FinalWin Prob.pScore
1843%89
85
1957%92
97
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
96.68879.3
MIA logo MIA
103.294105.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA85
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0UTAMISS Bell Reverse Layup85
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)85
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)85
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0UTAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)85
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)85
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)85
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:33.0UTAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 0:33.0UTAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 0:38.0UTAJazz Rebound83
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 1:03UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)83
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 1:03UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)82
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 1:11MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)81
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 1:11MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)81
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 1:16UTABell Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)81
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 1:27UTAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 1:29MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 1:51UTAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)81
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 1:58UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot79
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 2:21MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 2:23UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 2:38MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)79
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 2:38MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 2:52UTAStevenson Driving Layup (14 PTS)79
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 3:01UTABell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot77
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 3:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 3:19UTAMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 3:36UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 3:38MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup77
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 3:58UTAKirilenko Dunk (29 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)77
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 4:18UTABell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 4:20UTAMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot75
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 4:37MIAOdom Tip Shot (4 PTS)75
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 4:38MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup75
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 4:51MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 4:53UTAOdom BLOCK (2 BLK)75
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 5:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)75
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q4 - 5:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)75
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q4 - 5:27UTAStevenson Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)75
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 5:32MIAAlston Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)73
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q4 - 5:37MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 5:39UTAMISS Bell Driving Layup73
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 6:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)73
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 6:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)73
4.7%
82
95.3%
Q4 - 6:06MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q4 - 6:08UTAMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot73
6.1%
81
93.9%
Q4 - 6:27UTABell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
7.6%
81
92.4%
Q4 - 6:29MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
6.9%
81
93.1%
Q4 - 6:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
5.4%
81
94.6%
Q4 - 6:52UTAMISS Kirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
6.0%
81
94.0%
Q4 - 7:10MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)73
9.2%
81
90.8%
Q4 - 7:27UTALopez 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)73
14.4%
78
85.6%
Q4 - 7:44MIAWade Driving Layup (25 PTS)71
11.6%
78
88.4%
Q4 - 8:17UTALopez 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)71
16.0%
76
84.0%
Q4 - 8:30MIAButler Driving Layup (15 PTS)69
12.9%
76
87.1%
Q4 - 8:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
15.9%
74
84.1%
Q4 - 8:45UTAMISS Ostertag Tip Shot69
17.0%
74
83.0%
Q4 - 8:46UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
19.8%
74
80.2%
Q4 - 8:47UTAMISS Stevenson 8' Jump Shot69
17.0%
74
83.0%
Q4 - 9:08UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
20.9%
74
79.1%
Q4 - 9:10MIAMISS Alston 9' Jump Shot69
19.7%
74
80.3%
Q4 - 9:33UTALopez 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ostertag 2 AST)69
17.0%
74
83.0%
Q4 - 9:52MIAButler Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)67
14.0%
74
86.0%
Q4 - 9:57MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
17.0%
72
83.0%
Q4 - 9:59UTAMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot67
18.1%
72
81.9%
Q4 - 10:08MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#11)67
21.8%
72
78.2%
Q4 - 10:33UTACollins 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lopez 2 AST)67
17.9%
72
82.1%
Q4 - 10:46UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
15.0%
72
85.0%
Q4 - 10:48MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
14.0%
72
86.0%
Q4 - 11:07UTAOstertag Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)65
13.0%
72
87.0%
Q4 - 11:08MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)65
15.8%
72
84.2%
Q4 - 11:26UTABell 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lopez 1 AST)65
13.0%
72
87.0%
Q4 - 11:43UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
10.8%
72
89.2%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 263
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q4 - 11:44MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
9.2%
72
90.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA63
10.7%
71
89.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound63
13.1%
71
86.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
13.3%
71
86.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)63
11.8%
71
88.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)63
14.0%
71
86.0%
Q3 - 0:40.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 3 of 3 (27 PTS)63
16.6%
69
83.4%
Q3 - 0:40.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 3 (26 PTS)62
16.2%
69
83.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 3 (25 PTS)61
15.6%
69
84.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
11.7%
69
88.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)60
12.2%
68
87.8%
Q3 - 1:09UTAStevenson 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)60
14.9%
67
85.1%
Q3 - 1:24MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T9)58
12.6%
67
87.4%
Q3 - 1:36MIAHEAT Rebound58
10.5%
67
89.5%
Q3 - 1:38MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
11.9%
67
88.1%
Q3 - 1:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
10.5%
67
89.5%
Q3 - 1:46UTAMISS Arroyo 12' Jump Shot58
11.1%
67
88.9%
Q3 - 2:07MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)58
13.3%
67
86.7%
Q3 - 2:07MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)58
15.6%
66
84.4%
Q3 - 2:31MIAHEAT Rebound58
18.0%
64
82.0%
Q3 - 2:32UTAMISS Ruffin 3' Jump Shot58
18.9%
64
81.1%
Q3 - 2:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)58
21.2%
64
78.8%
Q3 - 2:49MIAWade Driving Layup (22 PTS)58
24.4%
63
75.6%
Q3 - 2:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
27.7%
61
72.3%
Q3 - 2:55UTAMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot58
29.0%
61
71.0%
Q3 - 3:09UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)58
32.4%
61
67.6%
Q3 - 3:11MIAMISS Haslem Layup58
31.2%
61
68.8%
Q3 - 3:30UTAStevenson Driving Layup (8 PTS)58
28.4%
61
71.6%
Q3 - 3:40UTABell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
25.0%
61
75.0%
Q3 - 3:42UTAMISS Kirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
22.6%
61
77.4%
Q3 - 4:07MIAWade Driving Layup (20 PTS)56
25.5%
61
74.5%
Q3 - 4:22UTAKirilenko Dunk (24 PTS)56
28.4%
59
71.6%
Q3 - 4:23UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
25.5%
59
74.5%
Q3 - 4:25UTAMISS Stevenson 7' Jump Bank Shot54
23.0%
59
77.0%
Q3 - 4:44UTAJazz Rebound54
25.5%
59
74.5%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup54
24.4%
59
75.6%
Q3 - 5:02MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
22.7%
59
77.3%
Q3 - 5:03UTAMISS Ruffin Free Throw 2 of 254
23.1%
59
76.9%
Q3 - 5:03UTARuffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
24.4%
59
75.6%
Q3 - 5:19MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
22.9%
59
77.1%
Q3 - 5:19MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 253
23.5%
58
76.5%
Q3 - 5:23MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
22.6%
58
77.4%
Q3 - 5:25UTAMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot53
23.6%
58
76.4%
Q3 - 5:48UTAJazz Rebound53
25.9%
58
74.1%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot53
24.9%
58
75.1%
Q3 - 6:08UTAKirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)53
23.1%
58
76.9%
Q3 - 6:19UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)50
18.1%
58
81.9%
Q3 - 6:21MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
17.3%
58
82.7%
Q3 - 6:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
15.7%
58
84.3%
Q3 - 6:29UTAWade BLOCK (1 BLK)50
16.4%
58
83.6%
Q3 - 6:52UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)50
18.1%
58
81.9%
Q3 - 6:54MIAMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot50
17.3%
58
82.7%
Q3 - 7:12UTAKirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)50
16.0%
58
84.0%
Q3 - 7:33UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
12.5%
58
87.5%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup47
11.9%
58
88.1%
Q3 - 8:02UTAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
11.2%
58
88.8%
Q3 - 8:07MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T8)45
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q3 - 8:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
8.5%
58
91.5%
Q3 - 8:17UTAMISS Collins 18' Jump Shot45
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q3 - 8:40MIAOdom Reverse Layup (2 PTS)45
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q3 - 8:54UTARuffin Dunk (4 PTS)45
11.1%
56
88.9%
Q3 - 8:55UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)43
9.9%
56
90.1%
Q3 - 8:56UTAMISS Stevenson Driving Layup43
8.9%
56
91.1%
Q3 - 9:14MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)43
10.2%
56
89.8%
Q3 - 9:20MIAHEAT Rebound43
8.9%
56
91.1%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q3 - 9:34UTAArroyo Layup (2 PTS)43
8.9%
56
91.1%
Q3 - 9:45MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)41
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q3 - 9:45MIAJones Driving Dunk (7 PTS)41
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q3 - 9:55MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q3 - 9:57UTAMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot41
10.6%
53
89.4%
Q3 - 10:15MIAWade Running Dunk (18 PTS)41
12.2%
53
87.8%
Q3 - 10:26UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)41
13.6%
51
86.4%
Q3 - 10:26UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)40
13.3%
51
86.7%
Q3 - 10:44MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)39
12.2%
51
87.8%
Q3 - 10:44MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 239
12.5%
50
87.5%
Q3 - 10:57MIAHEAT Rebound39
12.0%
50
88.0%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
13.2%
50
86.8%
Q3 - 11:02MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
12.6%
50
87.4%
Q3 - 11:04UTAMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot39
13.1%
50
86.9%
Q3 - 11:19UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)39
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q3 - 11:21MIAMISS Odom 10' Hook Shot39
13.7%
50
86.3%
Q3 - 11:39UTAStevenson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ostertag 1 AST)39
12.5%
50
87.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA37
11.2%
50
88.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound37
9.8%
50
90.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 60' 3PT Jump Shot37
10.7%
50
89.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAKirilenko 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)37
10.8%
50
89.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0UTAJazz Rebound34
8.1%
50
91.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
7.9%
50
92.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
7.5%
50
92.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0UTAMISS Arroyo 13' Jump Bank Shot34
7.6%
50
92.4%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)34
8.1%
50
91.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)34
10.7%
47
89.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0UTAKirilenko 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)33
9.5%
47
90.5%
Q2 - 1:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)31
8.5%
47
91.5%
Q2 - 1:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 231
8.8%
46
91.2%
Q2 - 1:32UTABell 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)31
9.0%
46
91.0%
Q2 - 1:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)29
7.5%
46
92.5%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 229
7.8%
45
92.2%
Q2 - 1:58UTABell 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)29
8.0%
45
92.0%
Q2 - 2:13MIAGrant Layup (10 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)27
7.3%
45
92.7%
Q2 - 2:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
8.3%
43
91.7%
Q2 - 2:28UTAMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot27
8.5%
43
91.5%
Q2 - 2:44MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)27
9.2%
43
90.8%
Q2 - 3:01UTABell 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)27
8.9%
43
91.1%
Q2 - 3:10UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 3:12UTAMISS Arroyo 15' Running Jump Shot25
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 3:18UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 3:22UTAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot25
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 3:43UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)25
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 3:44UTAMISS Collins 19' Jump Shot25
7.3%
43
92.7%
Q2 - 3:56MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)25
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 3:56MIAButler Running Layup (8 PTS)25
8.9%
42
91.1%
Q2 - 3:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
9.8%
40
90.2%
Q2 - 4:01UTAMISS Lopez Running Layup25
10.8%
40
89.2%
Q2 - 4:05UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
11.6%
40
88.4%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot25
11.2%
40
88.8%
Q2 - 4:26UTAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)25
10.4%
40
89.6%
Q2 - 4:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)23
9.4%
40
90.6%
Q2 - 4:41MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 223
9.6%
39
90.4%
Q2 - 5:07UTABell 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)23
9.7%
39
90.3%
Q2 - 5:32MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)21
8.8%
39
91.2%
Q2 - 5:32MIAHEAT Rebound21
7.9%
39
92.1%
Q2 - 5:33MIAMISS Jones 19' Turnaround Jump Shot21
8.5%
39
91.5%
Q2 - 6:01UTACollins Layup (4 PTS) (Pavlovic 2 AST)21
8.3%
39
91.7%
Q2 - 6:13UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)19
7.6%
39
92.4%
Q2 - 6:15UTAMISS Pavlovic 18' Jump Shot19
7.0%
39
93.0%
Q2 - 6:35UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
7.6%
39
92.4%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot19
7.3%
39
92.7%
Q2 - 6:56UTACollins 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)19
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 7:10UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
6.8%
39
93.2%
Q2 - 7:12MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot17
6.6%
39
93.4%
Q2 - 7:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 7:24UTAMISS Lopez 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
6.3%
39
93.7%
Q2 - 7:40MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)17
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 7:54UTAJones STEAL (2 STL)17
8.1%
36
91.9%
Q2 - 8:09UTAJazz Rebound17
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q2 - 8:11UTAMISS Lopez 17' Jump Shot17
8.6%
36
91.4%
Q2 - 8:27MIAAllen 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)17
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q2 - 8:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
10.1%
34
89.9%
Q2 - 8:42UTAAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)17
10.4%
34
89.6%
Q2 - 8:48UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
11.2%
34
88.8%
Q2 - 8:50UTAMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot17
10.4%
34
89.6%
Q2 - 9:00MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
11.2%
34
88.8%
Q2 - 9:00MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
11.4%
33
88.6%
Q2 - 9:11UTAAlston STEAL (1 STL)17
12.5%
32
87.5%
Q2 - 9:22MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
13.8%
32
86.2%
Q2 - 9:30UTAOdom STEAL (2 STL)17
16.2%
29
83.8%
Q2 - 9:51MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)17
17.8%
29
82.2%
Q2 - 10:01MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
21.0%
26
79.0%
Q2 - 10:03UTAMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
21.5%
26
78.5%
Q2 - 10:22MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)17
22.9%
26
77.1%
Q2 - 10:25MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
26.3%
23
73.7%
Q2 - 10:27MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
27.9%
23
72.1%
Q2 - 10:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
26.3%
23
73.7%
Q2 - 10:45UTAMISS Lopez Running Layup17
27.0%
23
73.0%
Q2 - 11:06UTAJazz Rebound17
28.4%
23
71.6%
Q2 - 11:07MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
27.9%
23
72.1%
Q2 - 11:13MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
26.5%
23
73.5%
Q2 - 11:15UTAMISS Pavlovic 12' Jump Bank Shot17
27.1%
23
72.9%
Q2 - 11:21UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
28.5%
23
71.5%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
27.9%
23
72.1%
Q2 - 11:42UTAPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
26.5%
23
73.5%
Q2 - 11:42UTAMISS Pavlovic Free Throw 1 of 216
26.2%
23
73.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA16
26.5%
23
73.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
26.5%
23
73.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Alston 12' Jump Shot16
26.0%
23
74.0%
Q1 - 0:26.0UTAPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
25.0%
23
75.0%
Q1 - 0:26.0UTAPavlovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
24.7%
23
75.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0UTAJazz Rebound14
22.9%
23
77.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0UTAMISS Stevenson 4' Jump Shot14
22.0%
23
78.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
22.9%
23
77.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0UTAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot14
22.0%
23
78.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
22.9%
23
77.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0UTAButler STEAL (1 STL)14
21.6%
23
78.4%
Q1 - 0:59.0UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
22.9%
23
77.1%
Q1 - 1:01UTAMISS Pavlovic 22' Jump Shot14
22.1%
23
77.9%
Q1 - 1:25MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)14
23.0%
23
77.0%
Q1 - 1:43UTAKirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)14
25.1%
21
74.9%
Q1 - 1:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)11
21.4%
21
78.6%
Q1 - 1:56MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)11
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q1 - 2:07MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 2:09UTAMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot11
25.7%
18
74.3%
Q1 - 2:30MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)11
26.9%
18
73.1%
Q1 - 2:50UTAStevenson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)11
30.9%
15
69.1%
Q1 - 3:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
29.2%
15
70.8%
Q1 - 3:12MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)9
31.1%
14
68.9%
Q1 - 3:35UTAKirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ruffin 1 AST)9
32.8%
12
67.2%
Q1 - 3:52MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
29.2%
12
70.8%
Q1 - 3:55UTAOdom STEAL (1 STL)6
27.2%
12
72.8%
Q1 - 4:12UTAJazz Rebound6
29.4%
12
70.6%
Q1 - 4:13MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot6
28.7%
12
71.3%
Q1 - 4:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
27.2%
12
72.8%
Q1 - 4:26UTAMISS Stevenson Reverse Layup6
27.9%
12
72.1%
Q1 - 4:49MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
29.4%
12
70.6%
Q1 - 5:06UTARuffin Layup (2 PTS)6
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 5:08UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
29.6%
10
70.4%
Q1 - 5:10UTAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot4
28.2%
10
71.8%
Q1 - 5:12UTAJazz Rebound4
29.6%
10
70.4%
Q1 - 5:13UTAMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot4
28.2%
10
71.8%
Q1 - 5:33MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)4
29.5%
10
70.5%
Q1 - 5:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.1%
8
68.9%
Q1 - 5:55UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 2 of 24
31.4%
8
68.6%
Q1 - 5:55UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 1 of 24
32.3%
8
67.7%
Q1 - 6:01UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
33.2%
8
66.8%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
32.6%
8
67.4%
Q1 - 6:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.4%
8
68.6%
Q1 - 6:13UTAMISS Ostertag 6' Hook Shot4
31.9%
8
68.1%
Q1 - 6:35MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T2)4
33.2%
8
66.8%
Q1 - 6:40UTAButler STEAL (1 STL)4
31.4%
8
68.6%
Q1 - 6:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
33.2%
8
66.8%
Q1 - 6:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
33.6%
7
66.4%
Q1 - 6:58UTAWade STEAL (1 STL)4
34.9%
6
65.1%
Q1 - 7:17UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
37.0%
6
63.0%
Q1 - 7:19MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot4
36.4%
6
63.6%
Q1 - 7:32MIAHEAT Rebound4
35.0%
6
65.0%
Q1 - 7:34UTAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot4
35.6%
6
64.4%
Q1 - 7:48UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
37.0%
6
63.0%
Q1 - 7:50MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot4
36.4%
6
63.6%
Q1 - 8:10MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
35.2%
6
64.8%
Q1 - 8:12UTAOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)4
35.8%
6
64.2%
Q1 - 8:14UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
37.1%
6
62.9%
Q1 - 8:16UTAMISS Ruffin Layup4
35.8%
6
64.2%
Q1 - 8:40MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
37.1%
6
62.9%
Q1 - 8:57UTAKirilenko Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)4
38.7%
4
61.3%
Q1 - 9:16MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)4
40.7%
4
59.3%
Q1 - 9:40UTAStevenson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)4
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 9:58MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
40.7%
2
59.3%
Q1 - 10:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 10:09UTAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot2
39.0%
2
61.0%
Q1 - 10:23UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.4%
2
59.6%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot2
39.8%
2
60.2%
Q1 - 10:31UTAJones STEAL (1 STL)2
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 10:50UTAJazz Rebound2
40.5%
2
59.5%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot2
39.8%
2
60.2%
Q1 - 11:04UTAKirilenko 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 11:38MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)0
36.7%
2
63.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Ostertag: Tip to Jones0
38.6%
0
61.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.89 44.7%
MIA
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
9
21
43%
MIA
16
21
76%
Midrange
UTA
19
49
39%
MIA
6
21
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
MIA
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
Free Throws
UTA
14
18
78%
MIA
32
38
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Kirilenko3186%15.5 / 18
D. Stevenson1439%7.0 / 18
R. Bell1042%5.0 / 12
C. Arroyo829%4.0 / 14
J. Collins650%3.0 / 6
R. Lopez643%3.0 / 7
M. Ruffin542%2.5 / 6
S. Pavlovic330%1.5 / 5
M. Williams233%1.0 / 3
G. Ostertag0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3167%15.5 / 23
R. Butler1568%7.5 / 11
R. Alston1354%6.5 / 12
B. Grant1286%6.0 / 7
E. Jones1031%5.0 / 16
U. Haslem770%3.5 / 5
L. Odom650%3.0 / 6
M. Allen250%1.0 / 2
C. Butler110%0.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
77
+17
-11
94
MIA
84
+7
-10
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.89 44.7%
MIA
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.5
99.3
UTA 96.6 +6.6
MIA 103.2
Pace
88.8
90.6
UTA 79.3
MIA 105.5 +26.2
Avg. Poss. Time
17.1
16.0
UTA 18.1
MIA 13.6 +4.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.6%
46.3%
UTA 42.8%
MIA 50.0% +7.2%
TO %
17.2%
14.4%
UTA 11.7% +1.1%
MIA 12.8%
ORB %
34.1%
27.5%
UTA 29.8% +21.5%
MIA 8.3%
FTrt
35.6
29.8
UTA 21.7
MIA 58.5 +36.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
57.3%
UTA 69.7% +11.1%
MIA 58.6%
STL %
7.9%
7.9%
UTA 6.8%
MIA 8.5% +1.7%
BLK %
10.6%
6.3%
UTA 4.8%
MIA 5.7% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.0%
48.3%
UTA 44.7%
MIA 53.3% +8.6%
Rim FG%
53.4%
53.9%
UTA 42.9%
MIA 76.2% +33.3%
Mid FG%
38.8%
36.9%
UTA 38.8% +10.2%
MIA 28.6%
3P %
32.1%
35.7%
UTA 38.5% +8.1%
MIA 30.4%
FT %
74.6%
76.2%
UTA 77.8%
MIA 84.2% +6.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.9%
34.4%
UTA 25.3%
MIA 32.3% +7.0%
Mid Att. %
48.4%
44.5%
UTA 59.0%
MIA 32.3% +26.7%
3P Att. %
12.7%
21.1%
UTA 15.7%
MIA 35.4% +19.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTAMIA
Possessions8894
Possession Minutes26.621.4
Points8597
Rebounds3635
Assists2317
Steals68
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)10 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)2 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (8)33 (2)
Field Goals33-8329-65
At-the-Rim FG9-2116-21
Midrange FG19-496-21
2-Point FG28-7022-42
3-Point FG5-137-23
Free Throws14-1832-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
36.5
31
86%
3
3
2
1
4
2
1
2
8-8
100%
4-5
80%
5-9
56%
G · 6'5" 218 · 23
35.8
14
39%
3
1
1
0
1
5
2
1
0-0
-
7-18
39%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 25
33.1
8
29%
1
6
0
0
2
4
0
1
2-2
100%
3-12
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 248 · 27
27.6
5
42%
10
1
1
1
0
5
5
5
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 280 · 31
20.3
0
0%
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
5
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
29.3
10
42%
4
3
0
0
1
5
2
2
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 249 · 25
27.3
6
50%
6
1
1
0
0
5
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 24
14.9
6
43%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20
9.7
3
30%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 198 · 21
5.5
2
33%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
45%
36
23
6
2
11
0
14
22
14-18
78%
28-70
40%
5-13
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.