FinalWin Prob.pScore
1235%99
83
965%104
104
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
90.292100.7
MIA logo MIA
113.09284.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA83
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIADooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Layup83
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Dooling Driving Layup83
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0SACMISS Martin 13' Jump Shot83
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMourning 17' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)83
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09SACMISS Evans 20' Jump Shot83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 283
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 283
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33SACHouse 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06SACButler BLOCK (1 BLK)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39SACOstertag Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47SACHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16SACMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17SACThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21SACMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37SACWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01SACSkinner Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23SACDooling STEAL (2 STL)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47SACMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 278
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIAAnderson 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12SACMISS Williamson 10' Jump Shot78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:26MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)78
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 5:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 5:30MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot78
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 5:55SACMobley 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)78
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 6:08MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)76
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 6:26SACMobley 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)76
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 6:40MIAHaslem Layup (9 PTS)74
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 6:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)74
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot74
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 7:02SACMobley 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)74
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 7:19MIAAnderson Reverse Layup (6 PTS)72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 7:37MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 7:41SACMISS Williamson 9' Hook Shot72
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 7:53MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 7:53MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 7:58SACHaslem STEAL (1 STL)72
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 8:11SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)72
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 272
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 1 of 272
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 8:31SACSkinner 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS)72
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 8:48MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)70
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 9:01MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 9:02SACMISS Songaila 13' Jump Shot70
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 9:21MIADooling 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 9:48SACThomas 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)70
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q4 - 10:00MIAAnderson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)68
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 10:18SACBibby 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)68
3.2%
80
96.8%
Q4 - 10:31MIAHaslem 9' Hook Shot (7 PTS)66
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q4 - 10:47MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q4 - 10:49SACDoleac BLOCK (2 BLK)66
3.4%
78
96.6%
Q4 - 11:07SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
4.5%
78
95.5%
Q4 - 11:08MIAMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q4 - 11:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q4 - 11:31SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
3.9%
78
96.1%
Q4 - 11:37SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
4.5%
78
95.5%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS Doleac 21' Jump Shot66
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAC66
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
5.1%
78
94.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 266
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)66
4.3%
78
95.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0SACJones STEAL (1 STL)66
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)66
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0SACSongaila Tip Shot (8 PTS)66
8.9%
74
91.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
7.4%
74
92.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
6.5%
74
93.5%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAJones Driving Layup (11 PTS)64
7.4%
74
92.6%
Q3 - 1:13SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)64
9.6%
72
90.4%
Q3 - 1:13SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)63
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q3 - 1:30MIAJones Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)62
8.0%
72
92.0%
Q3 - 1:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)62
9.5%
70
90.5%
Q3 - 1:36SACO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)62
10.1%
70
89.9%
Q3 - 1:47MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
11.4%
70
88.6%
Q3 - 2:16SACMobley 5' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS)62
13.8%
68
86.2%
Q3 - 2:21SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
11.9%
68
88.1%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup60
11.3%
68
88.7%
Q3 - 2:37MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
9.9%
68
90.1%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 260
11.6%
68
88.4%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 260
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q3 - 2:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)60
9.9%
68
90.1%
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Anderson 12' Jump Shot60
11.3%
68
88.7%
Q3 - 3:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)60
10.6%
68
89.4%
Q3 - 3:05SACMISS Mobley 14' Jump Shot60
11.1%
68
88.9%
Q3 - 3:25MIAHaslem Dunk (4 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)60
12.5%
68
87.5%
Q3 - 3:55SACBibby 6' Jump Shot (19 PTS)60
14.4%
66
85.6%
Q3 - 4:01SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
12.9%
66
87.1%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot58
12.2%
66
87.8%
Q3 - 4:15MIAHEAT Rebound58
10.8%
66
89.2%
Q3 - 4:17SACMISS Songaila 8' Turnaround Jump Shot58
11.4%
66
88.6%
Q3 - 4:18SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
12.9%
66
87.1%
Q3 - 4:20SACMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot58
11.4%
66
88.6%
Q3 - 4:27SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
12.9%
66
87.1%
Q3 - 4:29MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot58
12.2%
66
87.8%
Q3 - 4:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)58
10.8%
66
89.2%
Q3 - 4:37SACMISS Mobley 15' Fadeaway Jumper58
11.4%
66
88.6%
Q3 - 4:45SACMISS Stojakovic Free Throw Technical58
12.9%
66
87.1%
Q3 - 4:59MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)58
12.9%
66
87.1%
Q3 - 5:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
17.5%
63
82.5%
Q3 - 5:05SACMISS Songaila 15' Jump Shot58
18.3%
63
81.7%
Q3 - 5:21SACKings Rebound58
20.2%
63
79.8%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot58
19.3%
63
80.7%
Q3 - 5:40SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)58
17.4%
63
82.6%
Q3 - 5:40SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)57
17.0%
63
83.0%
Q3 - 5:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)56
15.3%
63
84.7%
Q3 - 5:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)56
15.7%
62
84.3%
Q3 - 6:13SACMobley 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)56
17.8%
61
82.2%
Q3 - 6:30MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)54
15.7%
61
84.3%
Q3 - 6:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
17.8%
59
82.2%
Q3 - 6:38SACMISS Skinner 6' Hook Shot54
18.5%
59
81.5%
Q3 - 6:40SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)54
20.4%
59
79.6%
Q3 - 6:42SACMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
18.5%
59
81.5%
Q3 - 7:03MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)54
20.6%
59
79.4%
Q3 - 7:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
22.9%
57
77.1%
Q3 - 7:12SACMISS Songaila 20' Jump Shot54
23.9%
57
76.1%
Q3 - 7:28SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
26.2%
57
73.8%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 254
25.7%
57
74.3%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 254
24.4%
57
75.6%
Q3 - 7:51SACStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)54
22.9%
57
77.1%
Q3 - 8:16MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)51
18.5%
57
81.5%
Q3 - 8:42SACBibby Driving Finger Roll (15 PTS)51
20.5%
55
79.5%
Q3 - 8:54MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)49
18.5%
55
81.5%
Q3 - 9:14SACStojakovic 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Skinner 3 AST)49
23.1%
52
76.9%
Q3 - 9:17SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
20.7%
52
79.3%
Q3 - 9:19SACMISS Songaila 9' Jump Shot47
19.0%
52
81.0%
Q3 - 9:38MIAO'Neal Layup (16 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)47
20.7%
52
79.3%
Q3 - 9:52MIAHEAT Rebound47
23.1%
50
76.9%
Q3 - 9:53SACMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
24.0%
50
76.0%
Q3 - 10:07MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)47
26.0%
50
74.0%
Q3 - 10:26SACSongaila 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)47
28.4%
48
71.6%
Q3 - 10:36SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
25.9%
48
74.1%
Q3 - 10:38MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot45
25.0%
48
75.0%
Q3 - 11:04SACBibby 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
23.1%
48
76.9%
Q3 - 11:15SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
20.9%
48
79.1%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Hook Shot43
20.1%
48
79.9%
Q3 - 11:39SACSkinner Dunk (4 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)43
18.6%
48
81.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
16.7%
48
83.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound41
14.7%
48
85.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 43' 3PT Jump Shot41
16.1%
48
83.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0SACSongaila 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)41
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS)39
13.4%
48
86.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)39
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)38
15.2%
46
84.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)37
13.4%
46
86.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 237
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)37
12.6%
46
87.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0SACLaettner STEAL (3 STL)37
13.9%
45
86.1%
Q2 - 1:01SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
15.3%
45
84.7%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS O'Neal Driving Layup37
15.0%
45
85.0%
Q2 - 1:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
14.5%
45
85.5%
Q2 - 1:22SACMISS Bibby Free Throw 2 of 237
14.6%
45
85.4%
Q2 - 1:22SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
15.8%
45
84.2%
Q2 - 1:32MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)36
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 1:54SACSkinner Layup (2 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)36
12.9%
45
87.1%
Q2 - 2:08MIALaettner Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)34
11.6%
45
88.4%
Q2 - 2:18SACJones STEAL (2 STL)34
13.0%
43
87.0%
Q2 - 2:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
14.4%
43
85.6%
Q2 - 2:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
13.0%
43
87.0%
Q2 - 2:49SACMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot34
13.4%
43
86.6%
Q2 - 3:06MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)34
15.0%
43
85.0%
Q2 - 3:10MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
16.3%
41
83.7%
Q2 - 3:11SACMISS Stojakovic Driving Layup34
16.9%
41
83.1%
Q2 - 3:26MIAAnderson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
18.2%
41
81.8%
Q2 - 3:28MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
19.9%
39
80.1%
Q2 - 3:30MIAMISS Anderson Layup34
21.4%
39
78.6%
Q2 - 3:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
19.9%
39
80.1%
Q2 - 3:35SACMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot34
20.5%
39
79.5%
Q2 - 3:42SACEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)34
22.1%
39
77.9%
Q2 - 3:44SACMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
20.5%
39
79.5%
Q2 - 3:49SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
22.1%
39
77.9%
Q2 - 3:51SACMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot34
20.5%
39
79.5%
Q2 - 4:02SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
22.0%
39
78.0%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot34
21.4%
39
78.6%
Q2 - 4:26SACBibby 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Skinner 2 AST)34
20.1%
39
79.9%
Q2 - 4:40MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)32
18.3%
39
81.7%
Q2 - 4:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
16.7%
39
83.3%
Q2 - 4:45SACMISS Williamson 20' Jump Shot32
17.2%
39
82.8%
Q2 - 5:01MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)32
18.5%
39
81.5%
Q2 - 5:26SACHouse 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
22.0%
36
78.0%
Q2 - 5:31SACEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
20.3%
36
79.7%
Q2 - 5:32SACO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)30
19.0%
36
81.0%
Q2 - 5:40MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
20.3%
36
79.7%
Q2 - 5:43SACLaettner STEAL (2 STL)30
18.4%
36
81.6%
Q2 - 5:58MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)30
20.3%
36
79.7%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 230
21.1%
35
78.9%
Q2 - 6:08SACLaettner STEAL (1 STL)30
20.3%
35
79.7%
Q2 - 6:16SACHouse Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)30
22.5%
35
77.5%
Q2 - 6:25SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)29
20.6%
35
79.4%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot29
20.0%
35
80.0%
Q2 - 6:44MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
18.5%
35
81.5%
Q2 - 6:46SACMISS House 12' Jump Shot29
19.1%
35
80.9%
Q2 - 6:59MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)29
20.6%
35
79.4%
Q2 - 7:10SACDooling STEAL (1 STL)29
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q2 - 7:12SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q2 - 7:15SACJones BLOCK (1 BLK)29
23.2%
33
76.8%
Q2 - 7:23SACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot29
24.0%
33
76.0%
Q2 - 7:37SACEvans Tip Shot (2 PTS)29
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q2 - 7:39SACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
20.9%
33
79.1%
Q2 - 7:41SACMISS Ostertag 12' Jump Shot27
19.6%
33
80.4%
Q2 - 8:04SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
21.0%
33
79.0%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Haslem Layup27
20.4%
33
79.6%
Q2 - 8:26MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
19.1%
33
80.9%
Q2 - 8:28SACDoleac BLOCK (1 BLK)27
19.7%
33
80.3%
Q2 - 8:49MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)27
21.0%
33
79.0%
Q2 - 8:56MIAHEAT Rebound27
24.4%
30
75.6%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot27
25.9%
30
74.1%
Q2 - 9:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
24.4%
30
75.6%
Q2 - 9:04SACMISS Williamson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot27
25.1%
30
74.9%
Q2 - 9:21MIAWade 7' Driving Hook Shot (13 PTS)27
26.5%
30
73.5%
Q2 - 9:35SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
28.3%
28
71.7%
Q2 - 9:35SACThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
27.9%
28
72.1%
Q2 - 9:44MIADooling Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T3)25
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q2 - 9:47SACAnderson STEAL (1 STL)25
24.4%
28
75.6%
Q2 - 10:11MIADooling 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q2 - 10:19MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
28.4%
26
71.6%
Q2 - 10:21SACMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
29.1%
26
70.9%
Q2 - 10:37SACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
30.7%
26
69.3%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot25
30.0%
26
70.0%
Q2 - 10:56SACMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 125
28.7%
26
71.3%
Q2 - 10:56SACThomas Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
28.4%
26
71.6%
Q2 - 11:06SACHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
26.3%
26
73.7%
Q2 - 11:08MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup23
25.7%
26
74.3%
Q2 - 11:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
24.5%
26
75.5%
Q2 - 11:18SACMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot23
25.0%
26
75.0%
Q2 - 11:27SACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
26.3%
26
73.7%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot23
25.7%
26
74.3%
Q2 - 11:46SACMobley 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)23
24.5%
26
75.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
22.7%
26
77.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound21
21.1%
26
78.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot21
22.2%
26
77.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0SACThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)21
22.5%
26
77.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)21
22.9%
25
77.1%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
24.7%
24
75.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0SACMISS Mobley 20' Jump Shot21
25.1%
24
74.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAHEAT Rebound21
26.0%
24
74.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
26.0%
24
74.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 221
26.4%
23
73.6%
Q1 - 0:50.0SACMobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)21
26.4%
23
73.6%
Q1 - 1:11MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)18
22.6%
23
77.4%
Q1 - 1:32SACStojakovic 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
24.7%
21
75.3%
Q1 - 1:48MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
22.6%
21
77.4%
Q1 - 1:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
24.7%
19
75.3%
Q1 - 1:59MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot16
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 2:19SACSongaila 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)16
24.6%
19
75.4%
Q1 - 2:39MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)14
22.8%
19
77.2%
Q1 - 2:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
24.6%
17
75.4%
Q1 - 2:44SACMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
25.1%
17
74.9%
Q1 - 2:50SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
26.3%
17
73.7%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup14
25.8%
17
74.2%
Q1 - 2:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
24.6%
17
75.4%
Q1 - 2:59SACMISS Skinner 20' Jump Shot14
25.1%
17
74.9%
Q1 - 3:17MIAWade Dunk (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)14
26.5%
17
73.5%
Q1 - 3:21SACO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)14
28.0%
15
72.0%
Q1 - 3:42MIAJones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)14
30.1%
15
69.9%
Q1 - 3:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
28.0%
15
72.0%
Q1 - 3:48MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
29.5%
15
70.5%
Q1 - 4:17SACMobley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)14
27.7%
15
72.3%
Q1 - 4:34MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS)12
26.4%
15
73.6%
Q1 - 4:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
27.8%
13
72.2%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot12
29.3%
13
70.7%
Q1 - 4:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
27.8%
13
72.2%
Q1 - 4:49SACMISS Bibby 24' Jump Shot12
28.4%
13
71.6%
Q1 - 5:08MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
29.5%
13
70.5%
Q1 - 5:21MIAHEAT Rebound12
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 5:22SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
33.6%
10
66.4%
Q1 - 5:35SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
35.1%
10
64.9%
Q1 - 5:37MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot12
34.5%
10
65.5%
Q1 - 5:58SACBibby Reverse Layup (6 PTS)12
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 6:02MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)10
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 6:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
32.7%
8
67.3%
Q1 - 6:10SACMISS Skinner 16' Jump Shot10
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 6:19SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
34.6%
8
65.4%
Q1 - 6:21SACMISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot10
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 6:31SACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
34.6%
8
65.4%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS O'Neal Layup10
34.0%
8
66.0%
Q1 - 6:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
32.7%
8
67.3%
Q1 - 6:46SACMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 6:53SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
34.6%
8
65.4%
Q1 - 6:54MIAMISS O'Neal Layup10
34.0%
8
66.0%
Q1 - 6:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
32.7%
8
67.3%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup10
34.0%
8
66.0%
Q1 - 7:16SACBibby 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)10
32.3%
8
67.7%
Q1 - 7:46MIAWade Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)8
30.8%
8
69.2%
Q1 - 7:50SACJones STEAL (1 STL)8
32.3%
6
67.7%
Q1 - 8:00SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
34.2%
6
65.8%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
33.5%
6
66.5%
Q1 - 8:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 8:08SACMISS Songaila Driving Layup8
32.8%
6
67.2%
Q1 - 8:15MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 8:32SACBibby 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Songaila 4 AST)8
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 8:47MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
30.8%
6
69.2%
Q1 - 9:29SACStojakovic 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Songaila 3 AST)6
31.9%
4
68.1%
Q1 - 9:43MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS)4
30.7%
4
69.3%
Q1 - 10:01SACStojakovic 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Songaila 2 AST)4
31.9%
2
68.1%
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 12
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 10:15MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
30.5%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 10:39SACStojakovic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)2
31.9%
0
68.1%
Q1 - 10:50SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
30.5%
0
69.5%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot0
30.0%
0
70.0%
Q1 - 11:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 11:01SACMISS Mobley Reverse Layup0
29.3%
0
70.7%
Q1 - 11:08SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot0
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 11:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.8%
0
71.2%
Q1 - 11:30SACMISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot0
29.3%
0
70.7%
Q1 - 11:40SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot0
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Skinner: Tip to Jones0
28.8%
0
71.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
0.92 46.1%
MIA
1.05 52.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
9
18
50%
MIA
17
29
59%
Midrange
SAC
24
52
46%
MIA
17
42
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
MIA
8
12.0
12
67%
100%
Free Throws
SAC
11
15
73%
MIA
12
25
48%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Bibby2258%11.0 / 19
C. Mobley1761%8.5 / 14
P. Stojakovic1547%7.5 / 16
B. Skinner857%4.0 / 7
D. Songaila840%4.0 / 10
K. Thomas638%3.0 / 8
E. House563%2.5 / 4
M. Evans233%1.0 / 3
C. Williamson0-0.0 / 6
G. Ostertag0-0.0 / 1
K. Martin0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2258%11.0 / 19
S. O'Neal1841%9.0 / 22
E. Jones1785%8.5 / 10
D. Jones1470%7.0 / 10
U. Haslem1169%5.5 / 8
S. Anderson857%4.0 / 7
K. Dooling633%3.0 / 9
A. Mourning450%2.0 / 4
M. Doleac225%1.0 / 4
C. Laettner2100%1.0 / 1
R. Butler0-0.0 / 1
W. Zhi-zhi0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
79
+11
-13
90
MIA
83
+16
-9
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
0.92 46.1%
MIA
1.05 52.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.4
106.6
SAC 90.2 +22.8
MIA 113.0
Pace
95.7
93.9
SAC 100.7 +16.0
MIA 84.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.6
SAC 14.3 +2.7
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
52.4%
SAC 43.9%
MIA 55.4% +11.5%
TO %
13.1%
14.0%
SAC 12.8%
MIA 8.7% +4.1%
ORB %
28.8%
27.0%
SAC 23.9%
MIA 27.3% +3.4%
FTrt
28.7
38.7
SAC 18.3
MIA 30.1 +11.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.6%
57.8%
SAC 54.3%
MIA 54.8% +0.5%
STL %
8.5%
6.8%
SAC 4.3%
MIA 12.0% +7.7%
BLK %
5.6%
8.7%
SAC 2.8%
MIA 10.0% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.6%
52.7%
SAC 46.1%
MIA 52.5% +6.4%
Rim FG%
59.3%
63.0%
SAC 50.0%
MIA 58.6% +8.6%
Mid FG%
41.2%
41.0%
SAC 46.2% +5.7%
MIA 40.5%
3P %
37.4%
37.7%
SAC 16.7%
MIA 66.7% +50.0%
FT %
78.7%
67.2%
SAC 73.3% +25.3%
MIA 48.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
37.6%
SAC 22.0%
MIA 34.9% +13.0%
Mid Att. %
49.7%
42.6%
SAC 63.4%
MIA 50.6% +12.8%
3P Att. %
20.0%
19.8%
SAC 14.6% +0.2%
MIA 14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points83104
Rebounds4347
Assists1923
Steals411
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (0)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)35 (3)
Field Goals35-8242-83
At-the-Rim FG9-1817-29
Midrange FG24-5217-42
2-Point FG33-7034-71
3-Point FG2-128-12
Free Throws11-1512-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 195 · 27
37.0
22
58%
3
7
0
0
3
2
0
3
6-8
75%
8-14
57%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 255 · 29
35.2
8
57%
11
3
0
1
1
4
2
9
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 30
33.0
17
61%
3
2
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
7-11
64%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 229 · 28
31.9
15
47%
7
0
0
0
1
1
1
6
2-3
67%
5-8
63%
1-7
14%
F · 6'9" 248 · 27
28.7
8
40%
6
4
2
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28
22.6
6
38%
2
1
0
0
4
0
2
0
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 245 · 31
18.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-6
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
11.0
5
63%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26
10.5
2
33%
4
0
2
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 280 · 32
9.5
0
0%
4
0
0
1
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 199 · 22
2.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
46%
43
19
4
2
13
0
11
32
11-15
73%
33-70
47%
2-12
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.