FinalWin Prob.pScore
343%94
95
857%96
88
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
113.18485.1
DET logo DET
106.08382.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL95
100%
88
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)95
99.8%
88
0.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)94
99.8%
88
0.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0DETHamilton 7' Jump Shot (23 PTS)93
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)93
99.4%
86
0.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0DALMISS Finley 12' Jump Shot93
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 0:59.0DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
98.9%
86
1.1%
Q4 - 1:00DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
98.6%
86
1.4%
Q4 - 1:05DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)93
97.6%
86
2.4%
Q4 - 1:07DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
98.4%
86
1.6%
Q4 - 1:14DETPISTONS Rebound93
97.0%
86
3.0%
Q4 - 1:15DALMISS Van Horn 27' 3PT Jump Shot93
97.5%
86
2.5%
Q4 - 1:32DALTerry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)93
97.7%
86
2.3%
Q4 - 1:34DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot93
96.4%
86
3.6%
Q4 - 1:54DETHamilton Driving Layup (21 PTS)93
97.0%
86
3.0%
Q4 - 2:00DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)93
98.1%
84
1.9%
Q4 - 2:01DALMISS Terry Layup93
98.1%
84
1.9%
Q4 - 2:26DETPrince 12' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)93
98.8%
84
1.2%
Q4 - 2:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)93
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 2:36DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.2%
82
0.8%
Q4 - 3:04DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)93
99.2%
82
0.8%
Q4 - 3:16DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Terry 7 AST)93
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 3:39DETWallace Layup (10 PTS)91
98.2%
80
1.8%
Q4 - 3:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)91
98.8%
78
1.2%
Q4 - 3:42DETMISS Wallace Layup91
99.0%
78
1.0%
Q4 - 3:50DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)91
98.8%
78
1.2%
Q4 - 3:52DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot91
98.9%
78
1.1%
Q4 - 4:08DETPrince Layup (12 PTS)91
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 4:10DETPrince REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)91
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 4:11DETMISS Wallace Layup91
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 4:14DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)91
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 4:16DETMISS Hamilton Layup91
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 4:32DALBradley Dunk (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)91
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 4:51DALBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)89
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 4:53DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot89
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 5:07DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)89
98.1%
76
1.9%
Q4 - 5:22DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
96.4%
76
3.6%
Q4 - 5:24DALMISS Finley 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
95.5%
76
4.5%
Q4 - 5:42DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
96.5%
76
3.5%
Q4 - 5:45DETMISS Billups 12' Jump Shot86
96.1%
76
3.9%
Q4 - 6:07DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)86
93.1%
76
6.9%
Q4 - 6:07DALHoward Layup (23 PTS)85
90.9%
76
9.1%
Q4 - 6:07DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
88.6%
76
11.4%
Q4 - 6:09DALMISS Van Horn 3PT Jump Shot83
86.0%
76
14.0%
Q4 - 6:41DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)83
88.8%
76
11.2%
Q4 - 6:57DALNowitzki 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)83
91.1%
74
8.9%
Q4 - 7:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)81
86.5%
74
13.5%
Q4 - 7:17DETMISS Wallace 7' Jump Shot81
85.4%
74
14.6%
Q4 - 7:29DETPrince REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)81
82.5%
74
17.5%
Q4 - 7:31DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
83.9%
74
16.1%
Q4 - 7:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)81
86.6%
74
13.4%
Q4 - 7:49DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
85.5%
74
14.5%
Q4 - 7:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)81
82.6%
74
17.4%
Q4 - 7:55DALWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)81
83.9%
74
16.1%
Q4 - 8:11DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)81
84.3%
74
15.7%
Q4 - 8:25DALVan Horn Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)81
80.6%
74
19.4%
Q4 - 8:40DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
84.4%
74
15.6%
Q4 - 8:41DETMISS Hamilton Layup81
83.3%
74
16.7%
Q4 - 9:06DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)81
78.8%
74
21.2%
Q4 - 9:06DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 280
77.8%
74
22.2%
Q4 - 9:21DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)80
79.1%
74
20.9%
Q4 - 9:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)80
85.8%
71
14.2%
Q4 - 9:25DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot80
87.8%
71
12.2%
Q4 - 9:47DALVan Horn 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)80
85.9%
71
14.1%
Q4 - 10:05DETBillups 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)77
77.5%
71
22.5%
Q4 - 10:26DALVan Horn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)77
84.2%
68
15.8%
Q4 - 10:47DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)74
77.6%
68
22.4%
Q4 - 10:53DALVan Horn Layup (11 PTS)74
84.3%
65
15.7%
Q4 - 10:55DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
81.3%
65
18.7%
Q4 - 10:57DALMISS Howard Layup72
78.6%
65
21.4%
Q4 - 11:13DALBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)72
79.8%
65
20.2%
Q4 - 11:14DETMISS Ham Free Throw 2 of 272
79.3%
65
20.7%
Q4 - 11:14DETMISS Ham Free Throw 1 of 272
77.8%
65
22.2%
Q4 - 11:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)72
75.9%
65
24.1%
Q4 - 11:18DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot72
78.7%
65
21.3%
Q4 - 11:45DALHoward 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Van Horn 1 AST)72
76.0%
65
24.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET70
72.0%
65
28.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)70
67.2%
65
32.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)67
56.4%
65
43.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)67
57.0%
64
43.0%
Q3 - 0:25.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)67
61.5%
63
38.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0DALMISS Bradley Free Throw 2 of 267
62.1%
63
37.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0DALMISS Bradley Free Throw 1 of 267
65.4%
63
34.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0DALVan Horn Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)67
66.2%
63
33.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0DETMISS Ham Free Throw 1 of 166
60.8%
63
39.2%
Q3 - 0:28.0DETHam Dunk (2 PTS)66
61.5%
63
38.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0DETHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
66.2%
61
33.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
69.3%
61
30.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0DALVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
66.2%
61
33.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0DALMISS Van Horn Free Throw 1 of 265
65.6%
61
34.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0DETHamilton 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)65
66.3%
61
33.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
70.7%
59
29.3%
Q3 - 1:00DALMISS Daniels Layup65
72.0%
59
28.0%
Q3 - 1:12DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
73.4%
59
26.6%
Q3 - 1:14DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot65
72.2%
59
27.8%
Q3 - 1:28DALVan Horn 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)65
69.3%
59
30.7%
Q3 - 1:45DETArroyo Foul Turnover (P1.T12)63
65.2%
59
34.8%
Q3 - 1:59DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)63
60.5%
59
39.5%
Q3 - 1:59DALHoward Layup (17 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)62
55.7%
59
44.3%
Q3 - 2:27DETWallace Dunk (13 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)60
50.2%
59
49.8%
Q3 - 2:45DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
54.4%
57
45.6%
Q3 - 2:45DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
53.4%
57
46.6%
Q3 - 2:53DETWallace 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)58
50.2%
57
49.8%
Q3 - 3:09DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)58
54.2%
55
45.8%
Q3 - 3:09DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)57
53.7%
55
46.3%
Q3 - 3:23DETPrince Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)56
50.0%
55
50.0%
Q3 - 3:26DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
54.2%
53
45.8%
Q3 - 3:28DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
55.6%
53
44.4%
Q3 - 3:35DETHam Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)56
58.9%
53
41.1%
Q3 - 3:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)56
54.2%
53
45.8%
Q3 - 3:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
53.7%
53
46.3%
Q3 - 3:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
50.0%
53
50.0%
Q3 - 3:50DETMISS Prince Tip Shot54
48.5%
53
51.5%
Q3 - 3:51DETPrince REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)54
45.2%
53
54.8%
Q3 - 3:53DETMISS Prince 9' Hook Shot54
48.5%
53
51.5%
Q3 - 4:12DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)54
44.6%
53
55.4%
Q3 - 4:12DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)53
43.6%
53
56.4%
Q3 - 4:37DETHamilton Driving Layup (11 PTS)52
41.0%
53
59.0%
Q3 - 4:48DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)52
44.7%
51
55.3%
Q3 - 4:48DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)51
44.2%
51
55.8%
Q3 - 5:14DETBillups Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)50
40.9%
51
59.1%
Q3 - 5:14DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)50
41.3%
50
58.7%
Q3 - 5:14DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)50
41.8%
49
58.2%
Q3 - 5:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
48.9%
48
51.1%
Q3 - 5:21DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
50.2%
48
49.8%
Q3 - 5:52DETWallace Dunk (9 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)50
53.4%
48
46.6%
Q3 - 6:05DALTerry 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)50
56.3%
46
43.7%
Q3 - 6:17DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)48
52.7%
46
47.3%
Q3 - 6:34DETPISTONS Rebound48
48.4%
46
51.6%
Q3 - 6:35DALMISS Terry Layup48
49.8%
46
50.2%
Q3 - 6:46DETWallace Follow Up Dunk (8 PTS)48
52.7%
46
47.3%
Q3 - 6:47DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)48
56.5%
44
43.5%
Q3 - 6:50DETMISS Wallace 10' Jump Shot48
59.4%
44
40.6%
Q3 - 7:05DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
55.4%
44
44.6%
Q3 - 7:07DETMISS Wallace 11' Jump Shot48
58.4%
44
41.6%
Q3 - 7:26DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
55.4%
44
44.6%
Q3 - 7:28DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot48
56.8%
44
43.2%
Q3 - 7:48DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)48
59.8%
44
40.2%
Q3 - 8:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
62.6%
42
37.4%
Q3 - 8:02DALMISS Bradley Layup48
63.8%
42
36.2%
Q3 - 8:27DETWallace Dunk (7 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)48
66.5%
42
33.5%
Q3 - 8:36DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)48
69.3%
40
30.7%
Q3 - 8:39DETMISS Wallace Dunk48
71.8%
40
28.2%
Q3 - 8:46DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
69.3%
40
30.7%
Q3 - 8:47DALMISS Nowitzki Layup48
70.5%
40
29.5%
Q3 - 8:54DALBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)48
72.9%
40
27.1%
Q3 - 8:56DALMISS Bradley 17' Jump Shot48
70.5%
40
29.5%
Q3 - 9:05DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
71.5%
40
28.5%
Q3 - 9:06DALMISS Finley 14' Jump Shot48
69.4%
40
30.6%
Q3 - 9:18DETWallace Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T9)48
71.6%
40
28.4%
Q3 - 9:31DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)48
68.5%
40
31.5%
Q3 - 9:31DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)47
68.1%
40
31.9%
Q3 - 9:37DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
65.3%
40
34.7%
Q3 - 9:39DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot46
64.3%
40
35.7%
Q3 - 10:03DALBradley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)46
60.9%
40
39.1%
Q3 - 10:20DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)44
58.0%
40
42.0%
Q3 - 10:20DETWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)44
61.4%
39
38.6%
Q3 - 10:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
64.3%
37
35.7%
Q3 - 10:29DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot44
66.8%
37
33.2%
Q3 - 10:31DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
64.3%
37
35.7%
Q3 - 10:34DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot44
66.8%
37
33.2%
Q3 - 10:48DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)44
64.3%
37
35.7%
Q3 - 11:03DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)42
60.6%
37
39.4%
Q3 - 11:03DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)42
60.9%
36
39.1%
Q3 - 11:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
63.8%
35
36.2%
Q3 - 11:20DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot42
64.8%
35
35.2%
Q3 - 11:39DETWallace Dunk (6 PTS)42
67.1%
35
32.9%
Q3 - 11:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
69.9%
33
30.1%
Q3 - 11:45DETMISS Wallace Layup42
72.0%
33
28.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL42
69.9%
33
30.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound42
72.9%
33
27.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot42
70.9%
33
29.1%
Q2 - 0:10.0DETBillups Layup (12 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)42
71.4%
33
28.6%
Q2 - 0:13.0DALBillups STEAL (1 STL)42
74.8%
31
25.2%
Q2 - 0:23.0DETBillups Layup (10 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)42
76.5%
31
23.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0DALWallace STEAL (1 STL)42
79.5%
29
20.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0DETWallace Dunk (4 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)42
81.0%
29
19.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
83.5%
27
16.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0DALMISS Harris 20' Jump Shot42
83.9%
27
16.1%
Q2 - 1:17DETBillups 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
83.8%
27
16.2%
Q2 - 1:38DALHenderson Dunk (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)42
86.2%
25
13.8%
Q2 - 1:57DETBillups Driving Layup (6 PTS)40
83.8%
25
16.2%
Q2 - 2:13DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)40
85.0%
23
15.0%
Q2 - 2:36DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
86.5%
23
13.5%
Q2 - 2:38DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot40
85.5%
23
14.5%
Q2 - 2:44DALMavericks Rebound40
86.5%
23
13.5%
Q2 - 2:45DALWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)40
85.5%
23
14.5%
Q2 - 2:57DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
86.5%
23
13.5%
Q2 - 2:58DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot40
86.1%
23
13.9%
Q2 - 3:25DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)40
83.6%
23
16.4%
Q2 - 3:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
82.2%
23
17.8%
Q2 - 3:35DETMISS Prince Layup38
81.6%
23
18.4%
Q2 - 3:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
80.2%
23
19.8%
Q2 - 3:57DALMISS Finley 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
80.8%
23
19.2%
Q2 - 4:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
80.9%
23
19.1%
Q2 - 4:07DETMISS Hunter 17' Jump Shot38
80.4%
23
19.6%
Q2 - 4:21DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
79.1%
23
20.9%
Q2 - 4:23DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot38
79.7%
23
20.3%
Q2 - 4:41DETPrince Driving Layup (6 PTS)38
81.0%
23
19.0%
Q2 - 5:15DALVan Horn 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)38
82.0%
21
18.0%
Q2 - 5:20DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
80.5%
21
19.5%
Q2 - 5:22DETMISS Hunter 16' Jump Shot36
79.9%
21
20.1%
Q2 - 5:50DALNowitzki 8' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)36
78.5%
21
21.5%
Q2 - 6:08DETDelfino Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)34
76.0%
21
24.0%
Q2 - 6:17DETPISTONS Rebound34
73.5%
21
26.5%
Q2 - 6:19DETMISS Billups Layup34
75.3%
21
24.7%
Q2 - 6:30DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)34
73.5%
21
26.5%
Q2 - 6:31DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
76.0%
21
24.0%
Q2 - 6:33DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
74.3%
21
25.7%
Q2 - 6:49DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
76.1%
21
23.9%
Q2 - 6:50DETMISS Delfino 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
75.3%
21
24.7%
Q2 - 7:13DALDelfino STEAL (2 STL)34
72.6%
21
27.4%
Q2 - 7:31DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
74.8%
21
25.2%
Q2 - 7:32DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot34
73.3%
21
26.7%
Q2 - 7:57DETMcDyess Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)34
74.8%
21
25.2%
Q2 - 8:04DALWallace STEAL (1 STL)34
71.9%
21
28.1%
Q2 - 8:17DALMavericks Rebound34
74.2%
21
25.8%
Q2 - 8:19DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
73.6%
21
26.4%
Q2 - 8:38DALHoward Layup (11 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)34
72.0%
21
28.0%
Q2 - 9:01DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)32
69.2%
21
30.8%
Q2 - 9:07DALDelfino STEAL (1 STL)32
71.1%
19
28.9%
Q2 - 9:11DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
73.4%
19
26.6%
Q2 - 9:13DETMISS McDyess 13' Jump Shot32
72.7%
19
27.3%
Q2 - 9:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
71.1%
19
28.9%
Q2 - 9:23DALMISS Terry 21' Jump Shot32
71.9%
19
28.1%
Q2 - 9:48DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)32
73.5%
19
26.5%
Q2 - 9:48DETPISTONS Rebound32
71.2%
19
28.8%
Q2 - 9:49DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot32
72.8%
19
27.2%
Q2 - 10:14DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
70.7%
19
29.3%
Q2 - 10:17DALMISS Daniels 12' Turnaround Jump Shot32
71.4%
19
28.6%
Q2 - 10:34DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
73.0%
19
27.0%
Q2 - 10:35DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot32
72.3%
19
27.7%
Q2 - 10:54DALVan Horn Foul Turnover (P1.T2)32
70.7%
19
29.3%
Q2 - 10:58DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
73.0%
19
27.0%
Q2 - 11:00DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot32
72.3%
19
27.7%
Q2 - 11:20DALVan Horn 5' Running Hook Shot (3 PTS)32
70.0%
19
30.0%
Q2 - 11:36DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
67.9%
19
32.1%
Q2 - 11:39DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot30
67.3%
19
32.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET30
65.8%
19
34.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound30
65.8%
19
34.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Arroyo 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
66.5%
19
33.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0DALVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)30
65.4%
19
34.6%
Q1 - 0:21.0DALMISS Van Horn Free Throw 1 of 229
65.1%
19
34.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
64.9%
19
35.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
66.0%
18
34.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
67.5%
17
32.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0DETMISS Prince Layup29
68.6%
17
31.4%
Q1 - 1:16DALHarris Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
67.4%
17
32.6%
Q1 - 1:40DETHamilton Layup (7 PTS)27
64.8%
17
35.2%
Q1 - 1:42DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
67.4%
15
32.6%
Q1 - 1:43DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot27
68.5%
15
31.5%
Q1 - 2:03DALFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)27
67.1%
15
32.9%
Q1 - 2:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
62.7%
15
37.3%
Q1 - 2:19DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 224
62.4%
15
37.6%
Q1 - 2:19DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
60.8%
15
39.2%
Q1 - 2:35DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)24
62.8%
14
37.2%
Q1 - 3:02DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
59.7%
14
40.3%
Q1 - 3:02DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
59.9%
13
40.1%
Q1 - 3:06DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
61.6%
12
38.4%
Q1 - 3:08DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot22
62.4%
12
37.6%
Q1 - 3:35DETPrince 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)22
64.1%
12
35.9%
Q1 - 3:59DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
65.9%
10
34.1%
Q1 - 4:01DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot22
65.9%
10
34.1%
Q1 - 4:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
67.5%
10
32.5%
Q1 - 4:18DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot22
66.8%
10
33.2%
Q1 - 4:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
65.2%
10
34.8%
Q1 - 4:22DETMISS Hamilton 9' Running Jump Shot22
66.8%
10
33.2%
Q1 - 4:40DALHoward 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)22
65.2%
10
34.8%
Q1 - 4:48DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
63.6%
10
36.4%
Q1 - 4:50DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot20
62.8%
10
37.2%
Q1 - 5:21DALHoward 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)20
60.0%
10
40.0%
Q1 - 5:29DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)17
56.2%
10
43.8%
Q1 - 5:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
53.9%
10
46.1%
Q1 - 5:45DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
54.6%
10
45.4%
Q1 - 5:54DETBillups Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
56.2%
10
43.8%
Q1 - 6:14DALFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)17
57.2%
8
42.8%
Q1 - 6:25DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
53.3%
8
46.7%
Q1 - 6:48DALFinley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
51.2%
8
48.8%
Q1 - 7:11DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
48.6%
8
51.4%
Q1 - 7:18DALHoward Layup (4 PTS)12
50.3%
6
49.7%
Q1 - 7:21DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)10
48.6%
6
51.4%
Q1 - 7:41DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
46.6%
6
53.4%
Q1 - 7:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
44.9%
6
55.1%
Q1 - 7:44DALMISS Bradley 18' Jump Shot8
43.4%
6
56.6%
Q1 - 7:55DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
44.9%
6
55.1%
Q1 - 8:15DALHoward Layup (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)8
42.9%
6
57.1%
Q1 - 8:34DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
41.3%
6
58.7%
Q1 - 8:54DALBradley Layup (2 PTS)6
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 8:55DALBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)4
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 8:56DALWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)4
39.8%
4
60.2%
Q1 - 9:08DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 9:10DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot4
40.5%
4
59.5%
Q1 - 9:26DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
38.9%
4
61.1%
Q1 - 9:28DETMISS Prince Layup4
40.5%
4
59.5%
Q1 - 9:29DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
38.9%
4
61.1%
Q1 - 9:30DETMISS Prince Layup4
40.5%
4
59.5%
Q1 - 9:50DALHoward Palming Turnover (P1.T1)4
38.9%
4
61.1%
Q1 - 9:52DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 10:14DALNowitzki Layup (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)4
39.0%
4
61.0%
Q1 - 10:25DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)2
37.4%
4
62.6%
Q1 - 10:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 10:33DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot2
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 10:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 10:51DETMISS Hamilton Jump Shot2
40.4%
2
59.6%
Q1 - 10:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 10:51DALMISS Bradley Layup2
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 10:54DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 10:58DALMISS Bradley Tip Shot2
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 11:07DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
40.7%
2
59.3%
Q1 - 11:08DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 11:22DETPrince 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)2
40.7%
2
59.3%
Q1 - 11:42DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)2
42.6%
0
57.4%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Bradley: Tip to Nowitzki0
40.8%
0
59.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.07 53.4%
DET
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
12
23
52%
DET
20
33
61%
Midrange
DAL
15
33
45%
DET
13
37
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
DET
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
DAL
20
25
80%
DET
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard2471%12.0 / 17
D. Nowitzki2261%11.0 / 18
K. Van Horn1785%8.5 / 10
M. Finley1243%6.0 / 14
D. Harris770%3.5 / 5
S. Bradley630%3.0 / 10
J. Terry525%2.5 / 10
A. Henderson2100%1.0 / 1
M. Daniels0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2672%13.0 / 18
R. Hamilton2352%11.5 / 22
T. Prince1447%7.0 / 15
R. Wallace1341%6.5 / 16
B. Wallace1045%5.0 / 11
D. Ham233%1.0 / 3
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 1
A. McDyess0-0.0 / 2
C. Delfino0-0.0 / 1
L. Hunter0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
74
+15
-10
89
DET
71
+22
-12
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.07 53.4%
DET
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.3
103.0
DAL 113.1 +7.1
DET 106.0
Pace
95.3
89.5
DAL 85.1 +3.0
DET 82.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
16.5
DAL 16.9 +0.6
DET 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
47.2%
DAL 50.7% +5.0%
DET 45.7%
TO %
13.4%
14.4%
DAL 10.5% +2.2%
DET 12.7%
ORB %
28.7%
31.3%
DAL 35.1%
DET 42.2% +7.1%
FTrt
34.6
33.5
DAL 33.8 +13.1
DET 20.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.6%
62.7%
DAL 67.6% +14.8%
DET 52.8%
STL %
9.0%
7.8%
DAL 10.7% +4.7%
DET 6.0%
BLK %
8.6%
9.4%
DAL 5.7% +0.3%
DET 5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
49.3%
DAL 53.4% +6.6%
DET 46.8%
Rim FG%
57.5%
55.5%
DAL 52.2%
DET 60.6% +8.4%
Mid FG%
41.4%
39.7%
DAL 45.5% +10.4%
DET 35.1%
3P %
36.4%
34.5%
DAL 38.9% +13.9%
DET 25.0%
FT %
78.9%
73.9%
DAL 80.0% +3.5%
DET 76.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
35.1%
DAL 31.1%
DET 40.2% +9.2%
Mid Att. %
48.4%
48.5%
DAL 44.6% +0.5%
DET 45.1%
3P Att. %
19.0%
16.4%
DAL 24.3% +9.7%
DET 14.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALDET
Possessions8483
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points9588
Rebounds3943
Assists2319
Steals95
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)19 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)24 (2)
Field Goals34-7436-82
At-the-Rim FG12-2320-33
Midrange FG15-3313-37
2-Point FG27-5633-70
3-Point FG7-183-12
Free Throws20-2513-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
46.2
24
71%
6
2
3
1
3
2
2
4
5-6
83%
8-11
73%
1-2
50%
F · 7'0" 245 · 27
36.9
22
61%
10
3
2
1
0
2
1
9
8-8
100%
7-12
58%
0-2
0%
G · 6'7" 225 · 32
35.9
12
43%
4
4
1
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
2-6
33%
G · 6'2" 185 · 28
29.3
5
25%
3
7
0
0
2
3
2
1
0-0
-
1-7
14%
1-3
33%
C · 7'6" 275 · 33
22.5
6
30%
6
1
1
2
0
3
4
2
0-2
0%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 245 · 29
25.9
17
85%
5
1
0
0
2
3
2
3
3-5
60%
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 185 · 22
18.7
7
70%
2
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 200 · 24
14.2
0
0%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32
10.3
2
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 37
C · 7'0" 255 · 24
C · 7'5" 260 · 20
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
53%
39
23
9
4
10
0
13
26
20-25
80%
27-56
48%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.