FinalWin Prob.pScore
443%95
82
657%97
84
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
89.19290.8
HOU logo HOU
95.58889.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA82
0%
84
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q4 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Wesley Free Throw 2 of 282
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)82
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (23 PTS)82
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 280
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 280
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)80
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 280
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)80
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)80
5.5%
82
94.5%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 279
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q4 - 0:13.0HOUWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
7.7%
82
92.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0HOUWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)79
9.0%
81
91.0%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)79
16.2%
80
83.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAJones 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)78
6.7%
80
93.3%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUMISS James Free Throw 2 of 275
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUMISS James Free Throw 1 of 275
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)75
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 0:40.0HOUJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)72
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 172
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (21 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)72
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q4 - 1:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q4 - 1:09HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 1:12HOUROCKETS Rebound70
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 1:12HOUMISS Bowen Layup70
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 1:33HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:8 Def:7)70
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q4 - 1:44MIAHeat Rebound70
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q4 - 1:46HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot70
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q4 - 2:04HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 2:06MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot70
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q4 - 2:20HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)70
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q4 - 2:43HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:8 Def:6)70
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 2:45MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Running Hook Shot70
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q4 - 2:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)70
5.2%
77
94.8%
Q4 - 2:58HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot70
4.4%
77
95.6%
Q4 - 3:12HOUJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Jump Shot70
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q4 - 3:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)70
5.2%
77
94.8%
Q4 - 3:29HOUMISS James Layup70
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q4 - 3:44HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)70
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q4 - 3:47HOUMISS McGrady 3PT Jump Shot70
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q4 - 4:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)70
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q4 - 4:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)69
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q4 - 4:18HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (James 1 AST)68
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 4:31MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)68
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q4 - 4:31MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)67
4.5%
74
95.5%
Q4 - 4:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q4 - 4:57HOUMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q4 - 5:23MIAAnderson Layup (2 PTS)64
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q4 - 5:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)62
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS Anderson Layup62
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q4 - 5:45HOUMcGrady 28' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)62
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q4 - 6:05HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)62
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q4 - 6:07MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot62
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q4 - 6:22HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)62
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q4 - 6:22HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 262
6.1%
70
93.9%
Q4 - 6:29HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)62
5.5%
70
94.5%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot62
6.1%
70
93.9%
Q4 - 6:48HOUBarry 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)62
7.6%
70
92.4%
Q4 - 7:04MIAMcGrady STEAL (4 STL)62
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q4 - 7:06MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
15.0%
68
85.0%
Q4 - 7:07HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot62
13.8%
68
86.2%
Q4 - 7:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)62
11.4%
68
88.6%
Q4 - 7:24MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (19 PTS)62
11.4%
68
88.6%
Q4 - 7:25MIAMISS Wade Layup60
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q4 - 7:49HOUMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)60
9.1%
68
90.9%
Q4 - 8:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)60
13.0%
66
87.0%
Q4 - 8:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)59
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q4 - 8:11MIAJones Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)58
10.4%
66
89.6%
Q4 - 8:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)57
8.2%
66
91.8%
Q4 - 8:28HOUMISS James 18' Jump Shot57
7.6%
66
92.4%
Q4 - 8:48MIAJames STEAL (2 STL)57
6.4%
66
93.6%
Q4 - 8:51HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)57
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q4 - 9:05MIAJames STEAL (1 STL)57
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q4 - 9:25HOUJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)57
9.2%
66
90.8%
Q4 - 9:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
13.9%
63
86.1%
Q4 - 9:47MIAMourning Tip Shot (2 PTS)57
13.9%
63
86.1%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Wade Layup55
9.7%
63
90.3%
Q4 - 10:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
12.4%
63
87.6%
Q4 - 10:06HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot55
11.6%
63
88.4%
Q4 - 10:22MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)55
10.0%
63
90.0%
Q4 - 10:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
12.4%
63
87.6%
Q4 - 10:27MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot55
10.6%
63
89.4%
Q4 - 10:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
12.4%
63
87.6%
Q4 - 10:40HOUMISS James Free Throw 2 of 255
12.0%
63
88.0%
Q4 - 10:40HOUMISS James Free Throw 1 of 255
10.5%
63
89.5%
Q4 - 10:49HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
9.9%
63
90.1%
Q4 - 10:51MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot55
10.6%
63
89.4%
Q4 - 11:02MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
13.2%
63
86.8%
Q4 - 11:03HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot55
12.4%
63
87.6%
Q4 - 11:10HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
10.8%
63
89.2%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Dooling 22' Jump Shot55
11.5%
63
88.5%
Q4 - 11:30HOUBarry Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)55
13.1%
63
86.9%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMcGrady STEAL (3 STL)55
15.7%
61
84.3%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
18.9%
61
81.1%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
16.6%
61
83.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA55
18.9%
61
81.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound55
18.9%
61
81.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMcGrady BLOCK (2 BLK)55
16.6%
61
83.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
19.9%
61
80.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0HOUMISS Mutombo Free Throw 2 of 255
19.4%
61
80.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0HOUMISS Mutombo Free Throw 1 of 255
17.5%
61
82.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)55
16.8%
61
83.2%
Q3 - 0:08.0HOUMISS Barry 28' 3PT Jump Shot55
18.9%
61
81.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P5.T13)55
16.7%
61
83.3%
Q3 - 0:47.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)55
19.8%
61
80.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
20.4%
60
79.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0HOUROCKETS Rebound55
23.3%
59
76.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)55
24.4%
59
75.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0HOUWeatherspoon Layup (12 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)55
27.1%
59
72.9%
Q3 - 1:06MIAWeatherspoon STEAL (2 STL)55
31.8%
57
68.2%
Q3 - 1:18HOUWeatherspoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
36.4%
57
63.6%
Q3 - 1:18HOUWeatherspoon Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
37.3%
56
62.7%
Q3 - 1:39HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)55
40.8%
55
59.2%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 255
41.5%
55
58.5%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 255
43.6%
55
56.4%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical55
45.8%
55
54.2%
Q3 - 1:51HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
45.8%
55
54.2%
Q3 - 1:51HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
47.0%
54
53.0%
Q3 - 2:08HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)55
49.4%
53
50.6%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Doleac 8' Turnaround Jump Shot55
51.0%
53
49.0%
Q3 - 2:27HOUWeatherspoon Foul Turnover (P1.T9)55
54.6%
53
45.4%
Q3 - 2:56HOUROCKETS Rebound55
49.5%
53
50.5%
Q3 - 2:57MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Bank Shot55
51.1%
53
48.9%
Q3 - 3:14HOUWesley Layup (11 PTS) (Weatherspoon 2 AST)55
54.2%
53
45.8%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)55
58.3%
51
41.7%
Q3 - 3:19MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
62.9%
51
37.1%
Q3 - 3:20MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot55
59.7%
51
40.3%
Q3 - 3:42MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
62.9%
51
37.1%
Q3 - 3:44HOUMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot55
61.5%
51
38.5%
Q3 - 3:50HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
58.3%
51
41.7%
Q3 - 3:52MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot55
59.7%
51
40.3%
Q3 - 4:18HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Sura 6 AST)55
62.0%
51
38.0%
Q3 - 4:38MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)55
65.5%
49
34.5%
Q3 - 4:57MIAHeat Rebound53
62.1%
49
37.9%
Q3 - 4:57HOUMISS Sura 20' Jump Shot53
60.7%
49
39.3%
Q3 - 5:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
56.9%
49
43.1%
Q3 - 5:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 252
56.1%
49
43.9%
Q3 - 5:29HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
57.2%
49
42.8%
Q3 - 5:29HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
57.9%
48
42.1%
Q3 - 5:29HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
60.9%
47
39.1%
Q3 - 5:30HOUMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot52
63.8%
47
36.2%
Q3 - 5:44MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)52
60.9%
47
39.1%
Q3 - 5:44MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Bank Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)51
56.9%
47
43.1%
Q3 - 5:52MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
53.1%
47
46.9%
Q3 - 5:54HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot49
51.7%
47
48.3%
Q3 - 6:06MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS)49
48.1%
47
51.9%
Q3 - 6:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)47
44.4%
47
55.6%
Q3 - 6:10MIAWesley BLOCK (1 BLK)47
41.5%
47
58.5%
Q3 - 6:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
44.4%
47
55.6%
Q3 - 6:19HOUMISS Yao 9' Running Hook Shot47
43.2%
47
56.8%
Q3 - 6:39MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
40.3%
47
59.7%
Q3 - 6:52MIAHeat Rebound45
36.7%
47
63.3%
Q3 - 6:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 245
33.4%
47
66.6%
Q3 - 6:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 245
34.9%
47
65.1%
Q3 - 7:13HOUWesley 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)45
36.7%
47
63.3%
Q3 - 7:36HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)45
39.8%
45
60.2%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot45
41.1%
45
58.9%
Q3 - 8:01HOUWesley 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sura 5 AST)45
44.2%
45
55.8%
Q3 - 8:23HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)45
51.2%
42
48.8%
Q3 - 8:26HOUMISS McGrady 9' Jump Shot45
54.2%
42
45.8%
Q3 - 8:50MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)45
51.2%
42
48.8%
Q3 - 8:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q3 - 9:00HOUMISS Wesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
46.6%
42
53.4%
Q3 - 9:14HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
43.4%
42
56.6%
Q3 - 9:16MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
44.6%
42
55.4%
Q3 - 9:36HOUYao 8' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)43
47.2%
42
52.8%
Q3 - 9:49MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)43
50.8%
40
49.2%
Q3 - 10:08HOUWeatherspoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
47.1%
40
52.9%
Q3 - 10:08HOUWeatherspoon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
47.8%
39
52.2%
Q3 - 10:23HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
50.2%
38
49.8%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot41
51.4%
38
48.6%
Q3 - 10:41HOUMcGrady Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)41
54.1%
38
45.9%
Q3 - 10:49HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
50.2%
38
49.8%
Q3 - 10:51MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Running Hook Shot41
51.4%
38
48.6%
Q3 - 11:20HOUYao 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)41
53.6%
38
46.4%
Q3 - 11:33MIAWeatherspoon STEAL (1 STL)41
56.9%
36
43.1%
Q3 - 11:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
60.4%
36
39.6%
Q3 - 11:47HOUMISS McGrady 12' Fadeaway Jumper41
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU41
56.9%
36
43.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
56.9%
36
43.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Dooling 9' Running Jump Shot41
57.6%
36
42.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)41
59.2%
36
40.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0HOUMutombo Tip Shot (6 PTS)41
59.2%
36
40.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0HOUMISS McGrady Reverse Layup41
64.8%
34
35.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0HOUJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
63.3%
34
36.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot41
63.9%
34
36.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0HOUSura Foul Turnover (P2.T7)41
65.5%
34
34.5%
Q2 - 1:08MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T9)41
63.0%
34
37.0%
Q2 - 1:27HOUWesley 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
64.5%
34
35.5%
Q2 - 1:33HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)41
68.8%
32
31.2%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot41
69.2%
32
30.8%
Q2 - 1:47HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
70.2%
32
29.8%
Q2 - 1:47HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
70.8%
31
29.2%
Q2 - 1:47MIAWade Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)41
74.0%
30
26.0%
Q2 - 1:58MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS)40
71.5%
30
28.5%
Q2 - 2:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
67.2%
30
32.8%
Q2 - 2:13HOUMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
66.4%
30
33.6%
Q2 - 2:16HOUROCKETS Rebound38
64.6%
30
35.4%
Q2 - 2:17HOUMISS Sura 9' Jump Shot38
66.4%
30
33.6%
Q2 - 2:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)38
64.6%
30
35.4%
Q2 - 2:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)37
64.0%
30
36.0%
Q2 - 2:42MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
61.4%
30
38.6%
Q2 - 2:44HOUMISS McGrady Driving Layup36
60.6%
30
39.4%
Q2 - 2:50HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
58.8%
30
41.2%
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
59.6%
30
40.4%
Q2 - 3:12HOUYao 11' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Sura 4 AST)36
60.7%
30
39.3%
Q2 - 3:27MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T8)36
63.3%
28
36.7%
Q2 - 3:43HOUWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)36
66.3%
28
33.7%
Q2 - 3:52MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)36
63.3%
28
36.7%
Q2 - 4:03HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)34
59.7%
28
40.3%
Q2 - 4:03HOUROCKETS Rebound34
56.9%
28
43.1%
Q2 - 4:03HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot34
58.9%
28
41.1%
Q2 - 4:32MIADooling 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
57.0%
28
43.0%
Q2 - 4:38MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q2 - 4:40HOUMISS Yao 15' Fadeaway Jumper32
53.3%
28
46.7%
Q2 - 4:55MIAO'Neal 6' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)32
51.3%
28
48.7%
Q2 - 5:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)30
48.3%
28
51.7%
Q2 - 5:08MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot30
46.1%
28
53.9%
Q2 - 5:29HOUJames Palming Turnover (P1.T4)30
48.3%
28
51.7%
Q2 - 5:37MIAJones Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)30
45.2%
28
54.8%
Q2 - 5:50HOUJames 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
42.7%
28
57.3%
Q2 - 6:03HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
44.9%
26
55.1%
Q2 - 6:05HOUMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot28
47.2%
26
52.8%
Q2 - 6:28MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)28
45.0%
26
55.0%
Q2 - 6:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
42.8%
26
57.2%
Q2 - 6:40HOUMISS Yao 13' Turnaround Jump Shot26
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q2 - 7:02MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (6 PTS)26
39.9%
26
60.1%
Q2 - 7:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)24
37.5%
26
62.5%
Q2 - 7:06MIAMISS Anderson 8' Running Jump Shot24
35.7%
26
64.3%
Q2 - 7:24HOUYao 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)24
37.5%
26
62.5%
Q2 - 7:44MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
39.9%
24
60.1%
Q2 - 7:44MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
38.8%
24
61.2%
Q2 - 8:02MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
37.5%
24
62.5%
Q2 - 8:04HOUMISS Mutombo 8' Hook Shot22
36.7%
24
63.3%
Q2 - 8:08HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
34.8%
24
65.2%
Q2 - 8:10HOUMISS James 3PT Jump Shot22
36.7%
24
63.3%
Q2 - 8:22HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)22
34.8%
24
65.2%
Q2 - 8:24HOUMISS Barry 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
36.7%
24
63.3%
Q2 - 8:40MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)22
34.8%
24
65.2%
Q2 - 9:02HOUMcGrady Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)20
32.9%
24
67.1%
Q2 - 9:06HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)20
34.9%
22
65.1%
Q2 - 9:08HOUMISS Padgett 3PT Jump Shot20
36.7%
22
63.3%
Q2 - 9:18HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
34.9%
22
65.1%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot20
35.6%
22
64.4%
Q2 - 9:30HOUBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
37.5%
22
62.5%
Q2 - 9:48MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
34.8%
22
65.2%
Q2 - 10:08HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
32.9%
22
67.1%
Q2 - 10:08HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
33.5%
21
66.5%
Q2 - 10:09HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)18
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q2 - 10:10HOUMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
36.7%
20
63.3%
Q2 - 10:31HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q2 - 10:33HOUMISS James Driving Layup18
36.7%
20
63.3%
Q2 - 10:43HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q2 - 10:44HOUMISS Barry 12' Jump Shot18
36.7%
20
63.3%
Q2 - 10:46HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q2 - 10:48HOUMISS Barry 6' Running Finger Roll18
36.7%
20
63.3%
Q2 - 11:01HOUROCKETS Rebound18
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q2 - 11:03HOUMISS McGrady Layup18
36.4%
20
63.6%
Q2 - 11:32MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q2 - 11:36MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
32.7%
20
67.3%
Q2 - 11:38HOUMISS McGrady Layup16
32.1%
20
67.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA16
30.6%
20
69.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
30.6%
20
69.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
32.5%
20
67.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot16
31.4%
20
68.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot16
31.4%
20
68.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0HOUMutombo Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)16
32.5%
20
67.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
35.1%
18
64.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
34.1%
18
65.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
32.5%
18
67.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)14
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 1:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 1:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 213
34.7%
16
65.3%
Q1 - 1:36HOUMcGrady Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
34.7%
16
65.3%
Q1 - 1:56MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
33.0%
16
67.0%
Q1 - 1:56MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
32.6%
16
67.4%
Q1 - 1:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
30.5%
16
69.5%
Q1 - 1:58HOUMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot11
30.0%
16
70.0%
Q1 - 2:07MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)11
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 2:07HOUSura Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)11
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q1 - 2:18MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)11
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 2:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q1 - 2:23HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot11
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 2:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 2:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
28.7%
16
71.3%
Q1 - 2:46HOUWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
27.0%
16
73.0%
Q1 - 2:46HOUWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
27.3%
15
72.7%
Q1 - 2:51HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
29.0%
14
71.0%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot9
29.6%
14
70.4%
Q1 - 3:12HOUWeatherspoon 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sura 3 AST)9
31.3%
14
68.7%
Q1 - 3:22HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
33.0%
12
67.0%
Q1 - 3:24HOUMISS Yao 11' Jump Shot9
34.6%
12
65.4%
Q1 - 3:40MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)9
33.0%
12
67.0%
Q1 - 3:58HOUMcGrady 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Sura 2 AST)6
29.3%
12
70.7%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)6
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 4:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)6
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 4:21HOUMISS Yao 14' Jump Shot6
32.6%
10
67.4%
Q1 - 4:37HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 4:38HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot6
32.6%
10
67.4%
Q1 - 4:53HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 4:55MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
31.7%
10
68.3%
Q1 - 5:11HOUMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 5:15HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
35.0%
8
65.0%
Q1 - 5:17MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot6
35.7%
8
64.3%
Q1 - 5:47HOUMcGrady Driving Dunk (2 PTS)6
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 5:56HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
38.9%
6
61.1%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 6:16HOUWeatherspoon 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)6
40.9%
6
59.1%
Q1 - 6:30MIAJones Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)6
42.8%
4
57.2%
Q1 - 6:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 6:44HOUMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
40.3%
4
59.7%
Q1 - 7:00MIADoleac 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)4
38.9%
4
61.1%
Q1 - 7:26HOUWeatherspoon 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 7:47MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T3)4
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 8:16HOUYao 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Weatherspoon 1 AST)4
44.6%
2
55.4%
Q1 - 8:28HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
46.3%
0
53.7%
Q1 - 8:30MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 8:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
48.3%
0
51.7%
Q1 - 8:56HOUMISS Weatherspoon 16' Jump Shot4
47.7%
0
52.3%
Q1 - 9:10HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 9:12MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Hook Shot4
46.6%
0
53.4%
Q1 - 9:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
48.3%
0
51.7%
Q1 - 9:37HOUMISS Sura 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 9:51HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 9:53MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot4
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 9:57MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
48.3%
0
51.7%
Q1 - 9:59HOUMISS Sura Layup4
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 10:04HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 10:06MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Jump Shot4
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 10:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 10:14HOUMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
47.3%
0
52.7%
Q1 - 10:30MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 10:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 10:42HOUMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot2
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 10:56MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T2)2
42.2%
0
57.8%
Q1 - 11:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.9%
0
56.1%
Q1 - 11:02HOUMISS Yao 21' Jump Shot2
43.4%
0
56.6%
Q1 - 11:17MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
42.3%
0
57.7%
Q1 - 11:26MIAHeat Rebound0
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 11:27MIAWeatherspoon BLOCK (1 BLK)0
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 11:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 11:33HOUMISS Weatherspoon 15' Jump Shot0
39.9%
0
60.1%
Q1 - 11:41MIASura STEAL (1 STL)0
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. O'Neal: Tip to Jones0
40.4%
0
59.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.6%
HOU
0.86 42.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
20
60%
HOU
7
15
47%
Midrange
MIA
12
37
32%
HOU
16
43
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
HOU
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
Free Throws
MIA
22
33
67%
HOU
23
32
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2355%11.5 / 21
D. Wade2037%10.0 / 27
D. Jones1667%8.0 / 12
E. Jones964%4.5 / 7
M. Doleac660%3.0 / 5
S. Anderson225%1.0 / 4
R. Butler250%1.0 / 2
K. Dooling217%1.0 / 6
A. Mourning233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2641%13.0 / 32
D. Wesley1447%7.0 / 15
Yao1250%6.0 / 12
C. Weatherspoon1275%6.0 / 8
D. Mutombo867%4.0 / 6
M. James840%4.0 / 10
J. Barry433%2.0 / 6
B. Sura0-0.0 / 4
R. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
S. Padgett0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+14
-18
88
HOU
79
+19
-9
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.6%
HOU
0.86 42.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
103.1
MIA 89.1
HOU 95.5 +6.3
Pace
93.9
91.5
MIA 90.8 +1.6
HOU 89.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.0
MIA 15.9 +0.3
HOU 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
48.6%
MIA 42.9% +4.3%
HOU 38.6%
TO %
14.0%
14.2%
MIA 17.6%
HOU 10.6% +7.0%
ORB %
27.0%
26.4%
MIA 26.8%
HOU 30.0% +3.2%
FTrt
38.7
30.9
MIA 47.1 +6.6
HOU 40.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
60.9%
MIA 46.4%
HOU 60.7% +14.3%
STL %
6.8%
7.5%
MIA 3.3%
HOU 10.2% +6.9%
BLK %
8.7%
7.4%
MIA 10.3% +3.3%
HOU 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
50.6%
MIA 45.6% +2.7%
HOU 42.9%
Rim FG%
63.0%
57.3%
MIA 60.0% +13.3%
HOU 46.7%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.5%
MIA 32.4%
HOU 37.2% +4.8%
3P %
37.7%
36.4%
MIA 30.8% +7.0%
HOU 23.8%
FT %
67.2%
78.1%
MIA 66.7%
HOU 71.9% +5.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
28.5%
MIA 28.6% +9.6%
HOU 19.0%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
47.8%
MIA 52.9% +1.6%
HOU 54.4%
3P Att. %
19.8%
23.7%
MIA 18.6%
HOU 26.6% +8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions9288
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points8284
Rebounds4645
Assists1317
Steals39
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals28-7028-79
At-the-Rim FG12-207-15
Midrange FG12-3716-43
2-Point FG24-5723-58
3-Point FG4-135-21
Free Throws22-3323-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
41.5
20
37%
4
4
1
0
4
5
2
2
12-18
67%
4-17
24%
0-2
0%
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
39.8
23
55%
16
2
1
3
5
4
6
10
5-10
50%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
38.5
9
64%
2
1
0
1
1
4
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 195 · 29
35.6
16
67%
7
2
0
0
1
1
0
7
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
3-5
60%
F · 6'11" 262 · 28
25.4
6
60%
5
0
0
0
3
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
21.7
2
25%
4
0
1
0
1
5
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
16.7
2
50%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
13.3
2
17%
2
3
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 261 · 35
7.4
2
33%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 36
C · 7'1" 284 · 28
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 36
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
46%
46
13
3
6
18
0
11
35
22-33
67%
24-57
42%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.