57.9%
4
42.1%
Q1 - 9:11MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
59.2%
2
40.8%
Q1 - 9:29INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
61.6%
2
38.4%
Q1 - 9:46INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
59.3%
2
40.7%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 24
59.6%
2
40.4%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 24
60.3%
2
39.7%
Q1 - 10:03INDJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
61.3%
2
38.7%
Q1 - 10:26MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
59.3%
2
40.7%
Q1 - 10:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
57.7%
2
42.3%
Q1 - 10:48INDMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot2
57.1%
2
42.9%
Q1 - 10:57INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
55.6%
2
44.4%
Q1 - 11:00MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)2
56.3%
2
43.7%
Q1 - 11:18INDDavis 2' Dunk (2 PTS)2
57.5%
2
42.5%
Q1 - 11:20INDDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
59.4%
0
40.6%
Q1 - 11:21INDMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot2
60.6%
0
39.4%
Q1 - 11:43MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
59.4%
0
40.6%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Davis vs. O'Neal: Tip to Jones0
57.5%
0
42.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.5%
IND
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
35
57%
IND
10
21
48%
Midrange
MIA
14
34
41%
IND
18
39
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
14
64%
96%
IND
11
16.5
25
44%
66%
Free Throws
MIA
13
25
52%
IND
25
29
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3753%18.5 / 35
D. Jones2796%13.5 / 14
S. O'Neal2452%12.0 / 23
U. Haslem945%4.5 / 10
S. Smith3150%1.5 / 1
S. Anderson250%1.0 / 2
K. Dooling220%1.0 / 5
M. Doleac225%1.0 / 4
A. Mourning2100%1.0 / 1
Q. Woods0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Miller3170%15.5 / 22
S. Jackson2944%14.5 / 33
A. Johnson1662%8.0 / 13
D. Davis1381%6.5 / 8
F. Jones975%4.5 / 6
A. Croshere750%3.5 / 7
J. Foster467%2.0 / 3
S. Pollard330%1.5 / 5
J. Jones2100%1.0 / 1
E. Gill0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+11
-16
97
IND
88
+13
-17
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.5%
IND
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
102.4
MIA 105.9
IND 108.6 +2.7
Pace
93.9
89.9
MIA 97.4 +6.2
IND 91.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.3
MIA 14.8 +1.0
IND 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.6%
MIA 57.2% +4.8%
IND 52.4%
TO %
14.0%
14.7%
MIA 14.5% +0.3%
IND 14.8%
ORB %
27.0%
26.5%
MIA 17.5%
IND 23.9% +6.4%
FTrt
38.7
35.8
MIA 30.1
IND 34.1 +4.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
55.8%
MIA 37.2%
IND 69.2% +32.0%
STL %
6.8%
8.3%
MIA 10.8% +0.3%
IND 10.5%
BLK %
8.7%
6.8%
MIA 3.3%
IND 5.8% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
50.5%
MIA 54.5%
IND 55.3% +0.8%
Rim FG%
63.0%
55.1%
MIA 57.1% +9.5%
IND 47.6%
Mid FG%
41.0%
39.5%
MIA 41.2%
IND 46.2% +5.0%
3P %
37.7%
34.4%
MIA 64.3% +20.3%
IND 44.0%
FT %
67.2%
79.2%
MIA 52.0%
IND 86.2% +34.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
32.4%
MIA 42.2% +17.5%
IND 24.7%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
42.1%
MIA 41.0% +4.9%
IND 45.9%
3P Att. %
19.8%
25.5%
MIA 16.9%
IND 29.4% +12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions102105
Possession Minutes25.127.6
Points108114
Rebounds4244
Assists1627
Steals1111
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (0)33 (1)
Field Goals43-8339-85
At-the-Rim FG20-3510-21
Midrange FG14-3418-39
2-Point FG34-6928-60
3-Point FG9-1411-25
Free Throws13-2525-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
47.0
9
45%
4
0
0
0
2
2
2
2
3-4
75%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
45.0
24
52%
13
2
1
1
5
2
2
11
2-9
22%
11-18
61%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
44.5
37
53%
9
6
4
0
5
4
2
7
6-10
60%
11-24
46%
3-6
50%
G · 6'3" 195 · 29
38.5
27
96%
5
4
1
0
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
5-5
100%
F · 6'6" 215 · 31
21.1
2
50%
3
1
2
0
1
5
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
28.8
2
20%
0
2
3
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 36
15.4
3
150%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 24
10.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
10.2
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 35
3.8
2
100%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33
C · 7'1" 284 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
108
55%
42
16
11
2
16
0
7
35
13-25
52%
34-69
49%
9-14
64%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.