FinalWin Prob.pScore
2743%97
111
2957%100
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
124.78987.8
ORL logo ORL
106.59293.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA111
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)111
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLMISS Howard Layup111
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)111
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Gaines 22' Jump Shot111
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)111
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)110
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLGiricek Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)109
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)109
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLGiricek 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)107
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)106
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 1:04MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)106
99.6%
96
0.4%
Q4 - 1:22MIAHeat Rebound103
98.1%
96
1.9%
Q4 - 1:23ORLMISS Giricek 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
97.7%
96
2.3%
Q4 - 1:37MIAAlston Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)103
95.6%
96
4.4%
Q4 - 2:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)103
97.1%
96
2.9%
Q4 - 2:01ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 2103
96.7%
96
3.3%
Q4 - 2:01ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)103
95.5%
96
4.5%
Q4 - 2:10MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)103
96.3%
95
3.7%
Q4 - 2:26ORLHoward Dunk (22 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)103
98.1%
95
1.9%
Q4 - 2:42ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)103
98.4%
93
1.6%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup103
98.8%
93
1.2%
Q4 - 2:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)103
98.7%
93
1.3%
Q4 - 2:57ORLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2103
98.7%
93
1.3%
Q4 - 2:57ORLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)103
98.3%
93
1.7%
Q4 - 2:57ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)103
98.6%
92
1.4%
Q4 - 2:59ORLMISS Strickland 12' Jump Shot103
99.0%
92
1.0%
Q4 - 3:10MIAGrant Dunk (16 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)103
98.6%
92
1.4%
Q4 - 3:24ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)101
98.2%
92
1.8%
Q4 - 3:24ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)101
98.3%
91
1.7%
Q4 - 3:34ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)101
97.4%
90
2.6%
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS Odom 9' Hook Shot101
97.7%
90
2.3%
Q4 - 3:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)101
98.3%
90
1.7%
Q4 - 3:49ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot101
98.1%
90
1.9%
Q4 - 4:01ORLMAGIC Rebound101
97.6%
90
2.4%
Q4 - 4:01MIAMISS Odom Layup101
97.8%
90
2.2%
Q4 - 4:02MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)101
98.4%
90
1.6%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot101
97.9%
90
2.1%
Q4 - 4:22ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (18 PTS)101
98.4%
90
1.6%
Q4 - 4:39ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)101
98.9%
88
1.1%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS Jones 15' Fadeaway Jumper101
99.0%
88
1.0%
Q4 - 5:03ORLHoward Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)101
98.6%
88
1.4%
Q4 - 5:09ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)101
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS Jones 20' Running Jump Shot101
99.1%
86
0.9%
Q4 - 5:17ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)101
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 5:31ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)101
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 5:33ORLMISS Giricek 23' Jump Shot101
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 5:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)101
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 5:47MIAWade Driving Layup (25 PTS)100
98.6%
86
1.4%
Q4 - 5:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)98
98.2%
86
1.8%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
96.5%
86
3.5%
Q4 - 6:07ORLGiricek Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)98
97.2%
86
2.8%
Q4 - 6:07ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
96.1%
86
3.9%
Q4 - 6:07MIAMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot98
96.5%
86
3.5%
Q4 - 6:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)98
97.2%
86
2.8%
Q4 - 6:20MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
96.5%
86
3.5%
Q4 - 6:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)98
97.3%
86
2.7%
Q4 - 6:38ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
97.0%
86
3.0%
Q4 - 6:47MIAWade Driving Layup (23 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)98
96.2%
86
3.8%
Q4 - 7:14ORLGooden Dunk (16 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)96
93.6%
86
6.4%
Q4 - 7:33MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)96
94.9%
84
5.1%
Q4 - 7:33MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)95
94.6%
84
5.4%
Q4 - 7:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)94
93.6%
84
6.4%
Q4 - 7:38ORLMISS McGrady 17' Turnaround Jump Shot94
93.1%
84
6.9%
Q4 - 7:50MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)94
91.6%
84
8.4%
Q4 - 8:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)92
87.3%
84
12.7%
Q4 - 8:08ORLMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot92
86.4%
84
13.6%
Q4 - 8:22MIAWade Double Dribble Turnover (P5.T14)92
84.2%
84
15.8%
Q4 - 8:37ORLMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)92
87.4%
84
12.6%
Q4 - 8:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)92
90.0%
82
10.0%
Q4 - 8:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 291
89.4%
82
10.6%
Q4 - 9:10ORLMcGrady Reverse Layup (21 PTS)91
88.5%
82
11.5%
Q4 - 9:32ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
90.7%
80
9.3%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 291
91.0%
80
9.0%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 291
92.2%
80
7.8%
Q4 - 9:51ORLStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS)91
92.6%
80
7.4%
Q4 - 9:59MIAWade Driving Layup (20 PTS)91
94.1%
78
5.9%
Q4 - 10:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)89
91.4%
78
8.6%
Q4 - 10:07ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
90.8%
78
9.2%
Q4 - 10:15MIAGiricek STEAL (2 STL)89
89.3%
78
10.7%
Q4 - 10:33ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)89
91.5%
78
8.5%
Q4 - 10:33ORLMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 289
92.0%
77
8.0%
Q4 - 10:33ORLMcGrady Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)89
91.3%
77
8.7%
Q4 - 10:44MIAHoward STEAL (1 STL)89
93.0%
76
7.0%
Q4 - 11:04ORLHoward 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)89
93.5%
76
6.5%
Q4 - 11:23MIAOdom Layup (18 PTS)89
94.7%
74
5.3%
Q4 - 11:45ORLMcGrady 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS)87
93.6%
74
6.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA87
94.7%
72
5.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
95.8%
72
4.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Gooden 3PT Jump Shot87
95.5%
72
4.5%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
93.8%
72
6.2%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
93.6%
72
6.4%
Q3 - 0:20.0ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)85
92.5%
72
7.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAGiricek STEAL (1 STL)85
91.0%
72
9.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0ORLMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)85
92.6%
72
7.4%
Q3 - 1:09MIAOdom 9' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)85
92.9%
70
7.1%
Q3 - 1:30ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)83
91.5%
70
8.5%
Q3 - 1:30ORLMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 283
92.0%
69
8.0%
Q3 - 1:41ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
91.5%
69
8.5%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Alston 13' Running Jump Shot83
92.0%
69
8.0%
Q3 - 2:03ORLHoward Driving Layup (12 PTS)83
91.8%
69
8.2%
Q3 - 2:21MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)83
93.0%
67
7.0%
Q3 - 2:47ORLGiricek 18' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Howard 6 AST)81
91.9%
67
8.1%
Q3 - 3:08ORLMAGIC Rebound81
92.4%
65
7.6%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot81
92.8%
65
7.2%
Q3 - 3:36ORLHoward 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS)81
93.7%
65
6.3%
Q3 - 3:55MIAOdom Dunk (12 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)81
94.6%
63
5.4%
Q3 - 4:13ORLGooden 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Giricek 1 AST)79
92.9%
63
7.1%
Q3 - 4:29ORLJump Ball McGrady vs. Haslem: Tip to Lue79
93.8%
61
6.2%
Q3 - 4:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
94.9%
61
5.1%
Q3 - 4:47ORLMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot79
94.6%
61
5.4%
Q3 - 4:56MIAGooden STEAL (2 STL)79
93.9%
61
6.1%
Q3 - 5:09ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)79
94.2%
61
5.8%
Q3 - 5:09ORLMcGrady 8' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 5 AST)79
95.1%
60
4.9%
Q3 - 5:34MIAOdom Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)79
95.8%
58
4.2%
Q3 - 5:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)77
95.1%
58
4.9%
Q3 - 5:38MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot77
94.5%
58
5.5%
Q3 - 5:57MIAHeat Rebound77
95.1%
58
4.9%
Q3 - 5:58MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
94.5%
58
5.5%
Q3 - 6:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)77
94.4%
58
5.6%
Q3 - 6:06ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot77
94.1%
58
5.9%
Q3 - 6:20MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)77
93.4%
58
6.6%
Q3 - 6:44ORLLue 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)77
94.4%
58
5.6%
Q3 - 6:59MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)77
95.2%
56
4.8%
Q3 - 7:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)77
95.4%
56
4.6%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot77
94.8%
56
5.2%
Q3 - 7:12MIAJones Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)77
95.4%
56
4.6%
Q3 - 7:32ORLGiricek 14' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)76
94.7%
56
5.3%
Q3 - 7:53MIAWade Reverse Layup (18 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)76
95.3%
54
4.7%
Q3 - 7:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
94.7%
54
5.3%
Q3 - 7:59ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot74
94.4%
54
5.6%
Q3 - 8:11ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
93.3%
54
6.7%
Q3 - 8:13MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot74
93.6%
54
6.4%
Q3 - 8:39ORLLue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)74
94.3%
54
5.7%
Q3 - 8:46ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
95.6%
51
4.4%
Q3 - 8:48MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot74
95.8%
51
4.2%
Q3 - 9:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
95.7%
51
4.3%
Q3 - 9:05ORLMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot74
95.5%
51
4.5%
Q3 - 9:27MIAOdom Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)74
95.1%
51
4.9%
Q3 - 9:45ORLMcGrady 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)72
94.4%
51
5.6%
Q3 - 9:56MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
95.1%
49
4.9%
Q3 - 9:56MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
95.0%
49
5.0%
Q3 - 10:10MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
93.9%
49
6.1%
Q3 - 10:12ORLMISS Bogans 18' Jump Shot70
93.6%
49
6.4%
Q3 - 10:28MIAWade Driving Dunk (16 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)70
92.9%
49
7.1%
Q3 - 10:33MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
92.1%
49
7.9%
Q3 - 10:36ORLMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot68
91.7%
49
8.3%
Q3 - 11:00MIAAlston 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)68
90.8%
49
9.2%
Q3 - 11:25ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
89.0%
49
11.0%
Q3 - 11:25ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
89.2%
48
10.8%
Q3 - 11:41MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
90.2%
47
9.8%
Q3 - 11:41MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
90.0%
47
10.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA64
89.0%
47
11.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound64
89.0%
47
11.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 21' Fadeaway Jumper64
88.0%
47
12.0%
Q2 - 0:11.0ORLGiricek 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)64
87.8%
47
12.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAWade Dunk (14 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)64
89.5%
45
10.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
87.8%
45
12.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)62
88.1%
44
11.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAGooden STEAL (1 STL)62
89.6%
43
10.4%
Q2 - 1:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
89.6%
43
10.4%
Q2 - 1:05ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
89.4%
43
10.6%
Q2 - 1:12ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
89.0%
43
11.0%
Q2 - 1:13MIAMISS Wade Layup62
89.2%
43
10.8%
Q2 - 1:43ORLLue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)62
89.6%
43
10.4%
Q2 - 1:54ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
92.3%
40
7.7%
Q2 - 1:55MIAMISS Wade Layup62
92.4%
40
7.6%
Q2 - 2:20ORLGooden 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)62
92.2%
40
7.8%
Q2 - 2:40MIAJones 16' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)62
93.2%
38
6.8%
Q2 - 2:55ORLGiricek Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
92.3%
38
7.7%
Q2 - 2:55ORLGiricek Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
92.4%
37
7.6%
Q2 - 2:55ORLGiricek Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)60
93.2%
36
6.8%
Q2 - 3:11MIAAlston 6' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
92.9%
35
7.1%
Q2 - 3:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
92.3%
35
7.7%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
91.6%
35
8.4%
Q2 - 3:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
92.3%
35
7.7%
Q2 - 3:38ORLMISS Giricek Reverse Layup58
92.0%
35
8.0%
Q2 - 3:44ORLMAGIC Rebound58
91.3%
35
8.7%
Q2 - 3:46ORLMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot58
92.0%
35
8.0%
Q2 - 4:02MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)58
90.4%
35
9.6%
Q2 - 4:19ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
88.3%
35
11.7%
Q2 - 4:19ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
88.6%
34
11.4%
Q2 - 4:29MIAWade 9' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)55
89.4%
33
10.6%
Q2 - 4:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
88.3%
33
11.7%
Q2 - 4:33MIAGiricek BLOCK (1 BLK)53
87.4%
33
12.6%
Q2 - 4:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
88.3%
33
11.7%
Q2 - 4:51ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot53
87.9%
33
12.1%
Q2 - 5:08MIAWade 14' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
86.4%
33
13.6%
Q2 - 5:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
85.2%
33
14.8%
Q2 - 5:24ORLMISS Strickland 11' Running Jump Shot51
84.7%
33
15.3%
Q2 - 5:50MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)51
83.6%
33
16.4%
Q2 - 6:09ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)49
81.4%
33
18.6%
Q2 - 6:09ORLGooden Layup (6 PTS)49
81.4%
33
18.6%
Q2 - 6:10ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
82.7%
31
17.3%
Q2 - 6:10ORLMISS Gooden Tip Shot49
84.0%
31
16.0%
Q2 - 6:14ORLMISS Giricek 7' Running Jump Shot49
84.0%
31
16.0%
Q2 - 6:35MIAGrant Slam Dunk (12 PTS)49
82.8%
31
17.2%
Q2 - 6:58ORLGiricek Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)47
81.5%
31
18.5%
Q2 - 7:16MIAGrant Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)47
78.3%
31
21.7%
Q2 - 7:29ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)45
76.6%
31
23.4%
Q2 - 7:29ORLMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)45
78.5%
30
21.5%
Q2 - 7:43MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)45
80.1%
28
19.9%
Q2 - 7:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
76.7%
28
23.3%
Q2 - 7:51ORLMISS McGrady Reverse Layup42
76.1%
28
23.9%
Q2 - 8:03MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)42
73.9%
28
26.1%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 241
73.5%
28
26.5%
Q2 - 8:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
74.2%
28
25.8%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot41
72.5%
28
27.5%
Q2 - 8:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
74.2%
28
25.8%
Q2 - 8:15ORLMISS Giricek 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
73.5%
28
26.5%
Q2 - 8:18ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
71.8%
28
28.2%
Q2 - 8:20ORLMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot41
73.5%
28
26.5%
Q2 - 8:44MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)41
71.9%
28
28.1%
Q2 - 9:10ORLHunter Dunk (2 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)39
69.2%
28
30.8%
Q2 - 9:26MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)39
71.1%
26
28.9%
Q2 - 9:41ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 136
66.7%
26
33.3%
Q2 - 9:41ORLMcGrady Driving Layup (6 PTS)36
67.0%
26
33.0%
Q2 - 9:46ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
69.0%
24
31.0%
Q2 - 9:48ORLMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot36
70.6%
24
29.4%
Q2 - 10:12MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)36
68.5%
24
31.5%
Q2 - 10:31ORLStrickland 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
64.3%
24
35.6%
Q2 - 10:41MIAButler Layup (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)33
66.3%
22
33.7%
Q2 - 10:46MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
64.4%
22
35.6%
Q2 - 10:48ORLMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot31
63.6%
22
36.4%
Q2 - 11:01MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
61.1%
22
38.9%
Q2 - 11:18ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
58.8%
22
41.2%
Q2 - 11:18ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
59.5%
21
40.5%
Q2 - 11:41MIAAllen 9' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)29
61.2%
20
38.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
58.9%
20
41.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLGooden Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)27
58.9%
20
41.1%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAAlston 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)27
60.8%
18
39.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLGiricek 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)24
55.7%
18
44.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAButler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)24
60.8%
15
39.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)24
62.6%
15
37.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot24
62.1%
15
37.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
60.9%
15
39.1%
Q1 - 1:02ORLMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot24
62.0%
15
38.0%
Q1 - 1:13ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
60.7%
15
39.3%
Q1 - 1:16MIAMISS Butler 19' Running Jump Shot24
61.3%
15
38.7%
Q1 - 1:21ORLStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)24
62.5%
15
37.5%
Q1 - 1:45MIAWade Layup (8 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)24
60.8%
15
39.2%
Q1 - 1:50ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)22
58.0%
15
42.0%
Q1 - 1:57MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS)22
56.2%
15
43.8%
Q1 - 1:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
53.3%
15
46.7%
Q1 - 2:01MIAGooden BLOCK (1 BLK)20
52.0%
15
48.0%
Q1 - 2:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
53.5%
15
46.5%
Q1 - 2:13ORLMISS McGrady 16' Turnaround Jump Shot20
52.8%
15
47.2%
Q1 - 2:38MIAOdom 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)20
51.3%
15
48.7%
Q1 - 2:59ORLMcGrady 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
48.8%
15
51.2%
Q1 - 3:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
50.5%
13
49.5%
Q1 - 3:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
50.0%
13
50.0%
Q1 - 3:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
48.5%
13
51.5%
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS Jones 16' Running Jump Shot16
46.8%
13
53.2%
Q1 - 3:23ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)16
48.6%
13
51.4%
Q1 - 3:40MIAGrant 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
46.1%
13
53.9%
Q1 - 3:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
44.1%
13
55.9%
Q1 - 4:01ORLMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot14
43.2%
13
56.8%
Q1 - 4:27MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)14
41.3%
13
58.7%
Q1 - 4:50MIAHeat Rebound11
37.6%
13
62.4%
Q1 - 4:50ORLMISS Pachulia 6' Hook Shot11
36.8%
13
63.2%
Q1 - 5:13MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
35.3%
13
64.7%
Q1 - 5:31ORLHoward 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)9
33.5%
13
66.5%
Q1 - 5:49MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS)9
35.2%
11
64.8%
Q1 - 5:50MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
33.5%
11
66.5%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMISS Grant Layup7
32.1%
11
67.9%
Q1 - 6:11ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)7
33.6%
11
66.4%
Q1 - 6:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 6:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 6:31MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)5
35.4%
8
64.6%
Q1 - 6:33ORLMISS Lue 20' Running Jump Shot5
34.8%
8
65.2%
Q1 - 6:38MIALue STEAL (2 STL)5
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 6:49ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)5
35.4%
8
64.6%
Q1 - 7:04MIAOdom Traveling Turnover (P3.T3)5
33.7%
8
66.3%
Q1 - 7:22ORLBogans 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)5
35.6%
8
64.4%
Q1 - 7:38ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
37.2%
6
62.8%
Q1 - 7:41MIAMISS Jones 7' Running Jump Shot5
37.8%
6
62.2%
Q1 - 7:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
39.2%
6
60.8%
Q1 - 7:55ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
38.6%
6
61.4%
Q1 - 8:08MIAOdom Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)5
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 8:23ORLHoward 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)5
39.3%
6
60.7%
Q1 - 8:40ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 8:54ORLBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
43.0%
4
57.0%
Q1 - 8:56ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 8:57MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)5
43.0%
4
57.0%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Odom Tip Shot5
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 8:59MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
43.0%
4
57.0%
Q1 - 8:59MIAMISS Odom Tip Shot5
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 9:01MIAMISS Alston Layup5
41.3%
4
58.7%
Q1 - 9:02MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 9:04MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 9:04MIAMISS Odom Tip Shot5
41.3%
4
58.7%
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Alston Layup5
41.3%
4
58.7%
Q1 - 9:09ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 9:14ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 9:17MIAPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)5
41.3%
4
58.7%
Q1 - 9:34MIAHeat Rebound5
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 9:34ORLMISS Howard Layup5
42.2%
4
57.8%
Q1 - 10:03ORLMAGIC Rebound5
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
41.3%
4
58.7%
Q1 - 10:28ORLMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)5
42.7%
4
57.3%
Q1 - 10:44MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)5
44.3%
2
55.7%
Q1 - 11:04ORLLue Driving Layup (2 PTS)3
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 11:08MIALue STEAL (1 STL)3
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 11:17ORLMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot3
45.5%
0
54.5%
Q1 - 11:36MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)3
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.6%
0
59.4%
Q1 - 11:45ORLMISS Howard 12' Turnaround Jump Shot0
40.1%
0
59.9%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Pachulia vs. Grant: Tip to McGrady0
39.0%
0
61.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.7%
ORL
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
33
61%
ORL
12
18
67%
Midrange
MIA
13
29
45%
ORL
21
47
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
ORL
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
21
26
81%
ORL
20
25
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2764%13.5 / 21
R. Alston2388%11.5 / 13
L. Odom1856%9.0 / 16
B. Grant1662%8.0 / 13
R. Butler1286%6.0 / 7
U. Haslem770%3.5 / 5
E. Jones623%3.0 / 13
M. Allen2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2441%12.0 / 29
J. Howard2258%11.0 / 19
D. Gooden1667%8.0 / 12
G. Giricek1464%7.0 / 11
T. Lue10100%5.0 / 5
K. Bogans583%2.5 / 3
R. Strickland433%2.0 / 6
S. Hunter2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Pachulia117%0.5 / 3
R. Gaines0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+17
-16
90
ORL
81
+9
-11
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.7%
ORL
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
100.3
MIA 124.7 +18.2
ORL 106.5
Pace
90.6
93.1
MIA 87.8
ORL 93.2 +5.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.2
MIA 16.4
ORL 15.4 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.1%
MIA 59.2% +8.6%
ORL 50.6%
TO %
14.4%
13.8%
MIA 15.5%
ORL 11.1% +4.4%
ORB %
27.5%
28.1%
MIA 48.4% +27.9%
ORL 20.5%
FTrt
29.8
29.6
MIA 34.2 +1.7
ORL 32.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
54.5%
MIA 61.0% +4.2%
ORL 56.8%
STL %
7.9%
7.1%
MIA 7.9%
ORL 8.7% +0.8%
BLK %
6.3%
5.6%
MIA 4.6%
ORL 4.8% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
48.1%
MIA 59.7% +5.3%
ORL 54.4%
Rim FG%
53.9%
52.9%
MIA 60.6%
ORL 66.7% +6.1%
Mid FG%
36.9%
40.2%
MIA 44.8% +0.1%
ORL 44.7%
3P %
35.7%
34.4%
MIA 57.1% +23.8%
ORL 33.3%
FT %
76.2%
73.7%
MIA 80.8% +0.8%
ORL 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
29.7%
MIA 43.4% +20.0%
ORL 23.4%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
51.8%
MIA 38.2% +22.9%
ORL 61.0%
3P Att. %
21.1%
18.4%
MIA 18.4% +2.8%
ORL 15.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions8992
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points11198
Rebounds4624
Assists2521
Steals78
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)16 (3)
Field Goals41-7637-77
At-the-Rim FG20-3312-18
Midrange FG13-2921-47
2-Point FG33-6233-65
3-Point FG8-144-12
Free Throws21-2620-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
45.0
23
88%
3
5
4
0
3
0
1
2
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
5-6
83%
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
40.4
27
64%
10
5
0
0
5
4
6
4
7-9
78%
10-16
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 32
39.6
6
23%
8
4
1
0
2
5
0
8
1-1
100%
1-8
13%
1-5
20%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
36.6
18
56%
9
6
2
2
4
2
4
5
6-6
100%
6-12
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
35.8
16
62%
12
2
0
1
0
3
2
10
0-0
-
8-13
62%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
19.0
12
86%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-2
100%
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
18.0
7
70%
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
3-6
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
5.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
C · 7'2" 260 · 26
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
60%
46
25
7
3
16
0
15
31
21-26
81%
33-62
53%
8-14
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.