FinalWin Prob.pScore
1148%99
112
1952%100
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
117.99589.9
ORL logo ORL
104.099104.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA112
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)112
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Nelson Layup112
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)112
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)111
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)110
99.8%
103
0.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)110
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)110
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)109
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)108
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLMISS Hill Layup108
99.7%
101
0.3%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLMAGIC Rebound108
98.9%
101
1.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 2108
99.4%
101
0.6%
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)108
99.0%
101
1.0%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAJones Layup (22 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)108
99.3%
100
0.7%
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLFrancis Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T17)106
98.6%
100
1.4%
Q4 - 1:02ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)106
96.4%
100
3.6%
Q4 - 1:04ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot106
97.6%
100
2.4%
Q4 - 1:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)106
95.4%
100
4.6%
Q4 - 1:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)105
94.9%
100
5.1%
Q4 - 1:34ORLHill Driving Layup (33 PTS)104
91.0%
100
9.0%
Q4 - 1:47MIAJones 10' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)104
93.3%
98
6.7%
Q4 - 2:00ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)102
90.0%
98
10.0%
Q4 - 2:00ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2102
90.8%
97
9.2%
Q4 - 2:00MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)102
89.7%
97
10.3%
Q4 - 2:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)102
93.6%
97
6.4%
Q4 - 2:21ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
92.3%
97
7.7%
Q4 - 2:31MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)102
88.0%
97
12.0%
Q4 - 2:50ORLTurkoglu 7' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS)99
78.5%
97
21.5%
Q4 - 2:55ORLMAGIC Rebound99
80.1%
95
19.9%
Q4 - 2:55ORLMISS Francis Layup99
85.7%
95
14.3%
Q4 - 2:58MIANelson STEAL (2 STL)99
80.1%
95
19.9%
Q4 - 3:17ORLHill 20' Jump Shot (31 PTS)99
88.1%
95
11.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)99
87.7%
93
12.3%
Q4 - 3:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)97
83.6%
93
16.4%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot97
79.7%
93
20.3%
Q4 - 3:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)97
84.0%
93
16.0%
Q4 - 3:58ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 297
83.3%
93
16.7%
Q4 - 3:58ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)97
79.3%
93
20.7%
Q4 - 4:03MIAChristie STEAL (1 STL)97
83.8%
92
16.2%
Q4 - 4:14MIADooling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)97
88.5%
92
11.5%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot97
85.5%
92
14.5%
Q4 - 4:29ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)97
88.6%
92
11.4%
Q4 - 4:29ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)97
89.3%
91
10.7%
Q4 - 4:44MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)97
91.8%
90
8.2%
Q4 - 5:06ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)95
85.8%
90
14.2%
Q4 - 5:06ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)95
86.4%
89
13.6%
Q4 - 5:14ORLChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
89.3%
88
10.7%
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
90.2%
88
9.8%
Q4 - 5:33ORLFrancis Traveling Turnover (P4.T16)95
92.2%
88
7.8%
Q4 - 5:44MIAWade Reverse Layup (26 PTS)95
89.4%
88
10.6%
Q4 - 5:56ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)93
86.0%
88
14.0%
Q4 - 5:56ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)93
86.6%
87
13.4%
Q4 - 6:13MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)93
86.9%
86
13.1%
Q4 - 6:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
79.3%
86
20.7%
Q4 - 6:30ORLMISS Francis 19' Fadeaway Jumper90
77.5%
86
22.5%
Q4 - 6:48ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
73.0%
86
27.0%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Dooling Driving Layup90
75.1%
86
24.9%
Q4 - 6:52MIADooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
79.3%
86
20.7%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Dooling 15' Jump Shot90
75.1%
86
24.9%
Q4 - 7:16ORLFrancis Reverse Layup (21 PTS)90
77.3%
86
22.7%
Q4 - 7:35MIAJones Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)90
81.3%
84
18.7%
Q4 - 7:55ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)88
77.4%
84
22.6%
Q4 - 7:55ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 288
78.2%
83
21.8%
Q4 - 8:05MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)88
75.1%
83
24.9%
Q4 - 8:05MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
74.4%
83
25.6%
Q4 - 8:24ORLHoward 8' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Francis 7 AST)86
70.2%
83
29.8%
Q4 - 8:44MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)86
75.2%
81
24.8%
Q4 - 8:57ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)84
70.3%
81
29.7%
Q4 - 8:57ORLFrancis Driving Layup (17 PTS)84
75.4%
80
24.6%
Q4 - 9:02ORLChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
78.2%
78
21.8%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS Butler 20' Fadeaway Jumper84
79.5%
78
20.5%
Q4 - 9:29ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)84
82.2%
78
17.8%
Q4 - 9:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
88.1%
75
11.9%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
88.9%
75
11.1%
Q4 - 10:05MIAHeat Rebound84
89.3%
75
10.7%
Q4 - 10:05ORLMISS Christie 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
88.5%
75
11.5%
Q4 - 10:21MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)84
86.7%
75
13.3%
Q4 - 10:30ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)81
80.9%
75
19.1%
Q4 - 10:30ORLTurkoglu 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)81
84.2%
74
15.8%
Q4 - 10:41MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)81
86.8%
72
13.2%
Q4 - 11:10ORLChristie 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)79
82.8%
72
17.2%
Q4 - 11:26MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS)79
85.6%
70
14.4%
Q4 - 11:45ORLHill 14' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Christie 1 AST)77
82.9%
70
17.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL77
85.7%
68
14.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound77
85.7%
68
14.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot77
87.5%
68
12.5%
Q3 - 0:14.0ORLChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
84.5%
68
15.5%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 277
84.9%
68
15.1%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
86.6%
68
13.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)76
84.6%
68
15.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)76
85.0%
67
15.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)76
87.1%
66
12.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)74
84.6%
66
15.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 274
84.2%
66
15.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
82.3%
66
17.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIATurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)74
84.6%
65
15.4%
Q3 - 1:00ORLHill Layup (21 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)74
87.1%
65
12.9%
Q3 - 1:03ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
88.0%
63
12.0%
Q3 - 1:06MIAHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)74
88.7%
63
11.3%
Q3 - 1:21MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
90.1%
63
9.9%
Q3 - 1:23ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
89.5%
63
10.5%
Q3 - 1:37ORLMAGIC Rebound74
88.1%
63
11.9%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
88.8%
63
11.2%
Q3 - 1:43ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)74
90.1%
63
9.9%
Q3 - 1:43ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)74
90.4%
62
9.6%
Q3 - 1:45ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
91.7%
61
8.3%
Q3 - 1:47MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
92.1%
61
7.9%
Q3 - 1:53MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
93.1%
61
6.9%
Q3 - 1:55ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot74
92.7%
61
7.3%
Q3 - 2:11MIAWade Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)74
90.5%
61
9.5%
Q3 - 2:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
88.9%
61
11.1%
Q3 - 2:17ORLMISS Francis 15' Jump Shot72
88.3%
61
11.7%
Q3 - 2:33MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)72
86.8%
61
13.2%
Q3 - 2:47ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)70
84.8%
61
15.2%
Q3 - 2:47ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 270
85.4%
60
14.6%
Q3 - 3:05MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)70
83.7%
60
16.3%
Q3 - 3:30ORLFrancis Slam Dunk (15 PTS)68
81.3%
60
18.7%
Q3 - 3:41MIAHoward STEAL (4 STL)68
83.8%
58
16.2%
Q3 - 3:54ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 168
85.9%
58
14.1%
Q3 - 3:54ORLNelson Reverse Layup (12 PTS)68
86.2%
58
13.8%
Q3 - 4:07ORLMAGIC Rebound68
87.0%
56
13.0%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Wade 23' Jump Shot68
87.7%
56
12.3%
Q3 - 4:30ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T15)68
89.2%
56
10.8%
Q3 - 4:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
87.1%
56
12.9%
Q3 - 4:41MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot68
87.8%
56
12.2%
Q3 - 4:57ORLHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)68
89.2%
56
10.8%
Q3 - 5:14MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)68
86.3%
56
13.7%
Q3 - 5:31ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)65
82.1%
56
17.9%
Q3 - 5:31ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)65
82.5%
55
17.5%
Q3 - 5:43ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
84.3%
54
15.7%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Laettner Free Throw 2 of 265
84.6%
54
15.4%
Q3 - 5:44MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
86.1%
54
13.9%
Q3 - 5:54ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)64
84.5%
54
15.5%
Q3 - 5:54ORLHill Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)64
86.5%
53
13.5%
Q3 - 5:59ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
88.2%
51
11.8%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Doleac 13' Jump Shot64
87.8%
51
12.2%
Q3 - 6:24ORLFrancis 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)64
89.1%
51
10.9%
Q3 - 6:39MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)64
90.5%
49
9.5%
Q3 - 7:02ORLHill 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)62
88.2%
49
11.8%
Q3 - 7:15MIADoleac Foul Turnover (P2.T11)62
89.6%
47
10.4%
Q3 - 7:34ORLNelson 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)62
91.1%
47
8.9%
Q3 - 7:50MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)62
92.2%
45
7.8%
Q3 - 8:08ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)60
90.7%
45
9.3%
Q3 - 8:08ORLHill 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)60
91.9%
44
8.1%
Q3 - 8:26MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Doleac 3 AST)60
92.8%
42
7.2%
Q3 - 8:43MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
90.7%
42
9.3%
Q3 - 8:45ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot57
90.3%
42
9.7%
Q3 - 8:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
89.2%
42
10.8%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Haslem Layup57
89.7%
42
10.3%
Q3 - 8:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)57
90.7%
42
9.3%
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot57
89.7%
42
10.3%
Q3 - 9:22ORLFrancis 16' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)57
89.9%
42
10.1%
Q3 - 9:32ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
91.1%
40
8.9%
Q3 - 9:34MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot57
91.5%
40
8.5%
Q3 - 9:56ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)57
92.3%
40
7.7%
Q3 - 9:56ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)57
92.5%
39
7.5%
Q3 - 9:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
93.3%
38
6.7%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot57
93.6%
38
6.4%
Q3 - 10:26ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)57
93.7%
38
6.3%
Q3 - 10:35ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
92.7%
38
7.3%
Q3 - 10:37MIAMISS Doleac 20' Jump Shot57
93.0%
38
7.0%
Q3 - 10:45MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
93.7%
38
6.3%
Q3 - 10:46ORLMISS Francis Layup57
93.4%
38
6.6%
Q3 - 11:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)57
92.2%
38
7.8%
Q3 - 11:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)56
92.0%
38
8.0%
Q3 - 11:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
91.2%
38
8.8%
Q3 - 11:07ORLMISS Howard Layup55
90.9%
38
9.1%
Q3 - 11:13MIANelson STEAL (1 STL)55
90.0%
38
10.0%
Q3 - 11:16MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
91.2%
38
8.8%
Q3 - 11:18ORLMISS Cato 13' Jump Shot55
90.9%
38
9.1%
Q3 - 11:35ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
90.0%
38
10.0%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 2 of 255
90.2%
38
9.8%
Q3 - 11:35MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
90.9%
38
9.1%
Q3 - 11:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
90.1%
38
9.9%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot54
89.2%
38
10.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
90.1%
38
9.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
90.1%
38
9.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
89.2%
38
10.8%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
89.0%
38
11.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot54
88.4%
38
11.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
89.1%
38
10.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Francis 14' Fadeaway Jumper54
88.8%
38
11.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIALaettner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)54
88.1%
38
11.9%
Q2 - 1:07ORLGarrity Foul Turnover (P1.T12)54
88.3%
38
11.7%
Q2 - 1:16MIADoleac 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)54
87.6%
38
12.4%
Q2 - 1:32ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T11)52
85.4%
38
14.6%
Q2 - 1:49MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)52
84.6%
38
15.4%
Q2 - 2:09ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)50
81.5%
38
18.5%
Q2 - 2:29MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)50
85.1%
35
14.9%
Q2 - 2:49ORLHill Slam Dunk (9 PTS)47
81.5%
35
18.5%
Q2 - 3:04MIAWade Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)47
82.2%
33
17.8%
Q2 - 3:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
80.6%
33
19.4%
Q2 - 3:10ORLMISS Hill 6' Jump Shot45
79.9%
33
20.1%
Q2 - 3:25MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)45
78.4%
33
21.6%
Q2 - 3:45ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
74.4%
33
25.6%
Q2 - 3:45ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)42
74.8%
32
25.2%
Q2 - 3:47MIAHoward STEAL (3 STL)42
76.4%
31
23.6%
Q2 - 3:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
78.7%
31
21.3%
Q2 - 3:59ORLMISS Francis 12' Turnaround Jump Shot42
78.0%
31
22.0%
Q2 - 4:18MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)42
75.6%
31
24.4%
Q2 - 4:18MIAHeat Rebound42
77.7%
31
22.3%
Q2 - 4:18MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)42
76.3%
31
23.7%
Q2 - 4:45ORLHill Driving Layup (7 PTS)42
77.7%
31
22.3%
Q2 - 5:06MIADooling 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Doleac 2 AST)42
79.1%
29
20.9%
Q2 - 5:17MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
77.3%
29
22.7%
Q2 - 5:19ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot40
76.7%
29
23.3%
Q2 - 5:38MIADooling 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
75.1%
29
24.9%
Q2 - 5:49ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)38
73.1%
29
26.9%
Q2 - 6:05ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
70.0%
29
30.0%
Q2 - 6:07MIAMISS Jones 14' Turnaround Jump Shot38
70.8%
29
29.2%
Q2 - 6:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
72.7%
29
27.3%
Q2 - 6:27ORLMISS Cato Layup38
71.9%
29
28.1%
Q2 - 6:43MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
70.1%
29
29.9%
Q2 - 6:43MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
69.6%
29
30.4%
Q2 - 7:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
67.3%
29
32.7%
Q2 - 7:14ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot36
66.6%
29
33.4%
Q2 - 7:29MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)36
64.8%
29
35.2%
Q2 - 7:46MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
67.4%
29
32.6%
Q2 - 7:48ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot36
66.6%
29
33.4%
Q2 - 8:09MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
64.3%
29
35.7%
Q2 - 8:09MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 235
63.8%
29
36.2%
Q2 - 8:13ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)35
64.6%
29
35.4%
Q2 - 8:24MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)35
61.9%
29
38.1%
Q2 - 8:43ORLTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)32
57.2%
29
42.8%
Q2 - 8:56ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
54.4%
29
45.6%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot32
55.2%
29
44.8%
Q2 - 9:21MIAHeat Rebound32
56.9%
29
43.1%
Q2 - 9:23ORLMISS Stevenson 3PT Jump Shot32
56.1%
29
43.9%
Q2 - 9:43ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
54.1%
29
45.9%
Q2 - 9:44ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 2 of 232
56.5%
29
43.5%
Q2 - 9:44ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
55.1%
29
44.9%
Q2 - 9:57ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
56.6%
28
43.4%
Q2 - 9:59MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot32
57.5%
28
42.5%
Q2 - 10:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
59.1%
28
40.9%
Q2 - 10:16ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot32
58.3%
28
41.7%
Q2 - 10:29MIAAnderson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)32
56.4%
28
43.6%
Q2 - 10:50ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
54.2%
28
45.8%
Q2 - 10:50ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
54.7%
27
45.3%
Q2 - 10:57MIAWade Layup (7 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)30
56.4%
26
43.6%
Q2 - 11:16ORLGarrity 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)28
53.7%
26
46.3%
Q2 - 11:29MIALaettner Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)28
56.2%
24
43.8%
Q2 - 11:36MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot26
52.1%
24
47.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
53.8%
24
46.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound26
53.8%
24
46.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Laettner 3PT Jump Shot26
52.1%
24
47.9%
Q1 - 0:12.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (8 PTS)26
53.2%
24
46.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
56.1%
22
43.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Dooling 17' Jump Shot26
56.6%
22
43.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)26
57.9%
22
42.1%
Q1 - 1:00ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
56.1%
22
43.9%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS Jones 19' Fadeaway Jumper26
56.6%
22
43.4%
Q1 - 1:20ORLHill 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)26
57.9%
22
42.1%
Q1 - 1:47MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)26
60.7%
20
39.3%
Q1 - 1:55ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)23
55.5%
20
44.5%
Q1 - 1:59ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
53.7%
20
46.3%
Q1 - 2:01ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot23
55.2%
20
44.8%
Q1 - 2:15MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)23
53.7%
20
46.3%
Q1 - 2:26ORLHoward Layup (6 PTS)20
48.8%
20
51.2%
Q1 - 2:49MIAWade Dunk (5 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)20
51.3%
18
48.7%
Q1 - 2:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
48.8%
18
51.2%
Q1 - 2:56MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot18
47.3%
18
52.7%
Q1 - 3:16MIAHeat Rebound18
48.9%
18
51.1%
Q1 - 3:17ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
48.1%
18
51.9%
Q1 - 3:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)18
46.4%
18
53.6%
Q1 - 3:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
48.9%
18
51.1%
Q1 - 3:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
48.9%
18
51.1%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot18
47.1%
18
52.9%
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot18
47.1%
18
52.9%
Q1 - 3:45ORLHoward Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)18
48.9%
18
51.1%
Q1 - 3:50MIAHoward STEAL (2 STL)18
50.9%
16
49.1%
Q1 - 4:05MIAHeat Rebound18
53.3%
16
46.7%
Q1 - 4:06ORLMISS Francis 16' Jump Shot18
52.5%
16
47.5%
Q1 - 4:22MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
50.7%
16
49.3%
Q1 - 4:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
48.9%
16
51.1%
Q1 - 4:34ORLMISS Hill 12' Jump Shot16
48.1%
16
51.9%
Q1 - 4:49MIALaettner 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)16
46.2%
16
53.8%
Q1 - 5:04ORLFrancis Foul Turnover (P3.T5)14
44.4%
16
55.6%
Q1 - 5:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)14
42.2%
16
57.8%
Q1 - 5:19MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS)13
40.1%
16
59.9%
Q1 - 5:22ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)11
38.3%
16
61.7%
Q1 - 5:29MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)11
36.1%
16
63.9%
Q1 - 5:48ORLNelson 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)9
34.4%
16
65.6%
Q1 - 5:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
36.1%
14
63.9%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot9
36.8%
14
63.2%
Q1 - 6:20ORLNelson 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)9
38.5%
14
61.5%
Q1 - 6:41MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)9
40.3%
12
59.7%
Q1 - 6:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
36.6%
12
63.4%
Q1 - 6:48ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot6
36.0%
12
64.0%
Q1 - 6:51ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
34.6%
12
65.4%
Q1 - 6:53ORLMISS Francis 13' Jump Shot6
36.0%
12
64.0%
Q1 - 7:13MIALaettner 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
35.3%
12
64.7%
Q1 - 7:29ORLHoward Dunk (2 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)4
33.7%
12
66.3%
Q1 - 7:30MIAFrancis STEAL (1 STL)4
35.3%
10
64.7%
Q1 - 7:37ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)4
37.2%
10
62.8%
Q1 - 7:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
35.2%
10
64.8%
Q1 - 7:54ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot4
36.6%
10
63.4%
Q1 - 8:05ORLFrancis Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)4
35.6%
10
64.4%
Q1 - 8:20ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
37.3%
9
62.7%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
37.9%
9
62.1%
Q1 - 8:31ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
39.3%
9
60.7%
Q1 - 8:31ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
39.6%
8
60.4%
Q1 - 8:45MIALaettner 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
40.9%
7
59.1%
Q1 - 9:09ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
39.3%
7
60.7%
Q1 - 9:09ORLHill Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
41.1%
6
58.9%
Q1 - 9:16ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.4%
4
57.6%
Q1 - 9:18MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
43.1%
4
56.9%
Q1 - 9:26ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
44.8%
4
55.2%
Q1 - 9:31ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.4%
4
57.6%
Q1 - 9:33MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot2
43.2%
4
56.8%
Q1 - 9:46MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
44.8%
4
55.2%
Q1 - 9:48ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot2
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 10:01MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 10:07ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)2
44.6%
4
55.4%
Q1 - 10:25MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
46.2%
2
53.8%
Q1 - 10:25MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
45.8%
2
54.2%
Q1 - 10:34ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
44.6%
2
55.4%
Q1 - 10:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 10:45ORLMISS Francis 15' Jump Shot0
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 10:59ORLMAGIC Rebound0
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 11:01ORLMISS Hill 12' Turnaround Jump Shot0
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 11:23MIAHoward STEAL (1 STL)0
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 11:41ORLCato Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)0
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Cato vs. Doleac: Tip to Nelson0
46.4%
0
53.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.2%
ORL
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
15
67%
ORL
15
21
71%
Midrange
MIA
20
40
50%
ORL
16
39
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
22
50%
75%
ORL
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
19
23
83%
ORL
35
43
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2874%14.0 / 19
E. Jones2463%12.0 / 19
D. Jones2273%11.0 / 15
U. Haslem1050%5.0 / 10
C. Laettner975%4.5 / 6
K. Dooling638%3.0 / 8
M. Doleac550%2.5 / 5
S. Anderson583%2.5 / 3
R. Butler350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hill3461%17.0 / 28
S. Francis2248%11.0 / 23
J. Nelson1450%7.0 / 14
H. Turkoglu1464%7.0 / 11
D. Howard975%4.5 / 6
P. Garrity5125%2.5 / 2
K. Cato233%1.0 / 3
D. Christie250%1.0 / 2
D. Stevenson125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+13
-15
93
ORL
82
+10
-17
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.2%
ORL
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
101.8
MIA 117.9 +13.9
ORL 104.0
Pace
93.9
97.7
MIA 89.9
ORL 104.9 +15.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.6
MIA 16.0
ORL 13.7 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.8%
MIA 60.4% +9.7%
ORL 50.7%
TO %
14.0%
16.0%
MIA 15.5% +1.0%
ORL 16.5%
ORB %
27.0%
30.0%
MIA 31.4% +12.0%
ORL 19.4%
FTrt
38.7
35.0
MIA 29.9
ORL 64.2 +34.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
52.2%
MIA 68.3% +16.8%
ORL 51.5%
STL %
6.8%
7.9%
MIA 10.5% +1.4%
ORL 9.1%
BLK %
8.7%
8.0%
MIA 6.7% +3.1%
ORL 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
50.3%
MIA 60.2% +4.2%
ORL 56.0%
Rim FG%
63.0%
57.1%
MIA 66.7%
ORL 71.4% +4.7%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.0%
MIA 50.0% +9.0%
ORL 41.0%
3P %
37.7%
34.9%
MIA 50.0% +21.4%
ORL 28.6%
FT %
67.2%
75.9%
MIA 82.6% +1.2%
ORL 81.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
35.8%
MIA 19.5%
ORL 31.3% +11.9%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
50.5%
MIA 51.9% +6.3%
ORL 58.2%
3P Att. %
19.8%
13.7%
MIA 28.6% +18.1%
ORL 10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9599
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points112103
Rebounds3630
Assists2817
Steals109
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (4)24 (2)
Field Goals41-7733-67
At-the-Rim FG10-1515-21
Midrange FG20-4016-39
2-Point FG30-5531-60
3-Point FG11-222-7
Free Throws19-2335-43
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
44.2
24
63%
4
5
2
0
0
5
0
4
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
4-9
44%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
39.0
28
74%
3
11
2
3
8
3
2
1
6-7
86%
11-15
73%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
37.0
10
50%
12
1
4
1
1
3
4
8
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 29
30.7
22
73%
3
3
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
6-10
60%
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
18.5
5
50%
5
3
0
0
2
4
0
5
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 36
22.9
9
75%
3
2
2
0
1
3
1
2
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
19.6
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
17.8
6
38%
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
10.3
3
50%
1
3
0
0
0
5
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
C · 7'1" 284 · 28
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
60%
36
28
10
4
15
0
11
25
19-23
83%
30-55
55%
11-22
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.