FinalWin Prob.pScore
1332%87
94
768%93
81
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
116.08186.3
DET logo DET
105.27773.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDET
Q4 - 0:00.0IND94
100%
81
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETHam Dunk (2 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)94
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDDelfino STEAL (2 STL)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETMISS Milicic 15' Jump Shot94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0INDMISS Edwards 15' Jump Shot94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15DETMISS Ham Free Throw 2 of 294
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15DETMISS Ham Free Throw 1 of 294
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25INDJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59DETArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)91
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 1:59DETArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)91
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 1:59DETMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 2:00INDMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot91
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 2:33DETDelfino Driving Layup (9 PTS)91
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 2:46INDJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46INDMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 290
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 3:12DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)90
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 3:29INDJohnson Driving Layup (11 PTS)90
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 3:55INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 3:57DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot88
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 4:13INDJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)88
99.2%
73
0.8%
Q4 - 4:35DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)85
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q4 - 4:35DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)85
98.5%
72
1.5%
Q4 - 4:42DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
98.9%
71
1.1%
Q4 - 4:44INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.0%
71
1.0%
Q4 - 4:56DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 4:56DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)85
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q4 - 4:56DETPISTONS Rebound85
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 4:57INDMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot85
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 5:17DETDelfino 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)85
99.3%
69
0.7%
Q4 - 5:35INDGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 5:35INDGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 5:35INDGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 5:39DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 5:50INDPollard Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)83
99.3%
66
0.7%
Q4 - 5:50INDMISS Pollard Free Throw 1 of 282
99.2%
66
0.8%
Q4 - 5:50DETBillups Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)82
99.3%
66
0.7%
Q4 - 6:04INDPacers Rebound82
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q4 - 6:04DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot82
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q4 - 6:21INDGill 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)82
98.7%
65
1.3%
Q4 - 6:47DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
97.8%
65
2.2%
Q4 - 6:47DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)79
97.9%
64
2.1%
Q4 - 7:06INDJohnson 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)79
97.3%
63
2.7%
Q4 - 7:40DETArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)77
96.7%
63
3.3%
Q4 - 8:00INDJones 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)77
95.6%
63
4.4%
Q4 - 8:19DETArroyo Foul Turnover (P1.T7)75
92.7%
63
7.3%
Q4 - 8:51INDJones Driving Layup (6 PTS)75
90.8%
63
9.2%
Q4 - 9:08INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
86.4%
63
13.6%
Q4 - 9:10DETMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot73
85.5%
63
14.5%
Q4 - 9:26INDJones Driving Layup (4 PTS)73
83.3%
63
16.7%
Q4 - 9:45DETArroyo Driving Layup (4 PTS)71
79.9%
63
20.1%
Q4 - 10:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)71
81.2%
61
18.8%
Q4 - 10:04INDMISS Gill 12' Jump Shot71
82.3%
61
17.7%
Q4 - 10:29DETBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T6)71
84.7%
61
15.3%
Q4 - 10:41DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
81.3%
61
18.7%
Q4 - 10:43DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
83.8%
61
16.2%
Q4 - 11:06INDGill Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)71
79.8%
61
20.2%
Q4 - 11:06INDGill Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)70
79.2%
61
20.8%
Q4 - 11:06INDGill Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)69
78.6%
61
21.4%
Q4 - 11:37DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)68
72.2%
61
27.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET68
67.4%
61
32.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDCroshere Layup (15 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)68
67.4%
61
32.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)66
60.8%
61
39.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0DETMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot66
59.3%
61
40.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0INDJackson Dunk (12 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)66
55.9%
61
44.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)64
50.7%
61
49.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0INDMISS Jackson 13' Jump Shot64
47.2%
61
52.8%
Q3 - 1:10DETBillups 22' Jump Shot (20 PTS)64
49.4%
61
50.6%
Q3 - 1:16DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
54.1%
59
45.9%
Q3 - 1:20INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
55.7%
59
44.3%
Q3 - 1:39DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)64
59.1%
59
40.9%
Q3 - 2:06INDJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)64
65.6%
56
34.4%
Q3 - 2:29DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)61
57.3%
56
42.7%
Q3 - 2:41INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
65.8%
53
34.2%
Q3 - 2:41INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
64.4%
53
35.6%
Q3 - 2:56DETWallace 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)59
61.9%
53
38.1%
Q3 - 3:19INDCroshere Layup (13 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)59
64.6%
51
35.4%
Q3 - 3:40DETWallace 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)57
60.7%
51
39.3%
Q3 - 3:57DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
64.7%
49
35.3%
Q3 - 3:59INDMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot57
66.0%
49
34.0%
Q3 - 4:18INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
67.3%
49
32.7%
Q3 - 4:20DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
65.9%
49
34.1%
Q3 - 4:27DETBillups Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)57
62.8%
49
37.2%
Q3 - 4:34INDJackson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)57
66.8%
48
33.2%
Q3 - 4:51DETWallace Layup (6 PTS)55
63.5%
48
36.5%
Q3 - 4:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)55
66.8%
46
33.2%
Q3 - 4:56DETMISS Hunter Layup55
69.8%
46
30.2%
Q3 - 5:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)55
65.6%
46
34.4%
Q3 - 5:15INDMISS Croshere 17' Jump Shot55
66.8%
46
33.2%
Q3 - 5:37INDDavis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)55
69.5%
46
30.5%
Q3 - 5:39DETMISS Hunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
68.4%
46
31.6%
Q3 - 6:05INDCroshere 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)55
63.8%
46
36.2%
Q3 - 6:20INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
60.4%
46
39.6%
Q3 - 6:22DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot53
59.2%
46
40.8%
Q3 - 6:43DETHunter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
56.3%
46
43.7%
Q3 - 6:45DETMISS Hunter 14' Jump Shot53
59.3%
46
40.7%
Q3 - 6:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)53
56.4%
46
43.6%
Q3 - 7:00DETMISS Prince 7' Hook Shot53
59.3%
46
40.7%
Q3 - 7:26INDMiller 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)53
54.9%
46
45.1%
Q3 - 7:29INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
47.8%
46
52.2%
Q3 - 7:32INDMISS Miller 13' Running Jump Shot50
44.7%
46
55.3%
Q3 - 7:44INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
47.8%
46
52.2%
Q3 - 7:46DETMISS Hunter 21' Jump Shot50
46.4%
46
53.6%
Q3 - 7:59DETBillups Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)50
43.4%
46
56.6%
Q3 - 8:09INDJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T7)50
46.7%
45
53.3%
Q3 - 8:29DETWallace 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
51.0%
45
49.0%
Q3 - 8:51INDDavis Layup (9 PTS)50
54.3%
43
45.7%
Q3 - 8:52INDDavis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)48
51.0%
43
49.0%
Q3 - 8:54INDWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)48
48.0%
43
52.0%
Q3 - 9:12DETPrince Driving Layup (11 PTS)48
49.4%
43
50.6%
Q3 - 9:30INDCroshere 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)48
53.0%
41
47.0%
Q3 - 9:48INDPacers Rebound46
49.6%
41
50.4%
Q3 - 9:49DETMISS Wallace Layup46
48.4%
41
51.6%
Q3 - 10:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
44.5%
41
55.5%
Q3 - 10:07INDWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)46
45.8%
41
54.2%
Q3 - 10:31DETWallace 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)46
48.6%
41
51.4%
Q3 - 10:51INDJackson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)46
51.7%
39
48.3%
Q3 - 11:15DETWallace 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)43
44.0%
39
56.0%
Q3 - 11:39DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
47.3%
37
52.7%
Q3 - 11:41INDMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot43
48.4%
37
51.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET43
51.0%
37
49.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound43
47.3%
37
52.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Wallace 43' 3PT Jump Shot43
49.9%
37
50.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)43
47.1%
37
52.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDMISS Davis Tip Shot43
47.8%
37
52.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)43
49.3%
37
50.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0INDMISS Croshere 23' Jump Shot43
47.8%
37
52.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
49.4%
37
50.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
50.1%
36
49.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)43
53.7%
35
46.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0DETMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot43
55.4%
35
44.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0INDDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
53.7%
35
46.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0INDDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
52.6%
35
47.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0INDDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)41
49.5%
35
50.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0INDMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot41
47.8%
35
52.2%
Q2 - 1:07INDDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)41
48.5%
35
51.5%
Q2 - 1:10DETMISS Wallace 5' Hook Shot41
48.0%
35
52.0%
Q2 - 1:29INDDavis Layup (5 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)41
46.9%
35
53.1%
Q2 - 1:45INDDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
42.2%
35
57.8%
Q2 - 1:46DETMISS Wallace Layup39
41.7%
35
58.3%
Q2 - 2:01INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)39
39.3%
35
60.7%
Q2 - 2:01INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)38
39.1%
35
60.9%
Q2 - 2:12INDDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
36.3%
35
63.7%
Q2 - 2:14DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot37
35.4%
35
64.6%
Q2 - 2:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)37
33.7%
35
66.3%
Q2 - 2:38INDMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 237
34.0%
35
66.0%
Q2 - 2:38INDDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
35.6%
35
64.4%
Q2 - 2:38INDDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
33.4%
35
66.6%
Q2 - 2:39INDWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)36
31.7%
35
68.3%
Q2 - 2:59DETWallace Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)36
33.4%
35
66.6%
Q2 - 3:17INDMISS Croshere Free Throw 1 of 136
36.0%
33
64.0%
Q2 - 3:17INDCroshere Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)36
35.5%
33
64.5%
Q2 - 3:41DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)34
33.2%
33
66.8%
Q2 - 3:48DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
38.4%
30
61.6%
Q2 - 3:50INDMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot34
39.4%
30
60.6%
Q2 - 3:54INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
41.6%
30
58.4%
Q2 - 3:57DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot34
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 3:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)34
38.4%
30
61.6%
Q2 - 3:59DETMISS Prince Layup34
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 4:22INDJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
37.8%
30
62.2%
Q2 - 4:33DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)34
40.5%
30
59.5%
Q2 - 4:49INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)34
37.8%
30
62.2%
Q2 - 5:13DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
40.2%
30
59.8%
Q2 - 5:13DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 234
40.7%
29
59.3%
Q2 - 5:25DETPISTONS Rebound34
40.0%
29
60.0%
Q2 - 5:26INDMISS Davis Layup34
40.9%
29
59.1%
Q2 - 5:27INDDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
42.9%
29
57.1%
Q2 - 5:28INDMISS Johnson Layup34
40.9%
29
59.1%
Q2 - 5:41INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
42.9%
29
57.1%
Q2 - 5:43DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot34
42.0%
29
58.0%
Q2 - 5:53DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
40.0%
29
60.0%
Q2 - 5:56INDMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot34
40.9%
29
59.1%
Q2 - 6:03DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)34
42.5%
29
57.5%
Q2 - 6:05DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
39.3%
29
60.7%
Q2 - 6:08DETMISS Prince Layup34
41.5%
29
58.5%
Q2 - 6:21INDFoster Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)34
39.3%
29
60.7%
Q2 - 6:34DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 6:34DETPISTONS Rebound34
42.0%
28
58.0%
Q2 - 6:34DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 234
43.3%
28
56.7%
Q2 - 6:46DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)34
42.0%
28
58.0%
Q2 - 6:47DETMISS Prince Layup34
44.3%
28
55.7%
Q2 - 7:06INDJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS)34
41.5%
28
58.5%
Q2 - 7:13INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
39.2%
28
60.8%
Q2 - 7:15DETMISS McDyess 14' Jump Shot32
38.3%
28
61.7%
Q2 - 7:30INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)32
36.5%
28
63.5%
Q2 - 7:30INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)31
36.3%
28
63.7%
Q2 - 7:42DETMcDyess 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)30
34.3%
28
65.7%
Q2 - 8:00INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)30
36.5%
26
63.5%
Q2 - 8:00INDMiller Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)29
36.7%
26
63.3%
Q2 - 8:00INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
33.4%
26
66.6%
Q2 - 8:10INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q2 - 8:12DETMISS Delfino Layup27
31.0%
26
69.0%
Q2 - 8:34INDMiller 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)27
29.3%
26
70.7%
Q2 - 8:53DETDelfino Dunk (4 PTS)25
27.5%
26
72.5%
Q2 - 8:54INDDelfino STEAL (1 STL)25
29.3%
24
70.7%
Q2 - 8:55DETMcDyess Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)25
31.8%
24
68.2%
Q2 - 9:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
29.1%
24
70.9%
Q2 - 9:06INDMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)25
29.8%
24
70.2%
Q2 - 9:37DETArroyo 16' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
31.5%
24
68.5%
Q2 - 9:56INDJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
33.4%
22
66.6%
Q2 - 10:01INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
31.5%
22
68.5%
Q2 - 10:03DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot23
30.7%
22
69.3%
Q2 - 10:30INDFoster Layup (6 PTS)23
29.1%
22
70.9%
Q2 - 10:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
27.3%
22
72.7%
Q2 - 10:36INDMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot21
25.8%
22
74.2%
Q2 - 10:58DETDelfino Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)21
27.3%
22
72.7%
Q2 - 11:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q2 - 11:06INDMISS Pollard Layup21
29.4%
20
70.6%
Q2 - 11:20DETDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)21
30.8%
20
69.2%
Q2 - 11:31INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q2 - 11:31INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
28.5%
20
71.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND19
26.9%
20
73.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound19
26.9%
20
73.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Jones 39' 3PT Jump Shot19
25.6%
20
74.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)19
26.5%
20
73.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)19
26.7%
19
73.3%
Q1 - 0:12.0INDFoster Layup (4 PTS)19
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 0:14.0INDWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)17
25.5%
18
74.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0INDPacers Rebound17
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot17
26.0%
18
74.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 215
22.8%
18
77.2%
Q1 - 0:58.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
21.7%
18
78.3%
Q1 - 0:58.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 215
22.1%
18
77.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0DETPISTONS Rebound15
21.7%
18
78.3%
Q1 - 0:59.0INDMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot15
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 1:17DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
23.0%
18
77.0%
Q1 - 1:17DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 215
23.3%
17
76.7%
Q1 - 1:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
23.4%
17
76.6%
Q1 - 1:26INDMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot15
23.8%
17
76.2%
Q1 - 1:44INDGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
24.7%
17
75.3%
Q1 - 1:44DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 215
24.5%
17
75.5%
Q1 - 1:44DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
23.3%
17
76.7%
Q1 - 2:05DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
25.0%
16
75.0%
Q1 - 2:07INDMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot15
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 2:14INDPacers Rebound15
26.7%
16
73.3%
Q1 - 2:15INDWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)15
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 2:34DETPrince 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
26.7%
16
73.3%
Q1 - 2:55INDCroshere 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
28.7%
14
71.3%
Q1 - 3:15INDGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
26.7%
14
73.3%
Q1 - 3:17DETMISS Prince 22' Jump Shot13
26.1%
14
73.9%
Q1 - 3:35DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
24.7%
14
75.3%
Q1 - 3:38INDMISS Jackson 20' Turnaround Jump Shot13
25.3%
14
74.7%
Q1 - 3:44INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
26.7%
14
73.3%
Q1 - 3:47DETMISS Prince Dunk13
26.1%
14
73.9%
Q1 - 3:57DETBillups Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)13
24.7%
14
75.3%
Q1 - 4:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
26.1%
13
73.9%
Q1 - 4:05INDMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot13
26.7%
13
73.3%
Q1 - 4:24DETBillups 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)13
28.2%
13
71.8%
Q1 - 4:27DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
29.6%
11
70.4%
Q1 - 4:30DETMISS Prince Layup13
31.2%
11
68.8%
Q1 - 4:43INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
29.7%
11
70.3%
Q1 - 4:43INDCroshere Layup (2 PTS)12
27.8%
11
72.2%
Q1 - 5:02INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 5:04DETMISS Hunter 27' 3PT Jump Shot10
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 5:18DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 5:19INDMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot10
24.8%
11
75.2%
Q1 - 5:38DETHunter 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)10
26.1%
11
73.9%
Q1 - 6:04INDJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
27.3%
9
72.7%
Q1 - 6:24DETBillups 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)8
25.8%
9
74.2%
Q1 - 6:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 6:43INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot8
29.5%
6
70.5%
Q1 - 6:52INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
30.8%
6
69.2%
Q1 - 6:54DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
30.2%
6
69.8%
Q1 - 7:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
28.5%
6
71.5%
Q1 - 7:12DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot8
29.7%
6
70.3%
Q1 - 7:38INDDavis Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)8
28.5%
6
71.5%
Q1 - 7:48INDDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
27.2%
6
72.8%
Q1 - 7:50DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 7:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
25.5%
6
74.5%
Q1 - 7:58DETMISS Billups Layup6
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 8:05DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 8:08INDMISS Jackson 9' Jump Shot6
25.9%
6
74.1%
Q1 - 8:11INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 8:12INDMISS Jackson Layup6
25.9%
6
74.1%
Q1 - 8:33DETBillups Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)6
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 8:48INDJackson Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
28.4%
4
71.6%
Q1 - 9:02INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 9:04DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot4
26.4%
4
73.6%
Q1 - 9:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
25.1%
4
74.9%
Q1 - 9:10INDMISS Croshere Layup4
25.7%
4
74.3%
Q1 - 9:27DETWallace Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)4
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 9:28DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 9:31DETMISS Wallace 7' Jump Shot4
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 9:53INDCroshere Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 10:02INDDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 10:05DETMISS Hunter 12' Jump Shot4
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 10:25INDMiller 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 10:32INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 10:33INDMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot2
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 10:41INDDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 10:44DETMISS Wallace 6' Hook Shot2
26.3%
2
73.7%
Q1 - 11:08INDJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 11:16DETPrince 8' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 11:25INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
28.1%
0
71.9%
Q1 - 11:25INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 11:38INDDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 11:40DETMISS Hunter 20' Jump Shot0
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Davis: Tip to Prince0
25.2%
0
74.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.08 54.0%
DET
0.96 48.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
17
27
63%
DET
10
22
45%
Midrange
IND
9
32
28%
DET
13
35
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
6
9.0
11
55%
82%
DET
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
IND
24
28
86%
DET
20
28
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Croshere1550%7.5 / 15
R. Miller1464%7.0 / 11
S. Jackson1233%6.0 / 18
A. Johnson1275%6.0 / 8
J. Foster10100%5.0 / 5
D. Davis956%4.5 / 8
F. Jones850%4.0 / 8
E. Gill880%4.0 / 5
J. Jones583%2.5 / 3
S. Pollard125%0.5 / 2
J. Edwards0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2377%11.5 / 15
R. Wallace1583%7.5 / 9
T. Prince1341%6.5 / 16
C. Delfino990%4.5 / 5
B. Wallace829%4.0 / 14
C. Arroyo660%3.0 / 5
A. McDyess330%1.5 / 5
L. Hunter213%1.0 / 8
D. Ham2100%1.0 / 1
D. Milicic0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
74
+14
-7
88
DET
69
+14
-8
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.08 54.0%
DET
0.96 48.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.4
103.0
IND 116.0 +10.9
DET 105.2
Pace
89.9
89.5
IND 86.3 +13.1
DET 73.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.5
IND 16.7 +3.0
DET 19.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
47.2%
IND 50.0% +6.4%
DET 43.6%
TO %
14.7%
14.4%
IND 8.9%
DET 8.9%
ORB %
26.5%
31.3%
IND 33.3% +3.3%
DET 30.0%
FTrt
35.8
33.5
IND 40.0
DET 40.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
62.7%
IND 46.9%
DET 57.1% +10.2%
STL %
8.3%
7.8%
IND 6.2% +3.6%
DET 2.6%
BLK %
6.8%
9.4%
IND 7.0%
DET 10.2% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
49.3%
IND 54.0% +5.8%
DET 48.2%
Rim FG%
55.1%
55.5%
IND 63.0% +17.5%
DET 45.5%
Mid FG%
39.5%
39.7%
IND 28.1%
DET 37.1% +9.0%
3P %
34.4%
34.5%
IND 54.5% +16.0%
DET 38.5%
FT %
79.2%
73.9%
IND 85.7% +14.3%
DET 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
35.1%
IND 38.6% +7.1%
DET 31.4%
Mid Att. %
42.1%
48.5%
IND 45.7% +4.3%
DET 50.0%
3P Att. %
25.5%
16.4%
IND 15.7%
DET 18.6% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDDET
Possessions8177
Possession Minutes22.525.3
Points9481
Rebounds4036
Assists1516
Steals52
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)24 (4)
Field Goals32-7028-70
At-the-Rim FG17-2710-22
Midrange FG9-3213-35
2-Point FG26-5923-57
3-Point FG6-115-13
Free Throws24-2820-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 27
35.0
12
33%
5
0
0
0
2
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-13
23%
2-5
40%
G · 6'7" 195 · 40
28.6
14
64%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
7-7
100%
2-7
29%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 252 · 36
28.2
9
56%
13
0
2
4
0
2
5
8
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 30
28.1
15
50%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
1-2
50%
7-12
58%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 30
23.6
12
75%
3
6
0
0
1
5
0
3
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28
23.4
10
100%
6
1
0
0
1
4
3
3
4-4
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 225 · 26
22.1
8
50%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 27
19.0
8
80%
3
0
2
0
1
4
0
3
5-5
100%
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24
15.8
5
83%
0
1
1
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 30
15.0
1
25%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 24
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
54%
40
15
5
4
7
0
12
28
24-28
86%
26-59
44%
6-11
55%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.