FinalWin Prob.pScore
3024%100
104
1176%109
127
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
102.0102103.7
MIL logo MIL
123.3103101.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL104
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)104
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2103
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILSantiago 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 9 AST)103
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0ORLWilliams Layup (10 PTS) (Gaines 2 AST)103
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)101
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:52.0MILMISS Strickland 27' 3PT Jump Shot101
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:07ORLWilliams Reverse Dunk (8 PTS) (Giricek 1 AST)101
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:11MILStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)99
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:16MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)99
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:18ORLMISS Giricek 15' Jump Shot99
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:29MILStrickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)99
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37ORLGadzuric STEAL (2 STL)99
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)99
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46MILMISS Santiago 17' Jump Shot99
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56ORLGaines Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)99
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MILMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25ORLGaines 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)97
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MILMISS Gadzuric 3' Hook Shot95
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48MILBUCKS Rebound95
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49ORLMISS Gaines Layup95
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)95
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 295
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)95
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01MILMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18ORLWilliams Layup (6 PTS)95
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27MILMISS Strickland 22' Jump Shot93
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45ORLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)93
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45ORLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 292
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45MILStrickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)92
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05ORLWilliams 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gaines 1 AST)92
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19MILGadzuric 11' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Santiago 1 AST)90
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38ORLGiricek 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47ORLHaislip BLOCK (3 BLK)88
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00MILMISS Santiago 12' Jump Shot88
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14ORLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)88
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14ORLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)87
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16MILSantiago Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)86
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21MILHaislip REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:23ORLHaislip BLOCK (2 BLK)86
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39MILGadzuric Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)86
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56ORLGaines 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)86
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07MILSantiago 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)84
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 2 of 284
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 1 of 284
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25MILMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot84
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41MILBUCKS Rebound84
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41ORLMISS Gaines Layup84
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45MILStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)84
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:59ORLGiricek Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)84
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:59ORLGiricek Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)83
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 7:18MILHaislip 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)82
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 7:28MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:30MILMISS Mason 5' Jump Shot82
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:47ORLBogans 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)82
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 8:19MILJones Running Layup (7 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)80
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 8:24MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 8:26ORLMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot80
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 8:41MILKukoc 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)80
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 8:47MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:49ORLMISS Howard 3' Hook Shot80
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:02ORLMagic Rebound80
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:05MILMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot80
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:21ORLGiricek 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)80
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:39MILHaislip 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)78
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:50ORLSkinner STEAL (2 STL)78
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:03MILJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mason 7 AST)78
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:26ORLHunter Dunk (2 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)78
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 10:41ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 10:43MILMISS Mason 14' Jump Shot76
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 11:08ORLMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (41 PTS)76
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 11:19MILHaislip 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mason 6 AST)74
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 11:35MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 11:37ORLMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 274
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 11:37ORLStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)74
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 11:50MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 11:50MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)73
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL73
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0MILSmith 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ford 12 AST)73
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot73
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0MILSkinner Tip Shot (16 PTS)73
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0MILMISS Redd 3PT Jump Shot73
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q3 - 0:52.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)73
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0ORLMISS Bogans 7' Jump Shot73
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q3 - 1:23MILRedd Layup (27 PTS) (Mason 5 AST)73
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q3 - 1:27MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q3 - 1:29ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q3 - 1:33ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q3 - 1:36MILMISS Redd 21' Jump Shot73
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q3 - 1:55ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (39 PTS)73
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q3 - 2:06ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q3 - 2:08MILMISS Ford 6' Jump Shot70
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q3 - 2:31MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)70
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q3 - 2:33ORLSkinner BLOCK (2 BLK)70
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q3 - 2:50ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q3 - 2:52MILMISS Skinner Free Throw 2 of 270
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q3 - 2:52MILMISS Skinner Free Throw 1 of 270
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q3 - 2:55ORLSmith STEAL (3 STL)70
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q3 - 2:57ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q3 - 2:59ORLMISS McGrady 3PT Jump Shot70
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q3 - 3:10MILSmith Layup (15 PTS) (Mason 4 AST)70
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q3 - 3:28ORLBogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)70
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 3:45MILSkinner 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)67
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 4:02ORLHoward 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lue 5 AST)67
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 4:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 4:11MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot65
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 4:29ORLMcGrady Alley Oop Dunk (36 PTS) (Lue 4 AST)65
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 4:41MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)63
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 4:41MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)63
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 4:54ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)63
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 4:54ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 262
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 5:10MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)62
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 5:25ORLMcGrady 13' Jump Shot (34 PTS)62
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 5:32ORLMagic Rebound60
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 5:33ORLMISS Lue 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 5:54MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 5:54MILMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 260
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 6:11ORLHoward Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)60
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 6:16ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 6:17MILMISS Skinner 10' Jump Shot58
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 6:29MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)58
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 6:31ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 6:40MILFord Layup (6 PTS)58
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 6:50ORLGooden 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 7:01MILRedd Free Throw Technical (23 PTS)56
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 7:05MILSkinner Layup (14 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)56
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q3 - 7:17ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)56
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q3 - 7:17ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)55
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q3 - 7:29MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q3 - 7:29MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)54
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 7:47MILJump Ball Mason vs. Howard: Tip to Redd54
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 7:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 7:48ORLSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)54
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q3 - 8:01MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)54
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 8:01MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)54
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 8:06ORLRedd STEAL (2 STL)54
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 8:10ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 8:12MILMISS Skinner 12' Jump Shot54
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 8:32ORLLue 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 8:53MILSkinner Dunk (12 PTS) (Ford 11 AST)52
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 8:59MILBUCKS Rebound52
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 9:01MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q3 - 9:20ORLMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)52
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 9:32MILRedd Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)50
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 9:38MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 9:40ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot50
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 9:57MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 9:57MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 10:19ORLPachulia Dunk (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)50
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 10:23MILMason Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)48
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 10:35MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 10:37ORLMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot48
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 10:45ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 10:47MILMISS Ford 14' Jump Shot48
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 11:10ORLMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (28 PTS)48
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 11:17ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 11:19MILMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot46
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q3 - 11:39MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)46
0.8%
71
99.2%
Q3 - 11:41ORLMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot46
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL46
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILRedd 32' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)46
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0MILMason Dunk (11 PTS) (Ford 10 AST)46
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0ORLGadzuric STEAL (1 STL)46
1.9%
66
98.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0MILGadzuric Dunk (10 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)46
2.0%
66
98.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLSmith STEAL (2 STL)46
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0MILGadzuric Dunk (8 PTS) (Ford 9 AST)46
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLRedd STEAL (1 STL)46
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q2 - 1:04MILMason Layup (9 PTS)46
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q2 - 1:22ORLMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)46
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q2 - 1:37MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q2 - 1:37MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
3.8%
59
96.2%
Q2 - 1:53ORLBogans Foul Turnover (P2.T5)44
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q2 - 2:01ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
5.0%
58
95.0%
Q2 - 2:03MILMISS Redd 10' Jump Shot44
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q2 - 2:18MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
4.4%
58
95.6%
Q2 - 2:20ORLMISS Giricek 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q2 - 2:35ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q2 - 2:37MILMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot44
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q2 - 2:39MILBUCKS Rebound44
4.4%
58
95.6%
Q2 - 2:41MILMISS Gadzuric 13' Jump Shot44
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q2 - 2:56MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
4.4%
58
95.6%
Q2 - 2:58ORLGadzuric BLOCK (2 BLK)44
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q2 - 3:20MILGadzuric 2' Hook Shot (4 PTS)44
5.2%
58
94.8%
Q2 - 3:22MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
5.8%
56
94.2%
Q2 - 3:23MILMISS Mason Layup44
6.3%
56
93.7%
Q2 - 3:27ORLMason STEAL (1 STL)44
5.8%
56
94.2%
Q2 - 3:29ORLMagic Rebound44
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q2 - 3:30ORLGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)44
6.0%
56
94.0%
Q2 - 3:51MILMason Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)44
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q2 - 3:55MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
7.2%
54
92.8%
Q2 - 3:56ORLMISS Bogans 18' Jump Shot44
7.5%
54
92.5%
Q2 - 4:17MILHaislip Layup (6 PTS)44
8.2%
54
91.8%
Q2 - 4:18MILHaislip REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
9.2%
52
90.8%
Q2 - 4:19MILMISS Mason 3' Jump Shot44
9.9%
52
90.1%
Q2 - 4:35ORLStrickland 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)44
9.2%
52
90.8%
Q2 - 4:50ORLMagic Rebound41
7.4%
52
92.6%
Q2 - 4:51MILMISS Kukoc 12' Jump Shot41
7.2%
52
92.8%
Q2 - 4:53MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
6.7%
52
93.3%
Q2 - 4:54MILMISS Haislip Alley Oop Dunk41
7.2%
52
92.8%
Q2 - 5:12ORLHoward 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)41
6.7%
52
93.3%
Q2 - 5:19ORLMagic Rebound39
6.1%
52
93.9%
Q2 - 5:19ORLHaislip BLOCK (1 BLK)39
5.6%
52
94.4%
Q2 - 5:24ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
6.1%
52
93.9%
Q2 - 5:25MILMISS Kukoc Layup39
5.9%
52
94.1%
Q2 - 5:44ORLGiricek Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)39
5.4%
52
94.6%
Q2 - 5:48MILJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)37
4.9%
52
95.1%
Q2 - 6:03ORLBogans 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)37
4.5%
52
95.5%
Q2 - 6:30MILJones 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
3.7%
52
96.3%
Q2 - 6:35MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
4.1%
50
95.9%
Q2 - 6:37ORLMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q2 - 6:50MILGadzuric Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)34
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 6:55MILHaislip REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
5.0%
48
95.0%
Q2 - 6:57ORLMISS Strickland Layup34
5.2%
48
94.8%
Q2 - 7:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
6.0%
48
94.0%
Q2 - 7:05MILMISS Haislip 4' Hook Shot34
5.8%
48
94.2%
Q2 - 7:20MILHaislip REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
5.4%
48
94.6%
Q2 - 7:22ORLMISS Giricek 3PT Jump Shot34
5.5%
48
94.5%
Q2 - 7:38MILHaislip 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
5.9%
48
94.1%
Q2 - 7:57ORLGooden 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
6.5%
46
93.5%
Q2 - 8:19ORLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
6.1%
46
93.9%
Q2 - 8:20MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 232
6.0%
46
94.0%
Q2 - 8:20MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 232
5.7%
46
94.3%
Q2 - 8:24ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 8:24ORLMcGrady Tip Shot (24 PTS)32
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 8:29ORLMISS Giricek Layup30
4.6%
46
95.4%
Q2 - 8:39ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
5.0%
46
95.0%
Q2 - 8:42MILMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
4.8%
46
95.2%
Q2 - 8:51MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
4.5%
46
95.5%
Q2 - 8:53ORLMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot30
4.6%
46
95.4%
Q2 - 9:10MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)30
5.1%
46
94.9%
Q2 - 9:15MILHaislip REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 9:18ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
6.3%
43
93.7%
Q2 - 9:23ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
6.8%
43
93.2%
Q2 - 9:25MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
6.6%
43
93.4%
Q2 - 9:39ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)30
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 9:46MILHaislip 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)27
5.1%
43
94.9%
Q2 - 10:00ORLMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Gooden 2 AST)27
5.5%
41
94.5%
Q2 - 10:14MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 10:29ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)25
4.7%
41
95.3%
Q2 - 10:29ORLMcGrady Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)24
4.3%
41
95.7%
Q2 - 10:32ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
3.9%
41
96.1%
Q2 - 10:34ORLMISS Gooden 12' Jump Shot22
3.7%
41
96.3%
Q2 - 10:49MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
3.9%
41
96.1%
Q2 - 10:49MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
4.0%
40
96.0%
Q2 - 10:56MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
4.3%
39
95.7%
Q2 - 10:58ORLMISS Gooden 8' Hook Shot22
4.4%
39
95.6%
Q2 - 11:13MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)22
4.8%
39
95.2%
Q2 - 11:13MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)22
4.9%
38
95.1%
Q2 - 11:30ORLStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
5.3%
37
94.7%
Q2 - 11:30ORLStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
5.2%
37
94.8%
Q2 - 11:41MILJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
4.8%
37
95.2%
Q2 - 11:45MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
4.4%
37
95.6%
Q2 - 11:47ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
4.8%
37
95.2%
Q2 - 11:47ORLMISS Hunter Tip Shot20
4.5%
37
95.5%
Q2 - 11:48ORLMISS McGrady Layup20
4.5%
37
95.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL20
4.8%
37
95.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)20
4.9%
37
95.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 220
5.0%
36
95.0%
Q1 - 0:11.0MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
5.0%
36
95.0%
Q1 - 0:13.0ORLMISS McGrady Layup20
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0MILSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
5.3%
36
94.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLGooden 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)20
5.0%
36
95.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
4.4%
36
95.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
4.1%
36
95.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLMISS Giricek 21' Jump Shot18
4.2%
36
95.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
4.4%
36
95.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0MILMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot18
4.3%
36
95.7%
Q1 - 1:07ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)18
4.2%
36
95.8%
Q1 - 1:07ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)17
4.1%
36
95.9%
Q1 - 1:07ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
3.7%
36
96.3%
Q1 - 1:09ORLMISS McGrady Layup16
3.6%
36
96.4%
Q1 - 1:35MILRedd 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)16
3.7%
36
96.3%
Q1 - 1:50ORLGiricek Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
4.6%
33
95.4%
Q1 - 2:02MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)16
5.0%
33
95.0%
Q1 - 2:02MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)16
5.1%
32
94.9%
Q1 - 2:09MILBUCKS Rebound16
5.5%
31
94.5%
Q1 - 2:09ORLMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot16
5.6%
31
94.4%
Q1 - 2:26MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
6.0%
31
94.0%
Q1 - 2:26MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
6.1%
30
93.9%
Q1 - 2:46ORLMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)16
6.6%
29
93.4%
Q1 - 3:01MILSmith Layup (6 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)14
6.3%
29
93.7%
Q1 - 3:13MILBUCKS Rebound14
6.7%
27
93.3%
Q1 - 3:14ORLMISS Gooden 13' Jump Shot14
6.9%
27
93.1%
Q1 - 3:16ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
7.4%
27
92.6%
Q1 - 3:18ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot14
6.9%
27
93.1%
Q1 - 3:23MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
7.4%
27
92.6%
Q1 - 3:28MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
6.7%
27
93.3%
Q1 - 3:31ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot14
6.9%
27
93.1%
Q1 - 3:48MILRedd Driving Layup (7 PTS)14
7.4%
27
92.6%
Q1 - 4:02MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
7.9%
25
92.1%
Q1 - 4:04ORLSkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)14
8.1%
25
91.9%
Q1 - 4:19MILSkinner Dunk (10 PTS)14
8.7%
25
91.3%
Q1 - 4:24ORLSkinner STEAL (1 STL)14
9.3%
23
90.7%
Q1 - 4:39MILFord 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
10.2%
23
89.8%
Q1 - 4:53MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
10.9%
21
89.1%
Q1 - 4:53ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 3 of 314
11.0%
21
89.0%
Q1 - 4:53ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 314
11.6%
21
88.4%
Q1 - 4:53ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)14
12.4%
21
87.6%
Q1 - 5:10MILSkinner Running Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)13
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q1 - 5:24ORLGooden Layup (2 PTS)13
11.8%
19
88.2%
Q1 - 5:46MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)11
11.1%
19
88.9%
Q1 - 5:52MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
12.7%
16
87.3%
Q1 - 5:52MILMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot11
13.5%
16
86.5%
Q1 - 6:14ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)11
12.8%
16
87.2%
Q1 - 6:32MILSkinner Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)8
11.2%
16
88.8%
Q1 - 6:37ORLSmith STEAL (1 STL)8
12.0%
14
88.0%
Q1 - 6:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
12.9%
14
87.1%
Q1 - 6:46MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
12.6%
14
87.4%
Q1 - 7:06ORLMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)8
12.1%
14
87.9%
Q1 - 7:17ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
11.4%
14
88.6%
Q1 - 7:20MILMISS Mason 10' Jump Shot6
11.1%
14
88.9%
Q1 - 7:39ORLLue 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
10.5%
14
89.5%
Q1 - 7:52ORLMcGrady Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)4
9.9%
14
90.1%
Q1 - 7:53MILSmith Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)3
9.3%
14
90.7%
Q1 - 8:07MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
9.8%
12
90.2%
Q1 - 8:08ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 23
9.9%
12
90.1%
Q1 - 8:08ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
10.3%
12
89.7%
Q1 - 8:15MILRedd Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)2
9.8%
12
90.2%
Q1 - 8:21MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
10.5%
10
89.5%
Q1 - 8:23MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot2
11.0%
10
89.0%
Q1 - 8:36MILBUCKS Rebound2
10.5%
10
89.5%
Q1 - 8:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
11.3%
10
88.7%
Q1 - 8:37ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot2
10.7%
10
89.3%
Q1 - 8:39ORLMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot2
10.7%
10
89.3%
Q1 - 8:55MILSkinner 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)2
11.3%
10
88.7%
Q1 - 9:17ORLMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
11.8%
8
88.2%
Q1 - 9:44MILFord 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
11.2%
8
88.8%
Q1 - 9:52MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
11.8%
6
88.2%
Q1 - 9:54ORLMISS Pachulia Layup0
12.1%
6
87.9%
Q1 - 10:14MILSmith 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
12.8%
6
87.2%
Q1 - 10:30MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.5%
4
86.5%
Q1 - 10:33ORLMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot0
13.8%
4
86.2%
Q1 - 10:50MILMason 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)0
14.5%
4
85.5%
Q1 - 10:54MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 10:56ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Hook Shot0
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 11:11ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 11:13MILMISS Skinner 12' Jump Shot0
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 11:23MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 11:25ORLMISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 11:28ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 11:30ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot0
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 11:45MILSkinner 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)0
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Smith vs. Pachulia: Tip to Skinner0
17.4%
0
82.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.99 49.5%
MIL
1.27 63.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
29
45%
MIL
22
29
76%
Midrange
ORL
21
42
50%
MIL
16
38
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
MIL
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
ORL
18
27
67%
MIL
24
31
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady4157%20.5 / 36
S. Williams10100%5.0 / 5
K. Bogans857%4.0 / 7
D. Gooden850%4.0 / 8
G. Giricek840%4.0 / 10
J. Howard727%3.5 / 13
R. Strickland660%3.0 / 5
R. Gaines660%3.0 / 5
Z. Pachulia440%2.0 / 5
T. Lue440%2.0 / 5
S. Hunter233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2775%13.5 / 18
J. Smith1765%8.5 / 13
B. Skinner1667%8.0 / 12
D. Mason1354%6.5 / 12
M. Haislip1381%6.5 / 8
D. Gadzuric1365%6.5 / 10
D. Jones744%3.5 / 8
T. Ford660%3.0 / 5
E. Strickland675%3.0 / 4
T. Kukoc550%2.5 / 5
D. Santiago450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
89
+13
-13
102
MIL
90
+10
-13
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.99 49.5%
MIL
1.27 63.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.3
103.6
ORL 102.0
MIL 123.3 +21.3
Pace
93.1
94.2
ORL 103.7 +2.1
MIL 101.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.0
ORL 13.9 +0.3
MIL 14.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.1%
47.7%
ORL 48.3%
MIL 61.3% +13.0%
TO %
13.8%
13.7%
ORL 11.4% +0.3%
MIL 11.7%
ORB %
28.1%
27.6%
ORL 22.2%
MIL 22.9% +0.7%
FTrt
29.6
33.0
ORL 30.3
MIL 36.9 +6.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.5%
63.0%
ORL 62.5%
MIL 68.1% +5.6%
STL %
7.1%
7.1%
ORL 7.8%
MIL 9.7% +1.9%
BLK %
5.6%
7.1%
ORL 3.0%
MIL 11.3% +8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.1%
50.3%
ORL 49.5%
MIL 63.5% +14.0%
Rim FG%
52.9%
55.7%
ORL 44.8%
MIL 75.9% +31.1%
Mid FG%
40.2%
39.4%
ORL 50.0% +7.9%
MIL 42.1%
3P %
34.4%
35.0%
ORL 33.3%
MIL 52.9% +19.6%
FT %
73.7%
77.5%
ORL 66.7%
MIL 77.4% +10.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.7%
36.8%
ORL 32.6%
MIL 34.5% +1.9%
Mid Att. %
51.8%
46.0%
ORL 47.2%
MIL 45.2% +2.0%
3P Att. %
18.4%
17.2%
ORL 20.2%
MIL 20.2% +0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIL
Possessions102103
Possession Minutes23.624.3
Points104127
Rebounds3743
Assists2532
Steals810
Blocks28
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)35 (5)
Field Goals40-8947-84
At-the-Rim FG13-2922-29
Midrange FG21-4216-38
2-Point FG34-7138-67
3-Point FG6-189-17
Free Throws18-2724-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 225 · 25
35.5
41
57%
8
3
1
1
5
1
2
6
8-11
73%
12-22
55%
3-9
33%
F · 6'5" 215 · 24
29.6
8
57%
2
0
0
0
2
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 250 · 31
28.3
7
27%
5
3
1
0
1
4
2
3
1-2
50%
3-12
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 20
21.8
4
40%
3
0
1
1
1
2
1
2
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 27
20.1
4
40%
1
5
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 250 · 22
28.1
8
50%
6
2
1
0
2
4
2
4
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 27
24.6
8
40%
2
1
2
0
1
3
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 185 · 38
18.9
6
60%
2
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 240 · 22
17.8
2
33%
6
1
0
0
0
3
1
5
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 23
9.0
6
60%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 201 · 29
6.3
10
100%
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
50%
37
25
8
2
13
0
10
27
18-27
67%
34-71
48%
6-18
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.