FinalWin Prob.pScore
3611%83
95
989%99
111
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
96.998106.5
SAS logo SAS
107.810395.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS95
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLHawks Rebound92
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLMISS Smith 3' Layup92
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASMISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot92
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0SASJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0ATLMISS Ekezie 12' Jump Shot92
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)92
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12ATLChildress Finger Roll (14 PTS)92
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18SASMISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34SASSPURS Rebound90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36ATLMISS Delk 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53SASJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59ATLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20SASUdrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50SASGinobili 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Nesterovic 3 AST)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05ATLHarrington 10' Jump Shot (19 PTS)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34ATLGugliotta Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)87
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 3:51SASParker 2' Finger Roll (22 PTS)87
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 4:02ATLChildress 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)87
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 4:26SASGinobili 1' Dunk (21 PTS)85
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:29SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)85
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 4:32ATLHorry BLOCK (3 BLK)85
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 4:51ATLGugliotta REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 4:53SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 285
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 4:53SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)85
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 5:05ATLSmith 1' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)85
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 5:18SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)83
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 5:18SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)83
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 5:41ATLHarrington 5' Jump Shot (17 PTS)83
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 6:08SASGinobili 2' Driving Finger Roll (16 PTS)81
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 6:27ATLHarrington Foul Turnover (P2.T9)81
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 6:39ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 6:41SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 281
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 6:41SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)81
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 7:00ATLDelk 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)81
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 7:15SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 7:15SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)79
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 7:30SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)79
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 7:33ATLMISS Gugliotta 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 7:57SASBarry 4' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)79
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 8:13ATLDiaw 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)79
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q4 - 8:21ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 8:23SASMISS Bowen 1' Layup77
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q4 - 8:28SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 8:30ATLMISS Harrington 12' Jump Shot77
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 8:48ATLGugliotta REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 8:50SASMISS Horry 16' Jump Shot77
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q4 - 9:07ATLDelk Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)77
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 9:07ATLMISS Delk Free Throw 1 of 276
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 9:12ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 9:14SASMISS Udrih 24' Jump Shot76
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 9:29SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 9:31ATLHorry BLOCK (2 BLK)76
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 9:43ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 9:45SASMISS Bowen 7' Jump Shot76
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 10:07ATLDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)76
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q4 - 10:07ATLMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 275
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 10:20SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)75
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 10:49SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 10:51ATLMISS Delk 17' Jump Shot75
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 11:08SASMohammed Foul Turnover (P3.T14)75
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 11:24ATLHarrington 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)75
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 11:42ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 11:44SASMISS Mohammed 6' Jump Shot73
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS73
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLIvey 1' Layup (2 PTS)73
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)71
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASParker 2' Layup (19 PTS)71
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 171
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0ATLChildress Layup (10 PTS)71
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Delk 2' Layup69
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)69
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0ATLDiaw 1' Layup (6 PTS)69
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q3 - 1:16SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)67
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 1:16SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)67
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 1:27ATLDelk 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)67
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q3 - 1:42ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 1:43SASMISS Mohammed Free Throw 2 of 264
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 1:43SASMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 264
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 1:57ATLDelk 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)64
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 2:09ATLHawks Rebound62
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 2:09ATLMohammed BLOCK (3 BLK)62
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 2:17ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 2:19SASMISS Mohammed 2' Layup62
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q3 - 2:30SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 2:32ATLMISS Delk 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 2:40ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 2:42SASMISS Mohammed 2' Layup62
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q3 - 2:58ATLDelk 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)62
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 3:11SASMohammed Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)60
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 3:11SASMohammed 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)60
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 3:24SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 3:26ATLMISS Childress Reverse Layup60
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 3:33SASMohammed Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)60
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 4:04ATLHarrington 1' Dunk (13 PTS)60
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 4:25SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)58
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 4:47ATLChildress 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)58
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 5:03SASNesterovic 4' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)56
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 5:22SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q3 - 5:24ATLMISS Lue 15' Jump Shot56
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 5:31ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q3 - 5:33SASMISS Bowen 2' Layup56
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 5:48ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 156
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q3 - 5:48ATLSmith 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Gugliotta 2 AST)56
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q3 - 5:48ATLGugliotta REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 5:48ATLHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)54
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 5:48ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 5:48SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q3 - 6:09ATLLue 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)54
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 6:12ATLLue Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)51
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 6:28SASHorry 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)50
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 6:39ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)50
0.9%
68
99.1%
Q3 - 6:39ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
0.9%
68
99.1%
Q3 - 6:52SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)48
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 6:52SASGinobili Layup (10 PTS)48
0.9%
67
99.1%
Q3 - 6:57SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q3 - 6:58ATLMISS Ekezie 2' Layup48
1.1%
65
98.9%
Q3 - 7:11SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)48
1.3%
65
98.7%
Q3 - 7:32ATLLue 2' Layup (7 PTS)48
1.1%
65
98.9%
Q3 - 7:50ATLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q3 - 7:53SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot46
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q3 - 8:07ATLEkezie Foul Turnover (P1.T8)46
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q3 - 8:15SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)46
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q3 - 8:36ATLEkezie 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)46
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q3 - 8:39ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q3 - 8:41SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup44
0.7%
65
99.3%
Q3 - 8:56ATLLue 18' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)44
0.6%
65
99.4%
Q3 - 9:20SASParker 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)42
0.6%
65
99.4%
Q3 - 9:25SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
0.7%
63
99.3%
Q3 - 9:27ATLBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)42
0.7%
63
99.3%
Q3 - 9:46SASParker 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)42
0.8%
63
99.2%
Q3 - 10:10ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
0.9%
61
99.1%
Q3 - 10:10ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 241
0.9%
61
99.1%
Q3 - 10:34SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
1.0%
61
99.0%
Q3 - 10:34SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
1.0%
60
99.0%
Q3 - 10:35SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
1.1%
59
98.9%
Q3 - 10:37SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q3 - 10:53ATLHarrington 2' Layup (8 PTS)41
1.1%
59
98.9%
Q3 - 11:17ATLEkezie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q3 - 11:18SASMISS Bowen 2' Layup39
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 11:33SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 11:35ATLMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS39
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLDelk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)39
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASUdrih 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)36
0.7%
59
99.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0ATLBowen STEAL (1 STL)36
1.0%
56
99.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0SASMohammed Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)36
1.1%
56
98.9%
Q2 - 1:01ATLDelk 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)36
1.1%
56
98.9%
Q2 - 1:14SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)34
0.9%
56
99.1%
Q2 - 1:14SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)34
0.9%
55
99.1%
Q2 - 1:17SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 1:19ATLMISS Lue 2' Layup34
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 1:23ATLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 1:24SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot34
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 1:39SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 1:41ATLMISS Childress 2' Layup34
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 1:48ATLGugliotta REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 1:50SASMISS Nesterovic 12' Jump Shot34
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 2:05ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T6)34
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 2:17SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
1.2%
54
98.8%
Q2 - 2:30SASJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
1.6%
51
98.4%
Q2 - 2:32ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot34
1.7%
51
98.3%
Q2 - 2:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
1.8%
51
98.2%
Q2 - 2:39SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot34
1.7%
51
98.3%
Q2 - 2:50SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
1.6%
51
98.4%
Q2 - 2:52ATLMISS Gugliotta 13' Jump Shot34
1.7%
51
98.3%
Q2 - 3:03ATLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
1.9%
51
98.1%
Q2 - 3:05ATLMISS Drobnjak 19' Jump Shot34
1.8%
51
98.2%
Q2 - 3:21SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 134
1.9%
51
98.1%
Q2 - 3:21SASParker 2' Layup (9 PTS)34
1.9%
51
98.1%
Q2 - 3:24SASJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
2.1%
49
97.9%
Q2 - 3:26ATLMISS Lue 17' Jump Shot34
2.2%
49
97.8%
Q2 - 3:39ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
2.4%
49
97.6%
Q2 - 3:41SASMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot34
2.3%
49
97.7%
Q2 - 4:00ATLChildress 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)34
2.1%
49
97.9%
Q2 - 4:05SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)32
2.0%
49
98.0%
Q2 - 4:09SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
1.8%
49
98.2%
Q2 - 4:12ATLMISS Harrington 1' Driving Layup32
1.8%
49
98.2%
Q2 - 4:23ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
2.0%
49
98.0%
Q2 - 4:25SASMISS Barry 1' Layup32
1.9%
49
98.1%
Q2 - 4:44SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
1.8%
49
98.2%
Q2 - 4:46ATLMISS Childress 13' Jump Shot32
1.8%
49
98.2%
Q2 - 4:56ATLEkezie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
2.0%
49
98.0%
Q2 - 4:57ATLMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot32
1.8%
49
98.2%
Q2 - 5:20SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)32
2.0%
49
98.0%
Q2 - 5:20ATLHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T5)32
1.8%
49
98.2%
Q2 - 5:31SASHorry 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)32
2.0%
49
98.0%
Q2 - 5:55ATLDelk 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)32
2.5%
46
97.5%
Q2 - 6:18SASBowen 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)30
2.3%
46
97.7%
Q2 - 6:33ATLLue 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS)30
2.5%
44
97.5%
Q2 - 6:48SASNesterovic 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)28
2.3%
44
97.7%
Q2 - 7:00SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
2.5%
42
97.5%
Q2 - 7:03ATLMISS Delk 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
2.8%
42
97.2%
Q2 - 7:21SASHorry Dunk (7 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)28
3.0%
42
97.0%
Q2 - 7:39ATLEkezie 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
3.3%
40
96.7%
Q2 - 7:59ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
3.0%
40
97.0%
Q2 - 8:02SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
3.0%
40
97.0%
Q2 - 8:21ATLHarrington 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
2.7%
40
97.3%
Q2 - 8:46SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
2.5%
40
97.5%
Q2 - 8:46SASNesterovic 1' Layup (6 PTS)24
2.5%
40
97.5%
Q2 - 8:47SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup24
3.0%
38
97.0%
Q2 - 8:54SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
2.7%
38
97.3%
Q2 - 8:56ATLMISS Delk 21' Jump Shot24
2.8%
38
97.2%
Q2 - 9:13SASHorry 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)24
3.1%
38
96.9%
Q2 - 9:27ATLDelk Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
3.7%
35
96.3%
Q2 - 9:27ATLDelk Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
3.7%
35
96.3%
Q2 - 9:31SASUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)22
3.4%
35
96.6%
Q2 - 9:47ATLEkezie 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Gugliotta 1 AST)22
3.1%
35
96.9%
Q2 - 10:00SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)20
2.8%
35
97.2%
Q2 - 10:15SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
2.6%
35
97.4%
Q2 - 10:17ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot20
2.7%
35
97.3%
Q2 - 10:36SASNesterovic 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)20
2.9%
35
97.1%
Q2 - 10:51ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
3.2%
33
96.8%
Q2 - 10:51ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 219
3.1%
33
96.9%
Q2 - 10:54SASUdrih Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)19
3.2%
33
96.8%
Q2 - 10:58SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
2.9%
33
97.1%
Q2 - 11:00ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot19
3.0%
33
97.0%
Q2 - 11:11SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
3.2%
33
96.8%
Q2 - 11:14ATLBarry STEAL (1 STL)19
2.9%
33
97.1%
Q2 - 11:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
3.2%
33
96.8%
Q2 - 11:20SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot19
3.1%
33
96.9%
Q2 - 11:42SASSPURS Rebound19
2.9%
33
97.1%
Q2 - 11:43ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot19
3.0%
33
97.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS19
3.2%
33
96.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
2.9%
33
97.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
3.1%
33
96.9%
Q1 - 0:09.0SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
3.0%
33
97.0%
Q1 - 0:10.0ATLMISS Ivey Free Throw 2 of 219
3.0%
33
97.0%
Q1 - 0:10.0ATLMISS Ivey Free Throw 1 of 219
3.2%
33
96.8%
Q1 - 0:11.0ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
3.2%
33
96.8%
Q1 - 0:13.0SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot19
3.1%
33
96.9%
Q1 - 0:33.0ATLDelk 1' Layup (2 PTS)19
3.0%
33
97.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)17
2.7%
33
97.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0SASBarry 1' Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)17
2.9%
32
97.1%
Q1 - 0:48.0ATLParker STEAL (1 STL)17
3.3%
30
96.7%
Q1 - 1:02SASParker 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)17
3.5%
30
96.5%
Q1 - 1:21SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
3.9%
28
96.1%
Q1 - 1:23ATLMISS Drobnjak 1' Layup17
4.0%
28
96.0%
Q1 - 1:44SASMarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
4.2%
28
95.8%
Q1 - 1:44SASMarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
4.3%
27
95.7%
Q1 - 1:53ATLDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
4.7%
26
95.3%
Q1 - 1:53ATLDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
4.6%
26
95.4%
Q1 - 1:58SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
4.2%
26
95.8%
Q1 - 1:58SASBarry 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)15
4.6%
25
95.4%
Q1 - 2:02SASParker Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
5.1%
23
94.9%
Q1 - 2:02SASParker Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (4 PTS)15
5.3%
22
94.7%
Q1 - 2:03SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
6.1%
21
93.9%
Q1 - 2:06ATLMohammed BLOCK (2 BLK)15
6.3%
21
93.7%
Q1 - 2:13ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
6.6%
21
93.4%
Q1 - 2:17SASMISS Marks 14' Jump Shot15
6.5%
21
93.5%
Q1 - 2:37ATLDiaw 2' Layup (2 PTS)15
6.1%
21
93.9%
Q1 - 2:39ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
5.6%
21
94.4%
Q1 - 2:40ATLBarry BLOCK (1 BLK)13
5.3%
21
94.7%
Q1 - 2:47ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
5.6%
21
94.4%
Q1 - 2:49SASMISS Barry 2' Layup13
5.4%
21
94.6%
Q1 - 2:56SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
5.1%
21
94.9%
Q1 - 2:58ATLMISS Diaw 5' Jump Shot13
5.3%
21
94.7%
Q1 - 3:04ATLHawks Rebound13
5.7%
21
94.3%
Q1 - 3:04ATLMohammed BLOCK (1 BLK)13
5.3%
21
94.7%
Q1 - 3:20ATLGugliotta REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
5.6%
21
94.4%
Q1 - 3:22SASMISS Marks 20' Jump Shot13
5.5%
21
94.5%
Q1 - 3:37SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
5.1%
21
94.9%
Q1 - 3:38ATLMISS Drobnjak 16' Jump Shot13
5.3%
21
94.7%
Q1 - 3:49SASMarks Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)13
5.6%
21
94.4%
Q1 - 3:49SASMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
5.1%
21
94.9%
Q1 - 3:50ATLMISS Delk 4' Jump Shot13
5.3%
21
94.7%
Q1 - 4:11SASBowen 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)13
5.6%
21
94.4%
Q1 - 4:29SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
5.9%
19
94.1%
Q1 - 4:31ATLMISS Delk 17' Jump Shot13
6.1%
19
93.9%
Q1 - 4:51SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
6.6%
19
93.4%
Q1 - 5:08ATLChildress 1' Layup (4 PTS)13
5.9%
19
94.1%
Q1 - 5:09ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
5.5%
19
94.5%
Q1 - 5:11ATLMISS Ekezie 1' Layup11
5.2%
19
94.8%
Q1 - 5:23ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
5.5%
19
94.5%
Q1 - 5:25SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot11
5.4%
19
94.6%
Q1 - 5:35SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
5.0%
19
95.0%
Q1 - 5:37ATLMISS Lue 19' Jump Shot11
5.2%
19
94.8%
Q1 - 5:53SASBowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)11
5.5%
19
94.5%
Q1 - 6:08SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
6.4%
16
93.6%
Q1 - 6:10ATLMISS Gugliotta 18' Jump Shot11
6.6%
16
93.4%
Q1 - 6:34SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)11
7.0%
16
93.0%
Q1 - 6:48ATLChildress 1' Layup (2 PTS)11
7.5%
14
92.5%
Q1 - 6:54SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)9
7.0%
14
93.0%
Q1 - 6:59SASSPURS Rebound9
6.4%
14
93.6%
Q1 - 7:01SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
6.8%
14
93.2%
Q1 - 7:20ATLHarrington Slam Dunk (4 PTS)9
6.4%
14
93.6%
Q1 - 7:29ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
6.0%
14
94.0%
Q1 - 7:30SASMISS Nesterovic 14' Jump Shot7
5.9%
14
94.1%
Q1 - 7:53ATLEkezie 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
5.6%
14
94.4%
Q1 - 8:17SASParker 1' Layup (3 PTS)5
5.1%
14
94.9%
Q1 - 8:24ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
5.4%
12
94.6%
Q1 - 8:24ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
5.3%
12
94.7%
Q1 - 8:38SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)3
5.1%
12
94.9%
Q1 - 8:38SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 23
5.2%
11
94.8%
Q1 - 8:41ATLNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)3
5.1%
11
94.9%
Q1 - 8:55SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)3
5.5%
11
94.5%
Q1 - 9:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
6.2%
8
93.8%
Q1 - 9:08ATLNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)3
6.3%
8
93.7%
Q1 - 9:30SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)3
6.7%
8
93.3%
Q1 - 9:47SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
7.6%
5
92.4%
Q1 - 9:48ATLEkezie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
8.3%
5
91.7%
Q1 - 9:48ATLMISS Ekezie 3' Tip Shot3
7.8%
5
92.2%
Q1 - 9:50ATLMISS Childress 6' Jump Shot3
7.8%
5
92.2%
Q1 - 10:15SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
8.2%
5
91.8%
Q1 - 10:15SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 23
8.4%
4
91.6%
Q1 - 10:22ATLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)3
8.2%
4
91.8%
Q1 - 10:26ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
8.8%
4
91.2%
Q1 - 10:28SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot3
8.6%
4
91.4%
Q1 - 10:40SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
8.2%
4
91.8%
Q1 - 10:43ATLMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
8.4%
4
91.6%
Q1 - 10:49ATLEkezie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
8.8%
4
91.2%
Q1 - 10:51SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot3
8.6%
4
91.4%
Q1 - 11:06ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
8.2%
4
91.8%
Q1 - 11:06ATLMISS Lue Free Throw 1 of 22
8.1%
4
91.9%
Q1 - 11:21SASHorry Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)2
8.1%
4
91.9%
Q1 - 11:29ATLSmith 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)2
8.7%
2
91.3%
Q1 - 11:44SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
8.1%
2
91.9%
Q1 - 11:44SASNesterovic 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)0
8.1%
2
91.9%
Q1 - 11:46SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup0
9.1%
0
90.9%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Smith: Tip to Parker0
8.7%
0
91.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.98 49.0%
SAS
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
22
43
51%
SAS
20
32
63%
Midrange
ATL
12
31
39%
SAS
6
20
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
SAS
12
18.0
21
57%
86%
Free Throws
ATL
15
25
60%
SAS
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Delk2455%12.0 / 22
A. Harrington2056%10.0 / 18
J. Childress1454%7.0 / 13
T. Lue1155%5.5 / 10
B. Diaw964%4.5 / 7
O. Ekezie850%4.0 / 8
J. Smith739%3.5 / 9
R. Ivey250%1.0 / 2
T. Gugliotta0-0.0 / 3
P. Drobnjak0-0.0 / 4
D. Smith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2361%11.5 / 19
B. Barry2382%11.5 / 14
T. Parker2265%11.0 / 17
R. Horry1286%6.0 / 7
B. Bowen1050%5.0 / 10
R. Nesterovic1056%5.0 / 9
B. Udrih675%3.0 / 4
N. Mohammed325%1.5 / 6
S. Marks233%1.0 / 3
L. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
87
+9
-11
96
SAS
88
+5
-15
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.98 49.0%
SAS
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.6
104.9
ATL 96.9 +10.8
SAS 107.8
Pace
93.3
91.2
ATL 106.5 +11.1
SAS 95.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.2
ATL 13.5 +1.6
SAS 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.4%
49.2%
ATL 47.6%
SAS 60.3% +12.7%
TO %
16.3%
14.2%
ATL 10.4% +5.3%
SAS 15.7%
ORB %
30.8%
29.2%
ATL 15.6% +4.8%
SAS 10.8%
FTrt
29.9
32.9
ATL 29.8
SAS 41.1 +11.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.9%
60.6%
ATL 39.5%
SAS 60.5% +21.0%
STL %
8.1%
8.2%
ATL 7.1% +1.3%
SAS 5.8%
BLK %
6.7%
9.9%
ATL 7.7%
SAS 12.2% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.8%
50.6%
ATL 49.0%
SAS 58.4% +9.4%
Rim FG%
55.4%
59.3%
ATL 51.2%
SAS 62.5% +11.3%
Mid FG%
37.3%
37.2%
ATL 38.7% +8.7%
SAS 30.0%
3P %
31.2%
36.3%
ATL 40.0%
SAS 57.1% +17.1%
FT %
71.1%
72.4%
ATL 60.0%
SAS 76.7% +16.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.4%
37.6%
ATL 51.2% +7.4%
SAS 43.8%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
40.8%
ATL 36.9%
SAS 27.4% +9.5%
3P Att. %
14.6%
21.6%
ATL 11.9%
SAS 28.8% +16.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsATLSAS
Possessions98103
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points95111
Rebounds4042
Assists1523
Steals76
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)4 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)38 (2)
Field Goals38-8438-73
At-the-Rim FG22-4320-32
Midrange FG12-316-20
2-Point FG34-7426-52
3-Point FG4-1012-21
Free Throws15-2523-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 210 · 22
38.4
14
54%
8
2
0
0
0
3
2
6
0-1
0%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 25
33.0
20
56%
5
3
0
0
2
5
0
5
6-8
75%
7-13
54%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 175 · 28
30.6
11
55%
4
3
1
0
2
1
1
3
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 19
26.7
7
39%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-3
33%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 270 · 30
22.6
8
50%
4
0
1
1
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 35
29.1
0
0%
5
2
1
3
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 31
25.6
24
55%
3
0
2
0
1
3
0
3
3-4
75%
6-14
43%
3-6
50%
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 23
13.3
9
64%
3
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 23
8.7
2
50%
2
1
1
0
1
3
0
2
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 29
8.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 21
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 260 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
49%
40
15
7
4
11
0
7
33
15-25
60%
34-74
46%
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.