| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 88.4 | 95 | 91.0 |
 BOS | 83.7 | 92 | 96.2 |
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
75
+20
-20
95
BOS
74
+8
-18
82
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.88 44.2%
BOS
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | BOS |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 84 100% | 77 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | BOS | Welsch 1' Driving Dunk (11 PTS) | 84 99.9% | 77 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | BOS | Welsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 84 99.9% | 75 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:19.0 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 | 84 99.9% | 75 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:19.0 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS) | 84 99.9% | 75 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:24.0 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 83 99.9% | 75 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | BOS | MISS Welsch 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 83 99.9% | 75 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | MIA | Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 83 99.7% | 75 0.3% |
| Q4 - 0:52.0 | BOS | Hunter Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 80 97.1% | 75 2.9% |
| Q4 - 0:52.0 | BOS | Hunter 1' Layup (2 PTS) | 80 98.5% | 74 1.5% |
| Q4 - 0:53.0 | BOS | Hunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 80 99.1% | 72 0.9% |
| Q4 - 0:54.0 | BOS | MISS Mihm 2' Layup | 80 99.4% | 72 0.6% |
| Q4 - 0:55.0 | BOS | Mihm REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 80 99.0% | 72 1.0% |
| Q4 - 0:56.0 | BOS | MISS Hunter 1' Layup | 80 99.4% | 72 0.6% |
| Q4 - 1:02 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P5.T20) | 80 98.8% | 72 1.2% |
| Q4 - 1:22 | BOS | Mihm Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19) | 80 99.0% | 72 1.0% |
| Q4 - 1:38 | MIA | Walker Foul Turnover (P1.T19) | 80 97.5% | 72 2.5% |
| Q4 - 1:45 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 80 98.4% | 72 1.6% |
| Q4 - 1:47 | BOS | MISS Mihm 19' Jump Shot | 80 98.0% | 72 2.0% |
| Q4 - 2:01 | MIA | Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 80 96.7% | 72 3.3% |
| Q4 - 2:15 | BOS | CELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18) | 77 93.2% | 72 6.8% |
| Q4 - 2:15 | BOS | CELTICS Rebound | 77 87.4% | 72 12.6% |
| Q4 - 2:17 | BOS | MISS Banks 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 91.8% | 72 8.2% |
| Q4 - 2:40 | BOS | Banks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 77 87.2% | 72 12.8% |
| Q4 - 2:42 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 77 88.3% | 72 11.7% |
| Q4 - 2:42 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 77 90.9% | 72 9.1% |
| Q4 - 2:42 | BOS | Davis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17) | 76 89.7% | 72 10.3% |
| Q4 - 2:58 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18) | 76 79.1% | 72 20.9% |
| Q4 - 3:09 | MIA | Alston Free Throw Clear Path (12 PTS) | 76 87.3% | 72 12.7% |
| Q4 - 3:13 | BOS | Davis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16) | 75 81.8% | 72 18.2% |
| Q4 - 3:18 | BOS | Mihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 75 71.0% | 72 29.0% |
| Q4 - 3:20 | MIA | Mihm BLOCK (1 BLK) | 75 74.8% | 72 25.2% |
| Q4 - 3:36 | BOS | Davis 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS) | 75 76.7% | 72 23.3% |
| Q4 - 3:52 | MIA | Wade Layup (10 PTS) | 75 82.7% | 70 17.3% |
| Q4 - 3:54 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 73 77.1% | 70 22.9% |
| Q4 - 3:56 | MIA | MISS Walker 15' Jump Shot | 73 72.0% | 70 28.0% |
| Q4 - 3:59 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 73 77.2% | 70 22.8% |
| Q4 - 4:00 | MIA | Hunter BLOCK (1 BLK) | 73 72.1% | 70 27.9% |
| Q4 - 4:13 | BOS | Mihm 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T15) | 73 77.4% | 70 22.6% |
| Q4 - 4:43 | MIA | Odom 11' Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 73 69.8% | 70 30.2% |
| Q4 - 4:59 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 71 61.9% | 70 38.1% |
| Q4 - 5:00 | BOS | MISS Welsch 18' Jump Shot | 71 58.9% | 70 41.1% |
| Q4 - 5:17 | MIA | Wade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17) | 71 51.2% | 70 48.8% |
| Q4 - 5:37 | BOS | Davis 2' Driving Dunk (23 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST) | 71 59.9% | 70 40.1% |
| Q4 - 5:48 | MIA | Alston Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 71 67.4% | 68 32.6% |
| Q4 - 5:48 | MIA | Alston Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 70 65.8% | 68 34.2% |
| Q4 - 6:01 | BOS | Davis 22' Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 69 58.8% | 68 41.2% |
| Q4 - 6:20 | BOS | Mihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 69 64.9% | 66 35.1% |
| Q4 - 6:21 | MIA | MISS Walker 3' Tip Shot | 69 67.3% | 66 32.7% |
| Q4 - 6:22 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 69 72.4% | 66 27.6% |
| Q4 - 6:24 | MIA | MISS Walker 3' Layup | 69 67.3% | 66 32.7% |
| Q4 - 6:38 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 69 72.4% | 66 27.6% |
| Q4 - 6:39 | MIA | MISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 67.4% | 66 32.6% |
| Q4 - 6:54 | BOS | Davis 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Banks 2 AST) | 69 72.5% | 66 27.5% |
| Q4 - 7:17 | MIA | Walker 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Odom 5 AST) | 69 75.3% | 64 24.7% |
| Q4 - 7:26 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 67 70.6% | 64 29.4% |
| Q4 - 7:28 | BOS | MISS Welsch 16' Jump Shot | 67 68.6% | 64 31.4% |
| Q4 - 7:43 | MIA | Butler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 4 AST) | 67 63.8% | 64 36.2% |
| Q4 - 7:51 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 65 58.0% | 64 42.0% |
| Q4 - 7:53 | BOS | MISS Hunter 6' Hook Shot | 65 55.7% | 64 44.3% |
| Q4 - 8:09 | BOS | Mihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 65 50.2% | 64 49.8% |
| Q4 - 8:10 | MIA | MISS Odom 3' Reverse Layup | 65 52.2% | 64 47.8% |
| Q4 - 8:25 | BOS | Banks Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14) | 65 56.7% | 64 43.3% |
| Q4 - 8:29 | BOS | Mihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 65 50.2% | 64 49.8% |
| Q4 - 8:31 | MIA | MISS Walker 1' Tip Shot | 65 52.2% | 64 47.8% |
| Q4 - 8:32 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 65 56.7% | 64 43.3% |
| Q4 - 8:33 | MIA | MISS Walker 1' Layup | 65 52.2% | 64 47.8% |
| Q4 - 9:06 | BOS | Davis 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS) | 65 56.2% | 64 43.8% |
| Q4 - 9:23 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 65 61.8% | 62 38.2% |
| Q4 - 9:23 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 64 60.5% | 62 39.5% |
| Q4 - 9:41 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 63 56.2% | 62 43.8% |
| Q4 - 9:43 | BOS | MISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 54.3% | 62 45.7% |
| Q4 - 9:51 | BOS | Welsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 63 50.0% | 62 50.0% |
| Q4 - 9:53 | MIA | MISS Jones 18' Jump Shot | 63 51.9% | 62 48.1% |
| Q4 - 10:06 | BOS | Welsch Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 63 55.6% | 62 44.4% |
| Q4 - 10:06 | BOS | Welsch Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 63 56.8% | 61 43.2% |
| Q4 - 10:20 | MIA | Walker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 63 60.7% | 60 39.3% |
| Q4 - 10:20 | MIA | Walker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 62 59.1% | 60 40.9% |
| Q4 - 10:33 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 61 55.6% | 60 44.4% |
| Q4 - 10:35 | BOS | MISS Davis 18' Jump Shot | 61 53.8% | 60 46.2% |
| Q4 - 10:50 | MIA | Welsch STEAL (2 STL) | 61 49.5% | 60 50.5% |
| Q4 - 11:10 | BOS | Banks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST) | 61 54.9% | 60 45.1% |
| Q4 - 11:18 | BOS | Welsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 61 65.0% | 57 35.0% |
| Q4 - 11:21 | MIA | MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot | 61 66.6% | 57 33.4% |
| Q4 - 11:35 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 61 70.0% | 57 30.0% |
| Q4 - 11:37 | BOS | MISS Davis 17' Jump Shot | 61 68.6% | 57 31.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 61 65.1% | 57 34.9% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 61 70.1% | 57 29.9% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 55' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 66.6% | 57 33.4% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | BOS | Banks Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 61 68.9% | 57 31.1% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | BOS | Banks Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 61 69.8% | 56 30.2% |
| Q3 - 0:16.0 | MIA | Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15) | 61 73.2% | 55 26.8% |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | BOS | Welsch Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 61 77.0% | 55 23.0% |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | BOS | MISS Welsch Free Throw 1 of 2 | 61 77.8% | 54 22.2% |
| Q3 - 0:37.0 | MIA | Welsch STEAL (1 STL) | 61 77.1% | 54 22.9% |
| Q3 - 0:55.0 | BOS | Welsch Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 61 80.5% | 54 19.5% |
| Q3 - 0:55.0 | BOS | Welsch Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 61 81.2% | 53 18.8% |
| Q3 - 0:59.0 | BOS | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 61 83.6% | 52 16.4% |
| Q3 - 1:01 | MIA | MISS Haslem 2' Layup | 61 83.0% | 52 17.0% |
| Q3 - 1:10 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 61 84.9% | 52 15.1% |
| Q3 - 1:12 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 83.0% | 52 17.0% |
| Q3 - 1:18 | BOS | Davis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13) | 61 84.9% | 52 15.1% |
| Q3 - 1:37 | MIA | Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Odom 4 AST) | 61 82.2% | 52 17.8% |
| Q3 - 1:56 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 58 75.9% | 52 24.1% |
| Q3 - 1:58 | BOS | MISS Hunter 2' Layup | 58 74.8% | 52 25.2% |
| Q3 - 2:14 | BOS | CELTICS Rebound | 58 70.4% | 52 29.6% |
| Q3 - 2:17 | MIA | MISS Odom 8' Running Jump Shot | 58 71.7% | 52 28.3% |
| Q3 - 2:38 | BOS | Davis 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 58 74.5% | 52 25.5% |
| Q3 - 3:01 | MIA | Wade 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 58 76.8% | 50 23.2% |
| Q3 - 3:07 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 56 73.7% | 50 26.3% |
| Q3 - 3:09 | BOS | MISS McCarty 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 56 72.5% | 50 27.5% |
| Q3 - 3:33 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 56 69.8% | 50 30.2% |
| Q3 - 3:33 | MIA | Haslem 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS) | 56 69.8% | 50 30.2% |
| Q3 - 3:36 | MIA | MISS Alston Layup | 54 63.1% | 50 36.9% |
| Q3 - 3:48 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 54 66.2% | 50 33.8% |
| Q3 - 3:48 | BOS | MISS McCarty 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 64.8% | 50 35.2% |
| Q3 - 4:09 | MIA | Wade 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 54 60.7% | 50 39.3% |
| Q3 - 4:12 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 51 53.0% | 50 47.0% |
| Q3 - 4:14 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 49.5% | 50 50.5% |
| Q3 - 4:36 | BOS | McCarty 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Davis 5 AST) | 51 53.0% | 50 47.0% |
| Q3 - 4:55 | BOS | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 51 56.7% | 48 43.3% |
| Q3 - 4:57 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 58.2% | 48 41.8% |
| Q3 - 5:14 | BOS | Blount Foul Turnover (P1.T12) | 51 60.7% | 48 39.3% |
| Q3 - 5:24 | MIA | Haslem 1' Layup (4 PTS) | 51 56.4% | 48 43.6% |
| Q3 - 5:25 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 49 52.6% | 48 47.4% |
| Q3 - 5:27 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 49 49.5% | 48 50.5% |
| Q3 - 5:44 | BOS | Davis 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (McCarty 1 AST) | 49 52.6% | 48 47.4% |
| Q3 - 5:53 | BOS | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 49 56.4% | 46 43.6% |
| Q3 - 5:55 | MIA | MISS Butler 18' Jump Shot | 49 57.7% | 46 42.3% |
| Q3 - 6:08 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 49 60.0% | 46 40.0% |
| Q3 - 6:10 | BOS | MISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 58.8% | 46 41.2% |
| Q3 - 6:13 | BOS | Atkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 49 55.9% | 46 44.1% |
| Q3 - 6:16 | MIA | Blount BLOCK (3 BLK) | 49 57.1% | 46 42.9% |
| Q3 - 6:22 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 49 60.1% | 46 39.9% |
| Q3 - 6:26 | BOS | MISS Blount 8' Jump Shot | 49 58.8% | 46 41.2% |
| Q3 - 6:39 | BOS | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 49 55.9% | 46 44.1% |
| Q3 - 6:41 | BOS | MISS McCarty 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 58.8% | 46 41.2% |
| Q3 - 7:02 | MIA | Jones 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Odom 3 AST) | 49 55.0% | 46 45.0% |
| Q3 - 7:06 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 47 51.7% | 46 48.3% |
| Q3 - 7:08 | BOS | MISS Davis 15' Jump Shot | 47 50.4% | 46 49.6% |
| Q3 - 7:23 | BOS | Welsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 47 47.3% | 46 52.7% |
| Q3 - 7:25 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 47 48.7% | 46 51.3% |
| Q3 - 7:42 | BOS | Blount 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST) | 47 51.8% | 46 48.2% |
| Q3 - 7:55 | MIA | Odom 7' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 47 55.1% | 44 44.9% |
| Q3 - 8:20 | BOS | Davis 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 45 51.7% | 44 48.3% |
| Q3 - 8:43 | MIA | Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 3 AST) | 45 55.0% | 42 45.0% |
| Q3 - 9:02 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 42 47.4% | 42 52.6% |
| Q3 - 9:04 | BOS | MISS Blount 5' Jump Shot | 42 46.2% | 42 53.8% |
| Q3 - 9:20 | BOS | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 42 43.7% | 42 56.3% |
| Q3 - 9:22 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 44.8% | 42 55.2% |
| Q3 - 9:24 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 42 47.4% | 42 52.6% |
| Q3 - 9:26 | MIA | Blount BLOCK (2 BLK) | 42 44.8% | 42 55.2% |
| Q3 - 9:44 | BOS | Atkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 42 47.5% | 42 52.5% |
| Q3 - 9:44 | BOS | Atkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 42 48.2% | 41 51.8% |
| Q3 - 9:46 | MIA | Atkins STEAL (3 STL) | 42 51.0% | 40 49.0% |
| Q3 - 10:08 | BOS | Atkins 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 42 54.6% | 40 45.4% |
| Q3 - 10:17 | BOS | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 42 57.7% | 38 42.3% |
| Q3 - 10:19 | MIA | MISS Jones 21' Jump Shot | 42 58.9% | 38 41.1% |
| Q3 - 10:33 | BOS | Davis 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Welsch 1 AST) | 42 61.5% | 38 38.5% |
| Q3 - 10:47 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS) | 42 64.5% | 36 35.5% |
| Q3 - 10:47 | MIA | Odom 1' Layup (17 PTS) | 41 61.2% | 36 38.8% |
| Q3 - 10:48 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 39 58.1% | 36 41.9% |
| Q3 - 10:50 | MIA | MISS Wade 15' Jump Shot | 39 55.4% | 36 44.6% |
| Q3 - 11:10 | BOS | Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 4 AST) | 39 57.7% | 36 42.3% |
| Q3 - 11:20 | BOS | Welsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 39 64.1% | 33 35.9% |
| Q3 - 11:22 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 | 39 64.6% | 33 35.4% |
| Q3 - 11:22 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 39 66.6% | 33 33.4% |
| Q3 - 11:25 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 38 64.3% | 33 35.7% |
| Q3 - 11:27 | BOS | MISS Welsch 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 63.3% | 33 36.7% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | MIA | Odom 2' Layup (14 PTS) | 38 60.9% | 33 39.1% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | BOS | 36 57.7% | 33 42.3% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Jones 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 36 54.1% | 33 45.9% |
| Q2 - 0:18.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 34 50.2% | 33 49.8% |
| Q2 - 0:20.0 | BOS | MISS Jones 18' Jump Shot | 34 49.5% | 33 50.5% |
| Q2 - 0:27.0 | MIA | Jones STEAL (2 STL) | 34 47.8% | 33 52.2% |
| Q2 - 0:42.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 34 50.2% | 33 49.8% |
| Q2 - 0:44.0 | BOS | MISS Davis 19' Jump Shot | 34 49.5% | 33 50.5% |
| Q2 - 0:59.0 | MIA | Odom 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 34 47.8% | 33 52.2% |
| Q2 - 1:15 | BOS | Welsch Foul Turnover (P4.T11) | 32 43.4% | 33 56.6% |
| Q2 - 1:26 | BOS | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 41.7% | 33 58.3% |
| Q2 - 1:28 | MIA | MISS Alston 4' Running Jump Shot | 32 42.2% | 33 57.8% |
| Q2 - 1:50 | BOS | Welsch 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 3 AST) | 32 43.4% | 33 56.6% |
| Q2 - 2:10 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 32 47.3% | 31 52.7% |
| Q2 - 2:10 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 | 31 46.6% | 31 53.4% |
| Q2 - 2:11 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 31 47.1% | 31 52.9% |
| Q2 - 2:12 | MIA | MISS Wade 3' Layup | 31 45.1% | 31 54.9% |
| Q2 - 2:32 | BOS | Davis 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 31 47.1% | 31 52.9% |
| Q2 - 2:51 | MIA | Butler 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 31 50.5% | 29 49.5% |
| Q2 - 3:10 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 29 47.2% | 29 52.8% |
| Q2 - 3:11 | BOS | MISS Welsch 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 46.2% | 29 53.8% |
| Q2 - 3:22 | MIA | Davis STEAL (2 STL) | 29 43.9% | 29 56.1% |
| Q2 - 3:37 | BOS | Mihm Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 29 47.3% | 29 52.7% |
| Q2 - 3:37 | BOS | Mihm Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 29 48.1% | 28 51.9% |
| Q2 - 3:38 | BOS | Mihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 29 49.9% | 27 50.1% |
| Q2 - 3:39 | BOS | MISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 52.2% | 27 47.8% |
| Q2 - 3:42 | MIA | Atkins STEAL (2 STL) | 29 49.9% | 27 50.1% |
| Q2 - 3:43 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 29 53.2% | 27 46.8% |
| Q2 - 3:44 | MIA | MISS Butler 1' Layup | 29 50.9% | 27 49.1% |
| Q2 - 3:46 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 29 53.2% | 27 46.8% |
| Q2 - 3:48 | MIA | MISS Grant 5' Jump Shot | 29 50.9% | 27 49.1% |
| Q2 - 4:00 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 53.2% | 27 46.8% |
| Q2 - 4:02 | BOS | MISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 51.8% | 27 48.2% |
| Q2 - 4:12 | MIA | Hunter STEAL (1 STL) | 29 49.8% | 27 50.2% |
| Q2 - 4:40 | BOS | Welsch 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 29 52.7% | 27 47.3% |
| Q2 - 4:45 | BOS | Mihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 29 55.6% | 25 44.4% |
| Q2 - 4:48 | MIA | MISS Grant 3' Layup | 29 56.4% | 25 43.6% |
| Q2 - 5:09 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 29 58.2% | 25 41.8% |
| Q2 - 5:10 | BOS | MISS Welsch 16' Jump Shot | 29 57.3% | 25 42.7% |
| Q2 - 5:21 | BOS | Jones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 29 55.2% | 25 44.8% |
| Q2 - 5:24 | MIA | Welsch BLOCK (2 BLK) | 29 56.2% | 25 43.8% |
| Q2 - 5:27 | MIA | Alston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 29 58.2% | 25 41.8% |
| Q2 - 5:28 | BOS | MISS Banks 18' Jump Shot | 29 57.3% | 25 42.7% |
| Q2 - 5:34 | BOS | Welsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 55.2% | 25 44.8% |
| Q2 - 5:37 | MIA | MISS Alston 10' Running Jump Shot | 29 56.2% | 25 43.8% |
| Q2 - 5:44 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 29 58.2% | 25 41.8% |
| Q2 - 5:46 | BOS | MISS Hunter 20' Jump Shot | 29 57.3% | 25 42.7% |
| Q2 - 6:17 | MIA | Grant 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 29 54.9% | 25 45.1% |
| Q2 - 6:34 | BOS | Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10) | 27 52.7% | 25 47.3% |
| Q2 - 6:46 | BOS | Banks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 27 49.4% | 25 50.6% |
| Q2 - 6:47 | MIA | MISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot | 27 50.4% | 25 49.6% |
| Q2 - 6:53 | BOS | Hunter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9) | 27 52.7% | 25 47.3% |
| Q2 - 7:15 | MIA | Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 27 49.5% | 25 50.5% |
| Q2 - 7:28 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 24 44.4% | 25 55.6% |
| Q2 - 7:30 | BOS | MISS Banks 22' Jump Shot | 24 43.6% | 25 56.4% |
| Q2 - 7:50 | MIA | Butler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8) | 24 41.6% | 25 58.4% |
| Q2 - 7:53 | BOS | Banks Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8) | 24 44.4% | 25 55.6% |
| Q2 - 8:12 | BOS | Hunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 24 41.4% | 25 58.6% |
| Q2 - 8:15 | MIA | MISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 24 42.3% | 25 57.7% |
| Q2 - 8:33 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 24 44.3% | 25 55.7% |
| Q2 - 8:34 | BOS | MISS Mihm Free Throw 2 of 2 | 24 43.9% | 25 56.1% |
| Q2 - 8:34 | BOS | MISS Mihm Free Throw 1 of 2 | 24 42.5% | 25 57.5% |
| Q2 - 8:52 | MIA | Butler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 3 AST) | 24 41.5% | 25 58.5% |
| Q2 - 9:11 | BOS | Banks Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 21 36.9% | 25 63.1% |
| Q2 - 9:11 | BOS | Banks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 21 37.5% | 24 62.5% |
| Q2 - 9:18 | BOS | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 21 39.0% | 23 61.0% |
| Q2 - 9:20 | MIA | MISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot | 21 39.9% | 23 60.1% |
| Q2 - 9:43 | BOS | Blount Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 21 41.8% | 23 58.2% |
| Q2 - 9:43 | BOS | Blount Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 21 42.3% | 22 57.7% |
| Q2 - 9:51 | BOS | Mihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 21 43.9% | 21 56.1% |
| Q2 - 9:54 | MIA | MISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 44.8% | 21 55.2% |
| Q2 - 10:09 | BOS | Davis Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 21 46.6% | 21 53.4% |
| Q2 - 10:19 | MIA | Alston Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 21 43.9% | 21 56.1% |
| Q2 - 10:30 | BOS | Mihm 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 21 46.6% | 21 53.4% |
| Q2 - 10:31 | BOS | Mihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 21 48.8% | 19 51.2% |
| Q2 - 10:34 | BOS | MISS Davis 1' Layup | 21 50.8% | 19 49.2% |
| Q2 - 10:42 | BOS | Jones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 21 48.8% | 19 51.2% |
| Q2 - 10:44 | MIA | MISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 49.7% | 19 50.3% |
| Q2 - 11:02 | BOS | Blount 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Davis 2 AST) | 21 51.0% | 19 49.0% |
| Q2 - 11:14 | BOS | Davis Free Throw Technical (5 PTS) | 21 53.5% | 17 46.5% |
| Q2 - 11:38 | MIA | Haslem 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 2 AST) | 21 55.9% | 16 44.1% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 19 53.5% | 16 46.5% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 19 53.5% | 16 46.5% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Odom 60' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 51.9% | 16 48.1% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 19 52.9% | 16 47.1% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | BOS | MISS Davis 16' Jump Shot | 19 52.3% | 16 47.7% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS) | 19 51.1% | 16 48.9% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | MIA | Odom 2' Layup (8 PTS) | 18 48.7% | 16 51.3% |
| Q1 - 0:35.0 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 16 45.8% | 16 54.2% |
| Q1 - 0:37.0 | MIA | MISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 16 44.5% | 16 55.5% |
| Q1 - 0:47.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 16 45.8% | 16 54.2% |
| Q1 - 0:47.0 | BOS | MISS Jones 3' Tip Shot | 16 45.2% | 16 54.8% |
| Q1 - 0:47.0 | BOS | Jones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 16 44.0% | 16 56.0% |
| Q1 - 0:49.0 | BOS | MISS Mihm 3' Hook Shot | 16 45.2% | 16 54.8% |
| Q1 - 0:59.0 | MIA | Banks STEAL (1 STL) | 16 44.0% | 16 56.0% |
| Q1 - 1:05 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 45.8% | 16 54.2% |
| Q1 - 1:07 | BOS | MISS Blount 10' Hook Shot | 16 45.3% | 16 54.7% |
| Q1 - 1:27 | MIA | Alston Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 16 44.0% | 16 56.0% |
| Q1 - 1:27 | MIA | MISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 2 | 15 43.5% | 16 56.5% |
| Q1 - 1:29 | MIA | Alston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 15 43.5% | 16 56.5% |
| Q1 - 1:32 | BOS | MISS Mihm 5' Hook Shot | 15 42.9% | 16 57.1% |
| Q1 - 1:46 | MIA | Odom 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 15 41.7% | 16 58.3% |
| Q1 - 2:04 | BOS | Banks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 13 39.3% | 16 60.7% |
| Q1 - 2:07 | MIA | Jones STEAL (1 STL) | 13 37.2% | 16 62.8% |
| Q1 - 2:17 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 13 39.3% | 16 60.7% |
| Q1 - 2:19 | BOS | MISS Banks 17' Jump Shot | 13 38.7% | 16 61.3% |
| Q1 - 2:31 | BOS | CELTICS Rebound | 13 37.2% | 16 62.8% |
| Q1 - 2:31 | MIA | MISS Butler 1' Layup | 13 37.9% | 16 62.1% |
| Q1 - 2:37 | BOS | McCarty Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 13 39.3% | 16 60.7% |
| Q1 - 2:49 | MIA | Haslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 13 37.2% | 16 62.8% |
| Q1 - 3:12 | BOS | Davis 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 13 39.6% | 16 60.4% |
| Q1 - 3:20 | BOS | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 13 41.5% | 14 58.5% |
| Q1 - 3:23 | MIA | Davis BLOCK (1 BLK) | 13 42.2% | 14 57.8% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 44.0% | 14 56.0% |
| Q1 - 3:40 | BOS | MISS Blount 13' Turnaround Jump Shot | 13 43.2% | 14 56.8% |
| Q1 - 3:50 | BOS | Banks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 41.5% | 14 58.5% |
| Q1 - 3:51 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 13 42.2% | 14 57.8% |
| Q1 - 3:56 | MIA | Alston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 44.0% | 14 56.0% |
| Q1 - 3:57 | BOS | MISS Jones 1' Tip Shot | 13 43.2% | 14 56.8% |
| Q1 - 3:58 | BOS | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 13 41.5% | 14 58.5% |
| Q1 - 4:00 | BOS | MISS McCarty 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 13 43.2% | 14 56.8% |
| Q1 - 4:23 | MIA | Odom 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST) | 13 41.4% | 14 58.6% |
| Q1 - 4:40 | BOS | Davis 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Banks 1 AST) | 11 39.7% | 14 60.3% |
| Q1 - 4:53 | BOS | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 11 41.4% | 12 58.6% |
| Q1 - 4:56 | MIA | MISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot | 11 42.2% | 12 57.8% |
| Q1 - 5:14 | BOS | Welsch Foul Turnover (P3.T4) | 11 43.8% | 12 56.2% |
| Q1 - 5:23 | MIA | Jones 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Odom 1 AST) | 11 41.5% | 12 58.5% |
| Q1 - 5:39 | BOS | McCarty 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 9 39.7% | 12 60.3% |
| Q1 - 6:00 | MIA | Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 1 AST) | 9 41.5% | 10 58.5% |
| Q1 - 6:11 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 6 37.7% | 10 62.3% |
| Q1 - 6:12 | BOS | MISS Atkins Free Throw 2 of 2 | 6 37.5% | 10 62.5% |
| Q1 - 6:12 | BOS | Atkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 6 36.3% | 10 63.7% |
| Q1 - 6:19 | BOS | Welsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 37.7% | 9 62.3% |
| Q1 - 6:20 | MIA | MISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 38.3% | 9 61.7% |
| Q1 - 6:25 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 39.7% | 9 60.3% |
| Q1 - 6:28 | BOS | MISS Welsch 1' Layup | 6 39.0% | 9 61.0% |
| Q1 - 6:45 | MIA | Alston 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 6 37.7% | 9 62.3% |
| Q1 - 6:48 | BOS | McCarty Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 4 35.9% | 9 64.1% |
| Q1 - 7:01 | BOS | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 34.5% | 9 65.5% |
| Q1 - 7:03 | MIA | MISS Odom 16' Jump Shot | 4 35.0% | 9 65.0% |
| Q1 - 7:05 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 4 36.4% | 9 63.6% |
| Q1 - 7:06 | MIA | Welsch BLOCK (1 BLK) | 4 35.0% | 9 65.0% |
| Q1 - 7:08 | BOS | Welsch Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2) | 4 36.4% | 9 63.6% |
| Q1 - 7:27 | BOS | McCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 34.4% | 9 65.6% |
| Q1 - 7:29 | MIA | MISS Grant 1' Layup | 4 35.0% | 9 65.0% |
| Q1 - 7:46 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 4 36.3% | 9 63.7% |
| Q1 - 7:48 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 35.0% | 9 65.0% |
| Q1 - 8:12 | BOS | Blount 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST) | 4 36.6% | 9 63.4% |
| Q1 - 8:36 | MIA | Grant 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 4 38.2% | 7 61.8% |
| Q1 - 9:06 | BOS | McCarty 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 1 AST) | 2 36.5% | 7 63.5% |
| Q1 - 9:15 | MIA | Atkins STEAL (1 STL) | 2 39.6% | 4 60.4% |
| Q1 - 9:18 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 42.0% | 4 58.0% |
| Q1 - 9:20 | BOS | MISS Davis 13' Jump Shot | 2 41.2% | 4 58.8% |
| Q1 - 9:36 | BOS | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 39.6% | 4 60.4% |
| Q1 - 9:38 | MIA | MISS Grant 18' Jump Shot | 2 40.3% | 4 59.7% |
| Q1 - 10:01 | BOS | Blount 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 41.8% | 4 58.2% |
| Q1 - 10:21 | MIA | Odom Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T2) | 2 43.4% | 2 56.6% |
| Q1 - 10:43 | BOS | Atkins 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 45.5% | 2 54.5% |
| Q1 - 10:57 | MIA | Davis STEAL (1 STL) | 2 47.1% | 0 52.9% |
| Q1 - 11:02 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 2 48.9% | 0 51.1% |
| Q1 - 11:04 | MIA | Blount BLOCK (1 BLK) | 2 47.7% | 0 52.3% |
| Q1 - 11:18 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 48.9% | 0 51.1% |
| Q1 - 11:20 | BOS | MISS Davis 14' Jump Shot | 2 48.4% | 0 51.6% |
| Q1 - 11:35 | MIA | Odom 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 2 47.2% | 0 52.8% |
| Q1 - 11:42 | BOS | Welsch Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 45.2% | 0 54.8% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | BOS | Jump Ball Blount vs. Grant: Tip to Davis | 0 43.5% | 0 56.5% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.88 44.2%
BOS
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
32
38%
BOS
10
20
50%
Midrange
MIA
11
25
44%
BOS
15
35
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
BOS
3
4.5
15
20%
30%
Free Throws
MIA
14
19
74%
BOS
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Odom | 28 | 56% | 14.0 / 25 | |
| R. Alston | 15 | 63% | 7.5 / 12 | |
| D. Wade | 11 | 46% | 5.5 / 12 | |
| E. Jones | 9 | 35% | 4.5 / 13 | |
| U. Haslem | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| C. Butler | 4 | 25% | 2.0 / 8 | |
| B. Grant | 4 | 33% | 2.0 / 6 | |
| S. Walker | 4 | 29% | 2.0 / 7 | |
| R. Butler | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Celtics| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Davis | 25 | 60% | 12.5 / 21 | |
| J. Welsch | 11 | 42% | 5.5 / 13 | |
| M. Blount | 10 | 56% | 5.0 / 9 | |
| C. Atkins | 10 | 71% | 5.0 / 7 | |
| W. McCarty | 7 | 50% | 3.5 / 7 | |
| M. Banks | 7 | 44% | 3.5 / 8 | |
| C. Mihm | 4 | 29% | 2.0 / 7 | |
| B. Hunter | 3 | 25% | 1.5 / 6 | |
| J. Jones | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
75
+20
-20
95
BOS
74
+8
-18
82
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.88 44.2%
BOS
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 99.3 99.2 | MIA 88.4 +4.7 BOS 83.7 |
| Pace | 90.6 96.0 | MIA 91.0 BOS 96.2 +5.2 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.0 14.2 | MIA 15.8 BOS 15.0 +0.9 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 46.3% 48.6% | MIA 42.7% +0.6% BOS 42.1% |
| TO % | 14.4% 16.4% | MIA 18.1% +1.2% BOS 19.3% |
| ORB % | 27.5% 25.2% | MIA 30.4% +11.5% BOS 18.9% |
| FTrt | 29.8 32.7 | MIA 23.2 BOS 31.4 +8.2 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 57.3% 59.2% | MIA 54.8% +8.4% BOS 46.4% |
| STL % | 7.9% 9.8% | MIA 10.5% BOS 12.0% +1.5% |
| BLK % | 6.3% 6.5% | MIA 5.5% BOS 14.0% +8.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 48.3% 50.5% | MIA 44.2% BOS 46.4% +2.2% |
| Rim FG% | 53.9% 56.3% | MIA 37.5% BOS 50.0% +12.5% |
| Mid FG% | 36.9% 40.4% | MIA 44.0% +1.1% BOS 42.9% |
| 3P % | 35.7% 34.6% | MIA 32.0% +12.0% BOS 20.0% |
| FT % | 76.2% 75.0% | MIA 73.7% BOS 81.8% +8.1% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 34.4% 33.8% | MIA 39.0% +10.5% BOS 28.6% |
| Mid Att. % | 44.5% 41.2% | MIA 30.5% +19.5% BOS 50.0% |
| 3P Att. % | 21.1% 24.9% | MIA 30.5% +9.1% BOS 21.4% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | MIA | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 95 | 92 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.1 | 22.9 |
| Points | 84 | 77 |
| Rebounds | 44 | 39 |
| Assists | 17 | 13 |
| Steals | 10 | 11 |
| Blocks | 3 | 8 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 20 (0) | 18 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 14 (6) | 7 (1) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 30 (6) | 32 (2) |
| Field Goals | 31-82 | 28-70 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 12-32 | 10-20 |
| Midrange FG | 11-25 | 15-35 |
| 2-Point FG | 23-57 | 25-55 |
| 3-Point FG | 8-25 | 3-15 |
| Free Throws | 14-19 | 18-22 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.