FinalWin Prob.pScore
1442%91
84
1258%93
96
ORTG#PossPace
NJN
87.59691.5
MIA logo MIA
98.098103.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNJNMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA84
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0NJNPlaninic Layup (12 PTS) (Rogers 2 AST)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Wallace Driving Layup82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0NJNSlay Layup (9 PTS) (Planinic 3 AST)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0NJNWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0NJNMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 279
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0NJNArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09NJNPlaninic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09NJNPlaninic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T22)77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23NJNMISS Rogers Driving Layup77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MIAWallace 13' Jump Shot (3 PTS)77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45MIAHEAT Rebound77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46NJNMISS Slay 22' Jump Shot77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Layup77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06MIAHEAT Rebound77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07NJNMISS Rogers 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24MIAZhi-zhi 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28MIAHEAT Rebound77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 277
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49NJNWilliams Layup (4 PTS) (Rogers 1 AST)77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03MIAButler 12' Jump Shot (22 PTS)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20NJNRogers Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20NJNRogers Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)74
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)73
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 3:47NJNWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)73
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 3:47NJNMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 272
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 3:50MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T21)72
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 4:03NJNSlay Layup (7 PTS)72
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 4:06NJNSlay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)70
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 4:08NJNZhi-zhi BLOCK (1 BLK)70
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09NJNSlay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 4:11NJNAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)70
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T20)70
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 4:31NJNRogers 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)70
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49MIAZhi-zhi Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)68
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04NJNWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)68
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 5:04NJNMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 267
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 5:04NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)67
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 5:05NJNMISS Slay 18' Jump Shot67
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 5:17NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot67
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 5:25MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)67
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 5:27NJNMISS Planinic 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 5:34MIAHEAT Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#19)67
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 5:42NJNPlaninic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 5:42NJNPlaninic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)65
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52NJNMISS Armstrong 20' Jump Shot65
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06NJNPlaninic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot65
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 6:18MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 6:20NJNMISS Williams 9' Hook Shot65
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 6:39NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)65
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 6:41MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 6:54NJNRogers Layup (9 PTS)65
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 6:59MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)63
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:17NJNRogers Dunk (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)63
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 7:34MIAWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)61
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)61
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:42MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:48NJNMISS Slay 19' Jump Shot61
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:55MIAAlston Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)61
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 8:05MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 8:07NJNMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 8:11NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)61
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 8:13NJNMISS Rogers 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 8:34MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)61
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 8:55NJNPlaninic Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)61
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 9:12MIAButler 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)59
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 9:32NJNNets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)59
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 9:32NJNNets Rebound59
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 9:32NJNMISS Harris 20' Jump Shot59
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 9:58MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)59
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 10:09NJNPlaninic Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)59
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 10:09NJNPlaninic 5' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)58
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 10:21MIAButler Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T15)56
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q4 - 10:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)56
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q4 - 10:28MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q4 - 10:38MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q4 - 10:40NJNMISS Rogers 19' Jump Shot56
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q4 - 11:05MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 11:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)56
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 11:21NJNMISS Martin 12' Turnaround Jump Shot56
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 11:41NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot56
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJN56
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAButler 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)56
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 0:07.0NJNAlston STEAL (2 STL)56
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0NJNMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 256
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0NJNMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 256
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q3 - 1:07NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot56
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 1:32MIAHEAT Rebound56
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q3 - 1:33NJNMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot56
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q3 - 1:48MIAButler Reverse Layup (18 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)56
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q3 - 2:05NJNMartin Tip Shot (8 PTS)56
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 2:06NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 2:07NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 2:07NJNMISS Martin Tip Shot54
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 2:10NJNMISS Kittles Driving Layup54
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 2:15NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 2:17NJNMISS Kittles 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 2:39MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)54
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 2:46NJNAlston STEAL (1 STL)54
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 2:53MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)54
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 2:57NJNButler STEAL (3 STL)54
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 3:12NJNNets Rebound54
5.1%
69
94.9%
Q3 - 3:13MIAMISS Butler 8' Jump Shot54
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q3 - 3:30MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 3:32NJNMISS Kidd 12' Turnaround Jump Shot54
4.4%
69
95.6%
Q3 - 3:46MIAOdom 8' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS)54
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q3 - 4:00NJNMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)54
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 4:00NJNMartin 8' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)53
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 4:20MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)51
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q3 - 4:20MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 251
4.8%
66
95.2%
Q3 - 4:35NJNJefferson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P5.T16)51
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 4:40NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
5.5%
66
94.5%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot51
5.2%
66
94.8%
Q3 - 4:59NJNKidd 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)51
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 5:10NJNNets Rebound49
4.3%
66
95.7%
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup49
4.1%
66
95.9%
Q3 - 5:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot49
4.1%
66
95.9%
Q3 - 5:53NJNJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)49
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 6:12MIAWade Running Dunk (13 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)46
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 6:15NJNWade STEAL (3 STL)46
3.5%
64
96.5%
Q3 - 6:34MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)46
4.1%
64
95.9%
Q3 - 6:38MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q3 - 6:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 246
4.9%
61
95.1%
Q3 - 6:50MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 6:52NJNMISS Kidd 19' Jump Shot46
5.7%
61
94.3%
Q3 - 6:54NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
6.4%
61
93.6%
Q3 - 6:56NJNMISS Collins 10' Jump Shot46
5.7%
61
94.3%
Q3 - 7:16NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)46
6.8%
61
93.2%
Q3 - 7:27NJNOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)46
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q3 - 7:40NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
6.8%
61
93.2%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot46
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q3 - 7:59NJNMartin 22' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kittles 3 AST)46
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q3 - 8:16MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)44
5.4%
61
94.6%
Q3 - 8:24NJNKidd Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T14)44
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q3 - 8:58MIAWade Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)44
8.2%
58
91.8%
Q3 - 9:02NJNButler STEAL (2 STL)44
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q3 - 9:19NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
11.2%
56
88.8%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 244
11.0%
56
89.0%
Q3 - 9:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
10.1%
56
89.9%
Q3 - 9:42NJNJefferson Reverse Layup (15 PTS)44
11.1%
55
88.9%
Q3 - 10:06MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)42
10.3%
55
89.7%
Q3 - 10:06MIAOdom Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)42
11.7%
54
88.3%
Q3 - 10:10NJNButler STEAL (1 STL)42
13.1%
52
86.9%
Q3 - 10:29MIAGrant 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)42
15.0%
52
85.0%
Q3 - 10:52NJNJefferson Dunk (13 PTS)42
16.6%
50
83.4%
Q3 - 10:53NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
14.9%
50
85.1%
Q3 - 10:55NJNMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
13.6%
50
86.4%
Q3 - 11:15MIAButler Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)40
15.3%
50
84.7%
Q3 - 11:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
17.1%
48
82.9%
Q3 - 11:21NJNMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot40
17.8%
48
82.2%
Q3 - 11:35MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)40
19.3%
48
80.7%
Q3 - 11:46NJNJefferson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)40
21.4%
46
78.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
23.9%
46
76.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)40
21.4%
46
78.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0NJNMISS Planinic 16' Jump Shot40
23.0%
46
77.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0NJNPlaninic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
24.1%
46
75.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0NJNWade BLOCK (2 BLK)40
23.0%
46
77.0%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)40
24.1%
46
75.9%
Q2 - 0:42.0NJNArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)40
30.1%
43
69.9%
Q2 - 1:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
24.3%
43
75.7%
Q2 - 1:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
24.9%
42
75.1%
Q2 - 1:02NJNWade STEAL (2 STL)37
28.0%
41
72.0%
Q2 - 1:19NJNNets Rebound37
29.4%
41
70.6%
Q2 - 1:19NJNWade BLOCK (1 BLK)37
28.4%
41
71.6%
Q2 - 1:23MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)37
29.4%
41
70.6%
Q2 - 1:35NJNArmstrong Layup (2 PTS) (Collins 2 AST)37
28.0%
41
72.0%
Q2 - 1:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)35
24.3%
41
75.7%
Q2 - 1:49MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
26.8%
40
73.2%
Q2 - 2:05NJNWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)35
30.3%
38
69.7%
Q2 - 2:20NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)35
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
32.1%
38
67.9%
Q2 - 2:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)35
30.4%
38
69.6%
Q2 - 2:45NJNMISS Slay 22' Jump Shot35
31.1%
38
68.9%
Q2 - 2:58MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 2:58MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 235
33.3%
37
66.7%
Q2 - 3:07MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
32.9%
37
67.1%
Q2 - 3:09NJNMISS Planinic 12' Jump Shot35
33.8%
37
66.2%
Q2 - 3:33NJNPlaninic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
35.9%
37
64.1%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup35
35.0%
37
65.0%
Q2 - 3:43NJNWalker STEAL (1 STL)35
32.9%
37
67.1%
Q2 - 3:52NJNHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
35.9%
37
64.1%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot35
35.0%
37
65.0%
Q2 - 3:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)35
32.9%
37
67.1%
Q2 - 4:01NJNMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot35
33.9%
37
66.1%
Q2 - 4:19NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)35
35.7%
37
64.3%
Q2 - 4:21MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
34.9%
37
65.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)35
33.1%
37
66.9%
Q2 - 4:31NJNMISS Planinic 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
33.9%
37
66.1%
Q2 - 4:48NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
35.8%
37
64.2%
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Bank Shot35
34.9%
37
65.1%
Q2 - 5:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)35
33.1%
37
66.9%
Q2 - 5:09NJNMISS Slay Free Throw 2 of 235
33.5%
37
66.5%
Q2 - 5:09NJNSlay Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
34.9%
37
65.1%
Q2 - 5:09MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)34
33.3%
37
66.7%
Q2 - 5:24NJNWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T7)34
30.6%
37
69.4%
Q2 - 5:37MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
33.3%
37
66.7%
Q2 - 5:57MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
35.7%
35
64.3%
Q2 - 5:59NJNMISS Slay 6' Jump Bank Shot34
36.5%
35
63.5%
Q2 - 6:17MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)34
38.7%
35
61.3%
Q2 - 6:29NJNPlaninic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)34
40.8%
33
59.2%
Q2 - 6:29NJNMISS Planinic Free Throw 1 of 233
40.0%
33
60.0%
Q2 - 6:40NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
41.3%
33
58.7%
Q2 - 6:42NJNMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
39.1%
33
60.9%
Q2 - 6:43NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)33
41.3%
33
58.7%
Q2 - 6:47NJNMISS Harris 16' Running Jump Shot33
39.1%
33
60.9%
Q2 - 7:11MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)33
41.1%
33
58.9%
Q2 - 7:30NJNHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)33
46.1%
30
53.9%
Q2 - 7:41MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)30
41.1%
30
58.9%
Q2 - 8:02NJNSlay 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Planinic 2 AST)30
38.2%
30
61.8%
Q2 - 8:14MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)28
36.1%
30
63.9%
Q2 - 8:18NJNWade STEAL (1 STL)28
33.4%
30
66.6%
Q2 - 8:30MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)28
36.1%
30
63.9%
Q2 - 8:55NJNHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T5)28
40.7%
27
59.3%
Q2 - 9:04MIAHaslem Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
43.2%
27
56.8%
Q2 - 9:13MIAHEAT Rebound28
45.5%
25
54.5%
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot28
47.4%
25
52.6%
Q2 - 9:27MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
45.5%
25
54.5%
Q2 - 9:29NJNMISS Slay 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
46.3%
25
53.7%
Q2 - 9:49MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P1.T9)28
48.3%
25
51.7%
Q2 - 10:04NJNHarris Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Planinic 1 AST)28
45.3%
25
54.7%
Q2 - 10:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)26
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup26
42.3%
25
57.7%
Q2 - 10:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q2 - 10:29MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot26
42.3%
25
57.7%
Q2 - 10:35NJNMISS Williams Tip Shot26
41.3%
25
58.7%
Q2 - 10:37NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q2 - 10:39NJNMISS Williams 5' Jump Shot26
41.3%
25
58.7%
Q2 - 10:47NJNHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q2 - 10:49MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot26
42.3%
25
57.7%
Q2 - 10:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
40.5%
25
59.5%
Q2 - 10:57NJNMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot26
41.3%
25
58.7%
Q2 - 11:16MIAButler 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)26
42.6%
25
57.4%
Q2 - 11:38MIAHEAT Rebound26
45.0%
23
55.0%
Q2 - 11:39NJNMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
45.8%
23
54.2%
Q2 - 11:42NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
47.5%
23
52.5%
Q2 - 11:44NJNMISS Slay 6' Hook Shot26
45.8%
23
54.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
47.5%
23
52.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
45.1%
23
54.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot26
46.2%
23
53.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
45.0%
23
55.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
46.2%
23
53.8%
Q1 - 0:11.0NJNKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)26
45.0%
23
55.0%
Q1 - 0:11.0NJNKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)25
44.6%
23
55.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
42.1%
23
57.9%
Q1 - 0:21.0NJNMISS Kidd 22' Jump Shot24
40.9%
23
59.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)24
42.1%
23
57.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0NJNSlay 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)24
40.3%
23
59.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
37.6%
23
62.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
38.0%
22
62.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
40.3%
21
59.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0NJNMISS Kidd Layup22
40.9%
21
59.1%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)22
42.1%
21
57.9%
Q1 - 1:24NJNJefferson 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)22
40.4%
21
59.6%
Q1 - 1:38MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)20
37.6%
21
62.4%
Q1 - 1:50MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
40.4%
19
59.6%
Q1 - 1:52NJNMISS Jefferson Layup20
40.9%
19
59.1%
Q1 - 1:56MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)20
42.1%
19
57.9%
Q1 - 2:13NJNJefferson Running Dunk (9 PTS) (Kittles 2 AST)20
40.3%
19
59.7%
Q1 - 2:17MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)18
37.9%
19
62.1%
Q1 - 2:41NJNKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kittles 1 AST)18
35.9%
19
64.1%
Q1 - 2:57MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
31.5%
19
68.5%
Q1 - 3:27NJNJefferson Reverse Layup (7 PTS)15
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 3:46MIAButler Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
33.8%
16
66.2%
Q1 - 4:07NJNRogers Layup (5 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)13
35.4%
14
64.6%
Q1 - 4:10NJNNets Rebound11
33.9%
14
66.1%
Q1 - 4:11NJNMISS Rogers 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
32.2%
14
67.8%
Q1 - 4:19NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
33.9%
14
66.1%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot11
33.1%
14
66.9%
Q1 - 4:45NJNRogers Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)11
31.5%
14
68.5%
Q1 - 4:45NJNRogers Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)10
31.1%
14
68.9%
Q1 - 4:45NJNRogers Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)9
30.7%
14
69.3%
Q1 - 4:49NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
28.2%
14
71.8%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot8
27.5%
14
72.5%
Q1 - 5:09NJNJefferson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)8
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 5:19NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
28.4%
14
71.6%
Q1 - 5:20NJNMISS Kidd 19' Jump Shot8
27.1%
14
72.9%
Q1 - 5:23MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
28.4%
14
71.6%
Q1 - 5:26NJNJones STEAL (1 STL)8
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 5:40MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)8
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 28
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q1 - 5:40MIAHEAT Rebound8
28.2%
13
71.8%
Q1 - 5:41NJNMISS Rogers Reverse Layup8
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q1 - 5:45NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
30.1%
13
69.9%
Q1 - 5:47MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
29.5%
13
70.5%
Q1 - 5:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
28.2%
13
71.8%
Q1 - 5:55NJNMISS Rogers 19' Jump Shot8
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q1 - 6:10MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
30.2%
13
69.8%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 28
30.4%
12
69.6%
Q1 - 6:24NJNJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)8
30.1%
12
69.9%
Q1 - 6:48MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
26.9%
12
73.1%
Q1 - 6:48MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
27.1%
11
72.9%
Q1 - 7:01NJNKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
28.8%
10
71.2%
Q1 - 7:02MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
30.6%
10
69.4%
Q1 - 7:05MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
28.8%
10
71.2%
Q1 - 7:07NJNMISS Collins 8' Hook Shot5
29.4%
10
70.6%
Q1 - 7:23MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#1)5
30.6%
10
69.4%
Q1 - 7:40NJNJefferson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
28.8%
10
71.2%
Q1 - 8:04MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)3
27.6%
10
72.4%
Q1 - 8:04MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
27.9%
9
72.1%
Q1 - 8:10MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)3
28.9%
8
71.1%
Q1 - 8:12MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
30.2%
8
69.8%
Q1 - 8:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
28.9%
8
71.1%
Q1 - 8:19NJNMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot3
29.5%
8
70.5%
Q1 - 8:29NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
30.7%
8
69.3%
Q1 - 8:31MIAMISS Odom 15' Jump Shot3
30.2%
8
69.8%
Q1 - 8:54NJNKidd 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)3
29.0%
8
71.0%
Q1 - 9:08MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)1
27.5%
8
72.5%
Q1 - 9:08MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
27.9%
7
72.1%
Q1 - 9:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
28.6%
6
71.4%
Q1 - 9:16NJNMISS Kidd 16' Jump Shot1
29.2%
6
70.8%
Q1 - 9:34MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)1
30.7%
6
69.3%
Q1 - 9:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
31.9%
4
68.1%
Q1 - 9:45NJNMISS Kittles 18' Jump Shot1
32.5%
4
67.5%
Q1 - 10:05MIAGrant Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)1
33.8%
4
66.2%
Q1 - 10:16NJNGrant STEAL (1 STL)1
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 10:45MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS)1
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 11:03NJNMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
38.9%
0
61.1%
Q1 - 11:03NJNMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 20
38.4%
0
61.6%
Q1 - 11:11NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
38.8%
0
61.2%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Odom 6' Jump Shot0
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 11:15MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:17MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup0
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 11:25MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:26NJNMISS Kittles 19' Jump Shot0
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 11:38NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.8%
0
61.2%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot0
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Collins: Tip to Butler0
37.2%
0
62.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
0.85 42.4%
MIA
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NJN
16
27
59%
MIA
11
17
65%
Midrange
NJN
9
39
23%
MIA
19
38
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NJN
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
MIA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
NJN
19
27
70%
MIA
21
28
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jefferson1882%9.0 / 11
R. Rogers1350%6.5 / 13
Z. Planinic1250%6.0 / 12
J. Kidd941%4.5 / 11
T. Slay932%4.5 / 14
K. Martin840%4.0 / 10
A. Williams531%2.5 / 8
L. Harris531%2.5 / 8
B. Armstrong563%2.5 / 4
J. Collins0-0.0 / 2
K. Kittles0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2265%11.0 / 17
R. Butler1673%8.0 / 11
D. Wade1354%6.5 / 12
B. Grant1179%5.5 / 7
L. Odom950%4.5 / 9
E. Jones867%4.0 / 6
U. Haslem542%2.5 / 6
W. Zhi-zhi467%2.0 / 3
R. Alston325%1.5 / 6
J. Wallace330%1.5 / 5
M. Allen250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NJN
77
+21
-19
98
MIA
78
+12
-20
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
0.85 42.4%
MIA
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
97.9
99.3
NJN 87.5
MIA 98.0 +10.5
Pace
92.2
90.6
NJN 91.5
MIA 103.0 +11.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.0
NJN 15.7
MIA 14.0 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
46.3%
NJN 39.2%
MIA 53.6% +14.4%
TO %
15.3%
14.4%
NJN 17.4% +3.7%
MIA 21.1%
ORB %
26.0%
27.5%
NJN 39.1% +9.7%
MIA 29.4%
FTrt
29.1
29.8
NJN 32.5
MIA 40.0 +7.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
71.4%
57.3%
NJN 63.3%
MIA 65.7% +2.4%
STL %
9.4%
7.9%
NJN 16.7% +5.5%
MIA 11.2%
BLK %
6.3%
6.3%
NJN 3.6%
MIA 7.6% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.9%
48.3%
NJN 42.4%
MIA 53.9% +11.5%
Rim FG%
57.5%
53.9%
NJN 59.3%
MIA 64.7% +5.4%
Mid FG%
37.9%
36.9%
NJN 23.1%
MIA 50.0% +26.9%
3P %
33.6%
35.7%
NJN 29.4%
MIA 33.3% +3.9%
FT %
75.3%
76.2%
NJN 70.4%
MIA 75.0% +4.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
34.4%
NJN 32.5% +8.2%
MIA 24.3%
Mid Att. %
46.6%
44.5%
NJN 47.0% +7.3%
MIA 54.3%
3P Att. %
17.6%
21.1%
NJN 20.5%
MIA 21.4% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNJNMIA
Possessions9698
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points8496
Rebounds4238
Assists1923
Steals1611
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)20 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (3)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (3)28 (5)
Field Goals30-8335-70
At-the-Rim FG16-2711-17
Midrange FG9-3919-38
2-Point FG25-6630-55
3-Point FG5-175-15
Free Throws19-2721-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
30.4
0
0%
5
2
0
0
0
5
3
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 31
22.5
9
41%
3
3
5
0
3
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 233 · 24
21.6
18
82%
2
1
0
0
6
3
2
0
0-0
-
6-8
75%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 185 · 30
21.6
0
0%
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 26
20.0
8
40%
8
2
0
1
3
4
3
5
2-5
40%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
· 6'7" 195 · 22
25.5
12
50%
3
3
0
0
1
4
1
2
6-7
86%
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 270 · 33
24.6
13
50%
7
2
4
1
0
2
0
7
5-5
100%
4-8
50%
0-3
0%
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 33
24.1
5
31%
8
2
2
0
3
2
5
3
3-6
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 220 · 24
23.2
9
32%
2
0
2
0
1
1
2
0
1-2
50%
4-12
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 33
15.8
5
31%
2
1
2
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 185 · 24
10.7
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
42%
42
19
16
2
19
0
18
24
19-27
70%
25-66
38%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.