FinalWin Prob.pScore
2423%97
91
477%106
103
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
98.99297.1
MIA logo MIA
110.89388.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0TORMarshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0TORMISS Sow Free Throw 2 of 288
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0TORMISS Sow Free Throw 1 of 288
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22TORMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47MIAJones Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47MIAJones Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)88
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:49TORWade BLOCK (1 BLK)88
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:56MIAO'Neal Layup (28 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)88
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 2:21TORBonner Layup (9 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)88
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 2:27TORAlston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 2:29MIAMISS Wade Layup86
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 2:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:43TORMISS Marshall 6' Jump Shot86
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:54MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)86
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 3:16TORAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)86
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 3:23MIAHaslem Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)83
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 3:28TORWade STEAL (1 STL)83
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 3:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)83
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 3:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)83
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 3:46MIAJones Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)83
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q4 - 3:55MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)83
3.6%
89
96.4%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
4.6%
89
95.4%
Q4 - 4:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
3.6%
89
96.4%
Q4 - 4:04TORMISS Alston Driving Layup83
4.0%
89
96.0%
Q4 - 4:14MIAO'Neal Dunk (26 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)83
5.1%
89
94.9%
Q4 - 4:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)83
7.1%
87
92.9%
Q4 - 4:35TORMISS Peterson 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
7.9%
87
92.1%
Q4 - 4:52MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)83
10.2%
87
89.8%
Q4 - 5:11TORRose Tip Shot (8 PTS)83
8.1%
87
91.9%
Q4 - 5:13TORRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
6.0%
87
94.0%
Q4 - 5:15TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup81
4.8%
87
95.2%
Q4 - 5:22TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)81
6.0%
87
94.0%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot81
5.4%
87
94.6%
Q4 - 5:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
4.3%
87
95.7%
Q4 - 5:38TORMISS Bosh 5' Hook Shot81
4.7%
87
95.3%
Q4 - 5:57MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)81
5.9%
87
94.1%
Q4 - 6:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
8.5%
85
91.5%
Q4 - 6:19TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot81
9.4%
85
90.6%
Q4 - 6:41MIAO'Neal 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)81
11.6%
85
88.4%
Q4 - 6:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)81
14.6%
83
85.4%
Q4 - 6:54TORMISS Bosh Reverse Layup81
16.0%
83
84.0%
Q4 - 7:08TORRaptors Rebound81
19.6%
83
80.4%
Q4 - 7:10TORMISS Alston Driving Layup81
16.4%
83
83.6%
Q4 - 7:25MIASmith Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)81
19.5%
83
80.5%
Q4 - 7:28TORDooling STEAL (1 STL)81
23.6%
81
76.4%
Q4 - 7:35MIASmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)81
29.7%
81
70.3%
Q4 - 7:43MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
23.6%
81
76.4%
Q4 - 7:45TORMISS Williams 5' Hook Shot81
25.4%
81
74.6%
Q4 - 8:01MIAWade Driving Layup (23 PTS)81
29.0%
81
71.0%
Q4 - 8:09TORO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)81
34.5%
79
65.5%
Q4 - 8:25TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
40.6%
79
59.4%
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 281
39.7%
79
60.3%
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 281
37.1%
79
62.9%
Q4 - 8:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)81
34.5%
79
65.5%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot81
38.7%
79
61.3%
Q4 - 8:53TORWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T8)81
34.5%
79
65.5%
Q4 - 9:06TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
38.9%
79
61.1%
Q4 - 9:08MIAMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
37.1%
79
62.9%
Q4 - 9:25MIAHEAT Rebound81
33.2%
79
66.8%
Q4 - 9:27TORMISS Bosh 12' Fadeaway Jumper81
34.9%
79
65.1%
Q4 - 9:28TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)81
39.0%
79
61.0%
Q4 - 9:31TORMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
34.9%
79
65.1%
Q4 - 9:38TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)81
39.0%
79
61.0%
Q4 - 9:40MIAMISS Dooling 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
37.2%
79
62.8%
Q4 - 10:12TORWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)81
32.4%
79
67.6%
Q4 - 10:35MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)78
23.6%
79
76.4%
Q4 - 10:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
19.5%
79
80.5%
Q4 - 10:55TORMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 278
20.0%
79
80.0%
Q4 - 10:55TORAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)78
22.5%
79
77.5%
Q4 - 11:04MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P5.T10)77
20.2%
79
79.8%
Q4 - 11:18TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)77
16.8%
79
83.2%
Q4 - 11:18TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 276
16.1%
79
83.9%
Q4 - 11:34TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
16.9%
79
83.1%
Q4 - 11:36MIAMISS Dooling 9' Fadeaway Jumper76
15.9%
79
84.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR76
13.9%
79
86.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORAlston 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS)76
13.9%
79
86.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORAlston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
11.9%
79
88.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0TORMISS Bosh Dunk74
10.4%
79
89.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)74
11.8%
79
88.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0TORMISS Alston Driving Finger Roll74
10.4%
79
89.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)74
11.8%
79
88.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
9.9%
79
90.1%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Anderson Tip Shot74
11.2%
79
88.8%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Doleac 4' Hook Shot74
11.2%
79
88.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0TORAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)74
9.9%
79
90.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0TORAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)73
9.5%
79
90.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIADooling Driving Layup (4 PTS)72
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
9.9%
77
90.1%
Q3 - 0:53.0TORMISS Rose 12' Turnaround Jump Shot72
10.4%
77
89.6%
Q3 - 1:13MIAAnderson Layup (8 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)72
12.1%
77
87.9%
Q3 - 1:19MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
14.2%
75
85.8%
Q3 - 1:21TORMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
15.0%
75
85.0%
Q3 - 1:33MIAAnderson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)72
16.9%
75
83.1%
Q3 - 1:49TORBosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)72
19.7%
73
80.3%
Q3 - 2:12MIADooling 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)72
22.6%
73
77.4%
Q3 - 2:37TORBosh 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Rose 6 AST)72
25.8%
71
74.2%
Q3 - 2:56TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
22.7%
71
77.3%
Q3 - 2:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 270
22.2%
71
77.8%
Q3 - 2:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)70
20.2%
71
79.8%
Q3 - 3:14TORBosh 5' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Marshall 2 AST)70
22.5%
70
77.5%
Q3 - 3:21MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)68
19.6%
70
80.4%
Q3 - 3:38TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)68
16.8%
70
83.2%
Q3 - 3:48TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
12.5%
70
87.5%
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot65
11.8%
70
88.2%
Q3 - 3:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)65
10.5%
70
89.5%
Q3 - 4:01TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot65
11.1%
70
88.9%
Q3 - 4:16MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 165
12.2%
70
87.8%
Q3 - 4:16MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)65
12.5%
70
87.5%
Q3 - 4:35TORWilliams Layup (5 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)65
14.2%
68
85.8%
Q3 - 4:57MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T8)63
12.5%
68
87.5%
Q3 - 5:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q3 - 5:06TORMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
11.4%
68
88.6%
Q3 - 5:19TORRaptors Rebound63
12.7%
68
87.3%
Q3 - 5:20TORMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot63
11.4%
68
88.6%
Q3 - 5:26MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)63
12.7%
68
87.3%
Q3 - 5:50TORAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q3 - 5:50TORMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 262
10.5%
68
89.5%
Q3 - 5:53MIAHaslem Dunk (3 PTS)62
10.9%
68
89.1%
Q3 - 5:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
12.5%
66
87.5%
Q3 - 5:55MIAMISS O'Neal Layup62
13.9%
66
86.1%
Q3 - 6:09TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)62
12.6%
66
87.4%
Q3 - 6:09TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 261
12.2%
66
87.8%
Q3 - 6:10TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
12.7%
66
87.3%
Q3 - 6:12TORMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot61
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q3 - 6:17TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
12.7%
66
87.3%
Q3 - 6:19MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot61
12.1%
66
87.9%
Q3 - 6:42TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)61
10.9%
66
89.1%
Q3 - 6:44MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)61
12.7%
66
87.3%
Q3 - 7:06TORAlston Driving Layup (10 PTS)61
11.0%
66
89.0%
Q3 - 7:33MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)59
9.8%
66
90.2%
Q3 - 7:53TORAlston Driving Finger Roll (8 PTS)59
12.6%
63
87.4%
Q3 - 8:04MIAWade Driving Layup (18 PTS)57
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q3 - 8:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
12.7%
61
87.3%
Q3 - 8:10TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup57
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q3 - 8:24MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (22 PTS)57
14.7%
61
85.3%
Q3 - 8:31MIAHEAT Rebound57
16.4%
59
83.6%
Q3 - 8:33MIAMISS O'Neal Dunk57
18.2%
59
81.8%
Q3 - 8:39MIAHEAT Rebound57
16.4%
59
83.6%
Q3 - 8:41MIAMISS Jones Layup57
18.2%
59
81.8%
Q3 - 8:50TORBosh 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
16.4%
59
83.6%
Q3 - 9:10MIAO'Neal Layup (20 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)55
14.3%
59
85.7%
Q3 - 9:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
16.2%
57
83.8%
Q3 - 9:23TORMISS Rose 8' Jump Shot55
16.8%
57
83.2%
Q3 - 9:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)55
18.4%
57
81.6%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 255
18.8%
56
81.2%
Q3 - 9:51TORAlston Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)55
18.3%
56
81.7%
Q3 - 10:17MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)53
16.1%
56
83.9%
Q3 - 10:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
20.0%
53
80.0%
Q3 - 10:29TORMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot53
20.8%
53
79.2%
Q3 - 10:36TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
22.7%
53
77.3%
Q3 - 10:39MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot53
21.8%
53
78.2%
Q3 - 11:00TORPeterson 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
20.0%
53
80.0%
Q3 - 11:22MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)51
17.6%
53
82.4%
Q3 - 11:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
19.6%
51
80.4%
Q3 - 11:30TORO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)51
20.3%
51
79.7%
Q3 - 11:37TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
22.0%
51
78.0%
Q3 - 11:39TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot51
20.4%
51
79.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA51
22.1%
51
77.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound51
19.7%
51
80.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
21.0%
51
79.0%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)51
20.0%
51
80.0%
Q2 - 0:16.0TORMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot51
20.4%
51
79.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0TORAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
21.5%
51
78.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0TORMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot51
20.4%
51
79.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)51
21.5%
51
78.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0TORWilliams 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)51
24.5%
49
75.5%
Q2 - 1:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)49
21.3%
49
78.7%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 249
21.8%
48
78.2%
Q2 - 1:15MIAHEAT Rebound49
22.4%
48
77.6%
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot49
23.2%
48
76.8%
Q2 - 1:24MIAHEAT Rebound49
22.4%
48
77.6%
Q2 - 1:25MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 249
23.4%
48
76.6%
Q2 - 1:25MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 249
22.3%
48
77.7%
Q2 - 1:40TORAlston Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)49
22.4%
48
77.6%
Q2 - 1:46MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T5)49
23.6%
48
76.4%
Q2 - 2:01TORBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)49
21.7%
48
78.3%
Q2 - 2:15MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)46
17.7%
48
82.3%
Q2 - 2:15MIAO'Neal Layup (15 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)46
19.5%
47
80.5%
Q2 - 2:33TORBonner 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)46
21.8%
45
78.2%
Q2 - 2:52MIAJones Driving Layup (11 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)44
19.5%
45
80.5%
Q2 - 2:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
21.8%
43
78.2%
Q2 - 2:58TORMISS Palacio 20' Jump Shot44
22.4%
43
77.6%
Q2 - 3:11MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)44
23.4%
43
76.6%
Q2 - 3:11MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)44
24.3%
42
75.7%
Q2 - 3:26TORBonner 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Palacio 2 AST)44
25.4%
41
74.6%
Q2 - 3:38TORRaptors Rebound42
23.4%
41
76.6%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
22.7%
41
77.3%
Q2 - 3:53TORBonner Foul Turnover (P1.T4)42
21.1%
41
78.9%
Q2 - 4:04MIAJones Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)42
22.7%
41
77.3%
Q2 - 4:08TORJones STEAL (1 STL)42
24.8%
39
75.2%
Q2 - 4:11TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
27.0%
39
73.0%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot42
26.3%
39
73.7%
Q2 - 4:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
24.8%
39
75.2%
Q2 - 4:22TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot42
25.5%
39
74.5%
Q2 - 4:25TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
27.0%
39
73.0%
Q2 - 4:28TORMISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot42
25.5%
39
74.5%
Q2 - 4:34MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)42
27.1%
39
72.9%
Q2 - 4:53TORPalacio 3' Jump Shot (3 PTS)42
24.9%
39
75.1%
Q2 - 4:56TORPalacio REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
22.8%
39
77.2%
Q2 - 4:58TORMISS Palacio Driving Layup40
21.4%
39
78.6%
Q2 - 5:12MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)40
22.5%
39
77.5%
Q2 - 5:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 5:27TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 5:49TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
29.0%
36
71.0%
Q2 - 5:51MIAMISS Dooling 6' Jump Bank Shot40
28.2%
36
71.8%
Q2 - 6:08TORPeterson Driving Layup (10 PTS)40
26.0%
36
74.0%
Q2 - 6:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)38
24.3%
36
75.7%
Q2 - 6:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)38
24.7%
35
75.3%
Q2 - 6:53TORWilliams 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)38
26.0%
34
74.0%
Q2 - 7:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)36
23.9%
34
76.1%
Q2 - 7:14MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)36
25.9%
33
74.1%
Q2 - 7:27TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)36
27.8%
31
72.2%
Q2 - 7:27TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)35
27.3%
31
72.7%
Q2 - 7:38MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T3)34
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q2 - 7:56TORMarshall 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Palacio 1 AST)34
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q2 - 8:02TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
21.9%
31
78.1%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Doleac 13' Jump Shot32
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q2 - 8:21MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
20.0%
31
80.0%
Q2 - 8:23TORMISS Palacio Driving Layup32
20.6%
31
79.4%
Q2 - 8:32TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
21.9%
31
78.1%
Q2 - 8:34MIAMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q2 - 8:56MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
20.0%
31
80.0%
Q2 - 8:57TORMISS Palacio Free Throw 2 of 232
20.2%
31
79.8%
Q2 - 8:57TORPalacio Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q2 - 9:00MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)31
20.2%
31
79.8%
Q2 - 9:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
18.2%
31
81.8%
Q2 - 9:18MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
19.4%
31
80.6%
Q2 - 9:21MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
18.2%
31
81.8%
Q2 - 9:23TORMISS Williams Layup31
18.7%
31
81.3%
Q2 - 9:39MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
19.9%
31
80.1%
Q2 - 10:00TORRose 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)31
21.4%
29
78.6%
Q2 - 10:18MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)29
20.0%
29
80.0%
Q2 - 10:36MIAHEAT Rebound29
21.4%
27
78.6%
Q2 - 10:38TORMISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot29
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q2 - 10:42MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)29
23.3%
27
76.7%
Q2 - 10:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)29
21.4%
27
78.6%
Q2 - 10:53TORMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot29
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q2 - 11:12MIAAnderson Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)29
22.6%
27
77.4%
Q2 - 11:15MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
24.4%
25
75.6%
Q2 - 11:17MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot29
25.7%
25
74.3%
Q2 - 11:25MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
24.4%
25
75.6%
Q2 - 11:27MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot29
25.7%
25
74.3%
Q2 - 11:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
24.4%
25
75.6%
Q2 - 11:39TORMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot29
25.0%
25
75.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR29
26.3%
25
73.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound29
26.3%
25
73.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)29
24.7%
25
75.3%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)29
25.7%
25
74.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)29
28.0%
23
72.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAAnderson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)26
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q1 - 1:10TORBosh 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)26
26.0%
21
74.0%
Q1 - 1:28MIAO'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)24
23.9%
21
76.1%
Q1 - 1:51TORAraujo Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
26.1%
19
73.9%
Q1 - 1:51TORMISS Araujo Free Throw 1 of 223
25.7%
19
74.3%
Q1 - 2:04TORRaptors Rebound23
25.7%
19
74.3%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Doleac 11' Jump Shot23
25.1%
19
74.9%
Q1 - 2:18TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 2:18TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q1 - 2:22TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
22.2%
19
77.8%
Q1 - 2:24MIAMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot21
21.8%
19
78.2%
Q1 - 2:40TORAlston 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
20.8%
19
79.2%
Q1 - 2:45TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)19
19.2%
19
80.8%
Q1 - 2:47MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot19
18.8%
19
81.2%
Q1 - 3:04TORRose 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
17.5%
19
82.5%
Q1 - 3:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
16.4%
19
83.6%
Q1 - 3:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
16.7%
18
83.3%
Q1 - 3:34TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
17.5%
17
82.5%
Q1 - 3:39MIAJones Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)17
19.1%
17
80.9%
Q1 - 3:59TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)17
20.3%
15
79.7%
Q1 - 3:59TORPeterson Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)16
18.9%
15
81.1%
Q1 - 4:19MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
17.4%
15
82.6%
Q1 - 4:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
18.5%
13
81.5%
Q1 - 4:32TORMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
19.0%
13
81.0%
Q1 - 4:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
20.1%
13
79.9%
Q1 - 4:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
20.4%
12
79.6%
Q1 - 5:07TORAlston Reverse Layup (2 PTS)14
20.7%
11
79.3%
Q1 - 5:23MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
19.5%
11
80.5%
Q1 - 5:41TORAraujo Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)12
20.8%
9
79.2%
Q1 - 5:55TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
19.6%
9
80.4%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 210
19.4%
9
80.6%
Q1 - 5:57MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
18.8%
9
81.2%
Q1 - 5:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
19.4%
8
80.6%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot10
20.5%
8
79.5%
Q1 - 6:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 6:10TORMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
19.5%
8
80.5%
Q1 - 6:24MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
20.5%
8
79.5%
Q1 - 6:45TORRose 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)10
21.8%
6
78.2%
Q1 - 7:04MIAJones Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)8
20.0%
6
80.0%
Q1 - 7:22TORPeterson Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)8
21.1%
4
78.9%
Q1 - 7:28TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)6
20.0%
4
80.0%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Layup6
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 7:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
18.7%
4
81.3%
Q1 - 7:50TORMISS Peterson 17' Jump Shot6
19.1%
4
80.9%
Q1 - 7:54TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
20.1%
4
79.9%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot6
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 8:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
18.5%
4
81.5%
Q1 - 8:07TORMISS Alston 17' Jump Shot6
18.9%
4
81.1%
Q1 - 8:13TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot6
19.4%
4
80.6%
Q1 - 8:26TORBosh Tip Shot (4 PTS)6
18.5%
4
81.5%
Q1 - 8:31TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
17.5%
4
82.5%
Q1 - 8:34TORMISS Araujo 7' Finger Roll4
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 8:51MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
17.5%
4
82.5%
Q1 - 8:51MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
18.0%
3
82.0%
Q1 - 9:07TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 9:07TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
18.0%
2
82.0%
Q1 - 9:17TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot2
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 9:40TORWilliams 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)2
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 9:50TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
15.0%
2
85.0%
Q1 - 10:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 10:03TORMISS Williams 17' Jump Bank Shot0
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 10:19MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (2 PTS)0
15.2%
2
84.8%
Q1 - 10:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot0
16.9%
0
83.1%
Q1 - 10:42TORWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 11:00TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
16.8%
0
83.2%
Q1 - 11:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot0
16.8%
0
83.2%
Q1 - 11:15MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 11:18TORMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot0
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 11:30TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.1%
0
82.9%
Q1 - 11:34MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot0
16.8%
0
83.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Williams: Tip to Jones0
16.1%
0
83.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.96 47.9%
MIA
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
15
30
50%
MIA
25
31
81%
Midrange
TOR
14
35
40%
MIA
9
34
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
MIA
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
TOR
15
23
65%
MIA
23
32
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Alston1950%9.5 / 19
C. Bosh1644%8.0 / 18
M. Peterson1558%7.5 / 13
M. Bonner9113%4.5 / 4
J. Rose833%4.0 / 12
E. Williams857%4.0 / 7
A. Williams563%2.5 / 4
D. Marshall536%2.5 / 7
M. Palacio330%1.5 / 5
R. Araujo350%1.5 / 3
P. Sow0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2861%14.0 / 23
D. Wade2761%13.5 / 22
D. Jones1470%7.0 / 10
E. Jones1146%5.5 / 12
S. Anderson867%4.0 / 6
U. Haslem758%3.5 / 6
K. Dooling429%2.0 / 7
M. Doleac217%1.0 / 6
S. Smith250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
81
+13
-11
94
MIA
80
+15
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.96 47.9%
MIA
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
106.6
TOR 98.9 +11.8
MIA 110.8
Pace
95.7
93.9
TOR 97.1 +8.8
MIA 88.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.6
TOR 14.8 +1.5
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
52.4%
TOR 46.9%
MIA 51.3% +4.4%
TO %
13.1%
14.0%
TOR 10.8% +1.6%
MIA 12.4%
ORB %
23.7%
27.0%
TOR 22.7%
MIA 26.3% +3.6%
FTrt
31.6
38.7
TOR 28.4
MIA 41.0 +12.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.6%
57.8%
TOR 54.3%
MIA 60.5% +6.2%
STL %
7.9%
6.8%
TOR 8.7% +4.4%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
5.8%
8.7%
TOR 3.1%
MIA 4.6% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.1%
52.7%
TOR 47.9%
MIA 53.6% +5.7%
Rim FG%
54.1%
63.0%
TOR 50.0%
MIA 80.6% +30.6%
Mid FG%
40.7%
41.0%
TOR 40.0% +13.5%
MIA 26.5%
3P %
38.5%
37.7%
TOR 37.5% +6.7%
MIA 30.8%
FT %
77.4%
67.2%
TOR 65.2%
MIA 71.9% +6.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.4%
37.6%
TOR 37.0%
MIA 39.7% +2.7%
Mid Att. %
43.3%
42.6%
TOR 43.2% +0.4%
MIA 43.6%
3P Att. %
25.3%
19.8%
TOR 19.8% +3.1%
MIA 16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points91103
Rebounds3844
Assists1923
Steals84
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals35-8138-78
At-the-Rim FG15-3025-31
Midrange FG14-359-34
2-Point FG29-6534-65
3-Point FG6-164-13
Free Throws15-2323-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 21
41.5
16
44%
13
2
1
1
2
2
3
10
6-6
100%
5-15
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 29
38.8
19
50%
4
6
1
0
5
1
2
2
4-6
67%
6-14
43%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 220 · 28
37.2
15
58%
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 215 · 32
33.2
8
33%
5
6
1
0
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-2
0%
C · 6'9" 235 · 33
10.9
5
63%
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 32
25.4
5
36%
8
2
1
0
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33
17.4
8
57%
1
1
3
0
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25
16.1
9
113%
0
0
1
1
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 210 · 27
9.3
3
30%
1
2
0
0
1
2
1
0
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
8.8
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 23
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 32
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
48%
38
19
8
2
11
0
10
28
15-23
65%
29-65
45%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.