FinalWin Prob.pScore
1922%98
94
378%107
117
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
113.38373.7
DAL logo DAL
137.68597.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0UTABest STEAL (1 STL)94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:51.0UTAOstertag 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:08UTAMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:09DALMISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 292
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:09DALJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)92
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:20DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)92
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22DALMISS Najera 16' Jump Shot92
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46UTAMISS Giricek 17' Jump Shot92
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06DALJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)92
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06DALJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 2 of 292
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18UTAOstertag Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18DALJamison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35DALJamison REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37UTAMISS Moore 11' Jump Shot91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56DALMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03DALBest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05UTAMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21DALHoward Tip Shot (12 PTS)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23DALMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot91
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47UTABell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Moore 2 AST)91
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57DALMISS Najera 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20UTABell Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20UTABell Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38DALWilliams 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)86
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00DALMAVERICKS Rebound86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01UTAMISS Giricek 20' Jump Shot86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17DALWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T4)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27UTABell Foul Turnover (P2.T14)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38DALJamison 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52UTABell Layup (13 PTS)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22DALMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36UTAArroyo 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41UTAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51DALMISS Jamison Layup82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08UTAJazz Rebound82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08UTANash BLOCK (1 BLK)82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46UTAMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 8:03DALJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 8:03DALJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)82
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 8:11DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 8:13UTAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 8:23DALDaniels Layup (12 PTS)82
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 8:49UTABell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)82
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 8:53UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 8:55UTAMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 9:16DALJamison 17' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)79
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 9:18DALJamison REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)79
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 9:20DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 9:37UTAWilliams 7' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)79
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 9:55DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)77
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 10:16UTABell 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)77
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 10:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)75
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 10:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)75
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 10:46UTAOstertag Layup (2 PTS)75
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 10:48UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 10:49UTAMISS Bell Layup73
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 11:13DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Daniels 5 AST)73
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 11:33DALJamison REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)73
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 11:34UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 273
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 11:34UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 273
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 11:39UTAJazz Rebound73
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 11:42UTAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot73
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL73
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lopez 6 AST)73
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q3 - 0:10.0UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 0:12.0DALMISS Finley Free Throw 2 of 270
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 0:12.0DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)70
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0UTAWilliams Layup (12 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)70
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0DALDaniels 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q3 - 1:08UTAPavlovic Layup (2 PTS)68
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 1:09UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 1:12UTABradley BLOCK (1 BLK)66
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 1:20UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 1:22DALMISS Daniels Layup66
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 1:39UTAKirilenko Layup (13 PTS) (Pavlovic 2 AST)66
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 1:55DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 1:55DALBradley Layup (4 PTS)64
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 1:58DALMISS Bradley Layup64
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 2:14DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 2:15UTAMISS Pavlovic 20' Jump Shot64
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 2:34DALFinley 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)64
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 2:52UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)64
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 3:17DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 3:17DALHoward Tip Shot (10 PTS)64
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 3:18DALMISS Daniels 5' Jump Shot64
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q3 - 3:24UTADaniels STEAL (3 STL)64
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 3:42DALDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 3:42DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 3:43UTADaniels STEAL (2 STL)64
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 3:57UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q3 - 4:00DALMISS Howard Slam Dunk64
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q3 - 4:15UTALopez Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)64
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q3 - 4:17UTAMoore Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)63
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q3 - 4:33DALDaniels 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)61
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q3 - 4:50UTALopez Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)61
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 5:10DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 5:10DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 5:23UTAMoore 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Giricek 2 AST)61
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q3 - 5:48DALBradley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)59
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 5:56UTAGiricek Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 5:56UTAGiricek Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)58
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 6:10UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 6:11DALMISS Daniels 7' Running Jump Shot57
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 6:18DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 6:20UTAMISS Kirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 6:38UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 6:40UTAMISS Giricek 7' Jump Shot57
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 6:41UTAGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 6:43UTAMISS Giricek 17' Jump Shot57
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 6:59UTAGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 7:01DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 7:10DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 7:12UTAMISS Arroyo 8' Jump Shot57
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 7:28UTAMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 7:28DALMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 257
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 7:28DALWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)57
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 7:32UTADaniels STEAL (1 STL)57
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 7:57DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)57
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 8:00DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 8:01DALMISS Walker Layup57
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q3 - 8:22UTAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)57
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 8:26DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)57
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q3 - 8:40UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)57
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 8:40UTACollins Layup (4 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)56
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 8:55DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 8:55DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
2.3%
70
97.7%
Q3 - 9:12DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
2.7%
69
97.3%
Q3 - 9:13UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 254
2.8%
69
97.2%
Q3 - 9:13UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 254
3.0%
69
97.0%
Q3 - 9:18UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)54
3.1%
69
96.9%
Q3 - 9:20DALMISS Nowitzki Layup54
3.0%
69
97.0%
Q3 - 9:35UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)54
2.7%
69
97.3%
Q3 - 9:35UTAKirilenko Tip Shot (11 PTS)54
2.7%
69
97.3%
Q3 - 9:37UTAMISS Kirilenko Alley Oop Layup52
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q3 - 9:59DALWalker Layup (14 PTS)52
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 10:24UTAKirilenko Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)52
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 10:34UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 10:36DALMISS Daniels Layup50
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q3 - 10:51DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
2.1%
67
97.9%
Q3 - 10:54UTAMISS Kirilenko 5' Jump Shot50
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 11:09DALNash 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)50
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 11:22UTAGiricek 3PT Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)50
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q3 - 11:40DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)47
2.2%
65
97.8%
Q3 - 11:40DALNowitzki Layup (11 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)47
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL47
2.9%
62
97.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0UTAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lopez 5 AST)47
3.2%
62
96.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0DALMISS Jamison 8' Jump Shot44
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0UTAKirilenko Tip Shot (7 PTS)44
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup42
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q2 - 0:55.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q2 - 0:58.0DALMISS Walker Reverse Layup42
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q2 - 1:16UTAGiricek Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q2 - 1:16UTAGiricek Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q2 - 1:35UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q2 - 1:37DALMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot40
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q2 - 1:56UTAWilliams 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)40
1.4%
62
98.6%
Q2 - 2:10UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
1.3%
62
98.7%
Q2 - 2:12DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot38
1.3%
62
98.7%
Q2 - 2:25UTAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lopez 4 AST)38
1.2%
62
98.8%
Q2 - 2:43DALWalker 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)35
0.9%
62
99.1%
Q2 - 2:56UTAKirilenko Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)35
1.0%
60
99.0%
Q2 - 3:14DALJamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)35
1.3%
60
98.7%
Q2 - 3:22DALJamison REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)35
1.6%
57
98.4%
Q2 - 3:24UTAMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
1.7%
57
98.3%
Q2 - 3:43UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
1.8%
57
98.2%
Q2 - 3:45DALMISS Jamison 17' Jump Shot35
1.8%
57
98.2%
Q2 - 4:02UTAMoore Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Lopez 3 AST)35
1.8%
57
98.2%
Q2 - 4:21DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)33
1.6%
57
98.4%
Q2 - 4:26DALJamison REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)33
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q2 - 4:28DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot33
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q2 - 4:43DALJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)33
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q2 - 4:44UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 233
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q2 - 4:44UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q2 - 5:07DALJamison 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)32
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q2 - 5:26UTAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
2.2%
52
97.8%
Q2 - 5:37UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 5:39DALMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot30
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 5:55DALJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)30
1.8%
52
98.2%
Q2 - 5:56DALMISS Jamison 6' Jump Shot30
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 5:58DALJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
1.8%
52
98.2%
Q2 - 6:00DALMISS Finley 12' Jump Shot30
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 6:20UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 6:20UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 6:20UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
1.7%
52
98.3%
Q2 - 6:20UTAHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)28
1.6%
52
98.4%
Q2 - 6:43DALJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)28
1.7%
52
98.3%
Q2 - 6:43DALJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)28
1.8%
51
98.2%
Q2 - 6:53UTAHoward STEAL (1 STL)28
1.9%
50
98.1%
Q2 - 6:58UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
2.1%
50
97.9%
Q2 - 7:00DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
2.1%
50
97.9%
Q2 - 7:11DALMAVERICKS Rebound28
2.1%
50
97.9%
Q2 - 7:13UTAMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot28
2.2%
50
97.8%
Q2 - 7:27UTAJazz Rebound28
2.3%
50
97.7%
Q2 - 7:28DALMISS Finley 23' Jump Shot28
2.3%
50
97.7%
Q2 - 7:48UTABell Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
2.1%
50
97.9%
Q2 - 7:48UTABell Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
2.0%
50
98.0%
Q2 - 8:01DALJamison Layup (9 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)26
2.0%
50
98.0%
Q2 - 8:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
2.2%
48
97.8%
Q2 - 8:22UTAMISS Pavlovic 17' Jump Shot26
2.2%
48
97.8%
Q2 - 8:37DALJamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
2.4%
48
97.6%
Q2 - 8:37DALJamison 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)26
2.7%
47
97.3%
Q2 - 9:05UTAMoore Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Lopez 2 AST)26
3.0%
45
97.0%
Q2 - 9:32DALJamison Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)24
2.8%
45
97.2%
Q2 - 9:40UTAMoore Dunk (4 PTS) (Lopez 1 AST)24
3.0%
43
97.0%
Q2 - 10:04DALHoward 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
2.9%
43
97.1%
Q2 - 10:12UTABell 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)22
3.1%
41
96.9%
Q2 - 10:35DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)20
2.9%
41
97.1%
Q2 - 10:50UTAMoore 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)20
3.5%
38
96.5%
Q2 - 11:09DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)18
3.2%
38
96.8%
Q2 - 11:16DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
3.9%
35
96.1%
Q2 - 11:18UTAMISS Pavlovic 18' Jump Shot18
4.0%
35
96.0%
Q2 - 11:41DALWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
4.3%
35
95.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA18
3.9%
35
96.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
4.3%
35
95.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALJamison Layup (2 PTS)18
4.3%
35
95.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot18
5.0%
33
95.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
4.8%
33
95.2%
Q1 - 0:08.0UTAMISS Pavlovic 20' Jump Shot18
4.9%
33
95.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)18
5.2%
33
94.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)18
5.2%
32
94.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0UTAArroyo 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q1 - 1:10DALWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)16
5.2%
31
94.8%
Q1 - 1:21DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
6.3%
28
93.7%
Q1 - 1:23UTAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
6.5%
28
93.5%
Q1 - 1:49DALWalker 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS)16
6.8%
28
93.2%
Q1 - 1:59DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
7.6%
26
92.4%
Q1 - 2:02UTAMISS Bell 17' Jump Shot16
7.8%
26
92.2%
Q1 - 2:21UTAGugliotta REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q1 - 2:23DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
8.0%
26
92.0%
Q1 - 2:43UTABell 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
7.6%
26
92.4%
Q1 - 3:02DALHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T1)14
7.1%
26
92.9%
Q1 - 3:04DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
6.5%
26
93.5%
Q1 - 3:07UTAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)14
6.7%
26
93.3%
Q1 - 3:09UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
7.1%
26
92.9%
Q1 - 3:11UTAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot14
6.7%
26
93.3%
Q1 - 3:29UTAGugliotta REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
7.1%
26
92.9%
Q1 - 3:30DALMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 214
7.0%
26
93.0%
Q1 - 3:30DALWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
6.7%
26
93.3%
Q1 - 3:40UTAFinley STEAL (2 STL)14
7.0%
25
93.0%
Q1 - 3:59DALDaniels 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)14
7.7%
25
92.3%
Q1 - 4:12DALNowitzki Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (7 PTS)14
8.2%
23
91.8%
Q1 - 4:12DALNowitzki Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (6 PTS)14
8.3%
22
91.7%
Q1 - 4:25UTACollins Layup (2 PTS) (Gugliotta 2 AST)14
9.7%
21
90.3%
Q1 - 4:43DALWalker Layup (4 PTS)12
9.1%
21
90.9%
Q1 - 4:44DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
9.7%
19
90.3%
Q1 - 4:46DALMISS Walker 8' Jump Shot12
10.4%
19
89.6%
Q1 - 5:05UTAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
9.8%
19
90.2%
Q1 - 5:25UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
8.4%
19
91.6%
Q1 - 5:27DALMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
8.2%
19
91.8%
Q1 - 5:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
7.7%
19
92.3%
Q1 - 5:33DALMISS Nash 14' Jump Shot9
8.2%
19
91.8%
Q1 - 5:55UTAArroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Giricek 1 AST)9
7.7%
19
92.3%
Q1 - 6:21DALFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)6
6.8%
19
93.2%
Q1 - 6:27UTANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)6
7.9%
16
92.1%
Q1 - 6:48DALFinley 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS)6
8.6%
16
91.4%
Q1 - 6:55DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
9.2%
14
90.8%
Q1 - 6:58UTAMISS Giricek 12' Jump Shot6
9.4%
14
90.6%
Q1 - 7:02UTAJazz Rebound6
10.1%
14
89.9%
Q1 - 7:02UTANowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)6
9.6%
14
90.4%
Q1 - 7:25DALFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)6
10.1%
14
89.9%
Q1 - 7:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
11.5%
11
88.5%
Q1 - 7:32UTANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)6
11.7%
11
88.3%
Q1 - 7:47UTAGugliotta REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
12.3%
11
87.7%
Q1 - 7:49UTAMISS Giricek 19' Jump Shot6
11.7%
11
88.3%
Q1 - 7:56UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
12.3%
11
87.7%
Q1 - 7:59UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
11.7%
11
88.3%
Q1 - 8:15DALWalker Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
12.2%
11
87.8%
Q1 - 8:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
12.9%
9
87.1%
Q1 - 8:28UTAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot6
13.2%
9
86.8%
Q1 - 8:35UTAGugliotta REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
13.9%
9
86.1%
Q1 - 8:35UTAMISS Gugliotta Turnaround Jump Shot6
13.2%
9
86.8%
Q1 - 8:55DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)6
13.9%
9
86.1%
Q1 - 9:02UTAWalker STEAL (1 STL)6
14.5%
7
85.5%
Q1 - 9:13UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
15.8%
7
84.2%
Q1 - 9:15DALMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot6
15.4%
7
84.6%
Q1 - 9:29UTAKirilenko Slam Dunk (2 PTS)6
14.5%
7
85.5%
Q1 - 9:49DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)4
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 10:12UTAGiricek Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Gugliotta 1 AST)4
15.5%
4
84.5%
Q1 - 10:33DALNash 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
14.7%
4
85.3%
Q1 - 10:43UTAGiricek Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 10:49UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.7%
2
85.3%
Q1 - 10:51DALMISS Nash Layup0
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 11:05UTAFinley STEAL (1 STL)0
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 11:31DALDaniels 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)0
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 11:44DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.5%
0
84.5%
Q1 - 11:47UTAMISS Giricek 17' Jump Shot0
15.8%
0
84.2%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Nowitzki vs. Collins: Tip to Arroyo0
16.5%
0
83.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.09 54.7%
DAL
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
18
27
67%
DAL
14
24
58%
Midrange
UTA
10
30
33%
DAL
18
36
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
DAL
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
UTA
14
20
70%
DAL
26
30
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Bell1860%9.0 / 15
M. Williams1794%8.5 / 9
A. Kirilenko1341%6.5 / 16
M. Moore1286%6.0 / 7
G. Giricek1146%5.5 / 12
C. Arroyo1045%5.0 / 11
J. Collins583%2.5 / 3
G. Ostertag583%2.5 / 3
S. Pavlovic217%1.0 / 6
R. Lopez1-0.0 / 0
T. Gugliotta0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2790%13.5 / 15
A. Jamison2574%12.5 / 17
A. Walker1568%7.5 / 11
M. Finley1458%7.0 / 12
M. Daniels1255%6.0 / 11
J. Howard1250%6.0 / 12
S. Nash650%3.0 / 6
S. Bradley467%2.0 / 3
S. Williams233%1.0 / 3
E. Najera0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
70
+15
-13
85
DAL
80
+14
-5
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.09 54.7%
DAL
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.5
109.8
UTA 113.3
DAL 137.6 +24.4
Pace
88.8
95.3
UTA 73.7
DAL 97.2 +23.5
Avg. Poss. Time
17.1
14.9
UTA 19.5
DAL 14.8 +4.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.6%
49.5%
UTA 54.8%
DAL 59.1% +4.3%
TO %
17.2%
12.3%
UTA 15.5%
DAL 5.3% +10.2%
ORB %
34.1%
31.4%
UTA 33.3%
DAL 35.9% +2.6%
FTrt
35.6
25.6
UTA 27.4
DAL 39.0 +11.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
59.1%
UTA 63.9% +7.8%
DAL 56.1%
STL %
7.9%
8.3%
UTA 2.4%
DAL 10.6% +8.2%
BLK %
10.6%
8.2%
UTA 8.3%
DAL 10.5% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.86 and 2.86.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.0%
51.4%
UTA 54.7%
DAL 61.6% +6.9%
Rim FG%
53.4%
59.0%
UTA 66.7% +8.4%
DAL 58.3%
Mid FG%
38.8%
41.4%
UTA 33.3%
DAL 50.0% +16.7%
3P %
32.1%
34.8%
UTA 50.0%
DAL 52.9% +2.9%
FT %
74.6%
79.6%
UTA 70.0%
DAL 86.7% +16.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.9%
33.5%
UTA 37.0% +5.8%
DAL 31.2%
Mid Att. %
48.4%
46.4%
UTA 41.1% +5.7%
DAL 46.8%
3P Att. %
12.7%
20.1%
UTA 21.9%
DAL 22.1% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTADAL
Possessions8385
Possession Minutes27.021.0
Points94117
Rebounds3738
Assists2323
Steals29
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)5 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)14 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)24 (2)
Field Goals36-7341-77
At-the-Rim FG18-2714-24
Midrange FG10-3018-36
2-Point FG28-5732-60
3-Point FG8-169-17
Free Throws14-2026-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
31.5
13
41%
11
3
1
3
2
0
4
7
3-8
38%
5-10
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 27
26.1
11
46%
2
2
0
0
3
1
1
1
4-4
100%
2-9
22%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 200 · 25
24.3
10
45%
1
3
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 249 · 25
19.7
5
83%
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 34
14.1
0
0%
4
2
0
1
1
4
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 28
26.3
12
86%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-7
86%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 28
21.8
18
60%
1
0
0
0
2
5
0
1
4-4
100%
4-9
44%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 198 · 21
19.8
17
94%
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
80%
3-4
75%
G · 6'0" 175 · 24
19.4
1
0%
4
6
0
0
2
2
0
4
1-1
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 280 · 31
18.3
5
83%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20
15.8
2
17%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
55%
37
23
2
5
13
0
12
25
14-20
70%
28-57
49%
8-16
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.