FinalWin Prob.pScore
1549%95
98
2651%96
83
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
118.18382.1
MIA logo MIA
101.28282.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0LALGrant 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fisher 6 AST)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0LALPayton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot96
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03LALPayton Layup (17 PTS) (Fisher 5 AST)96
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)94
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 194
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 1:17LALO'Neal Slam Dunk (25 PTS)94
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 1:19MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)92
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 1:32LALO'Neal Dunk (23 PTS) (Fisher 4 AST)92
98.7%
83
1.3%
Q4 - 1:35MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)90
97.9%
83
2.1%
Q4 - 1:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
96.2%
83
3.8%
Q4 - 1:42LALMISS Payton 12' Fadeaway Jumper90
96.7%
83
3.3%
Q4 - 2:02MIAOdom Driving Finger Roll (13 PTS)90
97.5%
83
2.5%
Q4 - 2:22LALO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (21 PTS)90
98.0%
81
2.0%
Q4 - 2:36LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)88
97.5%
81
2.5%
Q4 - 2:38MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
96.9%
81
3.1%
Q4 - 2:55LALO'Neal Slam Dunk (19 PTS)88
93.7%
81
6.3%
Q4 - 2:57LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
91.8%
81
8.2%
Q4 - 2:59LALMISS Fisher 13' Jump Shot86
88.4%
81
11.6%
Q4 - 3:23MIAWade Running Layup (19 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)86
92.1%
81
7.9%
Q4 - 3:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
93.8%
79
6.2%
Q4 - 3:29LALMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
94.8%
79
5.2%
Q4 - 3:57MIAWade Dunk (17 PTS) (Odom 8 AST)86
94.2%
79
5.8%
Q4 - 4:01MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)86
95.9%
77
4.1%
Q4 - 4:03LALMISS Rush Layup86
96.4%
77
3.6%
Q4 - 4:16LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
97.3%
77
2.7%
Q4 - 4:18MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot86
96.9%
77
3.1%
Q4 - 4:33LALFisher Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)86
96.0%
77
4.0%
Q4 - 4:33LALFisher Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)85
95.8%
77
4.2%
Q4 - 4:51LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)84
94.5%
77
5.5%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Jones 12' Turnaround Jump Shot84
93.9%
77
6.1%
Q4 - 4:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
92.1%
77
7.9%
Q4 - 5:00LALMISS O'Neal Layup84
92.9%
77
7.1%
Q4 - 5:01LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
92.3%
77
7.7%
Q4 - 5:03LALMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
90.4%
77
9.6%
Q4 - 5:26MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P3.T10)84
92.4%
77
7.6%
Q4 - 5:47LALFisher 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)84
89.7%
77
10.3%
Q4 - 5:52MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)82
86.3%
77
13.7%
Q4 - 6:16LALFisher 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)82
79.0%
77
21.0%
Q4 - 6:33MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)80
74.5%
77
25.5%
Q4 - 7:01LALFisher 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)80
66.2%
77
33.8%
Q4 - 7:21MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)78
60.6%
77
39.4%
Q4 - 7:30MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)78
72.1%
74
27.9%
Q4 - 7:32LALMISS Walton 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
74.0%
74
26.0%
Q4 - 7:48MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)78
78.0%
74
22.0%
Q4 - 7:48MIAOdom Driving Layup (10 PTS)78
82.4%
73
17.6%
Q4 - 8:20LALGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Fisher 3 AST)78
83.9%
71
16.1%
Q4 - 8:24LALGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
75.9%
71
24.1%
Q4 - 8:26LALHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)75
72.4%
71
27.6%
Q4 - 8:35LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
75.9%
71
24.1%
Q4 - 8:37LALMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot75
72.5%
71
27.5%
Q4 - 8:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
76.0%
71
24.0%
Q4 - 8:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
77.0%
70
23.0%
Q4 - 8:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
80.3%
69
19.7%
Q4 - 8:55MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot75
83.0%
69
17.0%
Q4 - 9:14LALPayton 14' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)75
78.8%
69
21.2%
Q4 - 9:41MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 7 AST)73
74.8%
69
25.2%
Q4 - 10:02LALGeorge 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)73
81.0%
66
19.0%
Q4 - 10:29MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)71
77.7%
66
22.3%
Q4 - 10:35MIAHEAT Rebound71
81.2%
64
18.8%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot71
83.6%
64
16.4%
Q4 - 10:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
81.2%
64
18.8%
Q4 - 10:38MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup71
83.7%
64
16.3%
Q4 - 10:59LALPayton 9' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS)71
81.2%
64
18.8%
Q4 - 11:27MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
76.4%
64
23.6%
Q4 - 11:27MIAOdom Tip Shot (8 PTS)69
76.4%
64
23.6%
Q4 - 11:29MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup69
82.4%
62
17.6%
Q4 - 11:44LALFisher Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)69
80.0%
62
20.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
83.4%
62
16.6%
Q3 - 0:19.0LALGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)69
79.0%
62
21.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)66
71.4%
62
28.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0LALJones STEAL (1 STL)66
75.4%
60
24.6%
Q3 - 1:03LALGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
77.9%
60
22.1%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
76.8%
60
23.2%
Q3 - 1:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
74.3%
60
25.7%
Q3 - 1:28LALMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Hook Shot66
75.5%
60
24.5%
Q3 - 1:48LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)66
78.0%
60
22.0%
Q3 - 1:50LALMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
75.5%
60
24.5%
Q3 - 2:08LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
76.6%
60
23.4%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Odom 12' Jump Shot66
75.5%
60
24.5%
Q3 - 2:44LALO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)66
72.9%
60
27.1%
Q3 - 2:56MIAAlston Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)64
69.4%
60
30.6%
Q3 - 3:05LALO'Neal Dunk (15 PTS)64
64.6%
60
35.4%
Q3 - 3:07LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
60.6%
60
39.4%
Q3 - 3:10LALAllen BLOCK (2 BLK)62
57.4%
60
42.6%
Q3 - 3:19MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (15 PTS)62
60.6%
60
39.4%
Q3 - 3:38LALGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)62
64.6%
58
35.4%
Q3 - 3:58MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)59
56.3%
58
43.7%
Q3 - 4:21LALO'Neal Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)59
59.6%
56
40.4%
Q3 - 4:40MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)57
56.1%
56
43.9%
Q3 - 4:58LALO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Medvedenko 2 AST)57
59.7%
54
40.3%
Q3 - 5:07LALMedvedenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)55
55.7%
54
44.3%
Q3 - 5:08LALMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
52.6%
54
47.4%
Q3 - 5:28MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)55
55.7%
54
44.3%
Q3 - 5:33MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)55
59.4%
52
40.6%
Q3 - 5:35LALMISS Medvedenko 20' Jump Shot55
60.8%
52
39.2%
Q3 - 5:57MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)55
63.7%
52
36.3%
Q3 - 6:20LALO'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
69.9%
49
30.1%
Q3 - 6:36LALPayton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
66.7%
49
33.3%
Q3 - 6:38LALMISS Rush 22' Jump Shot53
64.0%
49
36.0%
Q3 - 6:42LALPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
66.7%
49
33.3%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot53
65.6%
49
34.4%
Q3 - 7:07LALMedvedenko Lane Violation Turnover (P2.T7)53
61.8%
49
38.2%
Q3 - 7:07LALO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)53
64.2%
49
35.8%
Q3 - 7:24MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)52
62.4%
49
37.6%
Q3 - 7:33MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)52
65.5%
47
34.5%
Q3 - 7:35LALMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
66.7%
47
33.3%
Q3 - 7:41LALMedvedenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)52
69.4%
47
30.6%
Q3 - 7:43LALMISS Payton Finger Roll52
66.7%
47
33.3%
Q3 - 8:03LALPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
69.1%
47
30.9%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot52
68.0%
47
32.0%
Q3 - 8:28MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
65.3%
47
34.7%
Q3 - 8:30LALMISS Medvedenko 15' Jump Shot52
66.5%
47
33.5%
Q3 - 8:41LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
69.1%
47
30.9%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot52
68.0%
47
32.0%
Q3 - 9:01LALPayton Driving Layup (11 PTS)52
64.8%
47
35.2%
Q3 - 9:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)50
61.5%
47
38.5%
Q3 - 9:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)50
62.4%
46
37.6%
Q3 - 9:25LALO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)50
64.8%
45
35.2%
Q3 - 9:35LALMedvedenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
68.2%
45
31.8%
Q3 - 9:37MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot50
67.2%
45
32.8%
Q3 - 9:54LALMedvedenko Tip Shot (6 PTS)50
64.9%
45
35.1%
Q3 - 9:56LALMedvedenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
61.6%
45
38.4%
Q3 - 9:58LALMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot48
59.1%
45
40.9%
Q3 - 10:18LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
61.4%
45
38.6%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMISS Jones 9' Running Jump Shot48
60.2%
45
39.8%
Q3 - 10:30MIAButler Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
57.6%
45
42.4%
Q3 - 10:30MIAButler Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
58.3%
44
41.7%
Q3 - 10:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
64.3%
43
35.7%
Q3 - 10:34LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)48
67.9%
43
32.1%
Q3 - 10:34LALMISS George Tip Shot48
65.4%
43
34.6%
Q3 - 10:35LALMISS George Layup48
65.4%
43
34.6%
Q3 - 10:41LALPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
67.9%
43
32.1%
Q3 - 10:43LALMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
65.4%
43
34.6%
Q3 - 11:03LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)48
67.4%
43
32.6%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 248
67.0%
43
33.0%
Q3 - 11:04MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)48
64.7%
43
35.3%
Q3 - 11:17LALLakers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)48
67.3%
42
32.7%
Q3 - 11:17LALLakers Rebound48
70.4%
42
29.6%
Q3 - 11:18LALMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
68.3%
42
31.7%
Q3 - 11:40LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
70.4%
42
29.6%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Odom Layup48
69.5%
42
30.5%
Q3 - 11:43MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
67.3%
42
32.7%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup48
69.5%
42
30.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL48
67.3%
42
32.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALLakers Rebound48
70.4%
42
29.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0LALMISS Payton 6' Running Hook Shot48
67.8%
42
32.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAOdom Driving Layup (6 PTS)48
69.2%
42
30.8%
Q2 - 0:23.0LALMedvedenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
72.8%
40
27.2%
Q2 - 0:23.0LALMedvedenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
72.1%
40
27.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)46
69.3%
40
30.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0LALMedvedenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
67.2%
40
32.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0LALMedvedenko Tip Shot (2 PTS)46
67.2%
40
32.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0LALMISS Payton Driving Layup44
61.8%
40
38.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)44
63.4%
40
36.6%
Q2 - 1:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
61.1%
40
38.9%
Q2 - 1:07LALMISS Medvedenko 14' Jump Shot44
61.6%
40
38.4%
Q2 - 1:28MIAButler Layup (2 PTS)44
62.7%
40
37.3%
Q2 - 1:52LALGrant 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)44
67.1%
38
32.9%
Q2 - 2:13MIAWade Driving Layup (11 PTS)42
62.9%
38
37.1%
Q2 - 2:37LALGrant Layup (4 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)42
66.0%
36
34.0%
Q2 - 2:59LALLakers Rebound40
62.8%
36
37.2%
Q2 - 3:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)40
60.2%
36
39.8%
Q2 - 3:00MIAMISS Allen Tip Shot40
62.0%
36
38.0%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot40
61.6%
36
38.4%
Q2 - 3:02MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
59.3%
36
40.7%
Q2 - 3:04MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
61.6%
36
38.4%
Q2 - 3:20LALO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T4)40
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 3:22LALGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
62.6%
36
37.4%
Q2 - 3:24LALMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot40
60.4%
36
39.6%
Q2 - 3:39LALRush Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)40
62.6%
36
37.4%
Q2 - 3:59LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
59.7%
36
40.3%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMISS Odom 22' Jump Shot39
58.8%
36
41.2%
Q2 - 4:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
56.3%
36
43.7%
Q2 - 4:13LALMISS Rush Free Throw 2 of 239
56.7%
36
43.3%
Q2 - 4:13LALMISS Rush Free Throw 1 of 239
58.4%
36
41.6%
Q2 - 4:26MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)39
59.1%
36
40.9%
Q2 - 4:46LALO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Walton 3 AST)39
61.9%
34
38.1%
Q2 - 4:56LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
59.2%
34
40.8%
Q2 - 4:57MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot37
58.3%
34
41.7%
Q2 - 5:09LALWade STEAL (1 STL)37
56.1%
34
43.9%
Q2 - 5:11LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
59.1%
34
40.9%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup37
58.2%
34
41.8%
Q2 - 5:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
56.1%
34
43.9%
Q2 - 5:18LALMISS Fisher 3PT Jump Shot37
57.0%
34
43.0%
Q2 - 5:40LALRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
59.1%
34
40.9%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot37
58.2%
34
41.8%
Q2 - 5:58LALRush Driving Layup (4 PTS)37
56.1%
34
43.9%
Q2 - 6:13LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
53.7%
34
46.3%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 235
53.2%
34
46.8%
Q2 - 6:14MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
51.4%
34
48.6%
Q2 - 6:14MIAHEAT Rebound35
53.1%
33
46.9%
Q2 - 6:14LALMISS Walton 12' Jump Shot35
54.1%
33
45.9%
Q2 - 6:32MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)35
56.4%
33
43.6%
Q2 - 6:51LALFisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Walton 2 AST)35
61.2%
30
38.8%
Q2 - 7:11MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)32
56.0%
30
44.0%
Q2 - 7:38LALGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Walton 1 AST)32
58.4%
28
41.6%
Q2 - 7:58MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)29
53.5%
28
46.5%
Q2 - 8:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
55.5%
26
44.5%
Q2 - 8:14LALMISS George 21' Jump Shot29
56.4%
26
43.6%
Q2 - 8:25LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
58.4%
26
41.6%
Q2 - 8:27MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot29
57.5%
26
42.5%
Q2 - 8:56LALFisher Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
55.5%
26
44.5%
Q2 - 8:56LALFisher Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
55.1%
26
44.9%
Q2 - 9:16MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)27
53.1%
26
46.9%
Q2 - 9:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
55.3%
24
44.7%
Q2 - 9:27LALMISS Payton 13' Jump Shot27
56.1%
24
43.9%
Q2 - 9:30LALLakers Rebound27
58.1%
24
41.9%
Q2 - 9:31LALAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)27
56.1%
24
43.9%
Q2 - 9:34LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
58.1%
24
41.9%
Q2 - 9:36MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot27
57.2%
24
42.8%
Q2 - 9:52LALGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
55.3%
24
44.7%
Q2 - 9:52LALGeorge 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
52.8%
24
47.2%
Q2 - 10:01LALPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
50.4%
24
49.6%
Q2 - 10:03LALMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot24
48.5%
24
51.5%
Q2 - 10:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
50.4%
24
49.6%
Q2 - 10:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 224
51.0%
23
49.0%
Q2 - 10:47LALPayton 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)24
50.1%
23
49.9%
Q2 - 10:54LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
47.9%
23
52.1%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS Odom 18' Jump Shot22
47.1%
23
52.9%
Q2 - 11:15LALFisher 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)22
45.3%
23
54.7%
Q2 - 11:37LALGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
40.5%
23
59.5%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
39.8%
23
60.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL19
38.2%
23
61.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)19
40.2%
23
59.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0LALGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)19
38.5%
23
61.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0LALGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
35.8%
23
64.2%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
35.2%
23
64.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
34.1%
23
65.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot17
35.2%
23
64.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)17
34.1%
23
65.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0LALMISS George 21' Jump Shot17
34.6%
23
65.4%
Q1 - 1:05MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#3)17
35.9%
23
64.1%
Q1 - 1:26LALPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q1 - 1:26LALPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
33.7%
23
66.3%
Q1 - 1:32MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)15
31.7%
23
68.3%
Q1 - 1:35MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
30.1%
23
69.9%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
31.2%
23
68.8%
Q1 - 2:02LALPayton 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)15
30.3%
23
69.7%
Q1 - 2:14LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
28.2%
23
71.8%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup13
27.7%
23
72.3%
Q1 - 2:41LALFisher 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
26.4%
23
73.6%
Q1 - 2:47MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
24.5%
23
75.5%
Q1 - 3:22LALPayton Driving Layup (3 PTS)11
23.5%
23
76.5%
Q1 - 3:28LALPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
22.1%
23
77.9%
Q1 - 3:30MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot9
21.6%
23
78.4%
Q1 - 3:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
20.4%
23
79.6%
Q1 - 3:43LALMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot9
20.9%
23
79.1%
Q1 - 3:54LALRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
22.1%
23
77.9%
Q1 - 3:55MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot9
21.6%
23
78.4%
Q1 - 3:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
20.4%
23
79.6%
Q1 - 3:59MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot9
21.6%
23
78.4%
Q1 - 4:04MIAHEAT Rebound9
20.8%
23
79.2%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot9
22.1%
23
77.9%
Q1 - 4:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
20.8%
23
79.2%
Q1 - 4:22LALMISS Medvedenko 20' Jump Shot9
21.3%
23
78.7%
Q1 - 4:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
22.6%
23
77.4%
Q1 - 4:34MIAAllen Tip Shot (2 PTS)9
22.6%
23
77.4%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMISS Odom 8' Hook Shot9
25.2%
21
74.8%
Q1 - 4:59LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 19
24.1%
21
75.9%
Q1 - 4:59LALO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Medvedenko 1 AST)9
23.8%
21
76.2%
Q1 - 5:08MIAJones 15' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)7
23.5%
21
76.5%
Q1 - 5:24LALFox 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
24.8%
19
75.2%
Q1 - 5:42MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
23.4%
19
76.6%
Q1 - 6:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
26.4%
16
73.6%
Q1 - 6:02LALMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 25
27.4%
16
72.6%
Q1 - 6:02LALPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
28.4%
16
71.6%
Q1 - 6:21LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
27.2%
16
72.8%
Q1 - 6:23MIAMISS Jones 11' Fadeaway Jumper4
26.7%
16
73.3%
Q1 - 6:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 6:39LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 24
25.8%
16
74.2%
Q1 - 6:39LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 24
26.5%
16
73.5%
Q1 - 6:51MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
27.2%
16
72.8%
Q1 - 6:51MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
27.4%
15
72.6%
Q1 - 6:56MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
28.7%
14
71.3%
Q1 - 6:58LALMISS Rush 20' Jump Shot4
29.3%
14
70.7%
Q1 - 7:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
31.5%
14
68.5%
Q1 - 7:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
32.0%
13
68.0%
Q1 - 7:17MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
33.0%
12
67.0%
Q1 - 7:19LALMISS Payton 12' Jump Shot4
33.6%
12
66.4%
Q1 - 7:40LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
34.9%
12
65.1%
Q1 - 7:42MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot4
34.3%
12
65.7%
Q1 - 8:03LALO'Neal Layup (2 PTS)4
33.3%
12
66.7%
Q1 - 8:23MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
31.8%
12
68.2%
Q1 - 8:41LALMedvedenko Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T2)2
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 9:05MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)2
35.2%
10
64.8%
Q1 - 9:11MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
36.4%
8
63.6%
Q1 - 9:13LALMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot2
37.1%
8
62.9%
Q1 - 9:29MIAGrant Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
38.7%
8
61.3%
Q1 - 9:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS Jones 8' Running Jump Shot2
41.6%
6
58.4%
Q1 - 9:55MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 9:57LALMISS Payton 8' Fadeaway Jumper2
40.7%
6
59.3%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 12
41.9%
6
58.1%
Q1 - 10:08MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
42.2%
6
57.8%
Q1 - 10:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.8%
4
56.2%
Q1 - 10:19LALMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
44.5%
4
55.5%
Q1 - 10:36MIAOdom 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
45.9%
4
54.1%
Q1 - 11:05LALRush Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Fox 1 AST)2
47.7%
2
52.3%
Q1 - 11:20MIAOdom 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
45.8%
2
54.2%
Q1 - 11:35LALPayton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
47.7%
0
52.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. O'Neal: Tip to Payton0
49.4%
0
50.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.04 52.1%
MIA
0.98 48.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
17
25
68%
MIA
15
24
63%
Midrange
LAL
17
40
43%
MIA
12
37
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
MIA
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
Free Throws
LAL
12
19
63%
MIA
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2560%12.5 / 21
D. Fisher1882%9.0 / 11
G. Payton1740%8.5 / 21
D. George1761%8.5 / 14
H. Grant867%4.0 / 6
S. Medvedenko643%3.0 / 7
K. Rush531%2.5 / 8
R. Fox2100%1.0 / 1
L. Walton0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1959%9.5 / 16
L. Odom1343%6.5 / 15
E. Jones1354%6.5 / 12
M. Allen945%4.5 / 10
R. Alston950%4.5 / 9
B. Grant857%4.0 / 7
U. Haslem880%4.0 / 5
C. Butler429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
75
+18
-8
93
MIA
71
+13
-11
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.04 52.1%
MIA
0.98 48.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.4
99.3
LAL 118.1 +16.9
MIA 101.2
Pace
95.1
90.6
LAL 82.1
MIA 82.9 +0.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.0
LAL 17.5
MIA 17.4 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.1%
46.3%
LAL 53.1% +5.2%
MIA 47.9%
TO %
13.9%
14.4%
LAL 9.2% +4.8%
MIA 14.0%
ORB %
28.1%
27.5%
LAL 36.6% +9.1%
MIA 27.5%
FTrt
35.2
29.8
LAL 23.5
MIA 25.0 +1.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.3%
57.3%
LAL 50.0%
MIA 53.1% +3.1%
STL %
8.8%
7.9%
LAL 10.8% +8.4%
MIA 2.4%
BLK %
7.0%
6.3%
LAL 8.2% +3.6%
MIA 4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.6%
48.3%
LAL 52.1% +3.3%
MIA 48.8%
Rim FG%
61.1%
53.9%
LAL 68.0% +5.5%
MIA 62.5%
Mid FG%
37.7%
36.9%
LAL 42.5% +10.1%
MIA 32.4%
3P %
32.7%
35.7%
LAL 37.5%
MIA 45.5% +8.0%
FT %
69.3%
76.2%
LAL 63.2%
MIA 77.8% +14.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.2%
34.4%
LAL 30.9%
MIA 33.3% +2.5%
Mid Att. %
47.1%
44.5%
LAL 49.4% +2.0%
MIA 51.4%
3P Att. %
16.7%
21.1%
LAL 19.8% +4.5%
MIA 15.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.
Game TotalsLALMIA
Possessions8382
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points9883
Rebounds4437
Assists2017
Steals92
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)26 (2)
Field Goals40-8132-72
At-the-Rim FG17-2515-24
Midrange FG17-4012-37
2-Point FG34-6527-61
3-Point FG6-165-11
Free Throws12-1914-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 190 · 36
41.2
17
40%
7
6
1
0
1
3
3
4
3-4
75%
7-16
44%
0-3
0%
C · 7'1" 325 · 32
33.3
25
60%
10
1
1
2
2
3
3
7
1-5
20%
12-18
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 23
28.2
5
31%
2
1
2
0
0
2
0
2
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 253 · 25
21.4
6
43%
6
2
0
0
2
2
4
2
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 35
11.8
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
36.3
17
61%
11
0
1
3
1
2
3
8
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
4-7
57%
C · 6'10" 245 · 39
27.8
8
67%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 210 · 30
26.6
18
82%
3
6
4
0
2
2
0
3
4-4
100%
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
13.6
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
52%
44
20
9
5
8
0
15
29
12-19
63%
34-65
52%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.