FinalWin Prob.pScore
836%87
70
664%92
83
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
82.48592.2
SAS logo SAS
97.68578.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU70
0%
83
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)70
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASParker 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS)70
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot70
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0HOUMISS James 1' Layup70
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0HOUJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05HOUSura 1' Finger Roll (8 PTS)70
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33HOUJames 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)68
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)66
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54HOUSura Driving Layup (6 PTS)66
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)64
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23HOUMISS McGrady 2' Layup64
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)64
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)64
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 2:49HOUMISS James 14' Jump Shot64
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 3:04SASJump Ball Ginobili vs. McGrady: Tip to Yao64
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q4 - 3:22SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
0.3%
76
99.7%
Q4 - 3:24HOUNesterovic BLOCK (3 BLK)64
0.3%
76
99.7%
Q4 - 3:36HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q4 - 3:38SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q4 - 3:49HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)64
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q4 - 3:49HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)63
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q4 - 4:06SASParker 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)62
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q4 - 4:21SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q4 - 4:23SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup62
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q4 - 4:33HOUJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)62
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q4 - 4:49SASBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)62
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q4 - 5:05SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q4 - 5:07HOUMISS McGrady 3PT Jump Shot62
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q4 - 5:32SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q4 - 5:32SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q4 - 5:33SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q4 - 5:36HOUBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)62
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q4 - 5:56SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 162
6.3%
69
93.7%
Q4 - 5:56SASGinobili 2' Layup (16 PTS)62
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q4 - 6:07HOUGinobili STEAL (5 STL)62
10.1%
67
89.9%
Q4 - 6:13HOURockets Rebound62
13.6%
67
86.4%
Q4 - 6:14HOUMISS McGrady 23' Jump Shot62
11.0%
67
89.0%
Q4 - 6:35SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)62
13.6%
67
86.4%
Q4 - 6:54HOUYao 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)62
21.6%
64
78.4%
Q4 - 7:10SASParker 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)60
18.8%
64
81.2%
Q4 - 7:23SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
22.7%
62
77.3%
Q4 - 7:26HOUMISS Yao 11' Turnaround Jump Shot60
24.5%
62
75.5%
Q4 - 7:45SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
28.7%
62
71.3%
Q4 - 7:45SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)60
29.6%
61
70.4%
Q4 - 7:49HOUGinobili STEAL (4 STL)60
33.8%
60
66.2%
Q4 - 8:07SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)60
40.4%
60
59.6%
Q4 - 8:11SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
52.9%
57
47.1%
Q4 - 8:13HOUMISS Padgett 2' Layup60
54.9%
57
45.1%
Q4 - 8:17HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
59.3%
57
40.7%
Q4 - 8:19SASMISS Barry 2' Layup60
57.4%
57
42.6%
Q4 - 8:33SASSPURS Rebound60
53.0%
57
47.0%
Q4 - 8:33SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
53.0%
57
47.0%
Q4 - 8:33SASMISS Mohammed 2' Layup60
57.5%
57
42.5%
Q4 - 8:35SASMISS Mohammed 2' Layup60
57.5%
57
42.5%
Q4 - 8:44SASWilks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
53.0%
57
47.0%
Q4 - 8:46HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot60
55.0%
57
45.0%
Q4 - 9:03HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
57.7%
57
42.3%
Q4 - 9:06SASMISS Wilks 10' Jump Bank Shot60
55.9%
57
44.1%
Q4 - 9:19HOUSura Foul Turnover (P3.T14)60
51.6%
57
48.4%
Q4 - 9:23SASMohammed 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wilks 1 AST)60
57.8%
57
42.2%
Q4 - 9:42HOUMutombo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)60
63.3%
55
36.7%
Q4 - 10:09HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
67.1%
55
32.9%
Q4 - 10:14SASMISS Horry 7' Running Hook Shot60
65.5%
55
34.5%
Q4 - 10:31HOUMcGrady 23' Jump Shot (26 PTS)60
61.6%
55
38.4%
Q4 - 10:37SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)58
56.6%
55
43.4%
Q4 - 10:44SASSPURS Rebound58
50.5%
55
49.5%
Q4 - 10:45SASMISS Barry 6' Jump Shot58
54.7%
55
45.3%
Q4 - 10:55SASWilks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
50.5%
55
49.5%
Q4 - 10:57HOUMISS Barry 15' Jump Shot58
52.3%
55
47.7%
Q4 - 11:04HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
55.5%
55
44.5%
Q4 - 11:06SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot58
53.8%
55
46.2%
Q4 - 11:25HOUSura 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)58
49.9%
55
50.1%
Q4 - 11:41HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
44.7%
55
55.3%
Q4 - 11:44SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
43.0%
55
57.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS56
39.2%
55
60.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound56
39.2%
55
60.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Udrih 3PT Jump Shot56
43.0%
55
57.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUMcGrady 2' Driving Layup (24 PTS)56
39.0%
55
61.0%
Q3 - 0:18.0SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)54
34.2%
55
65.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0HOUSura 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)54
44.0%
52
56.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)52
39.0%
52
61.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
34.2%
52
65.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASMISS Udrih 9' Jump Shot52
37.5%
52
62.5%
Q3 - 1:21HOUMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Sura 3 AST)52
34.0%
52
66.0%
Q3 - 1:25HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
29.8%
52
70.2%
Q3 - 1:27SASMISS Bowen 12' Jump Shot50
28.6%
52
71.4%
Q3 - 1:51HOUMcGrady 3' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)50
25.8%
52
74.2%
Q3 - 2:09SASBarry 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)48
22.5%
52
77.5%
Q3 - 2:21SASMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
25.6%
50
74.4%
Q3 - 2:23HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot48
26.8%
50
73.2%
Q3 - 2:37SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)48
29.7%
50
70.3%
Q3 - 2:51SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
25.6%
50
74.4%
Q3 - 2:52HOUMISS Yao 5' Jump Shot48
26.8%
50
73.2%
Q3 - 3:16HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
29.9%
50
70.1%
Q3 - 3:18SASMISS Marks 16' Jump Shot48
28.7%
50
71.3%
Q3 - 3:33SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
26.0%
50
74.0%
Q3 - 3:35HOUMISS McGrady 13' Jump Shot48
27.2%
50
72.8%
Q3 - 3:51SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)48
29.9%
50
70.1%
Q3 - 4:14SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
25.8%
50
74.2%
Q3 - 4:16HOUNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)48
27.0%
50
73.0%
Q3 - 4:40SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)48
29.8%
50
70.2%
Q3 - 4:40SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
30.5%
49
69.5%
Q3 - 4:43SASMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
33.0%
48
67.0%
Q3 - 4:45SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot48
36.2%
48
63.8%
Q3 - 5:03SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
33.2%
48
66.8%
Q3 - 5:05HOUMISS Yao 18' Jump Shot48
34.4%
48
65.6%
Q3 - 5:28HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
37.2%
48
62.8%
Q3 - 5:30SASMISS Marks 17' Jump Shot48
36.0%
48
64.0%
Q3 - 5:47HOUYao Dunk (14 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)48
33.1%
48
66.9%
Q3 - 6:04SASParker 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS)46
29.7%
48
70.3%
Q3 - 6:22HOUNesterovic STEAL (2 STL)46
32.9%
46
67.1%
Q3 - 6:38SASJump Ball Horry vs. Yao: Tip to Sura46
36.8%
46
63.2%
Q3 - 6:39SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
32.9%
46
67.1%
Q3 - 6:39SASMISS Nesterovic 4' Jump Shot46
35.6%
46
64.4%
Q3 - 6:41SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot46
35.6%
46
64.4%
Q3 - 6:50HOUGinobili STEAL (3 STL)46
33.0%
46
67.0%
Q3 - 7:05HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
36.5%
46
63.5%
Q3 - 7:07SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot46
35.3%
46
64.7%
Q3 - 7:22HOUHorry STEAL (1 STL)46
32.5%
46
67.5%
Q3 - 7:34HOURockets Rebound46
36.5%
46
63.5%
Q3 - 7:34SASMISS Horry 16' Jump Shot46
35.3%
46
64.7%
Q3 - 7:55HOUMcGrady 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)46
32.5%
46
67.5%
Q3 - 8:14SASParker 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)44
29.8%
46
70.2%
Q3 - 8:32HOUWesley Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)44
32.5%
44
67.5%
Q3 - 8:35HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
36.4%
44
63.6%
Q3 - 8:37SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
35.2%
44
64.8%
Q3 - 8:54SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
32.5%
44
67.5%
Q3 - 8:56SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot44
35.2%
44
64.8%
Q3 - 9:16HOUWeatherspoon 8' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)44
32.3%
44
67.7%
Q3 - 9:33SASHorry 7' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)42
29.3%
44
70.7%
Q3 - 9:49HOUYao 2' Layup (12 PTS)42
32.3%
42
67.7%
Q3 - 9:50HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
29.3%
42
70.7%
Q3 - 9:52HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot40
27.1%
42
72.9%
Q3 - 10:12SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)40
29.2%
42
70.8%
Q3 - 10:34HOUWesley 2' Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)40
26.1%
42
73.9%
Q3 - 10:37HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
23.7%
42
76.3%
Q3 - 10:38SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
21.0%
42
79.0%
Q3 - 10:38SASMISS Horry 8' Tip Shot38
22.8%
42
77.2%
Q3 - 10:41SASMISS Nesterovic 14' Jump Shot38
22.8%
42
77.2%
Q3 - 10:59HOUWeatherspoon 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
21.0%
42
79.0%
Q3 - 11:23SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)36
19.0%
42
81.0%
Q3 - 11:37SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
23.5%
39
76.5%
Q3 - 11:39HOUMISS Wesley 16' Jump Shot36
24.3%
39
75.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS36
26.2%
39
73.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
23.5%
39
76.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
25.4%
39
74.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)36
24.4%
39
75.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)35
23.9%
39
76.1%
Q2 - 0:19.0SASNesterovic 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)34
21.3%
39
78.7%
Q2 - 0:36.0SASSPURS Rebound34
24.3%
37
75.7%
Q2 - 0:36.0HOUMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
24.8%
37
75.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0SASMISS Horry 19' Jump Shot34
25.5%
37
74.5%
Q2 - 1:09HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Sura 2 AST)34
24.8%
37
75.2%
Q2 - 1:25SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
21.4%
37
78.6%
Q2 - 1:39SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
20.3%
37
79.7%
Q2 - 1:41HOUMISS Padgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
20.6%
37
79.4%
Q2 - 1:50HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
21.4%
37
78.6%
Q2 - 1:52SASMISS Nesterovic 7' Turnaround Jump Shot32
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q2 - 2:10HOUPadgett Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
20.1%
37
79.9%
Q2 - 2:10HOUMISS Padgett Free Throw 1 of 231
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 2:12HOURockets Rebound31
20.0%
37
80.0%
Q2 - 2:13HOUMISS McGrady 7' Running Jump Shot31
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q2 - 2:19HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
20.0%
37
80.0%
Q2 - 2:21SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot31
19.4%
37
80.6%
Q2 - 2:43HOUMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)31
18.2%
37
81.8%
Q2 - 2:58SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)29
16.2%
37
83.8%
Q2 - 2:58SASSPURS Rebound29
14.8%
37
85.2%
Q2 - 2:58SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot29
15.8%
37
84.2%
Q2 - 3:24SASMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q2 - 3:26HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot29
15.6%
37
84.4%
Q2 - 3:51SASNesterovic 12' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)29
16.8%
37
83.2%
Q2 - 4:04SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
18.7%
35
81.3%
Q2 - 4:06HOUMISS Yao 12' Jump Shot29
19.2%
35
80.8%
Q2 - 4:32SASBarry 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marks 1 AST)29
20.5%
35
79.5%
Q2 - 4:56HOUBarry 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
22.4%
33
77.6%
Q2 - 5:14HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
20.7%
33
79.3%
Q2 - 5:16SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
20.1%
33
79.9%
Q2 - 5:19SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
18.7%
33
81.3%
Q2 - 5:22SASMISS Nesterovic 3' Jump Shot27
20.1%
33
79.9%
Q2 - 5:45HOUYao 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)27
18.7%
33
81.3%
Q2 - 5:57SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)25
17.2%
33
82.8%
Q2 - 6:10HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
15.8%
33
84.2%
Q2 - 6:10HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
15.5%
33
84.5%
Q2 - 6:29HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
14.6%
33
85.4%
Q2 - 6:31SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
14.1%
33
85.9%
Q2 - 6:51HOUMcGrady 2' Layup (10 PTS)23
13.0%
33
87.0%
Q2 - 6:55HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
12.1%
33
87.9%
Q2 - 6:57HOUMISS Yao 11' Jump Shot21
11.1%
33
88.9%
Q2 - 7:17SASGinobili 1' Dunk (10 PTS)21
12.6%
33
87.4%
Q2 - 7:21HOUGinobili STEAL (2 STL)21
13.7%
31
86.3%
Q2 - 7:33SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)21
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q2 - 7:33SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)21
15.3%
30
84.7%
Q2 - 7:33SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
16.4%
29
83.6%
Q2 - 7:34SASMISS Udrih 3PT Jump Shot21
17.5%
29
82.5%
Q2 - 7:54HOUYao 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)21
16.3%
29
83.7%
Q2 - 8:10SASHorry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)19
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q2 - 8:24SASSPURS Rebound19
17.9%
26
82.1%
Q2 - 8:25HOUMISS Barry Layup19
18.4%
26
81.6%
Q2 - 8:30HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
19.7%
26
80.3%
Q2 - 8:36SASMISS Ginobili 4' Finger Roll19
19.1%
26
80.9%
Q2 - 9:00HOUPadgett 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)19
17.9%
26
82.1%
Q2 - 9:15HOURockets Rebound17
16.8%
26
83.2%
Q2 - 9:16HOUMISS James 3PT Jump Shot17
15.7%
26
84.3%
Q2 - 9:22HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
16.8%
26
83.2%
Q2 - 9:25SASMISS Horry 9' Jump Bank Shot17
16.3%
26
83.7%
Q2 - 9:45SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
15.3%
26
84.7%
Q2 - 9:48SASMISS Ginobili 14' Fadeaway Jumper17
16.3%
26
83.7%
Q2 - 9:56HOUMohammed STEAL (1 STL)17
15.3%
26
84.7%
Q2 - 10:13SASGinobili 6' Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)17
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q2 - 10:28SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18.3%
24
81.7%
Q2 - 10:30HOUMISS James 14' Jump Shot17
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q2 - 10:47HOURockets Rebound17
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q2 - 10:48SASMISS Horry 17' Jump Shot17
19.4%
24
80.6%
Q2 - 11:02SASSPURS Rebound17
18.4%
24
81.6%
Q2 - 11:02SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
19.4%
24
80.6%
Q2 - 11:11SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
18.4%
24
81.6%
Q2 - 11:14HOUMISS James 5' Running Jump Shot17
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q2 - 11:31HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
19.9%
24
80.1%
Q2 - 11:33HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot17
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS17
19.9%
24
80.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUJames 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)17
18.4%
24
81.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASGinobili 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
15.6%
24
84.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0HOUPadgett 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
17.2%
22
82.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
15.6%
22
84.4%
Q1 - 0:59.0SASMISS Mohammed Free Throw 2 of 212
15.5%
22
84.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0SASMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 212
14.8%
22
85.2%
Q1 - 1:16HOUSura Foul Turnover (P2.T6)12
14.8%
22
85.2%
Q1 - 1:28HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
15.7%
22
84.3%
Q1 - 1:30SASMISS Marks 14' Jump Shot12
15.4%
22
84.6%
Q1 - 1:43SASMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
14.8%
22
85.2%
Q1 - 1:45HOUMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot12
15.1%
22
84.9%
Q1 - 2:07SASMarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
16.0%
22
84.0%
Q1 - 2:07SASMarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
16.3%
21
83.7%
Q1 - 2:09SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
17.4%
20
82.6%
Q1 - 2:11HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot12
17.7%
20
82.3%
Q1 - 2:27SASBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
18.6%
20
81.4%
Q1 - 2:27SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
18.9%
19
81.1%
Q1 - 2:44HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)12
20.2%
18
79.8%
Q1 - 2:44HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)11
19.9%
18
80.1%
Q1 - 2:49HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
18.6%
18
81.4%
Q1 - 2:51SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot10
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 3:13HOUSura Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)10
17.5%
18
82.5%
Q1 - 3:30SASBarry 2' Layup (2 PTS)10
19.0%
18
81.0%
Q1 - 3:34HOUNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)10
20.3%
16
79.7%
Q1 - 3:50HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
21.9%
16
78.1%
Q1 - 3:53SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
21.4%
16
78.6%
Q1 - 4:08SASSPURS Rebound10
20.2%
16
79.8%
Q1 - 4:08HOUMISS Yao 2' Layup10
20.7%
16
79.3%
Q1 - 4:21HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 4:24SASMISS Parker 1' Layup10
21.4%
16
78.6%
Q1 - 4:29HOUBarry STEAL (1 STL)10
20.2%
16
79.8%
Q1 - 4:35HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 4:37SASMISS Barry 1' Reverse Layup10
21.4%
16
78.6%
Q1 - 4:40SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
20.2%
16
79.8%
Q1 - 4:43HOUMarks BLOCK (1 BLK)10
20.7%
16
79.3%
Q1 - 4:56HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 4:58HOUMISS Sura 7' Jump Bank Shot10
20.7%
16
79.3%
Q1 - 5:08HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 5:10SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot10
21.6%
16
78.4%
Q1 - 5:37HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
20.5%
16
79.5%
Q1 - 5:37HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
20.2%
16
79.8%
Q1 - 5:58SASGinobili 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
19.3%
16
80.7%
Q1 - 6:17SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
20.7%
14
79.3%
Q1 - 6:19SASMISS Marks 16' Jump Shot8
21.7%
14
78.3%
Q1 - 6:37SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
20.7%
14
79.3%
Q1 - 6:40HOUNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)8
21.1%
14
78.9%
Q1 - 6:48HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
22.1%
14
77.9%
Q1 - 6:51SASMISS Parker 1' Layup8
21.7%
14
78.3%
Q1 - 6:57SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
20.7%
14
79.3%
Q1 - 7:00HOUMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
21.1%
14
78.9%
Q1 - 7:05HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
22.5%
14
77.5%
Q1 - 7:07SASMISS Parker 1' Layup8
22.0%
14
78.0%
Q1 - 7:16SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
21.0%
14
79.0%
Q1 - 7:18HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot8
21.5%
14
78.5%
Q1 - 7:33SASBowen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
22.5%
14
77.5%
Q1 - 7:51HOUMcGrady 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)8
21.0%
14
79.0%
Q1 - 8:05SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)6
19.9%
14
80.1%
Q1 - 8:05SASHorry 1' Layup (4 PTS)6
21.2%
13
78.8%
Q1 - 8:07HOUGinobili STEAL (1 STL)6
22.3%
11
77.7%
Q1 - 8:26SASNesterovic 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 8:42HOUYao 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
25.1%
9
74.9%
Q1 - 8:59SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
23.8%
9
76.2%
Q1 - 8:59SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
24.1%
8
75.9%
Q1 - 9:10HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
24.8%
7
75.2%
Q1 - 9:35HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.6%
7
73.4%
Q1 - 9:36SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 24
26.4%
7
73.6%
Q1 - 9:36SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
25.5%
7
74.5%
Q1 - 9:37SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.2%
6
73.8%
Q1 - 9:40HOUMISS Yao 5' Jump Shot4
26.8%
6
73.2%
Q1 - 9:58SASNesterovic 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
28.1%
6
71.9%
Q1 - 10:15HOUMcGrady 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 10:26HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.0%
4
72.0%
Q1 - 10:28SASMISS Horry 14' Jump Shot2
27.4%
4
72.6%
Q1 - 10:44HOUMcGrady 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
26.3%
4
73.7%
Q1 - 10:59SASHorry 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 11:16SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.4%
2
73.6%
Q1 - 11:17HOUMISS Weatherspoon 14' Jump Shot0
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 11:41SASNesterovic Layup (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)0
27.8%
2
72.2%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Yao: Tip to Ginobili0
29.4%
0
70.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.92 46.1%
SAS
0.85 42.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
12
23
52%
SAS
8
20
40%
Midrange
HOU
16
37
43%
SAS
14
40
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
SAS
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
HOU
11
12
92%
SAS
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2648%13.0 / 27
Yao1853%9.0 / 17
B. Sura867%4.0 / 6
S. Padgett550%2.5 / 5
M. James536%2.5 / 7
C. Weatherspoon450%2.0 / 4
D. Wesley225%1.0 / 4
J. Barry225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili1847%9.0 / 19
B. Barry1771%8.5 / 12
R. Horry1238%6.0 / 16
T. Parker1139%5.5 / 14
B. Bowen1169%5.5 / 8
R. Nesterovic1050%5.0 / 10
S. Marks220%1.0 / 5
N. Mohammed225%1.0 / 4
B. Udrih0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
69
+7
-16
76
SAS
77
+18
-8
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.92 46.1%
SAS
0.85 42.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.1
104.9
HOU 82.4
SAS 97.6 +15.3
Pace
91.5
91.2
HOU 92.2 +13.4
SAS 78.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.2
HOU 15.6 +2.7
SAS 18.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
49.2%
HOU 43.4% +2.8%
SAS 40.6%
TO %
14.2%
14.2%
HOU 18.8%
SAS 10.9% +7.9%
ORB %
26.4%
29.2%
HOU 12.1%
SAS 28.3% +16.2%
FTrt
30.9
32.9
HOU 17.6
SAS 27.5 +9.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
60.6%
HOU 44.8%
SAS 69.0% +24.2%
STL %
7.5%
8.2%
HOU 4.7%
SAS 11.8% +7.1%
BLK %
7.4%
9.9%
HOU 5.0%
SAS 8.3% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
50.6%
HOU 46.1% +3.8%
SAS 42.3%
Rim FG%
57.3%
59.3%
HOU 52.2% +12.2%
SAS 40.0%
Mid FG%
40.5%
37.2%
HOU 43.2% +8.2%
SAS 35.0%
3P %
36.4%
36.3%
HOU 12.5%
SAS 35.0% +22.5%
FT %
78.1%
72.4%
HOU 91.7% +9.9%
SAS 81.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.5%
37.6%
HOU 33.8% +8.8%
SAS 25.0%
Mid Att. %
47.8%
40.8%
HOU 54.4%
SAS 50.0% +4.4%
3P Att. %
23.7%
21.6%
HOU 11.8%
SAS 25.0% +13.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUSAS
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points7083
Rebounds3742
Assists1320
Steals410
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)8 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)29 (3)
Field Goals29-6829-80
At-the-Rim FG12-238-20
Midrange FG16-3714-40
2-Point FG28-6022-60
3-Point FG1-87-20
Free Throws11-1218-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
44.1
26
48%
7
4
1
0
5
2
1
6
4-4
100%
11-23
48%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 203 · 34
35.9
2
25%
2
3
1
0
2
5
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 200 · 32
35.1
8
67%
8
3
0
0
3
5
1
7
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'6" 310 · 25
32.8
18
53%
6
0
0
1
2
2
1
5
6-6
100%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 270 · 35
16.6
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 29
28.0
5
50%
5
0
1
1
0
3
1
4
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 188 · 30
17.7
5
36%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 36
17.2
2
25%
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
C · 7'2" 260 · 39
12.6
0
0%
4
0
1
1
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 29
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 245 · 29
F · 6'11" 240 · 33
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
70
46%
37
13
4
3
16
0
4
33
11-12
92%
28-60
47%
1-8
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.