FinalWin Prob.pScore
2035%94
101
1565%98
104
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
106.39594.4
MIA logo MIA
109.59595.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS101
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0BOSMihm REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)101
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2101
3.3%
104
96.7%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)101
1.6%
104
98.4%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)101
3.7%
103
96.3%
Q4 - 0:07.0BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
5.6%
103
94.4%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)101
15.2%
103
84.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 2101
17.1%
102
82.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0BOSWelsch 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)101
13.5%
102
86.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0BOSAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
3.5%
102
96.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
2.7%
102
97.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
2.6%
102
97.4%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot98
4.7%
102
95.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0BOSPierce 5' Jump Shot (31 PTS)98
3.9%
102
96.1%
Q4 - 1:11BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
2.8%
102
97.2%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 296
2.6%
102
97.4%
Q4 - 1:13MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)96
1.8%
102
98.2%
Q4 - 1:16BOSJones STEAL (2 STL)96
2.8%
101
97.2%
Q4 - 1:27MIAHaslem 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)96
5.8%
101
94.2%
Q4 - 1:50BOSDavis Foul Turnover (P2.T14)96
10.7%
99
89.3%
Q4 - 2:01BOSMihm REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)96
17.9%
99
82.1%
Q4 - 2:03MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot96
15.2%
99
84.8%
Q4 - 2:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)96
10.1%
99
89.9%
Q4 - 2:26BOSMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
12.1%
99
87.9%
Q4 - 2:48MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)96
18.5%
99
81.5%
Q4 - 3:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)96
23.5%
97
76.5%
Q4 - 3:06BOSMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
26.9%
97
73.1%
Q4 - 3:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)96
36.2%
97
63.8%
Q4 - 3:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)96
38.2%
96
61.8%
Q4 - 3:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
42.7%
95
57.3%
Q4 - 3:40BOSMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot96
45.7%
95
54.3%
Q4 - 3:59MIAWade Illegal Assist Turnover (P6.T12)96
52.7%
95
47.3%
Q4 - 3:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
42.9%
95
57.1%
Q4 - 4:00BOSMISS Atkins Layup96
45.9%
95
54.1%
Q4 - 4:02BOSAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
52.8%
95
47.2%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup96
49.8%
95
50.2%
Q4 - 4:10MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
42.9%
95
57.1%
Q4 - 4:12BOSMISS Pierce 22' Jump Shot96
45.9%
95
54.1%
Q4 - 4:34MIAOdom 6' Jump Bank Shot (24 PTS)96
53.0%
95
47.0%
Q4 - 4:55BOSPierce 19' Jump Shot (29 PTS)96
61.8%
93
38.2%
Q4 - 5:18MIAWade Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)94
50.2%
93
49.8%
Q4 - 5:24MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
58.2%
91
41.8%
Q4 - 5:26BOSMISS Welsch 16' Jump Shot94
60.7%
91
39.3%
Q4 - 5:44MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)94
66.5%
91
33.5%
Q4 - 5:44MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)94
68.1%
90
31.9%
Q4 - 5:49BOSJones STEAL (1 STL)94
73.2%
89
26.8%
Q4 - 6:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)94
75.8%
89
24.2%
Q4 - 6:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)94
76.9%
88
23.1%
Q4 - 6:12BOSPierce Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)94
80.3%
87
19.7%
Q4 - 6:25BOSCeltics Rebound94
85.3%
87
14.7%
Q4 - 6:26MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
83.9%
87
16.1%
Q4 - 6:46BOSPierce 19' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS)94
80.5%
87
19.5%
Q4 - 7:04MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS)92
72.8%
87
27.2%
Q4 - 7:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)92
77.3%
85
22.7%
Q4 - 7:07MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot92
80.9%
85
19.1%
Q4 - 7:29BOSPierce 6' Hook Shot (25 PTS)92
77.5%
85
22.5%
Q4 - 7:41BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw Technical90
73.0%
85
27.0%
Q4 - 7:51MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)90
73.1%
85
26.9%
Q4 - 7:51MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)90
73.8%
84
26.2%
Q4 - 8:07BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)90
75.1%
83
24.9%
Q4 - 8:24BOSCeltics Rebound87
64.6%
83
35.4%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot87
62.7%
83
37.3%
Q4 - 8:47BOSDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Welsch 4 AST)87
58.5%
83
41.5%
Q4 - 9:02BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
44.9%
83
55.1%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
43.0%
83
57.0%
Q4 - 9:20BOSWelsch Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)84
38.8%
83
61.2%
Q4 - 9:20BOSWelsch Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)83
37.6%
83
62.4%
Q4 - 9:36BOSMihm REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
33.6%
83
66.4%
Q4 - 9:38MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
31.9%
83
68.1%
Q4 - 9:46BOSAlston STEAL (4 STL)82
28.2%
83
71.8%
Q4 - 9:53BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
33.6%
83
66.4%
Q4 - 9:55MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
31.9%
83
68.1%
Q4 - 10:10BOSDavis Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)82
28.3%
83
71.7%
Q4 - 10:29MIAOdom 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)82
33.6%
83
66.4%
Q4 - 11:00BOSMihm 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Atkins 4 AST)82
38.4%
81
61.6%
Q4 - 11:27MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)80
33.6%
81
66.4%
Q4 - 11:27MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 280
34.3%
80
65.7%
Q4 - 11:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
33.4%
80
66.6%
Q4 - 11:47BOSMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot80
34.9%
80
65.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS80
38.6%
80
61.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound80
38.6%
80
61.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Welsch 45' 3PT Jump Shot80
34.8%
80
65.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade 7' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)80
38.1%
80
61.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0BOSWelsch Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)80
43.1%
78
56.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0BOSWelsch Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)79
42.0%
78
58.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw Technical78
38.1%
78
61.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
38.1%
78
61.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
36.7%
78
63.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0BOSAtkins Driving Layup (16 PTS)78
33.4%
78
66.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0BOSMihm REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
29.0%
78
71.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Odom 8' Jump Shot76
27.7%
78
72.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0BOSAtkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Welsch 3 AST)76
24.9%
78
75.1%
Q3 - 1:10MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T11)73
18.6%
78
81.4%
Q3 - 1:19BOSMihm Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)73
15.7%
78
84.3%
Q3 - 1:19BOSMihm Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
15.0%
78
85.0%
Q3 - 1:28MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)71
13.3%
78
86.7%
Q3 - 1:28MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)71
13.9%
77
86.1%
Q3 - 1:52BOSWelsch 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS)71
15.7%
76
84.3%
Q3 - 1:58BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
13.3%
76
86.7%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot69
12.6%
76
87.4%
Q3 - 2:12MIAHEAT Rebound69
11.6%
76
88.4%
Q3 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup69
13.1%
76
86.9%
Q3 - 2:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
11.6%
76
88.4%
Q3 - 2:22BOSMISS Welsch Driving Layup69
12.2%
76
87.8%
Q3 - 2:30BOSMihm REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
13.8%
76
86.2%
Q3 - 2:32BOSMISS Welsch 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
12.2%
76
87.8%
Q3 - 2:39BOSMihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
13.8%
76
86.2%
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup69
13.1%
76
86.9%
Q3 - 3:04BOSDavis 9' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)69
12.2%
76
87.8%
Q3 - 3:22MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)67
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q3 - 3:22MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
10.8%
75
89.2%
Q3 - 3:36BOSMihm 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)67
12.1%
74
87.9%
Q3 - 3:56MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)67
14.3%
74
85.7%
Q3 - 4:18BOSAtkins 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)67
16.6%
72
83.4%
Q3 - 4:28MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)65
14.7%
72
85.3%
Q3 - 4:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
12.4%
72
87.6%
Q3 - 4:41BOSMISS Pierce 20' Jump Shot65
13.0%
72
87.0%
Q3 - 4:56MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)65
14.7%
72
85.3%
Q3 - 5:15BOSAtkins 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)65
17.2%
70
82.8%
Q3 - 5:27MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)62
13.1%
70
86.9%
Q3 - 5:44BOSMihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
11.1%
70
88.9%
Q3 - 5:44BOSMihm Tip Shot (6 PTS)62
11.1%
70
88.9%
Q3 - 5:46BOSMISS Mihm Tip Shot60
8.7%
70
91.3%
Q3 - 5:47BOSMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
9.7%
70
90.3%
Q3 - 5:49BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
8.7%
70
91.3%
Q3 - 6:08MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
10.2%
70
89.8%
Q3 - 6:08MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)60
10.5%
69
89.5%
Q3 - 6:08MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)60
11.6%
68
88.4%
Q3 - 6:09MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Bank Shot60
12.9%
68
87.1%
Q3 - 6:32BOSDavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Welsch 2 AST)60
11.6%
68
88.4%
Q3 - 6:45MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)57
8.8%
68
91.2%
Q3 - 6:45MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)57
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 6:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
10.0%
66
90.0%
Q3 - 6:56BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
10.5%
66
89.5%
Q3 - 7:15BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
12.1%
66
87.9%
Q3 - 7:17MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup57
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q3 - 7:40BOSPierce Layup (20 PTS) (McCarty 2 AST)57
10.3%
66
89.7%
Q3 - 7:50MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T8)55
9.1%
66
90.9%
Q3 - 8:08BOSBlount Layup (8 PTS)55
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q3 - 8:27BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
7.1%
66
92.9%
Q3 - 8:29BOSMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
6.4%
66
93.6%
Q3 - 8:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
7.1%
66
92.9%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 253
7.4%
65
92.7%
Q3 - 9:02BOSAtkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
7.3%
65
92.7%
Q3 - 9:02BOSAtkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)52
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 9:06BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
6.4%
65
93.6%
Q3 - 9:08MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot51
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 9:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q3 - 9:27BOSMISS Blount 7' Jump Shot51
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q3 - 9:28BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)51
6.4%
65
93.6%
Q3 - 9:31BOSMISS McCarty 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q3 - 9:41BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
6.4%
65
93.6%
Q3 - 9:43MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup51
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 9:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q3 - 9:58BOSOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)51
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q3 - 10:26MIAGrant Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)51
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 10:48BOSPierce Driving Layup (18 PTS)51
7.5%
63
92.5%
Q3 - 11:02MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
6.9%
63
93.1%
Q3 - 11:02MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q3 - 11:11MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 11:13BOSMISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
8.2%
61
91.8%
Q3 - 11:30BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
8.9%
61
91.1%
Q3 - 11:32MIAMISS Odom 7' Jump Shot49
8.6%
61
91.4%
Q3 - 11:33MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)49
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMISS Odom Reverse Layup49
8.6%
61
91.4%
Q3 - 11:36MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)49
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot49
8.6%
61
91.4%
Q3 - 11:42MIAHEAT Rebound49
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot49
8.6%
61
91.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS49
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound49
8.9%
61
91.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
8.1%
61
91.9%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)49
9.3%
61
90.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0BOSDavis Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)49
12.1%
58
87.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0BOSMihm REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
10.4%
58
89.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 247
10.3%
58
89.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)47
9.5%
58
90.5%
Q2 - 1:03BOSMihm 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)47
11.3%
57
88.7%
Q2 - 1:21MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)45
9.5%
57
90.5%
Q2 - 1:46BOSDavis 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)45
12.7%
54
87.3%
Q2 - 1:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
10.7%
54
89.3%
Q2 - 1:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
11.0%
53
89.0%
Q2 - 2:18BOSDavis Driving Layup (10 PTS)43
12.8%
52
87.2%
Q2 - 2:22BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
11.3%
52
88.7%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
11.0%
52
89.0%
Q2 - 2:42MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
10.2%
52
89.8%
Q2 - 2:44BOSMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
10.5%
52
89.5%
Q2 - 2:59BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)41
11.3%
52
88.7%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot41
11.5%
52
88.5%
Q2 - 3:14BOSBlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
10.6%
52
89.4%
Q2 - 3:14BOSBlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
10.3%
52
89.7%
Q2 - 3:21BOSJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
9.6%
52
90.4%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS Haslem 5' Hook Shot39
9.3%
52
90.7%
Q2 - 3:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot39
9.3%
52
90.7%
Q2 - 3:46BOSBlount 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q2 - 3:48BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)37
7.7%
52
92.3%
Q2 - 3:50BOSMISS Davis 6' Jump Shot37
7.1%
52
92.9%
Q2 - 4:03MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)37
8.0%
52
92.0%
Q2 - 4:03MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)37
8.2%
51
91.8%
Q2 - 4:13BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)37
8.9%
50
91.1%
Q2 - 4:13BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)36
8.8%
50
91.2%
Q2 - 4:22MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)35
8.0%
50
92.0%
Q2 - 4:22MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)35
8.2%
49
91.8%
Q2 - 4:32MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)35
8.9%
48
91.1%
Q2 - 4:33BOSMISS McCarty 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
9.2%
48
90.8%
Q2 - 4:50MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)35
9.9%
48
90.1%
Q2 - 5:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
12.1%
45
87.9%
Q2 - 5:02BOSAlston BLOCK (1 BLK)35
12.7%
45
87.3%
Q2 - 5:07MIAOdom Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)35
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 5:25BOSMihm Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (McCarty 1 AST)35
12.3%
45
87.7%
Q2 - 5:42MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)33
11.2%
45
88.8%
Q2 - 5:47MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)33
13.6%
42
86.4%
Q2 - 5:49BOSMISS Davis 8' Jump Shot33
14.0%
42
86.0%
Q2 - 6:06MIAAlston Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)33
15.5%
42
84.5%
Q2 - 6:09BOSAlston STEAL (3 STL)33
16.6%
40
83.4%
Q2 - 6:20MIAOdom Layup (8 PTS)33
18.5%
40
81.5%
Q2 - 6:21MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
19.9%
38
80.1%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Haslem Layup33
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 6:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
19.9%
38
80.1%
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Haslem Layup33
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 6:45BOSDavis 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
19.9%
38
80.1%
Q2 - 6:53BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
18.5%
38
81.5%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot31
17.9%
38
82.1%
Q2 - 6:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
16.6%
38
83.4%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
17.9%
38
82.1%
Q2 - 7:24BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)31
17.2%
38
82.8%
Q2 - 7:24BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)30
17.0%
38
83.0%
Q2 - 7:46MIAAlston Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
15.8%
38
84.2%
Q2 - 7:50BOSAlston STEAL (2 STL)29
17.2%
36
82.8%
Q2 - 8:05MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
19.0%
36
81.0%
Q2 - 8:05MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
19.3%
35
80.7%
Q2 - 8:26BOSPierce 21' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)29
20.4%
34
79.6%
Q2 - 8:45MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)27
19.0%
34
81.0%
Q2 - 8:45MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)27
20.6%
33
79.4%
Q2 - 8:53MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
22.1%
31
77.9%
Q2 - 8:55BOSMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot27
22.8%
31
77.2%
Q2 - 9:12MIAWade Layup (4 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)27
24.2%
31
75.8%
Q2 - 9:17BOSButler STEAL (1 STL)27
25.9%
29
74.1%
Q2 - 9:33MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)27
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q2 - 9:48BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)27
32.1%
26
67.9%
Q2 - 9:48BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)26
31.7%
26
68.3%
Q2 - 10:05BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
30.2%
26
69.8%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMISS Odom 21' Jump Shot25
29.5%
26
70.5%
Q2 - 10:15BOSButler STEAL (1 STL)25
27.9%
26
72.1%
Q2 - 10:22BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)25
30.2%
26
69.8%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot25
29.5%
26
70.5%
Q2 - 10:29BOSAlston STEAL (1 STL)25
27.9%
26
72.1%
Q2 - 10:39MIAWade 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)25
30.2%
26
69.8%
Q2 - 10:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
32.1%
24
67.9%
Q2 - 10:46BOSHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)25
32.8%
24
67.2%
Q2 - 10:55MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)25
34.6%
24
65.4%
Q2 - 11:11BOSDavis Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)25
31.8%
24
68.2%
Q2 - 11:15BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
29.7%
24
70.3%
Q2 - 11:17MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
29.1%
24
70.9%
Q2 - 11:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
27.8%
24
72.2%
Q2 - 11:44BOSMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 223
28.0%
24
72.0%
Q2 - 11:44BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)23
29.3%
24
70.7%
Q2 - 11:49MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)22
27.8%
24
72.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
25.9%
24
74.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound22
25.9%
24
74.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Alston 7' Running Jump Shot22
27.2%
24
72.8%
Q1 - 0:07.0BOSAtkins 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
26.0%
24
74.0%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
23.8%
24
76.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
24.1%
23
75.9%
Q1 - 0:40.0BOSBlount Dunk (2 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)20
26.0%
22
74.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0BOSHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
23.8%
22
76.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot18
23.4%
22
76.6%
Q1 - 1:02BOSDavis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)18
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q1 - 1:15BOSHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
19.1%
22
80.9%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot15
18.8%
22
81.2%
Q1 - 1:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.0%
22
82.0%
Q1 - 1:25BOSJones BLOCK (2 BLK)15
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 1:47MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)15
19.1%
22
80.9%
Q1 - 2:00MIAHEAT Rebound15
21.0%
20
79.0%
Q1 - 2:01BOSMISS Pierce 22' Jump Shot15
21.4%
20
78.6%
Q1 - 2:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 2:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
22.8%
19
77.2%
Q1 - 2:37BOSPierce 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Welsch 1 AST)15
24.2%
18
75.8%
Q1 - 2:52MIAJones Layup (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)13
22.4%
18
77.6%
Q1 - 3:02MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
24.1%
16
75.9%
Q1 - 3:04BOSMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
24.7%
16
75.3%
Q1 - 3:20MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)13
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 3:43BOSPierce 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
24.1%
16
75.9%
Q1 - 3:54MIAJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T3)11
22.7%
16
77.3%
Q1 - 4:18BOSMcCarty Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)11
20.8%
16
79.2%
Q1 - 4:23BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
22.7%
16
77.3%
Q1 - 4:25BOSJones BLOCK (1 BLK)11
21.4%
16
78.6%
Q1 - 4:26BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)11
22.7%
16
77.3%
Q1 - 4:28BOSMISS McCarty Free Throw 2 of 211
21.1%
16
78.9%
Q1 - 4:28BOSMcCarty Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)11
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 4:28MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
21.2%
16
78.8%
Q1 - 4:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
19.4%
16
80.6%
Q1 - 4:39BOSMISS McCarty 6' Hook Shot10
19.9%
16
80.1%
Q1 - 4:41BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
21.2%
16
78.8%
Q1 - 4:43BOSMISS Blount Layup10
19.9%
16
80.1%
Q1 - 4:45BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
21.2%
16
78.8%
Q1 - 4:46BOSMISS McCarty 6' Jump Shot10
19.9%
16
80.1%
Q1 - 5:05MIAGrant Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)10
21.2%
16
78.8%
Q1 - 5:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
22.5%
14
77.5%
Q1 - 5:23BOSMISS Welsch Free Throw 2 of 210
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 5:23BOSWelsch Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
23.6%
14
76.4%
Q1 - 5:41MIAOdom Dunk (4 PTS)9
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 5:43MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
24.0%
12
76.0%
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot9
25.2%
12
74.8%
Q1 - 5:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
24.0%
12
76.0%
Q1 - 5:52BOSMISS McCarty 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
24.5%
12
75.5%
Q1 - 6:06BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
25.6%
12
74.4%
Q1 - 6:08MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot9
25.1%
12
74.9%
Q1 - 6:27BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
24.1%
12
75.9%
Q1 - 6:27BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
23.8%
12
76.2%
Q1 - 6:42MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)7
22.7%
12
77.3%
Q1 - 7:01MIAHEAT Rebound7
24.1%
10
75.9%
Q1 - 7:02BOSMISS McCarty 22' Jump Shot7
24.6%
10
75.4%
Q1 - 7:10BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
25.7%
10
74.3%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot7
25.2%
10
74.8%
Q1 - 7:25BOSBlount Foul Turnover (P2.T2)7
24.1%
10
75.9%
Q1 - 7:36MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)7
25.7%
10
74.3%
Q1 - 7:54BOSBlount 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)7
27.0%
8
73.0%
Q1 - 8:14MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)7
28.7%
8
71.3%
Q1 - 8:27BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
30.1%
6
69.9%
Q1 - 8:27BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
29.8%
6
70.2%
Q1 - 8:43MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
28.7%
6
71.3%
Q1 - 8:59MIAHEAT Rebound5
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 9:00BOSMISS McCarty 21' Jump Shot5
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 9:16MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)5
31.8%
4
68.2%
Q1 - 9:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 9:25BOSMISS Pierce 18' Turnaround Jump Shot5
33.7%
2
66.3%
Q1 - 9:41BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 9:43MIAMISS Odom 4' Jump Shot5
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 10:04BOSMcCarty 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)5
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 10:13BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.0%
2
70.0%
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot2
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 10:23MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
28.2%
2
71.8%
Q1 - 10:25BOSMISS Blount Layup2
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 10:51MIAOdom 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
30.0%
2
70.0%
Q1 - 10:54MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
31.3%
0
68.7%
Q1 - 10:56MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot2
32.6%
0
67.4%
Q1 - 11:17BOSAtkins 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)2
31.4%
0
68.6%
Q1 - 11:33MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
29.7%
0
70.3%
Q1 - 11:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.3%
0
71.7%
Q1 - 11:45BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot0
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Blount: Tip to McCarty0
29.7%
0
70.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.09 54.3%
MIA
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
15
23
65%
MIA
15
27
56%
Midrange
BOS
12
29
41%
MIA
11
30
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
MIA
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
BOS
23
28
82%
MIA
37
43
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce3167%15.5 / 23
R. Davis2265%11.0 / 17
C. Atkins1653%8.0 / 15
J. Welsch1056%5.0 / 9
C. Mihm1083%5.0 / 6
M. Blount850%4.0 / 8
W. McCarty420%2.0 / 10
B. Hunter0-0.0 / 1
M. Banks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Odom2467%12.0 / 18
D. Wade1650%8.0 / 16
E. Jones1450%7.0 / 14
U. Haslem1450%7.0 / 14
B. Grant1260%6.0 / 10
R. Alston1250%6.0 / 12
C. Butler638%3.0 / 8
R. Butler675%3.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
80
+13
-15
93
MIA
83
+14
-12
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.09 54.3%
MIA
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.2
99.3
BOS 106.3
MIA 109.5 +3.2
Pace
96.0
90.6
BOS 94.4
MIA 95.6 +1.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
16.0
BOS 15.3
MIA 15.1 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
46.3%
BOS 50.6% +5.3%
MIA 45.3%
TO %
16.4%
14.4%
BOS 14.4%
MIA 11.4% +3.0%
ORB %
25.2%
27.5%
BOS 25.6%
MIA 26.8% +1.2%
FTrt
32.7
29.8
BOS 36.4
MIA 58.1 +21.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.2%
57.3%
BOS 45.7%
MIA 77.4% +31.7%
STL %
9.8%
7.9%
BOS 3.2%
MIA 8.4% +5.2%
BLK %
6.5%
6.3%
BOS 5.3%
MIA 9.6% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
48.3%
BOS 54.3% +0.7%
MIA 53.6%
Rim FG%
56.3%
53.9%
BOS 65.2% +9.6%
MIA 55.6%
Mid FG%
40.4%
36.9%
BOS 41.4% +4.7%
MIA 36.7%
3P %
34.6%
35.7%
BOS 32.0% +2.6%
MIA 29.4%
FT %
75.0%
76.2%
BOS 82.1%
MIA 86.0% +3.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
34.4%
BOS 29.9%
MIA 36.5% +6.6%
Mid Att. %
41.2%
44.5%
BOS 37.7% +2.9%
MIA 40.5%
3P Att. %
24.9%
21.1%
BOS 32.5% +9.5%
MIA 23.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points101104
Rebounds4040
Assists1624
Steals38
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)29 (3)
Field Goals35-7731-74
At-the-Rim FG15-2315-27
Midrange FG12-2911-30
2-Point FG27-5226-57
3-Point FG8-255-17
Free Throws23-2837-43
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 235 · 26
45.0
31
67%
5
5
0
0
2
3
1
4
10-12
83%
9-14
64%
1-4
25%
G · 5'11" 185 · 30
43.6
16
53%
2
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
2-9
22%
F · 6'7" 208 · 24
33.8
10
56%
4
4
0
0
1
4
1
3
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 245 · 30
23.4
4
20%
4
2
1
0
2
1
1
3
1-2
50%
0-5
0%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 250 · 28
21.8
8
50%
9
0
0
0
4
4
4
5
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 195 · 25
33.0
22
65%
4
1
1
0
2
5
0
4
1-2
50%
6-11
55%
3-5
60%
C · 7'0" 265 · 25
26.2
10
83%
9
0
1
3
2
5
3
6
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 266 · 23
4.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 205 · 22
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 25
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 230 · 29
C · 6'10" 270 · 19
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
54%
40
16
3
3
15
0
10
30
23-28
82%
27-52
52%
8-25
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.