FinalWin Prob.pScore
1915%89
67
185%102
93
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
69.19792.1
SAS logo SAS
94.998104.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS67
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0DENWhite 3' Dunk (10 PTS) (Trepagnier 1 AST)67
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASHart 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)65
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0DENWhite Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)65
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0DENWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0SASMISS Willis 16' Fadeaway Jumper65
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 1:01DENTskitishvili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 1:01DENMISS Tskitishvili Free Throw 1 of 264
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 1:01DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)64
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 1:02DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)64
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 1:02DENMISS Tskitishvili 2' Tip Shot64
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 1:04DENMISS White 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 1:13SASWillis Slam Dunk (4 PTS)64
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 1:15DENWillis STEAL (2 STL)64
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 1:28SASCarroll Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T18)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30SASCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31SASMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 264
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31SASCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36DENHart STEAL (2 STL)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48DENRose STEAL (1 STL)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56SASRose 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Willis 1 AST)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05SASCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06DENMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot64
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28SASWard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)64
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)64
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51DENMISS Doleac Free Throw 2 of 264
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51DENDoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)64
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04SASMISS Ward Free Throw 2 of 263
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04SASWard Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)63
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16DENMISS Tskitishvili 8' Turnaround Jump Shot63
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30SASHart Foul Turnover (P2.T16)63
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41DENTskitishvili Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)63
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00SASHart 2' Running Layup (6 PTS)63
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06DENMISS Doleac 5' Jump Bank Shot63
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27SASMISS Willis 15' Jump Shot63
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01SASMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 261
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01SASTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)61
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup61
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 5:37SASRose 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)61
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q4 - 6:04DENMiller 2' Layup (11 PTS)61
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q4 - 6:15SASCarroll Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)59
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q4 - 6:28DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)59
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q4 - 6:28DENAnthony 3' Layup (9 PTS)58
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35SASCarroll 2' Running Layup (3 PTS)56
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40DENGinobili STEAL (2 STL)56
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45SASWillis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)56
0.2%
73
99.8%
Q4 - 6:47DENWillis STEAL (1 STL)56
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07SASWillis 3' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)56
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q4 - 7:17DENMISS Pope Free Throw 1 of 156
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q4 - 7:17DENPope 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)56
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q4 - 7:20DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
0.3%
71
99.7%
Q4 - 7:21SASMISS Willis 16' Jump Shot54
0.3%
71
99.7%
Q4 - 7:49DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)54
0.2%
71
99.8%
Q4 - 8:09DENNuggets Rebound51
0.2%
71
99.8%
Q4 - 8:09SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 251
0.2%
71
99.8%
Q4 - 8:09SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)51
0.2%
71
99.8%
Q4 - 8:31DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)51
0.2%
70
99.8%
Q4 - 8:38SASTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)51
0.2%
70
99.8%
Q4 - 8:53SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
0.2%
70
99.8%
Q4 - 8:55DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
0.2%
70
99.8%
Q4 - 9:09SASMISS Ginobili 5' Driving Layup51
0.3%
70
99.7%
Q4 - 9:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
0.3%
70
99.7%
Q4 - 9:22SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 151
0.3%
70
99.7%
Q4 - 9:22SASDuncan 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)51
0.3%
70
99.7%
Q4 - 9:35DENDuncan STEAL (2 STL)51
0.4%
68
99.6%
Q4 - 9:51DENNuggets Rebound51
0.5%
68
99.5%
Q4 - 9:52SASMISS Carroll 6' Running Jump Shot51
0.4%
68
99.6%
Q4 - 10:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)51
0.5%
68
99.5%
Q4 - 10:09SASMISS Turkoglu 6' Jump Shot51
0.6%
68
99.4%
Q4 - 10:13SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
0.5%
68
99.5%
Q4 - 10:15SASMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot51
0.6%
68
99.4%
Q4 - 10:22DENHorry STEAL (1 STL)51
0.5%
68
99.5%
Q4 - 10:31SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)51
0.6%
68
99.4%
Q4 - 10:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)51
0.5%
68
99.5%
Q4 - 10:42DENMISS Miller 3' Layup51
0.5%
68
99.5%
Q4 - 11:05SASHorry 1' Reverse Dunk (9 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)51
0.7%
68
99.3%
Q4 - 11:20SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q4 - 11:21DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q4 - 11:27SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)51
1.1%
66
98.9%
Q4 - 11:27SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)51
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q4 - 11:43DENLenard 6' Running Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)51
1.3%
64
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN49
1.1%
64
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
1.1%
64
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 249
1.1%
64
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)49
0.9%
64
99.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)49
1.3%
63
98.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 249
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0DENMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENNuggets Rebound49
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0DENMISS Boykins 19' Jump Shot49
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)49
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q3 - 1:09SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 1:10DENMISS Boykins 17' Jump Shot49
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q3 - 1:17DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q3 - 1:19SASMISS Carroll 2' Layup49
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q3 - 1:24SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 1:26DENMISS Tskitishvili 23' Jump Shot49
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q3 - 1:34DENDoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q3 - 1:36SASMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot49
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q3 - 1:53DENTskitishvili 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)49
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 2:02DENBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 2:05DENNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)47
1.3%
62
98.7%
Q3 - 2:13SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 2:13SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
1.6%
61
98.4%
Q3 - 2:26DENWhite 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
1.8%
60
98.2%
Q3 - 2:43SASParker 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
1.5%
60
98.5%
Q3 - 2:56DENTskitishvili Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)45
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q3 - 2:56DENMISS Tskitishvili Free Throw 1 of 244
1.7%
58
98.3%
Q3 - 3:06SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
2.0%
58
98.0%
Q3 - 3:06SASNesterovic 2' Follow Up Dunk (8 PTS)44
2.0%
58
98.0%
Q3 - 3:08SASMISS Bowen 6' Running Jump Shot44
2.7%
56
97.3%
Q3 - 3:27DENWhite 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)44
2.4%
56
97.6%
Q3 - 3:44SASNesterovic 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)42
2.0%
56
98.0%
Q3 - 3:54SASParker Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
2.4%
54
97.6%
Q3 - 3:54SASParker Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
2.5%
53
97.5%
Q3 - 3:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)42
3.3%
52
96.7%
Q3 - 4:01DENMISS Boykins 14' Jump Shot42
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q3 - 4:14SASDuncan 6' Running Hook Shot (19 PTS)42
4.1%
52
95.9%
Q3 - 4:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)42
4.8%
50
95.2%
Q3 - 4:36DENMISS White Free Throw 2 of 242
4.9%
50
95.1%
Q3 - 4:36DENMISS White Free Throw 1 of 242
5.4%
50
94.6%
Q3 - 4:58SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q3 - 4:58SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q3 - 5:13DENWhite Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
6.9%
48
93.1%
Q3 - 5:13DENWhite Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
6.6%
48
93.4%
Q3 - 5:33SASDuncan 7' Jump Shot (17 PTS)40
5.9%
48
94.1%
Q3 - 5:51SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q3 - 5:52DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
7.2%
46
92.8%
Q3 - 5:58DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
8.1%
46
91.9%
Q3 - 6:00SASMISS Nesterovic 10' Turnaround Jump Shot40
7.7%
46
92.3%
Q3 - 6:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)40
6.9%
46
93.1%
Q3 - 6:14DENTurkoglu BLOCK (2 BLK)40
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q3 - 6:26SASBowen 1' Layup (3 PTS)40
8.1%
46
91.9%
Q3 - 6:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)40
9.3%
44
90.7%
Q3 - 6:32DENNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)40
9.8%
44
90.2%
Q3 - 6:50SASNesterovic 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)40
10.9%
44
89.1%
Q3 - 6:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)40
12.4%
42
87.6%
Q3 - 6:55SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot40
13.8%
42
86.2%
Q3 - 7:07DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
12.3%
42
87.7%
Q3 - 7:07DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
11.8%
42
88.2%
Q3 - 7:15SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
10.9%
42
89.1%
Q3 - 7:15SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
11.3%
41
88.7%
Q3 - 7:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)38
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q3 - 7:21DENMISS Anthony 4' Layup38
12.9%
40
87.1%
Q3 - 7:41SASNesterovic 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)38
14.3%
40
85.7%
Q3 - 7:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)38
16.0%
38
84.0%
Q3 - 7:54SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot38
17.8%
38
82.2%
Q3 - 8:12DENBowen STEAL (1 STL)38
15.9%
38
84.1%
Q3 - 8:24SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)38
18.3%
38
81.7%
Q3 - 8:24SASSPURS Rebound38
15.9%
38
84.1%
Q3 - 8:25SASMISS Ginobili 4' Running Finger Roll38
17.5%
38
82.5%
Q3 - 8:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)38
15.9%
38
84.1%
Q3 - 8:34DENBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)38
16.6%
38
83.4%
Q3 - 8:49SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)38
18.3%
38
81.7%
Q3 - 8:49SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)38
19.0%
37
81.0%
Q3 - 9:16DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
19.6%
36
80.4%
Q3 - 9:16DENAnthony 1' Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)38
19.6%
36
80.4%
Q3 - 9:18DENMISS Trepagnier 7' Jump Shot36
16.0%
36
84.0%
Q3 - 9:21DENTrepagnier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
17.5%
36
82.5%
Q3 - 9:22DENMISS Nene 5' Turnaround Jump Shot36
16.0%
36
84.0%
Q3 - 9:33DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
17.5%
36
82.5%
Q3 - 9:35SASMISS Parker 1' Layup36
16.8%
36
83.2%
Q3 - 9:36SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
15.4%
36
84.6%
Q3 - 9:38SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot36
16.8%
36
83.2%
Q3 - 9:56SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
15.4%
36
84.6%
Q3 - 9:57DENMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 236
15.7%
36
84.3%
Q3 - 9:57DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
17.1%
36
82.9%
Q3 - 10:03SASGinobili 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)35
15.0%
36
85.0%
Q3 - 10:22DENMiller 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
16.7%
34
83.3%
Q3 - 10:32DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
15.0%
34
85.0%
Q3 - 10:32SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 233
14.7%
34
85.3%
Q3 - 10:32SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 233
13.8%
34
86.2%
Q3 - 10:48DENDuncan STEAL (1 STL)33
13.1%
34
86.9%
Q3 - 11:11SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)33
14.4%
34
85.6%
Q3 - 11:23SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
16.2%
32
83.8%
Q3 - 11:25DENMISS Anthony 13' Jump Shot33
16.8%
32
83.2%
Q3 - 11:40DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
18.2%
32
81.8%
Q3 - 11:43SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup33
17.6%
32
82.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN33
16.2%
32
83.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
18.3%
32
81.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENHart BLOCK (1 BLK)33
16.8%
32
83.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T9)33
17.6%
32
82.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENBoykins 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS)33
16.4%
32
83.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0SASDuncan 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)31
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
16.3%
30
83.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0DENMISS Tskitishvili 20' Jump Shot31
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0SASHart Foul Turnover (P1.T8)31
17.7%
30
82.3%
Q2 - 0:50.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
16.3%
30
83.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0DENMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot31
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q2 - 1:12SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q2 - 1:12SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
17.8%
29
82.2%
Q2 - 1:16SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
20.4%
28
79.6%
Q2 - 1:19DENMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot31
20.7%
28
79.3%
Q2 - 1:29DENBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
21.5%
28
78.5%
Q2 - 1:32SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup31
21.1%
28
78.9%
Q2 - 1:47DENMiller 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
20.4%
28
79.6%
Q2 - 2:06SASHart 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)29
17.6%
28
82.4%
Q2 - 2:25SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
19.6%
26
80.4%
Q2 - 2:27DENMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot29
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q2 - 2:35DENWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
21.5%
26
78.5%
Q2 - 2:36DENMISS Tskitishvili 16' Jump Shot29
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q2 - 2:40DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
21.5%
26
78.5%
Q2 - 2:42DENMISS White 17' Jump Shot29
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q2 - 2:53SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)29
21.5%
26
78.5%
Q2 - 3:14DENWhite 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)29
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q2 - 3:19DENDoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q2 - 3:20DENDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)27
15.9%
26
84.1%
Q2 - 3:37SASHart 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)27
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q2 - 4:01DENTskitishvili Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)27
18.2%
24
81.8%
Q2 - 4:08DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q2 - 4:10DENMISS Tskitishvili 20' Jump Shot27
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q2 - 4:26DENDoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q2 - 4:26SASMISS Ginobili 1' Driving Layup27
19.5%
24
80.5%
Q2 - 4:41SASJump Ball Hart vs. Boykins: Tip to Rose27
18.2%
24
81.8%
Q2 - 4:52SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)27
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q2 - 4:52SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)27
20.6%
23
79.4%
Q2 - 5:05DENPope Foul Turnover (P1.T3)27
21.3%
22
78.7%
Q2 - 5:08DENBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
23.5%
22
76.5%
Q2 - 5:10DENMISS White 16' Jump Shot27
22.0%
22
78.0%
Q2 - 5:29DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
23.5%
22
76.5%
Q2 - 5:31SASMISS Turkoglu 8' Running Jump Shot27
22.8%
22
77.2%
Q2 - 5:53SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
21.4%
22
78.6%
Q2 - 5:55DENMISS Lenard 18' Jump Shot27
22.0%
22
78.0%
Q2 - 6:14DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
23.0%
22
77.0%
Q2 - 6:17SASMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q2 - 6:19SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
20.8%
22
79.2%
Q2 - 6:21SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q2 - 6:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)27
20.8%
22
79.2%
Q2 - 6:42DENMISS Elson 19' Jump Shot27
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q2 - 6:55SASTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)27
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q2 - 7:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q2 - 7:08DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot27
21.0%
22
79.0%
Q2 - 7:26SASDuncan 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)27
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q2 - 7:31SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
24.1%
20
75.9%
Q2 - 7:32SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 227
25.9%
20
74.1%
Q2 - 7:32SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 227
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q2 - 7:32DENParker STEAL (1 STL)27
24.1%
20
75.9%
Q2 - 7:33DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
26.2%
20
73.8%
Q2 - 7:35DENDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)27
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q2 - 7:42DENPope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
26.2%
20
73.8%
Q2 - 7:44SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 227
25.9%
20
74.1%
Q2 - 7:44SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
24.8%
20
75.2%
Q2 - 7:56SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
26.1%
19
73.9%
Q2 - 7:57DENMISS Elson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot27
26.8%
19
73.2%
Q2 - 8:17SASRose Foul Turnover (P1.T5)27
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q2 - 8:27SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q2 - 8:29DENMISS Nene 8' Jump Shot27
26.3%
19
73.7%
Q2 - 8:37DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q2 - 8:39SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q2 - 8:55SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q2 - 8:56DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)27
26.3%
19
73.7%
Q2 - 9:11SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
27.0%
19
73.0%
Q2 - 9:11SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
27.6%
18
72.4%
Q2 - 9:16SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
28.8%
17
71.2%
Q2 - 9:18DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot27
29.5%
17
70.5%
Q2 - 9:36DENNuggets Rebound27
31.2%
17
68.8%
Q2 - 9:38SASMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
30.5%
17
69.5%
Q2 - 9:57DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
28.9%
17
71.1%
Q2 - 10:08SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
27.0%
17
73.0%
Q2 - 10:08SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
27.3%
16
72.7%
Q2 - 10:25DENMiller 1' Layup (4 PTS)25
28.7%
15
71.3%
Q2 - 10:35SASTurkoglu 23' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)23
26.9%
15
73.1%
Q2 - 10:52DENMiller 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q2 - 11:13DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
25.8%
13
74.2%
Q2 - 11:16SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
25.2%
13
74.8%
Q2 - 11:32SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
24.0%
13
76.0%
Q2 - 11:34DENMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot21
24.6%
13
75.4%
Q2 - 11:48SASTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)21
25.9%
13
74.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS21
24.1%
13
75.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENBoykins 11' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)21
24.1%
13
75.9%
Q1 - 0:08.0DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
21.7%
13
78.3%
Q1 - 0:10.0DENMISS Boykins 17' Jump Shot19
20.8%
13
79.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
21.7%
13
78.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
21.3%
13
78.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
20.5%
13
79.5%
Q1 - 0:40.0DENMISS Tskitishvili 6' Jump Shot19
20.8%
13
79.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
21.7%
13
78.3%
Q1 - 1:01SASMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 219
21.4%
13
78.6%
Q1 - 1:01SASTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
20.4%
13
79.6%
Q1 - 1:01SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22.0%
12
78.0%
Q1 - 1:02DENMISS Bowen 9' Jump Shot19
22.3%
12
77.7%
Q1 - 1:19DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
23.3%
12
76.7%
Q1 - 1:21SASMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot19
22.9%
12
77.1%
Q1 - 1:36DENBoykins 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
22.0%
12
78.0%
Q1 - 1:47SASMISS Horry Free Throw 1 of 117
19.9%
12
80.1%
Q1 - 1:47SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
20.1%
12
79.9%
Q1 - 1:47SASHorry 2' Layup (7 PTS)17
20.1%
12
79.9%
Q1 - 1:48SASMISS Ginobili 1' Driving Layup17
22.9%
10
77.1%
Q1 - 1:57SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
22.0%
10
78.0%
Q1 - 1:59DENMISS White 5' Jump Shot17
22.4%
10
77.6%
Q1 - 2:20SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
23.2%
10
76.8%
Q1 - 2:20SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
23.5%
9
76.5%
Q1 - 2:39DENBoykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)17
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 2:45DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
21.5%
8
78.5%
Q1 - 2:48SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot14
21.1%
8
78.9%
Q1 - 3:08DENTskitishvili 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)14
19.3%
8
80.7%
Q1 - 3:25DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
18.2%
8
81.8%
Q1 - 3:28SASMISS Horry 9' Jump Shot12
17.7%
8
82.3%
Q1 - 3:45DENDoleac 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)12
16.7%
8
83.3%
Q1 - 4:04DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
15.2%
8
84.8%
Q1 - 4:05SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 210
15.0%
8
85.0%
Q1 - 4:05SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
14.5%
8
85.5%
Q1 - 4:14SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
15.0%
7
85.0%
Q1 - 4:17DENMISS Tskitishvili 22' Jump Shot10
15.4%
7
84.6%
Q1 - 4:40DENDoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
16.4%
7
83.6%
Q1 - 4:43DENMISS White 22' Jump Shot10
15.4%
7
84.6%
Q1 - 5:06DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
15.7%
7
84.3%
Q1 - 5:07SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot10
15.3%
7
84.7%
Q1 - 5:21SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
14.5%
7
85.5%
Q1 - 5:23DENMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot10
14.9%
7
85.1%
Q1 - 5:42SASHorry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)10
15.7%
7
84.3%
Q1 - 5:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
14.5%
7
85.5%
Q1 - 5:56DENMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot10
14.9%
7
85.1%
Q1 - 6:11SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
15.3%
7
84.7%
Q1 - 6:11SASHorry 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)10
16.4%
6
83.6%
Q1 - 6:22DENLenard Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
17.5%
4
82.5%
Q1 - 6:29DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
18.7%
4
81.3%
Q1 - 6:31SASMISS Hart 16' Jump Shot10
18.4%
4
81.6%
Q1 - 6:48DENNene 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)10
17.5%
4
82.5%
Q1 - 6:57SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
16.4%
4
83.6%
Q1 - 6:57SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
16.7%
3
83.3%
Q1 - 7:11DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)8
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 7:11DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)7
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 7:27DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
15.8%
2
84.2%
Q1 - 7:30SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Bank Shot6
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 7:40SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
14.7%
2
85.3%
Q1 - 7:42DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
15.1%
2
84.9%
Q1 - 7:52SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)6
15.9%
2
84.1%
Q1 - 8:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 8:16DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot6
16.8%
0
83.2%
Q1 - 8:23DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 8:25SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup6
17.2%
0
82.8%
Q1 - 8:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 8:41DENMISS Nene 13' Jump Shot6
16.8%
0
83.2%
Q1 - 8:51DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 8:53SASMISS Nesterovic 2' Hook Shot6
17.2%
0
82.8%
Q1 - 9:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 9:06DENTurkoglu BLOCK (1 BLK)6
16.6%
0
83.4%
Q1 - 9:10SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 9:20SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 9:21DENMISS Elson 15' Jump Shot6
16.6%
0
83.4%
Q1 - 9:34DENNuggets Rebound6
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 9:35SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot6
17.1%
0
82.9%
Q1 - 10:03DENNene 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Lenard 2 AST)6
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 10:08SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
15.2%
0
84.8%
Q1 - 10:25SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
14.2%
0
85.8%
Q1 - 10:25SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 24
15.1%
0
84.9%
Q1 - 10:25SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 24
14.6%
0
85.4%
Q1 - 10:40SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.2%
0
85.8%
Q1 - 10:42DENMISS Lenard 23' Jump Shot4
14.5%
0
85.5%
Q1 - 10:56DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.2%
0
84.8%
Q1 - 10:58SASMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot4
14.9%
0
85.1%
Q1 - 11:19DENElson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)4
14.1%
0
85.9%
Q1 - 11:26DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.2%
0
86.8%
Q1 - 11:27SASMISS Nesterovic 13' Jump Shot2
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:48DENNene 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)2
12.4%
0
87.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Elson: Tip to Miller0
11.6%
0
88.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.70 34.9%
SAS
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
10
23
43%
SAS
18
29
62%
Midrange
DEN
15
51
29%
SAS
9
27
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
SAS
1
1.5
10
10%
15%
Free Throws
DEN
11
18
61%
SAS
36
53
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony1238%6.0 / 16
A. Miller1150%5.5 / 11
Nene1056%5.0 / 9
R. White1038%5.0 / 13
E. Boykins950%4.5 / 9
N. Tskitishvili625%3.0 / 12
M. Doleac321%1.5 / 7
V. Lenard217%1.0 / 6
F. Elson225%1.0 / 4
M. Pope250%1.0 / 2
R. Bowen0-0.0 / 2
J. Trepagnier0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2364%11.5 / 18
T. Parker1146%5.5 / 12
R. Horry964%4.5 / 7
R. Nesterovic850%4.0 / 8
J. Hart880%4.0 / 5
M. Rose8100%4.0 / 4
M. Ginobili627%3.0 / 11
B. Bowen440%2.0 / 5
H. Turkoglu418%2.0 / 11
M. Carroll440%2.0 / 5
K. Willis440%2.0 / 5
C. Ward4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
80
+15
-17
95
SAS
80
+14
-18
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.70 34.9%
SAS
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.4
100.0
DEN 69.1
SAS 94.9 +25.8
Pace
95.7
91.3
DEN 92.1
SAS 104.8 +12.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.0
DEN 15.6
SAS 13.7 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.7%
47.3%
DEN 33.7%
SAS 43.2% +9.5%
TO %
15.3%
15.4%
DEN 16.5% +0.3%
SAS 16.8%
ORB %
30.5%
29.5%
DEN 23.7%
SAS 28.3% +4.6%
FTrt
31.9
32.2
DEN 21.7
SAS 80.3 +58.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
59.0%
DEN 40.7%
SAS 53.6% +12.9%
STL %
9.5%
8.8%
DEN 7.2%
SAS 12.2% +5.0%
BLK %
9.3%
9.9%
DEN 1.8%
SAS 12.2% +10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.0%
48.6%
DEN 34.9%
SAS 48.9% +14.0%
Rim FG%
57.8%
57.6%
DEN 43.5%
SAS 62.1% +18.6%
Mid FG%
37.0%
37.0%
DEN 29.4%
SAS 33.3% +3.9%
3P %
33.6%
35.8%
DEN 22.2% +12.2%
SAS 10.0%
FT %
76.7%
68.1%
DEN 61.1%
SAS 67.9% +6.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
35.9%
DEN 27.7%
SAS 43.9% +16.2%
Mid Att. %
48.0%
46.4%
DEN 61.4%
SAS 40.9% +20.5%
3P Att. %
14.6%
17.7%
DEN 10.8%
SAS 15.2% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes25.322.4
Points6793
Rebounds4758
Assists1115
Steals712
Blocks19
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (1)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)45 (0)
Field Goals27-8328-66
At-the-Rim FG10-2318-29
Midrange FG15-519-27
2-Point FG25-7427-56
3-Point FG2-91-10
Free Throws11-1836-53
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
27.2
11
50%
3
3
0
0
1
4
0
3
1-2
50%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 20
26.5
12
38%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
4-13
31%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 250 · 22
22.9
10
56%
2
1
4
0
3
5
0
2
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 31
21.4
2
17%
4
2
0
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
C · 7'0" 240 · 28
17.4
2
25%
4
0
0
0
1
6
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 230 · 24
22.4
10
38%
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
2-4
50%
4-9
44%
0-2
0%
F · 7'0" 225 · 21
22.4
6
25%
10
0
0
0
2
2
4
6
2-4
50%
2-10
20%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 27
21.7
3
21%
5
1
0
1
0
5
2
3
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 28
21.5
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
4
3
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 28
17.9
9
50%
3
3
2
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32
11.6
2
50%
1
0
1
0
1
4
0
1
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 25
7.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
3
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
67
35%
47
11
7
1
17
0
14
33
11-18
61%
25-74
34%
2-9
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.