FinalWin Prob.pScore
467%100
92
3133%94
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
108.28589.5
CHA logo CHA
104.49085.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA92
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0CHABOBCATS Rebound92
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot92
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)92
7.4%
94
92.6%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 292
2.6%
94
97.4%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)92
6.6%
94
93.4%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)91
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
11.1%
94
88.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0CHAMISS Knight Free Throw 2 of 291
10.1%
94
89.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0CHAKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)91
5.2%
94
94.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJones Layup (16 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)91
11.0%
93
89.0%
Q4 - 0:22.0CHAHart Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)89
7.0%
93
93.0%
Q4 - 0:22.0CHAMISS Hart Free Throw 1 of 289
8.0%
92
92.0%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIABrezec STEAL (2 STL)89
6.4%
92
93.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
16.9%
92
83.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0CHAMISS Hart 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
13.2%
92
86.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)89
12.8%
92
87.2%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)88
11.4%
92
88.6%
Q4 - 0:57.0CHABrezec 18' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Knight 16 AST)87
8.5%
92
91.5%
Q4 - 1:16CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
17.3%
90
82.7%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
20.5%
90
79.5%
Q4 - 1:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)87
32.9%
90
67.1%
Q4 - 1:32CHAMISS Brezec 10' Jump Shot87
29.1%
90
70.9%
Q4 - 1:48MIAWade 8' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)87
23.8%
90
76.2%
Q4 - 1:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)85
16.6%
90
83.4%
Q4 - 1:53CHAMISS Knight 9' Jump Shot85
14.5%
90
85.5%
Q4 - 2:03CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)85
11.2%
90
88.8%
Q4 - 2:04CHAMISS Brezec 18' Jump Shot85
16.8%
90
83.2%
Q4 - 2:18MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)85
11.3%
90
88.7%
Q4 - 2:28MIAHeat Rebound82
6.2%
90
93.8%
Q4 - 2:29CHAMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
5.0%
90
95.0%
Q4 - 2:52CHABOBCATS Rebound82
4.1%
90
95.9%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
4.8%
90
95.2%
Q4 - 3:22CHAEly 5' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Knight 15 AST)82
7.3%
90
92.7%
Q4 - 3:34MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
14.4%
88
85.6%
Q4 - 3:34MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)81
13.8%
88
86.2%
Q4 - 3:51CHABrezec 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Knight 14 AST)80
10.1%
88
89.9%
Q4 - 4:11MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)80
13.3%
86
86.7%
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 279
11.5%
86
88.5%
Q4 - 4:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
13.4%
86
86.6%
Q4 - 4:18CHAMISS Brezec 11' Jump Shot79
12.1%
86
87.9%
Q4 - 4:30CHABOBCATS Rebound79
9.3%
86
90.7%
Q4 - 4:31MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot79
10.4%
86
89.6%
Q4 - 5:06CHAHart 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)79
17.6%
86
82.4%
Q4 - 5:27MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)79
28.8%
83
71.2%
Q4 - 5:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)76
17.4%
83
82.6%
Q4 - 5:33CHAMISS Knight 6' Running Jump Shot76
15.9%
83
84.1%
Q4 - 5:57CHAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
12.8%
83
87.2%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot76
14.1%
83
85.9%
Q4 - 6:08MIAHeat Rebound76
21.6%
83
78.4%
Q4 - 6:10MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
17.8%
83
82.2%
Q4 - 6:26CHAWallace Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T10)76
21.4%
83
78.6%
Q4 - 6:27CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
16.2%
83
83.8%
Q4 - 6:28CHAMISS Ely 15' Jump Shot76
19.7%
83
80.3%
Q4 - 6:47MIAEly STEAL (2 STL)76
16.1%
83
83.9%
Q4 - 7:00CHABrezec 10' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Knight 13 AST)76
21.2%
83
78.8%
Q4 - 7:18MIAO'Neal Dunk (25 PTS)76
30.2%
81
69.8%
Q4 - 7:41CHABrezec 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)74
25.2%
81
74.8%
Q4 - 7:53CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)74
29.9%
79
70.1%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 274
30.8%
79
69.2%
Q4 - 7:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)74
33.4%
79
66.6%
Q4 - 7:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)73
30.7%
79
69.3%
Q4 - 7:54MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)73
26.3%
79
73.7%
Q4 - 8:20CHABrezec 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Knight 12 AST)73
32.9%
79
67.1%
Q4 - 8:28CHABOBCATS Rebound73
38.6%
77
61.4%
Q4 - 8:28MIAMISS Dooling Slam Dunk73
40.5%
77
59.5%
Q4 - 8:37CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)73
45.0%
77
55.0%
Q4 - 8:37CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 273
47.0%
76
53.0%
Q4 - 8:57MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)73
44.8%
76
55.2%
Q4 - 9:08CHAEly Foul Turnover (P2.T9)71
41.3%
76
58.7%
Q4 - 9:21MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T10)71
35.2%
76
64.8%
Q4 - 9:34CHAWallace Layup (16 PTS) (Hart 4 AST)71
41.1%
76
58.9%
Q4 - 9:38MIAEly STEAL (1 STL)71
46.7%
74
53.3%
Q4 - 9:55CHABrezec Layup (17 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)71
53.0%
74
47.0%
Q4 - 10:06MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
59.0%
72
41.0%
Q4 - 10:06MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 270
57.2%
72
42.8%
Q4 - 10:17MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
59.4%
72
40.6%
Q4 - 10:18CHAMISS Wallace Layup70
57.6%
72
42.4%
Q4 - 10:23CHAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
53.4%
72
46.6%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
55.3%
72
44.7%
Q4 - 10:41CHAEly Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)70
59.4%
72
40.6%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T8)70
53.5%
72
46.5%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
59.1%
72
40.9%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot70
55.2%
72
44.8%
Q4 - 11:37MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
59.1%
72
40.9%
Q4 - 11:38CHAMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot70
57.4%
72
42.6%
Q4 - 11:52CHAEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
53.5%
72
46.5%
Q4 - 11:53MIAMISS Doleac Layup70
55.2%
72
44.8%
Q4 - 11:53CHACarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)70
59.1%
72
40.9%
Q4 - 11:53CHACarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)70
60.1%
71
39.9%
Q4 - 12:00MIACarroll STEAL (1 STL)70
64.0%
70
36.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA70
69.1%
70
30.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMourning Layup (7 PTS)70
64.0%
70
36.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
60.1%
70
39.9%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 268
55.8%
70
44.2%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
58.6%
70
41.4%
Q3 - 0:20.0CHAEly 6' Driving Hook Shot (7 PTS)67
55.0%
70
45.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)67
60.0%
68
40.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0CHAHart Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)65
54.9%
68
45.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
49.8%
68
50.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Mourning 4' Jump Shot65
51.4%
68
48.6%
Q3 - 1:15CHAEly Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)65
56.4%
68
43.6%
Q3 - 1:15CHAEly Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)65
58.2%
67
41.8%
Q3 - 1:37CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)65
60.9%
66
39.1%
Q3 - 1:38CHAMISS Brezec 16' Jump Shot65
64.2%
66
35.8%
Q3 - 1:50CHAEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
60.9%
66
39.1%
Q3 - 1:51MIAMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot65
62.4%
66
37.6%
Q3 - 2:06CHAEly Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)65
65.7%
66
34.3%
Q3 - 2:06CHAMISS Ely Free Throw 1 of 265
67.2%
65
32.8%
Q3 - 2:28MIAO'Neal Dunk (22 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)65
65.3%
65
34.7%
Q3 - 2:43MIAHeat Rebound63
61.4%
65
38.6%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS Wade Layup63
58.0%
65
42.0%
Q3 - 3:02CHABrezec 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hart 3 AST)63
61.9%
65
38.1%
Q3 - 3:13CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
65.8%
63
34.2%
Q3 - 3:16MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot63
67.0%
63
33.0%
Q3 - 3:34MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
69.9%
63
30.1%
Q3 - 3:36CHAMISS Okafor 10' Jump Shot63
68.6%
63
31.4%
Q3 - 3:47CHABOBCATS Rebound63
65.7%
63
34.3%
Q3 - 3:50CHAMISS Kapono 15' Jump Shot63
68.6%
63
31.4%
Q3 - 3:57CHAKapono REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
65.7%
63
34.3%
Q3 - 3:59MIABrezec BLOCK (1 BLK)63
67.0%
63
33.0%
Q3 - 4:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)63
70.2%
63
29.8%
Q3 - 4:24CHAMISS Brezec 13' Jump Shot63
69.0%
63
31.0%
Q3 - 4:42MIADoleac Dunk (6 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)63
65.9%
63
34.1%
Q3 - 4:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
62.5%
63
37.5%
Q3 - 4:53CHAMISS Knight 15' Jump Shot61
61.1%
63
38.9%
Q3 - 5:07MIAWade Dunk (12 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)61
58.6%
63
41.4%
Q3 - 5:11CHAWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)59
54.8%
63
45.2%
Q3 - 5:33MIAO'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)59
50.2%
63
49.8%
Q3 - 5:59CHABrezec Layup (13 PTS) (Knight 11 AST)57
46.4%
63
53.6%
Q3 - 6:05CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
51.3%
61
48.7%
Q3 - 6:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
55.6%
61
44.4%
Q3 - 6:06MIAMISS Wade Layup57
52.6%
61
47.4%
Q3 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade Layup57
52.6%
61
47.4%
Q3 - 6:24CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
55.5%
61
44.5%
Q3 - 6:24CHAWallace Layup (14 PTS)57
55.5%
61
44.5%
Q3 - 6:26CHAMISS Wallace Layup57
62.0%
59
38.0%
Q3 - 6:47MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)57
59.1%
59
40.9%
Q3 - 6:54CHAWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)54
51.5%
59
48.5%
Q3 - 7:17MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)54
47.4%
59
52.6%
Q3 - 7:41CHAWallace Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Knight 10 AST)52
44.2%
59
55.8%
Q3 - 7:46MIAKnight STEAL (1 STL)52
47.5%
57
52.5%
Q3 - 7:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
51.9%
57
48.1%
Q3 - 7:54CHAMISS Knight 9' Jump Shot52
50.5%
57
49.5%
Q3 - 8:10MIAO'Neal Layup (18 PTS)52
48.5%
57
51.5%
Q3 - 8:27MIAHeat Rebound50
45.2%
57
54.8%
Q3 - 8:28CHAMISS Okafor 8' Hook Shot50
43.9%
57
56.1%
Q3 - 8:48MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)50
40.9%
57
59.1%
Q3 - 8:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)47
34.3%
57
65.7%
Q3 - 8:55CHAMISS Brezec 10' Jump Shot47
33.2%
57
66.8%
Q3 - 9:11MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
32.2%
57
67.8%
Q3 - 9:27CHAWallace Reverse Layup (10 PTS)45
29.2%
57
70.8%
Q3 - 9:36CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)45
32.2%
55
67.8%
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 245
32.6%
55
67.4%
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 245
34.0%
55
66.0%
Q3 - 9:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)45
35.5%
55
64.5%
Q3 - 9:50CHAMISS Brezec 22' Jump Shot45
34.5%
55
65.5%
Q3 - 10:08MIAO'Neal Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)45
33.8%
55
66.2%
Q3 - 10:19CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)43
31.0%
55
69.0%
Q3 - 10:19CHAWallace Layup (7 PTS) (Knight 9 AST)43
34.1%
54
65.9%
Q3 - 10:36MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
36.9%
52
63.1%
Q3 - 10:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
34.0%
52
66.0%
Q3 - 10:44CHAMISS Brezec 16' Jump Shot41
32.9%
52
67.1%
Q3 - 11:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)41
32.5%
52
67.5%
Q3 - 11:10MIAO'Neal Dunk (14 PTS)41
32.5%
52
67.5%
Q3 - 11:13MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot39
27.6%
52
72.4%
Q3 - 11:38CHAOkafor Layup (12 PTS)39
29.5%
52
70.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA39
32.3%
50
67.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHABOBCATS Rebound39
32.3%
50
67.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot39
34.6%
50
65.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0CHAKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
34.6%
50
65.4%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 239
34.9%
50
65.1%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 239
37.0%
50
63.0%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)39
36.7%
50
63.3%
Q2 - 0:12.0CHAMISS Wallace Layup39
36.0%
50
64.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0CHAEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
34.5%
50
65.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
35.1%
50
64.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)39
36.6%
50
63.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Doleac 12' Jump Shot39
35.1%
50
64.9%
Q2 - 1:00CHAKapono 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Knight 8 AST)39
36.6%
50
63.4%
Q2 - 1:13MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)39
41.9%
48
58.1%
Q2 - 1:29CHABrezec Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)37
37.3%
48
62.7%
Q2 - 1:29CHABrezec Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Knight 7 AST)37
40.4%
47
59.6%
Q2 - 1:44MIAOkafor STEAL (1 STL)37
45.0%
45
55.0%
Q2 - 2:01CHAKnight 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
48.3%
45
51.7%
Q2 - 2:06CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
51.6%
43
48.4%
Q2 - 2:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
54.5%
43
45.5%
Q2 - 2:08MIAMISS O'Neal Layup37
52.5%
43
47.5%
Q2 - 2:10MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot37
52.5%
43
47.5%
Q2 - 2:18MIAHeat Rebound37
54.5%
43
45.5%
Q2 - 2:18MIAOkafor BLOCK (2 BLK)37
52.5%
43
47.5%
Q2 - 2:36CHAKnight 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)37
54.4%
43
45.6%
Q2 - 2:39CHAKapono REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)37
57.8%
41
42.2%
Q2 - 2:42CHAMISS Kapono 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
59.7%
41
40.3%
Q2 - 2:47MIABrezec STEAL (1 STL)37
57.8%
41
42.2%
Q2 - 2:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
60.5%
41
39.5%
Q2 - 2:51MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
58.6%
41
41.4%
Q2 - 3:11CHAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)37
61.7%
41
38.3%
Q2 - 3:34MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)37
66.8%
38
33.2%
Q2 - 3:55CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
61.6%
38
38.4%
Q2 - 3:55CHAOkafor Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)34
61.6%
38
38.4%
Q2 - 3:57CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
64.1%
36
35.9%
Q2 - 3:57CHAMISS Wallace Layup34
66.2%
36
33.8%
Q2 - 4:00CHAMISS Brezec 19' Jump Shot34
66.2%
36
33.8%
Q2 - 4:25CHABOBCATS Rebound34
64.9%
36
35.1%
Q2 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade Layup34
65.7%
36
34.3%
Q2 - 4:46MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
67.4%
36
32.6%
Q2 - 4:48CHAMISS Wallace 22' Jump Shot34
66.7%
36
33.3%
Q2 - 5:21MIAZhi-zhi Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)34
65.2%
36
34.8%
Q2 - 5:44CHABrezec 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hart 2 AST)32
62.7%
36
37.3%
Q2 - 6:00MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)32
65.2%
34
34.8%
Q2 - 6:17MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
63.5%
34
36.5%
Q2 - 6:21CHAMISS Okafor 13' Jump Bank Shot30
62.5%
34
37.5%
Q2 - 6:26CHAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
60.4%
34
39.6%
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 22' Jump Shot30
61.3%
34
38.7%
Q2 - 6:46CHACarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)30
63.5%
34
36.5%
Q2 - 7:12MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)30
68.5%
31
31.5%
Q2 - 7:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 7:33CHAMISS Carroll 23' Jump Shot28
65.5%
31
34.5%
Q2 - 7:47CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
63.7%
31
36.3%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS O'Neal Layup28
64.5%
31
35.5%
Q2 - 8:07CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)28
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 8:07CHABrezec Layup (6 PTS)28
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 8:09CHAMISS Brezec Layup28
70.0%
29
30.0%
Q2 - 8:19CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
68.3%
29
31.7%
Q2 - 8:21CHAMISS Brezec 21' Jump Shot28
70.0%
29
30.0%
Q2 - 8:33CHARobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
68.3%
29
31.7%
Q2 - 8:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
70.8%
29
29.2%
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot28
69.1%
29
30.9%
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS O'Neal Finger Roll28
69.1%
29
30.9%
Q2 - 8:52CHAMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 128
70.5%
29
29.5%
Q2 - 8:52CHACarroll 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
70.8%
29
29.2%
Q2 - 8:58CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
72.6%
27
27.4%
Q2 - 9:01CHAMISS Hart 21' Jump Shot28
74.3%
27
25.7%
Q2 - 9:10CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
72.7%
27
27.3%
Q2 - 9:12MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 22' Jump Shot28
73.4%
27
26.6%
Q2 - 9:30CHAOkafor 12' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)28
74.9%
27
25.1%
Q2 - 9:47CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
76.5%
25
23.5%
Q2 - 9:49MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot28
77.2%
25
22.8%
Q2 - 9:57MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
78.5%
25
21.5%
Q2 - 10:00CHAMISS Hart 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
77.9%
25
22.1%
Q2 - 10:06CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
76.2%
25
23.8%
Q2 - 10:08MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
78.2%
25
21.8%
Q2 - 10:08MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 5' Hook Shot28
76.9%
25
23.1%
Q2 - 10:11MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
78.2%
25
21.8%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Layup28
76.9%
25
23.1%
Q2 - 10:13MIAOkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)28
76.9%
25
23.1%
Q2 - 10:31CHABrezec 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
78.2%
25
21.8%
Q2 - 10:43CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
79.7%
23
20.3%
Q2 - 10:45MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot28
80.2%
23
19.8%
Q2 - 10:58CHABOBCATS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)28
81.5%
23
18.5%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS)28
79.7%
23
20.3%
Q2 - 11:41MIAHeat Rebound26
78.1%
23
21.9%
Q2 - 11:42CHAMISS Robinson Layup26
77.6%
23
22.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA26
76.4%
23
23.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)26
76.4%
23
23.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
74.2%
23
25.8%
Q1 - 0:08.0CHAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot24
73.8%
23
26.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIADoleac Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)24
72.8%
23
27.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0CHACarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
74.3%
23
25.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0CHACarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
74.6%
22
25.4%
Q1 - 0:56.0CHABOBCATS Rebound24
76.4%
21
23.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAHart BLOCK (1 BLK)24
76.8%
21
23.2%
Q1 - 1:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
77.8%
21
22.2%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot24
76.9%
21
23.1%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
77.8%
21
22.2%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
76.9%
21
23.1%
Q1 - 1:22CHAEly Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
77.8%
21
22.2%
Q1 - 1:22CHAEly Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
78.4%
20
21.6%
Q1 - 1:42MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)24
79.7%
19
20.3%
Q1 - 2:04CHAWallace Dunk (5 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)22
78.1%
19
21.9%
Q1 - 2:22MIAWade Layup (6 PTS)22
79.8%
17
20.2%
Q1 - 2:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
78.1%
17
21.9%
Q1 - 2:30CHAMISS Ely 9' Hook Shot20
77.6%
17
22.4%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
76.6%
17
23.4%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMourning Layup (2 PTS)20
76.6%
17
23.4%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot18
73.5%
17
26.5%
Q1 - 3:14CHAKapono 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)18
74.8%
17
25.2%
Q1 - 3:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
76.3%
15
23.7%
Q1 - 3:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
76.0%
15
24.0%
Q1 - 3:33CHAWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
74.8%
15
25.2%
Q1 - 3:42CHAKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
72.9%
15
27.1%
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 216
73.2%
15
26.8%
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 216
74.3%
15
25.7%
Q1 - 3:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
74.8%
15
25.2%
Q1 - 3:48CHAMISS Wallace Layup16
74.3%
15
25.7%
Q1 - 4:06MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T2)16
73.1%
15
26.9%
Q1 - 4:23CHAOkafor Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)16
75.1%
15
24.9%
Q1 - 4:27CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
76.4%
13
23.6%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Wade Layup16
77.0%
13
23.0%
Q1 - 4:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
78.3%
13
21.7%
Q1 - 4:35CHAMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot16
77.7%
13
22.3%
Q1 - 4:38CHABOBCATS Rebound16
76.4%
13
23.6%
Q1 - 4:38CHAMISS Okafor 12' Jump Shot16
77.7%
13
22.3%
Q1 - 4:59MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
76.4%
13
23.6%
Q1 - 4:59MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
76.1%
13
23.9%
Q1 - 5:11CHAOkafor Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Ely 2 AST)14
75.1%
13
24.9%
Q1 - 5:26MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)14
76.5%
11
23.5%
Q1 - 5:42MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
78.2%
11
21.8%
Q1 - 5:45CHAMISS Ely 6' Hook Shot14
77.7%
11
22.3%
Q1 - 6:03MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)14
76.4%
11
23.6%
Q1 - 6:15MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
75.0%
11
25.0%
Q1 - 6:17CHAMISS Okafor 16' Jump Shot12
74.5%
11
25.5%
Q1 - 6:36MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)12
73.4%
11
26.6%
Q1 - 6:50CHAOkafor 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)10
71.8%
11
28.2%
Q1 - 7:11MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS)10
73.5%
9
26.5%
Q1 - 7:15CHAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
72.2%
9
27.8%
Q1 - 7:37MIAJones Finger Roll (2 PTS)8
70.4%
9
29.6%
Q1 - 7:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
69.0%
9
31.0%
Q1 - 7:47CHAMISS Knight 21' Jump Shot6
68.4%
9
31.6%
Q1 - 7:53CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
67.1%
9
32.9%
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
67.7%
9
32.3%
Q1 - 8:12CHAWallace 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)6
69.7%
9
30.3%
Q1 - 8:34MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
72.6%
6
27.4%
Q1 - 8:36MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
71.2%
6
28.8%
Q1 - 8:39MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot4
70.0%
6
30.0%
Q1 - 8:59CHAKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
71.2%
6
28.8%
Q1 - 9:08MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 14
69.5%
6
30.5%
Q1 - 9:08MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS)4
69.2%
6
30.8%
Q1 - 9:18CHAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
68.0%
6
32.0%
Q1 - 9:18CHAKapono Layup (4 PTS)2
68.0%
6
32.0%
Q1 - 9:21CHAMISS Okafor 16' Jump Shot2
70.6%
4
29.4%
Q1 - 9:32CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
69.2%
4
30.8%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Wade Layup2
69.9%
4
30.1%
Q1 - 9:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
71.3%
4
28.7%
Q1 - 10:00CHAMISS Knight 3PT Jump Shot2
70.7%
4
29.3%
Q1 - 10:04CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
69.4%
4
30.6%
Q1 - 10:06CHAMISS Knight 16' Jump Shot2
70.6%
4
29.4%
Q1 - 10:21CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
69.4%
4
30.6%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot2
69.9%
4
30.1%
Q1 - 10:40CHAKapono 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)2
71.1%
4
28.9%
Q1 - 10:46CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
72.4%
2
27.6%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot2
73.0%
2
27.0%
Q1 - 11:10CHABrezec 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)2
74.0%
2
26.0%
Q1 - 11:26MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
75.5%
0
24.5%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Okafor vs. O'Neal: Tip to Jones0
74.0%
0
26.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.4%
CHA
0.95 47.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
42
50%
CHA
17
24
71%
Midrange
MIA
11
27
41%
CHA
17
50
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
CHA
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
13
25
52%
CHA
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2657%13.0 / 23
D. Wade1940%9.5 / 24
E. Jones1673%8.0 / 11
D. Jones1359%6.5 / 11
M. Doleac833%4.0 / 12
A. Mourning880%4.0 / 5
W. Zhi-zhi217%1.0 / 6
K. Dooling0-0.0 / 2
S. Smith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Brezec2754%13.5 / 25
G. Wallace1753%8.5 / 16
E. Okafor1250%6.0 / 12
J. Kapono1169%5.5 / 8
M. Ely956%4.5 / 8
M. Carroll975%4.5 / 6
B. Knight525%2.5 / 10
J. Hart440%2.0 / 5
B. Robinson0-0.0 / 2
M. Allen0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+20
-12
93
CHA
81
+15
-9
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.4%
CHA
0.95 47.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
98.9
MIA 108.2 +3.8
CHA 104.4
Pace
93.9
94.4
MIA 89.5 +3.9
CHA 85.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.4
MIA 16.1 +0.7
CHA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
45.5%
MIA 47.0%
CHA 48.2% +1.2%
TO %
14.0%
14.6%
MIA 11.2%
CHA 9.9% +1.3%
ORB %
27.0%
29.6%
MIA 37.8% +8.5%
CHA 29.3%
FTrt
38.7
30.6
MIA 29.8 +6.9
CHA 22.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
60.6%
MIA 51.4%
CHA 73.7% +22.3%
STL %
6.8%
8.9%
MIA 4.7%
CHA 7.8% +3.1%
BLK %
8.7%
8.3%
MIA 10.8% +3.6%
CHA 7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
47.2%
MIA 47.4%
CHA 47.5% +0.1%
Rim FG%
63.0%
54.0%
MIA 50.0%
CHA 70.8% +20.8%
Mid FG%
41.0%
38.5%
MIA 40.7% +6.7%
CHA 34.0%
3P %
37.7%
36.3%
MIA 33.3%
CHA 44.4% +11.1%
FT %
67.2%
70.9%
MIA 52.0%
CHA 73.7% +21.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
32.0%
MIA 50.0% +21.1%
CHA 28.9%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
55.2%
MIA 32.1% +28.1%
CHA 60.2%
3P Att. %
19.8%
12.8%
MIA 17.9% +7.0%
CHA 10.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions8590
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points9294
Rebounds4640
Assists1928
Steals47
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (3)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)28 (6)
Field Goals37-8438-83
At-the-Rim FG21-4217-24
Midrange FG11-2717-50
2-Point FG32-6934-74
3-Point FG5-154-9
Free Throws13-2514-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
42.3
19
40%
5
4
1
3
2
2
3
2
5-8
63%
7-19
37%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
41.3
16
73%
4
3
0
0
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
3-3
100%
2-6
33%
F · 6'11" 262 · 28
38.0
8
33%
8
0
1
0
2
3
2
6
0-0
-
4-12
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
36.2
26
57%
16
3
1
4
3
3
6
10
2-7
29%
12-20
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 29
35.0
13
59%
3
6
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
C · 6'10" 261 · 35
14.5
8
80%
5
0
1
1
1
3
3
2
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
13.2
0
0%
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
6.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 284 · 28
6.8
2
17%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 36
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
47%
46
19
4
8
12
0
17
29
13-25
52%
32-69
46%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.