FinalWin Prob.pScore
2520%83
91
580%94
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
105.88686.1
IND logo IND
111.58786.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND91
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)91
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)90
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0INDJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0INDJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAJones 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Odom 7 AST)89
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Odom 27' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0INDJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0INDJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)87
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)87
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 0:46.0INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)85
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 0:46.0INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)85
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)85
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 1:08INDJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 1:08INDMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 282
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 1:08INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot82
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 1:27INDMiller 28' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)82
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 1:47INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)82
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 282
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q4 - 1:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)82
4.0%
87
96.0%
Q4 - 1:59INDO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)81
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMiller STEAL (2 STL)81
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 2:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
7.9%
85
92.1%
Q4 - 2:27INDMISS Johnson 2' Layup81
6.5%
85
93.5%
Q4 - 2:36INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)81
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q4 - 2:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 281
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q4 - 2:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 281
5.8%
85
94.2%
Q4 - 3:00INDWorld Peace 2' Layup (18 PTS)81
8.8%
85
91.2%
Q4 - 3:01INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
11.3%
83
88.7%
Q4 - 3:03INDMISS World Peace 2' Layup81
16.0%
83
84.0%
Q4 - 3:17MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)81
11.1%
83
88.9%
Q4 - 3:17MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 280
10.2%
83
89.8%
Q4 - 3:32INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)80
13.5%
83
86.5%
Q4 - 3:32INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 280
14.9%
82
85.1%
Q4 - 3:48MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)80
13.2%
82
86.8%
Q4 - 3:57INDTinsley Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)77
6.8%
82
93.2%
Q4 - 4:16MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)77
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q4 - 4:28INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)75
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 4:28INDWorld Peace 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)75
4.7%
81
95.3%
Q4 - 4:42INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)75
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup75
7.3%
79
92.7%
Q4 - 4:46MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)75
9.5%
79
90.5%
Q4 - 4:50INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot75
8.5%
79
91.5%
Q4 - 4:56INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
6.5%
79
93.5%
Q4 - 4:58INDMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot75
8.5%
79
91.5%
Q4 - 5:18MIAWade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)75
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q4 - 5:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q4 - 5:35INDMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
4.9%
79
95.1%
Q4 - 5:56MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)73
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q4 - 6:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q4 - 6:13INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot71
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q4 - 6:40MIAOdom 6' Hook Shot (24 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)71
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 6:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 6:56INDMISS World Peace 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 7:04INDPACERS Rebound69
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q4 - 7:05INDMISS World Peace 4' Jump Shot69
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q4 - 7:20MIAO'Neal STEAL (2 STL)69
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 7:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)69
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 7:49INDCroshere Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)69
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q4 - 7:51INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 7:54INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot69
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q4 - 8:20MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)69
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q4 - 8:38INDO'Neal 1' Layup (20 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)66
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 8:58MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)66
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 8:58MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)65
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 9:16INDJones 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)64
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 9:35INDPollard REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)64
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q4 - 9:36INDMISS World Peace 9' Jump Shot64
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q4 - 9:50INDPACERS Rebound64
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q4 - 9:50INDMISS Jones 3' Jump Shot64
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q4 - 9:52INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q4 - 9:54INDMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q4 - 10:11INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q4 - 10:28INDCroshere 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)64
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q4 - 10:38MIAPollard STEAL (1 STL)64
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q4 - 11:01INDJohnson 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)64
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q4 - 11:24MIAWorld Peace STEAL (2 STL)64
7.1%
70
92.9%
Q4 - 11:43INDCroshere Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)64
8.7%
70
91.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
7.1%
70
92.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
8.7%
70
91.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDMISS Croshere 12' Jump Shot64
8.5%
70
91.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
7.4%
70
92.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0INDMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot64
8.5%
70
91.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Odom 5' Jump Shot64
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0INDPACERS Rebound64
7.4%
70
92.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)64
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0INDMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 264
9.2%
69
90.8%
Q3 - 1:02INDPollard REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)64
9.2%
69
90.8%
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
9.7%
69
90.3%
Q3 - 1:22INDCroshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)64
11.0%
69
89.0%
Q3 - 1:40INDPACERS Rebound64
15.3%
66
84.7%
Q3 - 1:42MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot64
16.1%
66
83.9%
Q3 - 2:03INDJones 2' Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)64
17.8%
66
82.2%
Q3 - 2:21MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)64
20.5%
64
79.5%
Q3 - 2:39INDPollard REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)64
24.0%
64
76.0%
Q3 - 2:39INDPollard 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)64
24.0%
64
76.0%
Q3 - 2:40INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot64
30.2%
62
69.8%
Q3 - 2:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
27.3%
62
72.7%
Q3 - 2:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
26.4%
62
73.6%
Q3 - 2:59INDWorld Peace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)62
24.0%
62
76.0%
Q3 - 3:05INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
20.6%
62
79.4%
Q3 - 3:07INDMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot62
22.8%
62
77.2%
Q3 - 3:15INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
20.6%
62
79.4%
Q3 - 3:17MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
21.5%
62
78.5%
Q3 - 3:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
23.9%
62
76.1%
Q3 - 3:25INDMISS World Peace 20' Jump Shot62
22.8%
62
77.2%
Q3 - 3:41MIAOdom 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)62
20.6%
62
79.4%
Q3 - 3:58INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)59
15.4%
62
84.6%
Q3 - 3:58INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)59
16.0%
61
84.0%
Q3 - 4:07INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
17.3%
60
82.7%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot59
18.2%
60
81.8%
Q3 - 4:33INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
20.3%
60
79.7%
Q3 - 4:33INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)59
21.0%
59
79.0%
Q3 - 4:47INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
22.9%
58
77.1%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 259
23.4%
58
76.6%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 259
25.3%
58
74.7%
Q3 - 5:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
26.0%
58
74.0%
Q3 - 5:07INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot59
25.0%
58
75.0%
Q3 - 5:32MIAWade 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)59
22.7%
58
77.3%
Q3 - 5:36INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)57
20.1%
58
79.9%
Q3 - 5:48MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)57
17.4%
58
82.6%
Q3 - 5:48MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)56
16.8%
58
83.2%
Q3 - 5:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
15.3%
58
84.7%
Q3 - 5:54INDMISS Miller 12' Jump Shot55
14.6%
58
85.4%
Q3 - 6:03INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
13.1%
58
86.9%
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
13.7%
58
86.3%
Q3 - 6:18MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
15.2%
58
84.8%
Q3 - 6:18INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 255
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q3 - 6:18INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 255
13.6%
58
86.4%
Q3 - 6:27MIAWorld Peace STEAL (1 STL)55
13.1%
58
86.9%
Q3 - 6:40INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
15.2%
58
84.8%
Q3 - 6:40INDO'Neal 2' Tip Shot (18 PTS)55
15.2%
58
84.8%
Q3 - 6:42INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q3 - 6:42INDMISS Foster 1' Layup55
19.0%
56
81.0%
Q3 - 6:44INDMISS Tinsley 2' Layup55
19.0%
56
81.0%
Q3 - 6:53INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q3 - 6:55MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot55
18.0%
56
82.0%
Q3 - 7:00MIAHeat Rebound55
19.8%
56
80.2%
Q3 - 7:01MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
17.8%
56
82.2%
Q3 - 7:15INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
19.7%
56
80.3%
Q3 - 7:15INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 255
20.2%
55
79.8%
Q3 - 7:36INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
19.3%
55
80.7%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 255
19.7%
55
80.3%
Q3 - 7:37MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
21.2%
55
78.8%
Q3 - 7:51MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
19.6%
55
80.4%
Q3 - 7:52INDMISS World Peace 2' Layup54
18.8%
55
81.2%
Q3 - 8:10MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
16.9%
55
83.1%
Q3 - 8:10MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)53
16.4%
55
83.6%
Q3 - 8:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
15.1%
55
84.9%
Q3 - 8:22INDMISS Tinsley 3PT Jump Shot52
14.5%
55
85.5%
Q3 - 8:41INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
13.1%
55
86.9%
Q3 - 8:42MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot52
13.7%
55
86.3%
Q3 - 8:58INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)52
15.2%
55
84.8%
Q3 - 9:12MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)52
12.9%
55
87.1%
Q3 - 9:19INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)50
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q3 - 9:30MIAOdom 2' Finger Roll (12 PTS)50
9.9%
55
90.1%
Q3 - 9:53INDFoster 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)48
8.7%
55
91.3%
Q3 - 10:02INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
9.8%
53
90.2%
Q3 - 10:04MIAMISS Alston 16' Jump Shot48
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q3 - 10:33INDMiller 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)48
11.3%
53
88.7%
Q3 - 10:44INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
14.3%
50
85.7%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot48
14.9%
50
85.1%
Q3 - 10:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
16.3%
50
83.7%
Q3 - 10:53INDMISS World Peace 10' Jump Shot48
15.7%
50
84.3%
Q3 - 11:08MIAMiller STEAL (1 STL)48
14.0%
50
86.0%
Q3 - 11:23MIAHeat Rebound48
15.8%
50
84.2%
Q3 - 11:24INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot48
15.3%
50
84.7%
Q3 - 11:46MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
14.0%
50
86.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
12.5%
50
87.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDWorld Peace 1' Finger Roll (8 PTS)46
12.4%
50
87.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
14.4%
48
85.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot46
14.7%
48
85.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0INDMISS World Peace 2' Layup46
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 1:01MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)46
14.7%
48
85.3%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical44
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 1:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 1:23INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot44
12.2%
48
87.8%
Q2 - 1:25INDPACERS Rebound44
11.7%
48
88.3%
Q2 - 1:27INDMISS World Peace 4' Jump Shot44
12.2%
48
87.8%
Q2 - 1:49MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)44
11.7%
48
88.3%
Q2 - 2:05INDO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)44
12.8%
48
87.2%
Q2 - 2:18MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)44
14.4%
46
85.6%
Q2 - 2:18MIAAlston 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)43
12.9%
46
87.1%
Q2 - 2:51INDO'Neal 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)41
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 3:16MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)41
12.7%
44
87.3%
Q2 - 3:34MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
11.6%
44
88.4%
Q2 - 3:35INDMISS Pollard Free Throw 2 of 239
11.4%
44
88.6%
Q2 - 3:35INDMISS Pollard Free Throw 1 of 239
10.7%
44
89.3%
Q2 - 3:35INDPollard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)39
10.3%
44
89.7%
Q2 - 3:36INDMISS O'Neal 1' Tip Shot39
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 3:37INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
10.3%
44
89.7%
Q2 - 3:38INDMISS World Peace 17' Jump Shot39
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 3:45MIAO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)39
10.3%
44
89.7%
Q2 - 3:53MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
11.6%
44
88.4%
Q2 - 3:55INDMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 4:14MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)39
10.3%
44
89.7%
Q2 - 4:37INDMiller 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)36
8.3%
44
91.7%
Q2 - 4:49MIAJones 15' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)36
10.3%
41
89.7%
Q2 - 5:14INDPollard 2' Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)34
9.3%
41
90.7%
Q2 - 5:32MIAAlston 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
10.2%
39
89.8%
Q2 - 5:38MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
9.3%
39
90.7%
Q2 - 5:40INDMISS World Peace 19' Jump Shot32
9.0%
39
91.0%
Q2 - 5:46INDPACERS Rebound32
8.3%
39
91.7%
Q2 - 5:46INDMISS World Peace 5' Jump Shot32
9.0%
39
91.0%
Q2 - 6:04INDPACERS Rebound32
8.4%
39
91.6%
Q2 - 6:04INDPollard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
8.4%
39
91.6%
Q2 - 6:04INDMISS Pollard 2' Tip Shot32
9.1%
39
90.9%
Q2 - 6:05INDMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot32
9.1%
39
90.9%
Q2 - 6:25MIAOdom 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)32
8.4%
39
91.6%
Q2 - 6:51INDO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)29
7.0%
39
93.0%
Q2 - 7:08MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
7.9%
37
92.1%
Q2 - 7:29INDJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
7.2%
37
92.8%
Q2 - 7:37INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
8.6%
34
91.4%
Q2 - 7:39MIAO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)27
8.9%
34
91.1%
Q2 - 8:03INDO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)27
9.6%
34
90.4%
Q2 - 8:20INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
10.4%
32
89.6%
Q2 - 8:21MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot27
10.8%
32
89.2%
Q2 - 8:35INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)27
11.6%
32
88.4%
Q2 - 9:00INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
10.5%
32
89.5%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
10.8%
32
89.2%
Q2 - 9:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
11.5%
32
88.5%
Q2 - 9:18INDMISS Croshere 19' Jump Shot27
11.2%
32
88.8%
Q2 - 9:37MIAJones 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
10.4%
32
89.6%
Q2 - 9:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
9.6%
32
90.4%
Q2 - 9:49MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot25
9.0%
32
91.0%
Q2 - 10:00INDPollard 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)25
9.6%
32
90.4%
Q2 - 10:18INDJohnson Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)25
8.8%
32
91.2%
Q2 - 10:18INDPACERS Rebound25
9.7%
31
90.3%
Q2 - 10:20INDMISS World Peace 1' Layup25
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q2 - 10:28INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
9.7%
31
90.3%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot25
10.0%
31
90.0%
Q2 - 10:46INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
10.7%
31
89.3%
Q2 - 10:46INDPollard 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)25
10.7%
31
89.3%
Q2 - 10:48INDMISS World Peace 2' Layup25
12.4%
29
87.6%
Q2 - 11:05MIAWoods Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
11.4%
29
88.6%
Q2 - 11:05MIAWoods Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
11.1%
29
88.9%
Q2 - 11:16INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
10.5%
29
89.5%
Q2 - 11:16INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
10.7%
28
89.3%
Q2 - 11:36INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
11.4%
27
88.6%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot23
11.7%
27
88.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND23
12.5%
27
87.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound23
11.4%
27
88.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)23
11.5%
27
88.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0INDWorld Peace 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
13.6%
25
86.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0INDMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot23
14.2%
25
85.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)23
13.6%
25
86.4%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)22
13.3%
25
86.7%
Q1 - 1:00MIAHeat Rebound21
12.3%
25
87.7%
Q1 - 1:00MIAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)21
11.8%
25
88.2%
Q1 - 1:05MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
12.3%
25
87.7%
Q1 - 1:07INDMISS World Peace 4' Jump Shot21
12.1%
25
87.9%
Q1 - 1:19INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
11.8%
25
88.2%
Q1 - 1:38MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
12.3%
25
87.7%
Q1 - 1:41INDMISS Jones 3' Jump Shot21
12.1%
25
87.9%
Q1 - 2:05MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)21
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q1 - 2:20INDJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Croshere 2 AST)19
10.5%
25
89.5%
Q1 - 2:36MIAWoods 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)19
11.5%
23
88.5%
Q1 - 2:59INDJohnson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)17
10.5%
23
89.5%
Q1 - 3:13INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
11.4%
21
88.6%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot17
11.7%
21
88.3%
Q1 - 3:34INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
12.4%
21
87.6%
Q1 - 3:34INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
12.7%
20
87.3%
Q1 - 3:50MIAOdom 2' Layup (5 PTS)17
13.3%
19
86.7%
Q1 - 3:59MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
12.4%
19
87.6%
Q1 - 4:00INDMISS World Peace 16' Jump Shot15
12.1%
19
87.9%
Q1 - 4:23MIAWade 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)15
11.2%
19
88.8%
Q1 - 4:34MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
10.5%
19
89.5%
Q1 - 4:36INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 213
10.4%
19
89.6%
Q1 - 4:36INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)13
9.9%
19
90.1%
Q1 - 4:46MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T1)13
10.3%
18
89.7%
Q1 - 4:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
11.4%
18
88.6%
Q1 - 4:57INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
11.1%
18
88.9%
Q1 - 5:12INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
10.3%
18
89.7%
Q1 - 5:13MIAMISS Allen 5' Hook Shot13
10.6%
18
89.4%
Q1 - 5:27INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 5:42MIAAlston 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
10.3%
18
89.7%
Q1 - 6:06INDFoster 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)11
9.7%
18
90.3%
Q1 - 6:11INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.4%
16
89.6%
Q1 - 6:13MIAO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)11
10.6%
16
89.4%
Q1 - 6:28INDMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)11
11.2%
16
88.8%
Q1 - 6:35MIAAlston 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
12.9%
13
87.1%
Q1 - 6:53MIAHeat Rebound9
12.0%
13
88.0%
Q1 - 6:54INDMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot9
11.8%
13
88.2%
Q1 - 7:14INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
11.1%
13
88.9%
Q1 - 7:16MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot9
11.4%
13
88.6%
Q1 - 7:38INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
12.0%
13
88.0%
Q1 - 7:38INDO'Neal 2' Tip Shot (5 PTS)9
12.0%
13
88.0%
Q1 - 7:40INDMISS O'Neal 3' Layup9
13.4%
11
86.6%
Q1 - 7:55MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)9
12.7%
11
87.3%
Q1 - 8:12INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
11.8%
11
88.2%
Q1 - 8:12INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
12.0%
10
88.0%
Q1 - 8:22MIAAlston 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)7
12.6%
9
87.4%
Q1 - 8:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
11.8%
9
88.2%
Q1 - 8:28MIAMISS Odom 18' Jump Shot5
11.2%
9
88.8%
Q1 - 8:44INDO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
11.9%
9
88.1%
Q1 - 9:04MIAOdom 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)5
10.8%
9
89.2%
Q1 - 9:27INDTinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)2
9.6%
9
90.4%
Q1 - 9:54MIAGrant 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
10.8%
6
89.2%
Q1 - 10:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
10.2%
6
89.8%
Q1 - 10:10INDMISS O'Neal 3' Layup0
10.0%
6
90.0%
Q1 - 10:17INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
9.5%
6
90.5%
Q1 - 10:19MIAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
9.7%
6
90.3%
Q1 - 10:25MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical0
10.2%
6
89.8%
Q1 - 10:48INDMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)0
10.2%
6
89.8%
Q1 - 10:59INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.6%
3
88.4%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot0
11.9%
3
88.1%
Q1 - 11:14INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
12.4%
3
87.6%
Q1 - 11:14INDO'Neal 4' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)0
13.2%
2
86.8%
Q1 - 11:22INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.1%
0
85.9%
Q1 - 11:23MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot0
14.4%
0
85.6%
Q1 - 11:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.0%
0
85.0%
Q1 - 11:45INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot0
14.7%
0
85.3%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Grant: Tip to Foster0
14.1%
0
85.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 56.2%
IND
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
8
15
53%
IND
13
33
39%
Midrange
MIA
18
35
51%
IND
10
30
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
IND
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
MIA
18
27
67%
IND
24
33
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Odom2578%12.5 / 16
E. Jones2195%10.5 / 11
D. Wade1563%7.5 / 12
R. Alston1450%7.0 / 14
B. Grant1056%5.0 / 9
L. Woods467%2.0 / 3
M. Allen220%1.0 / 5
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 4
J. Wallace0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2244%11.0 / 25
M. World Peace2037%10.0 / 27
R. Miller15107%7.5 / 7
A. Johnson1354%6.5 / 12
F. Jones750%3.5 / 7
A. Croshere650%3.0 / 6
S. Pollard660%3.0 / 5
J. Foster563%2.5 / 4
J. Tinsley338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+6
-11
81
IND
77
+23
-10
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 56.2%
IND
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
101.1
MIA 105.8
IND 111.5 +5.7
Pace
90.6
89.9
MIA 86.1
IND 86.9 +0.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.2
MIA 16.7
IND 16.6 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
47.1%
MIA 55.3% +9.7%
IND 45.6%
TO %
14.4%
15.0%
MIA 12.4%
IND 10.4% +2.0%
ORB %
27.5%
28.5%
MIA 11.8%
IND 38.1% +26.3%
FTrt
29.8
31.9
MIA 40.9
IND 41.3 +0.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
64.4%
MIA 69.7% +4.1%
IND 65.6%
STL %
7.9%
9.8%
MIA 5.8%
IND 9.2% +3.4%
BLK %
6.3%
8.0%
MIA 9.5% +1.5%
IND 8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
49.2%
MIA 56.2% +7.7%
IND 48.5%
Rim FG%
53.9%
55.2%
MIA 53.3% +13.9%
IND 39.4%
Mid FG%
36.9%
38.5%
MIA 51.4% +18.1%
IND 33.3%
3P %
35.7%
35.1%
MIA 43.8%
IND 52.9% +9.1%
FT %
76.2%
76.4%
MIA 66.7%
IND 72.7% +6.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
34.4%
MIA 22.7%
IND 41.3% +18.5%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
45.4%
MIA 53.0%
IND 37.5% +15.5%
3P Att. %
21.1%
20.3%
MIA 24.2% +3.0%
IND 21.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points9197
Rebounds3046
Assists2321
Steals58
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)16 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals33-6632-80
At-the-Rim FG8-1513-33
Midrange FG18-3510-30
2-Point FG26-5023-63
3-Point FG7-169-17
Free Throws18-2724-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
44.6
25
78%
7
7
1
4
1
4
0
7
10-12
83%
3-6
50%
3-4
75%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
41.2
21
95%
4
5
0
0
2
1
0
4
0-2
0%
6-7
86%
3-4
75%
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
38.1
14
50%
1
5
1
0
4
3
0
1
1-1
100%
5-6
83%
1-7
14%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
34.2
10
56%
9
2
2
1
1
6
4
5
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
13.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
25.9
15
63%
4
2
1
0
2
2
0
4
5-10
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
25.9
2
20%
3
1
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
11.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
C · 7'2" 260 · 26
5.6
4
67%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
56%
30
23
5
6
11
0
4
26
18-27
67%
26-50
52%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.