FinalWin Prob.pScore
242%105
115
358%107
125
ORTG#PossPace
PHO
112.7102117.5
MIA logo MIA
122.510290.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHOMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA115
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)115
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0PHXMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot115
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)115
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)115
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0PHXMarion Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Nash 14 AST)115
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0PHXNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)113
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Anderson 8' Jump Shot113
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)113
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0PHXMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot113
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01MIAO'Neal Layup (25 PTS)113
0.3%
123
99.7%
Q4 - 1:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)113
0.4%
121
99.6%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot113
0.7%
121
99.3%
Q4 - 1:20PHXNash Driving Layup (19 PTS)113
0.7%
121
99.3%
Q4 - 1:29MIAAnderson 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)111
0.6%
121
99.4%
Q4 - 1:49MIAJump Ball Jones vs. Stoudemire: Tip to O'Neal111
1.3%
119
98.7%
Q4 - 1:56MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)111
2.1%
119
97.9%
Q4 - 2:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)111
1.3%
119
98.7%
Q4 - 2:14PHXMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot111
1.6%
119
98.4%
Q4 - 2:25MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (23 PTS)111
2.7%
119
97.3%
Q4 - 2:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)111
3.4%
117
96.6%
Q4 - 2:29MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Bank Shot111
5.4%
117
94.6%
Q4 - 2:52PHXRichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)111
4.4%
117
95.6%
Q4 - 2:52PHXRichardson Running Dunk (25 PTS) (Stoudemire 4 AST)110
2.9%
117
97.1%
Q4 - 2:55PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)108
2.2%
117
97.8%
Q4 - 2:57MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup108
1.9%
117
98.1%
Q4 - 3:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)108
1.2%
117
98.8%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
1.8%
117
98.2%
Q4 - 3:28PHXRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)108
1.2%
117
98.8%
Q4 - 3:28PHXRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)107
1.1%
117
98.9%
Q4 - 3:32MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)106
1.8%
117
98.2%
Q4 - 3:43PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)106
1.1%
117
98.9%
Q4 - 3:43PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)105
1.1%
117
98.9%
Q4 - 3:57MIAO'Neal Layup (21 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)104
0.8%
117
99.2%
Q4 - 4:23PHXRichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Nash 13 AST)104
1.0%
115
99.0%
Q4 - 4:34MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)101
0.5%
115
99.5%
Q4 - 4:51PHXJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 12 AST)101
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 4:58PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 4:59MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot98
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19PHXRichardson 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)98
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 5:35MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)96
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 5:56PHXRichardson Layup (16 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)96
0.2%
113
99.8%
Q4 - 6:13MIAO'Neal Layup (19 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)94
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 6:42MIAHEAT Rebound94
0.4%
111
99.6%
Q4 - 6:44PHXMISS Richardson Driving Layup94
0.4%
111
99.6%
Q4 - 6:52MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)94
0.5%
111
99.5%
Q4 - 7:09PHXRichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)94
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 7:09PHXRichardson Driving Layup (13 PTS)93
0.8%
109
99.2%
Q4 - 7:26MIADooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)91
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 7:44MIASmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 7:46PHXMISS Stoudemire 20' Jump Shot91
1.1%
106
98.9%
Q4 - 8:03MIAO'Neal Layup (15 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)91
1.9%
106
98.1%
Q4 - 8:22PHXBarbosa 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)91
2.4%
104
97.6%
Q4 - 8:38MIAJones Layup (23 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)89
1.8%
104
98.2%
Q4 - 8:57PHXNash Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)89
2.3%
102
97.7%
Q4 - 9:08PHXSuns Rebound89
3.6%
102
96.4%
Q4 - 9:09PHXMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
3.1%
102
96.9%
Q4 - 9:14PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
3.6%
102
96.4%
Q4 - 9:16MIAMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot89
3.4%
102
96.6%
Q4 - 9:39PHXNash Driving Layup (15 PTS)89
2.8%
102
97.2%
Q4 - 9:51MIADooling 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS)87
2.3%
102
97.7%
Q4 - 10:12PHXSmith STEAL (1 STL)87
3.3%
100
96.7%
Q4 - 10:33MIASmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)87
4.2%
100
95.8%
Q4 - 11:02PHXNash 17' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)87
7.1%
97
92.9%
Q4 - 11:15MIADooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)85
5.8%
97
94.2%
Q4 - 11:38PHXRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)85
8.6%
94
91.4%
Q4 - 11:49PHXHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
5.8%
94
94.2%
Q4 - 11:50MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot82
5.4%
94
94.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHX82
4.7%
94
95.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWade 54' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS)82
5.8%
94
94.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
9.6%
91
90.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0PHXWade BLOCK (1 BLK)82
10.1%
91
89.9%
Q3 - 0:07.0PHXSuns Rebound82
11.5%
91
88.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
10.9%
91
89.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0PHXAnderson STEAL (1 STL)82
9.5%
91
90.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
11.4%
91
88.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup82
10.8%
91
89.2%
Q3 - 0:55.0PHXBarbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
9.5%
91
90.5%
Q3 - 0:55.0PHXMISS Barbosa Free Throw 1 of 281
9.1%
91
90.9%
Q3 - 1:00MIADooling Driving Layup (2 PTS)81
9.5%
91
90.5%
Q3 - 1:04MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
12.3%
89
87.7%
Q3 - 1:05PHXMISS Barbosa Layup81
13.0%
89
87.0%
Q3 - 1:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)81
14.6%
89
85.4%
Q3 - 1:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)81
15.1%
88
84.9%
Q3 - 1:38PHXBarbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)81
17.1%
87
82.9%
Q3 - 1:44PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)78
12.3%
87
87.7%
Q3 - 1:46MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot78
11.6%
87
88.4%
Q3 - 2:01MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)78
10.9%
87
89.1%
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot78
12.3%
87
87.7%
Q3 - 2:18PHXMarion Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)78
10.9%
87
89.1%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 178
12.7%
87
87.3%
Q3 - 2:30MIAWade Driving Layup (30 PTS)78
13.0%
87
87.0%
Q3 - 2:52PHXMarion 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stoudemire 3 AST)78
15.0%
85
85.0%
Q3 - 3:09MIAAnderson Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)75
11.7%
85
88.3%
Q3 - 3:16MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
13.6%
83
86.4%
Q3 - 3:18PHXMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot75
14.3%
83
85.7%
Q3 - 3:31MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 175
15.6%
83
84.4%
Q3 - 3:31MIAWade Driving Layup (28 PTS)75
15.9%
83
84.1%
Q3 - 3:44PHXStoudemire Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)75
18.3%
81
81.7%
Q3 - 3:47PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
21.3%
81
78.7%
Q3 - 3:48PHXMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
19.2%
81
80.8%
Q3 - 4:03MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS)75
21.9%
81
78.1%
Q3 - 4:16PHXStoudemire Foul Turnover (P4.T10)75
24.5%
79
75.5%
Q3 - 4:23PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)75
28.4%
79
71.6%
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
27.2%
79
72.8%
Q3 - 4:46PHXMarion 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)75
24.5%
79
75.5%
Q3 - 5:04MIAWade Layup (24 PTS) (Doleac 2 AST)73
22.4%
79
77.6%
Q3 - 5:18PHXJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)73
25.2%
77
74.8%
Q3 - 5:21PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
28.7%
77
71.3%
Q3 - 5:23MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot73
27.6%
77
72.4%
Q3 - 5:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
25.1%
77
74.9%
Q3 - 5:30PHXMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot73
26.2%
77
73.8%
Q3 - 5:54MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)73
28.6%
77
71.4%
Q3 - 5:54MIAO'Neal Layup (12 PTS)73
32.2%
76
67.8%
Q3 - 5:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)73
35.6%
74
64.4%
Q3 - 5:54MIAMISS O'Neal Dunk73
38.5%
74
61.5%
Q3 - 6:14MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Richardson: Tip to Anderson73
35.7%
74
64.3%
Q3 - 6:14PHXO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)73
36.9%
74
63.1%
Q3 - 6:21MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)73
39.7%
74
60.3%
Q3 - 6:44PHXStoudemire 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS)73
35.7%
74
64.3%
Q3 - 6:57MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)71
32.3%
74
67.7%
Q3 - 7:12PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)71
39.0%
71
61.0%
Q3 - 7:12PHXNash Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)70
39.5%
71
60.5%
Q3 - 7:12PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)69
34.5%
71
65.5%
Q3 - 7:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
32.4%
71
67.6%
Q3 - 7:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
33.1%
70
66.9%
Q3 - 7:35PHXO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)68
35.4%
69
64.6%
Q3 - 7:39MIAJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)68
39.5%
69
60.5%
Q3 - 7:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
35.4%
69
64.6%
Q3 - 7:44PHXMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot68
36.6%
69
63.4%
Q3 - 7:46PHXNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
39.5%
69
60.5%
Q3 - 7:48PHXMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
36.6%
69
63.4%
Q3 - 7:54PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)68
39.5%
69
60.5%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper68
38.3%
69
61.7%
Q3 - 8:24PHXNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)68
35.6%
69
64.4%
Q3 - 8:30MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)65
29.4%
69
70.6%
Q3 - 8:52PHXStoudemire 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)65
25.9%
69
74.1%
Q3 - 9:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)63
23.6%
69
76.4%
Q3 - 9:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)63
24.1%
68
75.9%
Q3 - 9:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)63
26.2%
67
73.8%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot63
28.3%
67
71.7%
Q3 - 9:37PHXRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)63
26.2%
67
73.8%
Q3 - 9:42PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
21.0%
67
79.0%
Q3 - 9:45MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot60
20.3%
67
79.7%
Q3 - 10:05PHXStoudemire 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)60
19.0%
67
81.0%
Q3 - 10:17MIAMISS Haslem Layup58
16.5%
67
83.5%
Q3 - 10:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
17.1%
67
82.9%
Q3 - 10:21MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 158
16.8%
67
83.2%
Q3 - 10:21MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)58
17.1%
67
82.9%
Q3 - 10:40PHXNash 6' Hook Shot (7 PTS)58
19.0%
65
81.0%
Q3 - 10:49MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)56
17.1%
65
82.9%
Q3 - 11:06PHXStoudemire Dunk (17 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)56
21.8%
62
78.2%
Q3 - 11:24MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)54
19.6%
62
80.4%
Q3 - 11:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
21.7%
60
78.3%
Q3 - 11:45PHXJones BLOCK (1 BLK)54
22.5%
60
77.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
24.3%
60
75.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXJones STEAL (1 STL)54
21.7%
60
78.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)54
24.5%
60
75.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0PHXStoudemire Layup (15 PTS)54
27.8%
58
72.2%
Q2 - 0:28.0PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
24.4%
58
75.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0PHXMISS Marion 10' Jump Shot52
23.3%
58
76.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)52
24.4%
58
75.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)52
25.0%
57
75.0%
Q2 - 1:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
28.4%
56
71.6%
Q2 - 1:03PHXMISS Johnson 6' Hook Shot52
28.8%
56
71.2%
Q2 - 1:10MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS)52
29.7%
56
70.3%
Q2 - 1:30PHXRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)52
33.9%
54
66.1%
Q2 - 1:43MIAWade Driving Dunk (14 PTS)49
27.1%
54
72.9%
Q2 - 1:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
31.0%
52
69.0%
Q2 - 1:54PHXMISS Nash 20' Fadeaway Jumper49
31.5%
52
68.5%
Q2 - 2:14PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
33.3%
52
66.8%
Q2 - 2:16PHXMISS Nash 12' Fadeaway Jumper49
31.5%
52
68.5%
Q2 - 2:28MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)49
33.2%
52
66.8%
Q2 - 2:46PHXMarion Layup (8 PTS) (Stoudemire 2 AST)49
36.3%
50
63.7%
Q2 - 2:55PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
33.2%
50
66.8%
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot47
32.4%
50
67.6%
Q2 - 3:11PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)47
30.7%
50
69.3%
Q2 - 3:11PHXMarion Layup (5 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)46
28.3%
50
71.7%
Q2 - 3:11PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
26.2%
50
73.8%
Q2 - 3:14MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup44
25.4%
50
74.6%
Q2 - 3:24PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)44
23.7%
50
76.3%
Q2 - 3:24PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)43
23.4%
50
76.6%
Q2 - 3:24PHXSuns Rebound42
21.8%
50
78.2%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Bank Shot42
21.1%
50
78.9%
Q2 - 3:38PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
19.6%
50
80.4%
Q2 - 3:38PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)41
19.4%
50
80.6%
Q2 - 3:38PHXNash Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)40
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q2 - 3:52MIAWade Driving Layup (12 PTS)39
16.3%
50
83.7%
Q2 - 4:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
18.4%
48
81.6%
Q2 - 4:11PHXDoleac BLOCK (1 BLK)39
18.9%
48
81.1%
Q2 - 4:28MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)39
20.2%
48
79.8%
Q2 - 4:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
18.4%
48
81.6%
Q2 - 4:36PHXMISS McCarty 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
18.9%
48
81.1%
Q2 - 4:51MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (8 PTS)39
20.2%
48
79.8%
Q2 - 4:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
22.1%
46
77.9%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
23.5%
46
76.5%
Q2 - 5:11PHXBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)39
22.3%
46
77.7%
Q2 - 5:11PHXBarbosa Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)38
20.4%
46
79.6%
Q2 - 5:14PHXMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
18.8%
46
81.2%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS Anderson 4' Hook Shot36
18.2%
46
81.8%
Q2 - 5:35PHXStoudemire Layup (13 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)36
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 5:55MIASmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)34
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 6:13PHXBarbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)34
19.0%
43
81.0%
Q2 - 6:30PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
16.1%
43
83.9%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Hook Shot31
15.5%
43
84.5%
Q2 - 6:56PHXBarbosa Layup (6 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)31
14.4%
43
85.6%
Q2 - 7:01MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)29
14.0%
43
86.0%
Q2 - 7:09MIAHEAT Rebound29
12.7%
43
87.3%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Wade 8' Hook Shot29
13.6%
43
86.4%
Q2 - 7:25MIASmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
12.7%
43
87.3%
Q2 - 7:27PHXMISS Hunter Free Throw 2 of 229
12.9%
43
87.1%
Q2 - 7:27PHXMISS Hunter Free Throw 1 of 229
13.3%
43
86.7%
Q2 - 7:45MIAAnderson Layup (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)29
14.0%
43
86.0%
Q2 - 7:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 7:59PHXMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
15.6%
41
84.4%
Q2 - 8:05PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
17.0%
41
83.0%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot29
16.5%
41
83.5%
Q2 - 8:28PHXHunter Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)29
15.4%
41
84.6%
Q2 - 8:36PHXJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
14.2%
41
85.8%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Dooling Driving Layup27
13.8%
41
86.2%
Q2 - 8:43PHXJones STEAL (2 STL)27
12.9%
41
87.1%
Q2 - 8:58MIAAnderson Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)27
14.2%
41
85.8%
Q2 - 9:10MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
15.8%
39
84.2%
Q2 - 9:11PHXMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot27
16.2%
39
83.8%
Q2 - 9:29MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)27
17.3%
39
82.7%
Q2 - 9:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
18.6%
37
81.4%
Q2 - 9:44PHXMISS Marion 6' Jump Shot27
19.1%
37
80.9%
Q2 - 10:02MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)27
20.6%
37
79.4%
Q2 - 10:20PHXBarbosa 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)27
23.8%
34
76.2%
Q2 - 10:34MIASmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
22.3%
34
77.7%
Q2 - 10:51PHXMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 125
20.6%
34
79.4%
Q2 - 10:51PHXRichardson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)25
20.4%
34
79.6%
Q2 - 10:55PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)23
19.0%
34
81.0%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS Smith Driving Layup23
18.5%
34
81.5%
Q2 - 11:12PHXBarbosa Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
17.7%
34
82.3%
Q2 - 11:19PHXHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q2 - 11:21MIAMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot21
15.9%
34
84.1%
Q2 - 11:36MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
15.0%
34
85.0%
Q2 - 11:38PHXMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot21
15.4%
34
84.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
15.0%
34
85.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0PHXMISS Barbosa Driving Finger Roll21
15.7%
34
84.3%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAAnderson Layup (2 PTS)21
16.4%
34
83.6%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
18.1%
32
81.9%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
18.8%
32
81.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
18.1%
32
81.9%
Q1 - 0:23.0PHXMISS Johnson 8' Hook Shot21
18.4%
32
81.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAJones Tip Shot (10 PTS)21
19.2%
32
80.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
21.0%
30
79.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Bank Shot21
21.9%
30
78.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)21
21.0%
30
79.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)20
20.6%
30
79.4%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)19
19.2%
30
80.8%
Q1 - 1:13PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)19
21.1%
28
78.9%
Q1 - 1:13PHXStoudemire Layup (8 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST)18
19.6%
28
80.4%
Q1 - 1:28PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
17.9%
28
82.1%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot16
17.5%
28
82.5%
Q1 - 1:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
16.8%
28
83.2%
Q1 - 1:47PHXMISS Marion 20' Jump Shot16
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q1 - 1:59MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)16
17.8%
28
82.2%
Q1 - 2:04PHXDoleac STEAL (1 STL)16
19.7%
26
80.3%
Q1 - 2:12MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)16
21.2%
26
78.8%
Q1 - 2:34PHXStoudemire 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)16
22.9%
24
77.1%
Q1 - 2:44PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
21.1%
24
78.9%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot14
20.7%
24
79.3%
Q1 - 2:58PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
19.7%
24
80.3%
Q1 - 2:58PHXMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 213
19.5%
24
80.5%
Q1 - 2:58PHXSuns Rebound13
19.6%
24
80.4%
Q1 - 2:59PHXMISS Marion Tip Shot13
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q1 - 3:00PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
19.6%
24
80.4%
Q1 - 3:01PHXMISS Stoudemire 7' Jump Shot13
19.2%
24
80.8%
Q1 - 3:12MIADoleac Layup (4 PTS)13
20.3%
24
79.7%
Q1 - 3:13MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
21.6%
22
78.4%
Q1 - 3:14MIAMISS Dooling 15' Jump Shot13
22.8%
22
77.2%
Q1 - 3:20PHXWade STEAL (2 STL)13
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q1 - 3:26MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)13
23.3%
22
76.7%
Q1 - 3:49PHXJackson 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)13
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q1 - 4:00MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)11
20.2%
22
79.8%
Q1 - 4:00MIAHEAT Rebound11
18.6%
22
81.4%
Q1 - 4:01MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup11
20.0%
22
80.0%
Q1 - 4:29PHXJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)11
18.8%
22
81.2%
Q1 - 4:35MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
16.5%
22
83.5%
Q1 - 4:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
15.1%
22
84.9%
Q1 - 4:50PHXMISS Marion 20' Jump Shot8
15.5%
22
84.5%
Q1 - 5:03MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
17.1%
22
82.9%
Q1 - 5:15PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
15.8%
22
84.2%
Q1 - 5:15PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
15.7%
22
84.3%
Q1 - 5:18PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
14.8%
22
85.2%
Q1 - 5:20MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot6
14.5%
22
85.5%
Q1 - 5:41PHXStoudemire Dunk (4 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)6
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 6:00MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)4
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 6:18PHXJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 6:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)4
16.4%
19
83.6%
Q1 - 6:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)4
16.7%
18
83.3%
Q1 - 6:40PHXWade STEAL (1 STL)4
17.5%
17
82.5%
Q1 - 6:47MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)4
18.8%
17
81.2%
Q1 - 6:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
20.0%
15
80.0%
Q1 - 6:58PHXMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
20.4%
15
79.6%
Q1 - 7:20MIAJones Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)4
22.2%
15
77.8%
Q1 - 7:25PHXJones STEAL (1 STL)4
23.4%
13
76.6%
Q1 - 7:40MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)4
24.9%
13
75.1%
Q1 - 8:07PHXJohnson Dunk (2 PTS)4
26.4%
11
73.6%
Q1 - 8:09PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
25.1%
11
74.9%
Q1 - 8:11PHXMISS Stoudemire 12' Fadeaway Jumper2
24.0%
11
76.0%
Q1 - 8:26PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.1%
11
74.9%
Q1 - 8:28MIAMISS Wade 21' Fadeaway Jumper2
24.6%
11
75.4%
Q1 - 8:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.5%
11
76.5%
Q1 - 8:43PHXMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot2
24.0%
11
76.0%
Q1 - 8:54PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
25.1%
11
74.9%
Q1 - 8:55PHXMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
24.0%
11
76.0%
Q1 - 9:08PHXSuns Rebound2
25.0%
11
75.0%
Q1 - 9:09PHXMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 9:22MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
25.0%
11
75.0%
Q1 - 9:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.1%
9
73.9%
Q1 - 9:31PHXMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
26.6%
9
73.4%
Q1 - 9:43PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
28.0%
9
72.0%
Q1 - 9:44PHXMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
26.6%
9
73.4%
Q1 - 9:56PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.0%
9
72.0%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot2
27.4%
9
72.6%
Q1 - 9:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
26.1%
9
73.9%
Q1 - 10:00MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot2
27.4%
9
72.6%
Q1 - 10:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.2%
9
73.8%
Q1 - 10:09PHXMISS Stoudemire 8' Jump Shot2
26.7%
9
73.3%
Q1 - 10:23MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)2
27.9%
9
72.1%
Q1 - 10:23MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)2
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 10:23MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)2
28.4%
7
71.6%
Q1 - 10:31MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.8%
6
69.2%
Q1 - 10:32PHXMISS Stoudemire 19' Jump Shot2
31.3%
6
68.7%
Q1 - 10:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
32.6%
6
67.4%
Q1 - 10:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
33.0%
5
67.0%
Q1 - 11:04PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 11:04PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
33.9%
4
66.1%
Q1 - 11:11MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 11:30MIAHEAT Rebound0
34.3%
2
65.7%
Q1 - 11:32PHXMISS Marion 8' Hook Shot0
34.8%
2
65.2%
Q1 - 11:44MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (2 PTS)0
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Jones0
37.7%
0
62.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHO
1.16 58.1%
MIA
1.19 59.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHO
17
24
71%
MIA
29
39
74%
Midrange
PHO
13
34
38%
MIA
11
36
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHO
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
MIA
9
13.5
14
64%
96%
Free Throws
PHO
25
30
83%
MIA
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Q. Richardson2659%13.0 / 22
A. Stoudemire2566%12.5 / 19
S. Nash1986%9.5 / 11
L. Barbosa1875%9.0 / 12
S. Marion1544%7.5 / 17
J. Johnson531%2.5 / 8
J. Jackson542%2.5 / 6
S. Hunter250%1.0 / 2
W. McCarty0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3555%17.5 / 32
S. O'Neal2569%12.5 / 18
E. Jones2382%11.5 / 14
K. Dooling1275%6.0 / 8
S. Anderson1071%5.0 / 7
M. Doleac857%4.0 / 7
U. Haslem633%3.0 / 9
S. Smith650%3.0 / 6
D. Jones0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHO
86
+11
-16
97
MIA
90
+14
-12
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHO
1.16 58.1%
MIA
1.19 59.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.8
106.6
PHX 112.7
MIA 122.5 +9.8
Pace
98.3
93.9
PHX 117.5 +27.4
MIA 90.1
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
15.6
PHX 12.3 +3.7
MIA 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
52.4%
PHX 55.6%
MIA 60.1% +4.5%
TO %
13.6%
14.0%
PHX 14.5%
MIA 11.7% +2.8%
ORB %
27.5%
27.0%
PHX 21.6%
MIA 31.6% +10.0%
FTrt
29.6
38.7
PHX 37.0 +13.4
MIA 23.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.5%
57.8%
PHX 60.0% +2.9%
MIA 57.1%
STL %
7.1%
6.8%
PHX 6.9%
MIA 9.8% +2.9%
BLK %
7.5%
8.7%
PHX 8.0% +1.1%
MIA 6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.92 and 2.92.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
52.7%
PHX 58.1%
MIA 59.5% +1.4%
Rim FG%
60.8%
63.0%
PHX 70.8%
MIA 74.4% +3.6%
Mid FG%
43.8%
41.0%
PHX 38.2% +7.6%
MIA 30.6%
3P %
39.3%
37.7%
PHX 43.5%
MIA 64.3% +20.8%
FT %
74.8%
67.2%
PHX 83.3%
MIA 85.7% +2.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.9%
37.6%
PHX 29.6%
MIA 43.8% +14.2%
Mid Att. %
40.3%
42.6%
PHX 42.0%
MIA 40.4% +1.5%
3P Att. %
28.9%
19.8%
PHX 28.4% +12.7%
MIA 15.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsPHXMIA
Possessions102102
Possession Minutes20.827.2
Points115125
Rebounds3441
Assists2428
Steals710
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)29 (3)
Field Goals40-8149-89
At-the-Rim FG17-2429-39
Midrange FG13-3411-36
2-Point FG30-5840-75
3-Point FG10-239-14
Free Throws25-3018-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 245 · 22
40.9
25
66%
7
4
0
2
6
4
3
4
7-7
100%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 27
40.1
15
44%
11
1
3
2
2
3
2
9
4-5
80%
4-11
36%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 178 · 31
37.0
19
86%
5
14
0
0
3
1
1
4
8-8
100%
4-7
57%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 228 · 25
36.6
26
59%
3
0
2
1
1
4
0
3
4-5
80%
5-7
71%
4-11
36%
G · 6'7" 240 · 24
32.4
5
31%
3
2
2
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-7
14%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 194 · 22
19.8
18
75%
1
2
0
0
2
3
0
1
2-3
67%
5-7
71%
2-3
67%
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 34
18.2
5
42%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 245 · 31
7.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 240 · 23
7.1
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
C · 6'11" 255 · 27
F · 6'10" 230 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
58%
34
24
7
6
16
0
8
26
25-30
83%
30-58
52%
10-23
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.